Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)#
MCMC is a method to sample from a probability distribution. It creates a Markov chain where the next state depends only on the current state. Over time, the states of the chain represent samples from the desired distribution. Common MCMC methods include the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm and the Gibbs sampler.
First, the data is generated using quadratic model with added normal noise: \(y = 3x^2 - x + 5 + \epsilon\) where \(\epsilon \sim (0,5^2)\). Normal Probability Density Function and the model function is created to predict the y given the mean \(\mu\) and standard deviation \(\sigma\)
import numpy as np
np.random.seed(20)
# Generate data
x = np.linspace(0, 10, 1000)
y = 3 * x**2 - x + 5 + np.random.normal(scale=5, size=1000)
# Define the normal probability density function (PDF)
def normal_pdf(x, mean, std):
return (1 / (std * np.sqrt(2 * np.pi))) * np.exp(-(x - mean)**2 / (2 * std**2))
# Define the quadratic model
def model(x, a, b, c):
return a * x**2 + b * x + c
In the context of Bayesian inferenc , the likelihood of observin the data is given the model parameters is calculated. For normally distributed errors, the log-likelihood for a set of observations \((x_i,y_i)\) is: $\( logL(a,b,c) = \sum^{n}_{i=1} log(\frac{1} {\sigma\sqrt{2\pi}} exp( -\frac{(y_i - f(x_i; a,b,c))^2}{2\sigma^2})) \)$
This simplifies into: $\( logL(a,b,c) = -nlog(\sigma \sqrt{2\pi}) - \frac{1}{2\sigma^2} \sum^{n}_{i=1} (y_i - f(x_i; a,b,c))^2 \)$
Since \(-nlog(\sigma \sqrt{2\pi})\) is constant, it can be ignored for comparison purposes, leading to: $\( logL(a,b,c) \propto - \frac{1}{2\sigma^2} \sum^{n}_{i=1} (y_i - f(x_i; a,b,c))^2 \)$
# Define the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm
def monte_carlo_with_pdf(x, y, std_dev=5, iterations=10000, epsilon=1e-10):
# Initial values (can be random or zeros)
a, b, c = np.random.uniform(-1, 1, 3)
max_likelihood = -float('inf')
# Best coefficients initialization
best_a, best_b, best_c = a, b, c
for i in range(iterations):
# Proposal step: generate new candidate coefficients
a_new = a + np.random.normal(0, 0.5)
b_new = b + np.random.normal(0, 0.5)
c_new = c + np.random.normal(0, 0.5)
# Compute the predicted y values and the likelihood
y_pred_new = model(x, a_new, b_new, c_new)
pdf_values_new = normal_pdf(y, y_pred_new, std_dev)
likelihood_new = np.sum(np.log(pdf_values_new + epsilon))
# Compute the acceptance probability
y_pred = model(x, a, b, c)
pdf_values = normal_pdf(y, y_pred, std_dev)
likelihood = np.sum(np.log(pdf_values + epsilon))
# Compute the acceptance probability
acceptance_prob = np.exp(likelihood_new - likelihood)
# Debugging output to trace the steps
print(f"Iteration {i}:")
print(f" Current coefficients: a = {a}, b = {b}, c = {c}")
print(f" Proposed coefficients: a_new = {a_new}, b_new = {b_new}, c_new = {c_new}")
print(f" Current likelihood: {likelihood}")
print(f" Proposed likelihood: {likelihood_new}")
print(f" Acceptance probability: {acceptance_prob}")
print(f" Max likelihood: {max_likelihood}")
print(f" Best coefficients so far: a = {best_a}, b = {best_b}, c = {best_c}")
# Accept or reject the new state
if likelihood_new > likelihood or np.random.uniform(0, 1) < acceptance_prob:
a, b, c = a_new, b_new, c_new
if likelihood_new > max_likelihood:
max_likelihood = likelihood_new
best_a, best_b, best_c = a_new, b_new, c_new
return best_a, best_b, best_c, max_likelihood
# Perform the Metropolis-Hastings simulation
best_a, best_b, best_c, max_likelihood = monte_carlo_with_pdf(x, y)
print(f"Best coefficients: a = {best_a}, b = {best_b}, c = {best_c}")
print(f"Maximum likelihood: {max_likelihood}")
Iteration 0:
Current coefficients: a = -0.8934011915936522, b = 0.23003567677045322, c = 0.35471512823859586
Proposed coefficients: a_new = -0.005369846107265541, b_new = -0.31927475572142094, c_new = 0.12231869085214575
Current likelihood: -18692.95269318287
Proposed likelihood: -18292.35970858542
Acceptance probability: 9.447626155560898e+173
Max likelihood: -inf
Best coefficients so far: a = -0.8934011915936522, b = 0.23003567677045322, c = 0.35471512823859586
Iteration 1:
Current coefficients: a = -0.005369846107265541, b = -0.31927475572142094, c = 0.12231869085214575
Proposed coefficients: a_new = -0.5066901260649739, b_new = -0.19927784137175114, c_new = 0.6992914992780269
Current likelihood: -18292.35970858542
Proposed likelihood: -18523.04642186484
Acceptance probability: 6.516784718546943e-101
Max likelihood: -18292.35970858542
Best coefficients so far: a = -0.005369846107265541, b = -0.31927475572142094, c = 0.12231869085214575
Iteration 2:
Current coefficients: a = -0.005369846107265541, b = -0.31927475572142094, c = 0.12231869085214575
Proposed coefficients: a_new = -0.26787154443756, b_new = -1.1852137488143968, c_new = -0.06822324490265796
Current likelihood: -18292.35970858542
Proposed likelihood: -18772.555357372006
Acceptance probability: 2.8423627177470935e-209
Max likelihood: -18292.35970858542
Best coefficients so far: a = -0.005369846107265541, b = -0.31927475572142094, c = 0.12231869085214575
Iteration 3:
Current coefficients: a = -0.005369846107265541, b = -0.31927475572142094, c = 0.12231869085214575
Proposed coefficients: a_new = -0.29123257973185906, b_new = -0.2144937582420942, c_new = 0.1694190722761333
Current likelihood: -18292.35970858542
Proposed likelihood: -18461.655573096206
Acceptance probability: 2.9904753980663852e-74
Max likelihood: -18292.35970858542
Best coefficients so far: a = -0.005369846107265541, b = -0.31927475572142094, c = 0.12231869085214575
Iteration 4:
Current coefficients: a = -0.005369846107265541, b = -0.31927475572142094, c = 0.12231869085214575
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 0.1563401278927679, b_new = -0.11773092972556307, c_new = 0.5936015749779204
Current likelihood: -18292.35970858542
Proposed likelihood: -18011.881722283444
Acceptance probability: 6.457162951243256e+121
Max likelihood: -18292.35970858542
Best coefficients so far: a = -0.005369846107265541, b = -0.31927475572142094, c = 0.12231869085214575
Iteration 5:
Current coefficients: a = 0.1563401278927679, b = -0.11773092972556307, c = 0.5936015749779204
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 0.04789163447662052, b_new = -0.12423556918351589, c_new = 0.49128540076076443
Current likelihood: -18011.881722283444
Proposed likelihood: -18125.695464230448
Acceptance probability: 3.726661164766975e-50
Max likelihood: -18011.881722283444
Best coefficients so far: a = 0.1563401278927679, b = -0.11773092972556307, c = 0.5936015749779204
Iteration 6:
Current coefficients: a = 0.1563401278927679, b = -0.11773092972556307, c = 0.5936015749779204
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 0.9084405575893189, b_new = 0.1850134604765092, c_new = 0.7863165498391853
Current likelihood: -18011.881722283444
Proposed likelihood: -16910.233996244337
Acceptance probability: inf
Max likelihood: -18011.881722283444
Best coefficients so far: a = 0.1563401278927679, b = -0.11773092972556307, c = 0.5936015749779204
Iteration 7:
Current coefficients: a = 0.9084405575893189, b = 0.1850134604765092, c = 0.7863165498391853
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 0.6866374694566684, b_new = 0.6927680100722196, c_new = 0.3936505934355968
Current likelihood: -16910.233996244337
Proposed likelihood: -17070.593656386285
Acceptance probability: 2.2734451487268207e-70
Max likelihood: -16910.233996244337
Best coefficients so far: a = 0.9084405575893189, b = 0.1850134604765092, c = 0.7863165498391853
Iteration 8:
Current coefficients: a = 0.9084405575893189, b = 0.1850134604765092, c = 0.7863165498391853
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.0369015509667094, b_new = -0.6911977599763656, c_new = 0.7848248463469726
Current likelihood: -16910.233996244337
Proposed likelihood: -17165.742540479645
Acceptance probability: 1.0815563699192438e-111
Max likelihood: -16910.233996244337
Best coefficients so far: a = 0.9084405575893189, b = 0.1850134604765092, c = 0.7863165498391853
Iteration 9:
Current coefficients: a = 0.9084405575893189, b = 0.1850134604765092, c = 0.7863165498391853
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 0.5476904896188441, b_new = 0.252037364066245, c_new = 1.334516963903598
Current likelihood: -16910.233996244337
Proposed likelihood: -17298.526161232017
Acceptance probability: 2.327316130443042e-169
Max likelihood: -16910.233996244337
Best coefficients so far: a = 0.9084405575893189, b = 0.1850134604765092, c = 0.7863165498391853
Iteration 10:
Current coefficients: a = 0.9084405575893189, b = 0.1850134604765092, c = 0.7863165498391853
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 0.302457773681577, b_new = -0.2593696179580608, c_new = 0.6947123252838484
Current likelihood: -16910.233996244337
Proposed likelihood: -17908.212338817364
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -16910.233996244337
Best coefficients so far: a = 0.9084405575893189, b = 0.1850134604765092, c = 0.7863165498391853
Iteration 11:
Current coefficients: a = 0.9084405575893189, b = 0.1850134604765092, c = 0.7863165498391853
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 0.8133216079028965, b_new = -0.5622497256154517, c_new = 0.4123593736830848
Current likelihood: -16910.233996244337
Proposed likelihood: -17494.592324370584
Acceptance probability: 1.6458969504340477e-254
Max likelihood: -16910.233996244337
Best coefficients so far: a = 0.9084405575893189, b = 0.1850134604765092, c = 0.7863165498391853
Iteration 12:
Current coefficients: a = 0.9084405575893189, b = 0.1850134604765092, c = 0.7863165498391853
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 0.9699894235403768, b_new = 0.6825841479410897, c_new = 0.5918618599776512
Current likelihood: -16910.233996244337
Proposed likelihood: -16566.588493299125
Acceptance probability: 1.7512399661190856e+149
Max likelihood: -16910.233996244337
Best coefficients so far: a = 0.9084405575893189, b = 0.1850134604765092, c = 0.7863165498391853
Iteration 13:
Current coefficients: a = 0.9699894235403768, b = 0.6825841479410897, c = 0.5918618599776512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.1861344054640044, b_new = 1.4442722414451785, c_new = 0.2355210918155119
Current likelihood: -16566.588493299125
Proposed likelihood: -15674.903060896035
Acceptance probability: inf
Max likelihood: -16566.588493299125
Best coefficients so far: a = 0.9699894235403768, b = 0.6825841479410897, c = 0.5918618599776512
Iteration 14:
Current coefficients: a = 1.1861344054640044, b = 1.4442722414451785, c = 0.2355210918155119
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 0.4560675349459513, b_new = 0.9429135931215028, c_new = 0.3732468085699362
Current likelihood: -15674.903060896035
Proposed likelihood: -17277.339149862986
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -15674.903060896035
Best coefficients so far: a = 1.1861344054640044, b = 1.4442722414451785, c = 0.2355210918155119
Iteration 15:
Current coefficients: a = 1.1861344054640044, b = 1.4442722414451785, c = 0.2355210918155119
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.1009781988617318, b_new = 2.2871365324937556, c_new = 1.0075147906116955
Current likelihood: -15674.903060896035
Proposed likelihood: -15129.848105084495
Acceptance probability: 5.180356441192951e+236
Max likelihood: -15674.903060896035
Best coefficients so far: a = 1.1861344054640044, b = 1.4442722414451785, c = 0.2355210918155119
Iteration 16:
Current coefficients: a = 1.1009781988617318, b = 2.2871365324937556, c = 1.0075147906116955
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.1292930126187324, b_new = 2.7080141300318523, c_new = 1.2698287674419586
Current likelihood: -15129.848105084495
Proposed likelihood: -14691.6846658093
Acceptance probability: 1.9586816244394945e+190
Max likelihood: -15129.848105084495
Best coefficients so far: a = 1.1009781988617318, b = 2.2871365324937556, c = 1.0075147906116955
Iteration 17:
Current coefficients: a = 1.1292930126187324, b = 2.7080141300318523, c = 1.2698287674419586
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.288202976271521, b_new = 3.423844216039427, c_new = 1.1623256172360625
Current likelihood: -14691.6846658093
Proposed likelihood: -13624.286752101445
Acceptance probability: inf
Max likelihood: -14691.6846658093
Best coefficients so far: a = 1.1292930126187324, b = 2.7080141300318523, c = 1.2698287674419586
Iteration 18:
Current coefficients: a = 1.288202976271521, b = 3.423844216039427, c = 1.1623256172360625
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.339752030703175, b_new = 4.119207113367844, c_new = 0.3449010707156648
Current likelihood: -13624.286752101445
Proposed likelihood: -12981.903019236197
Acceptance probability: 9.631866350539832e+278
Max likelihood: -13624.286752101445
Best coefficients so far: a = 1.288202976271521, b = 3.423844216039427, c = 1.1623256172360625
Iteration 19:
Current coefficients: a = 1.339752030703175, b = 4.119207113367844, c = 0.3449010707156648
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.4666706261175748, b_new = 4.994077823544239, c_new = 0.4642288322894241
Current likelihood: -12981.903019236197
Proposed likelihood: -11474.081764742597
Acceptance probability: inf
Max likelihood: -12981.903019236197
Best coefficients so far: a = 1.339752030703175, b = 4.119207113367844, c = 0.3449010707156648
Iteration 20:
Current coefficients: a = 1.4666706261175748, b = 4.994077823544239, c = 0.4642288322894241
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9227361188823016, b_new = 4.395837256269017, c_new = 0.9870432595603233
Current likelihood: -11474.081764742597
Proposed likelihood: -8546.278650763628
Acceptance probability: inf
Max likelihood: -11474.081764742597
Best coefficients so far: a = 1.4666706261175748, b = 4.994077823544239, c = 0.4642288322894241
Iteration 21:
Current coefficients: a = 1.9227361188823016, b = 4.395837256269017, c = 0.9870432595603233
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.156716609463295, b_new = 3.8870670423590443, c_new = -0.039255255365232555
Current likelihood: -8546.278650763628
Proposed likelihood: -6727.198041042742
Acceptance probability: inf
Max likelihood: -8546.278650763628
Best coefficients so far: a = 1.9227361188823016, b = 4.395837256269017, c = 0.9870432595603233
Iteration 22:
Current coefficients: a = 2.156716609463295, b = 3.8870670423590443, c = -0.039255255365232555
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4548857978166287, b_new = 3.5888471325121154, c_new = -0.2066653302499352
Current likelihood: -6727.198041042742
Proposed likelihood: -3486.163315494954
Acceptance probability: inf
Max likelihood: -6727.198041042742
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.156716609463295, b = 3.8870670423590443, c = -0.039255255365232555
Iteration 23:
Current coefficients: a = 2.4548857978166287, b = 3.5888471325121154, c = -0.2066653302499352
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8193441943612707, b_new = 2.5487806768111962, c_new = -0.5775071224606401
Current likelihood: -3486.163315494954
Proposed likelihood: -4322.300823850408
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3486.163315494954
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.4548857978166287, b = 3.5888471325121154, c = -0.2066653302499352
Iteration 24:
Current coefficients: a = 2.4548857978166287, b = 3.5888471325121154, c = -0.2066653302499352
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8454024715067545, b_new = 4.169645288793293, c_new = -0.7212463656319134
Current likelihood: -3486.163315494954
Proposed likelihood: -9511.871931629703
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3486.163315494954
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.4548857978166287, b = 3.5888471325121154, c = -0.2066653302499352
Iteration 25:
Current coefficients: a = 2.4548857978166287, b = 3.5888471325121154, c = -0.2066653302499352
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.025342127552577, b_new = 4.393460333686794, c_new = -0.40780849381353435
Current likelihood: -3486.163315494954
Proposed likelihood: -13162.588570414962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3486.163315494954
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.4548857978166287, b = 3.5888471325121154, c = -0.2066653302499352
Iteration 26:
Current coefficients: a = 2.4548857978166287, b = 3.5888471325121154, c = -0.2066653302499352
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6911705106695591, b_new = 3.643662066259061, c_new = -0.3958697370272726
Current likelihood: -3486.163315494954
Proposed likelihood: -11760.274465345876
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3486.163315494954
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.4548857978166287, b = 3.5888471325121154, c = -0.2066653302499352
Iteration 27:
Current coefficients: a = 2.4548857978166287, b = 3.5888471325121154, c = -0.2066653302499352
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.5417211932539916, b_new = 4.181174945757689, c_new = -0.11866849196860334
Current likelihood: -3486.163315494954
Proposed likelihood: -12001.628690032936
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3486.163315494954
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.4548857978166287, b = 3.5888471325121154, c = -0.2066653302499352
Iteration 28:
Current coefficients: a = 2.4548857978166287, b = 3.5888471325121154, c = -0.2066653302499352
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.50969631753759, b_new = 3.467001700357397, c_new = 0.49572645632368206
Current likelihood: -3486.163315494954
Proposed likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Acceptance probability: 2.213035725164594e+50
Max likelihood: -3486.163315494954
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.4548857978166287, b = 3.5888471325121154, c = -0.2066653302499352
Iteration 29:
Current coefficients: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4965468931640817, b_new = 2.9330964583454606, c_new = 0.7720463328503611
Current likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Proposed likelihood: -3546.1203973286847
Acceptance probability: 4.13030177310155e-77
Max likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Iteration 30:
Current coefficients: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.736456397673527, b_new = 3.1755236236891298, c_new = 0.45186895747728556
Current likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Proposed likelihood: -11817.549518628499
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Iteration 31:
Current coefficients: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6305736603222862, b_new = 2.983253968348212, c_new = 0.5525493718766086
Current likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Proposed likelihood: -3389.77252613431
Acceptance probability: 3.288512528786806e-09
Max likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Iteration 32:
Current coefficients: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2352773323151482, b_new = 4.38244088753115, c_new = 1.6040238116220011
Current likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Proposed likelihood: -4591.467141756841
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Iteration 33:
Current coefficients: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6884167054364854, b_new = 3.2512710341886457, c_new = 1.2643353164646187
Current likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Proposed likelihood: -4367.164171911224
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Iteration 34:
Current coefficients: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9881848188062805, b_new = 3.1500588462397583, c_new = 0.6922025493477659
Current likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Proposed likelihood: -9783.500728795196
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Iteration 35:
Current coefficients: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.920626933005847, b_new = 3.251120582441752, c_new = -0.5490616231149381
Current likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Proposed likelihood: -8342.853525902814
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Iteration 36:
Current coefficients: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.288848507850576, b_new = 2.5589960840008237, c_new = 0.5423452629261488
Current likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Proposed likelihood: -7117.976452561931
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Iteration 37:
Current coefficients: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5726845097261024, b_new = 3.993477130054202, c_new = 0.5208944332635812
Current likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Proposed likelihood: -4097.72214663381
Acceptance probability: 1.1438942e-316
Max likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Iteration 38:
Current coefficients: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6316477078312226, b_new = 2.9161782973457555, c_new = 0.621576555312448
Current likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Proposed likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Acceptance probability: 1987663.552083062
Max likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Iteration 39:
Current coefficients: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6598599896519595, b_new = 2.888832622791338, c_new = 0.9675949065742955
Current likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Proposed likelihood: -3524.909623724877
Acceptance probability: 3.3834584119840347e-74
Max likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Iteration 40:
Current coefficients: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.425154749999456, b_new = 2.9961892009101843, c_new = 0.8030619771338298
Current likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Proposed likelihood: -4129.917988867131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Iteration 41:
Current coefficients: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3417483321148587, b_new = 3.1481738080774537, c_new = -0.11596105118933264
Current likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Proposed likelihood: -13775.38711222003
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Iteration 42:
Current coefficients: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0924882484702176, b_new = 2.043096645893403, c_new = 0.022170981024838388
Current likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Proposed likelihood: -8823.384776656743
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Iteration 43:
Current coefficients: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3401425931913558, b_new = 3.6447327572256345, c_new = 0.14446854801062864
Current likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Proposed likelihood: -14419.865821986621
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Iteration 44:
Current coefficients: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.411481367202703, b_new = 3.3069623435131668, c_new = 0.6298143749323344
Current likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Proposed likelihood: -3947.3861091917374
Acceptance probability: 1.1224176065975844e-257
Max likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Iteration 45:
Current coefficients: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8368069960629803, b_new = 2.440042156143725, c_new = -0.4073156402834931
Current likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Proposed likelihood: -4406.531649710873
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Iteration 46:
Current coefficients: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8450606220787065, b_new = 3.1635056641844983, c_new = 0.4540084568304093
Current likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Proposed likelihood: -6657.458988033798
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Iteration 47:
Current coefficients: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7514546752393474, b_new = 3.0214793446801695, c_new = 1.5258450982576808
Current likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Proposed likelihood: -15725.407299261959
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Iteration 48:
Current coefficients: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.595868084951422, b_new = 2.3789079306266405, c_new = 0.9370911146805467
Current likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Proposed likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Acceptance probability: 1.3880678611194517e+30
Max likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Iteration 49:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2976860658027363, b_new = 3.5461139797500514, c_new = 0.2995745141730465
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -5107.641741588437
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 50:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4038210988376267, b_new = 2.1846558061491366, c_new = 0.9591523199187367
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -13210.448903100429
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 51:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4311592038976695, b_new = 2.1541671242190157, c_new = 1.404936241784303
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -5307.336096708999
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 52:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2372823964714126, b_new = 2.3408207927362965, c_new = 1.2770238333498034
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -12190.53991790789
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 53:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.833234490718314, b_new = 2.3273186420288927, c_new = 0.6414835377728909
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -4417.168329372238
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 54:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6661367842816963, b_new = 2.2142243509764117, c_new = 1.002383044783787
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -14644.922114293957
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 55:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.501076305179805, b_new = 2.5955999987607905, c_new = 1.930476209041244
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -3684.8006867330955
Acceptance probability: 8.854086770194754e-174
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 56:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4906062130195785, b_new = 2.864104646040294, c_new = -0.46974167803638545
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -3762.4657147097523
Acceptance probability: 1.6506336203318887e-207
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 57:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5151194313976375, b_new = 2.462588458758446, c_new = 0.4807754246320844
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -3833.2293872914033
Acceptance probability: 3.0575823674266624e-238
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 58:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.449722260000047, b_new = 3.028048301621009, c_new = 1.3823464830085426
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -3792.0304751050085
Acceptance probability: 2.3869228840326865e-220
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 59:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9671034547803474, b_new = 2.5711592504361125, c_new = 1.50655407462828
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -8213.027844551742
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 60:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.17259806562582, b_new = 1.6541991617144278, c_new = 1.1452522319063656
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -9819.520981367325
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 61:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5304694204629, b_new = 2.7617340658059533, c_new = 0.5357574942347585
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -3449.6848613212696
Acceptance probability: 1.13932954139696e-71
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 62:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.335837952470371, b_new = 3.038776502060913, c_new = 0.6207321454229743
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -5350.568631257091
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 63:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.541036278997892, b_new = 1.7360589878785095, c_new = 1.4514070838921
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -4356.963985650038
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 64:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.173487959883442, b_new = 1.9220685192501912, c_new = 0.9693671577584421
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -9753.454487090372
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 65:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7699068060311234, b_new = 1.964710640741599, c_new = 1.0494039928953844
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -12860.013882058194
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 66:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.741815273603052, b_new = 1.2235003928955164, c_new = 0.7098046779712512
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Acceptance probability: 1.235400309063301e+47
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 67:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.541025064643887, b_new = 1.2245091912439265, c_new = 0.8527201392135442
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -5519.75149257499
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 68:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8836308675284137, b_new = 1.6702985810806048, c_new = 0.5564665700159994
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -3921.025804795523
Acceptance probability: 2e-323
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 69:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3921788856547543, b_new = 1.7616861385473652, c_new = 0.3200926763982603
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -12353.939991640098
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 70:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6949877506780204, b_new = 0.9803382376167245, c_new = 1.4683489257032276
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -3601.2383429850042
Acceptance probability: 1.39959007088399e-184
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 71:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.929170643439233, b_new = 1.32762576055954, c_new = 1.8368801050775194
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -4211.2911128778
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 72:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5302441837974934, b_new = 1.1700086462360446, c_new = 0.6584048320390707
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -5912.148895745799
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 73:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.677823001948795, b_new = 0.8969898226872927, c_new = 0.686783059872607
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -4046.4818393497635
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 74:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.061007943875164, b_new = 0.9978850891832584, c_new = 1.446631555612181
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -5589.696103966988
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 75:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.468820059295937, b_new = 0.8321855729040145, c_new = 0.3647933233117343
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -8039.9085170844955
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 76:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.772073715761781, b_new = 1.7860516281002288, c_new = 0.47525382858690013
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -3187.06918707356
Acceptance probability: 0.00010408300915590082
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 77:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7135393122644875, b_new = 1.4077482566277015, c_new = 0.5486586300395465
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -13957.744909863924
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 78:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4307540640223384, b_new = 0.7936049044322221, c_new = 1.3757800273592173
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -11487.963709355416
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 79:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8514426052721515, b_new = 1.8174360036889212, c_new = 0.515251267174841
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -3774.7704166690473
Acceptance probability: 6.053113517987777e-260
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 80:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6988880938391127, b_new = 1.5690089869571415, c_new = 0.9073632777652824
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -3186.773838740043
Acceptance probability: 0.00013984533742370154
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 81:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.268657144049567, b_new = 0.8339166587386425, c_new = 0.5824086806774056
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -10760.39811076887
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 82:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3158832136523237, b_new = 0.5940297786376884, c_new = 0.7565965077952288
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -10610.919410237151
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 83:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.532575736431837, b_new = 1.6445891445069496, c_new = 0.4846010773789197
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -4876.954503878784
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 84:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4957563341944367, b_new = 0.6291487608613823, c_new = -0.43133874087064394
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -8382.206574676948
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 85:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9959884221709188, b_new = 1.6272899345514604, c_new = 0.7122336443713688
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -5655.941990286883
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 86:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4311805624514418, b_new = 0.8939945280056023, c_new = 0.14896924441714332
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -8626.086591214485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 87:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4207275709209024, b_new = 0.5984474542363419, c_new = 0.3580679954778184
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -9386.492482295169
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 88:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2467046705277016, b_new = 0.8403129420331517, c_new = 0.8875562581427076
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -8965.955364611793
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 89:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.747032722638499, b_new = 1.4338887886316838, c_new = 0.25893372828494293
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -3112.6302742986254
Acceptance probability: 2.2171184535736546e+28
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 90:
Current coefficients: a = 2.747032722638499, b = 1.4338887886316838, c = 0.25893372828494293
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6346624634877482, b_new = 1.1636873125470557, c_new = 0.7127103142646265
Current likelihood: -3112.6302742986254
Proposed likelihood: -4175.205470149221
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3112.6302742986254
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.747032722638499, b = 1.4338887886316838, c = 0.25893372828494293
Iteration 91:
Current coefficients: a = 2.747032722638499, b = 1.4338887886316838, c = 0.25893372828494293
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.014610381610918, b_new = 1.8371200359687119, c_new = 0.9237244388918657
Current likelihood: -3112.6302742986254
Proposed likelihood: -6733.585272807961
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3112.6302742986254
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.747032722638499, b = 1.4338887886316838, c = 0.25893372828494293
Iteration 92:
Current coefficients: a = 2.747032722638499, b = 1.4338887886316838, c = 0.25893372828494293
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8096709452957986, b_new = 1.7122954561911432, c_new = 0.8725089990526269
Current likelihood: -3112.6302742986254
Proposed likelihood: -3361.368597690477
Acceptance probability: 9.425810690095417e-109
Max likelihood: -3112.6302742986254
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.747032722638499, b = 1.4338887886316838, c = 0.25893372828494293
Iteration 93:
Current coefficients: a = 2.747032722638499, b = 1.4338887886316838, c = 0.25893372828494293
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7651427621226903, b_new = 1.7082175899038141, c_new = -0.24341789063336522
Current likelihood: -3112.6302742986254
Proposed likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Acceptance probability: 93.13423019348791
Max likelihood: -3112.6302742986254
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.747032722638499, b = 1.4338887886316838, c = 0.25893372828494293
Iteration 94:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1430938011618688, b_new = 0.7477783886245394, c_new = -2.145344426777186
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -5527.237905574088
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 95:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8889146901976277, b_new = 1.0053295089908647, c_new = -0.37243066877215114
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -3183.860424521975
Acceptance probability: 1.2474682001966383e-33
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 96:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1602181885967022, b_new = 1.5483278700482221, c_new = -0.8460568076964765
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -8499.767344170685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 97:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.033095830453036, b_new = 1.350872407738259, c_new = -0.13974304404438023
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -12278.509800727012
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 98:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4133190271966454, b_new = 1.9199573051615495, c_new = -0.01400528051100522
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -12652.666852588827
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 99:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4780177395645024, b_new = 0.5106206506370403, c_new = -0.21153790993355434
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -8906.43873339883
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 100:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9729184092895404, b_new = 1.4011513884992202, c_new = -0.32952371507212785
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -4446.04808595388
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 101:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2969107781270455, b_new = 1.5251217520928253, c_new = -0.34867260715114173
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -9415.463541842717
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 102:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5869630606650498, b_new = 2.073990452213529, c_new = 0.24154801987736146
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -13968.493260151907
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 103:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.297228023568275, b_new = 1.3767341221527734, c_new = -0.14746152488269082
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -9637.479813636168
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 104:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2854411423268015, b_new = 2.196100557560083, c_new = 0.5031553198876426
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -7932.5822986067105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 105:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.450561151402773, b_new = 1.6833685363006892, c_new = -0.3002404535662181
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -6520.750897880553
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 106:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6438327505804824, b_new = 2.0502494368859665, c_new = -0.5337086912021988
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -3299.777876392635
Acceptance probability: 5.671785263851184e-84
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 107:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8635524872353133, b_new = 1.6617010236972047, c_new = -0.47777268185948496
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -3538.0938295892793
Acceptance probability: 1.7964550587819255e-187
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 108:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6929679155675514, b_new = 1.6533504069191496, c_new = -0.04728213539404921
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -3235.721172388389
Acceptance probability: 3.7427675707389744e-56
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 109:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.33915922080149, b_new = 1.3936530669149447, c_new = -0.40325952354896333
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -11064.458832269705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 110:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.224136003675752, b_new = 1.500769774637503, c_new = -0.20746432379243554
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -9821.649669439732
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 111:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.185089328055845, b_new = 2.1968913194986275, c_new = -0.3455086812535507
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -10763.288812162737
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 112:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.42641721529467, b_new = 1.9337931284865135, c_new = -1.085180450835901
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -12494.604624179514
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 113:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.549887274614566, b_new = 1.7746272474804836, c_new = -0.07355836092680448
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -4507.0541116296845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 114:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0476203122597494, b_new = 1.1421150829967925, c_new = 0.2811465780383288
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -5314.360322748584
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 115:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0679437304198585, b_new = 1.2305621570028011, c_new = 1.282655812038067
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -6304.861415568919
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 116:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9770691951958144, b_new = 1.9537096911736056, c_new = -0.7071699079115863
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -5637.10503948742
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 117:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6634910462684505, b_new = 2.9725665880098124, c_new = -0.17339639190305528
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -3453.744946188591
Acceptance probability: 7.703196435205175e-151
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 118:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1038520933243623, b_new = 1.4934685346299301, c_new = -0.3851196011989654
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -7254.717563171849
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 119:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9439251180893167, b_new = 1.2014856137556489, c_new = 0.19261608149585163
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -3847.814176229956
Acceptance probability: 5.53e-322
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 120:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.091757162692876, b_new = 1.4155930887540924, c_new = 0.4241272422426849
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -11558.024683880249
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 121:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.120651773254885, b_new = 1.812108809373301, c_new = -0.536954892161474
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -8526.439932842799
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 122:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.460136993142025, b_new = 1.6217448442445468, c_new = -0.8276666558746775
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -6678.696667725799
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 123:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.816102942565064, b_new = 1.372235885760057, c_new = 0.4864605820662406
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -13413.292517045997
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 124:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.625439426575901, b_new = 1.3606055589265296, c_new = 0.36618094257060124
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -4061.2196051552655
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 125:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.726018311964349, b_new = 1.5915702490561983, c_new = -0.20547449024020048
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -3145.626703556287
Acceptance probability: 5.020228925120817e-17
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 126:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0485090687454557, b_new = 2.1669252414300915, c_new = -0.036550307835374884
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -10930.375266439001
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 127:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.506637114810342, b_new = 0.6429024088125497, c_new = 0.34659633848113164
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -7826.621319848926
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 128:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4240187240352884, b_new = 0.9393203474405267, c_new = -0.1412752073467693
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -8749.28234365428
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 129:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6231371880460608, b_new = 1.538371453277629, c_new = -0.8281219656668801
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -4080.5809913702333
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 130:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.774264533554854, b_new = 1.4068041978849446, c_new = -0.15639938024301928
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Acceptance probability: 341789681.0340993
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 131:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7624962822442782, b_new = 1.7619106644301308, c_new = 0.4079187593852929
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -13286.242610599244
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 132:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.725925429893962, b_new = 1.7482484925414268, c_new = -0.7647061532555144
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3131.355447603159
Acceptance probability: 2.3168199548328913e-19
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 133:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.04920612034431, b_new = 1.2886769731043244, c_new = -0.9505973510166386
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -5329.364632862265
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 134:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0001464034015424, b_new = 1.319321425153857, c_new = -0.4595143525780465
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -4674.490071447404
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 135:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1995167241832867, b_new = 0.9763109418720677, c_new = 0.2537767559098061
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -11335.948651772169
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 136:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.292572624248989, b_new = 1.3862354953365017, c_new = -0.1405603329762183
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -9676.004564836574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 137:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.206768037251051, b_new = 1.63925341417207, c_new = -0.6487582265284522
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -9709.767118664575
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 138:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.618199953177494, b_new = 1.4073719646970249, c_new = 0.29416494044802743
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -13412.94124491527
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 139:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5236834794160274, b_new = 0.7044517887602015, c_new = -0.08994086744985845
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -7510.946266563498
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 140:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9516162282106997, b_new = 2.021085102892151, c_new = -0.5888384785048535
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -5349.575890062237
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 141:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7414483179723934, b_new = 1.7590484172795202, c_new = 0.32581536658242316
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3105.3374035986562
Acceptance probability: 4.6172695220874175e-08
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 142:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.467529754084326, b_new = 2.0412501473878697, c_new = 0.06915046183391632
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -5275.716119332592
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 143:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7087530845378884, b_new = 1.763488991433075, c_new = 0.4692831066021077
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3122.543124648003
Acceptance probability: 1.5560928861650254e-15
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 144:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6730071589198765, b_new = 0.8524457019921702, c_new = -0.4047378091607087
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -12932.136592396966
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 145:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.924352148229864, b_new = 1.9982522724130538, c_new = 0.22375466542626812
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -5052.07711622533
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 146:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.050030707972755, b_new = 1.9117109726145984, c_new = 0.1082688062232405
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -7464.756455775609
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 147:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.092586890300324, b_new = 1.2326600127437342, c_new = 0.47233078470475176
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -6557.7599997345205
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 148:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4307383059177954, b_new = 0.9691326888654702, c_new = -1.1531507746783798
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -11093.558437921354
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 149:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8555334613107055, b_new = 1.6062209100853773, c_new = -0.41821207100735736
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3425.6463405667046
Acceptance probability: 3.597339253571768e-147
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 150:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.210464365581147, b_new = 0.846878292987337, c_new = 0.5283208561574613
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -8108.788193520857
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 151:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.587786881159852, b_new = 1.9348742776703398, c_new = -0.1699852351059595
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3805.296334445208
Acceptance probability: 4.7433372136e-312
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 152:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2019865035219666, b_new = 2.082306576554405, c_new = -0.44317921122047244
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -10718.493590482838
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 153:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.306334081315961, b_new = 1.7038412178447282, c_new = 0.03701312153389394
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -11388.581004185631
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 154:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.795072475742878, b_new = 1.7638689026370316, c_new = 0.28346522754908277
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3256.2097016062744
Acceptance probability: 1.3847734535784264e-73
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 155:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.979758532246533, b_new = 1.5544485593554305, c_new = -0.7806243281851454
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -4743.664003211599
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 156:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7195716768674623, b_new = 1.3304479761435146, c_new = 0.3897909946726651
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3250.727968694533
Acceptance probability: 3.3270941007130205e-71
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 157:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.269100935511975, b_new = 1.8996336487601022, c_new = -0.27519646294711536
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -11241.769063105312
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 158:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2367054105842556, b_new = 0.8833509537354921, c_new = -0.5455318836902436
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -11400.142711783623
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 159:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.565700669401664, b_new = 2.440231174919827, c_new = 0.9576157749368093
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3404.1931854746235
Acceptance probability: 7.46394228525594e-138
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 160:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.096095969084596, b_new = 1.5913802386198137, c_new = 0.5719707382564788
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -7756.333683035544
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 161:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1992137737109214, b_new = 1.1319714242206786, c_new = -0.18502837166903968
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -8402.221940442847
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 162:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.506598740295223, b_new = 0.6023859153030021, c_new = -0.584395204088607
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -8314.652030175084
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 163:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.485131167006308, b_new = 1.0151365393559881, c_new = 0.43572275767051505
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -7250.62015499164
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 164:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1768303973333794, b_new = 1.5571292061433557, c_new = -0.20005007602630165
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -9113.913013508172
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 165:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5349754417927515, b_new = 1.4330714302857628, c_new = 0.4981905145953348
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -12982.428008040672
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 166:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7258956666782925, b_new = 0.5944827430320413, c_new = 0.3009839348173172
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -4007.5771608292134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 167:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7531458438183263, b_new = 0.3802373861196773, c_new = -0.3566678951732315
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -4175.1031371125355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 168:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.289264762108247, b_new = 2.142850429616919, c_new = 0.22355418238640898
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -12024.979184194672
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 169:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2541701629055435, b_new = 1.0173610952251306, c_new = -0.4618604106923049
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -9076.132843482224
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 170:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9338062547030312, b_new = 1.5149646468029687, c_new = -0.738039201213777
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -4027.8411343633775
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 171:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4771375297321017, b_new = 0.45928790993016255, c_new = 0.4229006791359319
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -11134.076179064232
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 172:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.896706778582096, b_new = 1.9641036581616855, c_new = -1.514061670989606
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -4129.93144531259
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 173:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.845503211427915, b_new = 0.16098029209932707, c_new = 0.17530907148556743
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -13258.70694094937
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 174:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2161732632272537, b_new = 2.086985446257339, c_new = -0.006405384457358526
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -11062.257291064021
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 175:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.514011416721484, b_new = 0.8936278449345632, c_new = 0.3289536152840655
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -7041.164303064514
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 176:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2642919457085275, b_new = 1.7672470657394284, c_new = 0.7498693270362123
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -9004.477904583677
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 177:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.250097428440346, b_new = 1.7889309302701015, c_new = -0.2747992755250431
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -9476.033715913662
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 178:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.938549983782455, b_new = 1.1987809232364046, c_new = -0.6196161602592719
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3664.0839414820293
Acceptance probability: 1.0088974884428959e-250
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 179:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3007554436129833, b_new = 1.1654948061619474, c_new = -0.9397490954423052
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -10002.38486460789
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 180:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7768218805941096, b_new = 0.740460645208444, c_new = 0.20823699602934295
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3362.022491383639
Acceptance probability: 1.539813115049927e-119
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 181:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0781626584631026, b_new = 1.010631145166695, c_new = 0.34894780516761315
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -5603.9717012375495
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 182:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.573874883867862, b_new = 1.8404078243772388, c_new = -0.2571702272795272
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -13530.333305561824
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 183:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5284558123689753, b_new = 0.8985618806046154, c_new = -0.019923336206841114
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -12109.051721676205
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 184:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.994292283324274, b_new = 1.2360119767050084, c_new = -0.6749549950424848
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -12860.688739409445
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 185:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.437953463068256, b_new = 0.8154504270553101, c_new = -0.06144793231080946
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -11198.107064731399
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 186:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0406155904007384, b_new = 1.0355060389173305, c_new = -0.3041494057748445
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -4792.64596062249
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 187:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.807956140195599, b_new = 1.0959994217937854, c_new = -0.3843188678937818
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -13984.159230674095
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 188:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5996159976061812, b_new = 0.8714473910123308, c_new = 0.2046836397253425
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -5466.081467174119
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 189:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4780519167048056, b_new = 1.5094877186492768, c_new = 0.32458452489579037
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -6203.618509383253
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 190:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7412650649737014, b_new = 0.5534222356246168, c_new = -0.6247322728116961
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -12947.96068198428
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 191:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7713483797568355, b_new = 1.9540521935939341, c_new = -0.3657821326869286
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3217.7623882133134
Acceptance probability: 6.899772636943739e-57
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 192:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.195841439520097, b_new = 0.6247397962266062, c_new = -0.06343399266565047
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -14969.087214987307
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 193:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8938197167995074, b_new = 1.3930812360679476, c_new = -0.5758493319654804
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -13256.578533559103
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 194:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9412866887933538, b_new = 1.54797367794643, c_new = 0.3681557738570914
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -4423.65517116091
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 195:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3109830533133278, b_new = 1.8560531043069406, c_new = -0.3428001012728867
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -11587.847832085528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 196:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4270809417872714, b_new = 0.8557228731926935, c_new = -0.09641574350701165
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -8878.401930377488
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 197:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1228028919883584, b_new = 0.8253646575470648, c_new = -0.5860425665151281
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -5745.176571704784
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 198:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5435620604597875, b_new = 1.3252817095123344, c_new = -0.8065895680841972
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -5791.457525155964
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 199:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.786754573414354, b_new = 1.9673663954391887, c_new = -0.5771040173090454
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3281.2863380149347
Acceptance probability: 1.7812870576456554e-84
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 200:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.234627311868824, b_new = 1.2634508008972598, c_new = 0.7539399613838328
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -9769.167015784837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 201:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.864982737556543, b_new = 1.004783666325049, c_new = 1.1021224101653535
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3163.0758267855945
Acceptance probability: 3.880669365955252e-33
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 202:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7167067887033762, b_new = 0.5394008891039977, c_new = 0.17397993073896614
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -4249.101484668908
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 203:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.600481972012079, b_new = 2.4875170839919645, c_new = -0.8769556744276715
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3306.0419693202584
Acceptance probability: 3.1586378884796986e-95
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 204:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.629611202327465, b_new = 1.1999736796912663, c_new = -0.5666797407703125
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -13040.772935922667
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 205:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3006503892896477, b_new = 1.663618603566794, c_new = -0.05732024941535735
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -8986.255155449056
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 206:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.173123893462796, b_new = 0.7806784727295432, c_new = -0.09056042509198435
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -6871.626356467204
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 207:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6029223727866615, b_new = 0.9417837510287299, c_new = 0.05005754238203339
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -12702.181007513622
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 208:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.681160650370532, b_new = 1.7604870102975858, c_new = 0.46669779903472475
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3201.5673100186104
Acceptance probability: 7.4519146817808805e-50
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 209:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.680395068673301, b_new = 1.220882965135206, c_new = 1.2893125224962305
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3504.1066989676247
Acceptance probability: 3.0274759024011016e-181
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 210:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5764264729293016, b_new = 1.1681893803010388, c_new = -0.3759846184979177
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -5398.975387054834
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 211:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.221194523414559, b_new = 1.2848999111967179, c_new = 0.21813027811938593
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -9393.959575670968
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 212:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7130824687634743, b_new = 1.6122533773941885, c_new = 0.008771304044613126
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3167.661894212197
Acceptance probability: 3.955513447382249e-35
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 213:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.772964699720132, b_new = 1.5969582049941764, c_new = 0.4077491220631184
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -14374.418105229448
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 214:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.275459940319137, b_new = 1.9822015566508073, c_new = -0.0005161532844979722
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -11543.825011973164
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 215:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.746938074854599, b_new = 1.096365703431424, c_new = 0.16619516272514875
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3276.700148958007
Acceptance probability: 1.747795081416269e-82
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 216:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.500386096333319, b_new = 1.163195569666888, c_new = -0.2513236366342718
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -6837.97399389708
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 217:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6218759137419685, b_new = 1.6939651933365065, c_new = 0.32420275943670274
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3667.8407153844773
Acceptance probability: 2.3566813518739535e-252
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 218:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3624486365991415, b_new = 2.0554639172106337, c_new = 0.10980106911441709
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -12489.518619772814
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 219:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.736883236278141, b_new = 1.543541189703931, c_new = -0.4785014128586843
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3145.369932392562
Acceptance probability: 1.8987984755293144e-25
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 220:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8915319276328533, b_new = 1.7412127659623429, c_new = 0.38193490058640567
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -4091.7030849644675
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 221:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.483752037862744, b_new = 1.7848255172106064, c_new = -0.03264798080528615
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -5574.842124213472
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 222:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0427285814337366, b_new = 1.4559685742464914, c_new = -0.6502394406432102
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -12215.804093337396
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 223:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.58498359044138, b_new = 1.2623502468108176, c_new = 0.1120044364527624
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -4890.203921452891
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 224:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2020820042952947, b_new = 1.0166187352711553, c_new = -0.10333433900831368
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -8170.317646186959
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 225:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9028735882001793, b_new = 0.6350711569217428, c_new = -0.8408571065610326
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3117.3533679637326
Acceptance probability: 2.7920179605343854e-13
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 226:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.567907103089798, b_new = 1.1958941478283345, c_new = 0.2015981490677203
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -5302.027053063336
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 227:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5147347933863426, b_new = 1.6932377389410984, c_new = -0.05625314605629497
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -5231.653051957119
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 228:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.273443119198407, b_new = 0.6525443626041698, c_new = 0.10791944135500112
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -11201.631614775804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 229:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.909958799971836, b_new = 1.473408696262695, c_new = 0.2830343085025786
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -12817.148894078207
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 230:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.465278445844381, b_new = 1.5545618474393, c_new = -0.7135138653982355
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -6705.014005269216
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 231:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6557840364848455, b_new = 0.8926761848617188, c_new = 0.2564477059127789
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -13023.059578658418
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 232:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6009282898099553, b_new = 1.8858296303063444, c_new = -0.27990615384713635
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3747.808979119408
Acceptance probability: 4.390613393199223e-287
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 233:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.130691363466071, b_new = 1.7230746223735327, c_new = -0.30467058428995286
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -8578.884036076077
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 234:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7633060483055245, b_new = 0.7246931982095106, c_new = 0.18237258992349817
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3482.0142636159403
Acceptance probability: 1.1904288955136567e-171
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 235:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.511189046554977, b_new = 2.4729295548241446, c_new = -0.39407817579572463
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3997.3533207421924
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 236:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.517931216616512, b_new = 2.442776641014664, c_new = -1.3268439917269772
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -13656.019451772103
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 237:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.263194079426283, b_new = 1.1322438602795113, c_new = -0.8325050726411461
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -9386.23723528563
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 238:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8574539498607923, b_new = 1.286887206543881, c_new = -1.0635134448637897
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3173.5546233595974
Acceptance probability: 1.091498424661054e-37
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 239:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0724120581369796, b_new = 1.618970155020829, c_new = 0.7221303872763806
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -7347.286304089351
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 240:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6589093075002, b_new = 1.7031400369909329, c_new = -0.45631255007250404
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3453.1863270371578
Acceptance probability: 3.940190693251669e-159
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 241:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.087784180622752, b_new = 2.42849388077756, c_new = -0.12434135141241659
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -10146.660230702731
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 242:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4085987733522463, b_new = 1.2272239562984966, c_new = 0.11812156276349486
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -11625.3577943723
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 243:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.5949039720991052, b_new = 1.0628321027609626, c_new = -0.2998281359310267
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -14851.097961321913
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 244:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.050870975266978, b_new = 0.8115731698234444, c_new = -0.3642939927590948
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -12952.461618042984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 245:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7703128879480245, b_new = 1.544476761809225, c_new = -0.018886838248447974
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Acceptance probability: 0.5088737123133252
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 246:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6091761592460982, b_new = 1.38619111675684, c_new = 0.21600417433118205
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -13317.78388024167
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 247:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5167639736446565, b_new = 1.4363691062513055, c_new = 0.5784168873331345
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -5568.747073576213
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 248:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.673863206742634, b_new = 1.2367392822876322, c_new = -0.42211587954658203
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3835.15991501042
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 249:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9974230268963518, b_new = 0.7811964537950251, c_new = -0.042571173454410034
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -13234.982929622282
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 250:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.630122704512443, b_new = 2.4696439018877356, c_new = 0.5717970573786201
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3191.3155365555076
Acceptance probability: 4.1490293046531997e-45
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 251:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4694728596211597, b_new = 2.040982576088777, c_new = -0.2906348815658678
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -5346.204966765773
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 252:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5173320311154823, b_new = 1.1125320176078952, c_new = -0.1741213701767846
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -6604.406567343633
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 253:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.552819022352165, b_new = 1.3543196561280764, c_new = -0.7511167973690658
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -5528.644042714513
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 254:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.107252167381691, b_new = 1.7037697885717296, c_new = -0.08692424760223423
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -8083.71788738352
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 255:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8800369731862148, b_new = 1.6964718993412078, c_new = 0.4224745088985896
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3892.7174895508824
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 256:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.545968503927381, b_new = 1.495738026946364, c_new = 0.5868116285673645
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -4926.832953534842
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 257:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.494964180843604, b_new = 2.764120109365329, c_new = -1.0022581609609835
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -13959.757237717908
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 258:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1023368897946204, b_new = 1.2480940613508165, c_new = 0.6828773664216768
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -11641.799984908073
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 259:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6310315144352434, b_new = 1.0368379775251928, c_new = 0.2930585710007848
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -4552.673468518327
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 260:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.879353738266045, b_new = 1.1626076560484484, c_new = -0.21974262420816296
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3237.277032461491
Acceptance probability: 4.540696245284263e-65
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 261:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0710858445716087, b_new = 1.195435516314326, c_new = -0.33428418381246383
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -5711.709800886333
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 262:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8447860583979283, b_new = 1.5411444988448109, c_new = -0.0907343171946854
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3329.6581404493445
Acceptance probability: 3.4396719043554e-105
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 263:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8947833014247704, b_new = 2.274242010452427, c_new = 0.18029574767655823
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -5154.606513571547
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 264:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.97933315500516, b_new = 1.5114526913300488, c_new = -1.1585049772327543
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -12744.333381404018
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 265:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4812401207039354, b_new = 0.6299385435191716, c_new = 0.04152326426538896
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -8449.178887880282
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 266:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.172092559376712, b_new = 1.5613726833237505, c_new = 0.3183667153648194
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -9233.087435926935
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 267:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.159200670067697, b_new = 2.241472297315679, c_new = -0.18131995420538263
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -10540.332832466182
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 268:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.501878818151562, b_new = 1.802158085676576, c_new = -0.9524591904050187
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -5499.37987301249
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 269:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6362201665323135, b_new = 0.7118331292053419, c_new = 0.48412673751033175
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -12735.419974656948
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 270:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.876075272295195, b_new = 0.5955883021609183, c_new = -0.42272138555094596
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3104.688798613299
Acceptance probability: 1.735644497680098e-07
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 271:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9971017289971282, b_new = 1.7787360041624092, c_new = 0.040495168753659425
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -5841.7175931864895
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 272:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.828998659303768, b_new = 2.5832870870008584, c_new = -0.5017522899765395
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -12175.241455726882
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 273:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.590422322012455, b_new = 1.9441266905968655, c_new = 0.10634074522317777
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3722.81221477531
Acceptance probability: 6.192585356959025e-276
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 274:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.29023096544713, b_new = 1.6977906211139244, c_new = 0.5529852806276817
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -8858.296017156938
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 275:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.611192438759653, b_new = 0.9613687457687927, c_new = 0.14343256801943932
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -5072.964793277366
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 276:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8753176394898206, b_new = 1.3482814401759649, c_new = -0.39822852445879886
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3335.271026418331
Acceptance probability: 1.2556587147501221e-107
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 277:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7589707808537622, b_new = 1.1288510308749178, c_new = -0.18938422245639805
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3229.605556787019
Acceptance probability: 9.745452381369972e-62
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 278:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9601070686640463, b_new = 1.3627564573248598, c_new = -0.07316697974597008
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -4251.7802202870325
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 279:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6504979879887864, b_new = 2.63671727463601, c_new = -0.9644958918787709
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -14549.398495076499
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 280:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.361501938826097, b_new = 2.433726748050607, c_new = 0.476691046196129
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -13121.664903196615
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 281:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.340497642962164, b_new = 1.9720584839489106, c_new = 0.7338821148466579
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -12360.607820145518
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 282:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8519467026537932, b_new = 1.406125856747836, c_new = 0.5910258936492745
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3331.6700582518642
Acceptance probability: 4.599940555389296e-106
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 283:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3687203130137857, b_new = 2.117690284077335, c_new = 0.5663745170364957
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -6717.210342469933
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 284:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.820634059681875, b_new = 2.1194178939223614, c_new = -0.021452672231681284
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3774.319300463847
Acceptance probability: 2.6462380391813647e-298
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 285:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0169128581345097, b_new = 2.174869885692007, c_new = -0.6779894246042911
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -11386.828770339685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 286:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.597260267516759, b_new = 1.4006254569256558, c_new = -0.28304086339869794
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -4536.376782009128
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 287:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9365100302946994, b_new = 1.8714620418010033, c_new = -0.03612073528680655
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -4900.318114038839
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 288:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.423223068448075, b_new = 1.512255671514124, c_new = -0.22067072862611992
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -7419.442844174351
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 289:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.847514171789165, b_new = 1.471040484237244, c_new = -0.2957500866194217
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3273.570554411601
Acceptance probability: 7.853190607891893e-81
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 290:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.577204469393056, b_new = 1.9936057127508733, c_new = 0.5544118228179027
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -13906.830739981879
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 291:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7266133617724044, b_new = 1.1790680442848827, c_new = -0.3740158916272517
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3411.4679494264883
Acceptance probability: 1.0161747860190966e-140
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 292:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8038338743832276, b_new = 2.2262425875595024, c_new = 0.3891802510308445
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3828.8975330635594
Acceptance probability: 5.24e-322
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 293:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1825609169869753, b_new = 1.8094869452795517, c_new = -0.11998568327383072
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -10188.30835814057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 294:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.951185584297876, b_new = 2.001233390155235, c_new = 0.4100706787866366
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -5624.134623562692
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 295:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.687668515752777, b_new = 1.3055360450338722, c_new = -0.07226908864803513
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3552.6318770036364
Acceptance probability: 5.014800080570657e-202
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 296:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.639168889477009, b_new = 1.4690755757597043, c_new = 0.0928516521309887
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3803.0690801304136
Acceptance probability: 8.644865543328e-311
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 297:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6416234507971477, b_new = 1.8211798246858928, c_new = 0.2454678255238308
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3395.958257996537
Acceptance probability: 5.53021249044015e-134
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 298:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5758202497922316, b_new = 1.7183958382323994, c_new = 0.28620393462396543
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -4161.162462426399
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 299:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.304330875882615, b_new = 1.716894640764756, c_new = 0.9124498355560619
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -11657.957471314547
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 300:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8600403464238975, b_new = 1.136713584531845, c_new = -0.8775144345669872
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -13823.498183921503
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 301:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.203233543494034, b_new = 1.9289494476354059, c_new = -0.7953918606444337
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -9955.936514235722
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 302:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9203524347014342, b_new = 1.3670767048725954, c_new = -0.4925215077204633
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3711.079123651035
Acceptance probability: 7.717714920880013e-271
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 303:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2652957376616603, b_new = 2.1931882322962952, c_new = 0.09771529855923555
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -11839.036667755001
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 304:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.660416438500814, b_new = 1.168719570302789, c_new = 0.6516681831773715
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3864.281469285375
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 305:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6331041725166526, b_new = 1.7263252648375405, c_new = -0.4909057557740105
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -14149.411165657286
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 306:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.671657268736723, b_new = 1.7815110665835328, c_new = 0.19129521878044917
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3251.2394536367397
Acceptance probability: 3.9203061137784355e-71
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 307:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9426732542560718, b_new = 1.5675491227375447, c_new = 0.30433102193722583
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -12486.619167519579
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 308:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7079048531992505, b_new = 1.5725024012617563, c_new = 0.2824593253305909
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3186.138407254348
Acceptance probability: 7.350979131787879e-43
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 309:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6377999831500687, b_new = 0.7008963804003902, c_new = 0.37941945553993506
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -5105.62304465783
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 310:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7279300083014466, b_new = 1.5346378430314465, c_new = -0.33754472195465335
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -13887.012019767919
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 311:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.559888108352755, b_new = 1.1972159418535386, c_new = 0.5627761058466116
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -12862.598707804702
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 312:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.261664176717653, b_new = 1.3641538602603658, c_new = 0.9101451293274221
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -9750.63673292176
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 313:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3589383509244803, b_new = 2.0888621072749745, c_new = 0.3580872601288131
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -12579.73973387291
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 314:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.726785317901105, b_new = 1.5287033634600418, c_new = -0.6123750131148842
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3196.291724146923
Acceptance probability: 2.86296270350261e-47
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 315:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4422977976717037, b_new = 1.1518645833834986, c_new = -0.3379203114944008
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -7998.561003522533
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 316:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9643573278412383, b_new = 1.6935105985990608, c_new = -0.1061527814915751
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -15045.203276418228
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 317:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8994590696121647, b_new = 1.015905506225916, c_new = 0.20941129123893765
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3275.40508844171
Acceptance probability: 1.254059470808068e-81
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 318:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.413211688589466, b_new = 1.009425109548522, c_new = 0.6888107822356326
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -8450.425106583743
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 319:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7849708098204657, b_new = 1.4994372516781478, c_new = -0.7204955182068246
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3094.8556799496173
Acceptance probability: 0.0032354146778035505
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 320:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2394506843027786, b_new = 0.9938231738918614, c_new = -0.22280408530548076
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -8825.208470458136
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 321:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8631814156167734, b_new = 1.5537691738457495, c_new = -0.18023725050763945
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3459.389943556439
Acceptance probability: 1.565708114155621e-161
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 322:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8238181220546177, b_new = 1.7111983028063584, c_new = -0.11933492163728356
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3337.4052944805717
Acceptance probability: 1.4858356450892785e-108
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 323:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0647519552451645, b_new = 0.9728613039553258, c_new = -0.5781406194698744
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -5000.790625625499
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 324:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2491561739763153, b_new = 0.361599491900904, c_new = 0.015058477966078489
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -7402.76114807847
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 325:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0533221701611346, b_new = 2.860609161615013, c_new = 0.014507271560370995
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -10382.033617188223
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 326:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.208389246688696, b_new = 0.9221654269501414, c_new = 0.09290621724857345
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -8112.731881674947
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 327:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2606775124648983, b_new = 2.211424671588534, c_new = -0.2221898308014157
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -11726.083241812668
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 328:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1075541000476754, b_new = 1.526152414906657, c_new = 0.5784897357968211
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -7826.204234865974
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 329:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9388040802227002, b_new = 2.1770052172577823, c_new = -0.27620480841263806
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -5593.9900359767735
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 330:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9330148624267833, b_new = 1.299869768979447, c_new = -0.4053614460280076
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -13086.86002744802
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 331:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5964678344140864, b_new = 0.9808832080615354, c_new = 0.9469741341166815
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -5040.149170055283
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 332:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3848921751711742, b_new = 1.2610349922812163, c_new = 0.5276233900028545
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -11570.926960172521
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 333:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.959932742477053, b_new = 2.148630127691966, c_new = -0.7676318108388511
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -11902.215590595777
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 334:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.937378539320043, b_new = 1.9686868986474693, c_new = 0.11145390296542851
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -5181.259444869224
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 335:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.971323902507689, b_new = 0.546332885023275, c_new = -0.844947435066181
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3300.1545897195374
Acceptance probability: 2.2374137234697234e-92
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 336:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.808965083146817, b_new = 1.9209015209563545, c_new = -0.05297525955799076
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3435.466525620163
Acceptance probability: 3.8416624288838996e-151
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 337:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.493448166040543, b_new = 1.4836259524555357, c_new = 0.1706742525198548
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -6025.798177259928
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 338:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2339826722961806, b_new = 1.0463947631256167, c_new = -0.4450100607432993
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -11105.794648061488
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 339:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3112435282973878, b_new = 0.622154138904281, c_new = 0.03428250424215204
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -9276.396818533678
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 340:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.116346537999276, b_new = 1.334690170149365, c_new = -0.28796129516942215
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -7110.449669914695
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 341:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.804431526135848, b_new = 0.6982727221643388, c_new = -0.28078327741135456
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -13508.059626840248
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 342:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3061456858240854, b_new = 1.7226080482490647, c_new = -0.17366547663814338
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -11356.83676867142
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 343:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2086583979583567, b_new = 1.5544767270471842, c_new = 0.12860672690545374
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -9813.132510976702
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 344:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.322817179026762, b_new = 1.9934459653894605, c_new = 0.23056072320110776
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -12093.143371836897
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 345:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.305708928627589, b_new = 1.385992612907842, c_new = 0.6377472988379461
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -10988.039766986984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 346:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4522015150705716, b_new = 1.1523680846279643, c_new = 0.31483397214527
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -7571.021757866247
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 347:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3207902931567475, b_new = 1.8855920643130097, c_new = -0.7106115561975156
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -8453.961707480088
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 348:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6662272279239705, b_new = 1.8579251025685695, c_new = 0.5371504262209031
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3217.4507720338474
Acceptance probability: 1.8516459550781924e-56
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 349:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7654074702700429, b_new = 1.9258487299219238, c_new = 0.4961409889834052
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -13068.536372894541
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 350:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4192991785438864, b_new = 1.2236895659733458, c_new = 0.06421751723232316
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -8075.764633184616
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 351:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8196802805690986, b_new = 2.815203940302147, c_new = -0.5105361700582316
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -4878.706081451991
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 352:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.940288280775522, b_new = 1.690377375378149, c_new = -0.16327146025441755
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -4550.64088558403
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 353:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8146356908507646, b_new = 1.2104718597792061, c_new = -0.05515225211710826
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Acceptance probability: 21851.415333442503
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 354:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.034956124418124, b_new = 1.350933328542881, c_new = -0.4162453669175515
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -5363.791676463232
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 355:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.629116750655253, b_new = 0.9531218363911583, c_new = -0.10438974352992936
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -4862.98605666462
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 356:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1260185496318282, b_new = 0.37000138110297054, c_new = 0.13112277627205204
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -4953.212173046552
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 357:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3300251769876654, b_new = 1.4834133814892814, c_new = -0.389554591624627
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -11127.690347654552
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 358:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1199778209020863, b_new = 1.244223114442557, c_new = -0.2560341231248702
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -6941.549508937498
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 359:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3449950431704063, b_new = 2.206267160449638, c_new = 0.6278444387570156
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -12718.735156783403
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 360:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.519164518289739, b_new = 0.412817605520831, c_new = -0.06580589720376258
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -11327.575928575494
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 361:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3371489772515335, b_new = 1.0176755705071638, c_new = -0.6912206267339731
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -10040.163651346296
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 362:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.742760845310075, b_new = 1.0477113448129192, c_new = 0.2222139778879065
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -13663.192445496694
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 363:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.413898875740224, b_new = 1.3572151898353693, c_new = 0.413282699312286
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -11954.614669503475
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 364:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6516499464416188, b_new = 2.4002540886491417, c_new = -0.3793556359246761
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -3159.3414997033296
Acceptance probability: 1.460880524958491e-35
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 365:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3316855024897394, b_new = 1.240172502490843, c_new = -0.40278676572451955
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -9550.260579916678
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 366:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3912819418196367, b_new = 1.5812029970392367, c_new = 0.3412094106693197
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -12082.012354073944
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 367:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2604020124718955, b_new = 2.2168194780856716, c_new = 0.7297777192396372
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -8189.895801024792
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 368:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8472231445591114, b_new = 0.8991608379416859, c_new = -0.13506878501997482
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Acceptance probability: 4.70293994238889
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 369:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.86617179259282, b_new = 2.0794504943978516, c_new = 0.08295834932464463
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4273.376325224637
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 370:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.99698509258027, b_new = 1.5436033621364693, c_new = 0.047112339356181254
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5250.7988445100145
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 371:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.054824310397153, b_new = 0.7164255741403565, c_new = 0.7340657088126745
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4633.409079414833
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 372:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.978317121224947, b_new = -0.297096700378774, c_new = -0.44476756607960394
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13343.280061340516
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 373:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5744947961449776, b_new = 0.8061545918120845, c_new = -0.25552262173105056
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6283.888115696676
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 374:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.04389164246733, b_new = 0.6194529902536545, c_new = -0.512406021872035
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4055.3950349725546
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 375:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6498160507414323, b_new = 0.6434397414358055, c_new = 0.012988373237418138
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5141.76770057115
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 376:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.753147124995773, b_new = 1.3426848601457233, c_new = -1.3328098162718913
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3252.104495308277
Acceptance probability: 1.6061575766977637e-76
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 377:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.441715668878743, b_new = 1.7492446627906904, c_new = -0.377156223384553
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6555.378074477578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 378:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2743727976575974, b_new = 1.0789554371796155, c_new = -0.38668593972897625
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9591.37843926653
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 379:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9432448388467507, b_new = 0.6904300401012999, c_new = -0.13938088208545993
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3271.98393282908
Acceptance probability: 3.734720728675026e-85
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 380:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5877377047123424, b_new = 0.9446178185021203, c_new = -0.19451886049647013
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5653.746654599233
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 381:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.206119665046732, b_new = 0.8409495243096686, c_new = 0.9309784909336767
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8153.0995476125345
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 382:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.197210521731634, b_new = -0.1409319827695078, c_new = -0.40867979206142707
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4989.27096754716
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 383:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3403641001772875, b_new = 0.84037489791976, c_new = 0.2326473916795705
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10019.786159050862
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 384:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.951041226142668, b_new = 0.843517390673933, c_new = -0.6039168935245969
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -14219.407382095507
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 385:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9324024826020683, b_new = 1.4991886533063146, c_new = 0.0953372240976755
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12697.577874204955
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 386:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5094731420476837, b_new = 0.3102464130416662, c_new = -0.6979380555428738
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9068.855300996136
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 387:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4460593837656193, b_new = 0.7302049369124723, c_new = -0.3856064743342599
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8979.907658556425
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 388:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2580230147409988, b_new = 1.0672318415924171, c_new = 0.1813314573711301
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10588.17122673585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 389:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.56055353067808, b_new = 0.9842373331575492, c_new = -0.18175330557072045
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12416.84709575573
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 390:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.628206638327896, b_new = 1.9062903561161608, c_new = 0.4723365063880494
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3399.608739048494
Acceptance probability: 1.398006005537145e-140
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 391:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.602416518319431, b_new = 0.6987759567108096, c_new = 0.07190383413545082
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5879.523401126929
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 392:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5435000129040573, b_new = 1.2064836257202796, c_new = -0.4529744109128322
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12520.514274881598
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 393:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5010198327838014, b_new = 0.8617109582625788, c_new = -0.2782475209837218
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11777.194693866797
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 394:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9279201354647086, b_new = 0.8220788971254858, c_new = 0.2687388561163665
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3304.390203900979
Acceptance probability: 3.1506011451741685e-99
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 395:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.888931463782868, b_new = 0.9132064559599011, c_new = -0.09436176012538033
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3151.185581393659
Acceptance probability: 1.0822200694338111e-32
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 396:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.031407426730197, b_new = 0.6527306577150833, c_new = -0.7142997610148041
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3923.7328331746376
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 397:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1679782407297443, b_new = 0.31043527831368656, c_new = 0.15993348185747586
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12661.696343727703
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 398:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1991794814165186, b_new = 0.9480872059815366, c_new = -1.0526887249703893
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7572.657819720035
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 399:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.003635733959603, b_new = 1.2820668926973224, c_new = 0.09417701994694586
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4796.113167326183
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 400:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.332411463810853, b_new = -0.2956182333430425, c_new = -0.0181987323975583
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7387.914264119075
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 401:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9707280297914522, b_new = 1.5167702000694319, c_new = -1.0407947811876914
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12758.799781758582
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 402:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.431220987022603, b_new = 0.9118428180390115, c_new = 0.5731204189301533
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8422.178474955717
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 403:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.269360682779957, b_new = 1.0224896650975341, c_new = 0.6501009734901564
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9729.829857011415
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 404:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.309541876508328, b_new = 1.25957533712939, c_new = 0.2621798752740058
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10676.78131553777
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 405:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.4797109368948866, b_new = 1.6575141471012789, c_new = 0.8368563753378453
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -14473.952446078572
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 406:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.393359927669079, b_new = 0.6912781623088536, c_new = -0.5213191339881698
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10392.244939509774
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 407:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.338731381961054, b_new = -0.16296972352448502, c_new = 0.14674196009112483
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7901.511680974705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 408:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.76760730282933, b_new = 1.0380051703734767, c_new = -0.2947659206132538
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3254.6613076967237
Acceptance probability: 1.2456001136191987e-77
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 409:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0249728652572156, b_new = 0.653568372258682, c_new = -0.11161477017881995
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13247.407939148903
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 410:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8425120034933626, b_new = 0.20730173005761676, c_new = -0.5710117875029838
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3523.113061707979
Acceptance probability: 3.2230215908493115e-194
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 411:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.077419171390423, b_new = 1.0755673104624774, c_new = -0.4723555355377757
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5497.554612165899
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 412:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0977331507957673, b_new = 1.1929670149055356, c_new = -0.30317208851034233
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6278.325352532091
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 413:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9904965247280813, b_new = 0.7690324014488285, c_new = -0.37899596960703386
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3684.57720532913
Acceptance probability: 2.4281561667885873e-264
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 414:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.425065659391276, b_new = 1.0365053879625563, c_new = -0.22803000514357302
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11384.284390646733
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 415:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0907013959714367, b_new = 1.107632900451419, c_new = -0.16220069221133782
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5943.875213856061
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 416:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8742065577617124, b_new = -0.1607495767128847, c_new = -0.7831059012408714
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12893.632196247283
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 417:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6397625173923807, b_new = 0.9337984037958544, c_new = 0.38211793519896836
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13003.199510720095
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 418:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.396557211578257, b_new = 1.1400574752178048, c_new = -0.49254849243090987
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8860.144626614034
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 419:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7045088656212073, b_new = 0.978829441286502, c_new = 0.06455070857188663
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3752.9887004290654
Acceptance probability: 4.726523203565871e-294
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 420:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8947681971475294, b_new = 1.1697304323448305, c_new = 0.4472189420335861
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3395.4687358735478
Acceptance probability: 8.779900030732846e-139
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 421:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8003593763245607, b_new = 1.3211609213136504, c_new = -0.9649417700963931
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3101.87249499261
Acceptance probability: 2.8230390987910408e-11
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 422:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0189611198901276, b_new = 1.0676291055710665, c_new = 0.47303831450878103
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12577.327789400399
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 423:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3175881889980583, b_new = 1.130059215137051, c_new = 0.10591991628507788
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10476.365594376706
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 424:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4307644595094646, b_new = 0.8907434256828509, c_new = -0.6964039086691598
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8972.204493177112
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 425:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.879199376913542, b_new = 1.39370501626932, c_new = -0.7228976719574531
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3369.3727029300053
Acceptance probability: 1.8917018037090542e-127
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 426:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1271723440792383, b_new = 0.8482153717986411, c_new = 0.1894047438755655
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6144.6207108507515
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 427:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7042781561947686, b_new = 1.035489459989244, c_new = 0.4027150158329524
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3623.545834759755
Acceptance probability: 7.777930823013323e-238
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 428:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0488036959165137, b_new = 1.1023872626073177, c_new = 0.20510445085670365
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5220.50159121281
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 429:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.322518137038934, b_new = 0.9336363646235079, c_new = -0.14781795071258202
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10067.407275026528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 430:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3747796200608478, b_new = 0.9500607008292941, c_new = 0.729016407369647
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9155.300110477963
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 431:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5408671744095805, b_new = 2.37119586321785, c_new = -0.26800869779227393
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13938.024155940031
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 432:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.496757932878382, b_new = 0.6509966302855639, c_new = 0.729718181382069
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7840.675795544446
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 433:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.976490521426336, b_new = 0.1536758399684971, c_new = -0.7067698280663246
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3167.2953730645404
Acceptance probability: 1.0912442196553323e-39
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 434:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8608340405286614, b_new = 1.1317931767916076, c_new = -0.7351635831015406
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3133.4311739825253
Acceptance probability: 5.558489014028332e-25
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 435:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3132878429829793, b_new = 0.718504696804612, c_new = 0.04277709090361925
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9530.169013787436
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 436:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.427771144031456, b_new = 1.095582698726579, c_new = -0.622069126193417
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8500.644518270958
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 437:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.454494418273051, b_new = 0.6800086403756913, c_new = 0.22738690864815897
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11217.008983964975
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 438:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1384016078172143, b_new = 1.3401410268445848, c_new = -0.7209905246801454
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7463.428505226002
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 439:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3096478245962713, b_new = 0.6532991236052854, c_new = -0.5178180117327987
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11029.091715885366
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 440:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4826129300996342, b_new = 1.5196010452404503, c_new = -0.5106851855000358
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6383.352684286556
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 441:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8247700900133643, b_new = 0.4601360733699943, c_new = -0.005399716024276163
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3316.040782682053
Acceptance probability: 2.745436169315012e-104
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 442:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.878862839934738, b_new = 1.5426902745794002, c_new = -0.2288739284416186
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3570.4045830976675
Acceptance probability: 9.328599206874479e-215
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 443:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.253585649016211, b_new = 0.6449274938112286, c_new = 0.41278564700886383
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11313.973981340376
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 444:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6529472929101505, b_new = 0.7300912261056267, c_new = -0.1808317781127688
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4959.784997100705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 445:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.746119546395447, b_new = 0.32627299160039414, c_new = 0.317402361540621
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4181.652577018908
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 446:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3878451511868017, b_new = 0.8912370025388072, c_new = 0.1588103596639573
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9299.920906352834
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 447:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8687284589884334, b_new = 0.6083400644387154, c_new = -0.3980132622440521
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3110.545613003348
Acceptance probability: 4.830917269478937e-15
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 448:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.422461823757836, b_new = 0.3340164304476402, c_new = 0.20581140880318016
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9994.483804230178
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 449:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6157532912904777, b_new = 0.9455187285830398, c_new = -0.8483397403844617
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5356.409540066974
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 450:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6886072347378764, b_new = 0.7961731579999495, c_new = 0.05865475220149072
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4219.306561641403
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 451:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1023160888400976, b_new = 0.5607761157338056, c_new = 0.08309361524504424
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4937.082514861499
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 452:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8364260246413355, b_new = 0.5192472024044149, c_new = -0.8480747867839167
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3322.853639639733
Acceptance probability: 3.0187362379950575e-107
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 453:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.741348111656641, b_new = 1.45812559245666, c_new = -0.6649538083071991
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3176.7361359456727
Acceptance probability: 8.66663950232738e-44
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 454:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.554865220728096, b_new = 1.1730514424972935, c_new = -0.25716409134108553
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12601.243060212964
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 455:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9736023026188168, b_new = 0.49604127017740873, c_new = -0.20733747961720164
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -14079.045963297804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 456:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.54468828283503, b_new = 0.553291708112982, c_new = 0.2485906344626314
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7357.220384880817
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 457:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.133319276223133, b_new = 1.0754213993103818, c_new = -0.8516805704540877
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6548.541441481287
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 458:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.093262472505332, b_new = 0.8660470238779439, c_new = -0.7192548128310856
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -14723.653247635599
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 459:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0461932011081196, b_new = 0.5687319938263509, c_new = 0.5426997410131489
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4194.304313864552
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 460:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.129288538284902, b_new = 1.2805632953076673, c_new = -1.2892212144275383
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6882.098418768184
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 461:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0002414425234942, b_new = 0.9718741166401222, c_new = -0.01763920106683242
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4140.487418456703
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 462:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.846104540614893, b_new = 1.626084382851082, c_new = 0.23555708899574263
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3453.831683706483
Acceptance probability: 3.95169465494854e-164
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 463:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4757142945154507, b_new = 0.32536081948535445, c_new = -0.0038620477572170464
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9310.4100299992
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 464:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3652712700827396, b_new = 0.6939773035789245, c_new = 0.2840301425235871
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10284.317504096529
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 465:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9075135268842933, b_new = 1.2560972371779633, c_new = 0.8907495040005899
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3659.3826401986453
Acceptance probability: 2.123915454598676e-253
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 466:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.596739026560522, b_new = 1.6171466315021374, c_new = -0.3108672487447831
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13391.504331313892
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 467:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6560902491962697, b_new = 0.6629828334680996, c_new = -0.5628689496264162
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5180.516302852082
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 468:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.937045711346361, b_new = 1.6824819604952528, c_new = 0.30606334912980987
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4606.2803538100125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 469:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.878891558056135, b_new = 1.045915691591032, c_new = 0.235641351962239
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13515.513064793731
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 470:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.408743127345374, b_new = 2.3078634172993007, c_new = -0.8613858799458673
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12925.915572888987
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 471:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3492831272982224, b_new = 1.1652440072580994, c_new = 0.015771958452139828
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9314.898163851767
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 472:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.721733860000889, b_new = 0.23306545095771547, c_new = 0.293755076910053
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4722.175545466726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 473:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.209495521269167, b_new = 0.9166069461160709, c_new = -0.17227913011225632
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11481.907284231085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 474:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.128200911042122, b_new = 0.7749794395848827, c_new = 0.41316469492237945
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12212.179082325853
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 475:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9502407075539652, b_new = 1.0000260271831787, c_new = -0.43707634834844444
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13363.793727013388
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 476:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.908137323801032, b_new = 1.5540305372013354, c_new = 0.44251655491389147
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4007.398278384807
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 477:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1543600951386743, b_new = 0.4028868009190189, c_new = 0.033151140912549365
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12670.262922413367
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 478:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4898743473750553, b_new = 1.1239159976976332, c_new = 0.46608815292132905
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6873.992820883686
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 479:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6190252785958092, b_new = -0.02330926553596313, c_new = -0.9354130003313657
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7947.270853494261
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 480:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.903426453940454, b_new = 1.1492446974029826, c_new = -0.5178932104864915
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3344.0854457935
Acceptance probability: 1.8153857194571838e-116
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 481:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.121524683811488, b_new = 0.8801376211760222, c_new = 0.29252598151719916
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12148.687895113362
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 482:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9373860915123386, b_new = 0.8700463835184151, c_new = 0.387597982835897
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3421.499322492242
Acceptance probability: 4.3506028678200475e-150
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 483:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.869751485878392, b_new = 0.792208961918732, c_new = -0.5413942670065945
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3093.419717286054
Acceptance probability: 1.3234624014284502e-07
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 484:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0435269357788983, b_new = 1.3370065816732866, c_new = 0.3436888720247471
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5737.827757933335
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 485:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.119813966570565, b_new = 1.5389958565308124, c_new = 0.1443431756287895
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7968.625626529451
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 486:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3796357829018397, b_new = 1.2640663054946994, c_new = -0.6363009461083078
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8897.408233566506
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 487:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.839669425391936, b_new = 1.3521078234120547, c_new = -0.6294293441532499
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3154.176681751692
Acceptance probability: 5.436222243188889e-34
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 488:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.037899658724863, b_new = 1.6284083104554388, c_new = -0.8731168440006865
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12075.581003004372
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 489:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.981267000412171, b_new = 1.3844740652606966, c_new = 0.48444404183402584
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4747.337571814689
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 490:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4994143896494196, b_new = 0.7719962817680831, c_new = -0.5531658403712187
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7994.414458097299
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 491:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.845864859298495, b_new = 1.2673551960439382, c_new = -0.382592936022356
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3147.047716201583
Acceptance probability: 6.7821533187792576e-31
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 492:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3241898452493945, b_new = 1.515635967753743, c_new = -0.4499286908942346
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9099.602529731143
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 493:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0598477559484483, b_new = 0.8703220232152625, c_new = -0.025718734092210233
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4839.918663415209
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 494:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0829978714996225, b_new = 0.4562773285761346, c_new = 0.29499819471914623
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4469.308338180315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 495:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.030733600554585, b_new = 0.28146725499769276, c_new = -0.8657821281906206
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3487.937881122991
Acceptance probability: 6.0904592651778086e-179
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 496:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.277171746764845, b_new = 0.8629406859244261, c_new = -0.8181388758661856
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8988.845377194553
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 497:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7540417521870766, b_new = 1.3348246109469306, c_new = 0.7471396980247575
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -14113.116988389198
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 498:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.208239806472104, b_new = 0.942648944676195, c_new = 0.35199933363383745
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11275.511016824279
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 499:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.015658990745868, b_new = 1.5963581810974243, c_new = 0.2187540343400607
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11961.610164823778
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 500:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6072357048331725, b_new = 0.4999116405496163, c_new = -0.22714637893959921
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12113.18339498822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 501:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0276121979796584, b_new = 0.9607024050980135, c_new = 0.23278685884342343
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4565.460059141591
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 502:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4094224846485996, b_new = 0.4478084234687064, c_new = 0.36222449438648235
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9870.755345413085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 503:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0992327888980213, b_new = 1.0526307754761604, c_new = -0.04432004605466257
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6017.251254976478
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 504:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2973019617065873, b_new = 0.5856624574640685, c_new = 0.15369854793156207
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8992.680464524972
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 505:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.17216289063938, b_new = 0.2609202287133533, c_new = 0.3723451862199219
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5621.805605648843
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 506:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4924339537020535, b_new = 1.3176553616246816, c_new = 0.09285931918099627
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6476.457729640683
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 507:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0744752993149027, b_new = 0.6548396501461324, c_new = 0.0439623355977643
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4659.152505793601
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 508:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3009693743719595, b_new = 0.7570425783927559, c_new = -0.3855734094294543
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9283.701522292373
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 509:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9550834109419255, b_new = 0.43030728758469833, c_new = 0.40207118533897684
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3201.8297474847013
Acceptance probability: 1.0960584374146712e-54
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 510:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.949258946146079, b_new = 1.2184116174927215, c_new = -0.5139116660855397
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3813.5618453334528
Acceptance probability: 2.3335e-320
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 511:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4282390929958564, b_new = 1.6236255310759982, c_new = -0.2926491500294024
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7082.724569790387
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 512:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.029461519747023, b_new = 1.215291997108598, c_new = -0.9283218919433924
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -14745.704910632696
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 513:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1313546985008123, b_new = 1.0865235592215066, c_new = 0.03582651285075161
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11842.636606859569
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 514:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.460131710244617, b_new = 1.061074540723491, c_new = -0.010573650478733182
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11792.825503569546
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 515:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1144152797507028, b_new = 0.22915152823044316, c_new = -0.4932991753218021
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13352.567696441847
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 516:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.296523417616932, b_new = 0.8955020941020451, c_new = 0.31617494766228327
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9754.34458601362
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 517:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6823261494536914, b_new = 1.355897239612508, c_new = -0.45828120767841035
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13535.526205661827
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 518:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8684404480290588, b_new = 0.21001622620511495, c_new = 0.2837304873833259
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -14440.589596714657
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 519:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.369089439531529, b_new = 0.7622726151632053, c_new = -0.3079361263821436
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10004.925387797804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 520:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.539269798755118, b_new = 0.42211665894882067, c_new = -0.7629123369308226
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8246.395636855468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 521:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.511101580455298, b_new = 1.0894039380860951, c_new = -1.0780710187821982
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11985.80029039053
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 522:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.0811417529666985, b_new = 1.1722091331099143, c_new = -0.30191594913889286
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -14981.53071492301
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 523:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0059155210296047, b_new = 1.4186776869734357, c_new = -0.5861250107894979
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4945.182951140509
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 524:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5274669939749153, b_new = 0.9520232930830386, c_new = 0.16909153620232786
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12220.179591591861
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 525:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0750771315060352, b_new = 1.9897555640853994, c_new = -0.32289907456158096
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8115.53128925126
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 526:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.135207241814136, b_new = 1.115133141668489, c_new = 0.6577947746751456
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11571.531316612207
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 527:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.295851767298903, b_new = 1.4829843013000001, c_new = 0.44964529028184147
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10997.131896506486
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 528:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.169585701608656, b_new = 1.1926018148316213, c_new = 0.5731325110941157
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11162.653870854232
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 529:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.714380133044678, b_new = 0.6301734013848542, c_new = -0.28333152599522526
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4243.9877864294995
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 530:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.358963272428039, b_new = 1.1153040361066808, c_new = -0.5350019703915607
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9486.02413134167
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 531:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.749629572257411, b_new = 0.4911106498828737, c_new = 0.7181297351538849
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3792.3872301756155
Acceptance probability: 3.664187849511e-311
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 532:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.281863716984584, b_new = 1.3765837742309412, c_new = -1.1285856784145276
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10118.977638321021
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 533:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9444580613489806, b_new = 0.7673171600204907, c_new = 0.08562393918154029
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13523.798170683825
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 534:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4057166643222754, b_new = 1.5886717217073016, c_new = -0.0898682227236028
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7503.349733587458
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 535:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5062329364914704, b_new = 0.03182223198376399, c_new = 0.857929194303273
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9168.004572669473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 536:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.555232440667091, b_new = 0.8067020163743488, c_new = -0.03402584945791509
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12181.812482450376
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 537:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6028624043947026, b_new = 0.33999831595465424, c_new = -0.1515890465982135
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6908.377700670668
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 538:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.532805159162485, b_new = 1.4192192023386232, c_new = -0.365020564846384
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5618.275834506147
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 539:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0260776107571994, b_new = 0.7498627402785157, c_new = -0.4524110047753934
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13220.609510834822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 540:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8437696482447528, b_new = 1.0869497464364426, c_new = -0.09472392826912855
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13740.962695278646
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 541:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.768072774976668, b_new = 0.290152267879097, c_new = 0.36929526828880027
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3951.1267138452486
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 542:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8306152732341316, b_new = 0.4166260990560289, c_new = 0.11938073941511329
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3297.9495853695644
Acceptance probability: 1.974779066041605e-96
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 543:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.182173541079608, b_new = 1.3214425453076681, c_new = -0.42596248299002526
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11150.084664674525
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 544:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8009579305942056, b_new = 1.487216927804039, c_new = 0.062408347252517565
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3120.1939395742234
Acceptance probability: 3.117558494287801e-19
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 545:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2957593724475664, b_new = 1.4652097310523513, c_new = 0.2128624293578512
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9357.674110058564
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 546:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.646969115906788, b_new = 0.7301703527058763, c_new = -0.029130260443988684
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5013.124433806798
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 547:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1616930381223067, b_new = 0.9868564660743913, c_new = 0.057471868128701364
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7256.157399199528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 548:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7279460583542265, b_new = 1.3338065488552082, c_new = 0.2467099627102557
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3219.4325471236707
Acceptance probability: 2.4833330034798065e-62
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 549:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.879355130921366, b_new = 0.5199135090944214, c_new = -0.11180167239446458
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3096.1253003789357
Acceptance probability: 8.844877049475235e-09
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 550:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1709782443135066, b_new = 1.2613768698209087, c_new = 0.2248271673687705
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8324.019103655677
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 551:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8922532819780944, b_new = 0.5588630264056635, c_new = -0.8000308992151257
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3119.265819719889
Acceptance probability: 7.886638637914325e-19
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 552:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.834395625531305, b_new = 1.137570409006815, c_new = 0.26413472472339
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -14173.53451108472
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 553:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9325044229024497, b_new = 0.400753387367172, c_new = -0.5746890382988049
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -14192.295110214232
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 554:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3136792025325077, b_new = 1.6340527284464912, c_new = 0.6469937082878319
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8630.04759466621
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 555:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.464686451460267, b_new = 1.6512501098531103, c_new = -0.1951908104725274
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6294.105679881302
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 556:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6408682172260023, b_new = 0.21373442613550053, c_new = -0.3426997668174844
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11962.800468910405
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 557:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.575229238900792, b_new = 1.0159081813753505, c_new = -0.20991226021476425
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5725.19987876298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 558:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8251010754544144, b_new = 1.3153316398495953, c_new = -0.06585037687594757
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3116.2625008859054
Acceptance probability: 1.5893397269715126e-17
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 559:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2006485779798277, b_new = 2.076351840016274, c_new = 0.006576120034068905
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9454.43167734472
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 560:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7493879802987427, b_new = 0.26665992050850573, c_new = 0.11623188523627909
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4295.305091797642
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 561:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7125920004042325, b_new = 0.4183634672097157, c_new = -0.42679888820859146
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4713.039480518826
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 562:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7031088436603308, b_new = 0.3240694382449151, c_new = -0.587663564580301
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5129.40590405459
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 563:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.18857329673124, b_new = 0.4634411883621194, c_new = 0.3064486023147032
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12230.719943546548
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 564:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5724179024876923, b_new = 0.6244856672984032, c_new = 0.38461741388325504
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6552.9599437751185
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 565:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3725935484697596, b_new = 0.3780711757609999, c_new = 0.2829211105693488
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9752.450698718567
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 566:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.676574971288664, b_new = 0.8761337247614014, c_new = -0.5820879551682656
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12942.564373288315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 567:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3526895640216687, b_new = 0.25141532654692633, c_new = -1.2830214516183602
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8717.74043760533
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 568:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.341568585146695, b_new = 0.930583036932811, c_new = -0.013465039387405911
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10354.638436369674
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 569:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8310664524151563, b_new = 0.1489828410299472, c_new = -0.05160614054974645
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3583.1559204390087
Acceptance probability: 2.703840010234773e-220
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 570:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.605480783222607, b_new = 1.4817130118300583, c_new = -1.5772766514661867
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4618.46908511624
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 571:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.476521139655704, b_new = 0.14015186564056148, c_new = -1.2015444676102967
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10228.93649834863
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 572:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.849107934976933, b_new = 1.23497236192468, c_new = -0.9219212144405009
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3133.4924687711255
Acceptance probability: 5.228014256252652e-25
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 573:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.368700429406931, b_new = 0.6694236977091819, c_new = -0.40795875059182884
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10079.816181842085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 574:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0941455044838233, b_new = 0.8795143106207024, c_new = 0.24072913020781295
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5560.094694936894
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 575:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2238721030888544, b_new = 0.5236503851020664, c_new = 1.2878572930245993
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7769.729872073265
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 576:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0865496774896606, b_new = 0.7724317603454965, c_new = -1.3480467058181198
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4771.964163229157
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 577:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9009464650715326, b_new = 0.7094296188553709, c_new = -1.1521392098023155
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3130.8973487599046
Acceptance probability: 7.004595550680475e-24
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 578:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6633800006984063, b_new = 1.2376309662372882, c_new = 0.3215594753733742
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3801.9505663123173
Acceptance probability: 2.574385717e-315
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 579:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.130996522412489, b_new = 0.9267230037391916, c_new = 0.573849056547411
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6584.111372767393
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 580:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7597022809013527, b_new = 0.9450301800739218, c_new = -1.0422910799816651
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3491.77401640222
Acceptance probability: 1.3141279708863188e-180
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 581:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9477881455900883, b_new = 0.6443284085121697, c_new = -0.22133017629959104
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13737.477318684349
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 582:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5519953789122813, b_new = 0.6174696576942691, c_new = 0.6031498886110089
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12055.75926589403
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 583:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.22521405214964, b_new = 0.539868505059238, c_new = -0.4215682394267735
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7227.454012108488
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 584:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.239289255032031, b_new = 1.2038784348803797, c_new = -0.5865487839471929
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9229.427709209735
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 585:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.077104400852258, b_new = 0.8702972071260918, c_new = -0.48663603421085877
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5018.0718384635875
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 586:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.751263920807198, b_new = 1.1385391582326525, c_new = 0.26096300439616715
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13803.767775851036
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 587:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5195221174525164, b_new = 1.5453687035247996, c_new = -0.06555497109131328
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5475.062755234756
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 588:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.4504042424030879, b_new = 1.558578447912459, c_new = 0.1335957369612153
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -14821.12970406427
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 589:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.498806686453066, b_new = 0.7442293799757472, c_new = -0.10301818455121828
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11631.255062763401
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 590:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0316159654005825, b_new = 0.8489345895899917, c_new = -0.49816742911620254
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4263.683259173681
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 591:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.256899043977255, b_new = 1.7847917487313345, c_new = 0.16441904822593723
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9253.114278222556
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 592:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.728338380901723, b_new = 1.4036037883393702, c_new = -0.9395944559593026
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3295.4306409587953
Acceptance probability: 2.451783808112782e-95
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 593:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0443178306651255, b_new = 1.3044298642327643, c_new = 0.9935097508423478
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5892.88728484483
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 594:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7203779595460156, b_new = 0.7602107958143074, c_new = -0.6269275080969745
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4039.3460341909085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 595:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.015180164772559, b_new = 0.9755729063853648, c_new = -0.3279508189377688
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4286.569021664001
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 596:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7575879996072556, b_new = 0.9455477703295959, c_new = 0.24185692627966193
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3315.186734051256
Acceptance probability: 6.449409582759656e-104
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 597:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.38937600506679, b_new = 1.462591163839928, c_new = -0.6779285796608203
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8297.576058634724
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 598:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.872153655409992, b_new = 0.4462821436137351, c_new = -0.4140978565231949
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3158.526067836985
Acceptance probability: 7.020738976020631e-36
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 599:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9236987984411653, b_new = 1.0586311649377442, c_new = 0.3448309136026456
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13222.034888704831
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 600:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4482433324533104, b_new = 1.9472831225966405, c_new = 0.2464876493644329
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5768.1344364904535
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 601:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5016703555840607, b_new = 1.2809139452887985, c_new = 0.7111283707009186
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6172.657913406038
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 602:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.425206061225029, b_new = 0.4171326320352835, c_new = -0.5973067567511916
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10252.872750459153
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 603:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3348581643533155, b_new = 1.6174007172397653, c_new = -0.35205688144765956
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11420.602648783346
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 604:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9572669665078775, b_new = 0.6868164032322029, c_new = -0.4617207926441334
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3332.3673062625207
Acceptance probability: 2.2289085557039328e-111
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 605:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.639160024580521, b_new = 1.0090483919791067, c_new = 0.2129577393973877
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13050.14207922074
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 606:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7579764872983015, b_new = 0.8466177070772065, c_new = -0.06829401800710458
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3442.4070189224967
Acceptance probability: 3.617864130441682e-159
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 607:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3807403900134583, b_new = 0.47010256527630395, c_new = -0.34287886901752485
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9867.094936155641
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 608:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7352234669179407, b_new = 0.15400732455320465, c_new = -0.2477471317097346
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4842.319340212466
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 609:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.751372181818992, b_new = 0.8542649084769566, c_new = -0.07157370242455725
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13444.540918345745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 610:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.950460354168195, b_new = 1.0598494516073855, c_new = -0.6203169777131543
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3613.789691395249
Acceptance probability: 1.342466026989261e-233
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 611:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.963487028319892, b_new = 1.210662714415934, c_new = -0.6065748862993382
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3947.820345562762
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 612:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.42907288897772, b_new = 0.9859417173085877, c_new = -0.5766182347640647
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8724.98310001669
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 613:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2360091717566735, b_new = 0.9327654304911102, c_new = -1.0066971853907938
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11483.50228459161
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 614:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3175541573286482, b_new = 1.41129162500151, c_new = 0.6539939946044493
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9026.1484760377
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 615:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7454477771601415, b_new = 0.70557594369614, c_new = 0.28396572689659016
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3643.8950514853195
Acceptance probability: 1.1306066647856167e-246
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 616:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7572120783134344, b_new = 0.812820711110585, c_new = -0.9564105918554318
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3643.3849890291167
Acceptance probability: 1.8829069193587673e-246
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 617:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0471849448143287, b_new = 1.4879583923138848, c_new = -0.3021832818406531
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5992.701961199442
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 618:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.239143125425888, b_new = 1.259349868556325, c_new = -0.1884971121276507
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9500.702988777455
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 619:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1622446862876497, b_new = 1.2986105295378687, c_new = -0.11843060227974882
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8106.22008535681
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 620:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.180056846930179, b_new = 1.1803693756044766, c_new = -0.45050849025880624
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8029.340923701779
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 621:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1262838727248488, b_new = 1.4437026756368416, c_new = 0.2696842097484496
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11258.493495991734
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 622:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3881912259093774, b_new = 0.873211108842421, c_new = -0.42468559385203963
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9552.185444104376
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 623:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.090685182339076, b_new = 0.9750532364774406, c_new = -0.7118180541508017
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5442.332730281558
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 624:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5633301478782418, b_new = 0.7688508697358332, c_new = 0.39588477619593915
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12293.00213324607
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 625:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8810229891336503, b_new = 1.3288197807777635, c_new = -0.37192787024582097
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3358.454020765662
Acceptance probability: 1.0441817335031183e-122
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 626:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4375825440408367, b_new = 1.7815137531571978, c_new = -0.16114471166521016
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12602.06622213639
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 627:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.524145284662632, b_new = 1.1140782201290453, c_new = 0.4580632127634498
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6235.210638080997
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 628:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0875430699409976, b_new = 1.1250153648572945, c_new = -0.47689883655823484
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5821.452716246882
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 629:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2930503713662804, b_new = 1.2967167197304232, c_new = -0.23762017343475922
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9879.920987252328
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 630:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5738327289461638, b_new = 0.5918215307663275, c_new = 1.035935930942243
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6362.4116325959985
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 631:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.841942980466524, b_new = 0.5757402117645584, c_new = -0.0933345031176949
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3167.7476207007953
Acceptance probability: 6.9424586763078784e-40
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 632:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7982443691855083, b_new = 1.4985719498410965, c_new = -0.2458108640438033
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3109.386954140724
Acceptance probability: 1.5389650270414338e-14
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 633:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.407588675607615, b_new = 0.7316315551638706, c_new = -0.625031028849029
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10596.180110615076
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 634:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0044522677543646, b_new = 0.28245517040328094, c_new = 0.20476425113772895
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3372.642351674911
Acceptance probability: 7.192208521311001e-129
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 635:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4240922932794704, b_new = 0.6195559285514368, c_new = -0.10359045316128399
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9466.778531470229
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 636:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.048728759993341, b_new = 1.3949691177666226, c_new = -0.6302309503909309
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12251.058399465372
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 637:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.60670276028211, b_new = 0.8835486513535216, c_new = 0.7351886832659082
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5137.095424122411
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 638:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5292513024637286, b_new = 0.9439054955218449, c_new = -0.181739223577141
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6806.0450402070055
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 639:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.287409462842894, b_new = 0.582317971098996, c_new = 0.14310019551609027
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8802.778794353846
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 640:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.123302771259168, b_new = 1.1903052332966526, c_new = -0.017759361870310075
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6949.71761024065
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 641:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9957629982219585, b_new = 1.6192169843479844, c_new = -0.23705631619730128
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5320.995918977783
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 642:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9030662793830877, b_new = 0.8332995097846361, c_new = -0.4548018159718399
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3157.514253431989
Acceptance probability: 1.9311154546444443e-35
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 643:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7810087536554846, b_new = 1.8357629990187974, c_new = -0.29308271310401757
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -14482.529259353803
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 644:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9631381647518653, b_new = 0.38873741967165654, c_new = 0.09727282569203713
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3204.842994919233
Acceptance probability: 5.385139725122277e-56
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 645:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.236040666627941, b_new = 0.5519325887258251, c_new = 1.239580911781702
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8094.093097926405
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 646:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4182244311608057, b_new = 2.214993897629944, c_new = 0.8315098607099716
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5552.865091686132
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 647:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4044293927574687, b_new = 0.8799177602535201, c_new = 0.15280532044222556
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11024.89512681092
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 648:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.29652326124835, b_new = 1.001453150587348, c_new = 0.10565978670263462
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9919.181506861798
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 649:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9476409093122617, b_new = 1.3796214683607197, c_new = 0.0591021291538853
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4141.9970614508
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 650:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.852199627861517, b_new = 1.1465139572973977, c_new = -0.16290525096759942
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3126.0365681072053
Acceptance probability: 9.044681519875515e-22
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 651:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.060854774906395, b_new = 0.8687636734302734, c_new = -0.012506446353905257
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12701.439372999452
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 652:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.031047426156653, b_new = 0.8692844171235656, c_new = 0.12086983327035322
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4419.070940860864
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 653:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.107896825998636, b_new = 1.5717712854075465, c_new = -0.5347214626968051
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7522.0451069852315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 654:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7942451905248102, b_new = 0.6523418277421251, c_new = -0.1198476778766087
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3367.701145204795
Acceptance probability: 1.0064703240802327e-126
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 655:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9744852738612444, b_new = 0.0775760249334887, c_new = -0.5072027370663572
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3147.5211464874956
Acceptance probability: 4.224345612746063e-31
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 656:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.813008062371896, b_new = 0.5178197806754083, c_new = -0.5582014873227041
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3429.1635492529635
Acceptance probability: 2.0418228117478613e-153
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 657:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0039668717320827, b_new = 1.6193173704801607, c_new = -0.975581356426898
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5253.655557870289
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 658:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6423438149413454, b_new = 0.6124849870065432, c_new = -0.44078868814138666
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5509.16927017934
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 659:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.830269543963179, b_new = 0.061711141111298495, c_new = -0.2382868588928136
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3738.570217709226
Acceptance probability: 8.637921977243726e-288
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 660:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8642650830443994, b_new = 0.4707199714971691, c_new = 0.19332190473866007
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3117.1249001912997
Acceptance probability: 6.709365938621998e-18
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 661:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.77902734028539, b_new = 1.2644629313448539, c_new = -0.019864489462903714
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13995.05982332804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 662:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.797891135650443, b_new = 1.5892822317748052, c_new = 0.2199951282910524
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3160.5745600979094
Acceptance probability: 9.051778989385611e-37
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 663:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.162800998282629, b_new = 1.0394798462296757, c_new = -0.6583149871466847
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11871.929601739026
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 664:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5026966485163227, b_new = 1.9803453359757666, c_new = -1.1120750865270168
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13068.74547260018
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 665:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.121781248219956, b_new = 0.35992416497070445, c_new = -1.5962878228198476
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4506.923787687286
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 666:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.96572670241732, b_new = 1.1447599940638908, c_new = 0.6923399490463791
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4119.4757871090205
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 667:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8145102335094423, b_new = 0.3774970346525611, c_new = -0.7196300693199797
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3595.2399378330483
Acceptance probability: 1.5274215610468312e-225
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 668:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4151702247112397, b_new = 0.9300472805908361, c_new = 1.0088641012556032
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8484.645446616893
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 669:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7044676010489797, b_new = 0.6149953068307121, c_new = -0.8032825611270722
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12763.31553897847
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 670:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7551038676407376, b_new = 1.457941206288333, c_new = -0.34407910351717813
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -14008.043007385846
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 671:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9547841983711205, b_new = 1.0813315651530049, c_new = -0.8770739527374356
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13367.776747512089
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 672:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.55163419293917, b_new = 0.3904903367109168, c_new = 0.9006898531402214
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7388.991920271688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 673:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1285920873091113, b_new = 1.4680096031241654, c_new = -0.9694881171092133
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11595.575633960212
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 674:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1734926233415686, b_new = 1.4071909458041132, c_new = -0.34176558129518975
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8574.455441506185
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 675:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.149666395882936, b_new = 1.5653856837192643, c_new = -1.0592387583567002
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8239.742990709128
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 676:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1265874789827675, b_new = 1.3472853174174635, c_new = 0.2227951305938295
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7580.503951482715
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 677:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.271602221469092, b_new = 0.660761085957116, c_new = 0.4157363996891848
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11099.26725835496
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 678:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.232289697382082, b_new = 0.4026264488102867, c_new = -0.5287200423393762
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6972.446571496102
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 679:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.826896419746599, b_new = 0.6880389165366521, c_new = -0.21728312830743485
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -14275.025610238423
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 680:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3705476600831417, b_new = 1.4363270278945985, c_new = -0.534387197943257
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8612.172194948329
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 681:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.923752937649692, b_new = 1.6612462979829732, c_new = -0.2907807190486692
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4229.123155870618
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 682:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.149696472422118, b_new = 1.1184750708777462, c_new = -1.171441735840168
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6921.3950404418365
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 683:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4884367208021088, b_new = 0.36959125467207743, c_new = -0.2166203411180953
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9079.750308687473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 684:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.720187267574135, b_new = 0.04999070022716112, c_new = -0.36583710307293776
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5384.278565417472
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 685:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2669899811829453, b_new = 0.8825090162231077, c_new = -0.4262127290644999
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11042.201852861137
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 686:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.147033369508094, b_new = 1.153304592155288, c_new = -0.10126633266677057
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7348.388375125232
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 687:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7245466928104927, b_new = -0.08122942537499933, c_new = -1.1029892207561751
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5925.755112048984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 688:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6907089566463953, b_new = 0.7408448932874258, c_new = -1.3147936243528355
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4682.1330951745895
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 689:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.876215287301723, b_new = 1.3482818359878779, c_new = -0.7237010578137211
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3314.2159838746693
Acceptance probability: 1.702595195586075e-103
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 690:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0345442133390677, b_new = 0.046042252263255645, c_new = -0.17026576414488875
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3369.409129543348
Acceptance probability: 1.8240334600908272e-127
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 691:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2795291333304273, b_new = -0.08387608927734869, c_new = -1.1644076255182334
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6511.145375976665
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 692:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.834672100471943, b_new = 0.9805362820901273, c_new = -0.09118904110627082
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Acceptance probability: 3.8575718334807414
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 693:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.793932834761201, b_new = 0.6825149481370335, c_new = 0.3490830849241837
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -13568.582232154036
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 694:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.472010281103297, b_new = 1.3924796874327146, c_new = 0.012500056971247744
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -6713.388429917943
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 695:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0988456725182956, b_new = 1.3109496058747783, c_new = -0.6634305277668177
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -6506.644976070886
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 696:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1299266440415776, b_new = 1.5824647622636312, c_new = 0.8791360638139274
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -8634.704046883786
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 697:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4817439139989887, b_new = 0.29581368422558163, c_new = -0.4892751170594716
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -9484.237937276383
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 698:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2062919119299433, b_new = 0.9922697476651199, c_new = -0.20860311748271157
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -8152.58151206726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 699:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.132245594686547, b_new = 0.3358318530397234, c_new = -0.1366348221013236
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4923.633585048126
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 700:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.47710652785022, b_new = 0.08529926857433612, c_new = -0.44231712795169764
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -15295.047705882755
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 701:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8002127066321254, b_new = 1.4797506599004793, c_new = -0.7342406397704041
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3103.131247410857
Acceptance probability: 2.078421574363024e-12
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 702:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4079133096387193, b_new = 1.3249037356958653, c_new = 0.1937599845378413
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -7984.37138726872
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 703:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.922015617394852, b_new = 0.5966278259228981, c_new = 0.8638821374360282
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3166.340409142973
Acceptance probability: 7.350950457960399e-40
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 704:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7048887833359028, b_new = 0.9238188498795378, c_new = 0.40284259242638487
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3754.930930514789
Acceptance probability: 1.7568228178269632e-295
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 705:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1357683532835323, b_new = 0.3369431221117781, c_new = 0.09273340774911903
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -5042.359729631844
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 706:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.854643986119222, b_new = 0.680134083935863, c_new = -0.7173451797034428
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -13643.541248578143
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 707:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8152682012148826, b_new = 0.32225398058016963, c_new = -1.3824305860879043
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3802.6911278873386
Acceptance probability: 3.1822756e-316
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 708:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.779169204573202, b_new = 0.5037047260374469, c_new = -0.16988708664190572
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3656.047246725194
Acceptance probability: 1.5465578993318496e-252
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 709:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3284344407850415, b_new = 0.882152819753836, c_new = -0.15405173767399344
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -10041.263634384031
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 710:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8328495637221922, b_new = 1.8598098024179603, c_new = -0.4022219963685175
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -13004.000763910168
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 711:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.497183513459475, b_new = 1.201900013244604, c_new = -0.8850400920018634
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -7046.955608275545
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 712:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7680993172245176, b_new = 1.5251283244577136, c_new = -0.5707363873149353
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3096.124416139712
Acceptance probability: 2.2948896035288977e-09
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 713:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.664614397207436, b_new = 1.2525086394923213, c_new = 0.17390061261799192
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -13468.41635558745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 714:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0978290244294437, b_new = 0.14966634109444532, c_new = 0.06521797129379364
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4115.460278972765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 715:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.2704383209181949, b_new = 0.767066802430656, c_new = 0.1428179346834831
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -15959.68913680794
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 716:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.107704096836704, b_new = 1.2499677329221661, c_new = -1.1706240154585508
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -12178.083573880349
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 717:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4695627921481957, b_new = 0.3159324289625637, c_new = -0.07506980729463844
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -9459.084290153867
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 718:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.882395752013794, b_new = 1.19527666745986, c_new = 0.1421284978029239
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -14398.812887738379
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 719:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.740453083171392, b_new = 1.3418653438694041, c_new = 0.1936925061068154
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3166.2717301566454
Acceptance probability: 7.873546570487493e-40
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 720:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5875546682546755, b_new = 1.70327559758486, c_new = 0.1714632905776853
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -13550.566126408648
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 721:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.256909845117462, b_new = 0.6063616901929599, c_new = -0.0862585502544187
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -8193.28240919454
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 722:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.377158048628456, b_new = -0.3476177638670357, c_new = -0.551732917478674
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -12181.116945850325
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 723:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.956114117047701, b_new = 0.7457812022371489, c_new = -0.1953038921916553
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3390.9156724708782
Acceptance probability: 2.1604581623223864e-137
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 724:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.333677784460221, b_new = 1.5091895818951968, c_new = 0.04846162832396314
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -8803.609062462716
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 725:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.883456777461336, b_new = 1.2501918790552615, c_new = 0.0344566084661887
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3346.2655947949124
Acceptance probability: 5.318978217189166e-118
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 726:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.0703155441259415, b_new = -0.44981620417312196, c_new = -0.1872303894421954
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -13655.195082192593
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 727:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9496218715119924, b_new = 1.3948210298876758, c_new = 0.5631130094036767
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4306.843523955109
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 728:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9024058390214074, b_new = 0.11447023239292564, c_new = -0.4394124840515511
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3223.412925905671
Acceptance probability: 1.2024427203177224e-64
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 729:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.960542110606952, b_new = 1.3379866642904417, c_new = -0.4296542860447632
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4141.795864777601
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 730:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.979242075896218, b_new = 1.5832689117647485, c_new = -0.5970257290160775
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4842.854539749361
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 731:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1207378533783663, b_new = 0.5022620964189992, c_new = -0.35351474381401715
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -12894.172761915966
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 732:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7287745646025416, b_new = 1.0981676232685769, c_new = -1.1925899644612021
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3613.3390728955833
Acceptance probability: 5.461229279093589e-234
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 733:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4080918761673953, b_new = 1.0763300788283743, c_new = -1.3299781704992568
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -9153.1207611794
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 734:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.062027614525602, b_new = 1.2666360450403655, c_new = -0.5903456091086692
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -14943.815676860653
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 735:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1581864903420853, b_new = 0.8728513365492624, c_new = -0.3904200153994195
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -12083.065729604532
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 736:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2248068856446643, b_new = 0.6342958132888566, c_new = 0.37022879179846324
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -11624.472762724818
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 737:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.999328863853592, b_new = 0.5231203702366232, c_new = -0.0815081348932767
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3527.37227579811
Acceptance probability: 1.1808534866604317e-196
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 738:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.650697857073074, b_new = 1.3747891150195002, c_new = -0.01806955982495982
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3822.8317318183126
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 739:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.545219197210754, b_new = 0.60857610807558, c_new = 0.5633813423261252
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -11981.320457522605
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 740:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.912184477309224, b_new = 0.637699261893308, c_new = 0.6837412139169292
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3139.918489631148
Acceptance probability: 2.194003626500469e-28
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 741:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.212313983820772, b_new = 1.1170222321572185, c_new = -0.158698464693717
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -8641.15986071999
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 742:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9635453832484018, b_new = 1.9932390679633678, c_new = 0.29817671540050217
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -5813.265917316174
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 743:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5606401366200724, b_new = 1.3998871619023447, c_new = 0.2765764976334507
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -13051.719260802522
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 744:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.512668849887358, b_new = 1.2797110739997644, c_new = -0.07037440866643413
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -12491.785414375418
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 745:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.630296742400361, b_new = 0.03043198261397473, c_new = -0.23523790284451626
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -11669.053565157135
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 746:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9119955796252044, b_new = 1.3139073112413722, c_new = 0.4718059865974975
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3709.3055031422286
Acceptance probability: 1.1470947863420504e-275
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 747:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0366883440727763, b_new = 0.9067396988811129, c_new = 0.686555275269649
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4714.361724249018
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 748:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0000410034040352, b_new = 0.864247304431643, c_new = 0.2323235997918858
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4014.3089206065256
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 749:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5637164679746416, b_new = 1.4456315488175124, c_new = -0.38017397131834463
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -12970.44071623891
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 750:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.12794251745724, b_new = -0.2055268248888631, c_new = -0.5475256530756553
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3896.3124350692133
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 751:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.450904205418356, b_new = 0.4251135323834331, c_new = 0.38474154450287823
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -10804.883345694056
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 752:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8141331136347478, b_new = 1.081356971971485, c_new = -0.5766747463775266
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -14023.512458585621
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 753:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5691387736159244, b_new = 0.749498557889227, c_new = -0.2168990235786713
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -6525.393756527241
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 754:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8626831578105256, b_new = 1.050761875640411, c_new = 0.47698286261411904
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3142.79566252
Acceptance probability: 1.2350855252677159e-29
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 755:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1664919180694637, b_new = 0.6174990802086895, c_new = -0.9977101684220163
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -5992.603770529173
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 756:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5447384224250307, b_new = 1.3474875894100729, c_new = -0.5350469244674037
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -5621.543281365271
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 757:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9180195392772, b_new = 1.8460585666179492, c_new = 0.2553046550612792
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4627.206155827629
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 758:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8650963121598294, b_new = 1.0233800200474672, c_new = 0.41672860541298806
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3136.1177556401176
Acceptance probability: 9.814657316012654e-27
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 759:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9369227642248426, b_new = 0.7370145212906153, c_new = -1.4574213398666898
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3226.589642044393
Acceptance probability: 5.016884559133823e-66
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 760:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.129286087298517, b_new = 0.940807449097272, c_new = -0.24794268778105627
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -6294.210080463205
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 761:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3328840259500683, b_new = 1.2372872781438324, c_new = -0.5706083224779694
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -10666.353649893048
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 762:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.721712305754991, b_new = 1.0227579334563226, c_new = -0.5419180214234217
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3643.688978730165
Acceptance probability: 3.601585918770848e-247
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 763:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7123812660020943, b_new = 1.29249565080948, c_new = 0.02571338522898152
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3360.3567064237022
Acceptance probability: 4.037719892656324e-124
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 764:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.889861713285248, b_new = 0.8730410387035472, c_new = 0.3014785039249911
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3150.691547718905
Acceptance probability: 4.597880295576748e-33
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 765:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0872990049254283, b_new = 0.6364850939742104, c_new = 0.615007539036889
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4977.64788127786
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 766:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.91705034882451, b_new = 0.7065144226106377, c_new = 0.09848572845886588
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3168.496023397999
Acceptance probability: 8.514754283855787e-41
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 767:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2487230460147534, b_new = 0.9371042964638805, c_new = -0.741828362692112
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -8674.685143586146
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 768:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2768487238456436, b_new = 1.3049869356238877, c_new = -0.5904289731359653
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -10063.8781949558
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 769:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.610893963380815, b_new = 1.1629951505126086, c_new = 0.15537161458340956
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4659.111207033429
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 770:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.440416590640226, b_new = 0.37913120534668354, c_new = -0.3886985235144955
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -10412.853568273824
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 771:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0344993251997194, b_new = 1.9468498531069862, c_new = -0.607436588643771
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -6911.338150881336
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 772:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.995227193362223, b_new = 0.9007621452363642, c_new = 0.21396200548735714
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4007.9090368419575
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 773:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.571973484887666, b_new = 1.2533840382163604, c_new = 0.6924114299010238
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -13043.702409439516
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 774:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.221827588981503, b_new = 0.9480992200738296, c_new = -0.786206664393049
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -8148.645394457643
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 775:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.815360506345866, b_new = 0.9918336702168452, c_new = -0.06549014552083286
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3091.4284905619766
Acceptance probability: 2.512906700334644e-07
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 776:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6543739342487216, b_new = 1.0862310654485179, c_new = -0.1511592056622857
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4243.632720239306
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 777:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7635588718653874, b_new = -0.5323215129564713, c_new = -0.6703550720311151
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -15773.423227110321
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 778:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3635898059773037, b_new = 2.1722096912495394, c_new = -0.1304757446084934
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -6906.671754440458
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 779:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0688923995882518, b_new = 0.8016322001412088, c_new = -0.338858726514781
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -12837.17852468129
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 780:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.553132182911825, b_new = 1.1432717983999727, c_new = 0.3728435866307398
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -5638.913755056777
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 781:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.417152322701572, b_new = 1.4202283807219742, c_new = 0.12165736913729999
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -7624.863965730321
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 782:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9419308879572066, b_new = 1.9402173575415524, c_new = 0.46301127162840505
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -5310.0915767245315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 783:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7955835167655843, b_new = 0.4205546849688111, c_new = -0.0018060608944350243
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3571.7296491010666
Acceptance probability: 6.427373813814906e-216
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 784:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9031077211011114, b_new = 1.0541061895767065, c_new = 0.2811920121297521
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -13362.347088900173
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 785:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4140892338820326, b_new = 2.0301137875768074, c_new = -0.05903913734647064
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -12797.755098117006
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 786:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6040743843439556, b_new = 1.9035276916857105, c_new = -0.17194695869736182
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3679.082805241088
Acceptance probability: 1.53161719202275e-262
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 787:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7432087726892815, b_new = 0.957266009725996, c_new = -0.1362615704622547
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3459.444337033334
Acceptance probability: 3.740459776469891e-167
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 788:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3757235615974115, b_new = 0.5118736181814227, c_new = -0.023237203285443236
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -10327.307833927016
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 789:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.939895789012891, b_new = 0.803400184008155, c_new = 0.5053749233581203
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3390.3096518251173
Acceptance probability: 3.9603838688662086e-137
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 790:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.459727654366527, b_new = 1.0417986968118307, c_new = -0.7943708244009542
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -8138.499181725351
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 791:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6370475080872944, b_new = 1.9000100191045823, c_new = 0.1948668755111366
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3372.569977259066
Acceptance probability: 2.00437998645887e-129
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 792:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.500818415906954, b_new = 1.656793705288409, c_new = -0.3075813271404759
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -5640.955388407746
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 793:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6509979236392063, b_new = 0.2725658677815095, c_new = 0.8437816079654392
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -5712.461617888208
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 794:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.704824125769327, b_new = 1.0070307455004084, c_new = -0.5295144626238258
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3833.3460037092073
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 795:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.530068076989058, b_new = 0.8547907777327748, c_new = -0.39377773015962414
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -7108.062240535052
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 796:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.145051794555474, b_new = 0.15445284528495307, c_new = 0.22217197865154978
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4851.889794607244
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 797:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4504776663367993, b_new = -0.0786664261583152, c_new = -0.6997934803122875
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -10863.381158242959
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 798:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7321681229919905, b_new = 0.677544976553206, c_new = 0.8120688025376636
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3711.264064967637
Acceptance probability: 1.6181050474764448e-276
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 799:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.896621122122851, b_new = 0.8286251505843225, c_new = 0.007835182813354727
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3145.1075864631894
Acceptance probability: 1.2236049377512526e-30
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 800:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5448368673329247, b_new = 0.8743888136579444, c_new = -0.8947933566401203
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -6960.811393955869
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 801:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9999359048186598, b_new = 1.3587393590495596, c_new = -0.27814525850944194
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -12542.883743158727
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 802:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.617535505437893, b_new = 0.8578044412700598, c_new = 0.2756087730287382
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -5147.855565290649
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 803:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3719331543729507, b_new = 0.8371283052165831, c_new = -0.40790822601736054
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -10436.64866571871
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 804:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.274188162510178, b_new = 1.4715985494671304, c_new = -0.4309133097431517
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -10427.466887358882
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 805:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.516354154414583, b_new = 1.369792258204659, c_new = -0.36350913811125307
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -6047.951456577264
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 806:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.335346294138228, b_new = 1.3298389029677309, c_new = -0.11852571826135958
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -10992.125988389425
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 807:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6315176574056247, b_new = 2.320933057813365, c_new = -0.004191769398043013
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3205.4395445425075
Acceptance probability: 7.687847229955001e-57
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 808:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.55041912562048, b_new = 0.4821827832393707, c_new = 0.2243756501956122
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -11762.913333433702
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 809:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2832225766808034, b_new = 0.5976185822858753, c_new = -0.11127457083130766
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -8677.121471959203
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 810:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.229590442680406, b_new = 1.6020540330789819, c_new = -1.0187250861724322
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -9868.693009438
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 811:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6885017735589622, b_new = 0.7696001812224337, c_new = 0.9134026093609957
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4059.813573409813
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 812:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0724849893962456, b_new = 1.0041554121261311, c_new = 0.3233917182166758
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -5468.908298376646
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 813:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2909891206389417, b_new = 2.235141038320773, c_new = 0.3641302096512907
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -7809.820035663109
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 814:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8998650893654303, b_new = 1.0455732340481143, c_new = 0.25198105793603054
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3303.692898486409
Acceptance probability: 1.6402698354048138e-99
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 815:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4309081772174643, b_new = 0.7676270128766601, c_new = -0.43827927219967266
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -9156.852809673983
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 816:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.500883636602323, b_new = 1.1767896122358215, c_new = -0.33664941640436774
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -6825.908007000586
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 817:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3617328571581364, b_new = 1.5744057499646131, c_new = 0.35490496999594845
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -11812.297957430439
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 818:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5496796552114946, b_new = 0.3950449743581319, c_new = -0.7500651569190647
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -8109.363029634824
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 819:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1947007098936573, b_new = 1.2953573401299099, c_new = -0.33317750636201016
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -11037.414213535221
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 820:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7300930783632666, b_new = 0.49808763499759096, c_new = -0.11367944899703764
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -12927.418182467343
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 821:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.503155520563345, b_new = 1.3426912732168474, c_new = 0.10949534788567891
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -12551.88238260707
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 822:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4596591509991566, b_new = 0.9812981416300239, c_new = -0.021967276859440013
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -7985.424983300741
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 823:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.803928522234613, b_new = 1.1011491816094563, c_new = 0.11906280910180259
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3081.2216700781173
Acceptance probability: 0.00680678727424603
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 824:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.713700224043016, b_new = 0.5104379509340178, c_new = 0.07829259738727637
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -14817.666199466115
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 825:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.585073343203291, b_new = 1.2512689653593838, c_new = -0.25090777412249576
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -12898.117275250077
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 826:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8380080120083724, b_new = 0.6554616387396816, c_new = 0.26979286642434974
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3114.985966017733
Acceptance probability: 1.4767084714857615e-17
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 827:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.18975404984214, b_new = 1.069459322331072, c_new = 0.021285555254952293
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -11351.240628195304
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 828:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1213581823547023, b_new = 1.631933958830854, c_new = -0.1030673772730561
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -11119.803678616267
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 829:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7167825844739415, b_new = 1.964813966640102, c_new = -0.9796800927014024
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3120.944102220801
Acceptance probability: 3.816885138275616e-20
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 830:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9463454953514807, b_new = 1.0715989856582522, c_new = -0.08315183371083527
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3658.8836572916616
Acceptance probability: 9.06835944690574e-254
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 831:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.103746830228484, b_new = -0.3471317415998241, c_new = -0.4543855505556783
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3535.5150882130533
Acceptance probability: 3.434136213562303e-200
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 832:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.003501131292888, b_new = 0.7737423048748477, c_new = 0.4353170402341583
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3955.608802800556
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 833:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3578445437623397, b_new = 1.1761748058243227, c_new = -0.7046794416493866
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -9435.344747317848
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 834:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9399910839812815, b_new = 1.2718930323656719, c_new = 0.3275464610819291
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3929.955772770464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 835:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7877530029264728, b_new = 0.9158544670092728, c_new = -0.8190995300096369
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3294.8781957878164
Acceptance probability: 1.1043126317521884e-95
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 836:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6517905129180854, b_new = 1.0423760139214746, c_new = 0.16127919739828814
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4276.113265816888
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 837:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6173300723811557, b_new = 0.9823282195165166, c_new = 0.007431854211350369
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4964.725890165782
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 838:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8414203555182285, b_new = 0.8878212087960093, c_new = 0.39075236338798713
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Acceptance probability: 61655.821479145045
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 839:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1413409340920757, b_new = 0.8101685624292532, c_new = 0.7500797333261973
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6549.101710241416
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 840:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.489668659260971, b_new = 1.7997754994641695, c_new = 0.4487540929086352
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5293.484186422694
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 841:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3715137836388753, b_new = 1.5017142593559836, c_new = 0.14268337085762609
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11726.10382412045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 842:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5530343633139063, b_new = 1.6033311642164598, c_new = 0.296452736411354
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4680.332063628811
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 843:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0471797870545556, b_new = 0.524695408994976, c_new = 1.0789577549658822
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4242.526244837183
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 844:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5026002117122284, b_new = 1.3292105961692124, c_new = -0.09455240454105335
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6318.018852427745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 845:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.298633875970446, b_new = 1.1506241719297168, c_new = 0.292524569213212
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10326.301924721341
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 846:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.231490029741729, b_new = 0.16862928568249058, c_new = 0.7638716304780032
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6754.317051751463
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 847:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.2722508532388057, b_new = 1.2959350027720324, c_new = -0.0150841950012926
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -15607.767081804692
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 848:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.089303124706353, b_new = 1.4233277147505823, c_new = 0.6851664671959894
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11488.911884282037
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 849:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.111476118099788, b_new = 1.260219684336854, c_new = 0.2325345579001661
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6979.257154328066
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 850:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.470694070870116, b_new = 1.6039272128270556, c_new = 0.5035069894054787
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6059.209242750127
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 851:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.169418105157579, b_new = 1.0586995033825104, c_new = 0.57537182554111
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11380.45517687701
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 852:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.647789446455375, b_new = 0.8141975570397197, c_new = -0.23174176481291997
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4883.31275016704
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 853:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0449638657224383, b_new = 0.5335982042017261, c_new = 0.5285294144924085
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4117.800006021528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 854:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6816953843961397, b_new = 1.5416679771374566, c_new = 0.6176039704999532
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3306.0009412672957
Acceptance probability: 2.6458850111753716e-105
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 855:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.275019169372443, b_new = 1.0418011165879095, c_new = 0.32619302376587445
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9753.770496216199
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 856:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.801533123174502, b_new = 0.301311994437796, c_new = 0.05672626109967133
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3647.9335205347643
Acceptance probability: 8.377966264058505e-254
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 857:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2726528310670715, b_new = 1.464476902727645, c_new = -0.2545299663415127
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10448.1343723311
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 858:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8920874459106858, b_new = 1.319727881771238, c_new = -0.9204431537429935
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13454.5244195876
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 859:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8492274168958764, b_new = -0.37111928440608155, c_new = 0.3543657734455195
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4019.319670639661
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 860:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.053353960524115, b_new = 1.0029108713379566, c_new = 0.4014791827128842
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5131.531479049717
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 861:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.164781029937835, b_new = 1.4184329170110486, c_new = -0.4020956838243497
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8397.446474220309
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 862:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.044351437144474, b_new = 0.9879094929144254, c_new = 0.5558746659899788
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12485.416574697256
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 863:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.012344205314634, b_new = 1.4855368272572451, c_new = 0.26012671257109415
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5468.117627664094
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 864:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5453075923420885, b_new = -0.08435681430448705, c_new = 0.14225972290800976
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10866.07031296462
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 865:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7077483982380954, b_new = 0.4583194599892561, c_new = 0.5852049698659884
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12901.004582947775
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 866:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.545173731203598, b_new = 0.5339824982993094, c_new = -0.2023421789694605
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7585.414402849623
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 867:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1513777124173683, b_new = 1.3992174345779123, c_new = 0.5741819558890637
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8437.48591438478
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 868:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7551745062980304, b_new = 0.9834378180425389, c_new = 0.18933757570089935
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3307.5030104467223
Acceptance probability: 5.891564138393428e-106
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 869:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.00983224712264, b_new = 1.390311796826252, c_new = -0.38643942762784567
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12464.580737558743
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 870:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5818617232664254, b_new = 0.591175448233406, c_new = 0.505194027752423
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6402.563394183997
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 871:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3950729904623187, b_new = 1.2331240248870337, c_new = 1.0847173145460036
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11780.80853997831
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 872:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.475163065113767, b_new = 1.186610784328467, c_new = 0.5576295679914431
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6966.268571886933
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 873:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.398238643499075, b_new = 1.133674396920815, c_new = -0.5725342690042983
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -15708.052025071122
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 874:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.262112258734489, b_new = 1.2144634913500996, c_new = 0.07561346365517746
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9860.730850740538
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 875:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5648209250074, b_new = 1.8814627226328273, c_new = 0.1540121913633725
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4081.6553649973853
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 876:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.530455429484958, b_new = 1.7301749301705363, c_new = 0.5688322788501321
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4723.5858516150765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 877:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.981429274943429, b_new = 0.8563052160909466, c_new = -0.20806530719332783
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3723.567950127329
Acceptance probability: 1.1899348753531126e-286
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 878:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.241547102735666, b_new = 1.3570170612356762, c_new = 0.6559864942397646
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10067.110801664823
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 879:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.550365844444513, b_new = 0.725192688347704, c_new = 0.7554514530566265
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6592.966763172139
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 880:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.754822758902665, b_new = 1.3411544774628, c_new = 0.17008952121519771
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3121.970098099124
Acceptance probability: 2.2189660314543004e-25
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 881:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9132559849957982, b_new = 1.418806374273585, c_new = 1.4722407440663772
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12542.140290589352
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 882:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6632835222766693, b_new = -0.18183425320153845, c_new = 0.2961390139213821
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -15541.346626950537
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 883:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.531355951262117, b_new = 0.5115199883515716, c_new = -0.2949370862640931
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7959.137175931364
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 884:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0604843662542676, b_new = 0.7947726014558667, c_new = 0.22811506855631272
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4757.857635276734
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 885:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7395348859673856, b_new = 0.36109568422814176, c_new = -0.23288124874823324
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12802.37867666368
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 886:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.979440923096041, b_new = 0.6770287755904172, c_new = 0.09554353598649401
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -14315.615482727555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 887:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4667744147614057, b_new = 1.424190281194716, c_new = 0.05132517664713221
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6721.224518438887
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 888:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5772898979456857, b_new = 0.40592811625680675, c_new = -0.2556683332160634
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7302.934811498728
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 889:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5615252829275037, b_new = 0.633126757835551, c_new = 0.36849167373651814
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6757.3338478867745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 890:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8942795976272233, b_new = 1.0763858441422183, c_new = 0.7939922306216061
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -14470.388878495143
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 891:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0028371656219597, b_new = 1.321703841787464, c_new = 0.3366587000020187
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12392.027740920608
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 892:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.375581571504983, b_new = 1.4870257171674939, c_new = -0.174894173320437
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8283.522903063824
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 893:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.122429290476135, b_new = 0.6512418058163472, c_new = 0.5624139726338716
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5653.547554699988
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 894:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.637144705435459, b_new = 0.06712337984484751, c_new = 0.9546833395195546
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6484.68909197895
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 895:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.987927081799585, b_new = 1.179968775411311, c_new = 0.10248107434985615
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4355.425056980497
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 896:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7574500974553806, b_new = 0.8367661060902247, c_new = 1.116921174302521
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3295.991152711313
Acceptance probability: 5.885276898335481e-101
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 897:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5951393622371652, b_new = 1.6772169234661638, c_new = 0.3298233204637044
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3974.1184050166394
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 898:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.460887003704674, b_new = 0.29848689477512746, c_new = 1.209410686740327
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10919.659373969225
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 899:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9007919134438858, b_new = 0.7853510348357505, c_new = 1.671540748441131
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3238.786931008586
Acceptance probability: 4.1043532101850264e-76
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 900:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.717173076324835, b_new = 1.3661195166973634, c_new = 0.53636973517439
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3229.131502345913
Acceptance probability: 6.405368454209394e-72
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 901:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.943424769879583, b_new = 0.7135247222793877, c_new = 0.00394240917540406
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13615.730107337678
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 902:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8621311121825155, b_new = 0.041739643680755334, c_new = 0.6705707478886576
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3330.9525159390787
Acceptance probability: 3.8569123663616977e-116
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 903:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.508771784749576, b_new = 1.2862601079633236, c_new = -0.1049405231211118
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6308.452452704965
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 904:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0891738894783383, b_new = 2.1587744550693024, c_new = 0.7222587133655232
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9400.810748240263
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 905:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2574485889099267, b_new = 1.9112699537361786, c_new = -0.5619712902232448
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9240.045066864124
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 906:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.886916932389291, b_new = 0.14477247427461548, c_new = 0.5673401770373366
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3152.1463910727152
Acceptance probability: 1.7408170485085775e-38
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 907:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0866363883272645, b_new = 1.5690583339959896, c_new = 0.6233260690294937
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7487.70057409098
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 908:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.149477124679213, b_new = 1.2854727477717534, c_new = -0.4580026469530084
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7652.753849276052
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 909:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.483061423849231, b_new = 0.24662867691127166, c_new = -0.5491441439071324
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9605.923399965928
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 910:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.649472856390558, b_new = 1.4645551805330062, c_new = 0.6730361123246495
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3609.772879619691
Acceptance probability: 3.133966735986927e-237
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 911:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7295484214625603, b_new = 0.8866636972308317, c_new = 0.6998078415660769
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3512.3344647322338
Acceptance probability: 6.502199548058063e-195
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 912:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.693347521385315, b_new = 0.8939960537220988, c_new = 0.06256931470619459
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3999.5717781099597
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 913:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.223196206426464, b_new = -0.2899407180436422, c_new = -0.026404361854318437
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13180.488066945763
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 914:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.58294852983379, b_new = 0.8807668748080718, c_new = 0.09244468226797692
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5799.333488994564
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 915:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.910123494936186, b_new = 0.7045879241807772, c_new = 1.0795732007583911
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3186.4777809832744
Acceptance probability: 2.1420023207471514e-53
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 916:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7655286276632927, b_new = 0.19531875261123333, c_new = 0.6899715597473065
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4053.3296344798223
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 917:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9390503823402723, b_new = 1.1429939579561392, c_new = 0.8081117238628381
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3819.7078455290743
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 918:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.20131669866869, b_new = 1.5060036570038904, c_new = 0.47663233532493815
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9694.606261627685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 919:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.048852631767541, b_new = 0.5766443564190686, c_new = 0.3967505863487117
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4214.739602352594
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 920:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.969504183443316, b_new = 0.9348453360567176, c_new = 0.4199747792594747
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3795.9711071845163
Acceptance probability: 4.27791e-318
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 921:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.758884662772098, b_new = 0.42902797701499246, c_new = 0.3528422850624455
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3855.597657085378
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 922:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.570392762431927, b_new = 0.5740036039975697, c_new = -0.31108768834052203
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7008.352018591631
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 923:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.622210086078024, b_new = 0.8630699735999626, c_new = -0.1589666291482772
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5194.535797207557
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 924:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3895375984892477, b_new = 0.28362350179353535, c_new = -0.33231745776842414
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10736.936586423579
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 925:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7159142588147387, b_new = 0.8779540813758521, c_new = 1.0020487078386224
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3595.049829141926
Acceptance probability: 7.766654068047923e-231
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 926:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.044917394410499, b_new = 0.5122482284331739, c_new = 0.21105121312769703
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4026.935359975802
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 927:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8763985529458624, b_new = 1.1974433160933744, c_new = 0.30632614718930995
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3284.998639809788
Acceptance probability: 3.4974748186031075e-96
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 928:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3009185771529967, b_new = 0.5871499249197656, c_new = 0.33395964194528743
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9119.35491942563
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 929:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8098932813129185, b_new = 0.5400256770378344, c_new = 0.9829018062595745
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3219.336000067281
Acceptance probability: 1.149944032021842e-67
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 930:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6876990196827046, b_new = 1.4525902771255466, c_new = 0.6985001054691282
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13914.300425679117
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 931:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2399623475206103, b_new = 0.7596285389370474, c_new = 0.610555320598371
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11186.481982440808
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 932:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2842332352570365, b_new = 0.15936423621740015, c_new = -0.15944758270402748
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12045.700438594798
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 933:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.954722693142579, b_new = 0.8717828163146412, c_new = -0.09930660578271983
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3508.1386778488986
Acceptance probability: 4.3178483412181243e-193
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 934:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6859159696398374, b_new = 1.066362383252149, c_new = -0.8987400042616168
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4050.008957223501
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 935:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7026580000087765, b_new = 1.1983053505931067, c_new = 0.5019742052246091
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13680.798462753275
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 936:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.374629000259223, b_new = 0.8817478060620015, c_new = 1.0441517515606358
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10965.612951667958
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 937:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.676399182344303, b_new = 0.6057425550670446, c_new = 0.7269698958116755
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12916.225985831099
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 938:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.100220967783362, b_new = 0.8313339006397082, c_new = 0.5838589331201949
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5668.019792786504
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 939:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.199522217441083, b_new = 0.562080929990656, c_new = 0.6699881030844017
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7112.619392591175
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 940:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.230856331945505, b_new = 1.1278904974583719, c_new = 0.7465554518191795
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9363.689895321842
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 941:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6582003581166553, b_new = 1.333359500755856, c_new = 0.4769713380077375
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3707.2701211728954
Acceptance probability: 1.4242308056953496e-279
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 942:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6234295774642593, b_new = 1.3309584958964762, c_new = 0.08688163200240812
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13306.312277314646
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 943:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8498223230720447, b_new = 2.3844357284018534, c_new = -0.18326395857734623
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4547.247099830907
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 944:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.609295961111781, b_new = 1.5840152193599306, c_new = 0.5800726952278201
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13631.073646597115
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 945:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1040163514630206, b_new = 1.0621817932966433, c_new = -0.2841837930043031
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6064.439482056796
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 946:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3775623732283617, b_new = 0.33935108031072936, c_new = 1.211040709004024
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10200.02379746495
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 947:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5657290394430925, b_new = 1.6862074489504768, c_new = -0.14633997988021752
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13329.742449006475
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 948:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.89373896600388, b_new = 1.2053026405149174, c_new = 1.085594222895574
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3504.8655317422263
Acceptance probability: 1.1396635983588945e-191
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 949:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9685836660670244, b_new = 0.38115709140385956, c_new = 0.2804271238166142
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3233.545953267607
Acceptance probability: 7.7512624278551e-74
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 950:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5116525327190242, b_new = 1.2659749966664144, c_new = 0.009662635971242506
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6261.624278522525
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 951:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.486114126532646, b_new = 1.5487326077035375, c_new = 1.421395318676482
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5617.95950360422
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 952:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7802169860194477, b_new = 0.6013207999024586, c_new = -0.2625433822806319
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3549.8178123088137
Acceptance probability: 3.4217578935908305e-211
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 953:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3149705055959053, b_new = 1.0583371587915869, c_new = 0.2614876818970263
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10347.118016590255
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 954:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3092592705465145, b_new = 0.6148545670317748, c_new = 0.7373567257123075
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10654.879232645095
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 955:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.080680387347774, b_new = 1.9981257601985456, c_new = 1.6818143704783775
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9156.388121214168
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 956:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3642866821468242, b_new = 1.4242657256810358, c_new = -0.6574218201651613
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11307.179101511436
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 957:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.384474630963925, b_new = 0.8218234944744998, c_new = 0.47650683024877394
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10801.967075831704
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 958:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0537646404132683, b_new = 1.000889320139548, c_new = -0.18643001761791045
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12624.813485605886
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 959:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4920326680355758, b_new = 0.9071388882435126, c_new = -0.5138492599083051
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11710.35447167358
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 960:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.738306118254906, b_new = 0.8461729660437582, c_new = -0.47203750475972506
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3686.030684365045
Acceptance probability: 2.3864403285738626e-270
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 961:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6596149737002213, b_new = -0.12390781734802658, c_new = -0.38931820935647576
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11656.856074870719
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 962:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.882091573667238, b_new = 1.071203804978027, c_new = 0.5320326198325087
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -14364.595896054263
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 963:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1555502876830417, b_new = 0.980366975046292, c_new = 0.4875789951852392
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11656.294690112936
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 964:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2854837387164624, b_new = 1.522017826448813, c_new = 0.41104370925777217
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10937.051445954761
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 965:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2655109139153016, b_new = 0.944248191067914, c_new = 0.7761195411829407
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10527.75843637613
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 966:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.394949520047503, b_new = 1.5732789593104095, c_new = 1.4105410559196243
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7217.780118705692
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 967:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.400188953568609, b_new = 1.1800013699827638, c_new = 0.03497804223569162
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8510.569263115112
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 968:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8725442134239456, b_new = 1.703032464444143, c_new = -0.04282310972708919
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3736.7521481555864
Acceptance probability: 2.2371687348414503e-292
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 969:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.303280162702367, b_new = 0.2996440123324069, c_new = -0.4215638082338127
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11713.437225622514
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 970:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6384715462815134, b_new = 1.5747582429588423, c_new = -0.5785954853861144
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3799.1898002105836
Acceptance probability: 1.7115e-319
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 971:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.094918437232994, b_new = 1.262490381955844, c_new = 0.6751746717464269
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6776.499666765723
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 972:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0739777225733524, b_new = 1.1497131780512735, c_new = 0.5350044537616103
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12053.805704943607
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 973:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4995705252353497, b_new = 0.622525166642441, c_new = 0.5308776175884319
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7938.488704021063
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 974:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.172604067322096, b_new = 1.4214114198080279, c_new = 0.9554879701365998
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9109.178470747436
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 975:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.656908135725189, b_new = 0.7254036238627952, c_new = 0.6122458513783695
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4665.000358305222
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 976:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.78333921050052, b_new = 1.3837605492790286, c_new = 1.3385939809199403
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3101.109639842204
Acceptance probability: 2.5452624176919177e-16
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 977:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6537438640928555, b_new = 1.123094981422304, c_new = 0.21446282969108404
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4104.272213353968
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 978:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4318645415481894, b_new = 1.1693207802224477, c_new = 0.41737220585911694
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11824.885457479004
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 979:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.129001146434975, b_new = 0.9744453981304367, c_new = 0.27842202467691546
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11954.680406362286
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 980:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.154433709844341, b_new = 1.1438129778621446, c_new = 1.1706202406142348
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7990.952324990744
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 981:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5252816721926186, b_new = 0.7319996949926122, c_new = -0.2298390199408028
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7463.214065888385
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 982:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5028465653102185, b_new = 2.359128428364193, c_new = 0.2759009419551431
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13856.80723439073
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 983:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.430201305387479, b_new = 1.665891340982053, c_new = 0.12993889476293097
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6794.933496858552
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 984:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8810210696127405, b_new = 0.8977853833889001, c_new = 1.0706124466565243
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3168.2915449076463
Acceptance probability: 1.6943452569967097e-45
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 985:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.475144583360203, b_new = 1.5422584226583373, c_new = 0.10721559550689275
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12618.064001417426
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 986:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.857082005055857, b_new = 0.6335408897211977, c_new = 0.08964033566917967
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3091.971760053883
Acceptance probability: 2.3673547015877824e-12
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 987:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.243188200089949, b_new = 0.4512553391297417, c_new = -0.053831482859007185
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11900.17441175118
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 988:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7155821896296573, b_new = 0.633347125283769, c_new = 0.6959198137925052
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3983.071343948434
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 989:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.282398363749543, b_new = 0.4871183819628571, c_new = 0.2133048761497692
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8489.725488209626
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 990:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.140774344543017, b_new = 0.6809028149417491, c_new = -0.15403817119132512
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5878.665260157726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 991:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.351386267996823, b_new = 1.2641987499120861, c_new = -0.08233845400954687
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9112.600188526249
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 992:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.657003074089468, b_new = 1.2594812587648023, c_new = 0.7455529347493972
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3764.564216159538
Acceptance probability: 1.8666851684914697e-304
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 993:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8700617305885356, b_new = 1.1612322885528414, c_new = 0.6575023156947946
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3252.7713444097403
Acceptance probability: 3.466499606325991e-82
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 994:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3325927577542505, b_new = 0.008284778486816302, c_new = 0.8229344006027615
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11486.854668421649
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 995:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.158280055264519, b_new = 1.2296966649852943, c_new = 0.4490737031734602
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8040.111387702158
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 996:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.095759738531339, b_new = 0.7121039950407044, c_new = 0.9657544614274384
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5405.848525571344
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 997:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7872163035450486, b_new = 0.9264625312976066, c_new = 0.2813092079258053
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3170.0386416266297
Acceptance probability: 2.9528912087543755e-46
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 998:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.961508249158826, b_new = 1.3136202544843945, c_new = 0.2237439668720593
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4250.054211544766
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 999:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4065695203186457, b_new = 0.39724692700259284, c_new = 0.1450603946688081
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10098.56842954905
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1000:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8078099424800165, b_new = 1.2905408063352162, c_new = 0.07302868131020057
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3083.3406405204173
Acceptance probability: 1.3265111943848552e-08
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1001:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.847232976807132, b_new = 0.5772342947302056, c_new = -0.534605722787401
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3193.2192421821564
Acceptance probability: 2.529534099974062e-56
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1002:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.94748693671722, b_new = 0.7021618000348986, c_new = -0.000499975624750848
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3313.921052013541
Acceptance probability: 9.614142897806505e-109
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1003:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0307864478277087, b_new = 0.6680439650410509, c_new = -0.4002203941006741
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13280.603291404417
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1004:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1041035007096784, b_new = 1.135617575613063, c_new = 1.2672274911264059
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6845.7653316088745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1005:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.735693267999591, b_new = 0.5811203505938193, c_new = 0.9075029180030691
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3782.2533378483486
Acceptance probability: 3.8795659385e-312
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1006:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.631736661897427, b_new = 1.0674143432840402, c_new = 0.42081200012690295
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13123.097863304902
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1007:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8080183341029223, b_new = 1.0158018390050256, c_new = -0.26903561179575886
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3111.3148266303233
Acceptance probability: 9.411877284793402e-21
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1008:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.410281276140915, b_new = 0.9649664646110412, c_new = -0.02097870341595509
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11179.594345183414
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1009:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.638311468113171, b_new = 1.3194830242332993, c_new = 0.6050568909395967
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13498.115681204401
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1010:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.723308930407344, b_new = 1.1993850745702224, c_new = 0.9918000118202026
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3257.7503575944797
Acceptance probability: 2.3852461512447787e-84
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1011:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.774921536038534, b_new = 1.5898284893785615, c_new = 0.6725253150093862
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3120.908652785025
Acceptance probability: 6.414022760882121e-25
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1012:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8279465294953456, b_new = 1.587188610798293, c_new = 0.7388880240686231
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3351.6514903052384
Acceptance probability: 3.951749645550214e-125
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1013:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2187647387624763, b_new = 1.2165987550939712, c_new = 0.6197210383304089
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9322.989145347521
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1014:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2821651102315124, b_new = 0.7064599806717158, c_new = 0.8729292218442317
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10744.454003758408
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1015:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.872983860912446, b_new = 1.160098610215501, c_new = 0.8363542158696268
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3284.717112192756
Acceptance probability: 4.6346878234182385e-96
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1016:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.76117866230262, b_new = 0.9332404046112506, c_new = 0.11743881776275361
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3317.8712561525354
Acceptance probability: 1.850796684891973e-110
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1017:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4198081602648096, b_new = 0.6104004271366148, c_new = 0.6630681748784836
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9259.310370891613
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1018:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0898871112316835, b_new = 1.0344901385107705, c_new = 0.4540875641092207
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5939.662679375899
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1019:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.374836556722646, b_new = 0.02898763257854453, c_new = 1.4331294213788364
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9398.99318323075
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1020:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1213794570960847, b_new = 0.45612359125396473, c_new = 0.12632829420770997
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5055.143882380954
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1021:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.796284076320441, b_new = 1.112681474061713, c_new = 0.6578259226293942
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -14066.289285522756
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1022:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.787822394230168, b_new = 0.8083159009047651, c_new = -0.05453063110819467
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13583.008879040917
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1023:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.144970261537335, b_new = 1.278471373786344, c_new = -0.14244193000857452
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7651.775468907899
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1024:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3434828271612185, b_new = 1.1692890752437683, c_new = 0.41409570615884495
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10950.516852165387
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1025:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.87318539161181, b_new = 0.7831707355731764, c_new = 0.6096152032556285
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3081.5003122960184
Acceptance probability: 8.35517040990302e-08
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1026:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2692073517960685, b_new = 0.7894849692607697, c_new = 0.7549197648458138
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9203.179487144364
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1027:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.187981695774974, b_new = 0.5905812716383245, c_new = 0.5446295356773775
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6892.815653105389
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1028:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7308370781758557, b_new = 0.5342240246036901, c_new = 0.6828549295079787
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3952.202330886499
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1029:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8876602791893475, b_new = 1.044263801525912, c_new = 0.32371399300964687
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3239.0913463330835
Acceptance probability: 3.02718409105314e-76
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1030:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.425313519427705, b_new = 0.7133293772740871, c_new = 0.6065935630545817
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11084.504998186268
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1031:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7379663291489478, b_new = 0.4249600687706297, c_new = 0.9973569380936189
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13134.237651395846
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1032:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.009061206327521, b_new = 0.4480792272147768, c_new = -0.35886890824717965
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -14151.302537351763
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1033:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.128287285216175, b_new = 0.306213689653017, c_new = -0.7136248364879813
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4673.675621839029
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1034:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.234893121542945, b_new = 1.668904860246278, c_new = 0.809055977693756
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10717.891847080318
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1035:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4306775483761633, b_new = 1.1696871586450686, c_new = 0.04863301884970361
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11716.336718721883
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1036:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.917031946567125, b_new = 0.7520821115882685, c_new = 0.5354624991520581
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3214.1924340542814
Acceptance probability: 1.9701488541848235e-65
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1037:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5105459584060594, b_new = 2.117782398302846, c_new = -0.0679811773602843
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13536.488097588233
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1038:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.192888691930774, b_new = 0.10254208861034686, c_new = -0.055059711598962946
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12847.00652840598
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1039:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6088404465987503, b_new = 0.6842270034951483, c_new = -0.00972156036402344
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5820.23349348687
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1040:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.421095760622913, b_new = 0.5192785740579049, c_new = 1.1650993674480694
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10866.187582424065
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1041:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.307785149771981, b_new = 0.7273274979559575, c_new = 0.4908876234019977
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9609.11256714907
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1042:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3293058845687145, b_new = 0.9972816122071316, c_new = 0.572356452356908
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10507.971865278441
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1043:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8136071909243348, b_new = 0.24891450765318535, c_new = 0.6116733839436469
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3496.8726574069447
Acceptance probability: 3.3731674058747314e-188
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1044:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.423938716402944, b_new = 0.761964111970653, c_new = 0.280540773977344
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9000.570294728635
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1045:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5882780616144956, b_new = 0.49796607484372074, c_new = 0.7311183459009241
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6429.681919905823
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1046:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0535456765446103, b_new = 1.2388725983976527, c_new = 0.48980193994103505
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5736.393320490603
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1047:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.913963080072289, b_new = 0.7565821537317259, c_new = -0.5352806069234187
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13876.887637704811
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1048:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.099603897647037, b_new = 0.5700422623046852, c_new = 1.0572566184899594
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5171.4683751328275
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1049:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.682299635002644, b_new = 1.4506709558572264, c_new = 0.03544300254617044
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3438.3266832495874
Acceptance probability: 8.999769973465395e-163
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1050:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.633467716248495, b_new = 1.2204779614649526, c_new = 0.012502600536059949
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4261.374984857326
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1051:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9659212226959495, b_new = 0.8030756323195796, c_new = 0.4443714679262193
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3597.4982932483817
Acceptance probability: 6.71242600493306e-232
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1052:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.191100843806187, b_new = 0.890478379124721, c_new = 0.7397369699222602
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7893.031274225663
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1053:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9421941307197965, b_new = 0.5488512112498336, c_new = 0.4231417610766632
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13692.266474572833
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1054:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4529457917373634, b_new = 1.224892099755389, c_new = 1.1872455694015094
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7066.786522318685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1055:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3597819661060164, b_new = 0.9572635387345345, c_new = 1.0755977031999722
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10946.696414743888
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1056:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.742402851695156, b_new = 1.1631075520923195, c_new = 0.9625057148122481
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3186.493116680661
Acceptance probability: 2.1094038206053136e-53
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1057:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.630148127040878, b_new = 0.9997037222406034, c_new = -0.5901005144471428
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4898.050194117353
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1058:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9228540573765502, b_new = 1.2305624086542497, c_new = 0.40498155121455015
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3699.5563463907015
Acceptance probability: 3.1888214136369643e-276
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1059:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.426080183710575, b_new = 0.11344537988702708, c_new = -0.8951732863738616
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10850.749252825626
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1060:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7813629083822664, b_new = 0.631742947904995, c_new = 0.31622273657342725
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3412.183987293746
Acceptance probability: 2.0317019857783848e-151
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1061:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3628972092805856, b_new = 1.2008492740052117, c_new = 0.33186433211830774
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11191.918674942102
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1062:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.426444581647375, b_new = 0.06647349612703912, c_new = -0.008194145122953467
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9779.456333519123
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1063:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1329241578620826, b_new = 0.9220142082342815, c_new = 0.8756879066595022
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6726.680598725326
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1064:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8624518080589154, b_new = -0.04280703480790593, c_new = 0.07424240783109465
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3510.991794862337
Acceptance probability: 2.4898570235615304e-194
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1065:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6709156029125767, b_new = 0.903096649901918, c_new = 0.565532909183041
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4153.4093532249835
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1066:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1975814903928343, b_new = 1.017309452630344, c_new = 0.7961741658062695
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11110.331873838682
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1067:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8757806311250733, b_new = 0.7202749076771335, c_new = 1.075158402394075
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13663.701946332822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1068:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.287651060619103, b_new = 0.8595239633308009, c_new = 0.22870176991855232
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9503.579375739655
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1069:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.036512466060954, b_new = 1.1710292552985124, c_new = -0.15316128319171995
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5052.821301098282
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1070:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7003047991414175, b_new = 0.7068757842810907, c_new = -0.22019523922117523
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4286.255165904879
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1071:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8304269814689307, b_new = 0.5788662824548461, c_new = 0.1923129879767856
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3182.573168150629
Acceptance probability: 1.0630941889184052e-51
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1072:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.533598464775028, b_new = 0.6998394724101614, c_new = 0.979291935009123
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12122.403945646807
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1073:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6903129028616837, b_new = 1.4015921828399593, c_new = -0.2124727952872112
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13676.205868234625
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1074:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6556323690926447, b_new = 0.25207511682561834, c_new = 1.2363229902703319
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5533.5287629331415
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1075:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.506148744676463, b_new = 1.3497353362679982, c_new = 1.199636495588571
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5767.013543200426
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1076:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2875493702364396, b_new = 0.574211691610629, c_new = -0.7783345311797677
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8478.08119925278
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1077:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9959436282189837, b_new = 0.9991027696895318, c_new = 0.6262943008508184
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12772.432661146813
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1078:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5472609120487664, b_new = -0.03489392526100643, c_new = 0.7113272951205728
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8676.615965694724
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1079:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.564353734567919, b_new = 1.1071426389534686, c_new = 0.1513126058973541
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5588.043145129754
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1080:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7980566119157677, b_new = 0.15048661070342906, c_new = 0.27770985309641816
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13012.851253475468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1081:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.609005563394444, b_new = 1.1918188558645562, c_new = -0.2391216713353973
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4743.700247225435
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1082:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.223182968407631, b_new = 0.6926195158777668, c_new = 0.23305887550230417
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7837.754333863435
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1083:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7934111213534467, b_new = 1.874327604084271, c_new = -1.128804026041427
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3214.809755363452
Acceptance probability: 1.0626733816411195e-65
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1084:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.772902298875422, b_new = 0.8294605473119167, c_new = 0.7801745685519978
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3247.1576714208995
Acceptance probability: 9.503385738957176e-80
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1085:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.651268265889537, b_new = 0.46928307667725044, c_new = 0.9642139347815509
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5196.391813677223
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1086:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6677235035481375, b_new = 1.1074842327601297, c_new = -0.4627359596038807
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13181.84819743469
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1087:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2033560027211605, b_new = 1.6547009378811264, c_new = 0.7259212373942847
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10185.939531009073
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1088:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2389478540433942, b_new = 1.1612681167144592, c_new = 0.5427565572712929
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10508.008345487724
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1089:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.825091476273126, b_new = 0.6463081123254306, c_new = 0.3070739808741597
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3157.7243030272793
Acceptance probability: 6.581073615913736e-41
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1090:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7215428279024443, b_new = 0.8908374867407056, c_new = 1.1307757403547507
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3510.894484067958
Acceptance probability: 2.7443275793027247e-194
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1091:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4516785155314085, b_new = 0.8869245645547214, c_new = 0.32649741279065736
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11542.459779141962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1092:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9216334963343686, b_new = -0.35938059528912847, c_new = 0.5797827274421239
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3316.6335803869783
Acceptance probability: 6.380790244307061e-110
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1093:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4656455032204234, b_new = 1.2534626080931408, c_new = 0.7147185366399165
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6925.559307517468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1094:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.48752997376177, b_new = 1.2141799345588529, c_new = 0.9817817191025415
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12487.748850003427
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1095:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5170232005229827, b_new = 1.6522594383206106, c_new = 0.26828364542273003
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5183.744842249542
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1096:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3222293614085303, b_new = 1.5826046879075428, c_new = 0.33402876893290234
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11431.563327606045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1097:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8821134192657687, b_new = 0.7552257233485784, c_new = 0.5074256709456095
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3090.8940896807535
Acceptance probability: 6.954879817688017e-12
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1098:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7521233889438865, b_new = 1.0709410894766582, c_new = 0.7734132355398231
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3205.7068170649836
Acceptance probability: 9.544554769858726e-62
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1099:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7330722252478945, b_new = 0.2902045243016277, c_new = -0.25960834006847533
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4599.453620552535
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1100:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3033635342487653, b_new = 0.5161146689906513, c_new = -0.07820594461222641
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11195.821258666518
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1101:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.01009509032652, b_new = 1.00684921443415, c_new = 0.4682160833748156
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4443.397375089973
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1102:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.691754286265086, b_new = 0.7314590358637563, c_new = 0.2920246148909853
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4227.943368610615
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1103:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.887748187011911, b_new = 0.810176239735547, c_new = 0.6457009092715809
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3128.924518747809
Acceptance probability: 2.117796086465259e-28
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1104:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.473333996438807, b_new = 0.4051194748184111, c_new = 0.2263303651342829
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9064.90238823978
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1105:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2267640994245537, b_new = 0.3255999810010862, c_new = 0.09698614597300326
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12196.3849501659
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1106:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.569410837229642, b_new = 0.7911026410373311, c_new = -0.04581040510715434
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6344.6015833217925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1107:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.814728391152039, b_new = 0.6053159976452385, c_new = -0.024805102604111895
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3266.616110877627
Acceptance probability: 3.3665531470509426e-88
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1108:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6732230096227156, b_new = 1.0226574567913418, c_new = -0.09808214318285752
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4087.035522633793
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1109:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.076580764696996, b_new = -0.10726712662030247, c_new = 0.7556313108304253
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -14141.736189000523
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1110:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.068493242111968, b_new = 1.3860385577909429, c_new = 1.0751074205383748
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6690.785977467425
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1111:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6285599203026835, b_new = 0.006916259590977969, c_new = 1.171160299015975
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6739.81938619684
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1112:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7221240547115837, b_new = 1.2664812408727464, c_new = 0.659440524906626
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3252.0430575964856
Acceptance probability: 7.180953251566973e-82
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1113:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.260880537831116, b_new = 0.9859681910632245, c_new = -0.40954940844743515
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9136.377920255662
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1114:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3419974119517564, b_new = 1.8559897523774151, c_new = 1.4775954476970385
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7461.757997719016
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1115:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.791273387349512, b_new = 0.8614854447095183, c_new = 1.3428692676496246
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3108.842643181734
Acceptance probability: 1.1151463982998399e-19
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1116:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4568308798381295, b_new = 1.0140881557766759, c_new = 0.048331719046252664
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7928.193519782188
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1117:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0428142740571156, b_new = 0.45310561055508713, c_new = -0.4145236946537564
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3825.2336120577115
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1118:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.680385003980785, b_new = 0.42544260820816376, c_new = 1.1398923567500683
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4739.137977153829
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1119:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7619209604101504, b_new = 0.5910534138123038, c_new = 0.47137622863749107
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3590.6457031450077
Acceptance probability: 6.352162211492139e-229
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1120:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.430844401483884, b_new = 1.3231715097328784, c_new = 0.705117483288817
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7403.550473355799
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1121:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9151089114042508, b_new = 1.730568521215511, c_new = 0.15427967391422762
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4335.434040074912
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1122:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.094837269181241, b_new = -0.07009560324791131, c_new = 1.0247841364818167
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3909.1082533657504
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1123:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.829754054229661, b_new = 1.3367995486018736, c_new = 0.033093465020104296
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3140.6604549618214
Acceptance probability: 1.6944618826187463e-33
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1124:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1734513721830915, b_new = 1.1553750506042517, c_new = 0.7726137946596552
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8287.795069623297
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1125:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9811443859643703, b_new = -0.055889363471398945, c_new = 0.3792488162469746
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3115.930627696985
Acceptance probability: 9.312350705394449e-23
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1126:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.175866382939592, b_new = 0.6657075268126674, c_new = -0.6969671947465471
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -14837.801442375488
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1127:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.761227858900328, b_new = 1.3426589074234694, c_new = 0.8634880403224068
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3086.0991674052552
Acceptance probability: 8.408100906478885e-10
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1128:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9560258953983642, b_new = -0.21472355718747793, c_new = 0.7054915918918063
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3103.1952144163242
Acceptance probability: 3.1621250148320364e-17
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1129:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.257632836192412, b_new = 1.5942300336484845, c_new = 0.21912870180295435
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10668.666183775127
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1130:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.209683440055462, b_new = 0.3762617431837142, c_new = 0.8981228905639297
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11998.188945045837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1131:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.880266234985072, b_new = 1.9309954464447137, c_new = -0.1549073641258788
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -14951.069882784159
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1132:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3229350598301295, b_new = 1.2239525135894433, c_new = -0.7651954838672971
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9831.569892259397
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1133:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3992843334462024, b_new = 1.3997929966784757, c_new = 0.13623589861599317
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11816.169016882845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1134:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8234973882952015, b_new = 2.3043122334933313, c_new = 0.7858031397028662
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4278.81171975585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1135:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.717444339158466, b_new = 1.6954761348473286, c_new = 0.6423966307294193
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3114.0958313662104
Acceptance probability: 5.833124488927476e-22
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1136:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0301619373967292, b_new = 0.9619693831290945, c_new = 1.0961497783632472
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4831.510273509695
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1137:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.159679541647669, b_new = 0.2081413068729242, c_new = 1.782595555623867
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12365.040376364635
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1138:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3470078041217466, b_new = 0.09977919253373524, c_new = 0.49571521870876256
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11283.730505687941
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1139:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.490884825682503, b_new = 1.2939708357873239, c_new = 0.2682769015173322
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6502.297770906876
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1140:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8442120970953413, b_new = 0.4705406397707182, c_new = -0.4288043530105865
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3258.2192224577648
Acceptance probability: 1.4924774597100812e-84
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1141:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.912351608919904, b_new = 1.692031627807804, c_new = 1.2797946451021271
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4510.25962956846
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1142:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9423443413095083, b_new = 1.0029597913250974, c_new = 0.30337565541541245
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13191.568405228918
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1143:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9422375064912525, b_new = 0.7729983379129792, c_new = 0.32612077873202366
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13460.817314910231
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1144:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4135435587225986, b_new = 1.4778740098591423, c_new = 0.7123632814653729
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7344.164021830474
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1145:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.648056724932044, b_new = 0.4813106153136999, c_new = -0.04485277375147895
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5576.462547207389
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1146:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5667890295038083, b_new = 1.7491204825571938, c_new = 0.08032484282749436
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4276.268475141173
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1147:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3066017369234415, b_new = 0.42594130682434655, c_new = 0.6465210081846198
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11068.202996977405
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1148:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5507178171694176, b_new = 0.9194747993718613, c_new = 0.35198642543030595
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6239.415015859334
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1149:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.237950947707934, b_new = 0.4327041537262491, c_new = 0.8309665092686476
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7647.579157218122
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1150:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.850896928445913, b_new = 0.757848741074217, c_new = -0.1608821097757035
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3089.960890287356
Acceptance probability: 1.7683693409353073e-11
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1151:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2222114692369113, b_new = 1.489792115175025, c_new = 0.6942129231609844
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10085.389060715694
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1152:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1587409464355596, b_new = 0.9904537349897048, c_new = 1.1415344232387044
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7619.496925787912
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1153:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.670306919460364, b_new = 1.0453869542243395, c_new = 0.05222613927725983
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4053.2964688109055
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1154:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9724633067847623, b_new = 0.2918511174992101, c_new = 0.35674011500693925
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3205.559763722007
Acceptance probability: 1.105656261725099e-61
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1155:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.76095061103043, b_new = 0.5736275200616535, c_new = 0.7153037012606882
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3576.237459149007
Acceptance probability: 1.1490592978216618e-222
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1156:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.966961701741415, b_new = 1.3794568944754548, c_new = 0.26674265243142703
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -14881.024224027835
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1157:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8265634325768745, b_new = 0.7447819339661228, c_new = 0.5491906529987958
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3096.2387298676194
Acceptance probability: 3.320029088083359e-14
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1158:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.352638962054141, b_new = 0.823458271411571, c_new = 0.3186728410473472
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9864.954328456355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1159:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5056075029061606, b_new = 2.048165242295547, c_new = 1.2163950194805757
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13748.04142578871
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1160:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9070532112554286, b_new = 0.7030568770081274, c_new = 0.3781267883657823
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3139.5436389799543
Acceptance probability: 5.176769426696507e-33
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1161:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6149528819014414, b_new = 1.0974086821876314, c_new = 1.1890860265545697
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4451.113849445926
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1162:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2438057382329784, b_new = 0.7164222498440779, c_new = 0.3348960367178869
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8373.42118801862
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1163:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.393702037354035, b_new = 0.4583766820280511, c_new = 0.015527749843459504
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10113.880231040379
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1164:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.020810668221797, b_new = 0.43930993803861984, c_new = 0.7851937926569829
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3741.0373664430654
Acceptance probability: 3.0807189875141203e-294
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1165:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0188797736541266, b_new = 0.3972493926407991, c_new = 0.5581662673260053
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13406.216421376714
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1166:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.546384482791217, b_new = 0.10488909231892474, c_new = 0.2716818081082951
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8512.255346957272
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1167:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5059649685355283, b_new = 1.1771081030865742, c_new = 0.6211967496141136
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6374.460079079566
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1168:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.440970486502494, b_new = 1.1556868424622735, c_new = 0.38549784663140996
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11874.513341850015
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1169:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4747674286326444, b_new = 0.6731134583804096, c_new = 0.8557519707500754
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8137.0235514087035
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1170:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4803470300832435, b_new = 0.9850890291906151, c_new = 0.9171254732058362
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12091.615678099313
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1171:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1917520887048485, b_new = 0.39484030243658536, c_new = 0.5485024547764944
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12230.319823421749
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1172:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.723744826015851, b_new = 0.597920202858504, c_new = 0.8460541458943147
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3905.6379079741505
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1173:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.764873599575908, b_new = 0.651851441344194, c_new = 1.3490851236074741
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3368.698014254258
Acceptance probability: 1.5616299741738604e-132
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1174:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9093216551176893, b_new = 0.36683443315296294, c_new = -0.04008083217804409
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3090.6448746773367
Acceptance probability: 8.923234996880463e-12
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1175:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.470733217308499, b_new = 0.6444974432352932, c_new = 0.03284623926527219
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8601.749087231987
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1176:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3074696103472543, b_new = 0.7075764046395843, c_new = 0.6710757472710486
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10523.641824763923
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1177:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1164186591995793, b_new = -0.09152913743689928, c_new = 0.13184609685150206
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13563.304942078197
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1178:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8328026664436807, b_new = 0.3636674402184631, c_new = 0.8860538986131069
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3227.423822981337
Acceptance probability: 3.533294533498021e-71
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1179:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6590275841891797, b_new = 0.7401241925794183, c_new = 0.1712651927773034
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4730.095185059987
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1180:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5103045724738453, b_new = 1.550571115197144, c_new = 0.17821631508695981
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5553.854218873371
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1181:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.051135447061497, b_new = 1.7976156569382233, c_new = 0.35387183069146466
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7240.230350004907
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1182:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5263665962200514, b_new = 0.7492146910060249, c_new = 0.04438052043178581
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11901.833927688214
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1183:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.305532058278809, b_new = -0.06073770536851719, c_new = -0.5003751330599032
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7294.911912788154
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1184:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.475866671888136, b_new = -0.17826288817073754, c_new = 0.6623627492114705
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10116.734053114656
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1185:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7591604759321178, b_new = 0.07718195646471204, c_new = 1.075806716246099
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12876.12933131154
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1186:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6547795863256978, b_new = 1.2386427149636496, c_new = 0.4321272831929166
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3874.5465677175807
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1187:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.114736891881051, b_new = 1.3031541965553752, c_new = 0.1731446342220516
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7157.84428449554
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1188:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.472472189527655, b_new = 1.0813839813400972, c_new = 0.24585761821609384
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -15945.761760457335
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1189:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.394008219557106, b_new = 0.666777692183867, c_new = -0.1399034762275423
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10459.928670916805
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1190:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6563160584340757, b_new = 0.1902459971448428, c_new = 0.20606561532582074
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6059.12895791283
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1191:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.683834792439487, b_new = 1.1636149773984024, c_new = 0.685620742249716
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3622.1742540237788
Acceptance probability: 1.2889792045850331e-242
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1192:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.477189510693826, b_new = 0.4494870004232174, c_new = -0.16096172402586784
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10969.01452267129
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1193:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.561608129554648, b_new = -0.1283037329528547, c_new = 0.32757319286677955
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8821.471547466768
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1194:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4174070718104317, b_new = 0.6406469435562404, c_new = 0.5236581966884992
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9280.13534648078
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1195:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2638229393815674, b_new = 1.3507197700541036, c_new = 0.8108607600709564
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10437.82918020027
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1196:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4205785072829897, b_new = 0.18461336479485935, c_new = 0.6264531331020944
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10175.958506578181
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1197:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5714785597367738, b_new = 1.7813715625564988, c_new = 0.4682744103789906
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4084.440250510612
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1198:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3935445948203977, b_new = 0.13993856783219438, c_new = 0.26398908168672125
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10750.11032440968
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1199:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.584691153193342, b_new = 0.5725004651848783, c_new = -0.5844885005255904
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11963.424485986845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1200:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0740206677123663, b_new = 1.5619669616931096, c_new = -0.5552288831412582
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6705.124272788244
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1201:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.737702133582988, b_new = 1.4588755445952417, c_new = 0.762472558722799
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3110.2901296351793
Acceptance probability: 2.6223853297006518e-20
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1202:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.162453197292783, b_new = 1.169506743794865, c_new = 0.29836259537806953
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11354.640947507853
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1203:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3074847033957595, b_new = 1.1763136828354146, c_new = 0.4509947645205027
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10546.307711490366
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1204:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1308399342724016, b_new = 1.0549460230184553, c_new = -0.10626840076217314
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6698.047715351387
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1205:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5611873009328847, b_new = 0.9355662075979297, c_new = 0.5494000840108637
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5923.898768979222
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1206:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4656636702114256, b_new = 0.2906432879424562, c_new = -0.032395228351383976
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10626.175009117771
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1207:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.420976989252662, b_new = 0.3470916383250159, c_new = 1.2075424755247157
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9611.097157166547
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1208:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.668946481639599, b_new = 0.7266824559157963, c_new = 0.00047435247749233467
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4650.310816898627
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1209:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8933948555730566, b_new = 1.4565450608480737, c_new = 0.1965227844413706
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -14675.992360295493
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1210:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5537453841756586, b_new = 0.9127144743056816, c_new = 0.8083016326237222
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12514.899142138844
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1211:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.924591578755445, b_new = 0.6693939004044294, c_new = 0.5611027144776206
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13609.623744684804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1212:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6490829132486304, b_new = 1.6023953628467162, c_new = 0.20427362364794538
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13771.232042513535
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1213:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.076798933211007, b_new = 0.23130357167152793, c_new = -0.1815033798896203
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3940.661724287818
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1214:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.814062462400188, b_new = 1.6604254388787685, c_new = -0.07149917990948185
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3248.915974085554
Acceptance probability: 1.6377862199027787e-80
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1215:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.042211699413625, b_new = 0.8631829862241661, c_new = 0.4454982049778067
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4654.289210580055
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1216:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.979539274165413, b_new = 0.40623698634096805, c_new = 0.8290961634778815
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3353.1275187503547
Acceptance probability: 9.031469386592738e-126
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1217:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4711976483957487, b_new = 2.0058107045268256, c_new = 0.3262197582517472
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13254.498521664365
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1218:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.24678556705171, b_new = 0.1021317583414516, c_new = 0.9571503712857194
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6968.957800000018
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1219:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0584887094542794, b_new = 0.47592697117114036, c_new = 0.7311918847977052
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4242.921369172573
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1220:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2568083333749085, b_new = 1.0385070333604884, c_new = -0.07033570875954775
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10741.892061482404
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1221:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0411976201377344, b_new = 0.249081881638889, c_new = 1.0073831440135705
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13324.831470108067
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1222:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.559207777354176, b_new = 1.3256470077020346, c_new = 0.8619556431518258
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4976.318296102161
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1223:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6011620429942512, b_new = 1.0571807136513762, c_new = 1.2129264070685142
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4731.138071868187
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1224:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.251384470496081, b_new = 0.4660482056343646, c_new = -0.2959207086279443
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11883.805315743439
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1225:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.777296111767643, b_new = 0.8407291815978915, c_new = 0.5796299593576486
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13696.062533347473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1226:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1868454586906925, b_new = 1.2287976684431965, c_new = 1.3980223647867454
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9037.7846084208
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1227:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2967539696093224, b_new = 0.8368205652631063, c_new = 0.40701481871398276
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10496.071753190452
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1228:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.503034655006294, b_new = 1.0343896817750937, c_new = -0.013918317884608344
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7025.652839547411
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1229:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9346366079808393, b_new = 1.2403051441497694, c_new = -1.351443985380119
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3587.45110546341
Acceptance probability: 1.5499501301273142e-227
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1230:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8871088790100718, b_new = 1.5518285240096972, c_new = 0.7808624041941077
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12725.553783972246
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1231:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.148323738017585, b_new = 0.9079553881610924, c_new = -0.03105525683561039
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11994.48627433347
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1232:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1015344163729948, b_new = 0.519217977881933, c_new = -0.23096652415901786
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4763.168112870237
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1233:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1891733893464793, b_new = 0.342283846093109, c_new = 0.6543993365945984
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6273.497368083783
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1234:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5212683972639605, b_new = 0.062437862800857835, c_new = 0.3312288957153937
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9053.421055608334
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1235:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8466666083163235, b_new = 0.8703799643883304, c_new = 0.11252253485531583
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13945.954135056229
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1236:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7017119147834268, b_new = 0.8783239839105539, c_new = 1.5014834089539884
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3648.6538332716923
Acceptance probability: 4.0767188394795246e-254
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1237:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.268123403537316, b_new = 0.7174121926175445, c_new = -0.6962260369850845
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8497.884673251343
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1238:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0201360902032515, b_new = 1.1080085390762984, c_new = 1.4328869619883609
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5079.572248523298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1239:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.142171673738967, b_new = 1.0747787929371884, c_new = 0.061039566863835826
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11760.893022599876
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1240:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.257781569588558, b_new = 0.4510346918825522, c_new = 0.7731917577531704
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8097.8340078445335
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1241:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3194054548356875, b_new = 1.310419557685772, c_new = -0.10589741882559722
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10779.916973290301
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1242:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.978431922197142, b_new = 0.04938507869026687, c_new = 0.8803184633389557
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3135.0330936104515
Acceptance probability: 4.7093805551580715e-31
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1243:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.83274413998916, b_new = 1.2969655126618111, c_new = 0.1318480672438157
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3137.2798260773684
Acceptance probability: 4.97989600607752e-32
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1244:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1226611886563767, b_new = 0.29465608335108606, c_new = 0.3485018597708853
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12943.952969737818
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1245:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.610111289191086, b_new = 0.5975263829696849, c_new = 0.6755177167273547
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5762.626907122607
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1246:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3913732130054948, b_new = 1.3495062474982706, c_new = 1.3687841552375795
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7796.60269796146
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1247:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3134437366076477, b_new = 1.058687363912229, c_new = 0.2299109639854936
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10317.571270019671
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1248:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1366117414086365, b_new = 0.7702578697573745, c_new = 0.7414433589204366
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6328.541146842329
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1249:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2355352002392457, b_new = 0.5827965197111791, c_new = 0.7308416370568349
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11489.035338656235
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1250:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.48796474198482, b_new = 0.6412071558010015, c_new = 0.9328002758164425
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11649.527539370965
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1251:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9637689071981175, b_new = 0.9622487098277442, c_new = 0.6996664004110955
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3818.143247392239
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1252:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1340670409327496, b_new = 0.9013256671012929, c_new = 1.0566453706898657
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11782.599031366699
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1253:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.168597445768211, b_new = 1.808658307556859, c_new = 0.6067232162732811
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9935.901279729384
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1254:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.558518870030116, b_new = 1.6436601042210213, c_new = 0.20833249211974111
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13320.847812186137
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1255:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6406610180295513, b_new = 0.5897032273399616, c_new = 0.4630580292988585
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12609.35743803332
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1256:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4795386897911738, b_new = 0.26497094925473996, c_new = 0.9843096306951212
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10992.239857441227
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1257:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.420332018842655, b_new = 1.285985915461991, c_new = -0.09849065461843637
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7969.954956854537
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1258:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5168911806527503, b_new = 1.3202157533128989, c_new = 0.9806980929084105
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12838.385650150936
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1259:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5654469832821802, b_new = 1.0087427710720904, c_new = 0.8568157182567375
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5564.052489259337
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1260:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5304069769622184, b_new = 0.3386946265880285, c_new = 0.8868308184675029
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7946.077217506846
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1261:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.816799534839239, b_new = 1.1857134331356758, c_new = -0.15538689605382416
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -14058.500573979025
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1262:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.372692620324272, b_new = 0.7905385643964394, c_new = -0.14613435996967183
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9837.423852779035
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1263:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1585202188718853, b_new = 1.435680547420133, c_new = 0.4073035876621176
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8632.061681036294
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1264:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4679591362003337, b_new = 1.2456883066783098, c_new = 0.4839962108796098
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6983.550178732962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1265:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5307648015702777, b_new = 1.0189045029584443, c_new = 0.5071574991080432
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6325.422435372497
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1266:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.710829542955366, b_new = 0.9674039262973895, c_new = -0.052156708976850874
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3725.203543900609
Acceptance probability: 2.3184292263090796e-287
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1267:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.082564557146257, b_new = 1.0479907005198634, c_new = 0.5411198725248874
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5851.835880441763
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1268:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.842692759065472, b_new = 0.869743584780017, c_new = 1.0650488296350105
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Acceptance probability: 100.16206201244783
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1269:
Current coefficients: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.193923663056294, b_new = 0.4041357658554862, c_new = 1.6193965741351366
Current likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Proposed likelihood: -11860.655355829393
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Iteration 1270:
Current coefficients: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.040607270791666, b_new = 1.3744139872114123, c_new = 1.7531939407962072
Current likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Proposed likelihood: -6292.292687350457
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Iteration 1271:
Current coefficients: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3111517824191665, b_new = 0.7704890743832784, c_new = 0.24751911022156892
Current likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Proposed likelihood: -10509.582751301612
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Iteration 1272:
Current coefficients: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.723016886237216, b_new = 1.0083716666511304, c_new = 0.542744687841096
Current likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Proposed likelihood: -3466.6793955019357
Acceptance probability: 4.366180387729846e-177
Max likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Iteration 1273:
Current coefficients: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.504384431828807, b_new = 0.5259360082552482, c_new = 1.7650985094448215
Current likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Proposed likelihood: -11840.840933252906
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Iteration 1274:
Current coefficients: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0104898619594307, b_new = 1.2364452693192864, c_new = 1.620044137510047
Current likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Proposed likelihood: -12090.330214098904
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Iteration 1275:
Current coefficients: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6591443871012963, b_new = 0.5294864149943133, c_new = 0.12006719566998325
Current likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Proposed likelihood: -5198.079517410841
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Iteration 1276:
Current coefficients: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5465546743177048, b_new = 0.831151504328766, c_new = 0.7476515468756374
Current likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Proposed likelihood: -6400.4360929984205
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Iteration 1277:
Current coefficients: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8636294595023233, b_new = 0.37921235009346144, c_new = 1.6148213321003895
Current likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Proposed likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Acceptance probability: 11.848104094714735
Max likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Iteration 1278:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6202930458683302, b_new = 0.9569731138982254, c_new = 0.8827442372723437
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -4712.505415866844
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1279:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.520524424742641, b_new = 0.0020975352942982917, c_new = 1.5930617653360313
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -8701.419676354159
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1280:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7826671790083393, b_new = 0.04057035374321294, c_new = 1.8369027386987329
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -3823.3079226035015
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1281:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7130870260947364, b_new = 0.9429257007317754, c_new = 1.9956021734046552
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -13802.954366035843
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1282:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1797744924534475, b_new = -0.26071107546918715, c_new = 1.905804158372217
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -4993.106656594982
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1283:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.188894393918763, b_new = 0.4936531216148061, c_new = 2.2382730161364988
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -7275.090339766279
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1284:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8134012334339276, b_new = 0.273101280021098, c_new = 1.860910881474809
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -14201.637047479051
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1285:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4752592775605393, b_new = -0.247352763967441, c_new = 1.6367805337502384
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -10250.921331519783
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1286:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.102992489644395, b_new = 1.18350533861752, c_new = 2.1862403575168665
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -11295.595688814241
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1287:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7546541077013553, b_new = -0.03367846207072278, c_new = 1.0958792908785582
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -14898.79751107066
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1288:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4886902710258076, b_new = -0.08235371380475959, c_new = 2.353503147672469
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -9138.417379944794
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1289:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0992157422916926, b_new = 0.5406059328932402, c_new = 1.896240752009835
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -5347.181405400801
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1290:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.810883963140904, b_new = 0.6707386480639056, c_new = 1.6287675740298468
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -3099.819801515577
Acceptance probability: 7.790227038122268e-19
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1291:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.502901216263775, b_new = 0.33972535595785275, c_new = 1.241254691270659
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -8311.05384803134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1292:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.820089415498588, b_new = 1.2318795653635344, c_new = 0.6803641184734344
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -3100.5777329315224
Acceptance probability: 3.6507717672638766e-19
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1293:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.08963211893135, b_new = 0.5253843863647831, c_new = 1.1602081927450194
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -12613.733152948482
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1294:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.202750501518944, b_new = 0.17668903412991724, c_new = 0.7295845342308991
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -6147.778343809359
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1295:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3275068170025515, b_new = -0.5668209149384221, c_new = 1.2371661315290505
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -6984.717255345744
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1296:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8955803626754837, b_new = 0.2997689044395347, c_new = 1.3746396765255149
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -13876.69034955969
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1297:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3251709489332204, b_new = 0.4403532946000988, c_new = 1.5106945194368193
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -10532.111940143743
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1298:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1094181443062574, b_new = 0.387248904103253, c_new = 1.7658254265809292
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -5137.634787633646
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1299:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2942679354256565, b_new = -0.40059567274593644, c_new = 1.1436087413085323
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -6697.644495544984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1300:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3160489771681947, b_new = 0.7178341323695756, c_new = 1.2267000627828732
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -9956.993047946084
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1301:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.367496154123421, b_new = 1.099762802261409, c_new = 1.0531556584613404
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -8830.542620480326
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1302:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.502266027857769, b_new = 1.1683555069021765, c_new = 1.9420222887438872
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -12788.688764162967
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1303:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0656507242973774, b_new = -0.3169690514087278, c_new = 1.4353937080030974
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -13743.322525339736
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1304:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1730427773109406, b_new = -0.07566247051969882, c_new = 1.984169517410044
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -5306.890546764439
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1305:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.349752339520064, b_new = 0.46816418258862547, c_new = 1.269716497709759
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -9922.580305293623
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1306:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2817468756736328, b_new = 0.29359534719575814, c_new = 1.4231837304030184
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -8397.967919479333
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1307:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.920301512944111, b_new = 0.36844532313751793, c_new = 1.6328205491962866
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -3091.162066291712
Acceptance probability: 4.48287623051795e-15
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1308:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7024176539842304, b_new = 0.6515554171114111, c_new = 1.555058277969618
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -3930.000192335884
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1309:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.168767419050367, b_new = 0.034420831673707575, c_new = 1.2232209823306657
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -12710.625103210436
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1310:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4334409344927384, b_new = 1.2435981558089757, c_new = 2.2892056635641214
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -12475.834487660066
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1311:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4394246400721946, b_new = -0.1391387673094091, c_new = 1.3657643618736475
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -10324.807618516405
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1312:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.205320117246471, b_new = 0.9526168996941373, c_new = 1.8870665040565626
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -8837.080057962572
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1313:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.488589557106238, b_new = 0.23068629772235813, c_new = 2.9342801566709333
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -8195.137136730573
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1314:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.707292052007248, b_new = 0.8279167436413253, c_new = 2.2058711385915086
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -3547.513221871904
Acceptance probability: 2.8891365584817377e-213
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1315:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.05983799472176, b_new = 0.8557182003467158, c_new = 0.8426641782019757
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -5041.111819514421
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1316:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5893538035699346, b_new = 1.1955327984337254, c_new = 2.0753724853204494
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -4445.214408865919
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1317:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4352284194602927, b_new = 0.22547621631825743, c_new = 2.1870581406214082
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -10801.257960103341
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1318:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.908893403479696, b_new = -0.008135974749594044, c_new = 1.1264517429649554
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -3101.0047788154416
Acceptance probability: 2.3818862228600415e-19
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1319:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6784795472717065, b_new = 0.21783326602319103, c_new = 1.290682541048879
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -12589.958323089253
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1320:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.638952919508184, b_new = 0.21146006620103727, c_new = 0.7759535758428358
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -6134.015751717332
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1321:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5817507741955312, b_new = 0.07678617575274693, c_new = 1.0642851644898788
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -7559.570596110183
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1322:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5917987000640874, b_new = -0.24977251538065093, c_new = 1.7011041309027766
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -11419.291884066983
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1323:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3738636782556233, b_new = -0.02569212838188778, c_new = 2.0355914375864654
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -10666.522361233217
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1324:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.109477787578477, b_new = -0.12894704862015738, c_new = 1.8431482639461731
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -4144.487609944052
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1325:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.996383983743283, b_new = 1.5863548575282753, c_new = 2.385217458830527
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -11527.878897591985
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1326:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6327013964041144, b_new = 0.9833337138006045, c_new = 1.8764289488092563
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -13383.080354651818
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1327:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.771517833167544, b_new = 0.07003276652681129, c_new = 1.5496947682361872
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -13047.67589324742
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1328:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.19274398649021, b_new = 0.528291773607047, c_new = 1.1957662033496181
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -7060.079708159303
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1329:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.486989851090994, b_new = 0.036364306123499335, c_new = 2.062426269331871
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -9000.614137574661
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1330:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4024395534776986, b_new = -0.29218519202604576, c_new = 2.0908438503310482
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -9327.72332824215
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1331:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.304964861709991, b_new = 0.08012982635231641, c_new = 0.9773222392948621
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -11585.437392574657
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1332:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.701575659980527, b_new = -0.12148848618943331, c_new = 1.1446487584241187
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -5600.744222775201
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1333:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.707127808260549, b_new = 0.6837178662950912, c_new = 1.722756124378825
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -3798.5570731467415
Acceptance probability: 2.7e-322
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1334:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.020070858187726, b_new = 0.21626941634403504, c_new = 1.2695247448768825
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -3534.379021160303
Acceptance probability: 1.4617697255074242e-207
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1335:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4634995785237197, b_new = 0.33261817213421657, c_new = 2.0478805189417413
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -8697.481492888197
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1336:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.937468469306217, b_new = 0.026716597597131853, c_new = 1.9199236302064846
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Acceptance probability: 157709.9408147259
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1337:
Current coefficients: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6343402401952725, b_new = 1.0564308611201203, c_new = 2.419024451629268
Current likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Proposed likelihood: -3997.4195188786025
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Iteration 1338:
Current coefficients: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.060510613904375, b_new = 0.41643857417993513, c_new = 1.8217532001026666
Current likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Proposed likelihood: -4405.350252720891
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Iteration 1339:
Current coefficients: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2717073865848376, b_new = -1.1107304500832575, c_new = 1.5244085506860974
Current likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Proposed likelihood: -4731.364800973009
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Iteration 1340:
Current coefficients: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0847147970105335, b_new = -0.628277803185251, c_new = 2.2906000109907083
Current likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Proposed likelihood: -13759.753979290737
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Iteration 1341:
Current coefficients: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.140404989242486, b_new = 0.599518396062732, c_new = 1.0806222042838214
Current likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Proposed likelihood: -6061.690858283392
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
C:\Users\micha\AppData\Local\Temp\ipykernel_3176\734048493.py:27: RuntimeWarning: overflow encountered in exp
acceptance_prob = np.exp(likelihood_new - likelihood)
Iteration 1342:
Current coefficients: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.038079966845526, b_new = -0.21255475887528158, c_new = 1.7114045813497596
Current likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Proposed likelihood: -3317.6731848154805
Acceptance probability: 1.2055044422039008e-118
Max likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Iteration 1343:
Current coefficients: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7283467235315686, b_new = -0.05902723355288535, c_new = 1.51578207985987
Current likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Proposed likelihood: -12625.230776262828
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Iteration 1344:
Current coefficients: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.649821063226929, b_new = -0.41605808948796336, c_new = 1.1336999828009833
Current likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Proposed likelihood: -7488.810996154938
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Iteration 1345:
Current coefficients: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.34155500903144, b_new = -0.06280090885529488, c_new = 2.550533769667543
Current likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Proposed likelihood: -9016.261147497122
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Iteration 1346:
Current coefficients: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8588206548570403, b_new = 0.4640531082541334, c_new = 2.011785484488925
Current likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Proposed likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Acceptance probability: 82.75395355032965
Max likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Iteration 1347:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.022666622619308, b_new = 0.9558129771105149, c_new = 1.6805162184614006
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -4856.661367965611
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1348:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8492806013807273, b_new = -0.047726491470379995, c_new = 2.249559500023073
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -3272.5995624832753
Acceptance probability: 5.477791806462964e-101
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1349:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3060216983139212, b_new = 1.225347506844935, c_new = 2.8974714923754696
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -8842.316629947149
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1350:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.010001995038255, b_new = 0.6767996696250138, c_new = 2.4009432482833093
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -12596.869241217231
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1351:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7879536883849685, b_new = 1.45371346134486, c_new = 2.1897546263395675
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -14693.979498265271
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1352:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4575546178754673, b_new = 0.5342798827396104, c_new = 1.9621343765871715
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -8356.418798919069
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1353:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.65353870840753, b_new = 0.023886990226550386, c_new = 2.251757001337783
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -5779.0103453561815
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1354:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.61930803000859, b_new = -0.3437807238381989, c_new = 2.2426355469790242
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -7456.402684358795
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1355:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6148316176275426, b_new = 1.517869380976367, c_new = 2.8785805846369086
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -14149.522197554039
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1356:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1975080604777686, b_new = 0.8093341615992689, c_new = 1.265894598900422
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -11303.637740516913
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1357:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.598255894258494, b_new = 0.09683154080857503, c_new = 1.8777300930829637
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -6843.930940616006
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1358:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.626321888391433, b_new = 1.3550807833084186, c_new = 3.018797800313407
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -3635.5027688413456
Acceptance probability: 1.3543956048231272e-258
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1359:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4500643573288072, b_new = 1.2460933394490112, c_new = 1.975940276327474
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -6804.482775896413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1360:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.24005737951641, b_new = -0.32141067914150245, c_new = 1.9812366910745027
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -6036.015256456679
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1361:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1155431547012036, b_new = 0.2555222810818119, c_new = 1.737976004207106
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -4945.1368405908925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1362:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.485753974367422, b_new = 0.7460565003566981, c_new = 1.1357326555221072
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -11842.384447659782
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1363:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0911859702322353, b_new = 0.3919326868526367, c_new = 2.267909619269297
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -4969.1319550135395
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1364:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.611188291995318, b_new = 0.8844687278349357, c_new = 2.018621828503433
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -13166.49508581945
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1365:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.557897724108779, b_new = 1.1253583667374865, c_new = 1.4181197690735579
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -5263.846216521214
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1366:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6143904800267075, b_new = -0.353267916999379, c_new = 1.2676230536380646
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -7993.128040028532
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1367:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.872376753578198, b_new = 0.2017451250315691, c_new = 2.5208548826231008
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -13922.217003090855
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1368:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8688899853778027, b_new = -0.07087384149551268, c_new = 2.594196087149009
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -3148.5570318951604
Acceptance probability: 4.0699781511129285e-47
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1369:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1353016504452307, b_new = 0.7193202003743531, c_new = 1.4593216701609628
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -6417.482264201481
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1370:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.029667224551993, b_new = 0.36602886278582347, c_new = 2.0580148595368706
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -3955.492412134844
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1371:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1022979934055885, b_new = 0.0009227944209013739, c_new = 1.7732942728023986
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -4250.254262586393
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1372:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6102373458339985, b_new = 0.7681466595593307, c_new = 1.711664612217472
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -12935.61746748499
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1373:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5191554191198904, b_new = -0.4293472865635223, c_new = 1.247867509496833
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -10321.40121960781
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1374:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.905485770501664, b_new = 0.4485862349472385, c_new = 1.3733251923181624
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -3072.9946241242615
Acceptance probability: 2.6664215585904042e-14
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1375:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7714897385026815, b_new = 0.48444176765040053, c_new = 1.4079085852521223
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -13476.44068527114
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1376:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1988142272766864, b_new = -0.24982509905876504, c_new = 2.042727945553579
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -5402.898732012316
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1377:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.399077287755201, b_new = 0.17182757453963643, c_new = 2.5798848589602894
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -9783.021364816846
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1378:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1124135708196903, b_new = 0.5737749278616431, c_new = 1.4217456563027708
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -12309.969019319651
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1379:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.570999872867134, b_new = 0.7791991702165469, c_new = 1.800617699511528
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -5690.591651188461
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1380:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1255160435448635, b_new = 0.5249771167462011, c_new = 2.3476917020737016
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -5988.777114443789
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1381:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0970608172169536, b_new = 0.8150787387632655, c_new = 2.112545478985918
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -11890.520926228966
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1382:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4722774297078174, b_new = 0.05657665977112003, c_new = 2.2934556298581326
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -9099.730171458368
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1383:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5245473134441037, b_new = 1.2089463343052764, c_new = 2.018897934625152
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -13018.25292672424
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1384:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.6069578254099, b_new = 1.5572039863087075, c_new = 2.793892439351354
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -16779.498326480687
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1385:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.102924623963781, b_new = 0.6373715316527817, c_new = 1.9620685375469646
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -5681.907777393103
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1386:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8161893057660263, b_new = 1.3664011260657891, c_new = 1.2979863269327276
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -14528.669751073263
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1387:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.348412631866971, b_new = 1.0945236059380399, c_new = 1.822416044119078
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -11300.207103181916
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1388:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.381751076736147, b_new = 0.48401959316647036, c_new = 2.4908148570345094
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -10761.565589000944
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1389:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7017778422726133, b_new = -0.39606119648442784, c_new = 3.0440448565696414
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -5601.291847472146
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1390:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9844719804567639, b_new = -0.08769988079319313, c_new = 2.0128422909289587
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -13748.379028178013
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1391:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8077813967448444, b_new = 0.33923969869279025, c_new = 3.227138981543571
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -13922.01795275685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1392:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5724203622416, b_new = 0.05193752455148232, c_new = 1.7963313178867992
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -7517.113720132109
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1393:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4099238931586493, b_new = 0.6326303015181981, c_new = 2.287842513556931
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -11277.650794893574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1394:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.888800553791065, b_new = 1.0988383223696947, c_new = 2.0304861691198997
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -3486.881667497663
Acceptance probability: 4.754115665501816e-194
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1395:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4058067992570686, b_new = 0.5803937024756781, c_new = 2.6186706369936887
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -8840.334312885338
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1396:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.433453604780453, b_new = 0.7881384902145057, c_new = 2.3627273532067545
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -11791.681333753175
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1397:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7868943880816204, b_new = 0.4890140167395523, c_new = 2.365053842382541
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -3240.8841030738495
Acceptance probability: 3.25427713363154e-87
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1398:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7232335313494516, b_new = -0.21272362098676534, c_new = 0.7762193826913555
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -5545.863688003621
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1399:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4748313351979316, b_new = 0.7989615429982144, c_new = 1.6653496525298477
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -7527.951380660997
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1400:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.48523535815405, b_new = 0.03339945326596422, c_new = 2.2996856299301056
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -11030.172085289558
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1401:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.58040594218361, b_new = -0.7631797560095056, c_new = 1.5653462785201993
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -9595.38533029431
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1402:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.132060405728174, b_new = -0.27330066771021866, c_new = 2.301805389212367
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -4304.599530439315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1403:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3994204526966723, b_new = 0.5872475341588024, c_new = 2.1003001862714012
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -9092.24636114129
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1404:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.863613741426225, b_new = -0.24102316122937417, c_new = 1.4650114890575794
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -3462.8066226251995
Acceptance probability: 1.3574657581573921e-183
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1405:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4833302326045392, b_new = 0.6937705566199323, c_new = 1.790782089660358
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -7584.073590064925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1406:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8107005430894487, b_new = 0.3039776025880166, c_new = 2.8888835060620632
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -3185.7481042926265
Acceptance probability: 2.8688943785690874e-63
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1407:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4785684341191216, b_new = 0.6245138496049802, c_new = 1.659997305876917
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -11738.374132994979
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1408:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.704462225465803, b_new = -0.0003958094090549813, c_new = 2.3096147933213294
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -4880.4404969167745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1409:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.890684064138367, b_new = 0.023584519412702287, c_new = 1.746294071690929
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -3092.1060298680695
Acceptance probability: 1.3364439708258245e-22
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1410:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8844520596424448, b_new = 0.7690582933854813, c_new = 1.541313098679486
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -3142.430439459664
Acceptance probability: 1.8635341913280208e-44
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1411:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.225765520416041, b_new = 0.908578953108507, c_new = 1.684773810301877
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -10727.344048459636
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1412:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.916049952122299, b_new = -0.0013765650120685646, c_new = 2.0256323846194153
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Acceptance probability: 17.195502672629132
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1413:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4274546794814538, b_new = 0.13931821330675453, c_new = 1.918534140457933
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -9702.609259614268
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1414:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4407765903780065, b_new = 0.28055164046810815, c_new = 2.807277635387008
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -11144.23840132916
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1415:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.054401154686822, b_new = 1.379504082688186, c_new = 1.5437142023746608
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -15380.429520971644
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1416:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4309681924514024, b_new = 0.3330508926700115, c_new = 3.021151447535682
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -8861.115101834643
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1417:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6608866944489917, b_new = -0.8172528499870699, c_new = 2.154269437102725
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -7952.556968251913
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1418:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3773604088271716, b_new = -0.9471293143893842, c_new = 0.9224576880205224
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -12662.78543859666
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1419:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8907822119510564, b_new = -0.6156077587234503, c_new = 2.8490652813099873
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -13243.17785396161
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1420:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6379132936299388, b_new = 0.18808943396467845, c_new = 1.649710222081524
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -12365.719053148361
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1421:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.699583725143491, b_new = -0.6257315973258006, c_new = 1.9064431719661317
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -15394.61049901586
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1422:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1952364189823763, b_new = 0.645516941725456, c_new = 2.536945003405507
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -7990.239739273215
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1423:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8455937816442, b_new = 0.11766131099350906, c_new = 2.1521895100988266
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -3187.659040222688
Acceptance probability: 2.4682591397272425e-65
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1424:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.502116074580378, b_new = -0.5516344063022096, c_new = 2.1183389754461226
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -10072.140132025203
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1425:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6654133185708258, b_new = -0.06311721746544363, c_new = 2.3540369844764344
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -5726.819908858204
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1426:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.49452519781728, b_new = -0.21540009444245997, c_new = 1.8817288603751035
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -10588.366513844889
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1427:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.064946306761787, b_new = -0.30284154342984, c_new = 2.5121271998361445
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -3522.1697476380577
Acceptance probability: 1.3068820283751435e-210
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1428:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5584031356016963, b_new = 0.24866030945822643, c_new = 2.4116549936211173
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -7044.443148343749
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1429:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2293117308904824, b_new = 0.2863129691279037, c_new = 1.5884703778645655
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -11748.314374038679
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1430:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7555432418692947, b_new = -0.03984900617173953, c_new = 1.6183741502596223
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -12840.34274822297
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1431:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9803865767240048, b_new = -0.37923765385816177, c_new = 1.5395075228930346
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -3064.329747411279
Acceptance probability: 8.98715183187223e-12
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1432:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.447771417750623, b_new = 0.0722431150331963, c_new = 1.8180884841105032
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -10560.028191291187
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1433:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.957303293554586, b_new = 0.19028653926767075, c_new = 2.2918867553524356
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -3181.30909386041
Acceptance probability: 1.4129845701439256e-62
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1434:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.038411975408537, b_new = -0.9085536770026574, c_new = 2.2161386647719095
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -3072.84525488522
Acceptance probability: 1.800462881417359e-15
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1435:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9468296551754514, b_new = -0.06124340056637686, c_new = 1.1084653980831343
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -3064.1170649519427
Acceptance probability: 1.1117033064563181e-11
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1436:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.893199591725476, b_new = 0.26961127686255426, c_new = 2.0474128124670905
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Acceptance probability: 24.70297838835047
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1437:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.572704027606383, b_new = 0.01906517310048028, c_new = 1.1788373531128713
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -7850.1420682387
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1438:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.085422479636362, b_new = 0.13391687290301324, c_new = 2.1775748569710593
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -4333.531964059033
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1439:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1728315358443964, b_new = 0.5278173672965316, c_new = 2.3323073491601973
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -11636.423209700626
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1440:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.189943156748973, b_new = 0.23943831387329015, c_new = 1.6679336797277495
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -14973.657142223099
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1441:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8382208174058134, b_new = 0.16827083158373865, c_new = 3.214457726613502
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3113.782725531363
Acceptance probability: 1.2125991213329077e-34
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1442:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.420941090005605, b_new = 0.5406967491537327, c_new = 2.115617802890376
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -8872.23421283033
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1443:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8976268376419045, b_new = 0.018662721619435496, c_new = 2.300580413101872
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3047.113389247429
Acceptance probability: 1.0910436084655593e-05
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1444:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9215436970340973, b_new = -0.187380176021554, c_new = 1.3443019747301872
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3118.343827150382
Acceptance probability: 1.2672315725957376e-36
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1445:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3683185339790196, b_new = 0.47696126324489396, c_new = 1.992671338606019
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -9772.044774643855
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1446:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6631098215627014, b_new = 0.31406706437007315, c_new = 2.362066634481486
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -4900.224307015547
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1447:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.48929714870733, b_new = 0.16569592024941082, c_new = 1.5378792148531049
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -11077.04331215209
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1448:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.226438265685857, b_new = 0.19409270678709378, c_new = 2.6452632326860255
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -7405.497675146344
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1449:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4667331256574037, b_new = 0.20240784252140878, c_new = 2.8863689421759378
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -11300.062579934962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1450:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4736619505448756, b_new = -0.0319174931017297, c_new = 2.150318977407809
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -10755.643827856315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1451:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3981098266186445, b_new = -0.4211213137706098, c_new = 1.3647738739076352
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -11380.47396689038
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1452:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6029819417613673, b_new = 0.696289434303299, c_new = 1.1204662044289877
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -5507.647908653722
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1453:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5874967777955433, b_new = 0.40414781064068783, c_new = 1.175354256322212
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -6521.396044506097
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1454:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.65634611426314, b_new = 0.4526810041012138, c_new = 2.0778431286714105
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -4807.196778320071
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1455:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5939953496106907, b_new = -0.34990285972935486, c_new = 2.864328155998532
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -11592.378754124118
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1456:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0209445004424804, b_new = 0.56025974097443, c_new = 1.1979826892429029
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3982.567380025916
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1457:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8827312273239176, b_new = -0.38449592611366357, c_new = 1.3566942902076997
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3480.6150094579702
Acceptance probability: 5.894955837726021e-194
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1458:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7900672574243544, b_new = 0.3955430408185949, c_new = 1.9130091022235471
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3340.8060518104444
Acceptance probability: 3.0813383054582363e-133
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1459:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.413153201968288, b_new = 0.19280083975537182, c_new = 1.2077773933902831
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -10040.651455431218
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1460:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.345258266477569, b_new = 0.7153769597308625, c_new = 2.442467586521852
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -10752.622558161745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1461:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.309995137486296, b_new = 0.23589736075834652, c_new = 1.87918775930315
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -10953.285064165724
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1462:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.320620491415345, b_new = 0.9233020576544398, c_new = 2.7575621273466746
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -10966.38858323989
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1463:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6034644019416566, b_new = 0.5722120407469387, c_new = 1.5402103072412108
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -12597.443046761298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1464:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.060248358330065, b_new = -0.5852578678705174, c_new = 2.1941088910684914
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -13865.550947272664
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1465:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4344781971930103, b_new = 0.7764495763398912, c_new = 1.5315496209292068
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -8332.781338431763
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1466:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.815917060674127, b_new = -0.4322477679007143, c_new = 2.4388181295252713
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -4007.6897239023665
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1467:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.930507706075508, b_new = 0.07807839584507589, c_new = 2.277173503853529
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -14008.02132769315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1468:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.465338509796364, b_new = 0.260775092706357, c_new = 1.3733804383141377
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -9085.62605334237
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1469:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.309771089882504, b_new = 0.19884437145720876, c_new = 2.606496337925567
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -9122.025585647018
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1470:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.498688489681081, b_new = 0.3820145236950656, c_new = 2.550591301870746
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -11790.92123838349
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1471:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.416107194946488, b_new = -0.005650898814005101, c_new = 2.323932620148388
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -10007.255515322473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1472:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.135842313152214, b_new = -0.19037781850377827, c_new = 1.9183433064837248
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -4425.087850011632
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1473:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.742239849371255, b_new = 1.239988216787082, c_new = 1.4738166825662182
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3128.8548836662276
Acceptance probability: 3.451136531228928e-41
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1474:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5784522707215185, b_new = -0.5018878511771799, c_new = 2.2446850107462444
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -8678.811771753532
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1475:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7986475730003795, b_new = -0.9087421234547999, c_new = 2.0672914987656057
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -5352.755759738648
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1476:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.984484316378693, b_new = 0.15810465348446306, c_new = 1.6880189607591245
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3260.9106677593204
Acceptance probability: 1.5376723526536913e-98
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1477:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8242233953602978, b_new = 0.2210508418520053, c_new = 1.97903043497428
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3251.81591269252
Acceptance probability: 1.3698270740154927e-94
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1478:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8394518633563055, b_new = 0.6126891326300765, c_new = 2.0773722896378035
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3046.407302457801
Acceptance probability: 2.210506040181325e-05
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1479:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7344931373126786, b_new = 0.1553214580136123, c_new = 3.0106744146860063
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3981.8665782834487
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1480:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.031248106868997, b_new = 0.015291519271894427, c_new = 1.9818091283567825
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3503.2481390183284
Acceptance probability: 8.730463070793265e-204
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1481:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9125009859102575, b_new = -0.06380046938082157, c_new = 2.194783456821389
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3045.2273680029703
Acceptance probability: 7.193342328205641e-05
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1482:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8288737677704057, b_new = -0.08855507303767773, c_new = 2.3869180411545945
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3436.3470937134734
Acceptance probability: 9.903577149319479e-175
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1483:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.828814557306579, b_new = -0.7089788740585922, c_new = 2.272369334125313
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -12651.248408796537
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1484:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6218038121268243, b_new = 0.9370285271645281, c_new = 1.8253315055343677
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -4483.6352746001485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1485:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0533187640591533, b_new = -0.2267082540238532, c_new = 2.5076427134557844
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3501.632144158647
Acceptance probability: 4.393948172147053e-203
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1486:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.490751361131544, b_new = 0.37826684993087895, c_new = 2.46563699296214
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -7972.6870057161395
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1487:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6173121106547255, b_new = 0.4344236378205091, c_new = 1.3985281533297487
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -5769.32631712437
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1488:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.218249540658624, b_new = 0.09844692905826888, c_new = 1.1247334343867517
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -12278.168687733069
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1489:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.190996649384529, b_new = 0.10368841856615268, c_new = 2.5733218805898037
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -6331.565187127237
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1490:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4453054008267983, b_new = 0.0614558187437938, c_new = 1.6412399930873305
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -9721.704553141593
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1491:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.199941851592223, b_new = 0.048952395318304004, c_new = 2.2310401215320823
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -6252.73137842958
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1492:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6455025648420385, b_new = 0.8724456891929497, c_new = 2.7740504572528746
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -13554.643054257715
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1493:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.567401270699874, b_new = 0.4791136389079689, c_new = 2.088304394880277
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -6395.577827605783
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1494:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.785357171621398, b_new = -0.15021297891941954, c_new = 1.8970966713133846
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -4068.097638353149
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1495:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6051909333072043, b_new = 0.4139903326083656, c_new = 2.61840610915851
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -12679.106378451
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1496:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1977773018182547, b_new = 0.20883638853052597, c_new = 1.7059742770343795
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -12095.126019088953
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1497:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1179516828961504, b_new = -0.021988161795869987, c_new = 2.1564844398219596
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -4524.009724424723
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1498:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3329444821716527, b_new = 0.3092345409218421, c_new = 2.5321750371276073
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -9747.262832659988
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1499:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.072087616433233, b_new = 0.25043153778271565, c_new = 2.253357321629442
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -4370.068648089289
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1500:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9152227678008757, b_new = -0.6187670029118886, c_new = 1.901204247798255
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3379.4686893475264
Acceptance probability: 4.986194837170854e-150
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1501:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.264077097580132, b_new = 0.4715430770937237, c_new = 2.2348931298580546
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -8832.080585955684
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1502:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9508675388461874, b_new = 0.6912128037567913, c_new = 2.5689420214104253
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3645.8814557814426
Acceptance probability: 9.912309955598754e-266
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1503:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.32706767010289, b_new = 0.8736419011280931, c_new = 3.347124340744764
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -11148.848671210908
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1504:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0326235068667, b_new = 0.14730463574901564, c_new = 0.5927232285775201
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -13620.406999129638
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1505:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.236576254287465, b_new = 0.680262162761184, c_new = 2.585178499939419
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -10726.072995864322
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1506:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2904433141632095, b_new = 0.7030700291343024, c_new = 1.662867656232099
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -9677.505944937104
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1507:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.166356054503838, b_new = 0.0678778181605878, c_new = 1.8746380050904352
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -14810.002755764515
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1508:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.047164737765625, b_new = -0.3388796585313034, c_new = 1.0043187999142
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3246.290399050391
Acceptance probability: 3.438474675163289e-92
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1509:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3556990670271554, b_new = 0.8267737139331661, c_new = 2.2901501456747893
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -9144.14454742312
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1510:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.833736607634567, b_new = -0.028692011530769557, c_new = 1.827707769028199
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -13345.395216389727
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1511:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.488945078807647, b_new = 0.703889014280453, c_new = 2.533276678789779
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -12192.286174668156
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1512:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.627300931588185, b_new = -0.46787938006413277, c_new = 2.5397636446001224
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -7510.83450315586
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1513:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.5989077536843992, b_new = 0.4914172455421262, c_new = 1.5224112470578208
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -14885.604137557191
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1514:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.175904845377448, b_new = 0.3433076576675102, c_new = 1.7842808411365263
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -15028.581628281652
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1515:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.757567510622514, b_new = -0.04075915536150104, c_new = 3.0002224701663005
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3996.8071906651003
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1516:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.975791378573407, b_new = 0.15411810499290662, c_new = 2.178055056695781
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3246.994473968104
Acceptance probability: 1.700552242695799e-92
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1517:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2688799102189607, b_new = -0.4820266929412689, c_new = 1.9346160988336902
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -12485.07255085002
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1518:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1052007150663172, b_new = -0.04656765056220341, c_new = 2.427795148138649
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -4350.34332528583
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1519:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.962576996190796, b_new = 0.5652743479839077, c_new = 2.3434389730643086
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3563.5109207369687
Acceptance probability: 5.87819129246435e-230
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1520:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9643210510004825, b_new = 1.3909018680270322, c_new = 2.20208921707624
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -4982.74183431592
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1521:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5428001706686567, b_new = 0.32176844554746137, c_new = 2.306660633982301
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -12005.126511227902
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1522:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0449503883416438, b_new = 0.20359316583813855, c_new = 2.4868215972512435
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3975.874599825966
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1523:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6472347461780767, b_new = 0.643885020108774, c_new = 1.819337692548394
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -13043.672543490638
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1524:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8599939695027143, b_new = 0.06429054385833086, c_new = 1.8140209139976118
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3183.5519174410374
Acceptance probability: 6.072145869948514e-65
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1525:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0342199134048786, b_new = -0.4478836150535622, c_new = 2.2169042769834486
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -13838.87491258324
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1526:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3925808081697455, b_new = 0.5004586306875698, c_new = 2.7409934501246185
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -9152.708194987332
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1527:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2707246537897072, b_new = 0.727546453018543, c_new = 1.7066994900930816
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -10555.252619434832
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1528:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.217685929146628, b_new = 0.3985289429018395, c_new = 1.8682370652597273
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -7497.96160530064
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1529:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.107060662116479, b_new = 0.6263255603713052, c_new = 1.8317837810855626
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -5693.062855842803
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1530:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.653567801711261, b_new = -0.07685440408755256, c_new = 1.2914224795299791
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -6397.899482290469
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1531:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0057558123505776, b_new = 0.38880965785310145, c_new = 2.5845186698867573
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3812.0812794278017
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1532:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.508146725464849, b_new = 0.9145010077425398, c_new = 2.3145258602920276
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -12583.492280589016
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1533:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.091823288443358, b_new = -0.45302169888904353, c_new = 2.230956770442436
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3565.249122288304
Acceptance probability: 1.0335996960048365e-230
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1534:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6756642620102915, b_new = 0.39827698722263527, c_new = 1.7508522091434415
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -4695.0844227812295
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1535:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0098721412215945, b_new = -0.21832697518992483, c_new = 1.6586457533991124
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3159.8952750874273
Acceptance probability: 1.141015201619142e-54
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1536:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4495433659923553, b_new = -0.5883788318722466, c_new = 2.08485370353552
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -9393.736451696017
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1537:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1760141520497527, b_new = 0.7245453351275107, c_new = 1.9955743381075564
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -7567.3527179708035
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1538:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0145767724230517, b_new = 0.6560358901009204, c_new = 2.7862292005432736
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -12491.896280351179
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1539:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8793025984138922, b_new = 0.21726058503541523, c_new = 2.5467923957275582
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Acceptance probability: 2.656974447720501
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1540:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2931340008808943, b_new = 0.3166205053596749, c_new = 1.9415912290296296
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -10968.689404120118
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1541:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.515717206064769, b_new = 0.8018141291819334, c_new = 3.371357466752421
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -6184.910831342274
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1542:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.08064475770096, b_new = 0.39860565530102265, c_new = 2.8334379526632354
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -4966.190532858589
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1543:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6120676750825167, b_new = -0.037273289704397305, c_new = 2.2495763651407334
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -6774.918559972821
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1544:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.710619912400661, b_new = -0.08042652350325308, c_new = 2.5261122139552676
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -12725.765653313647
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1545:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8999238380982706, b_new = -0.08362636447853317, c_new = 2.239458655906956
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -3072.5031524308733
Acceptance probability: 3.862074830299182e-17
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1546:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4032965171583562, b_new = 1.071253779549786, c_new = 2.033304095918904
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -11873.776026590042
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1547:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1186170136538918, b_new = 0.6724367262254429, c_new = 2.360706036795887
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -11854.99788823676
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1548:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.667302039891872, b_new = 0.5219608257538364, c_new = 2.3672877338810645
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -13156.278188417902
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1549:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.948580702215568, b_new = -0.8789550074770383, c_new = 2.3339929759440112
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -3324.937397869013
Acceptance probability: 9.036928518993934e-127
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1550:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9451832298979697, b_new = 0.6304983110805422, c_new = 3.07226239513773
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -3603.2895229269784
Acceptance probability: 1.1728133702803463e-247
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1551:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.915149982529512, b_new = -0.40662671052993693, c_new = 2.587594920532425
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -3135.358094809758
Acceptance probability: 1.9465521742052633e-44
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1552:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.953178931948388, b_new = 0.2804572861210803, c_new = 2.3841590671892288
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -14317.40869568714
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1553:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.900827141106216, b_new = 0.621080926226963, c_new = 3.2327542514660235
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -3278.1939856906997
Acceptance probability: 1.8047906045770573e-106
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1554:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3425036058759114, b_new = 0.20499616038141574, c_new = 3.5262160298553655
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -10108.368639180439
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1555:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4161904698890093, b_new = 0.8787931920615533, c_new = 1.7237382361192761
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -8330.724566395984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1556:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4528549585815584, b_new = -0.4654167288707469, c_new = 3.1873406708935463
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -10159.359256233613
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1557:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7005401297958174, b_new = 0.0736575867984022, c_new = 2.338633468190733
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -4782.651354566553
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1558:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.111010428890166, b_new = 0.20301757412858437, c_new = 2.721486052578638
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -5029.702573128088
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1559:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7051742487386377, b_new = 0.5080940505655829, c_new = 2.6874603256509784
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -3882.711169829434
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1560:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1198694480551805, b_new = 0.05317948183665283, c_new = 2.2085519291566515
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -4716.58517036256
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1561:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2834982491225593, b_new = -0.022023506564893935, c_new = 2.788397612377146
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -11369.80086405847
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1562:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.182063059943431, b_new = 0.03891367375674151, c_new = 2.4436676959750274
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -5917.037856203458
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1563:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6211710530260683, b_new = 0.5607479374758746, c_new = 2.0335827873290673
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -5194.345944491691
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1564:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.012156009152142, b_new = 0.6079762601273239, c_new = 1.8504024529359633
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -4078.5079641459693
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1565:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.448482703895638, b_new = 0.23166949052369507, c_new = 1.507614022078073
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -9356.827480778134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1566:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.780899595703329, b_new = 0.8374267879086794, c_new = 2.4172664023383628
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -14114.971803096709
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1567:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.537446067742751, b_new = 0.268302126892136, c_new = 2.223289072213775
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -11859.846305256982
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1568:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.294674837578762, b_new = 0.20113263055066852, c_new = 2.419367007223488
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -8776.791223930615
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1569:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1458034757411437, b_new = 1.0101315924810912, c_new = 2.9359357479880654
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -8142.725227535702
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1570:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3279529162674097, b_new = 0.17376635243684516, c_new = 2.919277847910722
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -9489.069158471062
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1571:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6489079666220565, b_new = 0.9826335877886813, c_new = 2.317604223546914
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -3945.427781674064
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1572:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.88589056814902, b_new = -0.25336292121649945, c_new = 2.3374583299061578
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -13487.786412943116
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1573:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.259125617376387, b_new = -0.5147532389990532, c_new = 1.8359064058540717
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -5890.566414890371
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1574:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3666824766240504, b_new = 0.7229297795913874, c_new = 3.014645840215152
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -11204.894731394568
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1575:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.382140032119558, b_new = -0.302183177732548, c_new = 2.418917964809457
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -9090.650917533296
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1576:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1748631282302044, b_new = 0.2981577011320073, c_new = 2.6132923576475924
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -11875.771997465354
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1577:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7891538027028004, b_new = -0.006439851262621005, c_new = 2.548736884099154
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -3678.6636564132878
Acceptance probability: 2.1610193569458276e-280
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1578:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6180462761187373, b_new = 0.9755222780022585, c_new = 2.955167210374221
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -4226.118903892461
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1579:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7668120840412844, b_new = 0.10217034340511584, c_new = 2.4062866574683595
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -3799.560387913576
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1580:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.818805628583251, b_new = 0.6878963476476729, c_new = 2.9708815801340607
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -3058.9339165326037
Acceptance probability: 3.0190128291100294e-11
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1581:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.500827829369406, b_new = 0.4597748416491172, c_new = 2.562044397823737
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -11932.095301519788
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1582:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5602516655174545, b_new = -0.577538799300487, c_new = 2.846611811259194
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -8952.335692409295
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1583:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.802760820179899, b_new = 0.5235210422891007, c_new = 2.3020696814398076
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -3148.1590343792077
Acceptance probability: 5.368940989085838e-50
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1584:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6620451765924447, b_new = -0.6000522634618961, c_new = 2.3830316842024772
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -7217.200649559486
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1585:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.584915592743383, b_new = -0.6957840126314787, c_new = 3.3409262638922974
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -8617.737345600159
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1586:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.3495879187800233, b_new = -0.4891462318293386, c_new = 3.348414645469715
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -15931.771850057004
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1587:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5434471789484263, b_new = 0.5651505322342066, c_new = 2.4469434719774767
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -12395.010633013168
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1588:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3186924758834473, b_new = 0.4334780061878587, c_new = 1.7287272038404398
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -9527.372357974098
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1589:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5360993766848523, b_new = -0.1775756512894862, c_new = 2.215201401035498
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -11162.098352009954
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1590:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0408578076380812, b_new = -0.2298717295376797, c_new = 1.7439002438938713
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -3324.9555608187784
Acceptance probability: 8.874272865055902e-127
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1591:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7347563294784605, b_new = 0.5805517522958795, c_new = 2.3241756928289705
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -13599.949639996696
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1592:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.904067979011579, b_new = 0.5405192187614581, c_new = 2.5991098985392753
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -3172.029938704764
Acceptance probability: 2.3061449663429302e-60
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1593:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.449872472469929, b_new = 0.9524311073410119, c_new = 1.9015225422510516
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -12060.897059402008
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1594:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.704051817631924, b_new = 0.5942797483799316, c_new = 2.4748067281563912
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -13485.610128137314
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1595:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4931611573345216, b_new = 0.530863130896883, c_new = 2.686000749882226
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -7482.804883591119
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1596:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.318479439160768, b_new = 0.02726086516367507, c_new = 1.3267089237503367
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -11422.052304294277
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1597:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0086254303493813, b_new = 1.1166146341710061, c_new = 2.8752399979775136
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -5359.966276144617
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1598:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.3850601028041278, b_new = 0.44131336248419706, c_new = 2.9219994613668128
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -15275.51513201652
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1599:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8371883693764928, b_new = 0.27248195858806235, c_new = 2.0943310918429803
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -13735.15233289251
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1600:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.918794739199096, b_new = -0.02112970068188233, c_new = 2.586038084292416
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Acceptance probability: 1154.619453202239
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1601:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8179776949859754, b_new = -0.12921967105368604, c_new = 1.978370769250764
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3649.8517699599943
Acceptance probability: 6.096254464117434e-271
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1602:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1225756050238767, b_new = -0.27412567435228474, c_new = 2.1219528801972203
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4136.0973434424195
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1603:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.860102578018349, b_new = -0.33981847067394677, c_new = 2.105047514070953
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3488.620727254435
Acceptance probability: 6.409368552247603e-201
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1604:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3129961538794355, b_new = -0.5109982844399863, c_new = 3.0660712957447656
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -11802.483292446817
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1605:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.815281650639093, b_new = -0.4383436615450983, c_new = 2.5296347312865057
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4004.104267553106
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1606:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.557229625369772, b_new = -0.11816691547940646, c_new = 3.0823601150190543
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -7758.9294465182265
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1607:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.328543339824633, b_new = -0.41902870164378736, c_new = 1.847780527119241
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -7596.857467437115
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1608:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1963983563051617, b_new = 0.32629032595259266, c_new = 2.9855879950153783
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -11548.149858568284
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1609:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.28497960826212, b_new = -0.32778596561879114, c_new = 1.974590509643905
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -6971.386464116093
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1610:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.481347297143562, b_new = 0.3068179671191861, c_new = 3.2687342686160035
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -11726.16041466464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1611:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.087826892752487, b_new = -0.7608862619104284, c_new = 2.2486860219764306
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3267.3928106600624
Acceptance probability: 7.671471307352518e-105
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1612:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8279906784888693, b_new = 0.6032153081237214, c_new = 2.513484051847743
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3052.81528537122
Acceptance probability: 1.187719367790532e-11
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1613:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6970071646658855, b_new = 0.07187855762528193, c_new = 2.5725616859250144
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -12838.808123575891
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1614:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.693638481208815, b_new = -0.6257025143514207, c_new = 2.9690538665733985
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -6385.793989184998
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1615:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5786170857461004, b_new = -0.9479065290693336, c_new = 1.969174207529429
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -9905.65173193952
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1616:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7282545279449737, b_new = 0.6828161571879575, c_new = 3.1659953083449563
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3400.8160581155084
Acceptance probability: 8.707601340089368e-163
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1617:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8363285350960936, b_new = 0.2686965438251311, c_new = 2.4301686595024425
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -13801.88920978651
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1618:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.672642298780834, b_new = -0.4300049405404982, c_new = 3.206497595980869
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -12188.89285257917
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1619:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3819379040189395, b_new = 0.3385058984359991, c_new = 2.9050128226082492
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -10617.795276889734
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1620:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6054482548726736, b_new = -0.9076970482167606, c_new = 0.9024307344811509
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -9825.169447355347
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1621:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7443927586683596, b_new = 0.6207339048821674, c_new = 2.7925219308984186
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -13804.93813257842
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1622:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9565544037986284, b_new = 0.3357360849693706, c_new = 3.6214106085347613
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3450.9730136995877
Acceptance probability: 1.4355208287683096e-184
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1623:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4915449497989455, b_new = 0.01100903856689351, c_new = 2.664349178623862
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -8761.696882759003
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1624:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0558458897704197, b_new = 1.3376038794741318, c_new = 2.9865598452312367
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -7055.354314230102
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1625:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7138335069872603, b_new = 0.3307873160650794, c_new = 2.4068530203185716
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4098.379140680716
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1626:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.955974900855522, b_new = 0.20223298979827647, c_new = 2.2441413784036306
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -14226.566696704445
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1627:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7647614807080423, b_new = 0.24248928100694908, c_new = 2.439725491778412
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3633.726930934624
Acceptance probability: 6.137502710357524e-264
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1628:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6022638496473087, b_new = 0.2293815764270559, c_new = 1.9315486278021954
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -12235.734553685264
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1629:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6521281852229426, b_new = 0.4604822791551698, c_new = 3.075119332912069
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4597.3740049293465
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1630:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.997933820089465, b_new = 0.002578102824587255, c_new = 3.3141739316603798
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -13234.872462359946
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1631:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3757643186729935, b_new = -0.284752079918527, c_new = 2.488745598149732
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -10975.531702182112
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1632:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.22197800799097, b_new = 0.0633174608992317, c_new = 3.3192753821624015
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -7193.543831727615
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1633:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.079990692097236, b_new = 1.261290958971061, c_new = 2.6724238361212582
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -7254.840578969417
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1634:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.013698272857777, b_new = 0.12932604510070078, c_new = 2.4254071565954165
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -14430.633281564298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1635:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5458391578854034, b_new = -0.12540664361473136, c_new = 4.1090418707116205
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -11869.093136519406
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1636:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.233673825457356, b_new = 0.18180727887119863, c_new = 1.9078622548825352
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -7247.024778028067
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1637:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.854023633100937, b_new = 0.6757719009836168, c_new = 2.320127141381272
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3062.508602816683
Acceptance probability: 7.327562991427444e-16
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1638:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8158177617222475, b_new = 0.4317079411940078, c_new = 2.4073731287571105
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3131.4679252431542
Acceptance probability: 8.247196739835219e-46
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1639:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.987578820842955, b_new = -0.2594542737916503, c_new = 2.00585429867312
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3079.3343010742815
Acceptance probability: 3.6112009259944183e-23
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1640:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.695496325659305, b_new = -0.24422081505690535, c_new = 2.5752343230997643
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -5512.372647474472
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1641:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2162073977649808, b_new = 0.0932702384020409, c_new = 2.3354762120257284
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -6771.212125168382
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1642:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6627700663982643, b_new = 0.314211143033964, c_new = 2.294209008553599
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4925.234792378131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1643:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1680586486716664, b_new = 0.44798712694428233, c_new = 2.6810900496955363
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -6844.283241224019
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1644:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.782599466910874, b_new = 0.5100290298658607, c_new = 4.012018143587852
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3151.9727035968363
Acceptance probability: 1.026110810922016e-54
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1645:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.96143970113531, b_new = -0.191911677854205, c_new = 2.1840190619529944
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3045.666412050443
Acceptance probability: 1.5115762982052052e-08
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1646:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2130096452525168, b_new = -0.2999321358982793, c_new = 2.8886316718349687
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -12355.051510835354
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1647:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5206295638705076, b_new = 0.05545092565325922, c_new = 1.969225472239624
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -11318.190623297824
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1648:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5722051783398694, b_new = 0.7709278575610705, c_new = 2.141960353390541
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -12797.253112737384
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1649:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.822990716372924, b_new = -0.5694932159323418, c_new = 2.961802211151426
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4016.452339387096
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1650:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3325208361756884, b_new = -0.6165429564524251, c_new = 2.112154247994261
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -12107.829104475953
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1651:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0156181916125426, b_new = 0.2250282735493641, c_new = 2.8123659987842147
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3732.814872553745
Acceptance probability: 5.6838869129132514e-307
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1652:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.723030718179736, b_new = -0.012514241419948556, c_new = 2.5117138320265626
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -12884.496410806172
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1653:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.090325977051523, b_new = -0.5277161552303231, c_new = 2.3245200979509204
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3484.307255119111
Acceptance probability: 4.787760213058349e-199
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1654:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7608288374185648, b_new = 0.7707968086098714, c_new = 3.094948061763536
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -14114.292102253068
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1655:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.07497347413423, b_new = 0.08203259676231696, c_new = 2.8292497586645347
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4241.723721867253
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1656:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5116888558344126, b_new = -0.669186564648898, c_new = 2.7382006465696027
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -10226.226506972667
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1657:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.181624787750416, b_new = 0.37758170055177276, c_new = 3.5952640529526034
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -7320.934949012087
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1658:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0047343307055043, b_new = 0.827913046301467, c_new = 2.407230096062382
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -12441.515165525143
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1659:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5791383765389786, b_new = 0.4001216241165324, c_new = 3.003660357345828
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -12580.516364243276
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1660:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.271851097074972, b_new = 0.43388033911902, c_new = 2.963421513077366
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -10663.367490964745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1661:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.028001837980585, b_new = -0.22087691695992603, c_new = 2.9046923316381292
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -13431.415242525385
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1662:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9986740578919737, b_new = -0.12890714233058195, c_new = 2.6080981613088876
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3211.292829591469
Acceptance probability: 1.7733353767318158e-80
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1663:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.911806827386664, b_new = 0.15220886793385052, c_new = 2.8722978065909497
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3045.816317368803
Acceptance probability: 1.3011489659260389e-08
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1664:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.729217256794461, b_new = -0.2660969994157032, c_new = 3.0012768002269796
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4821.355045431137
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1665:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.113173339206207, b_new = -0.753494157784023, c_new = 2.4678492907361016
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3466.8022937924816
Acceptance probability: 1.9161985246587056e-191
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1666:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8378710325762473, b_new = 0.21783403784423483, c_new = 2.2944439031761137
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3153.426879805528
Acceptance probability: 2.3969201155881902e-55
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1667:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7071714413042587, b_new = 0.5239598695077392, c_new = 2.7111669523518334
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3833.8172813240453
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1668:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6464029081797875, b_new = 0.3674899984637706, c_new = 1.8799336996261329
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -5221.006090469437
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1669:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.402527591612802, b_new = 0.5355515515312701, c_new = 3.5071042128941983
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -11413.035829411887
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1670:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.687070492057569, b_new = 0.12905626697733785, c_new = 2.8522155152856046
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4746.015565751416
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1671:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6171487799160795, b_new = -0.4970211766530236, c_new = 2.492427532062024
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -7816.678964418892
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1672:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.155048373344015, b_new = -0.022049985644058336, c_new = 2.6549259956488283
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -12459.780026733088
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1673:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.108427301661985, b_new = -0.3789905459702696, c_new = 3.182534736714237
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3994.1574576271632
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1674:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.847477930650998, b_new = -0.06051914009189892, c_new = 2.2597088486870636
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3293.015723898201
Acceptance probability: 5.714639456503542e-116
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1675:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2037678456656717, b_new = 0.35499504851955854, c_new = 2.529680029318487
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -11575.271039081574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1676:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7709593313916683, b_new = -0.4095510302979626, c_new = 2.8807068202885087
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4478.315331023131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1677:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8819215835720362, b_new = -0.034631261478414894, c_new = 2.406956898309879
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -14073.781060471021
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1678:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6537594971025538, b_new = -0.23516684068657479, c_new = 2.233231326080101
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -6450.257276538647
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1679:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.506978517475542, b_new = -0.4876664938703923, c_new = 2.1377071311967852
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -10325.397438519718
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1680:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0797787917298844, b_new = 0.26100851169582084, c_new = 1.7288194518000415
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -12859.659813367318
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1681:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8165524620011033, b_new = 0.15859466851000661, c_new = 2.562909960750315
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3281.0796067736146
Acceptance probability: 8.725265240178718e-111
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1682:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7122608072566066, b_new = -0.07044216106433462, c_new = 3.2759661698593945
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4624.537584869685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1683:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.469455792255964, b_new = -0.2921899185099497, c_new = 2.2598666337575333
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -10279.238292486574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1684:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8899699239135852, b_new = -0.7181261262595642, c_new = 2.5313095107695465
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -14657.739734727393
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1685:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3798448643345167, b_new = 0.42555254311305035, c_new = 2.0887245515999004
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -9692.687582440944
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1686:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.927304257808312, b_new = 1.0746519921939437, c_new = 2.454786216766582
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3912.618778902087
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1687:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.217450997160974, b_new = -0.06395993831066454, c_new = 2.402827504578956
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -6385.06987602374
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1688:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8974206073264883, b_new = -0.16078155338378353, c_new = 2.9362025125713105
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -13999.365862531155
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1689:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8031210131394766, b_new = 0.2617232511978991, c_new = 3.7324395166512563
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -13940.055858811942
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1690:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.045808924971785, b_new = -0.8729216638110693, c_new = 2.5137801273688782
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3073.427039989032
Acceptance probability: 1.3278302110713025e-20
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1691:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9168702747858335, b_new = 0.10442025959424817, c_new = 3.0349543938452155
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3047.692538483426
Acceptance probability: 1.992941468865854e-09
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1692:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7449463384471984, b_new = 0.6463258360198162, c_new = 2.7751055044081805
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3350.342764587359
Acceptance probability: 7.247219251132565e-141
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1693:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.983399100238148, b_new = 0.30753332293416635, c_new = 2.5014570027974226
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3477.3863747758437
Acceptance probability: 4.851014071066839e-196
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1694:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0895780468114498, b_new = 0.6504802148046792, c_new = 2.877868272261816
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -5765.082974489682
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1695:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.889624501945712, b_new = -0.1717992084768713, c_new = 2.4891540294988954
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3124.133866278383
Acceptance probability: 1.2631289625730908e-42
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1696:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2738419278865107, b_new = 0.5518523870196279, c_new = 2.9165880742527115
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -9490.97847498317
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1697:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.015900025988266, b_new = -0.5878726994616054, c_new = 2.6322141526239085
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -13825.29911490226
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1698:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.133847037542764, b_new = -0.12044501056027282, c_new = 2.1865587326135967
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4588.585527555795
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1699:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3270351076542055, b_new = -0.5639665613751693, c_new = 2.0640210973821302
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -7254.65391551905
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1700:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.527929107620694, b_new = -0.1546632778220625, c_new = 1.9377466108171841
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -8824.380237344536
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1701:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0111289680262368, b_new = -0.0309533460678838, c_new = 2.2801250492560166
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3334.889548744243
Acceptance probability: 3.727500999808857e-134
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1702:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.684240045282286, b_new = 0.2901994945084745, c_new = 3.8825214922850435
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4246.65014158785
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1703:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.253410985587264, b_new = 0.4610519773252657, c_new = 2.7806026889576
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -8806.317507345622
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1704:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.435344867843999, b_new = 0.5617758569097538, c_new = 3.070584622406251
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -11651.721472566907
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1705:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.283394206355453, b_new = 0.393896516128426, c_new = 2.6790526495927787
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -9166.970875646415
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1706:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4845985198908753, b_new = 0.7116994032693261, c_new = 1.99554977654667
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -12016.31499904548
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1707:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.090065964708034, b_new = -0.3230921940544861, c_new = 3.4371098854511244
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3904.9903977769977
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1708:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6755447335814893, b_new = -0.12456650275912683, c_new = 3.367743965591944
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -5344.871137279415
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1709:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.81666152995881, b_new = 0.4153354453625987, c_new = 2.75732166206931
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3115.2774113727028
Acceptance probability: 8.866601460268586e-39
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1710:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.848541535354974, b_new = 0.6321314901384714, c_new = 3.490301980400301
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3096.1658411639637
Acceptance probability: 1.769321155015447e-30
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1711:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9372358041845406, b_new = 0.31348037663286854, c_new = 3.0936601536804984
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3231.0992605627994
Acceptance probability: 4.4357514272985504e-89
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1712:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4490814435982604, b_new = -0.03221813891626986, c_new = 2.7271836806451883
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -10655.503057047916
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1713:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4610824457179787, b_new = 0.4356735844246157, c_new = 2.8507371835813275
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -8211.86645030698
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1714:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.711686987236559, b_new = 0.16017649020147876, c_new = 2.9404004725727733
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4291.446455137129
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1715:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.603926710380199, b_new = -0.06469540731308629, c_new = 2.512003378834075
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -11993.049912997189
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1716:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.324645300123721, b_new = 0.30767793175536295, c_new = 2.275183374762529
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -9521.104180030889
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1717:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.084960987310493, b_new = -1.0509830656762926, c_new = 2.5058947181720033
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -13670.303675934148
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1718:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.82567800618265, b_new = -0.16896125331824471, c_new = 3.1819926473931766
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3427.966539061095
Acceptance probability: 1.4079735031757211e-174
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1719:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7608764662273826, b_new = -0.1863806090341279, c_new = 1.7066960830956166
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4527.8771631743275
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1720:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.036349048410246, b_new = 0.07229086595436356, c_new = 1.9340874168983748
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3607.599772279909
Acceptance probability: 1.3641826710521114e-252
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1721:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3083504138255586, b_new = 0.24289090805209748, c_new = 2.372151883326648
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -10795.530555573512
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1722:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7288575025332467, b_new = 0.5309967230533504, c_new = 2.336191351833077
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3658.6166655110055
Acceptance probability: 9.517377910340408e-275
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1723:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.417688655037602, b_new = -0.6291785882760145, c_new = 2.8306227201716427
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -11029.557234450576
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1724:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0195450341099317, b_new = 0.7391038991584445, c_new = 1.5269774872336113
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4334.05959845006
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1725:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.628725169329646, b_new = -0.5811826121130318, c_new = 1.8147835376825614
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -8099.4097591756445
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1726:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.199208510450113, b_new = 0.8905109370026929, c_new = 2.4651067528146635
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -10789.17234500969
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1727:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.414524933638121, b_new = 0.3950287781669559, c_new = 2.708546468528472
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -11036.06012050698
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1728:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.940327162226677, b_new = -0.25626449312385313, c_new = 3.335591629389212
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Acceptance probability: 464.31882520969447
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1729:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.249016689911004, b_new = 0.3883990611214988, c_new = 3.9266244864851836
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -8987.52978887307
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1730:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2755652670945676, b_new = 0.2138739869019396, c_new = 3.623460490433242
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -10799.759078983108
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1731:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3113510375278707, b_new = -0.3674910691872784, c_new = 3.6557012955632797
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -8044.458125211648
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1732:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.457957296981003, b_new = -0.07318636768762798, c_new = 3.7575377673929644
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -10996.609391478629
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1733:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.770584507742726, b_new = -0.4383777528640801, c_new = 3.0411506656222658
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -4495.861257878838
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1734:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.083014304929429, b_new = -0.0018868767591952995, c_new = 2.683833870046207
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -12903.378030811851
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1735:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.70047174150644, b_new = -0.7550792628610343, c_new = 3.314441892583843
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -6458.824096159492
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1736:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.694498902427359, b_new = 0.11045253129182425, c_new = 3.952939520718404
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -4392.452235322753
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1737:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8363949349322843, b_new = 0.3809795208317549, c_new = 3.7580928206938706
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3057.519957122975
Acceptance probability: 2.3157121033815283e-16
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1738:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4892863245548416, b_new = -0.7961151544056971, c_new = 3.322398150238875
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -9889.070689547996
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1739:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0107833324162376, b_new = -0.49221232152267713, c_new = 3.1962707359173166
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -13744.984592626746
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1740:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9925081111892076, b_new = 0.08884200230786315, c_new = 2.667893572585612
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3351.226326380587
Acceptance probability: 6.451030528564746e-144
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1741:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.881247024177476, b_new = -0.20193083475350207, c_new = 3.2545223089121667
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -13723.014496398027
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1742:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3724726289708697, b_new = -1.0974789062115788, c_new = 3.2764646417740466
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -12146.333773820308
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1743:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.843010020708563, b_new = -0.3223203793871311, c_new = 3.346808702020217
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3418.369232759906
Acceptance probability: 4.4651428514586654e-173
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1744:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.813345115239986, b_new = -0.8981994569160563, c_new = 3.3898725361496513
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -4641.260838657747
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1745:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.68688240446166, b_new = -0.380920535919237, c_new = 3.899129389843912
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -5565.6504246868835
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1746:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9433240044922955, b_new = -0.34546872583247923, c_new = 2.4559553441137916
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3045.2188109474027
Acceptance probability: 5.0933611421029325e-11
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1747:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5240491790272084, b_new = -0.031011373988684837, c_new = 3.8768268174269593
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -7866.175270478057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1748:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5920245115449987, b_new = -0.3317707786369943, c_new = 3.2847068852666337
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -7561.611410791838
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1749:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.810598190045727, b_new = -0.021953250849900352, c_new = 3.364676498208598
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -13585.955479761531
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1750:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.928119308184417, b_new = -0.9944713618594906, c_new = 3.3626732219161184
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3422.4001175682442
Acceptance probability: 7.929473064468344e-175
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1751:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5734529683397147, b_new = -0.6652363437855582, c_new = 3.1351903142829847
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -10992.688495789818
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1752:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.081286053218329, b_new = -0.24969365001044666, c_new = 3.071438557309949
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3841.402299563686
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1753:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5342127179079466, b_new = 0.19777140619904898, c_new = 2.9973862645779907
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -11941.829613841159
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1754:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7413230700579945, b_new = -0.15490743003839028, c_new = 3.2343451544673907
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -13004.161141392466
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1755:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5626081698660546, b_new = 0.4723812124381348, c_new = 3.8245094240377204
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -5933.420947983514
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1756:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.742629133764524, b_new = -0.3963481905216175, c_new = 2.5936304690452165
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -4996.380072247159
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1757:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.229835251323093, b_new = 0.00553117930552377, c_new = 3.571850774890999
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -11575.704223020482
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1758:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4366289848182046, b_new = 0.48413138835988145, c_new = 2.442801386809415
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -8641.718868432015
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1759:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.303252962158013, b_new = -0.1394964221345107, c_new = 4.028626020084367
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -15459.640258747
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1760:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8489864500667017, b_new = -0.6345644006564957, c_new = 3.729380067127637
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3657.244948839657
Acceptance probability: 8.080346853736789e-277
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1761:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.781650152609875, b_new = -0.04963659816464672, c_new = 3.2659751521481812
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -13375.218224806984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1762:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5917567379719357, b_new = 0.02236829306573257, c_new = 3.570040242813695
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -6546.8370509151355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1763:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.044659347126943, b_new = -0.6428294525667122, c_new = 4.312767996308383
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3257.1251472035765
Acceptance probability: 4.756110698815992e-103
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1764:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4814914702773994, b_new = -0.5421313253902221, c_new = 3.344541228176499
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -10282.353149680073
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1765:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1614712578589, b_new = -0.45964916228591374, c_new = 3.708190887829628
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -4742.093734509212
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1766:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.975646297419182, b_new = -0.5785862326715536, c_new = 3.2453958197656014
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3022.866721706299
Acceptance probability: 0.25965308511561674
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1767:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8864357816691477, b_new = -0.08083083217290268, c_new = 2.864492335776233
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -13782.489090909261
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1768:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.247080309986348, b_new = -0.5312616021395452, c_new = 3.5086341918529484
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -6145.922122933641
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1769:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.995325275841329, b_new = -0.5017045254064492, c_new = 3.492128485952302
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3060.979463014586
Acceptance probability: 7.28182515337089e-18
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1770:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5816333077381564, b_new = 0.1778788485044694, c_new = 3.323874185925952
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -6440.690907620365
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1771:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.450090120535516, b_new = -1.2972516575429467, c_new = 4.123496024754285
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -11460.982021663904
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1772:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2290575652274507, b_new = 0.1208365477019927, c_new = 3.1592399203915775
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -7455.651478315075
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1773:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9546929928506334, b_new = -0.37514831802554005, c_new = 2.5773271896940853
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -13744.624904960401
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1774:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.854523229596207, b_new = 0.1771481120890488, c_new = 3.3998524184128303
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3058.0228306706317
Acceptance probability: 1.4005201406170471e-16
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1775:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7208120626174528, b_new = 0.17489005978495242, c_new = 3.5964273510230624
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -14250.416498703222
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1776:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.952535811748559, b_new = -0.20837206783931328, c_new = 3.4852843618184766
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3048.2727031807162
Acceptance probability: 2.402790606461604e-12
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1777:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4159741275426336, b_new = -0.5746276707689292, c_new = 3.1148159556946577
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -10847.345260643538
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1778:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3484594020837832, b_new = -0.028376349552290014, c_new = 3.088081160961007
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -9408.38362114035
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1779:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2073189418664922, b_new = -0.15178204395020045, c_new = 4.117372440445427
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -6558.062279248578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1780:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.881990372184013, b_new = -0.2025809446100553, c_new = 3.3831158267225345
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3102.6804256688174
Acceptance probability: 5.6460182281263395e-36
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1781:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.115411416513585, b_new = -0.5753597693417505, c_new = 2.723926355656289
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3717.9550495986614
Acceptance probability: 3.4783097017350775e-303
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1782:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9412457877012703, b_new = -0.37872430460832673, c_new = 4.022351515732091
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Acceptance probability: 32.4231159561385
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1783:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.330445508315038, b_new = -0.19386333306911735, c_new = 4.357147945431935
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10702.721441062322
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1784:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.899907890124053, b_new = -0.02521359663722811, c_new = 4.615118022584216
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3052.5336875117537
Acceptance probability: 1.045536487316095e-15
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1785:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4739000754040292, b_new = 0.07414814798801406, c_new = 3.7500141870497483
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8518.804213380346
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1786:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7056934971620827, b_new = -0.3650290842914019, c_new = 4.417485973880098
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5026.324885522574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1787:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0460143271161164, b_new = -1.4351245946480375, c_new = 4.288759138585225
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3048.662333444095
Acceptance probability: 5.019343324707524e-14
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1788:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.133807302754062, b_new = -0.6964113662304199, c_new = 4.142204800361583
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13052.34392292325
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1789:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8063915895657816, b_new = -0.4537431083554136, c_new = 3.035304839581104
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4023.9457312818313
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1790:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8978283498753474, b_new = -0.7796012029227263, c_new = 3.185310207031345
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3469.6446191299046
Acceptance probability: 7.419305433379605e-197
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1791:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6979501024710855, b_new = -0.7830868694968041, c_new = 4.625638853447642
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6101.900548079886
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1792:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8763363370658728, b_new = 0.5613339334292564, c_new = 4.448304215489411
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3247.807167548674
Acceptance probability: 1.6335948342653075e-100
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1793:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.254922827185936, b_new = -0.29048636127354754, c_new = 4.8644254336163515
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7529.413763167246
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1794:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3667948894216764, b_new = -0.09266380427943177, c_new = 4.073943342985551
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10201.24710725117
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1795:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8090219053081826, b_new = -0.5393277799302317, c_new = 3.7911603277649246
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13091.47267897295
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1796:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8717164199822625, b_new = 0.4498722811576674, c_new = 3.989422545077023
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3116.4140135983353
Acceptance probability: 1.890018572840406e-43
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1797:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9625441625321907, b_new = 0.24721803411534082, c_new = 4.606512309189795
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3567.113526577917
Acceptance probability: 3.4686029442866e-239
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1798:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.842804479273921, b_new = 0.10199755176877873, c_new = 3.378342164157416
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3115.845072876733
Acceptance probability: 3.33851927391545e-43
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1799:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.568834075878031, b_new = -0.9691670610538083, c_new = 3.7572393287053516
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10619.052295987281
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1800:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.734212554531015, b_new = -0.02269284778561742, c_new = 3.552044640632906
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13202.783858772344
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1801:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8871327124659443, b_new = 0.41433983185661327, c_new = 4.173875812005949
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3167.4953831633093
Acceptance probability: 1.236258076278465e-65
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1802:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6875942878958563, b_new = -0.6243104556741546, c_new = 4.383541578259144
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12345.17616387688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1803:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.040754325304881, b_new = -0.7046063505772557, c_new = 4.3012971866890295
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3188.5008951269433
Acceptance probability: 9.322474550108771e-75
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1804:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0252987492905103, b_new = -0.6052670973855355, c_new = 4.3370888985334055
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3176.6966311053307
Acceptance probability: 1.247549923615109e-69
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1805:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4474393276159927, b_new = 0.057402245634085525, c_new = 3.7898767993841487
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8949.515852540957
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1806:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.000403333021259, b_new = -0.2687242811809708, c_new = 3.3554780244889897
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3186.562409339678
Acceptance probability: 6.477462197040103e-74
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1807:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.278692827744633, b_new = 0.48875062723468177, c_new = 3.7157922341202365
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10266.65837651731
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1808:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1559563845116596, b_new = -0.7974036713607369, c_new = 4.4704223359130815
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4205.166991120851
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1809:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6265639750099345, b_new = -0.17879030278452143, c_new = 3.2862790522690872
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6464.948101655746
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1810:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7197000089038066, b_new = -0.3620300176687542, c_new = 5.00949057292345
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4632.434772678167
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1811:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.881999759431705, b_new = -0.26759444509221325, c_new = 4.27392381887459
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3082.48575326049
Acceptance probability: 1.0264134095295102e-28
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1812:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.230228099555746, b_new = -0.9596380768496015, c_new = 4.7299804093796585
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5140.516896470949
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1813:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7103980293473433, b_new = 1.3224679223009397, c_new = 3.049112348307987
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3167.5292312779616
Acceptance probability: 1.1951133353287898e-65
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1814:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.481658373520282, b_new = -0.665631964956273, c_new = 4.24114797632455
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9825.790818404248
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1815:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.022623960037492, b_new = -0.5381144392677848, c_new = 4.003500569675643
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3178.4447090918093
Acceptance probability: 2.1720874708434706e-70
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1816:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.863304267106306, b_new = -0.19207817794802118, c_new = 5.112727798702427
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3090.1732635669787
Acceptance probability: 4.7062935413861825e-32
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1817:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6983567209114545, b_new = -0.2551170786096081, c_new = 4.0416974709127755
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5024.199874401519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1818:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6736489879775753, b_new = 0.5572114488237857, c_new = 3.760438563690213
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13599.777101324504
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1819:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2347285823553484, b_new = -0.899475501426066, c_new = 4.120403146210639
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5177.893790287179
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1820:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7859465105740817, b_new = -1.2149957046643374, c_new = 4.37051393959041
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12256.47302775618
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1821:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3476283423102635, b_new = -0.3056347598332648, c_new = 3.8585420387591136
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10869.170127498808
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1822:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8904382715450936, b_new = -0.19625495468585508, c_new = 2.8787725874150283
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3103.0114256628335
Acceptance probability: 1.2506507720256835e-37
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1823:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.528112464922472, b_new = -0.43064738723999874, c_new = 4.028092004233196
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8696.997744842161
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1824:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.350820814477639, b_new = 0.534380151126948, c_new = 4.4793201898932375
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11163.365241385718
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1825:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.106188479038857, b_new = -0.3847842186943978, c_new = 3.296714559708945
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13067.014730345372
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1826:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2795220596752266, b_new = -0.11749992826563577, c_new = 4.189600790667258
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8292.696624844979
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1827:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.196829331401438, b_new = -0.38203590054451997, c_new = 4.3782951956161416
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5791.8861978818695
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1828:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.652990667815179, b_new = -0.5347148120826691, c_new = 4.606075589094246
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6380.335582160147
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1829:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.208419612626575, b_new = -0.34042381723172377, c_new = 3.768281682932199
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5926.943571351105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1830:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2688273087354984, b_new = -0.07165562133340381, c_new = 4.941072637165884
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8515.134449333635
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1831:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.472340285726968, b_new = 0.8043093023500089, c_new = 4.047820453082849
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12656.036627390624
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1832:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.326024373653084, b_new = -0.7925861211979865, c_new = 4.420319788823271
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -15136.648916484171
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1833:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.664159154104772, b_new = -1.5195901879886016, c_new = 4.222673979158791
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8943.035529340706
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1834:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4928811655380922, b_new = -0.8607929478080489, c_new = 4.442313888239405
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10157.33286441467
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1835:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9324767985202222, b_new = -0.882960605040945, c_new = 3.275626741076278
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3298.1773128579525
Acceptance probability: 2.176046597018222e-122
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1836:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1634269073661874, b_new = 0.647941898630379, c_new = 3.965178262314588
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7888.86875925268
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1837:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.965566478557332, b_new = 0.10589915312208181, c_new = 3.5175363949828307
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3281.8577904952654
Acceptance probability: 2.6616239780418986e-115
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1838:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.541382194755381, b_new = -0.3364599866965159, c_new = 3.545616833886988
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11330.816809318363
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1839:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.0735572744297945, b_new = -0.839886773299952, c_new = 4.560734869121379
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14250.520339310242
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1840:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0722564438420465, b_new = -0.4358943755090977, c_new = 4.66861193929884
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3776.4802616539805
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1841:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9187946426732614, b_new = -0.780194024434304, c_new = 4.009586340464483
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3212.610199390908
Acceptance probability: 3.1549566919501983e-85
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1842:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.559286291143727, b_new = -0.5204422187238438, c_new = 3.386097805159452
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11159.144217183346
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1843:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1995973718532476, b_new = -0.523159377173311, c_new = 4.364881357948734
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5483.260165819945
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1844:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4230808293876542, b_new = 0.038357430006183246, c_new = 4.876080533759725
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8990.03730671697
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1845:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.3261106496124937, b_new = -1.321018911164242, c_new = 4.123618787900265
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -16351.274228814094
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1846:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1709661431557774, b_new = 0.5625172678324742, c_new = 2.6568127116771585
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7239.728638445776
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1847:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.427746934647368, b_new = 0.2821873875555986, c_new = 4.449466231735399
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11534.181205371353
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1848:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5069840683062177, b_new = -0.39130707265238307, c_new = 3.601533078673704
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9099.365896474967
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1849:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4476616903569646, b_new = -1.085076450590809, c_new = 3.718078703964054
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8799.599481117079
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1850:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8546322921316705, b_new = -1.554492279185927, c_new = 3.8244188748830905
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5246.123614831771
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1851:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.473905928601013, b_new = -1.326665481945434, c_new = 4.263855078953219
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11209.915318902546
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1852:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1395513779996778, b_new = -1.3136895296330546, c_new = 3.9288758946603948
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3309.1001238802155
Acceptance probability: 3.926012130134906e-127
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1853:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.120922564045128, b_new = -0.836818381118247, c_new = 3.9619232550714387
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3633.978657429359
Acceptance probability: 3.1695472316624494e-268
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1854:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4875555576859716, b_new = 0.26974696342525506, c_new = 4.6312821663589
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7552.2185241333445
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1855:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.613477481184429, b_new = -1.1837941194757493, c_new = 3.1905847024935823
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9409.902701921239
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1856:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.437180699953689, b_new = -0.33378102800548204, c_new = 4.423074700695374
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10485.389928913131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1857:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9269987602658327, b_new = -1.5919772483029382, c_new = 3.1967044196692016
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4341.886124333866
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1858:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.461122623877556, b_new = -0.6216548881479325, c_new = 3.491529196403128
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9917.828163710115
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1859:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.497007406097918, b_new = -0.385826711020598, c_new = 4.2036929474557505
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9028.632423028948
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1860:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9176520399731838, b_new = -0.10984018463092782, c_new = 4.523810382945284
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13474.727460243768
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1861:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8890999856071065, b_new = -0.7927342397313191, c_new = 3.3337131144186607
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3535.3861319152074
Acceptance probability: 2.085388698400785e-225
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1862:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4490006887747424, b_new = 0.023381070511955926, c_new = 3.9928411961605526
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8931.918078709466
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1863:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.054696135168948, b_new = -0.18247607235539198, c_new = 4.7751537402992685
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3976.2664800222165
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1864:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.126615088750388, b_new = -0.8149955583737887, c_new = 3.787783686523279
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3692.1311575449135
Acceptance probability: 1.7607079242345046e-293
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1865:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.517789510476706, b_new = -0.7347435082635083, c_new = 3.6445208976110903
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9681.669743599427
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1866:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2067836014830653, b_new = 0.7820172689506703, c_new = 4.80489114410192
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9639.458038558652
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1867:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.936460297198989, b_new = -0.17065331722350666, c_new = 3.5213795974780906
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3031.0398490640464
Acceptance probability: 2.2594078132930855e-06
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1868:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0175318128696085, b_new = -0.8518649658471039, c_new = 3.3289711671197084
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14058.177682372576
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1869:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.257230450027354, b_new = -0.7356120005275246, c_new = 3.0905075331894465
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5687.95432309795
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1870:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4111165277278133, b_new = 0.32751723002557276, c_new = 3.3208553372483918
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9059.511604050558
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1871:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.26040372995631, b_new = -0.025174829167006918, c_new = 4.291046591338987
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8190.586717761805
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1872:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8285600958883435, b_new = -0.7753175077257894, c_new = 4.226415678169235
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3990.550017154159
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1873:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6931001245857775, b_new = 0.20613630767883617, c_new = 4.120418413527912
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13384.529696811767
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1874:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.097138360039061, b_new = 0.16258446612559996, c_new = 3.8192440763483253
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5026.507880930067
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1875:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.061480544885721, b_new = -0.2890368501555278, c_new = 4.412296090199868
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14670.619925616726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1876:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.120774347664851, b_new = -0.012134574855967029, c_new = 4.580070777796486
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5296.371399974994
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1877:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8456287259550366, b_new = -0.25600531094176904, c_new = 4.281869624287102
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13734.233053170443
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1878:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4165162738863364, b_new = -0.28679337969741125, c_new = 3.1598123369206155
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10271.205219221034
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1879:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.397325595563352, b_new = -0.5714483675881135, c_new = 4.366986460735094
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9389.09997669176
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1880:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.677055511640187, b_new = -1.2619899334024494, c_new = 4.177470647149655
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11301.157779753525
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1881:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5265971836083065, b_new = -0.45149128359749024, c_new = 3.198924019439665
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10894.850593206804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1882:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7656695538072946, b_new = 1.1690566523071109, c_new = 4.1610030813584045
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3181.282162395977
Acceptance probability: 1.2722925900800086e-71
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1883:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9318069103886994, b_new = -1.0370613137956703, c_new = 3.5458535027068736
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3408.291637076258
Acceptance probability: 3.2781196751533876e-170
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1884:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6903666908644372, b_new = -0.375584626928106, c_new = 4.729931024237381
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5232.529236285252
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1885:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6828096713191227, b_new = -0.7621198744266782, c_new = 5.550861876295333
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6039.333511302817
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1886:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.96134259310038, b_new = -0.6206256200038736, c_new = 3.4922465590336875
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3030.323760615177
Acceptance probability: 4.623681264476935e-06
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1887:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5753602538945253, b_new = -0.6401854742319929, c_new = 3.655715586346935
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8527.076531619987
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1888:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.253240429298623, b_new = -1.158873884439459, c_new = 4.129804469625368
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4939.056679984059
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1889:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.475330600213244, b_new = -0.10433682173980446, c_new = 4.41012046832564
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8672.647982500497
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1890:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6416790131631487, b_new = -0.9102952993320411, c_new = 3.731544880197914
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7942.1015847358685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1891:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1847820222504204, b_new = 0.1266163710982917, c_new = 4.161402967023775
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6879.337045614073
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1892:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8147940088091143, b_new = 0.14794164470857718, c_new = 3.2015674376961565
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13750.404750585118
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1893:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.01573318911012, b_new = -0.4359464777185841, c_new = 3.4546083588586667
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3165.580401478429
Acceptance probability: 8.390254231080518e-65
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1894:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.530806597517689, b_new = -0.18856968596014947, c_new = 3.750775210107311
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8171.522125492249
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1895:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9485040542930965, b_new = -0.1140427230180367, c_new = 3.190687323744213
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3056.765301169253
Acceptance probability: 1.5190523206483484e-17
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1896:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7347626981100475, b_new = -0.4763780735556355, c_new = 4.485542894159343
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12886.753149537186
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1897:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.311307615792204, b_new = -0.6926896867854118, c_new = 4.387389604306871
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11698.75732697775
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1898:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6781012923937535, b_new = 0.11525866472684271, c_new = 4.021736193614879
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4614.423218795346
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1899:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.07429432155779, b_new = 0.25576357843947706, c_new = 3.002220793692114
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4603.83674529239
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1900:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1691222953573845, b_new = -0.4185128498129234, c_new = 4.157331557041033
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5093.760996936014
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1901:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8493596793165903, b_new = 0.1591102101313333, c_new = 3.336646288787414
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13958.96999695219
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1902:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.238883322805186, b_new = -0.6714921719810851, c_new = 4.0139098897377865
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5778.562153010811
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1903:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6263262232907625, b_new = -0.20146946782238426, c_new = 4.243217131227345
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12438.889584589575
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1904:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2404677898955745, b_new = -0.5699620707875738, c_new = 4.064483889308365
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6097.829331554944
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1905:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.304334075248551, b_new = -0.11189052457677645, c_new = 4.149406170875787
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8801.879067443493
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1906:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.108131242130462, b_new = -0.7993919858722124, c_new = 4.021923065966426
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13359.45766113257
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1907:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.59875227678708, b_new = 0.006654863465938132, c_new = 3.646453198856239
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6421.43986082415
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1908:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.544230350541244, b_new = -1.0353078939368159, c_new = 4.594186350058342
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9614.211042365925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1909:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.489043483022048, b_new = -0.7947768225976855, c_new = 4.029574961866126
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10106.535006025617
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1910:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.727391558888179, b_new = 0.61334100992583, c_new = 4.057493789785858
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3383.301531869578
Acceptance probability: 2.3371662050134167e-159
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1911:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.001556738059449, b_new = 0.0038992085310438074, c_new = 4.012049906719907
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13036.195905343255
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1912:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.483060286499288, b_new = -0.33541365983433014, c_new = 3.8546707549402286
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9246.18964474092
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1913:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6331424825831498, b_new = -0.7088167349577241, c_new = 4.2538970857552405
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11769.693289907582
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1914:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9913137569557815, b_new = -0.1293050794935592, c_new = 4.10104173187738
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3317.8869199008213
Acceptance probability: 5.996455453505706e-131
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1915:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.628984410404789, b_new = 0.11408534642829343, c_new = 4.330616860533264
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5369.8645735714845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1916:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7519457804163667, b_new = -1.666259020941359, c_new = 4.090247412929512
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7610.618175478739
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1917:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.231735541170708, b_new = 0.255067258689163, c_new = 3.9390599647907827
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11068.455751733349
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1918:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9741523164606307, b_new = -0.8307070385794666, c_new = 4.015420710634397
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3033.7753996505758
Acceptance probability: 1.465413207934042e-07
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1919:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5098126089080983, b_new = 1.0501141909921987, c_new = 3.6251008266626674
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5661.758356377604
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1920:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.41556107449167, b_new = -0.487796524609557, c_new = 3.7311949005110314
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10477.925202487611
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1921:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.23082358987108, b_new = 0.0016374491409273384, c_new = 4.44757066840876
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11324.683254838112
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1922:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.925234602751879, b_new = -0.026194827603799486, c_new = 3.2417508870843443
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3037.132171602577
Acceptance probability: 5.106608523714075e-09
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1923:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.628527131509797, b_new = 0.0918338144221964, c_new = 4.39806213855332
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12896.711120138672
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1924:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8324439263520835, b_new = 0.31970290441540616, c_new = 4.742961660866863
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3079.605385892411
Acceptance probability: 1.829152736169135e-27
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1925:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1645192566637066, b_new = -0.5078987560585848, c_new = 4.091735751063254
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4797.667955345073
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1926:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.148955891179348, b_new = -0.28429072183572957, c_new = 3.650130500575138
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12569.96520134111
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1927:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.413371294972509, b_new = 0.3143315151756273, c_new = 3.9865230053125584
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8842.481865761678
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1928:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.739836431491031, b_new = -0.3197288095947123, c_new = 4.690257466622132
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13171.777909205266
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1929:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6898964078334826, b_new = -0.5415626132401966, c_new = 3.802699013625099
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5935.643349768166
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1930:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9356457784115753, b_new = -0.13286028064390615, c_new = 4.654949409412547
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14366.42388551954
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1931:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.426250197273576, b_new = -0.028311962658652323, c_new = 3.9897530486074357
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9358.012437996862
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1932:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.555877173660297, b_new = -0.1790652456176989, c_new = 4.083821190604425
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7572.660570505275
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1933:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3891861189209225, b_new = -0.6714562065497601, c_new = 4.9965399896899285
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9248.00053291523
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1934:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9229852010524553, b_new = -0.7679576952108778, c_new = 3.9284801696963867
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3189.5486561514613
Acceptance probability: 3.2695981210872036e-75
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1935:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.314494995317577, b_new = 0.5782431522386672, c_new = 3.8312032970933445
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9663.869598188881
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1936:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.378441626869151, b_new = -0.5252295058248999, c_new = 5.004219633371021
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9423.959661978912
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1937:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5895588533261815, b_new = -0.3730935085021362, c_new = 4.530493434245074
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7257.674727090812
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1938:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.499179293939473, b_new = 0.025262576873186615, c_new = 3.8475404790591634
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11609.636006671752
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1939:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.463481321775332, b_new = 0.6611349262100611, c_new = 4.553254474351387
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12524.773480572565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1940:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.131015714297753, b_new = -0.4367555177339248, c_new = 3.8139158716301695
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4339.605472574485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1941:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.717784404502606, b_new = 0.40950945868759914, c_new = 4.614892197452943
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3588.633259724488
Acceptance probability: 1.5640593571570082e-248
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1942:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8430561872221287, b_new = -0.47748900318999543, c_new = 3.564721010575383
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3551.905085905563
Acceptance probability: 1.396678509478244e-232
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1943:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.49841489146237, b_new = -0.8895932319966244, c_new = 3.3204412957720675
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9824.859395848505
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1944:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5840011758804162, b_new = -0.34685264734189836, c_new = 4.292813569201778
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7383.701616879118
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1945:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4005085767752345, b_new = -0.2975433406576787, c_new = 4.867209500242839
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10229.682911189708
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1946:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.851091031491355, b_new = -1.73755185159555, c_new = 2.798655139598975
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6191.419605183876
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1947:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8906585739937896, b_new = -0.17736818934996115, c_new = 3.9450152956060873
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13952.071700479552
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1948:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.923804383076669, b_new = -0.07116564366355094, c_new = 4.274432393079963
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3063.74797870802
Acceptance probability: 1.4094004587093873e-20
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1949:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.283462072731077, b_new = 0.13742397869745404, c_new = 3.9478351710993613
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8988.597407026806
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1950:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.765464330871018, b_new = -0.7378862496886651, c_new = 3.872670890088252
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4955.887479550012
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1951:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.014238273581962, b_new = -0.45160936214401415, c_new = 3.461768783383961
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13615.457617805827
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1952:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.421481535213942, b_new = 0.2550502886587511, c_new = 4.47031782532126
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8697.557776424243
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1953:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1147568761727262, b_new = -0.7690139010193116, c_new = 3.590942361870243
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3600.2959566189465
Acceptance probability: 1.346506100724901e-253
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1954:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.993791544537564, b_new = -0.6368030599420529, c_new = 4.193024690874904
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3040.7503907998716
Acceptance probability: 1.3701241902965306e-10
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1955:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.062581064946153, b_new = -0.7629446414043975, c_new = 4.767420517829379
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3326.2374566507992
Acceptance probability: 1.4167805310783144e-134
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1956:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0648892994265653, b_new = -1.4247660705843987, c_new = 4.759130869011923
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3023.7586789343677
Acceptance probability: 0.0032822120485361574
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1957:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6209740147220195, b_new = -0.3277525546018136, c_new = 3.7229978095058
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12077.809041400018
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1958:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.746062712293836, b_new = -0.6309494934080491, c_new = 4.159779550067277
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4973.675321459137
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1959:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.327879552557427, b_new = -0.7567062679785597, c_new = 4.003618349194479
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11768.318694632502
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1960:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3618954204290685, b_new = 0.31896800991290497, c_new = 4.457835509279596
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9377.057564907316
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1961:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4763975795673425, b_new = -0.06958123586424397, c_new = 3.5183240762671666
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11124.248376234611
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1962:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.792154814723636, b_new = -0.6167046885373184, c_new = 3.7252884334803373
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4330.191774700893
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1963:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1951083961600224, b_new = -0.1900007979844678, c_new = 4.1248431152469145
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6181.981786979933
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1964:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7669234553735333, b_new = -0.36346947694453724, c_new = 4.18091844890321
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13149.213327382658
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1965:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3931395819087875, b_new = -0.2600099302508299, c_new = 3.228810323201193
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10478.298754702962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1966:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9432941017889958, b_new = -1.0803999614836215, c_new = 3.2306204478435383
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3413.958728548424
Acceptance probability: 1.1335436531731512e-172
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1967:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1696723466394587, b_new = 0.1030999288834959, c_new = 4.028324886902703
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6412.424466447803
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1968:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.625517375138538, b_new = -0.568648348823939, c_new = 3.7526491091560956
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7339.992950100502
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1969:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7758549880190664, b_new = 0.34980189754077073, c_new = 4.251420052604096
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14029.496024572138
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1970:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9877729305645309, b_new = 0.4197049649226303, c_new = 5.301088602338345
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12330.958035374115
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1971:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1575876166050176, b_new = -0.5330711580318319, c_new = 3.7909679689263616
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4553.051754542394
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1972:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0815499469482175, b_new = -0.9248989573435507, c_new = 4.622431540481558
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3299.7258606197433
Acceptance probability: 4.62532701327816e-123
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1973:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7830682876112545, b_new = -0.4187545109010698, c_new = 3.3883532642465193
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12979.163984786293
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1974:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4942906288496576, b_new = 0.33360978626154414, c_new = 3.997545765235393
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7489.140205655454
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1975:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.334763197046079, b_new = -0.3240257007316832, c_new = 3.8455020612587854
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11039.91280431293
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1976:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.816473023795623, b_new = -0.8051270459975057, c_new = 4.380468393610771
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4162.462657728536
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1977:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2281453693453463, b_new = 0.2510801065618783, c_new = 3.7461315975245504
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8062.784246258369
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1978:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.301462991539842, b_new = -0.9637948872003357, c_new = 3.8432748931802396
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6264.237117132661
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1979:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3790043624988026, b_new = 0.038221659292418, c_new = 4.262183351460437
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10432.803390428098
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1980:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5060494364611277, b_new = -0.38538705891285824, c_new = 4.470696089458503
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8795.660092387432
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1981:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.459512407586823, b_new = -0.034464807538000075, c_new = 3.8112675190221172
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8960.577471199711
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1982:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.690436359663936, b_new = -0.6143409316020685, c_new = 3.3030539284090503
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6294.6737324738315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1983:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.627655805375757, b_new = 0.4728546078822562, c_new = 4.608604619828182
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13452.678877941456
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1984:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6069905851279, b_new = -0.6363221539212882, c_new = 4.141857178789716
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7738.823931187036
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1985:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7724425205382706, b_new = 0.10028210189835685, c_new = 4.628573519361139
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3423.7724965562074
Acceptance probability: 6.199732582418716e-177
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1986:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4824033000566956, b_new = -0.8892970214929933, c_new = 3.9196618625012256
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10379.872211858563
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1987:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5205799000052873, b_new = 0.6026619822477517, c_new = 3.4206345948028827
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6548.144440502162
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1988:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4428664538632616, b_new = -0.2582565283648153, c_new = 4.158970832957086
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10613.73014429635
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1989:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5794621135162523, b_new = -0.23087685396596982, c_new = 3.045043987679641
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7635.898422878058
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1990:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.711444206221241, b_new = -0.5200035665227983, c_new = 4.549967954962052
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5227.458861064136
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1991:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5049028741352024, b_new = -0.6782136759967179, c_new = 3.9121672419142235
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9647.351293413969
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1992:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4115359369818132, b_new = 0.7277632341446875, c_new = 5.199087567895908
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12393.827624736576
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1993:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.194101546754331, b_new = -1.015949267427346, c_new = 4.066786286945058
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4269.614286991817
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1994:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2413092147777913, b_new = -0.8276529715218905, c_new = 4.536618263301149
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5606.175529294651
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1995:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.038602622197551, b_new = -0.8008744192176787, c_new = 3.834897513225861
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3096.0985919183727
Acceptance probability: 1.2570183137824946e-34
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1996:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7555946243562115, b_new = -0.6334980830220072, c_new = 3.95105996683005
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12683.887900166344
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1997:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9287854803980533, b_new = -0.987935453511269, c_new = 3.8242944472875733
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3341.826662960617
Acceptance probability: 2.404342330856893e-141
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1998:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3636074231160547, b_new = -0.30469330370799474, c_new = 3.5708729850340672
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9175.474115427893
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1999:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.174694571490066, b_new = -1.2124460317127976, c_new = 4.496453355877271
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3801.813191229434
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2000:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9696824020810673, b_new = -0.3439901188258325, c_new = 4.341393496444639
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3087.5033912180106
Acceptance probability: 6.795005930107381e-31
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2001:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1881733696937316, b_new = -0.6433655219687056, c_new = 4.526344947744978
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5038.038490125159
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2002:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6205530717825702, b_new = 0.006114459644872117, c_new = 4.263152895605068
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12687.603222814509
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2003:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9856635940047567, b_new = -0.40925564314064244, c_new = 3.6674202757429213
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13660.778110764393
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2004:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1297961008102755, b_new = -0.050484894024251825, c_new = 3.5733888068317357
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5047.305574604519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2005:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.456295882792692, b_new = -1.1397432775395577, c_new = 3.3320515917013678
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8691.757690681377
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2006:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.198298569377582, b_new = -0.31302931880083, c_new = 3.1918268294422187
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5594.233282715246
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2007:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5188423573009766, b_new = 0.23489682706886983, c_new = 3.8348597280787677
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7332.610792790681
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2008:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7037866765109206, b_new = -0.8152818926568559, c_new = 3.44895743201796
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6500.464130152593
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2009:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.902386105762736, b_new = -0.7893684879664951, c_new = 4.242349085292341
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3295.110723022367
Acceptance probability: 4.671660077183408e-121
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2010:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.56871712007328, b_new = -0.008301123109038244, c_new = 4.133182311819389
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6882.179621841077
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2011:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.28671256411644, b_new = -0.5698732031845406, c_new = 3.2105725317786655
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12075.619494169798
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2012:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.652819155770739, b_new = -0.40156396387208976, c_new = 3.207933811259679
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6541.789103312778
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2013:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.489231124394053, b_new = -0.6806247925459954, c_new = 3.7230442372009382
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9934.531983872084
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2014:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.414921313607192, b_new = -0.4825901166123597, c_new = 3.6042144388842785
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9596.490443600924
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2015:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0462690422344156, b_new = -0.42442982734420664, c_new = 4.333394804274791
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3478.32874735911
Acceptance probability: 1.2557242467974016e-200
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2016:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.38142218730791, b_new = 0.09232857540166922, c_new = 3.927496672817088
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9723.16348559592
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2017:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8221676145392864, b_new = 0.39184214970127695, c_new = 3.4832842812829705
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3080.8379053890485
Acceptance probability: 5.33302420483836e-28
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2018:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1068917809815426, b_new = -1.1634052890220858, c_new = 4.173285264875083
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13738.833110443651
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2019:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.27283369970751, b_new = -0.016048925866700647, c_new = 4.326317633590485
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8498.698440201095
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2020:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3994563941236224, b_new = -1.581468360422941, c_new = 4.6377637148010376
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6955.389200771075
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2021:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.855873473896315, b_new = -0.412851641383293, c_new = 4.214233923424454
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3298.853465587743
Acceptance probability: 1.1066716674662903e-122
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2022:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.691688501120795, b_new = -0.7110680072257696, c_new = 4.234344378674873
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6181.433541775996
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2023:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.004399040824016, b_new = -1.0471478777093122, c_new = 3.792550833415362
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3044.5814919233308
Acceptance probability: 2.9712134788666948e-12
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2024:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3347043644553955, b_new = -1.0731015037957778, c_new = 3.4830541663099193
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12359.317080489574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2025:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4847663003122173, b_new = -0.20727657130276636, c_new = 3.6127172923178366
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9025.62764230567
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2026:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.925389241975587, b_new = 0.21972169467013325, c_new = 4.667930512553671
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14667.204531057992
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2027:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.048018852735752, b_new = -0.189528139845193, c_new = 3.686416511281798
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14548.19243329244
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2028:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.070614320998148, b_new = -0.13634901085175788, c_new = 5.163724508569813
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4367.528673751587
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2029:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.306190738551862, b_new = 0.24286999347528337, c_new = 4.791710518451913
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10011.137381128076
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2030:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2245441631703673, b_new = -1.4039996767523197, c_new = 3.605792439294512
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13526.53239113794
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2031:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3023898437044332, b_new = -0.41922371112639006, c_new = 3.6690942142737466
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7715.559145181376
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2032:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2731595142190315, b_new = -0.6619938758245414, c_new = 3.780164582337914
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6448.764287114494
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2033:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5795579595174862, b_new = -0.7657328736618652, c_new = 3.756761642857883
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11063.223545887258
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2034:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.152389790346634, b_new = -0.7090953012176106, c_new = 3.476161810543794
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13135.73922586526
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2035:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9670122767177336, b_new = -0.37194157168823333, c_new = 3.6217512180697504
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13723.583611259579
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2036:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6070772260100803, b_new = -0.9270268080659904, c_new = 4.0830628458317815
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11158.916064111554
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2037:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8874638085154725, b_new = 0.7653403325526672, c_new = 4.654776954171519
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12676.056156778603
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2038:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9957285132651128, b_new = -0.6406542417410301, c_new = 4.080092994625426
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13752.63299887182
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2039:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6880282552232213, b_new = -0.9224876273527597, c_new = 3.587086875676657
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -15277.966660579505
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2040:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.626436120719417, b_new = -0.7730727818701307, c_new = 4.2613539374693445
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7670.048827634571
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2041:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5927724720819993, b_new = -0.650231090445075, c_new = 3.466234090789019
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8306.919234433886
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2042:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.109541799721459, b_new = -0.7946761011426002, c_new = 4.1588533013043065
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3603.487371742317
Acceptance probability: 5.535977902344549e-255
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2043:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3506638813688303, b_new = 0.00190845856005728, c_new = 4.317464483657838
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9963.291420903233
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2044:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1577886535966497, b_new = -0.3430284282538422, c_new = 4.304765196652805
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5107.55964497772
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2045:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6892004377727723, b_new = -1.6049884139532944, c_new = 3.6363680482476997
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8945.606230364447
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2046:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8859830643988063, b_new = 0.12730453827629462, c_new = 4.354009366491689
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3058.0347945751946
Acceptance probability: 4.268140934985844e-18
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2047:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8241527885331354, b_new = -0.26231725192914235, c_new = 4.413774774721883
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3374.27105261845
Acceptance probability: 1.9524364440540562e-155
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2048:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.589077830624886, b_new = -0.7214319196170533, c_new = 3.8803321680063054
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11258.908220054722
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2049:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8947081143439246, b_new = -1.2595147907604805, c_new = 4.53573531314771
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3865.5195630243215
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2050:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5020651946458536, b_new = 0.04860787155284113, c_new = 3.4094324088371457
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8226.093222488515
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2051:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7613858299476886, b_new = -0.31368702250061575, c_new = 3.837764092349028
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4205.257335777719
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2052:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.548481283654268, b_new = -0.44556306879866103, c_new = 3.3741363366856434
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8627.268154756857
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2053:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2514512582742094, b_new = 0.6031229554850923, c_new = 3.6984187198734046
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9529.840813973991
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2054:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0469405803153915, b_new = -0.987378033531236, c_new = 3.8674893204332252
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3057.696397296352
Acceptance probability: 5.986911279972918e-18
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2055:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.02785112758162, b_new = -0.13389742682979813, c_new = 4.2497629556113345
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3641.4379159023874
Acceptance probability: 1.8259228939216244e-271
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2056:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0856794838572768, b_new = -0.8698857201562191, c_new = 3.9505582267242523
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3304.04613266812
Acceptance probability: 6.149957748607779e-125
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2057:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2857352295772406, b_new = 0.7861091453215007, c_new = 3.8877873566269487
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10618.688940858056
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2058:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.368575856911133, b_new = -1.1074195747401796, c_new = 4.82631629262441
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7651.603299755501
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2059:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.742733720933551, b_new = 0.3003490468141137, c_new = 3.776759880306839
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3577.06890101877
Acceptance probability: 1.6466086914616828e-243
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2060:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6947853819865082, b_new = -0.5964429438039375, c_new = 3.5319378781699275
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -15006.73755022405
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2061:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.469210167090806, b_new = -0.7709051747349698, c_new = 3.806223945006537
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10348.768580823375
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2062:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9955977266795335, b_new = 0.006436206885807372, c_new = 3.2475138315850445
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3366.379065245977
Acceptance probability: 5.224244241595054e-152
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2063:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.95840950631667, b_new = -0.7743506420683393, c_new = 4.401893707218256
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3034.5431991156606
Acceptance probability: 6.800001847042942e-08
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2064:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7103956405338487, b_new = -0.2570128942119133, c_new = 3.8973306647141497
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12851.482625867211
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2065:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7636542431134634, b_new = 0.18620294579367325, c_new = 4.838162750455798
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13942.070992251032
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2066:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7980533769854556, b_new = -0.009094021717607481, c_new = 4.379194395548871
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3351.545902854573
Acceptance probability: 1.4453866810056945e-145
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2067:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4219116958158238, b_new = -0.7263422628121461, c_new = 3.7899585696454046
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9224.600845011066
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2068:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.80545196392349, b_new = -0.6128919279121796, c_new = 3.8271254249638584
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4114.74646597008
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2069:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.976059652720033, b_new = -0.09998800651936957, c_new = 3.9406390057834386
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3228.0247341387135
Acceptance probability: 6.375966403446494e-92
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2070:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2517146442154417, b_new = -0.7306166582386426, c_new = 3.5595760979424247
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5738.820845631242
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2071:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9212640351147274, b_new = -1.142619232101636, c_new = 4.470405701597818
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3460.6881066389915
Acceptance probability: 5.75608504753403e-193
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2072:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6869726734566806, b_new = -0.6650045008774204, c_new = 4.218992944184467
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12241.583901941685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2073:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0371502746517844, b_new = -0.5847870164076756, c_new = 3.3209289226554293
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3171.542648283376
Acceptance probability: 2.159753733093395e-67
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2074:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0843769533529457, b_new = -0.5792376366952949, c_new = 3.8274781940561637
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3569.0694617192885
Acceptance probability: 4.905719919355e-240
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2075:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8799657505088445, b_new = -0.004089398593321192, c_new = 4.446184835184539
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13564.189760786338
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2076:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.84564075595831, b_new = -0.4280157259984582, c_new = 3.1122102203678152
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3545.3730106688145
Acceptance probability: 9.592695997797622e-230
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2077:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.5905565770542396, b_new = -1.139977452969756, c_new = 3.885809888331693
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -15663.285095750638
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2078:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4306012871302514, b_new = -0.8603914200510755, c_new = 6.067690040071678
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9866.292166268284
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2079:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0640671756494444, b_new = -0.6832167420347336, c_new = 5.083107412623786
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3460.155248391554
Acceptance probability: 9.807190212542354e-193
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2080:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.261044066569453, b_new = 0.05172754311267874, c_new = 3.31668980391564
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8024.349445743931
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2081:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.011056822644034, b_new = 0.4660851937635586, c_new = 3.973778532608225
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4323.41827834909
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2082:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.836595874326552, b_new = 0.14379041008684101, c_new = 4.208791341316864
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3090.3440820534333
Acceptance probability: 3.967285778525987e-32
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2083:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4431478766514467, b_new = 0.5531405654133573, c_new = 4.810925007684014
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12261.532097206558
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2084:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.464834648001096, b_new = -0.015137656800263799, c_new = 3.8074369923650204
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11188.16112927444
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2085:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.705478372067584, b_new = -0.7601071356907037, c_new = 3.8761082098918136
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6157.174773015056
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2086:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9913915676945733, b_new = -0.3206050499596906, c_new = 3.602909031024266
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13553.69335214457
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2087:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.200633738784016, b_new = -0.3741214876963752, c_new = 4.559265316643605
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12078.288138430611
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2088:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0040489810586064, b_new = -0.12183461142902413, c_new = 4.724772973835058
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3517.3982929447825
Acceptance probability: 1.3527147381886523e-217
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2089:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7221003736164056, b_new = -0.5224075837242104, c_new = 4.1283312655297335
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5166.87846325171
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2090:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6363763108099376, b_new = 0.07810583803543758, c_new = 2.850656275432417
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5774.490697649704
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2091:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8990074731616735, b_new = -0.9140885124798097, c_new = 3.8655296814875726
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3496.5303415900553
Acceptance probability: 1.5633000572469877e-208
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2092:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8457946041471693, b_new = -0.7014629315608094, c_new = 4.6590534656158304
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3614.761139301584
Acceptance probability: 7.031683370226818e-260
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2093:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9811504466717427, b_new = -1.9413584374926915, c_new = 4.328133429815629
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3942.301878938277
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2094:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.711071296907592, b_new = -0.8971333126717403, c_new = 3.8271071935619876
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6423.885943479165
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2095:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.865311842815185, b_new = -1.565775477928801, c_new = 4.257785527276323
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12319.827747940584
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2096:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.826189800012929, b_new = -0.005575470297383867, c_new = 4.4664550301831305
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3177.2325453984827
Acceptance probability: 7.29983953652476e-70
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2097:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9123652116699907, b_new = -0.5651786818987081, c_new = 4.644503161879067
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3077.9971854240557
Acceptance probability: 9.134453309152533e-27
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2098:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1375666224399166, b_new = -0.9323958619035511, c_new = 4.555908464749911
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3783.19847314628
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2099:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.712992459774993, b_new = -0.22112044995727964, c_new = 4.191261931667394
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4669.6170064562175
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2100:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.672665161796076, b_new = -1.5086486097607335, c_new = 3.109798179000996
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9229.368339719178
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2101:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.226499874500826, b_new = 0.10163210464498107, c_new = 4.101111045994118
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7731.341264237082
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2102:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0610476060040566, b_new = -0.567009607743381, c_new = 3.1473084901055035
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3309.6109396271486
Acceptance probability: 2.3556305441353386e-127
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2103:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.377502165310073, b_new = -0.16716835321708284, c_new = 4.4102501070554645
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10019.300022764108
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2104:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.051222004996329, b_new = 0.1419865252974991, c_new = 4.176000668911923
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4346.05804626979
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2105:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4691191443795355, b_new = -0.8458931056880865, c_new = 4.145544102898123
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9780.766989579044
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2106:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.326833401891421, b_new = -0.6519428983544601, c_new = 3.5798837940199304
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11742.127736679258
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2107:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.404084613696001, b_new = -0.6488178436205547, c_new = 3.9270978308228286
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10847.15944731049
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2108:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3223166952712875, b_new = -0.40032813551726126, c_new = 4.205533843973195
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8395.760191592046
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2109:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.683917947602674, b_new = 0.5468520502873105, c_new = 4.395140447341392
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13814.369996861233
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2110:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.28451297319487, b_new = -0.9826606170966533, c_new = 3.861566595786062
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12498.77686698463
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2111:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9445003003727117, b_new = 0.4371923230334027, c_new = 4.218283313013741
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12818.06956909108
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2112:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.996604323807916, b_new = -0.8261820779869744, c_new = 3.408936522523155
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3029.022676046876
Acceptance probability: 1.6984068652892577e-05
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2113:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9920913425646507, b_new = -0.11830072938464997, c_new = 3.9760766213426058
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3317.3512150246725
Acceptance probability: 1.024585683922383e-130
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2114:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8820414978143427, b_new = -0.14481242340582604, c_new = 4.1151557457779475
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13985.340997338673
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2115:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8314040030601633, b_new = -0.48497466889889385, c_new = 3.613333978287986
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3666.049990885036
Acceptance probability: 3.737610841250888e-282
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2116:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.007576983403658, b_new = 0.35483735023748975, c_new = 4.109896567680202
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4112.1476825967475
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2117:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.635151821474466, b_new = 0.03801875353511974, c_new = 3.608736888203734
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5647.085721152165
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2118:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.835027036123212, b_new = -0.8145848838891064, c_new = 4.3206699203744625
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3951.35796218169
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2119:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0242739719528373, b_new = -0.14386065403674922, c_new = 3.661670086992461
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13166.048471760394
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2120:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0557531232167507, b_new = -0.168252716163739, c_new = 3.9561675879537836
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12934.615244858694
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2121:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.169046314038606, b_new = -0.4031089321719561, c_new = 3.942787228392213
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5062.313042377069
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2122:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.723310895450271, b_new = -0.5651102661203159, c_new = 4.139390896655513
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5238.493036630812
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2123:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1970463917791925, b_new = -0.55461209114628, c_new = 4.330812473055593
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12409.42326183792
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2124:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.994957488362248, b_new = -1.1492174267041328, c_new = 3.2790457958988726
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3155.9299268871964
Acceptance probability: 1.3029356982993415e-60
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2125:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7647588037647384, b_new = 0.40963634537703764, c_new = 2.874087674495791
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3396.479685329519
Acceptance probability: 4.420692110923114e-165
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2126:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5046616857628843, b_new = 0.13715986411590053, c_new = 3.8250829055862
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7826.266785264088
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2127:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.405983706202794, b_new = -0.45628064722965994, c_new = 4.223537765064345
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10370.086773466484
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2128:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.000801775028215, b_new = -0.5095437089029403, c_new = 3.626216933190998
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3079.1536126370206
Acceptance probability: 2.873773944867596e-27
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2129:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.932898750021112, b_new = -1.1877435382636254, c_new = 3.7701856156123617
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3526.3174448529485
Acceptance probability: 1.809954947800249e-221
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2130:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5757417667218543, b_new = -0.00031299053884265016, c_new = 4.03812744024795
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6757.952418097261
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2131:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1099623285164064, b_new = -1.1244988686617994, c_new = 3.410581101392043
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13881.703668898823
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2132:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8595037223717497, b_new = -0.6352696870287817, c_new = 3.9521522115644134
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13309.72740706896
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2133:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.376255319837637, b_new = -0.8540654425250794, c_new = 4.62324764268212
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8409.025972889998
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2134:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.835429305660068, b_new = -0.13824963222458342, c_new = 3.850456076431485
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3255.0472813730476
Acceptance probability: 1.1716634144278362e-103
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2135:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.463129572578064, b_new = -0.8094769648716817, c_new = 3.5372077186991344
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9577.580684315615
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2136:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8435220908738144, b_new = 0.005441171012112167, c_new = 3.953099888033224
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3124.614410685656
Acceptance probability: 5.188942610978214e-47
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2137:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4890657784144237, b_new = -0.26309604751581267, c_new = 4.5271255673288024
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8770.118065884313
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2138:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.411632833504804, b_new = -0.010612112333900303, c_new = 3.523012927166851
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10504.250299654164
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2139:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9965065313231447, b_new = -0.8079510338836963, c_new = 3.5708972499185685
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14047.89846233411
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2140:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6251065858022151, b_new = -1.0811723221838077, c_new = 4.025701157341958
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -15491.595925830818
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2141:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.538179968183192, b_new = -0.31539608467463154, c_new = 4.031117117232185
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8247.854829208922
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2142:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2492052181740165, b_new = -0.358805137388022, c_new = 4.094722950489535
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11806.914079135655
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2143:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.305298485649164, b_new = -1.1813718109498335, c_new = 4.117282476074138
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5871.354828718221
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2144:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.013171396964224, b_new = 0.6348677060936748, c_new = 4.512872829523726
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4860.539875600978
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2145:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1659559577091354, b_new = 0.4761827013648514, c_new = 4.601894673660973
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7700.8121294550065
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2146:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.259916700151053, b_new = -0.2726935637191983, c_new = 3.744994130394474
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7236.306272661066
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2147:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.085226353385162, b_new = 0.15683842830763917, c_new = 3.852298288244248
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12377.553098076414
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2148:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7149858042061448, b_new = -0.23838181245585852, c_new = 3.5848900095705676
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12823.375859089636
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2149:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.121909579448695, b_new = -1.309201381488036, c_new = 3.04869722623794
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14123.045638318425
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2150:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.534676701840206, b_new = -0.38264369620096694, c_new = 4.339964960387409
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8360.283024780292
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2151:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4264243460945574, b_new = 0.24862489384187236, c_new = 3.8651653003965674
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8829.1921529001
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2152:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1718729068765406, b_new = -0.8893052795389642, c_new = 3.7803187994623237
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4117.906683894203
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2153:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.235895953000771, b_new = -0.4407576491042596, c_new = 3.73954310264823
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14997.072000086015
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2154:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.954117691822884, b_new = -0.7076372242966977, c_new = 4.533755544306239
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3024.852391799673
Acceptance probability: 0.001099444151008216
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2155:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.127846323174561, b_new = 0.6057311984729346, c_new = 3.9462594590539024
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6913.31899321317
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2156:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.936984069806811, b_new = -0.555773293531958, c_new = 3.81818984185091
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3045.368901203481
Acceptance probability: 1.351967809724187e-12
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2157:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.32713508877785, b_new = -0.7748757010953347, c_new = 4.48202904967167
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7563.867818741421
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2158:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.940561598042869, b_new = 0.5567354334993039, c_new = 3.638059335255966
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3570.208763034311
Acceptance probability: 1.5700391255378324e-240
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2159:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.230094899188768, b_new = -0.691303650772076, c_new = 4.195832710565849
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5610.986676447992
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2160:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3442511803653785, b_new = 0.6997701004577276, c_new = 3.915478299753671
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11210.245802649055
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2161:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.102170071562593, b_new = 0.27592053032698294, c_new = 3.7368112243352045
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -15133.492176124248
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2162:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1207333559900574, b_new = 0.16368853558783492, c_new = 4.125705376312471
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12052.822751293686
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2163:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.627880513224273, b_new = -0.9611956327077721, c_new = 4.949264760760491
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7875.027780214476
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2164:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0346069238596054, b_new = -0.24339949547006937, c_new = 4.9972819970520685
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12887.790651956837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2165:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.320859961939826, b_new = -0.8629981631132331, c_new = 4.455325514929431
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11858.647177804867
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2166:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4737139929124647, b_new = 0.044003826600114704, c_new = 3.7769736352477783
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11372.230521040106
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2167:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.13897744932016, b_new = 0.0073553194133170186, c_new = 3.7822190454944606
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5421.4097839448295
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2168:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.990856881205865, b_new = -0.9520098567559497, c_new = 4.314980603977349
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14034.498119633718
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2169:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.455134999096884, b_new = -0.8069233441510912, c_new = 3.888916097494358
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9582.457871064822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2170:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.793301357739102, b_new = 0.173056389544331, c_new = 3.046737984093374
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3373.5169216133986
Acceptance probability: 4.15041801714437e-155
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2171:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0954840173343667, b_new = -0.5727747043556002, c_new = 3.6146668906169848
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3652.497230848742
Acceptance probability: 2.8739749545550944e-276
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2172:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.975008150064548, b_new = -0.27486626722716667, c_new = 3.672735363409384
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3095.3984185193094
Acceptance probability: 2.5317629999927104e-34
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2173:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8889428031355004, b_new = -0.07987628838301408, c_new = 4.43042746519297
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3036.3657940909998
Acceptance probability: 1.0989200320263974e-08
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2174:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4196702012199056, b_new = -0.0805619572332733, c_new = 3.9471083411777395
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10606.613393133692
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2175:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.802792241844995, b_new = -0.2507839933523792, c_new = 4.252324355532062
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3562.251067748051
Acceptance probability: 4.4863549057786364e-237
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2176:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9450764062015304, b_new = 0.6362574841417937, c_new = 3.9631452361672945
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3783.0484398309745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2177:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0561308307463717, b_new = -0.45965711724972735, c_new = 3.631366114106717
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3425.476170592129
Acceptance probability: 1.1284354584795848e-177
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2178:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.491205161847671, b_new = 0.6014056458443462, c_new = 4.0068963704628615
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -16321.506057681865
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2179:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6170471773109196, b_new = -0.9463178758406249, c_new = 4.1734207865899595
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11246.072509488095
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2180:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3498600055528374, b_new = -0.5998918072729327, c_new = 4.213280206594261
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8409.657641093196
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2181:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2637139343710606, b_new = -0.926618615715241, c_new = 4.8090078368728335
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5903.3075181718195
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2182:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.278761613621116, b_new = 0.14026221230630986, c_new = 4.057369012237853
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8948.474274522041
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2183:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.995194850015554, b_new = -0.21974546920813104, c_new = 4.1023287465473555
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3265.7619649351964
Acceptance probability: 2.603004523139103e-108
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2184:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.351607303427344, b_new = -1.010027720992277, c_new = 4.31749056323878
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11861.59003703544
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2185:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3161714600729795, b_new = 0.009201176033602154, c_new = 4.500559633325274
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9483.151430362544
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2186:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5870368811849014, b_new = -0.3124421243824623, c_new = 3.8242054148879805
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7406.6947664343525
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2187:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2883654105007873, b_new = -0.318609015419558, c_new = 3.887995275868086
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7784.742439313037
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2188:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0550704571705203, b_new = 0.03206918989708746, c_new = 4.724694274562273
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4341.469968014472
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2189:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2088123572960976, b_new = -0.4471298101664325, c_new = 3.6213615714435536
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5608.685249544435
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2190:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6043556936415375, b_new = -0.15039536376906318, c_new = 3.711887501133189
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12197.710360060508
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2191:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6419439739883464, b_new = -0.1026982637053494, c_new = 4.4450942760616385
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5589.813955890504
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2192:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.017023328817523, b_new = -0.7472270375798967, c_new = 4.154697541270807
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13743.05372605797
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2193:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1934298384200233, b_new = -0.37368233134707374, c_new = 4.00026362141181
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5612.875783347337
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2194:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.560412308594789, b_new = -0.5865828371558706, c_new = 3.884300825922129
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8572.55875590458
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2195:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8523230143970664, b_new = 0.3710988141627959, c_new = 4.801299123480577
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3102.3297951332243
Acceptance probability: 2.472660170164869e-37
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2196:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6228844599542924, b_new = -0.051661840716416996, c_new = 4.2360598367759295
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5897.18792474138
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2197:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.417494037713708, b_new = -0.8609048937211965, c_new = 4.688842833618346
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10837.55938295692
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2198:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.25298607357344, b_new = -0.4129042315138693, c_new = 3.935749095102013
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11901.566439785847
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2199:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.680824390347955, b_new = -0.34331543895419014, c_new = 3.686087607378836
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5661.36557843097
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2200:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2728828498010496, b_new = -0.2976456528111956, c_new = 4.091477793676535
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7588.690582378678
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2201:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8709549926087155, b_new = -0.3053332533990172, c_new = 3.720828065819285
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3180.0552791998025
Acceptance probability: 4.339259269386176e-71
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2202:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4177810102958714, b_new = -0.8508123321438977, c_new = 4.385433438557513
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10914.383604681176
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2203:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.44273573913197, b_new = -0.4750520177606894, c_new = 3.6864678509495765
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10031.296827792845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2204:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7440706217776496, b_new = -0.7719312703972305, c_new = 4.860411249963391
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5111.993380537802
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2205:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5352504465268404, b_new = -0.9205047766096686, c_new = 4.329874597726413
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9588.197137932451
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2206:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0844953392117342, b_new = 0.4936642482708239, c_new = 3.643100282782675
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5530.40291716351
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2207:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.209833003346359, b_new = -0.17807689412557842, c_new = 4.137613633594482
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11849.908478029623
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2208:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.995463671920852, b_new = -0.051207528597641216, c_new = 4.239458963535136
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3445.294975096803
Acceptance probability: 2.7879134693663226e-186
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2209:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3656261685216347, b_new = -0.3442771482055086, c_new = 5.020853816914082
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9653.532858281542
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2210:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9136222556932383, b_new = 0.35835698085708734, c_new = 4.3955848031101326
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3284.3353725752195
Acceptance probability: 2.2343256671172432e-116
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2211:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3033268903952497, b_new = 0.06124391271345958, c_new = 3.9218168325282847
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9154.675514854798
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2212:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7215592853973947, b_new = -0.3125049019865109, c_new = 3.9104531339736384
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4787.875430791912
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2213:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3847578511604124, b_new = -0.7619117886979403, c_new = 3.853197926414664
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11281.672320444297
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2214:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6577987571334933, b_new = -0.21973855672097536, c_new = 3.7715167985739257
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5778.580114776909
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2215:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.365392718463168, b_new = 0.013924689255015776, c_new = 4.6525179453594525
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9844.263698717172
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2216:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.39763539860531, b_new = 0.4334121304815196, c_new = 3.8104035133259564
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11275.033540841963
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2217:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.620592396174688, b_new = -0.47025348440322856, c_new = 3.671712535190284
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11855.693131212964
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2218:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5619247661049305, b_new = -0.4637409361458221, c_new = 4.147866593854058
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11493.369362910335
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2219:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.727580568078762, b_new = -0.8939361665869385, c_new = 4.624427532625943
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12334.029551328738
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2220:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.235178775137539, b_new = 0.09004703625386595, c_new = 4.979451799099257
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8274.826781704973
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2221:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.156287826063556, b_new = -0.6694028206046634, c_new = 4.357123177169902
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4413.9993636395975
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2222:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.724707764977666, b_new = -0.13826451777833887, c_new = 4.453534794011584
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4280.819371781845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2223:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5113951780108934, b_new = 0.21083316750520142, c_new = 4.090998889551186
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7441.164249189142
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2224:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6983603106521503, b_new = -0.27906090062444705, c_new = 4.700631560208963
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4893.250427383731
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2225:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.774656160370946, b_new = -0.9356543326085268, c_new = 4.275925594003571
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5109.93028259348
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2226:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8193783883161512, b_new = -0.3910405251837372, c_new = 3.431267086328375
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14414.805600863468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2227:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5299829943445933, b_new = -0.2795869699172032, c_new = 4.203749428732423
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11509.638347070526
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2228:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0768330734279754, b_new = 0.05322687519747521, c_new = 4.140424001966357
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4548.280735382434
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2229:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.542396040899594, b_new = -0.4122489662329837, c_new = 3.9431924157920517
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8440.38645157162
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2230:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.33935567478178, b_new = -0.5355857053019224, c_new = 3.879161036224121
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11341.31151798408
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2231:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0553731192793947, b_new = -0.634493636802258, c_new = 4.2200828036388955
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3325.2313575939706
Acceptance probability: 3.874769289137453e-134
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2232:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9340087470484737, b_new = -0.5843170933266066, c_new = 3.867774587634907
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3058.760355841129
Acceptance probability: 2.0660056145296416e-18
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2233:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6198608110174457, b_new = -0.563543459551683, c_new = 4.68687640642558
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7093.425673924631
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2234:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.385137258417605, b_new = -0.035242814678757006, c_new = 4.500751117258305
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10445.717652056754
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2235:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8833810088532483, b_new = 0.2744325748943778, c_new = 4.885476040545777
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3145.2835653162347
Acceptance probability: 5.477458121707347e-56
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2236:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4009892318401267, b_new = 0.937309935210383, c_new = 4.151044732130162
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7671.322071571481
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2237:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2103873130712026, b_new = -0.01701570951079029, c_new = 4.131602686056203
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11614.59746190464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2238:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.007198215406161, b_new = -0.23259377999673578, c_new = 3.7254334645414113
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3289.2927540316928
Acceptance probability: 1.5710248814521392e-118
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2239:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1963866723871948, b_new = -0.8470843218753199, c_new = 4.038675939707332
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4611.110208018961
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2240:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9861498572141474, b_new = -0.568163538749807, c_new = 3.6382480995742346
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3029.7042477980503
Acceptance probability: 8.590904397927397e-06
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2241:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.337743607126671, b_new = -0.7637014539933393, c_new = 3.528598375395267
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7459.543256812172
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2242:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7565609227023744, b_new = -0.045069396019631724, c_new = 3.546052149256658
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3905.505221554655
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2243:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.512092568933624, b_new = -0.3513955224629358, c_new = 4.419644636604675
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8638.656102577745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2244:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4525253494745516, b_new = -0.4594241769888524, c_new = 4.098105308822666
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9840.520253015715
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2245:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.566079351251318, b_new = 0.931180950646903, c_new = 4.785683107949136
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4683.861831290842
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2246:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0965035138586035, b_new = -0.6617189896852826, c_new = 3.768821949331564
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3577.9735072057674
Acceptance probability: 6.663845633089681e-244
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2247:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.884754064207466, b_new = -0.07849666636555885, c_new = 3.9871813171696
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3039.2834698361266
Acceptance probability: 5.940672540834304e-10
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2248:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.712978098006837, b_new = -0.10973768916469845, c_new = 4.237905959929465
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4448.6213988033105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2249:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1287400153010587, b_new = 0.11788991451735908, c_new = 3.8683992588544225
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5527.011556529741
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2250:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2839384772080265, b_new = -0.375693038393122, c_new = 2.589069288110416
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11994.260864491129
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2251:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9780732726960615, b_new = -1.517539578920776, c_new = 4.035776173580535
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3466.855672375181
Acceptance probability: 1.2066670009167392e-195
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2252:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0673622111246344, b_new = 0.27271944566685113, c_new = 4.010685321582069
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12309.772183759025
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2253:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.418332898434413, b_new = -1.5538963035340783, c_new = 4.0710752962617445
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7216.937147322182
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2254:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8502512261485076, b_new = -0.5162770623223364, c_new = 4.632008644158869
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13560.560013182276
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2255:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.867617917559094, b_new = -0.8364454347524624, c_new = 3.707130381268634
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3733.4869854320496
Acceptance probability: 1.927877669244e-311
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2256:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2663013842920194, b_new = -0.3935731350343301, c_new = 3.466193203242825
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6926.657743031837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2257:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6991573024918525, b_new = -0.3221085439157113, c_new = 3.871122292349225
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5208.1064433753045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2258:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.734775796705122, b_new = -0.5398907406821609, c_new = 3.546856093094305
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5157.385634263366
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2259:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6805079138109744, b_new = -0.3965277240270479, c_new = 4.086762806783963
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5664.765421546278
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2260:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6564752885878264, b_new = -0.708665858714516, c_new = 4.678841877928771
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6735.498077946879
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2261:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.279519662983121, b_new = 0.06071318967952083, c_new = 4.823087862418088
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9064.036521915597
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2262:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.766824944431568, b_new = -0.17113637274689736, c_new = 3.4198176451771336
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3994.138488585469
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2263:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0072737586020795, b_new = -0.11215819985792136, c_new = 3.78968161606617
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3410.19502570432
Acceptance probability: 4.886451879838613e-171
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2264:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.559568363515561, b_new = -1.2303081052842035, c_new = 3.612988071589199
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10024.70297601429
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2265:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.164067363050929, b_new = -0.7863336550506388, c_new = 4.320135961916887
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4304.332245986193
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2266:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4237774420316445, b_new = 0.051699811044686794, c_new = 4.664191565759562
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11144.102608839528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2267:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.581613055762643, b_new = -0.6961292321487642, c_new = 3.956071127322048
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8439.926923612458
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2268:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3505433054586238, b_new = -0.6109680265509638, c_new = 3.918679885728109
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8281.304481604238
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2269:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.550163047148053, b_new = -0.6925622739735972, c_new = 3.76978821320976
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9045.698443780904
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2270:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2912268296570453, b_new = -0.13676501234495836, c_new = 4.642595174537663
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8671.584931618105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2271:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9787088046909327, b_new = -0.21967890976813834, c_new = 3.663734139238764
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3137.445722676719
Acceptance probability: 1.3883880729734206e-52
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2272:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.628904324292069, b_new = 0.929988487570322, c_new = 3.4452870948580623
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4065.670962406577
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2273:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2362144277870577, b_new = -1.0074191199278482, c_new = 3.8226925019782314
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4885.136672723157
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2274:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4779037624982574, b_new = -0.40764650916545053, c_new = 3.8136623621599393
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10632.081368181725
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2275:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3614546955075957, b_new = 0.5105218713464591, c_new = 3.9503570462893633
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11057.425836908336
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2276:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8546778749387647, b_new = -0.1338105223548562, c_new = 4.638319082466742
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13994.970486339664
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2277:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0590868841257732, b_new = -0.19884282606446105, c_new = 3.9439292318271173
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12954.362161665784
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2278:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5110360901056046, b_new = -0.4438896868896391, c_new = 4.235081220533183
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11055.66109094478
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2279:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7893217770671122, b_new = -1.3158223764711463, c_new = 3.4819329727114416
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -15301.888794772014
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2280:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4816920040621757, b_new = -0.6452367539865689, c_new = 3.3985551393804667
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10106.601029941334
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2281:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.075410295487327, b_new = -0.43812381735851685, c_new = 3.622298995770669
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3621.13768152394
Acceptance probability: 1.1960854458730459e-262
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2282:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2473982203283582, b_new = 0.41423238033637677, c_new = 4.6501442861759426
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9338.655218060114
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2283:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.753544638664814, b_new = -0.5536027842157119, c_new = 4.831471887062694
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13002.285578583842
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2284:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1718381048020348, b_new = 0.10485931921882136, c_new = 3.6128757347684273
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6302.840762050652
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2285:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.066867423539112, b_new = -0.03662820122417171, c_new = 3.887252294168619
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4169.869655477545
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2286:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.032066708670328, b_new = -1.1090018006481495, c_new = 3.998909648590815
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3024.0718206144975
Acceptance probability: 0.002399777248685759
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2287:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3003673580157553, b_new = 0.3070797999275118, c_new = 4.143363965495702
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10218.621343839692
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2288:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5792366175519166, b_new = -0.3417360360301135, c_new = 4.357579161592247
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7439.6091186691665
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2289:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1498519409350116, b_new = -0.3267989391557671, c_new = 3.936912234760664
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4892.761718909856
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2290:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1133054584692728, b_new = -0.6288446365943484, c_new = 3.5245447381701918
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3751.6351986411423
Acceptance probability: 2.5317e-319
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2291:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9400768515134437, b_new = -0.7564794317306824, c_new = 3.553603144784319
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3136.05900460956
Acceptance probability: 5.555905864115042e-52
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2292:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6479851408809454, b_new = -0.2941795246634215, c_new = 3.7549143935736726
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6163.291486729008
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2293:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1515617580037136, b_new = 0.30736677709136906, c_new = 4.021483158897485
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6596.230461196808
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2294:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9305921889808926, b_new = -1.0912307427348955, c_new = 4.984136521588248
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3274.0768405831122
Acceptance probability: 6.373387307919593e-112
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2295:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.638646756544444, b_new = -1.0959654972856452, c_new = 4.50952383566493
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8189.270471913858
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2296:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.833239670186119, b_new = -0.5199307570815205, c_new = 4.413974013263142
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3559.4504175377897
Acceptance probability: 7.382450756551927e-236
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2297:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7856458467122684, b_new = -0.6594891595965987, c_new = 3.4003906976319893
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4596.311834137111
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2298:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.810560029413253, b_new = -0.23138388223388268, c_new = 3.7566038471328365
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3541.27658836867
Acceptance probability: 5.767588695723236e-228
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2299:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.470235932810206, b_new = -0.6952026325702384, c_new = 4.759799724250807
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10299.563997343108
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2300:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6873342935320563, b_new = 0.6948213010185752, c_new = 4.486422168285689
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3589.4779492311945
Acceptance probability: 6.720618438485145e-249
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2301:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.183909519709232, b_new = -0.7159141506846392, c_new = 2.7802830081300303
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4372.971739650917
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2302:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.264589315391214, b_new = 0.01079084899952265, c_new = 3.281406721016973
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11342.788386649618
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2303:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.815166908335896, b_new = -0.6174476928665374, c_new = 3.97043774249579
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3966.1460240895667
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2304:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1420523379538654, b_new = -1.0056316308532596, c_new = 3.4753850746953225
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3571.7321840737213
Acceptance probability: 3.422134890671026e-241
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2305:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.579124269143635, b_new = -0.37518894932093866, c_new = 3.8800587137706954
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7700.664123534691
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2306:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.311356101957435, b_new = 0.4886956242252146, c_new = 3.620806602045468
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10221.024166912759
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2307:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.965508671985066, b_new = -0.8377539275041822, c_new = 3.9445481959142374
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3057.386854481151
Acceptance probability: 8.158974183408134e-18
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2308:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.00866478845936, b_new = -0.08641586881215663, c_new = 3.646458173458262
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3427.7529368351525
Acceptance probability: 1.1579497371178427e-178
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2309:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4008390988460526, b_new = -0.3282446553810678, c_new = 4.21590642432519
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9936.697156043092
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2310:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5734545276889897, b_new = 0.36184605205022, c_new = 4.079972374612331
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5909.309504466301
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2311:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4549677802136225, b_new = -1.3279564654848344, c_new = 3.6368205831717777
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8331.139873033979
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2312:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6716956254973074, b_new = -0.32856989529063996, c_new = 3.682058143861292
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12440.67170840131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2313:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.838707283261443, b_new = -0.7823830461698351, c_new = 4.297739875629168
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3863.7835525722935
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2314:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4147354989789465, b_new = -0.36684088050614755, c_new = 4.16785945881883
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10113.174743369345
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2315:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9379111533267275, b_new = 0.22660937938730985, c_new = 4.212003511402292
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3296.0609340282526
Acceptance probability: 1.8063414105971837e-121
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2316:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.266706407305003, b_new = -0.7480658078438301, c_new = 3.882079569845067
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6114.6610881896295
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2317:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.780021741490934, b_new = -0.8912837637035584, c_new = 5.0154629636802746
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12794.690123105978
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2318:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.578626761987301, b_new = -0.7224801755458704, c_new = 3.6132895822425826
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8691.480243369528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2319:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.121388863144364, b_new = -0.8918360512200213, c_new = 3.1826676266777305
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3474.346897195721
Acceptance probability: 6.732708844748472e-199
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2320:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9370605159837875, b_new = -0.6697122023249635, c_new = 3.7019137634356687
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13614.733574284437
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2321:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.818604317556498, b_new = 0.04141671942871733, c_new = 3.4612811008708677
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3264.0738726240006
Acceptance probability: 1.408004680397844e-107
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2322:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.77049715680213, b_new = -0.25440569678750025, c_new = 3.7793383468268273
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4002.0769463956485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2323:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1516439158159937, b_new = 0.5230205414908895, c_new = 3.4706313188862263
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7013.939535335413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2324:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.212259991401005, b_new = 0.3029559840402024, c_new = 3.7127271618333055
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11236.318990935726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2325:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9405288448010967, b_new = 0.21123836742285163, c_new = 3.7908814675497315
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3247.3891904807056
Acceptance probability: 2.4812440667425654e-100
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2326:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.310031665878001, b_new = -0.10616492960693585, c_new = 3.565791160238968
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8697.660667052938
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2327:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0008191406894205, b_new = 0.12385122831164419, c_new = 4.1595697495241035
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3692.046380507557
Acceptance probability: 1.9164854142912116e-293
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2328:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8320433407215524, b_new = -0.41691434283753503, c_new = 4.894332348976956
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13641.320048538175
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2329:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8940373550497838, b_new = -0.5332596075277601, c_new = 4.31360273778837
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3154.868845630705
Acceptance probability: 3.764824341246435e-60
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2330:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5121608774975077, b_new = 0.26204515803648976, c_new = 4.283606984582749
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12231.574239711592
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2331:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.318132034520552, b_new = -0.2340219233298537, c_new = 3.8701005227393077
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8632.123561932163
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2332:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.902787319044407, b_new = 0.11825927206926529, c_new = 3.4224281029888437
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3041.2437498844856
Acceptance probability: 8.365594434040952e-11
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2333:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.986062490772465, b_new = -0.6538223415412938, c_new = 3.8003909219130043
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3019.9663847872953
Acceptance probability: 0.14559251801769382
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2334:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.166114662574381, b_new = -0.7519237901094, c_new = 4.770004418866081
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12752.345681633213
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2335:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9600002456468855, b_new = -0.08193577281336584, c_new = 3.8031374565992944
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3146.251492112783
Acceptance probability: 2.0807207547516054e-56
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2336:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7860683747668458, b_new = -1.6197983111228882, c_new = 4.040108201667249
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11646.61511256178
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2337:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.929290862347716, b_new = -0.37111875344238043, c_new = 3.7091636355009845
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3025.0205567904222
Acceptance probability: 0.0009292659961346704
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2338:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.964945105332298, b_new = -0.4816485481828946, c_new = 4.060536733687547
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3023.8957071975065
Acceptance probability: 0.002861910294464813
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2339:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.951714911000687, b_new = -0.15833454703044184, c_new = 4.706308836804308
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3144.8526503985345
Acceptance probability: 8.42797108109017e-56
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2340:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7627508262860907, b_new = -1.3115581716274876, c_new = 4.298685164209584
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6280.606261630765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2341:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6534521809816796, b_new = 0.09190304226377954, c_new = 4.547613350079382
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4928.854322439907
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2342:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0988817016897467, b_new = 0.11652959228475557, c_new = 4.663016206847258
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5226.5252755909005
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2343:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8659573131677902, b_new = -0.9281800434621903, c_new = 3.1799807343589315
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4002.7784077069605
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2344:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.538538598815093, b_new = -1.0762201991553857, c_new = 3.9309428460364733
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10148.868701929849
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2345:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6479672941387635, b_new = 0.28154161369584396, c_new = 4.2696771693205005
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4713.005878875713
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2346:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.384998192056533, b_new = -1.239311481943179, c_new = 3.005530830513515
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6998.041368781565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2347:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.55413576896753, b_new = 0.1635502954446063, c_new = 3.922453785288988
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12317.613377350137
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2348:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.747036443110023, b_new = 0.8152774992417057, c_new = 4.635343464719634
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3175.435227949583
Acceptance probability: 4.40431491337755e-69
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2349:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0598314505398676, b_new = 0.14469536514491865, c_new = 3.63313233255628
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12613.628464166259
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2350:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.726502043860836, b_new = -0.3871143262128175, c_new = 4.330851545680785
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4744.986000698989
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2351:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.518402815886163, b_new = 0.17987648581701465, c_new = 2.804848798213003
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7836.682812779092
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2352:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.760170247825952, b_new = -0.42296275136708894, c_new = 3.3911204576326464
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4531.738232102085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2353:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7900448018753803, b_new = -0.722776166492828, c_new = 3.5124816284604607
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4621.858519617979
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2354:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.161882391718022, b_new = -1.5105403841826313, c_new = 4.276595225814023
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3334.592915370351
Acceptance probability: 3.330987206086748e-138
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2355:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5399528327658216, b_new = 0.18506041765011494, c_new = 4.3936662840314815
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12375.380467496063
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2356:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.930253595467132, b_new = -1.627391092308962, c_new = 3.7655852515105477
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4203.539285715319
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2357:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.701740695505339, b_new = -0.20733536579832437, c_new = 3.809573144391811
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4929.753986505764
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2358:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0054251337659696, b_new = -0.681298887712209, c_new = 4.714159155430319
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3080.2451532117593
Acceptance probability: 9.647228264224333e-28
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2359:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.825267649206145, b_new = -0.707532798866164, c_new = 4.049810704406658
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3963.709679816774
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2360:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.405452042110786, b_new = -1.0798051759945508, c_new = 4.012626251797944
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8161.937371847869
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2361:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1438404424075315, b_new = -0.6685397784759701, c_new = 4.493076377949783
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4267.295643523671
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2362:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6571620757583996, b_new = -0.20567102807474805, c_new = 3.3294154011411785
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5905.229865631879
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2363:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3406054797256273, b_new = 0.7550223420912688, c_new = 4.371941882862902
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11435.234216035558
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2364:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1251313498003266, b_new = 0.19449092127750878, c_new = 3.7128216267397596
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5595.899936959337
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2365:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.729637301059232, b_new = -0.711974987899004, c_new = 4.608459214819367
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5315.001764516035
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2366:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1422801993164526, b_new = -0.41124280198890145, c_new = 4.420628606020582
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4723.68789732993
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2367:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6477245127232765, b_new = -0.9550822762137703, c_new = 5.070915444212285
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7420.211860231496
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2368:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2404120042399787, b_new = -0.7978889857093068, c_new = 3.836672992378802
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12569.24732070929
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2369:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.049370862558121, b_new = -0.8872861688802636, c_new = 3.7723868754854726
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13929.02455732943
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2370:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.630402314136514, b_new = 0.33431079855967927, c_new = 4.638699616191246
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4806.027184500175
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2371:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3114361858046077, b_new = -0.5426947554895376, c_new = 4.206444302444002
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7772.10782530713
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2372:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6471489374260186, b_new = -0.5575320981064336, c_new = 3.153356472316588
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7100.128227833979
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2373:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.712306729194687, b_new = -0.7730581177864029, c_new = 3.550390286872253
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6171.395774288163
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2374:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7407553931256734, b_new = 0.11135223470239647, c_new = 5.010907758314411
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3645.0668172761675
Acceptance probability: 4.846972904657307e-273
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2375:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6721101731986807, b_new = -0.6179846488310448, c_new = 4.344617820566472
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12230.233091251359
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2376:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9679480579112427, b_new = 0.3138995207547387, c_new = 3.783953556043996
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3549.673970702513
Acceptance probability: 1.300341646090921e-231
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2377:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.397905958293096, b_new = 0.1624311098118092, c_new = 3.6065972226846132
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10701.233393873568
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2378:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8701198066184617, b_new = -0.6065908966071426, c_new = 3.518165761489289
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3463.4529410705436
Acceptance probability: 3.6255580664222313e-194
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2379:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.19635969415962, b_new = -0.29528052091513024, c_new = 3.7352535640882354
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12228.449675470813
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2380:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4251965768881045, b_new = -0.09306957119095716, c_new = 4.255590035115291
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9416.65314134329
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2381:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.370787684897448, b_new = -0.493269191816997, c_new = 3.772203317350454
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8912.229664120508
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2382:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.093298818395454, b_new = -1.2573534306328167, c_new = 3.9350147663900725
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13970.140456656576
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2383:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.434953905553858, b_new = -0.8498530706344894, c_new = 4.8807778839166645
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9526.812617531532
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2384:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8347374950157933, b_new = -1.05605913849268, c_new = 3.46510820362991
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12552.277229816074
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2385:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.514595720804849, b_new = -0.6543138079452687, c_new = 3.80167456826385
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10594.934137212695
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2386:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0905331786712167, b_new = -0.31421858506127187, c_new = 3.8501555034229455
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4008.1204774471257
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2387:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9275431758171084, b_new = 0.012488898869049858, c_new = 4.432820219974381
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14420.579370433128
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2388:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4923817494639073, b_new = -0.6010530897244575, c_new = 3.788044355303139
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9702.239027278318
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2389:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.225700633475893, b_new = -0.6411089703716379, c_new = 3.342722565135163
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5377.149936459521
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2390:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.791299372223194, b_new = -0.9185236812113468, c_new = 4.854609363396057
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4625.029592024599
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2391:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.971946483325702, b_new = -0.7784305075333957, c_new = 3.686283350500247
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14098.995800383025
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2392:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9305193224046535, b_new = 0.005711908768571916, c_new = 3.455217645525437
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3063.6857256238463
Acceptance probability: 1.4999285768614648e-20
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2393:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4008248340435325, b_new = -0.9230658957023263, c_new = 4.257253706836682
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11266.860959567828
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2394:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.295859429294042, b_new = -0.51769537648004, c_new = 4.263494836862384
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7529.3077306092
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2395:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.955779594061024, b_new = -1.386090100396994, c_new = 3.3928942731318483
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3628.2871738088543
Acceptance probability: 9.392412505608225e-266
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2396:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1429623254213395, b_new = -0.22308762689194217, c_new = 4.176089515156247
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5075.35241155634
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2397:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.071171268739106, b_new = -0.48696721321364717, c_new = 3.7655820815941614
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13271.466352005333
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2398:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.194776124123976, b_new = -0.32683404310123687, c_new = 3.849975096119048
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5708.372750051585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2399:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1956865683502738, b_new = -0.8002757887920009, c_new = 4.373386869519095
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4783.339585272445
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2400:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.617963698466841, b_new = -0.06738821859547534, c_new = 4.300206597972084
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6009.958087942828
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2401:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.0646047561893655, b_new = -0.2529094121654796, c_new = 3.4398115551658432
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14502.25543743701
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2402:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9850462133167706, b_new = -1.2702714306988647, c_new = 3.9692096833189234
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3205.5273441068784
Acceptance probability: 3.758706093647228e-82
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2403:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7947450504324296, b_new = -0.19889302798458572, c_new = 4.258912043643813
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3578.176226638687
Acceptance probability: 5.4410785679043946e-244
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2404:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0728845969186347, b_new = 0.15248982838776515, c_new = 3.4420163712537817
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4494.081653388488
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2405:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4364298400921345, b_new = -1.3470545541360328, c_new = 4.09021753095572
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11698.394125800973
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2406:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.056345924782988, b_new = -0.9479394421953357, c_new = 4.254194354394858
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3117.4628953358124
Acceptance probability: 6.621288652078604e-44
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2407:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.498886352130465, b_new = -0.45557593877614166, c_new = 3.3571612716485286
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10641.085989057643
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2408:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.512580852654174, b_new = 0.17558714172513123, c_new = 4.673053030338288
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7313.166495208172
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2409:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.578697714510796, b_new = -0.07181016297264037, c_new = 4.948195477772243
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6575.8127118493685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2410:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9492714947443304, b_new = -0.9801089162541792, c_new = 3.9525955508396
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3192.769029110231
Acceptance probability: 1.3058827029293145e-76
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2411:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.483315155784329, b_new = -0.21415425922692993, c_new = 4.058188682777524
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11111.425287951794
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2412:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2200843985276064, b_new = -1.0968444820841552, c_new = 4.600584965199746
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12886.525241064017
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2413:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.45679708247608, b_new = 0.6630920358900761, c_new = 4.0552287646488665
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7370.737657624082
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2414:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0949922583824145, b_new = -0.9278845816133593, c_new = 3.990359099255581
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3323.5403331355055
Acceptance probability: 2.1020761269102763e-133
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2415:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4281090497892466, b_new = -0.6863544676111668, c_new = 4.345898865563998
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9599.656830115206
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2416:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3116560371413044, b_new = -0.6193618447975745, c_new = 4.906928127405225
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7840.214198255751
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2417:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8517763793155453, b_new = -0.558439321224541, c_new = 3.6592947193515313
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3549.6298633964548
Acceptance probability: 1.3589798944436494e-231
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2418:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7896435802485238, b_new = -0.04833808498531206, c_new = 3.7934461016447245
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3524.634558332842
Acceptance probability: 9.739487267771986e-221
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2419:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8204519446544998, b_new = -0.12036659669027217, c_new = 3.618653435262228
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3366.2187084080906
Acceptance probability: 6.132895469270595e-152
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2420:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0532434001833293, b_new = -0.15715675233928783, c_new = 4.851736364864526
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4016.815724140448
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2421:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.395712376463001, b_new = 0.2921177824544873, c_new = 3.7674297858802954
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10976.785070956968
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2422:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.182975343385837, b_new = -0.7148756745129987, c_new = 4.489457260213098
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4781.972884845958
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2423:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.912994990491641, b_new = -1.0597131549595087, c_new = 4.005400359249852
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3514.9988633931125
Acceptance probability: 1.490270950078333e-216
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2424:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.192468601897783, b_new = -0.6497431720349032, c_new = 3.3414608882936427
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12841.167887383766
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2425:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9938476497862143, b_new = -0.6266898877742554, c_new = 3.7756043428333976
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13935.903710064322
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2426:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4196508943554167, b_new = -0.8042912644152286, c_new = 5.200060102678887
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10546.826641698117
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2427:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6202669992170833, b_new = -0.1098115169357809, c_new = 4.084838376594398
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6139.160453001959
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2428:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3996294253546093, b_new = -0.2708474833910686, c_new = 4.299914165238631
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10072.042902328923
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2429:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.759987811949092, b_new = -0.41860734046644377, c_new = 3.629945884591384
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4463.618215928096
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2430:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0328126591358053, b_new = -0.4194660607703279, c_new = 4.516548766663028
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3399.953609858699
Acceptance probability: 1.3702001633827397e-166
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2431:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.556028677623745, b_new = -0.05361328457526787, c_new = 3.703871258368813
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7390.731996764772
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2432:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9355612173519936, b_new = -0.9660467416014332, c_new = 3.454572256808258
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3326.0867536029373
Acceptance probability: 1.6472218042091978e-134
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2433:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8977703112979976, b_new = -0.44790684205326137, c_new = 4.1389982524261715
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3107.008379620991
Acceptance probability: 2.2976348351408873e-39
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2434:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.319716019765625, b_new = -0.6517262983760916, c_new = 4.177611104345687
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11622.474860000579
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2435:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4940260770863643, b_new = -0.6249329721510236, c_new = 3.7849009152428654
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10410.855233611805
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2436:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.369193633244941, b_new = 0.6047913894124954, c_new = 4.021268774644254
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8863.897510621768
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2437:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.107581948748266, b_new = 0.4958823084351075, c_new = 4.17502160786778
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6219.03663557564
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2438:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6644985608165093, b_new = -0.11517048376589595, c_new = 3.7301363058568273
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5415.411810112614
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2439:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.682452603368835, b_new = -0.6712949610303298, c_new = 4.269220005138402
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14944.942081683017
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2440:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.446050964651878, b_new = -0.9322891180714431, c_new = 4.426707709793202
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10731.010732260575
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2441:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.722999924104139, b_new = -0.9215380932243614, c_new = 3.1792369623873604
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6491.580313055337
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2442:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2990720962628144, b_new = -1.2307174913100658, c_new = 4.180920100229939
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5642.318296185096
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2443:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.717545378576167, b_new = -0.910335132439304, c_new = 3.846107740923517
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6317.063528788432
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2444:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.067743147763826, b_new = -0.2269618778295906, c_new = 3.8391558831793815
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3864.167161216701
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2445:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7679493563639856, b_new = -0.668746007432067, c_new = 4.112193142183759
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4699.617768173048
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2446:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6786774439060776, b_new = -0.4449259473423647, c_new = 2.976244298052754
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6211.5328557037465
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2447:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5237204176933457, b_new = -0.11791152705941144, c_new = 3.9678553009012343
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8049.095780413536
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2448:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2906650855186093, b_new = -0.6280903499137612, c_new = 3.769346567612621
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6916.310951424189
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2449:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.777824546714641, b_new = -0.3023382507668192, c_new = 4.498327654707749
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3846.8626428027997
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2450:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1551140362059775, b_new = -1.2892061522904794, c_new = 4.873793828636856
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3563.2175819491154
Acceptance probability: 1.706639694044674e-237
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2451:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.139470866740641, b_new = 0.04536859298488777, c_new = 4.292765408328452
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5705.764796350895
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2452:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0483776823349293, b_new = 0.08061347795937795, c_new = 4.3813760731774405
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4246.190772647093
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2453:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.351802709428475, b_new = -0.048506119448370966, c_new = 4.09276194932305
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -15656.976463445148
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2454:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.492733872973854, b_new = -0.587048377962915, c_new = 4.641399728066093
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10731.935347183025
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2455:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6373710487913113, b_new = -0.9798163406788006, c_new = 4.5932603446710845
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7873.992234907534
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2456:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.113968721386491, b_new = 0.3847763434146918, c_new = 3.1848797060533367
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5676.058054758347
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2457:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.78732775213107, b_new = -0.08605567422961047, c_new = 3.5900067418952575
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3618.975270648856
Acceptance probability: 1.0396455919495256e-261
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2458:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8713720894085317, b_new = 0.5756867074535362, c_new = 4.312263942530158
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3217.867115245032
Acceptance probability: 1.6441591540222094e-87
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2459:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.625564773041683, b_new = 0.1327301398656573, c_new = 4.6285647748026895
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5307.103319198928
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2460:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8791447481364605, b_new = 0.022896781952743528, c_new = 4.317915489236583
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3040.0480878346243
Acceptance probability: 2.765452711399109e-10
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2461:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8059749975493924, b_new = -1.4315981995238989, c_new = 4.012524937738896
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12030.410560369955
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2462:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9065996395784026, b_new = 0.04394385350975316, c_new = 3.719470971116526
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3040.3105355569905
Acceptance probability: 2.1270937862749794e-10
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2463:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2459018457300797, b_new = -0.4160215640224351, c_new = 5.300012257898891
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11582.930594058585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2464:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5702427746717764, b_new = -0.5236306230913566, c_new = 4.270094666735063
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8097.620698427449
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2465:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.576216377839416, b_new = -0.9000590935204696, c_new = 4.124542927582577
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -15473.848236263984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2466:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6431266199882923, b_new = -0.46540947888298234, c_new = 5.218822937470156
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6196.4104702994355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2467:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.272946769446536, b_new = -0.57291473921083, c_new = 3.71067564285941
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6663.3268630897255
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2468:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3717613270069937, b_new = -0.622061787315426, c_new = 4.415998285103218
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8845.526322921027
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2469:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5644181721871693, b_new = 0.026838025075463123, c_new = 3.6863405324466902
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12131.724632724523
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2470:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9067885728216662, b_new = -0.8782960322464842, c_new = 3.7408856002996815
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3412.975126559018
Acceptance probability: 3.0311760861992566e-172
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2471:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.930224003443529, b_new = -0.8087057785219953, c_new = 3.96495086283081
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3175.4791779642724
Acceptance probability: 4.2149372659968156e-69
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2472:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0309870390493874, b_new = 0.07822329952922918, c_new = 3.712371723063018
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3866.609149615972
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2473:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1908808219561764, b_new = 0.5867797383343611, c_new = 4.0891725056671016
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8388.499234151217
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2474:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.590991584885019, b_new = -0.19068057573351002, c_new = 4.388763374590717
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6816.992309504385
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2475:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.181984312075914, b_new = -1.0909265134703807, c_new = 3.9397387247802196
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13300.332265184179
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2476:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1029192668761016, b_new = -0.26805155945621134, c_new = 2.9026881964519218
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4043.6432779174143
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2477:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6521503411855205, b_new = -0.7505913636974673, c_new = 4.720401667307555
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11993.830821126685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2478:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.98719689625609, b_new = -1.1030492722622283, c_new = 2.982363824387223
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3194.7791035598007
Acceptance probability: 1.749604664220565e-77
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2479:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3784783943370718, b_new = -0.6691336014300713, c_new = 4.109480746897288
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8734.887495012725
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2480:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0238901124129307, b_new = -1.0506478540787554, c_new = 3.9662676157214745
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14071.348187676394
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2481:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8279734155950176, b_new = 0.2933106960140922, c_new = 4.392922985514034
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14251.080895748983
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2482:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.328291948456492, b_new = 0.9119386110612936, c_new = 5.545998819054977
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8414.001803135923
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2483:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7574277921251156, b_new = -1.4081713417463875, c_new = 3.1839465621827188
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7126.952268628858
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2484:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.386535544011992, b_new = -0.6606452245165269, c_new = 3.944249091303727
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11055.107097914928
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2485:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0217101336142136, b_new = -0.20902439246709684, c_new = 4.0193027378002295
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3458.5053289284765
Acceptance probability: 5.1061729077896816e-192
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2486:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.159074959183889, b_new = -0.7938015351782666, c_new = 4.825790418750834
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -16242.65639951473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2487:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4370046876455134, b_new = -0.8503580528728807, c_new = 3.7112943784081605
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10922.239114653894
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2488:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1401789159140887, b_new = -0.31588848815164744, c_new = 3.4567813576216944
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4621.996124598839
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2489:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.246422524003781, b_new = -0.5557766281130507, c_new = 3.9381207563673883
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12159.371404947224
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2490:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.875665877674544, b_new = -0.43725574999615474, c_new = 3.4770523896805647
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14226.49495272457
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2491:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1264255890421793, b_new = -0.456278296369443, c_new = 4.000533726634482
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4282.691450907087
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2492:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.210671000420278, b_new = -0.6266195472452365, c_new = 2.6468887775197474
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4941.986695158132
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2493:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.210012931319361, b_new = -0.3682094573541348, c_new = 4.305821405218993
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6080.928955312518
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2494:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7338637825791277, b_new = -0.028071685706580585, c_new = 3.010882799360435
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4289.467865307903
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2495:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2040062481260847, b_new = 0.07341214682817504, c_new = 3.672632319106105
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6959.863988650394
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2496:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5815394992646423, b_new = -0.8879957033106723, c_new = 3.6409278122081643
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9041.043769714777
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2497:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8131381441201238, b_new = -0.34563867718878905, c_new = 4.324779901923515
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3562.1807382019547
Acceptance probability: 4.8132382630056734e-237
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2498:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.666040354236826, b_new = -0.562054871340514, c_new = 5.01059864788825
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12446.608981257828
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2499:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.285214273373648, b_new = 0.1414304740073723, c_new = 4.226603264735009
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10643.655242870278
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2500:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.237202861674501, b_new = -0.1575654281082414, c_new = 3.33160675169403
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6901.787646933734
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2501:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.748108499419906, b_new = 0.08398788460579037, c_new = 4.81399995941589
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3629.3535742412478
Acceptance probability: 3.233295030980736e-266
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2502:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9428446631170653, b_new = -0.37578889920311553, c_new = 4.976429746091581
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3046.076537795376
Acceptance probability: 6.662599135863702e-13
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2503:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.801952842870648, b_new = -0.11275864116975814, c_new = 4.625774293705649
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3386.3442401790644
Acceptance probability: 1.114957129726533e-160
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2504:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8561649344877758, b_new = -0.860736077316536, c_new = 3.4110136643984332
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3962.9691960463706
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2505:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5910377139700342, b_new = -0.024287268609346657, c_new = 3.756946428421
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12286.787584219224
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2506:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2145426684068585, b_new = 0.0707564358008082, c_new = 4.029592079780631
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7337.925198311796
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2507:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5481435956522844, b_new = -1.5674324272246158, c_new = 2.9488724053039768
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11292.686193945228
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2508:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.979423970264023, b_new = 0.4240141681219465, c_new = 3.8237815264228874
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3818.335137232361
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2509:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.477521096770641, b_new = -0.3460468200689232, c_new = 3.754045383076233
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9383.165418217404
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2510:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2353308723870766, b_new = -0.26927720404813904, c_new = 4.744716688618814
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7100.582172034985
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2511:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6981997516385237, b_new = -0.13309770638338977, c_new = 3.9048445680047346
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4809.05596568378
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2512:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6494101173714135, b_new = -0.9129871058718767, c_new = 4.11433645404517
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7640.514482331684
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2513:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.163247944427049, b_new = -1.0599804536898645, c_new = 3.9508053748195695
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3790.134891107595
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2514:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.56407873218574, b_new = -0.7297570374514997, c_new = 3.7145331275771514
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10957.91374800197
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2515:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7564410914316912, b_new = 0.5754873934231145, c_new = 3.7040192973431
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3253.434284012027
Acceptance probability: 5.87920660611586e-103
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2516:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6054182635270093, b_new = -0.2328040617023654, c_new = 4.101715991998534
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12197.167218323913
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2517:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.254717246498659, b_new = 0.20382594190333259, c_new = 5.156755715078724
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9111.419173581213
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2518:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.0456655301314335, b_new = -0.6079383103706835, c_new = 4.2279996508342155
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14277.272673885043
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2519:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3769680065366714, b_new = -0.11632273856554359, c_new = 3.9576744556299386
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9961.74683024962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2520:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6842965911135144, b_new = -0.20237561983772753, c_new = 3.6457332515069885
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14690.62045353125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2521:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.650736842093736, b_new = -0.5907745691612646, c_new = 3.4792544839267956
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6988.641434387634
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2522:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9004678478965653, b_new = -0.14041904301834351, c_new = 3.2482504386025095
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13874.081908463128
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2523:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1687303903491997, b_new = -0.9712227006840513, c_new = 3.3861941912526774
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13387.10046101197
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2524:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2283055241081, b_new = -0.22036450265667368, c_new = 3.5273656673065656
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6601.499969597232
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2525:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.356043302749073, b_new = -0.5257753112505, c_new = 4.544951465852742
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8851.474649630029
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2526:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.069717923644631, b_new = -0.5654103610299254, c_new = 4.335411510580994
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3526.8141130081876
Acceptance probability: 1.1014569451345967e-221
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2527:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2006963853911845, b_new = -0.350860910882094, c_new = 4.17222661594328
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5881.002489441007
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2528:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8720393979522822, b_new = -0.3529772846348035, c_new = 4.285489679801004
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3159.206256534339
Acceptance probability: 4.920747681811258e-62
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2529:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1045674310120255, b_new = -0.7606007405948091, c_new = 3.557294931840871
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3511.011913401111
Acceptance probability: 8.03111078773983e-215
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2530:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6492830159876295, b_new = 0.38743891877434644, c_new = 4.14613574327719
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4525.222525737851
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2531:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9784311012636087, b_new = -0.6340086875628925, c_new = 2.964719116353841
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3033.8252054449113
Acceptance probability: 1.3942149005797784e-07
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2532:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3045138286352933, b_new = -0.46999807927977355, c_new = 4.0360393573302265
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7761.70333813131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2533:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.641411074057877, b_new = 0.11137038637885094, c_new = 3.7961540803231646
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5304.581903155806
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2534:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.893328948189559, b_new = -0.9083942891121106, c_new = 3.7680734878113618
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3557.4479218943898
Acceptance probability: 5.4685648509545855e-235
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2535:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.1145239178478015, b_new = -0.2346507932713101, c_new = 4.124551191222458
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14844.7216952628
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2536:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5864573102792323, b_new = -0.6890165671884145, c_new = 3.337028849797897
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8573.994991344312
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2537:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.08323254112039, b_new = -0.5697315487924404, c_new = 4.4196474482900205
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3665.5062488740896
Acceptance probability: 6.437811194698781e-282
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2538:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.842779957080852, b_new = -1.0261197397392805, c_new = 4.55118435282275
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4142.199130906427
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2539:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2066696881725747, b_new = -0.8862309092577999, c_new = 4.563190594744144
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4839.876110819531
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2540:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.894054560799311, b_new = -0.14877938550147746, c_new = 3.3649997052072087
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3050.400008585866
Acceptance probability: 8.830477273894667e-15
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2541:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9896226902423115, b_new = 0.7721889708423412, c_new = 4.127121676686041
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4651.756141341565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2542:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.184972800672293, b_new = 0.22466855043623513, c_new = 4.714042654537608
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11317.295566177574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2543:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.30224063198232, b_new = -0.17507671272054834, c_new = 3.730773493223597
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8418.648706620574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2544:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.688794977961874, b_new = 0.013072082091805381, c_new = 4.489581871917608
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4529.959176811107
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2545:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1160029737021198, b_new = -1.4481181139527788, c_new = 4.182638833038437
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3122.8464645378867
Acceptance probability: 3.040101780707678e-46
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2546:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2967666228644545, b_new = -0.8561798872515642, c_new = 3.541494770029747
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6346.438545589721
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2547:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.580411993095092, b_new = -0.33966263167747024, c_new = 4.7290353059030705
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12018.965469738581
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2548:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.913371186337255, b_new = -0.09808845520002146, c_new = 3.6079299211043923
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3024.0144945996476
Acceptance probability: 0.0025413665161585935
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2549:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0017385392377447, b_new = -1.1059876821108163, c_new = 5.266328714334765
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13912.727334110226
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2550:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.390560168993048, b_new = -0.48227059637392383, c_new = 3.488431873486793
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9175.842177334136
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2551:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9933472877418503, b_new = -0.6573534524376283, c_new = 4.506823450830937
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3045.363826625869
Acceptance probability: 1.3588459122762142e-12
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2552:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.637413721176605, b_new = -0.322515933399933, c_new = 3.9165891557920935
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6391.4365949130515
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2553:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.475359118414941, b_new = -1.0288713768482398, c_new = 4.524965051081606
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9612.315213733946
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2554:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0071899593058418, b_new = -0.9629189061984654, c_new = 4.083213505284663
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Acceptance probability: 0.816952120925505
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2555:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.171438195686793, b_new = -0.682246868491504, c_new = 4.481636891659567
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -14745.143695463057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2556:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.804876368206573, b_new = -0.6605271420045356, c_new = 4.052625948864403
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -4150.368670278991
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2557:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6974767696728528, b_new = -0.8020032443229196, c_new = 4.520497755666879
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -14947.066220207302
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2558:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.80052919846674, b_new = -1.2696571399378693, c_new = 4.2862594920897275
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -5413.179203974996
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2559:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.488756364868763, b_new = -0.6648049441117004, c_new = 3.161170003740163
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -10084.91268169433
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2560:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3653398171892395, b_new = -1.2426313943958966, c_new = 3.493862345777728
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -6748.654903321858
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2561:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4951673529700473, b_new = -1.5077569015952204, c_new = 3.4206867917470483
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -11610.271982982002
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2562:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5623358729194643, b_new = -0.6873844158606556, c_new = 3.854763624067846
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -11050.804211495228
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2563:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7383552194436525, b_new = -1.9637603103690613, c_new = 3.9320699090192597
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -8841.85870984144
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2564:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0399029214804973, b_new = -0.9900423418683796, c_new = 3.594615921578395
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -3041.1369653610036
Acceptance probability: 1.1393997786655145e-10
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2565:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0126260546955224, b_new = -1.1999519133122796, c_new = 3.163644866740723
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -3127.980978913086
Acceptance probability: 2.1917966497335432e-48
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2566:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.686608331879168, b_new = -1.2737135591548827, c_new = 4.808859451404026
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -7587.944156101472
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2567:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0429290968906884, b_new = -1.4241110116444284, c_new = 4.0232826556489405
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -3067.15495961449
Acceptance probability: 5.71748187175813e-22
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2568:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.131521592017202, b_new = 0.012710109304868489, c_new = 4.05953965825552
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -5384.600535054354
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2569:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6317158475464666, b_new = -0.38314025804870366, c_new = 3.5606802005259666
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -12038.960412643046
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2570:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.887574759708534, b_new = -1.004700899121607, c_new = 3.836534717717155
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -13019.640671499996
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2571:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9492209064188977, b_new = -1.540574018458663, c_new = 3.792665967541843
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -3822.8526858051628
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2572:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9754358294806655, b_new = -1.1435988744554855, c_new = 4.293885900074956
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -3137.011066210426
Acceptance probability: 2.624721171802723e-52
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2573:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.487442585870574, b_new = -0.7582243247597291, c_new = 4.033075314691778
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -10158.087191017925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2574:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.010725898961816, b_new = -1.114076525035345, c_new = 4.727783926715785
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Acceptance probability: 13.157672107551724
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2575:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8813099675824545, b_new = -0.9227557125057664, c_new = 4.627742298416276
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3543.227451120128
Acceptance probability: 7.627280003488682e-230
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2576:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.873450184354752, b_new = -1.3132992366556788, c_new = 4.499509660739615
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -4233.657055721589
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2577:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.93594664409202, b_new = -1.4757341777233852, c_new = 5.106457755612894
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -14556.839313863631
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2578:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5384919734096796, b_new = -0.46762291990277116, c_new = 4.618811148430455
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -8398.528554330542
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2579:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5025377533682707, b_new = -1.6683042810270028, c_new = 5.047544395764845
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -8809.252656934537
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2580:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9258441872291656, b_new = -1.296891697255235, c_new = 4.901780415667248
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3524.662254820182
Acceptance probability: 8.813166977296438e-222
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2581:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.734703570569964, b_new = -2.0501903704321705, c_new = 4.433093368321229
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -8939.3973978245
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2582:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8965609998380732, b_new = -1.3575522114361498, c_new = 3.748995873243489
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -4186.301353465438
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2583:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2941143401287794, b_new = -1.097873070115795, c_new = 4.23456213065705
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -12480.483844144215
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2584:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.476060970833626, b_new = -0.41660806596697186, c_new = 4.370420663210815
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -10769.718114749474
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2585:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7376640788860387, b_new = -0.31398832718004366, c_new = 5.250611642409489
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -4228.8236295725355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2586:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1076714074204768, b_new = -0.6889361998875139, c_new = 4.298261322107469
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -13158.890731746451
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2587:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3238182340335944, b_new = -1.1968587587066932, c_new = 4.8520518906493795
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -6470.180648482577
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2588:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.175505590097736, b_new = -1.4032712904390454, c_new = 5.3853427859639424
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3706.883227252381
Acceptance probability: 6.420504935331134e-301
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2589:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6990667061967315, b_new = -1.5636660082552885, c_new = 4.982378885665526
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -11258.882402753854
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2590:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1016610381538947, b_new = -1.7037455431639743, c_new = 3.8923238979584713
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3067.2272941360998
Acceptance probability: 4.042139087318897e-23
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2591:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4874367304864218, b_new = -1.327874023715171, c_new = 5.200521606467151
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -10739.946787230416
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2592:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.134870924307282, b_new = -0.89819529863268, c_new = 4.504364922152024
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3791.3181277535823
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2593:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1276790286064826, b_new = -0.9834318066544079, c_new = 5.8905611976358205
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3857.2999431067783
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2594:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3421986201872027, b_new = -0.3727448535677139, c_new = 4.391531008444491
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -8930.866837035941
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2595:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.685670839406387, b_new = -1.5288683670380854, c_new = 4.745158589233343
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -8335.457322630713
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2596:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.309854014942879, b_new = -1.360718745647674, c_new = 4.952535947009433
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -5783.535478744817
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2597:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.063623059717832, b_new = -0.5047946307656173, c_new = 4.49952224442289
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3567.887344136911
Acceptance probability: 1.4883813807013531e-240
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2598:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0836153920892118, b_new = -0.40828922367044296, c_new = 4.9739827009932265
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -4017.3444573137695
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2599:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.981749039885062, b_new = -2.1121861481976527, c_new = 4.891880322738872
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -4074.8055989124678
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2600:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.625264549735028, b_new = -1.146837188338372, c_new = 4.618188541492956
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -8532.858403855353
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2601:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2389681576314096, b_new = -0.7540109711428262, c_new = 4.945350938527754
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -5889.881088731535
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2602:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.009536630682829, b_new = -1.8529014426919295, c_new = 4.1512939013021395
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3563.3379493489065
Acceptance probability: 1.4076389676319798e-238
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2603:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.501977703053474, b_new = -0.46765531889285994, c_new = 5.522889220934421
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -11329.757577245493
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2604:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5779886607898184, b_new = -2.093779736936677, c_new = 5.128220391035794
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -11180.216734057889
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2605:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.979024236840234, b_new = -2.0422867654973023, c_new = 4.891610020040543
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3993.5298000556963
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2606:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1507428988770005, b_new = -1.478970420825824, c_new = 5.043832065331083
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3355.520691090111
Acceptance probability: 2.5256885008259466e-148
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2607:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.007874817384463, b_new = -1.5948408517757084, c_new = 4.47101218866932
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3263.258081965928
Acceptance probability: 2.9615687278528298e-108
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2608:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6487382552533645, b_new = -0.0030903379250981633, c_new = 4.575015598290755
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -12957.40718373991
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2609:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.070093626766855, b_new = -1.3435549282505603, c_new = 5.199189725172818
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3050.545469098429
Acceptance probability: 7.102901877034426e-16
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2610:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8583267380321353, b_new = -0.6876639263116116, c_new = 4.194795531691912
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3552.549361870387
Acceptance probability: 6.82205616144859e-234
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2611:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8133431235942847, b_new = -1.0740289079075136, c_new = 4.976060583328821
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -4552.183721203936
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2612:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7241538686920532, b_new = -2.079596912609687, c_new = 4.559436171676751
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -9174.515751565765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2613:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1487354749319616, b_new = -1.6751389852436651, c_new = 5.273269347607743
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3213.333606434862
Acceptance probability: 1.4237903681449477e-86
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2614:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2387870717860077, b_new = -1.2903966098526454, c_new = 5.101995913657412
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -4683.51181034103
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2615:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.954336489007453, b_new = -1.464881837424, c_new = 4.782539637221738
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -13101.874579681993
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2616:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6202020088781803, b_new = -0.007972592244023247, c_new = 4.624099472527398
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -14542.427888671484
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2617:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.702052467721594, b_new = -0.931144326102821, c_new = 4.780180865880905
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -6347.894897429417
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2618:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7331435514835074, b_new = -0.4393085528734927, c_new = 4.5605105155173815
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -4681.608429120269
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2619:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.624687805093531, b_new = -1.039190917473197, c_new = 4.8788357681621966
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -8165.465763125585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2620:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.868456940492272, b_new = -0.34666479443793397, c_new = 5.060905080240893
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3128.1480976961197
Acceptance probability: 1.4094265037668745e-49
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2621:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.170937553139355, b_new = -0.7986698422602646, c_new = 4.279060476033331
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -4372.236339216357
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2622:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.21012896105872, b_new = -0.5151139388059028, c_new = 5.032910721265315
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -5954.198480522092
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2623:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1071323325843188, b_new = -1.7674404964301522, c_new = 5.0841261695371305
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3037.600766384132
Acceptance probability: 2.973368757927226e-10
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2624:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.311721905038344, b_new = -1.6856573442293934, c_new = 5.643518841614665
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -12757.097498989804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2625:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.563059041206842, b_new = -1.2650887851989134, c_new = 4.173141166554726
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -10163.431900315063
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2626:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9701246101006427, b_new = -1.12888940810287, c_new = 5.441656337078408
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3070.867362349998
Acceptance probability: 1.0610838736382898e-24
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2627:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.447633022572174, b_new = -1.5652961818136935, c_new = 4.856092493192711
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -8032.285695239709
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2628:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5308388448259995, b_new = -1.8169250853493109, c_new = 5.659614736501424
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -11011.969120916861
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2629:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.32200524476252, b_new = -1.1131825631346726, c_new = 4.886063683531248
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -6670.448895436005
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2630:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9500820992713237, b_new = -0.1972680224150294, c_new = 4.654085564732633
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -13375.889136833865
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2631:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0656409265421773, b_new = -1.0837111716299914, c_new = 4.726951965744641
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3115.780438314883
Acceptance probability: 3.3132076642959964e-44
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2632:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.565938794539476, b_new = -1.3691250152259864, c_new = 5.164814645004418
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -9824.460371089095
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2633:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.142758774078887, b_new = -0.8184639202406708, c_new = 5.080844454695712
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -4129.380108108171
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2634:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9959020644822445, b_new = -0.9065107286563532, c_new = 5.335165064279778
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3021.0554531642088
Acceptance probability: 0.004558133141558824
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2635:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.176616709435395, b_new = -1.4301839955686717, c_new = 5.560940135600433
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -13307.294166266345
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2636:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.528286761621569, b_new = -2.4546439903787047, c_new = 5.5425207834899535
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -12221.570509854626
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2637:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.033043806298558, b_new = -0.20618530598468876, c_new = 4.465103225260462
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3638.7273934800232
Acceptance probability: 2.5542988096784903e-271
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2638:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.492484442021694, b_new = -1.8858198954438217, c_new = 4.645287338249169
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -11892.812663346955
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2639:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7833041906384164, b_new = -0.6420193998616432, c_new = 4.97301722911263
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -13116.269557339903
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2640:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3456970072200827, b_new = -0.982271070966731, c_new = 5.221949137104405
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -7669.476604058384
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2641:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9877756174174124, b_new = -0.619050691464542, c_new = 4.48666931244864
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3043.4766110180503
Acceptance probability: 8.344529855141797e-13
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2642:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5022363121961986, b_new = -0.8668033736774577, c_new = 4.82742849280741
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -10383.000996196519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2643:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5443581066200576, b_new = -0.6029137283179229, c_new = 5.382786213062478
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -11476.512082499492
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2644:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0198204855936814, b_new = -0.8652849168807021, c_new = 4.6351832190461755
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3049.7151784572657
Acceptance probability: 1.6293952990183398e-15
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2645:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.209928337205279, b_new = -0.4328716742393096, c_new = 4.100612272086607
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -5831.35299639871
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2646:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4768402473611184, b_new = -1.2499286609443936, c_new = 4.369321860713511
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -9109.348933809131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2647:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.91381126813733, b_new = -0.7706143094055067, c_new = 4.211086444636424
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3213.2950499578023
Acceptance probability: 1.4797587471866132e-86
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2648:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.147706466389417, b_new = -0.9530838641345658, c_new = 4.373191207153135
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3835.753585577235
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2649:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7048077933970638, b_new = -0.8053872644700966, c_new = 3.8942202220158517
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -15063.144666657641
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2650:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8824879222734956, b_new = -2.0356276951880976, c_new = 4.025746569875742
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -5851.224420350813
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2651:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8069459512701753, b_new = -1.2857165105554538, c_new = 5.647959583788405
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -4906.53760526959
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2652:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.127656942296904, b_new = -1.2835787447674618, c_new = 4.414245123796452
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -14030.237956298135
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2653:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.278103424615204, b_new = -1.4741727344090774, c_new = 4.981841782612973
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -4928.746098424022
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2654:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.676283527667362, b_new = -0.9063689154039895, c_new = 5.159882693642849
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -6676.2603193083605
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2655:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1060895262303077, b_new = -0.5980158470602746, c_new = 4.857696856847913
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3968.1346868353844
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2656:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.514568109265929, b_new = -1.681348507477959, c_new = 5.0942477086939295
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -8984.045272771764
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2657:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1376291970321906, b_new = -0.7578776757349714, c_new = 5.405692199319703
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -4242.256514021079
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2658:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8927074125912338, b_new = -0.7129284152425026, c_new = 5.114228081537845
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3210.0632485191773
Acceptance probability: 3.74752421067983e-85
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2659:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8068354531412996, b_new = -1.7669186258582736, c_new = 5.1889931654974
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -6248.6756817611085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2660:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.073463154129293, b_new = -1.7722027947430166, c_new = 3.898675165153953
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3140.793260574201
Acceptance probability: 4.5427409647957045e-55
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2661:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3387162807828235, b_new = -1.1318885298301973, c_new = 5.667139399625816
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -11762.48106760654
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2662:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.618247085225727, b_new = -1.3705223731063567, c_new = 5.5773029581967375
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -10980.963448556537
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2663:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7325806607081278, b_new = -1.9649561125233743, c_new = 4.7447410273861275
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -8603.628251276928
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2664:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.591683501086332, b_new = -1.2448294491999696, c_new = 5.117228404047622
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -9171.83357199796
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2665:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.082335123116878, b_new = -1.0003746489652456, c_new = 4.351570043884763
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3220.2761963036655
Acceptance probability: 1.3750471190754999e-89
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2666:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6780502030812796, b_new = -1.1460592503867815, c_new = 4.915106531962772
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -11682.067667304269
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2667:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6772618306073346, b_new = -0.5925728113707649, c_new = 4.141716718033592
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -6201.057758264448
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2668:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4811024942111297, b_new = -0.9561525295225399, c_new = 4.002471327407446
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -9673.707956602126
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2669:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.199588891355657, b_new = -1.2138483520522219, c_new = 5.0048857957915205
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -13054.448434336635
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2670:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.902721151388743, b_new = -0.9564102579305152, c_new = 5.209581218266676
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3324.2335098840067
Acceptance probability: 9.777547603706172e-135
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2671:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2801447573229723, b_new = -0.64432802250701, c_new = 4.758328730738722
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -7019.900641857542
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2672:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9941382555790317, b_new = -0.8893135432905608, c_new = 4.952517025927357
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Acceptance probability: 4.620805695521922
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2673:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2163920696568318, b_new = -1.3433761094165877, c_new = 4.555077962134373
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4128.011282520298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2674:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.050029083534907, b_new = -0.91819808193327, c_new = 4.894969676682869
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -14152.797459816975
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2675:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7188974407196445, b_new = -1.0847085568646613, c_new = 4.507809613078252
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -6507.839280575654
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2676:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.182962392623441, b_new = -1.5319897044340807, c_new = 5.518555839780037
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -13400.819547239003
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2677:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.481975148912875, b_new = -0.9248102098876079, c_new = 5.114069040238184
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10051.317468940375
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2678:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4053114457485356, b_new = -0.12357586071779125, c_new = 5.378500396535076
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10838.180465216938
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2679:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6673893120600907, b_new = 0.3374711484925612, c_new = 4.8899339512132505
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4204.474928305215
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2680:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6039242724398863, b_new = -0.9038859705328469, c_new = 5.118023181933702
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -8119.938287901746
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2681:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.89754006028321, b_new = -1.1843470694528573, c_new = 4.36794881724145
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3759.6362540006535
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2682:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8551695441024543, b_new = -0.8204994344955994, c_new = 4.983158213380538
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3615.2357125415824
Acceptance probability: 8.807677340010624e-262
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2683:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.666777951811919, b_new = -0.36221941848718897, c_new = 5.031459602730605
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12729.844820789891
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2684:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9915450902747267, b_new = -1.7721387360015401, c_new = 4.936342863804226
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3484.368052885113
Acceptance probability: 6.025094247258689e-205
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2685:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8027745171910436, b_new = -1.556481568579699, c_new = 5.160752359180589
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -5783.023771694667
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2686:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5934756729282644, b_new = -0.6406071032994368, c_new = 4.6734306405435095
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11653.040522567364
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2687:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0284725999271513, b_new = -0.7437303590633931, c_new = 4.677381048449042
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3135.166345430054
Acceptance probability: 2.7311054170640887e-53
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2688:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.440770212948032, b_new = -0.8185621709561863, c_new = 5.435662682882307
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10251.972760984892
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2689:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0995803112915614, b_new = 0.3730945517453663, c_new = 5.381143059538683
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -6188.446711449231
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2690:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7605260713229782, b_new = -0.37287801814450217, c_new = 5.175198619172993
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4035.152724843294
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2691:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.22750740498749, b_new = -1.5914242648188979, c_new = 5.33161399227099
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4033.899496073709
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2692:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9251978091602573, b_new = -0.4111188813791342, c_new = 6.438040566711286
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3095.254399632993
Acceptance probability: 5.886759391645097e-36
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2693:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8843601675843265, b_new = -1.107238837282914, c_new = 4.661195763008454
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3739.2836748108366
Acceptance probability: 1.179005664e-315
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2694:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.411271866503402, b_new = -1.8967093287550696, c_new = 5.666087914838555
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -6733.2272576934465
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2695:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.507583034167676, b_new = -0.4475144642590179, c_new = 6.088014938160508
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -8377.743835905561
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2696:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2769013402586724, b_new = -0.5153569166374365, c_new = 4.932265911117897
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11569.100825751268
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2697:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.504470187901025, b_new = -1.430289548612657, c_new = 4.651331858449128
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10922.575257103485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2698:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.272154879601284, b_new = -1.21389033205772, c_new = 5.521354981114147
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -5583.532532871681
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2699:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.718940736606356, b_new = -0.32833311017241695, c_new = 5.164114323935671
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4544.17143058767
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2700:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7256251923696984, b_new = -1.0905885397478012, c_new = 5.166150737831122
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -6143.307142934631
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2701:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5516274823879477, b_new = -0.35570820963255856, c_new = 4.756312187173351
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -7849.964593835103
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2702:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.827689358308419, b_new = -1.1094254195028141, c_new = 4.907673343838036
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -14675.830080294436
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2703:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0655525087524884, b_new = -0.8349986854893708, c_new = 3.893500711873685
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3202.097231400085
Acceptance probability: 2.3368133119032222e-82
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2704:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6157381545346112, b_new = -1.0335731490855251, c_new = 4.7862976783154885
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11270.962107906973
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2705:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3905678037346094, b_new = -0.909452997946594, c_new = 5.261143588714402
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -8779.519167262415
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2706:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5293096869160445, b_new = -1.5637642021157447, c_new = 4.871011455563596
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10809.36498687611
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2707:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8063206050900726, b_new = -1.5298824130169641, c_new = 5.248948066122436
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -5613.451923313311
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2708:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0371032590116984, b_new = -1.001934505568496, c_new = 4.583094303374374
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3048.9159321195866
Acceptance probability: 7.841822833453661e-16
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2709:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.924060611869481, b_new = -0.13402829237472147, c_new = 5.646580198247417
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3142.3712799118234
Acceptance probability: 2.0289678979958007e-56
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2710:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7318497190924258, b_new = -0.9163124326327621, c_new = 4.689185185833437
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -14890.577337418385
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2711:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.674832832487884, b_new = -1.1727563530479475, c_new = 5.2155099454361675
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -7397.174547034152
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2712:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0251575771359436, b_new = 0.34227753194236565, c_new = 4.329915005884118
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4388.913688302377
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2713:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8380467399468787, b_new = -0.36537890775803183, c_new = 5.380313134888108
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3272.4782513951795
Acceptance probability: 6.346516352335835e-113
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2714:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.087181092126494, b_new = -0.9823875832196715, c_new = 4.942593046035577
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3325.2150258352535
Acceptance probability: 7.929490272622575e-136
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2715:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4063311328196533, b_new = -0.8420077987192279, c_new = 4.281267314002504
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11057.557678286274
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2716:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.643094265450709, b_new = 0.2403388908633548, c_new = 4.943598667451227
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4712.152325457146
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2717:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1925290672896405, b_new = -0.16395533057567901, c_new = 5.155191652004979
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11692.65192599258
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2718:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3028855943084556, b_new = -1.0745548015382838, c_new = 5.220486832713599
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -6489.372044349957
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2719:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.090483095484235, b_new = -0.6243726869323327, c_new = 5.158604872931161
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3807.452774660046
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2720:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9274960280221414, b_new = -1.1196605153049024, c_new = 5.93038446118547
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -14091.150696254228
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2721:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.217636081076744, b_new = -0.02091075661665298, c_new = 4.552834673735573
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -7355.448064219205
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2722:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4053768021959705, b_new = -0.7292934727850705, c_new = 4.360270169922396
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -9148.277515657746
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2723:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0689462920910944, b_new = -0.313639744158586, c_new = 4.267869694581483
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3835.873752607789
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2724:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8863376318218243, b_new = -0.7860493095425548, c_new = 5.45357900402923
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3270.8631828680655
Acceptance probability: 3.191175966987545e-112
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2725:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0897895842757372, b_new = -0.36855336724851906, c_new = 4.468506658691794
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12837.160473087877
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2726:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5043237003366707, b_new = -0.7992619904494156, c_new = 4.91214136328094
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10560.574621658065
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2727:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7400656489877706, b_new = -0.8872206260866264, c_new = 4.215375242397457
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12323.451389664908
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2728:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.204416789707282, b_new = -0.82250344563551, c_new = 5.351900837499484
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -14929.363404879843
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2729:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.559241297462707, b_new = -0.7871122901286991, c_new = 4.767039785426821
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11123.921953673758
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2730:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.513934531634901, b_new = -0.9819936142856062, c_new = 5.4652520124863475
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10510.15826072829
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2731:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.482131270765068, b_new = -0.7600277960857152, c_new = 4.624332940240072
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -9882.230002155158
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2732:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9373577269477136, b_new = -2.0615486325286603, c_new = 4.903624825504198
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12336.384832214975
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2733:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.915003045791763, b_new = -0.7667503710154573, c_new = 5.5097583606007525
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3110.18741987304
Acceptance probability: 1.9255198360702205e-42
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2734:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8939712311059207, b_new = -0.951520381398881, c_new = 4.455745598723974
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3488.7629862444783
Acceptance probability: 7.434787129059694e-207
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2735:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6357394020163682, b_new = -0.296221534522213, c_new = 5.651033810601203
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12780.500472085823
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2736:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3483843975987155, b_new = -0.9288013640392216, c_new = 4.866585389282577
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -7735.704317905134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2737:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.177025595298256, b_new = -1.4873636985595664, c_new = 4.930424138229411
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3551.0770836911615
Acceptance probability: 6.435760479715293e-234
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2738:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5874613995217404, b_new = -1.0615354339300063, c_new = 5.3212934451573135
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11112.992671854667
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2739:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0605929086910546, b_new = -0.6948334258202791, c_new = 4.813090738327066
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3381.48689978745
Acceptance probability: 2.8885569000947454e-160
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2740:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.406148478837426, b_new = -0.09772877339877029, c_new = 4.434820959504832
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -15818.642517276237
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2741:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7294281159094975, b_new = -0.913426457730132, c_new = 4.574906402160259
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -5819.084158328662
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2742:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6015756972803623, b_new = -0.4404988938959993, c_new = 5.422075542724065
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12247.67319863035
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2743:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.633033679477402, b_new = -1.048972149265168, c_new = 4.904144406239731
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -8021.512631882136
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2744:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.509959724971064, b_new = -0.8488035167521147, c_new = 5.14263572257067
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10607.424142278047
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2745:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9196739765254445, b_new = -0.36382509243388683, c_new = 4.450683773442121
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3025.3011065321484
Acceptance probability: 1.4132059914228702e-05
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2746:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.270000894522371, b_new = -0.9698629198422991, c_new = 4.943597289359053
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -5968.519466865587
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2747:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2702963451203777, b_new = -1.0039952419147062, c_new = 4.895659190069406
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -5868.029175770904
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2748:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8843507450851584, b_new = -1.4435049434205824, c_new = 4.8346662057578325
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4229.590416260049
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2749:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7734095132972616, b_new = -1.013674560783927, c_new = 5.798885785282488
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4858.957793196212
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2750:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8832898573460946, b_new = -0.4179819777812315, c_new = 5.310967862743917
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3094.3963174932287
Acceptance probability: 1.3884703934474704e-35
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2751:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0854423874269186, b_new = -0.9459436017119156, c_new = 5.086431563999636
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3363.71070283128
Acceptance probability: 1.5163001368865292e-152
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2752:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.539449584195103, b_new = -1.3718004750819293, c_new = 4.7185206504480215
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10347.476776903404
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2753:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.725725236161635, b_new = -0.7543342838531455, c_new = 4.5931360689680005
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12496.617716985951
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2754:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7336647833697947, b_new = -0.5299338610042377, c_new = 5.456239963254341
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -14406.899652101676
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2755:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8114592732454695, b_new = -0.009164799724142081, c_new = 4.207266772304456
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3277.8611513555047
Acceptance probability: 2.9158934744893077e-115
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2756:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.088760032373416, b_new = -0.8660448642860341, c_new = 5.095020989605805
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3473.0807324455754
Acceptance probability: 4.808225497060164e-200
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2757:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1700490909356036, b_new = -1.6617577179510992, c_new = 3.999621014862151
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3259.0269719358885
Acceptance probability: 4.4091192711694143e-107
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2758:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2804502372110185, b_new = -1.3484993188968482, c_new = 5.357445262255704
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12603.28826567257
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2759:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.762719538742819, b_new = -0.4072989596835419, c_new = 5.0319139544748035
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4087.6471192343365
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2760:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.352207316899337, b_new = -1.4930631514641495, c_new = 6.232509259112699
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -6781.745261829576
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2761:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.28723483384907, b_new = -0.9530804240920242, c_new = 4.393122862673601
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -6182.905623193432
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2762:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9657106284217747, b_new = -1.4362662737696912, c_new = 3.852186101722414
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3511.780414063891
Acceptance probability: 7.497675649455918e-217
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2763:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8111842764149926, b_new = -1.369000141710458, c_new = 5.932339391178921
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4931.863084387498
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2764:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7718425654263017, b_new = -0.46548958346740393, c_new = 5.077380193584338
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4051.8517637601226
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2765:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.776869915522025, b_new = -1.0047118342097066, c_new = 4.830537137435553
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -5055.65150067406
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2766:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.105713873970281, b_new = -1.3481304774832836, c_new = 5.690953297650704
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -14163.102834008336
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2767:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3286636519955346, b_new = -0.4280397110808165, c_new = 5.030370229902197
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10919.720057294922
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2768:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9541895823087536, b_new = -0.6521620384366364, c_new = 5.555192008319985
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3028.6697268547355
Acceptance probability: 4.866673964058671e-07
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2769:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.128651703191822, b_new = -0.9767701091460962, c_new = 5.46870626352786
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -13076.224619104
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2770:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8542943502891136, b_new = -0.7771490967057703, c_new = 4.936218010152048
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -13363.949558840479
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2771:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0452924706807205, b_new = -0.12387175163160413, c_new = 5.193264351978657
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4053.1116395877116
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2772:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9955554872546086, b_new = -0.44579166432300193, c_new = 5.298015343588681
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3227.7429694204593
Acceptance probability: 1.7014590901608366e-93
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2773:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8324763767798347, b_new = -1.2089665848299411, c_new = 5.2125368988348635
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4456.839322654141
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2774:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1096797769171283, b_new = -1.5666423030661614, c_new = 5.506983492786637
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3105.495592370404
Acceptance probability: 2.0998234980383577e-40
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2775:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6796105012341123, b_new = -1.4612228903371594, c_new = 4.805422253322444
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11193.328560035625
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2776:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.830570178185773, b_new = -0.3082987361232028, c_new = 5.105449062614848
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3300.0589045975066
Acceptance probability: 6.674364341643891e-125
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2777:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.784294568428304, b_new = -0.9762728649392498, c_new = 4.53759780968503
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4950.759882781151
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2778:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.189912691584538, b_new = 0.6335082357233177, c_new = 5.1898674916909995
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -9018.957263685732
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2779:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4841706075058356, b_new = -0.7365659240931758, c_new = 4.607454127104176
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -9813.32737835524
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2780:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3581171914264605, b_new = -1.0264669413705068, c_new = 4.855784610222798
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -7666.223041982976
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2781:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.545669469021994, b_new = -0.08037984833060507, c_new = 4.770258086475644
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -7285.142524841067
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2782:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8380497897167751, b_new = -0.11050409196789146, c_new = 5.149299121976374
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -13699.938233139559
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2783:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3348104580995432, b_new = -0.656680448529575, c_new = 4.583146481023011
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -8094.888789517452
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2784:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.717413802934136, b_new = -0.6038270654011364, c_new = 4.61788200388292
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12643.126477444823
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2785:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.286022924593532, b_new = -0.6174291267269344, c_new = 5.283915193564963
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -7439.6724517117655
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2786:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.950755373709116, b_new = -1.337371885386498, c_new = 4.725373578344887
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3386.8772459977645
Acceptance probability: 1.3172958153444799e-162
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2787:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6930787169534227, b_new = -0.08586127617981265, c_new = 5.279708608386921
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4469.028991451866
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2788:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2465668218016424, b_new = -1.7394671512283129, c_new = 4.40405319461156
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3884.0336030068574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2789:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.090692190108559, b_new = -1.0563940482638192, c_new = 4.996016284211649
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3291.6690124799507
Acceptance probability: 2.9382839357622444e-121
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2790:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.42408258813343, b_new = -0.06868365280915967, c_new = 4.800584982687587
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -15945.482450601783
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2791:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.504419583790752, b_new = -0.9850593734562145, c_new = 4.415280602623467
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10118.391016550075
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2792:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.295933580943796, b_new = -0.7793038521706713, c_new = 5.105397668478465
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -7119.977555622689
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2793:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3219369680769417, b_new = -0.31882810363927006, c_new = 4.978921925184637
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10820.253853535805
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2794:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.84187188248237, b_new = -0.9694730033784109, c_new = 4.541571930604979
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4062.2769026842466
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2795:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.068625410828181, b_new = -1.1018334657392135, c_new = 4.548126162839748
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3108.810225143846
Acceptance probability: 7.632311170954186e-42
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2796:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2914538210648483, b_new = -1.288244187828876, c_new = 4.9509126580994645
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -5594.133775923721
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2797:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8097749230230455, b_new = -1.0884279327750332, c_new = 4.686900219527498
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4716.805641475456
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2798:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5413534921757392, b_new = -0.5329822405123315, c_new = 4.786142279269837
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11378.55293325572
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2799:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.338627309755204, b_new = -0.7807773033332293, c_new = 4.205838479840549
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -7684.789726181616
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2800:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9388430823366716, b_new = -0.7870138670521153, c_new = 5.198581430993829
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3054.549101380632
Acceptance probability: 2.8051927033104734e-18
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2801:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.366900650106701, b_new = -1.906229232633804, c_new = 5.152538081611785
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -5640.800071450633
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2802:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.889890865700628, b_new = -1.2070796596726399, c_new = 5.188840219922161
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3717.311852545884
Acceptance probability: 4.109197909323127e-306
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2803:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.106507153278498, b_new = -1.0798360213679457, c_new = 4.50139047677702
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3327.283794367193
Acceptance probability: 1.001821880895555e-136
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2804:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1825343839441023, b_new = -0.24694532545463455, c_new = 3.946785676922028
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -5698.744639750022
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2805:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1769571415377875, b_new = -1.1573199275249706, c_new = 5.179246937881885
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4041.4680808023068
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2806:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.361888969405392, b_new = -0.8367278133228784, c_new = 4.2294285733320525
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -8021.668277503852
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2807:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.74739937781499, b_new = -1.7122020386111991, c_new = 4.578648137997115
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -7633.340491179974
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2808:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.326248549598134, b_new = -1.6313266808377647, c_new = 4.46607605354063
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -5303.207843713185
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2809:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5706378869833424, b_new = -1.0165422994267763, c_new = 4.779308946203505
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -9101.314047628337
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2810:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8944056139408936, b_new = -0.29207705373197257, c_new = 4.788051026782012
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -14054.477231064468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2811:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3855879288942408, b_new = -0.7157014675927758, c_new = 4.75221936727359
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -8985.308658863716
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2812:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0289328707617766, b_new = -0.19199721140523907, c_new = 4.339301625113246
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3594.376146680407
Acceptance probability: 1.0093824390704941e-252
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2813:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4541790912439536, b_new = -2.0154065794032343, c_new = 4.309478624405443
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -6845.7126690004925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2814:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3018846821282435, b_new = -1.2273767384675898, c_new = 5.597375513424424
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12217.331713279502
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2815:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.958499165589117, b_new = -1.5371419275501084, c_new = 4.781114368441999
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3529.7969971646526
Acceptance probability: 1.1231144772039878e-224
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2816:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.580952004944956, b_new = -0.3571533901291496, c_new = 3.603805872388272
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11672.246497577165
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2817:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.394519357799734, b_new = 0.09351259325779537, c_new = 4.430552562171119
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10804.26705226356
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2818:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8767745567901724, b_new = -1.0960412524844574, c_new = 4.940584759843157
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3753.866645378698
Acceptance probability: 5.5e-322
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2819:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.543736006051932, b_new = -1.2566376204862535, c_new = 4.614388318380703
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10087.871603886844
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2820:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8395512834952985, b_new = -0.6138882511414767, c_new = 4.979867172328159
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -13480.995412063567
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2821:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.566229651080403, b_new = -0.9228478168834677, c_new = 4.487892459416479
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -9059.89782739389
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2822:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4501762153873194, b_new = -0.6271453222867082, c_new = 5.027686864609614
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -9898.714191377192
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2823:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6185908350801554, b_new = -2.383863765938436, c_new = 5.868451781440131
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11000.272064756122
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2824:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6490034103060625, b_new = -0.5529605267271608, c_new = 5.049188315265422
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -6355.128700778186
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2825:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.35470634455759, b_new = -0.34990003187748175, c_new = 4.820306340067402
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -9379.699883503634
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2826:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1972560878539387, b_new = -0.6595925905453188, c_new = 4.84012175032999
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -5263.884317205691
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2827:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.877939381080143, b_new = -1.491970802196537, c_new = 4.9049552528054665
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12646.272904816002
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2828:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.780557447693285, b_new = -0.6939492924902991, c_new = 5.439500625652614
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -13160.791763884117
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2829:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.590093066099606, b_new = -0.6796589535669626, c_new = 5.631228935757727
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11849.437724980016
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2830:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.296202334406912, b_new = -1.3220933065652218, c_new = 4.701206907862375
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12640.86239448663
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2831:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2763064260839894, b_new = -0.06275053412768639, c_new = 5.096084314276843
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -8766.174638356737
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2832:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8749698993700985, b_new = -0.31950825633150515, c_new = 4.975211790441969
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3097.5525620370017
Acceptance probability: 5.912852355567201e-37
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2833:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5319347375967394, b_new = -0.7139313496706587, c_new = 4.839707635093028
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10991.908051665265
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2834:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.999624301244128, b_new = -1.6856310220731998, c_new = 4.72259375714547
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -13092.338983164185
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2835:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0511362986621315, b_new = -1.0455714605744926, c_new = 4.94502900801804
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3091.065572468235
Acceptance probability: 3.8820471747462995e-34
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2836:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.539842025182651, b_new = -1.4359779648150277, c_new = 5.507744830410445
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10199.563933512345
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2837:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.973478472605155, b_new = -0.6299269945704015, c_new = 4.761562319146325
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3025.871637900605
Acceptance probability: 7.987793793176416e-06
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2838:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4035542443197118, b_new = -0.5150120453359885, c_new = 4.078511536184568
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -9514.708811043476
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2839:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5403246716355325, b_new = -0.9569354026082045, c_new = 4.279187983811165
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -9612.274252527239
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2840:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.795186745315672, b_new = 0.3117516132892535, c_new = 3.6842661544460595
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3203.091830700168
Acceptance probability: 8.643209308800363e-83
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2841:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4663031455797326, b_new = 0.08583762192586775, c_new = 5.4945314366088756
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11923.643901534946
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2842:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.002818283312068, b_new = -0.5174284426578408, c_new = 4.248322637067864
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3118.4799919487637
Acceptance probability: 4.820917546299796e-46
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2843:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.513752291951426, b_new = 0.1532125289680355, c_new = 5.09897820811842
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12328.951088753642
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2844:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5704490969360916, b_new = -0.5361761920469867, c_new = 4.176920326515327
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -8159.347075017566
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2845:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5242102626768084, b_new = -0.6299377914352791, c_new = 4.780883785168999
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11038.99121556791
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2846:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8479338000387795, b_new = -0.2976956221621123, c_new = 4.456626987378918
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3239.285279695263
Acceptance probability: 1.652189472700201e-98
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2847:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1139292533680027, b_new = -1.0043714361761467, c_new = 5.20578160023346
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3559.0483954945857
Acceptance probability: 2.2217906909528153e-237
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2848:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3066774975343005, b_new = -1.6056659580697579, c_new = 5.549423423990738
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -5314.458325976124
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2849:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6565681431846855, b_new = -1.3215594108208688, c_new = 5.624584462697686
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -8005.602130335148
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2850:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3834020330859484, b_new = 0.24181491862388316, c_new = 4.91897335603617
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -9111.987621053422
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2851:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9349458388459277, b_new = -1.460472839414129, c_new = 5.62347298037024
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3515.9769237379433
Acceptance probability: 1.1282508104448911e-218
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2852:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8479901837749306, b_new = -1.062369918867685, c_new = 4.953146781132064
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12993.17962899245
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2853:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.860018628834096, b_new = -1.596766005423685, c_new = 4.766514752333947
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4935.880669486143
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2854:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.972610343994231, b_new = -1.1579411879015922, c_new = 5.959469233234305
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3053.5772710096417
Acceptance probability: 7.413499592713705e-18
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2855:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.61322424370717, b_new = -0.7198095714133719, c_new = 5.766671913174845
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -7245.01892943404
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2856:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.04312389049279, b_new = -1.0813847998639603, c_new = 5.258244159305496
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3067.0443799491786
Acceptance probability: 1.0503454740633639e-23
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2857:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9700736595647097, b_new = -1.3671131537310997, c_new = 4.704058421810947
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -13277.00104042791
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2858:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9511302708865155, b_new = -0.3365900900247123, c_new = 4.72447037506224
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -14249.807005947514
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2859:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9622708106261113, b_new = -1.4824429283687324, c_new = 5.254691415866106
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3367.3332428922163
Acceptance probability: 4.05075535912192e-154
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2860:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3457736663802997, b_new = -0.1369290853862527, c_new = 4.109441113564357
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -9478.724051773923
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2861:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0781922348670228, b_new = -1.5766353137264133, c_new = 5.459788362680844
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3023.938645565512
Acceptance probability: 5.51969079181434e-05
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2862:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7503850004026478, b_new = -1.4667065465546014, c_new = 5.118955304879216
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -6651.488265022115
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2863:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3580671723588074, b_new = -1.1804690493084353, c_new = 4.322222396709233
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -7047.230742897061
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2864:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1793577431502724, b_new = -0.839102512921284, c_new = 4.836985171743048
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12759.050740043382
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2865:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2569817936388312, b_new = -0.33868425379492906, c_new = 5.246217427169296
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -7594.987553636429
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2866:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.401808295104094, b_new = -1.2906182687734051, c_new = 4.366982976337068
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -7671.608435813048
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2867:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.365154310278864, b_new = -1.598420993268018, c_new = 5.777470309448761
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -6601.474572341924
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2868:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.904405041353593, b_new = -1.7246426141446836, c_new = 5.7493910561980455
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4224.317239605152
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2869:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.14971345511686, b_new = -1.2731028213175224, c_new = 3.912715092832685
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3415.271974548705
Acceptance probability: 6.137752719333757e-175
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2870:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.787095712654921, b_new = -1.5820779727515757, c_new = 5.161888384855428
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -6173.113638386034
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2871:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.002442130245886, b_new = -0.33307860647005416, c_new = 5.37892672153469
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3382.1114762183543
Acceptance probability: 1.54678812561522e-160
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2872:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1804587153514134, b_new = -1.2340518628990287, c_new = 5.096326173836607
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3948.7450734162376
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2873:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0731567172527208, b_new = -0.6330371655182208, c_new = 4.437086324755642
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3496.3509043584127
Acceptance probability: 3.765976211715431e-210
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2874:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0148058869456125, b_new = -1.2266246097778506, c_new = 4.394613078544328
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3042.5826098740013
Acceptance probability: 4.415134412975907e-13
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2875:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.375723090093759, b_new = -1.2605055132302572, c_new = 4.693654090731449
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11928.540718443975
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2876:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.266549251841662, b_new = -1.5687923129127506, c_new = 4.772763619334429
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4500.241112071439
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2877:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.579101771310155, b_new = -0.6597768237774719, c_new = 5.573377299759782
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11765.654503156838
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2878:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.909963434545326, b_new = -0.14021829930897134, c_new = 4.094907770294817
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -14112.363371442774
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2879:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.866410198568929, b_new = -1.1634214947160082, c_new = 4.611879737824914
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4045.6785152142893
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2880:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6514377271743124, b_new = -2.2602332870681767, c_new = 4.865957195402661
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10681.658749853601
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2881:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1122274932812894, b_new = -0.8651906936388399, c_new = 4.548046172292713
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3604.9647762366767
Acceptance probability: 2.543737881274692e-257
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2882:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.594483206045086, b_new = -0.7661614022275368, c_new = 4.374001680355231
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11378.820698516582
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2883:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.304235613854183, b_new = -0.22187192768329234, c_new = 4.6393417652255
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -8697.478556248234
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2884:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0133349116043, b_new = -1.0648451044413658, c_new = 5.08607893776871
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Acceptance probability: 3.2870532185127432
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2885:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.466640594843418, b_new = -0.542769208967495, c_new = 5.706877823354303
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10868.533128035888
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2886:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.029509445757425, b_new = -0.7260322105167725, c_new = 4.623548276347352
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3145.893937488225
Acceptance probability: 1.822206926676254e-58
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2887:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.169947428370168, b_new = -0.7727512844972126, c_new = 5.406498135183573
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4705.190405026982
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2888:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6652936825381377, b_new = -0.9599888067523499, c_new = 5.08574440924312
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7071.117669310198
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2889:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.215578506434402, b_new = -1.2464046754485245, c_new = 5.238665303013989
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4440.1101205296545
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2890:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4332955608052806, b_new = -0.8156889714231929, c_new = 5.7738804180902665
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10230.760027526385
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2891:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.967601178028733, b_new = -0.8102426812758847, c_new = 4.6436426850077455
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3020.770622890438
Acceptance probability: 0.00039899070690683374
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2892:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.077055143158918, b_new = -1.277677485671772, c_new = 5.856906332585848
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3141.0323095721733
Acceptance probability: 2.354918438712096e-56
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2893:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.210273271341834, b_new = -1.020038319124028, c_new = 4.640729735795244
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4644.490083739035
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2894:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3913461981571853, b_new = 0.1444852531444527, c_new = 5.37446148293287
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11197.424731458363
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2895:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8580868179810497, b_new = -1.411798876182611, c_new = 5.477287413935779
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4388.005118295988
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2896:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.671416154751726, b_new = -1.2150264754503501, c_new = 5.430467170785098
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11669.288234325792
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2897:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2478914859025645, b_new = -0.8007505308449885, c_new = 5.227052779360448
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6056.289373521679
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2898:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8954791537956477, b_new = -0.2733667597091779, c_new = 5.024546205421927
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3043.423988682787
Acceptance probability: 5.79069939130748e-14
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2899:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9395799421306124, b_new = -2.257167707542539, c_new = 4.870545708981795
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5008.430935160677
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2900:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.285252478888726, b_new = -0.14842627205510328, c_new = 4.57680752423976
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8486.836591539413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2901:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.556130069894013, b_new = -0.21998118592900617, c_new = 5.829835827700466
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7083.694091426726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2902:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8065455398593304, b_new = -1.834568296305628, c_new = 4.694985591988803
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6640.545083411651
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2903:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3871789479371035, b_new = -0.9619543845662394, c_new = 5.315954413947639
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8601.533314615517
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2904:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7391429684547597, b_new = -1.6529726659757746, c_new = 5.318759057830056
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7335.10963809484
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2905:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.955439393080074, b_new = -0.46375363421163596, c_new = 3.77315159023678
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13922.752792132453
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2906:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8765742949178787, b_new = -1.450506700563275, c_new = 5.114457560209295
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4281.711865236844
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2907:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.714817164942898, b_new = -0.5699444763024509, c_new = 5.628961888878434
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12949.632174384315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2908:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.970339994649901, b_new = -0.7175129466501287, c_new = 4.105465407453352
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3017.6296572489055
Acceptance probability: 0.00922713397343582
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2909:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2954396324526565, b_new = -1.1579301383310643, c_new = 5.490221063833972
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6202.077212546385
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2910:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5020353470832135, b_new = -0.7799784085664506, c_new = 4.993075574413127
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9530.869285570183
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2911:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6533161634072004, b_new = -1.0479135756810458, c_new = 5.218182305912509
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11706.099866702658
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2912:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.91679444174612, b_new = -1.8341854943482856, c_new = 4.59886545616284
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4557.788997123395
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2913:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6869880430282587, b_new = -1.9847766029774394, c_new = 5.330444836964715
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10587.809107456462
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2914:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9077628758191794, b_new = -1.3526953555853898, c_new = 4.830623436618255
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3791.8624950648327
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2915:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8847742160680143, b_new = -0.82717719073116, c_new = 4.573912126468951
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3418.013678803787
Acceptance probability: 1.2036372586444831e-176
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2916:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.507851657679583, b_new = -1.2948713320301566, c_new = 5.066344172309503
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10473.855598598697
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2917:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5715565603776245, b_new = -1.186241779367386, c_new = 4.589642390860534
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10517.592309108251
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2918:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8983903086433438, b_new = -2.523928787622964, c_new = 5.021092359827187
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -15583.30177347242
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2919:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.511693610127103, b_new = -2.33721145624576, c_new = 4.795341791902105
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7323.739632329514
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2920:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0180260322111563, b_new = -0.8333825502994103, c_new = 5.5511915171332795
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13492.973003724528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2921:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8178099997902892, b_new = -0.6134122986159414, c_new = 5.635087704327935
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3638.9423438997464
Acceptance probability: 1.356424037651154e-272
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2922:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.096610920643124, b_new = -0.6892142291278971, c_new = 5.797447791328896
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3917.3762631724403
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2923:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4459769832356515, b_new = -1.453761360350076, c_new = 6.100240977105354
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8730.69416244887
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2924:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.110751927015514, b_new = -1.0483608566136506, c_new = 5.708880409618976
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3559.2091184614073
Acceptance probability: 5.755662364568997e-238
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2925:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.354468052171859, b_new = 0.33412102810734856, c_new = 4.720779381696241
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9365.168606921607
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2926:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.083783510320915, b_new = -1.171682880982768, c_new = 4.7941955477715155
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3152.899887538867
Acceptance probability: 1.651780161187457e-61
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2927:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2599433502029846, b_new = -0.510312151627928, c_new = 4.21854824933163
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6744.912698431993
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2928:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1812378362890743, b_new = -1.0882906059171713, c_new = 4.359376689335195
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4037.6086913394565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2929:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1857186068704606, b_new = -1.620760242806328, c_new = 4.807818187874471
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3471.6001221419874
Acceptance probability: 6.429822384661773e-200
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2930:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4657132942228412, b_new = -1.7858133448706277, c_new = 4.5532053504690095
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12010.230614142452
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2931:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8027559357800875, b_new = -0.5279957745812923, c_new = 5.3504058370813015
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13472.002533198258
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2932:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.739039587354437, b_new = -1.7825421847099752, c_new = 5.5531838102807285
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7608.491823649352
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2933:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.303547929402044, b_new = -1.4957361794961326, c_new = 5.95631119627857
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5651.0127426666095
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2934:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.291803185282223, b_new = -1.1349866799946384, c_new = 5.238288871023801
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14939.963097813456
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2935:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.761977791237604, b_new = -1.4502377041909948, c_new = 5.381654310584061
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6262.820556985485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2936:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9564449925080973, b_new = -0.18047032003167718, c_new = 4.945585920093614
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3175.494031170183
Acceptance probability: 2.5435503751411563e-71
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2937:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.102283836789839, b_new = -1.198960196847501, c_new = 4.756884462441759
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14077.44450370374
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2938:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6812081533544094, b_new = -0.6236526781197544, c_new = 4.296233686323773
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6146.644507794683
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2939:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.589767852390687, b_new = -0.43806911018210526, c_new = 4.501409899177834
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11881.667394507767
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2940:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9006260411594647, b_new = -1.389930842888356, c_new = 5.0616017299078875
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12945.921839842096
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2941:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6775682137588492, b_new = -0.5658428162697637, c_new = 4.982502586524369
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5843.070861194956
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2942:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7342766624151804, b_new = -1.5662111895787154, c_new = 5.01110951285889
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7318.611419028617
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2943:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9503818203512853, b_new = -1.0797598053025825, c_new = 5.310554069267674
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13630.524896028432
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2944:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5956159801047898, b_new = -1.0065386464138808, c_new = 4.784022075093009
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8651.472514829744
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2945:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0336849899311678, b_new = -0.9478959499877828, c_new = 5.480993108589799
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3107.9045629036755
Acceptance probability: 5.743457955455011e-42
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2946:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.940875563313575, b_new = -2.1383921966097015, c_new = 4.608270343813014
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4806.848428627614
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2947:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5432543435551116, b_new = -2.7452788505217827, c_new = 4.48018091693154
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12916.60699139789
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2948:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7621564934368834, b_new = -1.295953810855686, c_new = 5.603590567045542
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5779.698481077849
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2949:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.053125068018172, b_new = -1.372261071887995, c_new = 5.0599693626967595
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3017.440964526516
Acceptance probability: 0.011143331091678324
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2950:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5894827706979067, b_new = -0.21384097986064954, c_new = 5.457082549498876
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6551.311747899597
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2951:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.56748433473431, b_new = -1.127718426398356, c_new = 5.961334200605897
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8989.555202722006
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2952:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8979118598217353, b_new = -1.638038338125062, c_new = 5.387900369997852
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4249.517579580901
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2953:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.806036176218415, b_new = -1.4284462244221425, c_new = 5.167489206171746
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12323.058359301685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2954:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.007832569885583, b_new = -0.9667621166477359, c_new = 5.493340414176002
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3030.654548167179
Acceptance probability: 2.0343635841173193e-08
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2955:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.536658221961664, b_new = -0.6981248023122059, c_new = 5.024878068408035
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8825.704752328878
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2956:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8488025001387873, b_new = -1.2153574497565265, c_new = 5.567976379217404
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4149.369631220819
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2957:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.560727095608635, b_new = -1.022281640713456, c_new = 4.891466534943213
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9231.60693117593
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2958:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2653060719183675, b_new = -1.0042070595971009, c_new = 4.968654272972201
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5789.621973821559
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2959:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.464956385677696, b_new = -1.370384990684499, c_new = 5.000297845364489
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8860.587218304749
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2960:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9622748713891887, b_new = -0.6887040530508328, c_new = 4.775416736501845
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3014.757440107346
Acceptance probability: 0.16310034579538155
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2961:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.167846097975586, b_new = -0.8828572045846451, c_new = 5.09690061411049
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14695.623985573442
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2962:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6036777882030195, b_new = -1.0559598842121785, c_new = 5.351436196741966
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8419.784524366145
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2963:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5380099793785913, b_new = -1.5335851732043184, c_new = 4.747416691553377
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10685.23652934073
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2964:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.240667482264859, b_new = -1.1077407366589371, c_new = 5.214705390623348
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5139.780152675915
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2965:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.064511381425543, b_new = -0.7050084044677196, c_new = 5.329197544389299
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14515.928103482434
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2966:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.723625534154541, b_new = -0.5810615815621925, c_new = 5.617710444542369
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4849.899363773589
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2967:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4801808746425857, b_new = -1.2844160036016095, c_new = 5.534621069641116
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9476.250933908506
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2968:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2384191277011256, b_new = -0.5121067558023085, c_new = 5.342959494213838
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6706.31392133743
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2969:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3225415086534795, b_new = -1.8263522669932986, c_new = 4.1996462413064926
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13283.47905367638
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2970:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3364519930836796, b_new = -1.2526025815277504, c_new = 4.35921363635638
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6415.136212078773
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2971:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.18422138976623, b_new = -0.8968687844357941, c_new = 4.942478398045848
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4554.353295056288
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2972:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.12488073179411, b_new = -0.9412054859025525, c_new = 4.657972842619575
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3654.265826631835
Acceptance probability: 3.0025585393041477e-279
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2973:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7284592818855353, b_new = -1.6310133914548457, c_new = 4.358321991645013
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11247.844703694393
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2974:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.605680957659191, b_new = -1.3712805346970527, c_new = 5.542382500126317
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9085.132930137836
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2975:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.146920075802798, b_new = -1.0147160804291768, c_new = 5.612197591590292
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3981.2468292903413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2976:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5723767748785415, b_new = -2.066566852710439, c_new = 4.777199969517998
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8934.47642480211
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2977:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3613603051835885, b_new = -0.7947918375400018, c_new = 4.868665206097568
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8369.031777202741
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2978:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.584579550259484, b_new = -0.32660413957410606, c_new = 4.748663351798612
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12079.088028967908
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2979:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3041863278637718, b_new = -0.9621066992340677, c_new = 4.698517712986761
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6631.899877450463
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2980:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2691176157990944, b_new = -1.592260162938087, c_new = 4.860973997980841
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4516.3719819863945
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2981:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4634868159279395, b_new = -0.809672941768038, c_new = 4.438193682284315
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9873.981423730009
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2982:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0587301498166886, b_new = -1.026297427407095, c_new = 4.726928132668124
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3116.2602597214286
Acceptance probability: 1.3500206942886357e-45
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2983:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0686833686593347, b_new = -1.620850737702955, c_new = 6.268254849463695
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3019.3766733190846
Acceptance probability: 0.0016082271416559453
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2984:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1021414563207377, b_new = -0.48124078703265905, c_new = 4.817889557225894
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4099.027186370153
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2985:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.841934953927201, b_new = -0.6330522494092921, c_new = 5.662172614301527
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3439.681810419095
Acceptance probability: 4.678920102290194e-186
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2986:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9718112081278465, b_new = -1.0832184317175908, c_new = 5.018073346998532
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14078.314221200528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2987:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6089049678198037, b_new = -0.7413954575840961, c_new = 5.23348284488286
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11797.09036949247
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2988:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3670075437795424, b_new = -0.7042206825136204, c_new = 4.968653795954594
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8757.46657589213
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2989:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.687405267886145, b_new = -0.8733599448311071, c_new = 5.9833139105516135
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12449.394706474037
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2990:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.170930464964308, b_new = -0.12363286915130389, c_new = 5.313069216085028
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11762.726111779542
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2991:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5180560757660997, b_new = -0.7580993102163232, c_new = 5.614559865531662
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11013.230296495894
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2992:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0016942636361468, b_new = -0.665950008704334, c_new = 4.770578070627732
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3078.1304093941994
Acceptance probability: 4.896931383911667e-29
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2993:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.572350597869778, b_new = -0.6978296569731303, c_new = 5.921726410849655
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11752.239452338494
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2994:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2011873909695834, b_new = -1.3795890266092028, c_new = 4.581699114358171
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13362.59114279879
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2995:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.614666114347762, b_new = -1.5263566441136307, c_new = 4.559848253688414
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10388.1836122779
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2996:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.747508921776113, b_new = -0.8337941256360781, c_new = 4.806618049356891
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5205.434135955265
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2997:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.767204201351467, b_new = -0.8679360678649033, c_new = 4.412234323908388
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12582.55713618384
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2998:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.744939361775793, b_new = -0.4107765594741506, c_new = 5.447442190003124
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4248.937249479393
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2999:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.522717398510213, b_new = -0.6114382273972927, c_new = 4.937115192917756
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11104.58905466897
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3000:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9403995482351934, b_new = -0.8880485719158034, c_new = 4.005791214386922
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3171.63183431998
Acceptance probability: 1.209960306761461e-69
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3001:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.713804233958543, b_new = -0.8134413561726124, c_new = 5.337208030909517
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5626.655446604756
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3002:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.194470386759576, b_new = -1.1980226865961576, c_new = 5.246485461789813
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4222.899689706162
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3003:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9382760289184966, b_new = -0.3659468885978079, c_new = 4.483968392708903
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3024.9195591603784
Acceptance probability: 6.296549945636625e-06
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3004:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.511843450201405, b_new = -1.2180665974835636, c_new = 4.606421179695163
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9751.926971500568
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3005:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.539842598538567, b_new = -1.4479825618081115, c_new = 5.6621213142358195
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10171.50237892757
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3006:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2472529449794534, b_new = -1.1702596751227206, c_new = 4.998293041262565
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5052.951862919994
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3007:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8425954179901107, b_new = -1.1268860953471374, c_new = 5.341209718490506
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12982.407721978532
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3008:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.355023231400801, b_new = -0.7891331529538073, c_new = 4.835864127515979
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8244.660758381871
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3009:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.436976395071871, b_new = -1.5691247975023304, c_new = 5.48320146589707
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8044.14356850605
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3010:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.871435762713397, b_new = -1.2146235385091368, c_new = 4.787265286845582
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4024.982164660234
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3011:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7016464082679756, b_new = -1.4280574364479803, c_new = 5.41742855553736
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7460.864680360624
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3012:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4956971060300983, b_new = -1.7195490338144308, c_new = 5.4253370022526655
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11303.220008969336
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3013:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7286303510512893, b_new = -1.2750351275689258, c_new = 4.742520177752548
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6731.826401026006
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3014:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0056221280629867, b_new = -1.0741888793564727, c_new = 4.76715622882145
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13981.561134266381
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3015:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.048170218465689, b_new = -0.6315767397163723, c_new = 5.485951451556036
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13134.563353508398
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3016:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.549782285614128, b_new = -1.4085266119827948, c_new = 5.2432716843380796
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10065.217893555358
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3017:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.580685850692353, b_new = -1.5197317615142185, c_new = 4.164316758558543
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -15899.812114787497
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3018:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7088985343257717, b_new = -0.7721062982148945, c_new = 5.184732361477387
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12516.39377640899
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3019:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2070559507270353, b_new = -0.6065725143874856, c_new = 5.425117926802202
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5790.67858130711
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3020:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8560466567765803, b_new = -1.3924381182974463, c_new = 4.243787674580151
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12467.212266820476
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3021:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0906083777165607, b_new = -1.132602612712321, c_new = 4.884071536051248
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3221.01447213763
Acceptance probability: 4.3267720670751e-91
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3022:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3341125866851815, b_new = -0.6870241005412271, c_new = 4.798147730845993
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11360.331302512937
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3023:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.075592928603822, b_new = -1.02216341475736, c_new = 5.8677183546446425
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14389.92772472414
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3024:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7046453397319128, b_new = -1.7406545597342848, c_new = 5.457589475159393
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -15453.586435031784
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3025:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4367558997654477, b_new = -1.2396688056161835, c_new = 6.022719239539515
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10887.852734499513
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3026:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2420862305023235, b_new = -0.4009293514404513, c_new = 5.294369977939303
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7094.371975179765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3027:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.956528347551241, b_new = -0.5534738284242148, c_new = 4.681587313726995
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14048.580974208779
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3028:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2181585620850415, b_new = -0.3454389692753185, c_new = 5.442302331968289
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6777.3157361486155
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3029:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9919331162860563, b_new = -1.43639942990831, c_new = 5.383336881926269
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3139.613086289418
Acceptance probability: 9.735016915128322e-56
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3030:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.856892029261044, b_new = -0.630671877091137, c_new = 5.760680739071807
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13756.585860744317
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3031:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.076724901711454, b_new = -1.2842411933480256, c_new = 5.148424222094276
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3089.2194971942145
Acceptance probability: 7.4815981509948925e-34
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3032:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1515739237529488, b_new = -0.9167662129209248, c_new = 5.514221205065216
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4181.883451210271
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3033:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.522523071122487, b_new = -0.1032214371202318, c_new = 5.482203838518016
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7530.976343413666
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3034:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.722053262178057, b_new = -1.2837786892396443, c_new = 4.87968846710446
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6842.44148732915
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3035:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0387071886015695, b_new = -1.2591988804740313, c_new = 4.380686663866647
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3022.54706008357
Acceptance probability: 6.752520479334018e-05
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3036:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.451199020054688, b_new = -0.6567436636476804, c_new = 5.907837830189183
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10528.1860271918
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3037:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.035456084522997, b_new = -1.2839216163176725, c_new = 3.6813182403322067
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3060.7664924252495
Acceptance probability: 1.7020697078695822e-21
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3038:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.573263247178246, b_new = -0.4533689378803736, c_new = 4.338883868989061
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7841.299699882211
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3039:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.225413565752748, b_new = -1.0573449168433107, c_new = 4.2893040980883645
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4723.8071243612685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3040:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.259844029624902, b_new = -1.1444387045786752, c_new = 3.9842127742288684
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5045.874122378123
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3041:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4247112835296036, b_new = -0.9314462884653978, c_new = 5.1313893329259175
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10744.003367591424
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3042:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.083179227454018, b_new = -1.098900460297086, c_new = 5.52293201933602
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3266.013966798362
Acceptance probability: 1.2391725879530995e-110
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3043:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2338392756257357, b_new = -1.372714038713181, c_new = 4.017836452219057
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4207.976628873564
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3044:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.305774572431089, b_new = -0.9502817450641279, c_new = 5.563089257769746
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -15191.384221106095
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3045:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3771345928352288, b_new = -1.7015456911722628, c_new = 3.5598615259713497
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12931.282609501573
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3046:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9337279370649156, b_new = -1.0241591064792286, c_new = 4.5157541627912146
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3252.8381282158916
Acceptance probability: 6.5362068615136964e-105
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3047:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0151409242592018, b_new = -0.27830459322774526, c_new = 5.377211305771063
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3545.455680344692
Acceptance probability: 5.409256691101087e-232
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3048:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8352464262510475, b_new = -0.905945996862491, c_new = 5.87194541028374
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3788.7691192969664
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3049:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.095264187181624, b_new = -1.2441612389955918, c_new = 5.277833418793394
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14122.41409653998
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3050:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.486695349837667, b_new = -1.1056861522540709, c_new = 5.4703310844903665
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9925.262168196827
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3051:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0415068744347606, b_new = -1.0940247235237786, c_new = 4.866557204212719
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3042.4758629943635
Acceptance probability: 1.4945029440921448e-13
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3052:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8750709252743816, b_new = -1.3589214895806934, c_new = 5.272152574999384
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4105.428375709886
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3053:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.001942287056696, b_new = -1.1821561238038671, c_new = 5.252050064094706
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13760.449342386994
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3054:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6344286848406044, b_new = -1.38047068532683, c_new = 4.82984121858457
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8881.325314110733
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3055:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.64973644035325, b_new = -1.667195212461649, c_new = 4.834630328501508
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9334.037768179045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3056:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.906248308609516, b_new = -0.7952484296827269, c_new = 4.966640985295847
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3202.2434680963424
Acceptance probability: 6.141967191223843e-83
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3057:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.607184897223664, b_new = -0.8663421018503983, c_new = 5.544678252241019
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11680.881283454519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3058:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3960202384960816, b_new = -1.1528697694733763, c_new = 5.743874553478647
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11245.80049235806
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3059:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.1097152223445335, b_new = -2.3967790768559234, c_new = 5.735367740654084
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13144.939617404209
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3060:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7619304021888, b_new = -1.2082979591416456, c_new = 4.997672278682354
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5770.238916647108
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3061:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7899159747509663, b_new = -1.3571889353221969, c_new = 5.885456732829212
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5300.501394751665
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3062:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4999388179782263, b_new = -0.9010549169579153, c_new = 5.254541642649673
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9722.359488681881
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3063:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.325010967847853, b_new = -0.939166371762338, c_new = 5.336178032509627
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7391.913386897376
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3064:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0057738773846356, b_new = -0.9027721083693817, c_new = 4.40081906815545
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3015.8367208146437
Acceptance probability: 0.05542800228551955
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3065:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.120154242950737, b_new = -1.1098069925188705, c_new = 4.542471406733485
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13513.940508709838
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3066:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9568054333279203, b_new = -1.3875701786138468, c_new = 4.527552373035884
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3420.0455148435285
Acceptance probability: 1.5779035116048753e-177
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3067:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.048734055986381, b_new = -0.9325773361074852, c_new = 4.701634279332137
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14089.129469124302
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3068:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.013188048173146, b_new = -0.6363964936770847, c_new = 5.214448191609052
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3176.4230433423763
Acceptance probability: 1.004559079456232e-71
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3069:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.453906035397443, b_new = -1.7179004789934034, c_new = 5.43704302531359
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7972.1445592008895
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3070:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.941731213132654, b_new = -0.8313462215269282, c_new = 5.347929045061546
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3055.3764445919674
Acceptance probability: 3.731172894115587e-19
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3071:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.647219983004423, b_new = -1.1942293173502219, c_new = 4.72660591411336
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8197.942658133412
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3072:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.831334050710489, b_new = -2.053940829956173, c_new = 4.826231155740839
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6672.132614606942
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3073:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.143088785795228, b_new = -0.6803889415060007, c_new = 4.827089304367437
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12794.585544874897
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3074:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6727997489224404, b_new = -1.4250034881283058, c_new = 5.0870425897674325
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11265.633474110418
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3075:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4976476327903554, b_new = -0.7882414952404269, c_new = 5.391629848519393
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9477.19494755822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3076:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.490807827049096, b_new = -1.3661636811746611, c_new = 5.840403896529169
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9560.864189607972
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3077:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4766496579464845, b_new = -1.0822317988517736, c_new = 4.770990573334799
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9599.798680989994
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3078:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.059657765350626, b_new = -1.1058754542525138, c_new = 5.1822847658361715
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14079.752875125916
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3079:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2047192640648334, b_new = -0.21551109664193446, c_new = 5.81547460767306
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11498.672063251925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3080:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5682108988423407, b_new = -0.9126086071208885, c_new = 4.536365614386289
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8985.174789052018
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3081:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3586282225234276, b_new = -1.6543056927723092, c_new = 5.034850928267607
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12553.03699459824
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3082:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.285010362109388, b_new = -0.8543270736739224, c_new = 5.633814589684821
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -15217.026575111493
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3083:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1497969709967437, b_new = -1.0306896451513874, c_new = 4.677610688210364
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3805.328529146708
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3084:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.785070182699811, b_new = -0.5933368605355667, c_new = 4.958961740000681
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4105.758101913566
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3085:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9990453585638095, b_new = -1.5005608043982495, c_new = 5.780892469887505
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3114.1808365220068
Acceptance probability: 1.079996745670302e-44
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3086:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3284766203172675, b_new = -1.2485696172890328, c_new = 5.103389679540243
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6520.682482332842
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3087:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.224693300245794, b_new = -0.24690277278399708, c_new = 5.015569938086846
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7038.458994265175
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3088:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5080529512416496, b_new = -0.7504455526681701, c_new = 4.590933230589969
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10591.086620739987
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3089:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.891646828191909, b_new = -1.0747811965833451, c_new = 5.211556093252861
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3532.528248870057
Acceptance probability: 2.2256134928356353e-226
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3090:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.853829398958873, b_new = -0.763927732623709, c_new = 4.4401339956913075
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13251.200334473873
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3091:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.848771930902135, b_new = -1.0500075885084892, c_new = 5.207789691841267
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3960.4030543773747
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3092:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.59754123376835, b_new = -0.4764064629134164, c_new = 5.966564247568709
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6875.360549854109
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3093:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9110448176440573, b_new = -1.1614006827776313, c_new = 5.240517167950328
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3452.9236036432685
Acceptance probability: 8.30439314804325e-192
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3094:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.156479676773111, b_new = -1.3274919680630237, c_new = 5.36627615476549
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13351.776019027508
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3095:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.339353752131371, b_new = -3.157641491307905, c_new = 5.963793513482935
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3432.6021727076436
Acceptance probability: 5.556396398663602e-183
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3096:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2978601378103582, b_new = -0.7244624605484092, c_new = 4.915205851943825
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11709.965567516558
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3097:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.266201190167225, b_new = -1.048678535395726, c_new = 5.753961142543344
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5971.346076001882
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3098:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.68520266099631, b_new = -1.6963999068506626, c_new = 5.019279763485646
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10941.431975381676
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3099:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0839214846939917, b_new = -1.3016132766823552, c_new = 4.284723091709732
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3073.216407084865
Acceptance probability: 6.668806338095139e-27
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3100:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.101347340908737, b_new = -1.376124984497475, c_new = 5.498896584018881
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3169.5942608601817
Acceptance probability: 9.282779476801159e-69
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3101:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.675410523970222, b_new = -1.1281697895842886, c_new = 4.2887366332878205
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7626.398386960339
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3102:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1613748116644973, b_new = -1.055974204085669, c_new = 4.656138073156951
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3899.237064115725
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3103:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.091396818302064, b_new = -0.43422853136823336, c_new = 4.578406715676854
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3984.534546747152
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3104:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6519048157755156, b_new = -0.00652609061700371, c_new = 4.816409028888328
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13042.496891109604
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3105:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2532048816381915, b_new = -1.5961536391079005, c_new = 5.195952232843282
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4348.275776513509
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3106:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2015854141839513, b_new = -1.204695524373622, c_new = 5.5994842674352245
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12874.085608397781
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3107:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5025285647265325, b_new = -0.9121664490575807, c_new = 5.727806590869513
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10594.206305515216
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3108:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4247714844643764, b_new = -0.7307844191727708, c_new = 5.463941898778599
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9847.399179425485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3109:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.083979658930565, b_new = -1.2553536733944908, c_new = 4.827607626200101
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3112.193417144398
Acceptance probability: 7.880390082279829e-44
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3110:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0971283898305297, b_new = -1.6574232097084836, c_new = 4.75329617888979
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14160.100077338036
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3111:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5520685612239853, b_new = -0.5164076496944198, c_new = 4.390770594795509
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8361.349127858515
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3112:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.578056065142397, b_new = -0.6745390072408219, c_new = 5.395918326651338
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7925.966605779207
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3113:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7280231559594488, b_new = -1.2870973238743713, c_new = 5.573714746518489
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12059.88095645494
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3114:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8863127366232142, b_new = -0.7535909783531876, c_new = 5.275169350802058
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14066.37192142747
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3115:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1365247340282014, b_new = -1.4794411327186408, c_new = 5.253738956222077
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3278.166484176716
Acceptance probability: 6.536730184975938e-116
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3116:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.06923331750985, b_new = -0.9798577874719907, c_new = 4.225932066699365
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3155.377753549119
Acceptance probability: 1.3862089883470241e-62
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3117:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9487813429472456, b_new = -1.2248300003222936, c_new = 5.487234430808881
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13509.440655114475
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3118:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.075990059503938, b_new = -0.3103692485157312, c_new = 5.147263853851343
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12682.130886702145
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3119:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5095870506835047, b_new = -0.0305864651718204, c_new = 4.455023324440964
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11800.90847394948
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3120:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.692816331946948, b_new = -0.9878340451223266, c_new = 4.610680679822021
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11945.076442826932
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3121:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.712841180226378, b_new = -1.1735985653287375, c_new = 4.416661289545986
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11788.529261628015
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3122:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6453202534411524, b_new = -1.0873891115141345, c_new = 4.90480148870511
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11487.642522728122
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3123:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.138821754848654, b_new = -1.1972908297722817, c_new = 5.377536312799101
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13297.898873086617
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3124:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4878187990758005, b_new = -1.4823548773499484, c_new = 4.909037310748739
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11125.326646127274
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3125:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5197658818643824, b_new = -1.370494245929966, c_new = 5.4385783384306
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9819.436996000586
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3126:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.315700861623958, b_new = -1.835823497553457, c_new = 5.603755587390741
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12938.728770281878
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3127:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.491136826055917, b_new = -0.638839771006309, c_new = 4.784375007095572
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9458.095473504049
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3128:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1270582029930423, b_new = -0.9546727643381141, c_new = 5.344605355233114
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3782.081903995596
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3129:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.812484449804079, b_new = -0.9396316958954819, c_new = 5.722152831116777
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4146.354344495538
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3130:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.341989186130888, b_new = -1.4264725737506625, c_new = 4.65084171648951
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6175.964077704455
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3131:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.764736565977003, b_new = -1.1399867897161255, c_new = 5.773725483449333
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12577.263835113452
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3132:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9383652537442546, b_new = -0.9002571732745368, c_new = 4.848396691344355
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3118.436050395717
Acceptance probability: 1.5325213805365009e-46
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3133:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.886992124615189, b_new = -1.384633111821851, c_new = 6.036692224034632
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3839.785476100482
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3134:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0906671845542233, b_new = -1.259879505523231, c_new = 4.967350000734302
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3147.0668109899334
Acceptance probability: 5.6393000592990165e-59
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3135:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.185802394554896, b_new = -0.3028294731343595, c_new = 5.782846117924539
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6312.837101487097
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3136:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.349879483235788, b_new = -2.3615560756010234, c_new = 4.705879304834354
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4323.184386451867
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3137:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0183092346424214, b_new = -0.8931225747698723, c_new = 5.404541669152979
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13587.681256736596
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3138:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1874040571385787, b_new = -1.5772533055393383, c_new = 5.682135035622162
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3657.592073529019
Acceptance probability: 1.0787500043475464e-280
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3139:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7457328860938026, b_new = -0.6267758249589881, c_new = 4.7483711530999395
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4804.33397291648
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3140:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.686676137828263, b_new = -1.3610240976572785, c_new = 5.245916500185531
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11528.155925436866
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3141:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.806968889324726, b_new = -2.06220992356045, c_new = 5.269972758808192
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7049.875838621904
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3142:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8119130248161404, b_new = -0.6442280132270087, c_new = 5.122707999897501
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3821.522433155517
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3143:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1234019319682504, b_new = -1.295347702702036, c_new = 5.378086890892715
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3357.087351471104
Acceptance probability: 3.471070112323843e-150
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3144:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8549339116106918, b_new = -1.0219649385323353, c_new = 4.877375676204256
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3909.943194838823
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3145:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8989908644533893, b_new = -1.1442950608647202, c_new = 5.224408977223264
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3542.7721099761557
Acceptance probability: 7.91766994439244e-231
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3146:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9529168103626593, b_new = -1.183481620060568, c_new = 5.252581487854717
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3184.0656704047888
Acceptance probability: 4.817533272614041e-75
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3147:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.04497061075798, b_new = -1.1301949584322954, c_new = 5.154815101984309
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3050.509146928336
Acceptance probability: 4.849376357964243e-17
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3148:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.221795611454628, b_new = -1.3269859066107488, c_new = 5.0871087582656624
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4347.577754791379
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3149:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5292306071092154, b_new = -1.4715984575929169, c_new = 4.259281683141407
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9372.460104041545
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3150:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.724221819086089, b_new = -1.2047185704689891, c_new = 5.01648917155984
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6528.992563026141
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3151:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.35872057019694, b_new = -1.4951241700730185, c_new = 4.9512276679025105
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6447.453385898104
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3152:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2414683093186953, b_new = -0.08180244635197931, c_new = 5.721965087924453
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11012.839160308597
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3153:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3115708930639656, b_new = 0.0044500400505549376, c_new = 5.128904981210996
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9643.026500049791
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3154:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5829361830371447, b_new = -0.9315089709061832, c_new = 5.167987422348208
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8548.469128997755
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3155:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0469789635813322, b_new = -0.7756879722374506, c_new = 5.653548159469463
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3318.962136237279
Acceptance probability: 1.2532392370094082e-133
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3156:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5018762213967967, b_new = -1.2649739640121074, c_new = 5.163766217610458
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9702.267665587677
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3157:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.602039486582498, b_new = -1.7368365927736495, c_new = 5.218860163134867
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10091.858173443054
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3158:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.791373893015372, b_new = -1.314684680775089, c_new = 4.5534949326666805
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12212.059561918442
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3159:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6070590163376695, b_new = -1.5609520254915519, c_new = 5.402121889253849
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10491.338306931933
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3160:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.293625910505606, b_new = -0.9532026245840235, c_new = 5.984370690183037
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6925.069276950438
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3161:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.785032728073236, b_new = -0.8076527689095614, c_new = 4.633720159094581
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12831.573926580219
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3162:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6745031272157878, b_new = -0.8179258965907679, c_new = 5.799104873644926
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6263.142884625509
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3163:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.034771884248078, b_new = -1.9329928452195146, c_new = 5.5311246425895275
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13200.828844645657
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3164:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5940538781206226, b_new = -0.934999400993832, c_new = 5.198389925632577
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11347.526836994646
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3165:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8066787302258014, b_new = -1.6210812189739952, c_new = 5.31041909768486
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5817.537637148304
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3166:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9191081043191205, b_new = -1.1407406788844303, c_new = 4.772576401096783
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3431.347789616436
Acceptance probability: 1.947892008585465e-182
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3167:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0313503472798273, b_new = -0.6420736270249365, c_new = 5.107809176681868
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3262.6807379323996
Acceptance probability: 3.4732392573817976e-109
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3168:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.013943852154545, b_new = -1.1113838261640288, c_new = 5.098068087184972
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13902.569632329676
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3169:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.249564741849083, b_new = -0.032593367046099164, c_new = 5.026212411619122
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11048.987521490142
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3170:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.675405304491003, b_new = -1.4039404146743242, c_new = 4.984948609745612
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -15715.911736679807
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3171:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7615311679381427, b_new = -0.9850472349255479, c_new = 5.094479385009151
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5207.082306628412
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3172:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.370294343994572, b_new = -1.981657565337731, c_new = 4.957749967880441
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5470.305365715089
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3173:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6726839229062476, b_new = -1.230704283192344, c_new = 5.1954731033943675
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7605.191259566883
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3174:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3407434746445004, b_new = -0.9554562283637569, c_new = 5.422889319812268
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11542.796689569546
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3175:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7775047863017455, b_new = -1.504349311201777, c_new = 5.4552059310869065
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12098.217313993813
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3176:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.473387164902083, b_new = -1.3381890798989917, c_new = 4.9087145965216505
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11018.901625590775
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3177:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.912309850926869, b_new = -1.2945316962786093, c_new = 5.085818920402307
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3618.883858284541
Acceptance probability: 6.977263031313822e-264
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3178:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5188597655628855, b_new = -1.3991472529540891, c_new = 5.380194025791141
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10436.767480259963
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3179:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.670053454579459, b_new = -1.3394289915578508, c_new = 5.505764772443578
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11490.833692186932
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3180:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7548398087059742, b_new = -1.5588754518830668, c_new = 5.005829954491765
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11734.133767250312
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3181:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.608928865444475, b_new = -1.0767497265634156, c_new = 3.9814099038830664
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8900.529366790308
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3182:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8067785086757917, b_new = -1.5687762082735834, c_new = 6.531448822389819
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5281.810672903247
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3183:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3970646536061087, b_new = -1.3371785345797411, c_new = 4.290339605637516
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11987.244493697493
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3184:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6976806914052864, b_new = -1.4048799167382344, c_new = 5.158817898784299
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11532.142769770815
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3185:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.256014039152788, b_new = -1.0792762039635164, c_new = 5.237187446080234
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5504.085088321721
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3186:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.073841964632703, b_new = -1.041696100907526, c_new = 5.620734685021877
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3264.1626778842074
Acceptance probability: 7.891078387459515e-110
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3187:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0674018889885675, b_new = -0.9460293011978371, c_new = 3.8414316139369467
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3142.3538265168827
Acceptance probability: 6.281282892798084e-57
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3188:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.523390911368858, b_new = -0.926102529594535, c_new = 4.734427717637739
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9627.620981042453
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3189:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6828285478289422, b_new = -2.3042039453930627, c_new = 5.711146982451917
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -15866.310028358355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3190:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.848098739435952, b_new = -1.1913976345858932, c_new = 5.8600397356445395
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4056.8418018491575
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3191:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5813711050305304, b_new = -1.5411039051673086, c_new = 4.359089668273414
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10272.766393427039
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3192:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0756683466474395, b_new = -1.0750350183679718, c_new = 5.008074111038775
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3188.4852275570884
Acceptance probability: 5.8000994362430456e-77
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3193:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5556332888775155, b_new = -0.8177086432350537, c_new = 4.802252263870222
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8872.212204312946
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3194:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6529174446662176, b_new = -1.182472737303829, c_new = 5.519233894560673
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7750.342028417983
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3195:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.624860170081212, b_new = -1.1476110324940831, c_new = 4.5865466809441156
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8554.659671267897
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3196:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.674858832680347, b_new = -0.6106654420653943, c_new = 4.976511251004407
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12434.35921090884
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3197:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5848568519429653, b_new = -1.503155936928317, c_new = 5.298206647402988
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10318.728538579004
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3198:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.958817924391256, b_new = -0.5480319643671071, c_new = 5.806636695819474
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14338.030334211782
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3199:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3273168433961517, b_new = -0.8289791974282159, c_new = 5.037580165290074
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7634.443610054008
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3200:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.35928502171775, b_new = -1.2678421723069024, c_new = 4.951145075554548
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12003.872751882674
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3201:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.887132149098548, b_new = -1.3461509512579397, c_new = 5.605689077094737
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13056.05001369589
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3202:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7878936932515677, b_new = -1.1198168935043094, c_new = 5.706416695454843
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12740.35827417167
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3203:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.954738394129334, b_new = -0.5870820112022668, c_new = 5.637846901607852
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3043.854190849616
Acceptance probability: 3.766141153070551e-14
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3204:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.093229229128535, b_new = -1.7909523129037852, c_new = 4.816077858909853
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3042.716559293447
Acceptance probability: 1.17479935769625e-13
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3205:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4202958222115676, b_new = -1.3842966064588413, c_new = 4.398923632839323
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7806.3812433600015
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3206:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.605691500017967, b_new = -1.2812763667133067, c_new = 4.765937440816491
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9158.862404420337
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3207:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1733178731189935, b_new = -0.7417953150205951, c_new = 5.047377586527032
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4722.4298050517045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3208:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3881507815248106, b_new = -0.9518458495811032, c_new = 4.743487177836331
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8427.947472524069
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3209:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.226479677978738, b_new = -0.5309393949259179, c_new = 4.378133759702473
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6017.813741762882
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3210:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7890553192880123, b_new = -1.0037087924192185, c_new = 4.985196627924306
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4799.284175900372
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3211:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.852624229863044, b_new = -0.08516229930705699, c_new = 4.769724943989983
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3097.094506120084
Acceptance probability: 2.843946723524676e-37
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3212:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.262655657891475, b_new = -1.1425096980368459, c_new = 4.6295824660787686
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12653.495865692998
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3213:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9770744696825098, b_new = -0.911842416731183, c_new = 5.113655606744831
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13885.497720469642
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3214:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.705026980628827, b_new = -0.7018414353394178, c_new = 5.863503207521587
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5371.7255195756925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3215:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7521318791991, b_new = -1.6837723369333175, c_new = 5.162194231939697
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7206.100921256114
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3216:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2441593024080104, b_new = -1.106858381170788, c_new = 5.608320857477219
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12467.702832417763
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3217:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.966975999186872, b_new = -0.7946531917662889, c_new = 4.969590015780168
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3015.977267758929
Acceptance probability: 0.04816044197524289
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3218:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7953561473286066, b_new = -0.043082088026972665, c_new = 5.67202808650356
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14068.650660962063
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3219:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.443578644416715, b_new = -0.3836458143499599, c_new = 4.3468111053638285
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9723.796798691837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3220:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.406390578680639, b_new = -0.29391238682398513, c_new = 5.025895037661834
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9807.108126061377
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3221:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3649521051088582, b_new = -1.189542616063297, c_new = 5.984527867486468
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7801.666004371218
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3222:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.547856950787579, b_new = -1.1919148725332382, c_new = 5.923555110054412
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10658.230845284868
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3223:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.050300692634192, b_new = -1.278039939214196, c_new = 4.312955556684672
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3024.8081268342603
Acceptance probability: 7.038775228680585e-06
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3224:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6386299728801768, b_new = -0.7375826872598099, c_new = 5.471272424517613
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12120.42590981085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3225:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7906152880296147, b_new = -1.472475415167709, c_new = 5.515686935973929
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5687.985239201929
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3226:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.40535793738495, b_new = -0.44579936217079696, c_new = 5.456201930542203
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10190.674116554865
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3227:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2385867240357507, b_new = -0.9562026589608249, c_new = 4.896756497482794
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5355.60717515917
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3228:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9931186906120555, b_new = -0.8374613909659985, c_new = 5.596745859960311
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3041.3884363346483
Acceptance probability: 4.433637407681572e-13
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3229:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3563158987023725, b_new = -0.18213908329376916, c_new = 5.188233300124269
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10147.38195072813
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3230:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.271472358523697, b_new = -0.8055504999999852, c_new = 5.691553903167971
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11831.314131016845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3231:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8539098274721644, b_new = -0.5948094731624582, c_new = 4.978298359193419
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3386.4255854383
Acceptance probability: 6.295500537647815e-163
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3232:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.020952069460254, b_new = -0.7769095756216863, c_new = 5.589860244453953
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13410.394962583614
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3233:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.299442966957364, b_new = -1.0642795829737262, c_new = 4.95097007225078
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6344.032853301441
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3234:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.868866137125247, b_new = -1.0126724420612354, c_new = 4.041232435059367
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3904.3062612877284
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3235:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2698116302598392, b_new = -1.9675611788956422, c_new = 4.822293824635711
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3907.549887450638
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3236:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0110478927463356, b_new = -1.334850540853543, c_new = 4.984019063656422
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3053.391476722405
Acceptance probability: 2.7158511670700465e-18
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3237:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.76489323547667, b_new = -1.5298011260136635, c_new = 5.869225147522277
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12082.594432235015
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3238:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1886906621261044, b_new = -0.9240376808490438, c_new = 4.814062481058758
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12812.004840311924
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3239:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.781223012949426, b_new = -1.627858695220476, c_new = 4.892263820098186
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6526.798825369824
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3240:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8422392305622064, b_new = -1.1854731003890013, c_new = 5.140090742026394
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4287.7562641894865
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3241:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0411749793112515, b_new = -1.0803637035185905, c_new = 5.4511438655134485
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3071.9919895068697
Acceptance probability: 2.2688506214674966e-26
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3242:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0120260417738574, b_new = -0.8558558604617447, c_new = 5.852704448470873
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3101.9224888200242
Acceptance probability: 2.2759106655931856e-39
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3243:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2107919469784916, b_new = -1.057965101132813, c_new = 4.536112509233678
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4551.1773792242875
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3244:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3669195723888024, b_new = -0.8328113383836744, c_new = 5.536960351019187
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8640.34252098461
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3245:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0732462741463147, b_new = -1.382101037707527, c_new = 4.394640742084247
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14077.62462130054
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3246:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4136294606577273, b_new = -1.528714030171356, c_new = 4.6618744839343425
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7390.819190489399
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3247:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7445988078628254, b_new = -1.130982827687026, c_new = 4.530186714150404
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6088.584640163539
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3248:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6800022567136743, b_new = -1.5212935715903397, c_new = 5.705653291498642
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8043.777472528192
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3249:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.238813699675388, b_new = -1.9812622311603465, c_new = 4.336381608607749
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13840.61774968684
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3250:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.715641211177796, b_new = -1.3246917945628558, c_new = 4.9536212097944174
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7062.807997182696
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3251:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.531639989359223, b_new = -0.19350846869661253, c_new = 5.5391864149254655
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7561.639968695457
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3252:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2977471848085997, b_new = -0.9929681967656349, c_new = 5.469933831742049
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6699.059673946793
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3253:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.53481674206046, b_new = -0.7897378608888115, c_new = 4.699769489803407
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9175.488842056588
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3254:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.028361741018758, b_new = -1.0172407810982471, c_new = 5.19226026132945
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3046.3149499195874
Acceptance probability: 3.2151593900378433e-15
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3255:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0877914960731387, b_new = -0.3664694554481278, c_new = 5.753139789352217
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4342.940237318144
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3256:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0496910294912287, b_new = -1.7753578926302769, c_new = 5.190136694522687
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3106.373653569752
Acceptance probability: 2.6548434829169546e-41
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3257:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.540457519776423, b_new = -0.9039460673003628, c_new = 4.059788326729939
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9572.966882017934
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3258:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3840982338391354, b_new = -1.2866711261853585, c_new = 5.26818797088695
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7653.660407820273
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3259:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8981113776799883, b_new = -1.0690430480129043, c_new = 4.471402102744566
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3584.389688431171
Acceptance probability: 6.672870869069114e-249
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3260:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9233648583081, b_new = -1.812762478283736, c_new = 5.171130006188861
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4261.838119969556
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3261:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.011977002851629, b_new = -1.4360554353782908, c_new = 4.793199286227999
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3105.327035688978
Acceptance probability: 7.561000947649518e-41
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3262:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5071273537415397, b_new = -0.7869420522630373, c_new = 4.628548548638241
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9597.76226790221
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3263:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3412816971969557, b_new = -0.799057341251024, c_new = 5.153934826919321
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8061.398936269896
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3264:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.613662498447379, b_new = -0.8597229035934468, c_new = 4.926825984266209
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11565.428791223641
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3265:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.057341735332468, b_new = -1.0885023843892236, c_new = 4.4562842954849655
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3071.3222168362036
Acceptance probability: 4.432864724683988e-26
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3266:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9822406774006582, b_new = -0.3948875487107114, c_new = 5.137114587205966
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3176.817301045001
Acceptance probability: 6.772539373569327e-72
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3267:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2407903020022095, b_new = -0.5901254027021388, c_new = 4.772376576623495
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12016.546126812962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3268:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8379930320709015, b_new = -0.825597417783028, c_new = 4.8948733057105125
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3819.0244659591963
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3269:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.188708143891608, b_new = -0.13531846778272993, c_new = 4.439141898888041
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -15225.877214103999
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3270:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6289229951674784, b_new = -0.6095361657840797, c_new = 5.2192136973940295
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6843.4090812730055
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3271:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9727087114039605, b_new = -0.4913768933809133, c_new = 5.726518455086593
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3134.8496235202183
Acceptance probability: 1.1404659039573386e-53
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3272:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3319598119332716, b_new = -1.4927726092882332, c_new = 5.498250951276146
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6084.992375711303
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3273:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0688287126654474, b_new = -1.2288335156980554, c_new = 5.156958412023428
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3085.5692674133234
Acceptance probability: 2.879181408592039e-32
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3274:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.810243718252881, b_new = -1.1189459481350625, c_new = 4.985533112512961
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4688.513766202755
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3275:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.719085460789476, b_new = 0.5086942384050241, c_new = 5.099773828902312
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3445.8342149887244
Acceptance probability: 9.95841622384521e-189
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3276:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0554613915329605, b_new = -1.2807057404613809, c_new = 4.784427274248771
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3027.4529648951757
Acceptance probability: 4.998716672124397e-07
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3277:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.382729790793212, b_new = -1.5716112618710465, c_new = 5.455873428745581
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12119.301801773876
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3278:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9299911450295246, b_new = -0.8338419071381729, c_new = 5.498234439927748
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3084.883271320734
Acceptance probability: 5.717331143522851e-32
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3279:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9668667091377188, b_new = -1.0469595340189557, c_new = 5.416364454233277
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3053.079031846046
Acceptance probability: 3.7119237973388186e-18
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3280:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6978862186391956, b_new = -1.0684556277970534, c_new = 4.437206963400233
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6933.104383353437
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3281:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.074207369600471, b_new = -0.9550209019715594, c_new = 5.608539978131917
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3340.574448046622
Acceptance probability: 5.151411267494111e-143
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3282:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.056866682467157, b_new = -0.26326886738848154, c_new = 5.0003163696745165
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3925.907573204182
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3283:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.701128567806146, b_new = -0.30463830612551457, c_new = 4.7145534117490175
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12949.765176463203
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3284:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7932501526680538, b_new = -1.0117374531156569, c_new = 4.264403774733404
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14856.075526359164
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3285:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6909929803050234, b_new = -1.0514745823292884, c_new = 6.322749371613219
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12324.381358823908
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3286:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0329402294267207, b_new = -1.3212054456168145, c_new = 5.120434767444494
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Acceptance probability: 0.2432906044006623
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3287:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7600341088201805, b_new = -1.1182630842890768, c_new = 4.725815151006888
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -5674.804519686539
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3288:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9651272769875168, b_new = -1.9293476456175105, c_new = 5.194378427375213
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3911.8194523516427
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3289:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8668572533437033, b_new = -1.176449155173018, c_new = 5.327090922723258
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3908.1802736101813
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3290:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7879842362782594, b_new = -1.5325360970287703, c_new = 4.848516750363025
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -11978.821387358883
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3291:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0259036897761193, b_new = -2.094646877810945, c_new = 4.85636406692552
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3575.8670838411194
Acceptance probability: 1.3788198537318819e-244
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3292:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3776979069577076, b_new = -1.1831302602195375, c_new = 5.194304216235439
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -7774.6933363092885
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3293:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.297718334967008, b_new = -1.1094764496672893, c_new = 5.502738787228432
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -15033.536688464756
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3294:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9520219060648096, b_new = -0.4618065114397799, c_new = 5.701676835640353
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3080.780136135848
Acceptance probability: 1.42244989954127e-29
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3295:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.240276182540109, b_new = -1.545581338367592, c_new = 5.12771789918498
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -4236.971055379009
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3296:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2422441659492143, b_new = -0.7189272835128576, c_new = 4.970148299578193
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -6062.523103208476
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3297:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6513966463217464, b_new = -1.4656998029967188, c_new = 4.521064632142332
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -10847.470528798067
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3298:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.801838934899544, b_new = -2.0062266121981622, c_new = 6.1094377639767865
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -6662.360904881751
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3299:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1111500373338163, b_new = -1.1749618741350312, c_new = 5.180064030574385
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3353.055221869045
Acceptance probability: 8.043955979941001e-148
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3300:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.991923255119251, b_new = -1.7098004775142384, c_new = 5.238370226070139
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3368.9514653539527
Acceptance probability: 1.0041968547746215e-154
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3301:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.947570411763855, b_new = -0.28994433800683206, c_new = 5.9871112550156855
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -14592.283934887797
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3302:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5432107042642307, b_new = -1.3954224364526846, c_new = 4.510855214225731
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -9782.928645639413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3303:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.296889514233653, b_new = -0.8297368434017637, c_new = 5.023600590718647
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -15144.625536006482
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3304:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.852782148324527, b_new = -1.7763427872750528, c_new = 4.442878125987506
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -5609.269988973705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3305:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4989549202732286, b_new = -1.599871831355084, c_new = 5.8761133629925455
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -10897.419288413534
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3306:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.610007371544837, b_new = -0.8612040482414437, c_new = 5.763494736260744
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -11780.146552626818
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3307:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.820074513323004, b_new = -1.8653225275584742, c_new = 5.844176046401227
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -5990.473000607072
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3308:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.981836350172381, b_new = -1.6908150489063596, c_new = 5.6838576419613585
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3363.678067082756
Acceptance probability: 1.9589647751242862e-152
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3309:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3692124169642916, b_new = -0.5699073393559573, c_new = 4.1067085625013835
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -11026.263330608745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3310:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.205332869369781, b_new = -2.4075632196315677, c_new = 5.0715428871263075
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3123.6001171578637
Acceptance probability: 3.602097847891469e-48
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3311:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7630799437649527, b_new = -1.6420730501611478, c_new = 4.697078099633804
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -7039.3435578006765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3312:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.733435982382784, b_new = -1.1478772390356835, c_new = 5.123586767681348
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -6147.757832955739
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3313:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.718960848199095, b_new = -1.5575940290593544, c_new = 5.091140837653358
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -7587.61979856954
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3314:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7511974171723685, b_new = -0.6325388260940654, c_new = 5.318865401657392
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -4581.419594682698
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3315:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6518199147670187, b_new = -1.560095051258241, c_new = 5.075735440212316
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -10855.156745562412
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3316:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.600771123661524, b_new = -1.036142969421304, c_new = 5.034627090401521
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -11198.5805840658
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3317:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.128325397514541, b_new = -1.9621445920970657, c_new = 4.633991517988743
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -13436.458354655093
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3318:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7603244136363183, b_new = -1.313652707261102, c_new = 4.758905468716629
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -6162.948212266298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3319:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.35448429877633, b_new = -1.4343434659285317, c_new = 5.25000506477531
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -6625.162266702464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3320:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.686463007207848, b_new = -1.1067894538168175, c_new = 4.643489237569868
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -11733.73352672499
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3321:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.392062727463939, b_new = -1.4993958725737635, c_new = 5.341375742957346
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -7271.033624121419
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3322:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9287504966190223, b_new = -0.8771279496826616, c_new = 5.992657871488527
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3087.0013042466408
Acceptance probability: 2.826298300943855e-32
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3323:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.534966218825323, b_new = -1.3170708904103132, c_new = 4.902752083746031
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -9949.709517308047
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3324:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7912072054087926, b_new = -0.9990377291623809, c_new = 4.384975950173802
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -12568.181713152971
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3325:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5466875938432496, b_new = -2.1464166543268943, c_new = 5.591097628663572
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -11477.18510924523
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3326:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.604898883001336, b_new = -0.734328387301172, c_new = 5.524900582374586
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -7526.986127041324
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3327:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.150212332181139, b_new = -1.5322088488371066, c_new = 5.862364558665092
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3398.635068793611
Acceptance probability: 1.2894178556223508e-167
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3328:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.87313307676539, b_new = -1.135814956765292, c_new = 5.117630192689531
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3816.53064477505
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3329:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0171768959325918, b_new = -1.2435984288668993, c_new = 5.147972620413825
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3016.502788306868
Acceptance probability: 0.11704003754819024
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3330:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3933077492044865, b_new = -1.811469428091404, c_new = 5.261601098541544
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -12448.564250073414
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3331:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2401047642657375, b_new = -1.0133426421549847, c_new = 5.40835595606585
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -5412.902839030348
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3332:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.47895671185911, b_new = -0.9655489615067514, c_new = 6.008828740465621
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -10294.352273063561
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3333:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4042217505878996, b_new = -1.1470784708087447, c_new = 5.633815399493475
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -8565.495790812245
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3334:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.833917405444189, b_new = -1.6599657838245394, c_new = 5.2029303371425275
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -5415.7801675150995
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3335:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7278951703846253, b_new = -0.6109226453318202, c_new = 4.236585772942833
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -5229.448917329062
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3336:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1121181288762654, b_new = -1.822387159142216, c_new = 5.526782065519976
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3037.9915824246164
Acceptance probability: 5.443393675284556e-11
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3337:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3520637211238418, b_new = -0.7898767040846608, c_new = 5.2708945587837555
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -11216.172007748393
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3338:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.074076213922446, b_new = -1.650617993824433, c_new = 5.077234531778121
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -13587.434209451676
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3339:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7011208451050317, b_new = -1.304199532372834, c_new = 5.326373444179539
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -7167.718187546486
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3340:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.836929813909242, b_new = -1.1677359411240644, c_new = 5.026516837453618
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -4360.2511012055365
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3341:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5534734271659607, b_new = -1.921132582429112, c_new = 5.384270361810969
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -11041.99783034541
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3342:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7418084901132094, b_new = -1.9958042091841248, c_new = 5.006767100390111
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -8387.107900878898
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3343:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.106111683115253, b_new = -0.3723586677816575, c_new = 5.598201312971645
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -15025.937246379708
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3344:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8851686589724586, b_new = -1.786704371356337, c_new = 4.092015003294334
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -5147.341946182125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3345:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.421618974561907, b_new = -1.289843071607274, c_new = 6.047408717228451
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -8681.75054789572
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3346:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7097299461218105, b_new = -1.500590682943028, c_new = 4.240090946911312
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -7973.739000003301
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3347:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.842662437322813, b_new = -0.8219940448064247, c_new = 5.472449582142847
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -13384.923286597343
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3348:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.827590572719364, b_new = -1.4778708564920962, c_new = 5.6804856091884455
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -4957.705460967669
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3349:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.787092426672962, b_new = -0.8626093864882529, c_new = 5.48656096815543
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -4424.657343176353
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3350:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.851650521913532, b_new = -0.6949315931989246, c_new = 5.339224005934793
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3458.1444854804636
Acceptance probability: 1.8440911837493678e-193
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3351:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.069502930545406, b_new = -2.0876297327025157, c_new = 5.184431755687867
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3210.588881399635
Acceptance probability: 5.995359199903658e-86
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3352:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1841324287294346, b_new = -1.7016220007085134, c_new = 4.122750244038425
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3325.8017844646415
Acceptance probability: 5.514259028216973e-136
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3353:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.001742920701518, b_new = -1.3613221793776293, c_new = 4.5711033839854815
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3124.239814883596
Acceptance probability: 1.8999331199580552e-48
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3354:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9396085853362464, b_new = -1.0953174673727897, c_new = 4.743276324382705
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3247.0827112069665
Acceptance probability: 8.486845562203423e-102
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3355:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.115894903455919, b_new = -1.9590696334421822, c_new = 5.0005092402484275
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3046.888873941865
Acceptance probability: 7.444321734238344e-15
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3356:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4012353768125294, b_new = -1.1057966207034147, c_new = 5.165756446414791
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -11290.488189749929
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3357:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0200776199856207, b_new = -1.9253768720860722, c_new = 4.366842259384354
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3516.8976552110685
Acceptance probability: 5.618300747219044e-219
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3358:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2220931009994325, b_new = -1.829356242876687, c_new = 5.4608376391933
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -13542.402092004279
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3359:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9919947919182386, b_new = -1.1855605693619091, c_new = 6.339861949269111
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3022.8819386083906
Acceptance probability: 0.00019856590397748276
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3360:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.055090824295461, b_new = -2.118948152020436, c_new = 4.7500899379322945
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3385.2344822859095
Acceptance probability: 8.515192189327433e-162
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3361:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9793229672390886, b_new = -1.130211442251131, c_new = 5.643490368938528
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3039.821537909019
Acceptance probability: 8.732330718839633e-12
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3362:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1089337743635777, b_new = -1.4113746968320926, c_new = 5.8685134678329725
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3219.910933755937
Acceptance probability: 5.361660484221843e-90
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3363:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.992252530676475, b_new = -1.8183795366232611, c_new = 5.25406393227256
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3477.3830792940594
Acceptance probability: 8.138928977812824e-202
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3364:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.630615973441276, b_new = -1.0064926187004828, c_new = 5.427128312209982
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -11634.23954453735
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3365:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9558018989529167, b_new = -1.9850667011231056, c_new = 4.131700035539557
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -4405.189860414123
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3366:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.793796291422261, b_new = -2.0069568702999856, c_new = 4.945109768918793
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -7318.577627010375
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3367:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6304923590886182, b_new = -1.5619493849351684, c_new = 5.001758028333909
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -10618.054282002315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3368:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.856832461315981, b_new = -1.0618494767157047, c_new = 5.94854621009488
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3747.522757655942
Acceptance probability: 3.894e-319
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3369:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.747261620847546, b_new = -1.111381084538523, c_new = 5.601832245627544
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -5615.984536307125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3370:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.136294592615418, b_new = -1.7737194956068283, c_new = 5.480106674255369
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3114.4351613266444
Acceptance probability: 3.44227252327915e-44
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3371:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3534512612189364, b_new = -1.8324329511627568, c_new = 4.457777872173705
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -13008.144769456581
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3372:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8334483512605455, b_new = -1.0310354188820205, c_new = 4.309839358921733
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -14721.80108793994
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3373:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.247113551578369, b_new = -1.470392239421175, c_new = 5.273281148447266
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -4506.630648639802
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3374:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6554005821546656, b_new = -0.844744108591718, c_new = 5.93792635170568
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -6668.667401367526
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3375:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.391311027574605, b_new = -0.8300226766269494, c_new = 5.54185987365899
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -10802.364944839765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3376:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.838620663808887, b_new = -0.7804136808162999, c_new = 5.530292636175989
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3646.6459804786355
Acceptance probability: 2.5154939859256573e-275
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3377:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.595484436411797, b_new = -1.6435166515262343, c_new = 5.189966211747136
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -10156.673618494304
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3378:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9903530487671126, b_new = -1.327476299185983, c_new = 4.633928737052404
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -14321.611908043744
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3379:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.467627163634397, b_new = -2.3506853170116857, c_new = 5.926880953054834
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -6799.255699955668
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3380:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1757637838558184, b_new = -1.7790143078481941, c_new = 4.81847382280536
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3267.260888234707
Acceptance probability: 1.463778490883801e-110
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3381:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.922248468499334, b_new = -1.7874921932614813, c_new = 5.063862517128264
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -4259.399074216449
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3382:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.590029369597224, b_new = -1.4004245148689811, c_new = 5.630751372186756
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -9372.136626374302
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3383:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.741546069866387, b_new = -1.0495835849389827, c_new = 4.470025083334584
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -5960.2991318429595
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3384:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.519557762822257, b_new = -1.9376062766498423, c_new = 4.873295547698489
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -8424.398815073402
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3385:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.107539416218473, b_new = -0.7253048430102841, c_new = 3.751288247262585
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3605.8275566392676
Acceptance probability: 1.342268865851092e-257
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3386:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.112254163343231, b_new = -1.1022468281715077, c_new = 4.680228663823858
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3369.172091837072
Acceptance probability: 8.053821364167338e-155
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3387:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.933708712948049, b_new = -1.6408227147352112, c_new = 4.5808744063626845
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -12731.897576975496
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3388:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.625797056313391, b_new = -1.108332739603746, c_new = 4.289574825358777
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -8552.329750649635
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3389:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7327684837474364, b_new = -1.6571005814963085, c_new = 4.702516982356143
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -7736.961910131651
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3390:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5578962276859807, b_new = -0.91406223404162, c_new = 4.51862751845587
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -10819.955841827628
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3391:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.529811872000943, b_new = -1.5124899678599415, c_new = 4.390442377869039
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -9338.197384465624
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3392:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.550493137138989, b_new = -1.1910672412360386, c_new = 4.9086225564689165
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -10371.869298045196
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3393:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2518407664852087, b_new = -1.0640139493931866, c_new = 5.1633551153241335
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -5435.958852488694
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3394:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5451643862129405, b_new = -2.427878542990366, c_new = 4.8344226375105706
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -12256.116093096778
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3395:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0468478611595455, b_new = -1.8366434675296308, c_new = 5.217993805639082
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3148.57267794524
Acceptance probability: 5.141740530828406e-59
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3396:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4841750950817496, b_new = -0.8888234009390652, c_new = 5.272024860196295
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -9899.95024301763
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3397:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0613969987570844, b_new = -1.4980851187340578, c_new = 5.430226038662314
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -13995.926874449318
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3398:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.771772150441005, b_new = -1.6419585063323654, c_new = 5.177178600347572
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -11795.150703228106
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3399:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.046431925789336, b_new = -0.6970271709974424, c_new = 6.027455473470316
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -14617.4369843055
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3400:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.707196614646503, b_new = -1.2447626345182434, c_new = 4.993744007692508
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -7005.3067193677525
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3401:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.657017487445405, b_new = -1.0978021502334372, c_new = 4.913397972961262
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -7673.389642090417
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3402:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.130637881642573, b_new = -0.504633054530349, c_new = 4.312643412265699
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -4330.940458172514
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3403:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0981732342647437, b_new = -0.7134397941776836, c_new = 4.700684921235526
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -13139.238738805318
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3404:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8455901110762278, b_new = -1.5038487659044821, c_new = 4.689472948311568
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -14995.404977359976
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3405:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3486610728269204, b_new = -1.3460457429072414, c_new = 5.6475991429115195
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -6887.3833797115385
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3406:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.730546996032976, b_new = -0.6593301869946041, c_new = 5.212356576827659
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -5003.46984971855
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3407:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.436728404653993, b_new = -1.294143347024055, c_new = 4.943487341506664
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -8536.198021633054
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3408:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7579917459992895, b_new = -2.2720466086195765, c_new = 6.196600462143538
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -11044.616725964563
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3409:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3761072178370943, b_new = -1.4476379380362703, c_new = 4.450569406191307
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -6760.183932102586
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3410:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.816642763526446, b_new = -1.5408634801717023, c_new = 4.661857999279835
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -5643.89854601677
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3411:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7547389349566287, b_new = -1.2488118872597482, c_new = 4.993430866082077
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -6021.461806409275
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3412:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.125137746373511, b_new = -0.9741072054486372, c_new = 4.759570283545955
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3632.2283643013684
Acceptance probability: 4.593190218894524e-269
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3413:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.069540208814563, b_new = -0.8781984583413482, c_new = 5.0128441883101535
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3302.222020494068
Acceptance probability: 9.595078671017959e-126
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3414:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3645850848246988, b_new = -1.7062484817156887, c_new = 5.040196039083542
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -6053.594696259732
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3415:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0765227020959927, b_new = -0.916268478266917, c_new = 4.9040716209797415
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3304.3581545978627
Acceptance probability: 1.1332801606723744e-126
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3416:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.012650458213837, b_new = -2.6830613221153934, c_new = 5.031124252413525
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -4676.790226870738
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3417:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.654673474919207, b_new = -0.7640403764951679, c_new = 4.895332368317455
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -12043.691847637048
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3418:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8893718357393166, b_new = -2.0441930933860615, c_new = 5.100207855457591
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -5337.611417918812
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3419:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9716839150899466, b_new = -1.3752860975982302, c_new = 4.503701361050689
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -13229.691061565005
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3420:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.0090929490950735, b_new = -1.3403681198677055, c_new = 5.758780825504566
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -13753.28741223264
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3421:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.768382410121475, b_new = -1.2991157757153986, c_new = 5.8566097729941005
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -5581.021043352991
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3422:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.154670723209306, b_new = -1.5955104797724493, c_new = 5.171964375902482
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -14018.913886261147
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3423:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.255305311248141, b_new = -1.5029551626926365, c_new = 4.759233375839348
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -4448.235076462461
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3424:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.055603655399117, b_new = -1.5167504800006704, c_new = 5.673998964169588
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Acceptance probability: 2.8854952038696964
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3425:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.530511322277374, b_new = -1.7932451590272667, c_new = 5.771952176271863
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -10932.509067577606
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3426:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2289569971644947, b_new = -1.8546220229931005, c_new = 6.193648532526102
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3826.90211759692
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3427:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.577261631269572, b_new = -1.1432842310353681, c_new = 6.583431738517147
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -15153.123997412278
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3428:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.95311129926587, b_new = -1.9662399402763788, c_new = 5.174321697093089
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -4127.096919207874
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3429:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4901511900743003, b_new = -0.9016753166777666, c_new = 5.318039255303531
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -10328.755738878386
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3430:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3212011721544377, b_new = -1.133632170852585, c_new = 5.054429925054955
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -12086.257670435625
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3431:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.990581212718489, b_new = -2.2486211695647196, c_new = 4.993442282954823
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -12466.359830838464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3432:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0497100991584793, b_new = -0.6467608991792786, c_new = 6.263890032421312
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3576.3898530028737
Acceptance probability: 2.8330315377348472e-245
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3433:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4453026195566183, b_new = -1.6834430672541207, c_new = 5.2565726420939445
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -7830.301944671287
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3434:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.272720466572768, b_new = -0.5852073284531129, c_new = 4.810065282588317
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -7045.500412351283
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3435:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0746993869469272, b_new = -1.8106333213790378, c_new = 6.827607112461896
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3016.863721439572
Acceptance probability: 0.028272409840285395
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3436:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1715909010596888, b_new = -1.5569493254731517, c_new = 6.257758023375456
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -13307.174845513131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3437:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9087314477798523, b_new = -1.3123423161322445, c_new = 6.872738957312605
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3418.808881686843
Acceptance probability: 7.741011358178537e-177
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3438:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3989618154111936, b_new = -0.9090004754445403, c_new = 5.026071566894371
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -8844.220122974311
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3439:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4081111989456767, b_new = -1.3922675852523836, c_new = 5.8159096991276655
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -11502.97777216147
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3440:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.27748929967003, b_new = -2.038293281609279, c_new = 5.649735518092721
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -4042.4952015485414
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3441:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.05519199334516, b_new = -1.454669847356459, c_new = 5.935266737026689
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3019.8619871523697
Acceptance probability: 0.0014100437030861034
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3442:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.564815430904027, b_new = -1.7023775835922532, c_new = 4.97032502750536
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -10609.499439624342
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3443:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5137431979841502, b_new = -1.6252435739392206, c_new = 6.485692957623027
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -9560.268584557398
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3444:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3265145382814647, b_new = -1.8402070001513742, c_new = 5.083632262234844
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -13018.858355366783
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3445:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0074143388268304, b_new = -1.7588869101097597, c_new = 5.529226071900122
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3268.6375854806574
Acceptance probability: 1.2804510697236498e-111
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3446:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9908014290144034, b_new = -2.5339731578098172, c_new = 6.0587293321270215
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -4403.430441358045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3447:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.671073052301303, b_new = -1.64414586933439, c_new = 5.350456568152323
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -10983.035416886934
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3448:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5412228670135963, b_new = -1.0942115449128427, c_new = 4.538348643466353
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -10328.65267487899
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3449:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7860992681421193, b_new = -1.3236781602426222, c_new = 5.128902685499468
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -5537.230196056178
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3450:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3772644430841243, b_new = -0.4672092296922947, c_new = 5.8395807021838015
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -9864.061639998481
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3451:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2762368760558704, b_new = -2.3384968558156136, c_new = 5.687747491152214
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3637.0326156231904
Acceptance probability: 1.3044704207915433e-271
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3452:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.924166875497477, b_new = -1.6774746602666264, c_new = 5.710747625862117
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3900.567910817945
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3453:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5741501116541876, b_new = -1.4273154835106419, c_new = 5.776036713991099
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -9618.250125480281
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3454:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9241413653478086, b_new = -1.5559188922021836, c_new = 5.133009461497456
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3839.246102702906
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3455:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.406253783724827, b_new = -0.8866272808997216, c_new = 6.171833636702908
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -10550.117553965902
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3456:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7611851753282766, b_new = -1.0903280816558074, c_new = 6.4240994920281205
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -5062.673148045923
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3457:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7024488269714007, b_new = -1.9534537511870704, c_new = 4.953574041223997
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -9076.992468259614
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3458:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4065758935008796, b_new = -2.03919093401713, c_new = 5.294448303497596
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -12666.86896376123
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3459:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.990519376701722, b_new = -1.9367369169338708, c_new = 5.918388601256644
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3518.247646430862
Acceptance probability: 5.047669240550585e-220
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3460:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.425790857570072, b_new = -1.6643394192487229, c_new = 6.289328040270369
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -7876.838148800056
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3461:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9906289573120683, b_new = -1.4400333946068744, c_new = 5.842075142568004
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3112.9160568151315
Acceptance probability: 5.449587125412215e-44
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3462:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.464753699899761, b_new = -1.338932091744541, c_new = 4.917296242637501
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -11113.752561341638
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3463:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6067645601885037, b_new = -1.7543678893616845, c_new = 6.038035251025874
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -9767.110118995268
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3464:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.041646009582355, b_new = -2.207704924130329, c_new = 5.603054957364617
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3440.404212863317
Acceptance probability: 3.236417492847298e-186
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3465:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.814476008853327, b_new = -1.6712117200628638, c_new = 5.341533207265029
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -5778.299489074053
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3466:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.055435317699826, b_new = -2.1690366482564096, c_new = 5.60855286812866
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3302.766381788714
Acceptance probability: 1.9293680246565833e-126
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3467:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2640480329453716, b_new = -1.5765182585985134, c_new = 5.28680486110538
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -13027.821703412854
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3468:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.981656429984107, b_new = -2.0732453397352857, c_new = 5.826008431692067
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3801.5747776777303
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3469:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8254216493592033, b_new = -1.4283339914974913, c_new = 5.383468141241374
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -4974.878805135444
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3470:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.527368691418522, b_new = -1.1796290012843507, c_new = 5.6241660140604495
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -10348.48315853062
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3471:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.079364823846021, b_new = -0.8033210966448855, c_new = 5.995032503167022
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3611.5110119596393
Acceptance probability: 1.5824349861748828e-260
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3472:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.804553077315098, b_new = -1.664155769384998, c_new = 5.235042967328974
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -6001.778922509043
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3473:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.015080179385166, b_new = -2.0394046270622543, c_new = 4.986679016226876
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -12847.025184775714
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3474:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7213260767872156, b_new = -0.84906666610217, c_new = 4.9117332968421605
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -5704.917000939093
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3475:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4934556424771155, b_new = -1.5821531715055177, c_new = 5.410668996959645
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -11080.040398913963
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3476:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.838350078367247, b_new = -2.246768663890014, c_new = 5.816624638173138
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -6664.574977353936
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3477:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.836149405639715, b_new = -2.0821990112412947, c_new = 6.417739601932179
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -15120.662826015057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3478:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6071070048197797, b_new = -1.473591577944264, c_new = 6.1911613495590485
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -9068.975792783243
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3479:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0638967476124908, b_new = -1.2711244156843367, c_new = 5.691128384464792
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3080.8191339180576
Acceptance probability: 4.741110752180299e-30
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3480:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3118408020799985, b_new = -2.9228483938937817, c_new = 5.7758213752449095
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -14222.605760446662
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3481:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2234129788524113, b_new = -1.0312938968410565, c_new = 5.278792769597275
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -5022.047128481161
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3482:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.161923075978648, b_new = -0.5995003449680918, c_new = 6.072244334620446
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -5159.453283494597
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3483:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0949697461087484, b_new = -1.447459036602702, c_new = 5.349004658072248
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3094.966225378426
Acceptance probability: 3.403112798506562e-36
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3484:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.618470543286871, b_new = -2.0472073942484266, c_new = 4.573210760713443
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -9523.699211874356
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3485:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5242671268093164, b_new = -2.2043856855793007, c_new = 4.982983758959405
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -7926.93029704959
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3486:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9122228446246967, b_new = -1.231246784775084, c_new = 6.350187742908633
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3373.2660815682884
Acceptance probability: 4.653551093509099e-157
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3487:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5038753974885872, b_new = -1.7780337732677387, c_new = 4.826754852706
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -8510.972458636943
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3488:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.129370018586124, b_new = -1.730110907608368, c_new = 6.95248894265802
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3217.9367269391805
Acceptance probability: 1.3380307047459781e-89
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3489:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.272643521111084, b_new = -1.2918114435569767, c_new = 6.405107429114112
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -5701.778438125051
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3490:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7043775675632706, b_new = -0.16510763829848774, c_new = 6.521430680283796
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -13668.571807741788
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3491:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8355008622606057, b_new = -2.269236959809417, c_new = 5.366706141864299
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -6979.970142699978
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3492:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.557327340647173, b_new = -1.711506517732396, c_new = 5.554110589410916
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -9673.959123749448
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3493:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.94861469867716, b_new = -1.1200311110507097, c_new = 6.253707632854073
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3103.0971573879715
Acceptance probability: 1.0015149575806707e-39
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3494:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3786583614330286, b_new = -1.9382410090299622, c_new = 6.988033245367663
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -6419.961076688402
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3495:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.793116032466565, b_new = -0.7187471680814554, c_new = 6.147943017256156
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3970.1528597701645
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3496:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4231303549509335, b_new = -1.9545302970927994, c_new = 5.920259909594945
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -12226.426388547508
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3497:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9513754468579396, b_new = -1.4930146968611584, c_new = 6.1403124191931635
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3345.362433206922
Acceptance probability: 6.112023211856146e-145
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3498:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.490596511962438, b_new = -1.6443554111147143, c_new = 5.556020894104542
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -11178.480281637485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3499:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7144018399928123, b_new = -1.5921634919734455, c_new = 5.139331881291331
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -11391.729609049653
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3500:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6352745000135815, b_new = -0.3600076890833048, c_new = 5.667366925018279
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -5952.464515881353
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3501:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.405465882937249, b_new = -1.9461140726537922, c_new = 6.443158222463036
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -12204.973491664143
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3502:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.323760994128433, b_new = -0.7631629501520629, c_new = 5.695447616664515
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -8014.238439303246
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3503:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8349183494137735, b_new = -0.9450513196024669, c_new = 5.681338086285421
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -13247.980497030381
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3504:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7280066971949584, b_new = -1.9665108200915316, c_new = 5.68301402534996
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -8304.020277219273
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3505:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4836218108903916, b_new = -1.1190227972037827, c_new = 5.247010661892706
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -10367.840323365119
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3506:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.836129454542607, b_new = -0.5463437643386074, c_new = 5.756867552373672
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3395.7389712782833
Acceptance probability: 8.089701428249717e-167
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3507:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.659439907353957, b_new = -1.966762411572686, c_new = 5.325323339892425
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -9713.402713635336
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3508:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.670899445428445, b_new = -1.2069480837517625, c_new = 4.899978887821622
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -11527.15346789347
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3509:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9001727965883335, b_new = -2.038607704849383, c_new = 5.890069562183327
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -4873.373829504672
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3510:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1945511680742764, b_new = -2.178913197371637, c_new = 5.422688560916304
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3168.6369548011594
Acceptance probability: 3.4441739548544417e-68
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3511:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.223702824367821, b_new = -0.6559368194431785, c_new = 5.370647213633443
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -5987.218895233476
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3512:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1427559616167033, b_new = -1.4517296832270512, c_new = 4.667332050409614
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3286.1946437350966
Acceptance probability: 3.0368928490137517e-119
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3513:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3936788709936265, b_new = -1.2773320305730236, c_new = 5.942259286358629
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -11414.86578398882
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3514:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.636838506499024, b_new = -1.4886059241604652, c_new = 5.975011954507384
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -8673.293322370053
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3515:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.221822861496202, b_new = -0.6795956802157206, c_new = 5.665756360662566
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -5994.457282491962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3516:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6162450508565187, b_new = -1.010602450089778, c_new = 5.034303157315737
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -11383.880047211172
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3517:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0178156675206638, b_new = -0.838809878328543, c_new = 6.334171787443547
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3181.4066145006545
Acceptance probability: 9.801495276759434e-74
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3518:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.875929437781272, b_new = -1.6523668638240916, c_new = 5.841012963739659
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -4483.210857291344
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3519:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.7381324594437, b_new = -1.3426434840603196, c_new = 5.30023042708566
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -15937.95950053142
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3520:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.304569842382798, b_new = -2.111893399668271, c_new = 5.56192042425435
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -4268.843695504471
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3521:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.17550951246424, b_new = -0.7885896427035195, c_new = 6.062833514940684
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -12408.116798991017
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3522:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.163832188564713, b_new = -1.5027660992279905, c_new = 5.291159257173487
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3465.6944491378285
Acceptance probability: 3.3624395073679323e-197
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3523:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.115860833164402, b_new = -1.6609826095064364, c_new = 6.436879612649118
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3145.443359005739
Acceptance probability: 4.07320011809964e-58
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3524:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.008814974710102, b_new = -0.654834037961849, c_new = 5.316492469298437
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -14329.917927608516
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3525:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.535327372830437, b_new = -1.7537943092183705, c_new = 5.616614589366997
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -10851.934005753077
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3526:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4540573939958104, b_new = -1.0742072246894416, c_new = 6.059090950884025
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -9735.674811322948
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3527:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6638501660168954, b_new = -1.299231343098376, c_new = 5.150782887715644
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -11396.596884649125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3528:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9585189625592307, b_new = -1.6975374089462574, c_new = 6.095592426874445
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -13184.693412710414
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3529:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.086381538105489, b_new = -0.9398042909597157, c_new = 6.445921707830319
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3591.5869921714507
Acceptance probability: 7.115701601344252e-252
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3530:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.638196773757416, b_new = -0.7252332623258003, c_new = 6.084881435115989
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -12317.479098067852
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3531:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6478534762535397, b_new = -1.6273144124313146, c_new = 6.273886835875452
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -11057.170578162622
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3532:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1487791788120205, b_new = -1.8596594015520505, c_new = 5.280396346168822
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3117.0513826839588
Acceptance probability: 8.717950415164362e-46
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3533:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3117297521292652, b_new = -2.4524152468660336, c_new = 4.079293616379061
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3676.3515149605096
Acceptance probability: 1.0950985882744573e-288
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3534:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2338396010711934, b_new = -1.5291835879524738, c_new = 6.0498180523620055
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -4387.673902584945
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3535:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5235805903963424, b_new = -1.7464541121775228, c_new = 6.826374181498639
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -9561.142385590905
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3536:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.700170883714619, b_new = -1.758388566953205, c_new = 5.305263374846322
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -8445.371275130305
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3537:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2012882499252444, b_new = -1.0776345715323705, c_new = 4.844952134202537
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -12916.533065505473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3538:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.219870099565055, b_new = -1.9047092247820836, c_new = 6.2258102599913885
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3668.2630186930655
Acceptance probability: 3.5665023535175545e-285
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3539:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1924211592270955, b_new = -1.247563520807252, c_new = 5.482410558978922
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -4163.521161825793
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3540:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6071978524191266, b_new = -1.5968517011996899, c_new = 5.8196383449454
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -9486.150017945609
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3541:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.451112857299875, b_new = -1.1384794636037072, c_new = 5.445759676129092
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -10725.240071926099
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3542:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6343762593660487, b_new = -1.159289356766899, c_new = 5.415771869086644
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -8089.141330743768
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3543:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7769764328857245, b_new = -1.3977118247019389, c_new = 5.895058873594151
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -5642.956923055939
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3544:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.312300768127993, b_new = -1.8377800769159314, c_new = 5.915544711793993
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -5003.0034399607885
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3545:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4060821479372416, b_new = -1.853498254891921, c_new = 6.166868321921732
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -6918.134841102886
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3546:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.258206894602623, b_new = -2.0321447047139554, c_new = 5.5757558277841515
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3808.482121365127
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3547:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.540502229479399, b_new = -1.2618225624217785, c_new = 5.640329102507328
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -9786.971568350082
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3548:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4474165295532204, b_new = -1.2346470388988728, c_new = 4.4287205894268045
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -8686.641021018691
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3549:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.083282381586924, b_new = -0.81276956393255, c_new = 5.566067450625942
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3560.5860006783782
Acceptance probability: 2.069079922534321e-238
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3550:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6421878562872667, b_new = -1.4485171080531372, c_new = 5.152949989345003
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -10963.605631408765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3551:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9734452416342734, b_new = -1.859128709838316, c_new = 5.469551320811087
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3663.4551155017957
Acceptance probability: 4.368057437264469e-283
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3552:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.934501480509126, b_new = -2.1774606178014357, c_new = 6.3137114136537695
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -4484.690259123951
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3553:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0714408450398096, b_new = -1.5627638911249047, c_new = 6.415426610578011
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3038.451735402814
Acceptance probability: 1.1907140777762275e-11
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3554:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.69004179452391, b_new = -1.349266882144538, c_new = 5.108667190270297
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -11536.054864948244
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3555:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4755777025568397, b_new = -1.920378259289669, c_new = 5.651665779708583
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -11786.346447575874
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3556:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1609985304973645, b_new = -1.3582542143106668, c_new = 5.394149651098774
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3617.0710668119436
Acceptance probability: 6.0901043601231396e-263
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3557:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1940070563478153, b_new = -0.7533602218618406, c_new = 5.825606936425823
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -5304.070265776354
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3558:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.18046932127538, b_new = -1.678081372764005, c_new = 5.219850274963858
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -13657.882952586227
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3559:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.954287890683153, b_new = -1.5834513247362323, c_new = 5.442940157131944
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3511.4541249786153
Acceptance probability: 4.502770047419848e-217
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3560:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.983230355353413, b_new = -1.4595740431744364, c_new = 5.813368779177854
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3158.8448112731526
Acceptance probability: 6.162529034633933e-64
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3561:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9085191462329862, b_new = -1.8830586225252317, c_new = 5.770747744099129
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -4452.441049222404
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3562:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.045158751625171, b_new = -2.197180930907937, c_new = 5.557182229362284
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3409.344769228305
Acceptance probability: 9.977219377960337e-173
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3563:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7431213274475805, b_new = -1.5088310899158626, c_new = 5.306908913480843
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -11792.713667268707
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3564:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.962756356979234, b_new = -1.671394486144449, c_new = 5.318968756975625
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3558.0369209961746
Acceptance probability: 2.647454509231407e-237
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3565:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7150885600410732, b_new = -0.5347735258393259, c_new = 5.968579215544897
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -13095.119774919516
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3566:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7196995538370743, b_new = -2.12948687192699, c_new = 5.640308683802249
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -10760.356476432893
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3567:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6616069281729207, b_new = -1.987616376762169, c_new = 5.5195775516244545
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -10378.288970161491
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3568:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5598400782740365, b_new = -1.3820116887557232, c_new = 5.547798737728281
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -9803.801642002976
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3569:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3829934227311664, b_new = -0.6182665582791518, c_new = 5.36178684759366
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -10573.462039849386
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3570:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0292474397355362, b_new = -1.2264548572119982, c_new = 5.16987118037
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Acceptance probability: 2.9458308102489874
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3571:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.202499129440391, b_new = -1.1208238440506864, c_new = 4.799678397398319
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4371.103704617417
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3572:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3443117619667535, b_new = -1.0020606000620234, c_new = 4.6815560429971175
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7375.344117841379
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3573:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3201717516653977, b_new = -0.6223818946814137, c_new = 4.669721770433652
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7917.9653913736765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3574:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5066329463586143, b_new = -1.0742917613810214, c_new = 4.519908310822763
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10234.969162177073
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3575:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1024364610175224, b_new = -1.597518294295873, c_new = 5.690399726661513
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3076.6940614311907
Acceptance probability: 9.957917386273541e-29
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3576:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5979783890769954, b_new = -1.2981981164978038, c_new = 5.357417826056068
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10831.488621128061
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3577:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1698432899263644, b_new = -1.4027163917894707, c_new = 5.665422991964585
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3695.9682894194098
Acceptance probability: 1.1240574768526291e-297
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3578:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9985839820624767, b_new = 0.1751350204504465, c_new = 5.090048143281711
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -15002.98038198685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3579:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.835289377388507, b_new = -2.0269841045727306, c_new = 5.964938977642768
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11954.617434226962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3580:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5618658358837, b_new = -1.1199321716969672, c_new = 5.113217777684162
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10685.520144011643
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3581:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.260776414345185, b_new = -0.9088744259258918, c_new = 5.113246689209268
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5997.150093011499
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3582:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.139794048137161, b_new = -0.9335961157457335, c_new = 4.927250396955844
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13097.050684147029
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3583:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2911963354650595, b_new = -1.4691602930463739, c_new = 4.827430249656136
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5127.209682229336
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3584:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.656520816397024, b_new = -0.8087310882800893, c_new = 5.315900219038182
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6768.465581485978
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3585:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6308868677972543, b_new = -1.607834843363401, c_new = 5.861238468733079
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9113.83300912882
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3586:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3811783988642214, b_new = -1.7866040188169108, c_new = 5.0374864348650235
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6187.560566748808
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3587:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3670674951220754, b_new = -0.3464342748899908, c_new = 4.989330687523034
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9659.823609248397
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3588:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.2219220643705615, b_new = -0.7217063807904531, c_new = 4.577296714527731
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14903.982909958817
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3589:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.096911143498941, b_new = -2.2510874741130404, c_new = 5.090731058003039
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3202.326305567131
Acceptance probability: 2.733871776780919e-83
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3590:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8779032119688446, b_new = -1.2513760203056807, c_new = 4.203718577807033
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4138.172618086845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3591:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3673100023488263, b_new = -1.394773211876645, c_new = 5.363360725299028
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12007.310656157519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3592:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8571530712256865, b_new = -1.503945503527781, c_new = 4.526625230331453
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4855.599046907002
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3593:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.413798224431284, b_new = -1.6296105278479405, c_new = 5.418385471710107
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11953.860038934474
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3594:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.133241657878408, b_new = -0.044005297035428104, c_new = 4.688975527518513
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5494.247134890522
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3595:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2549263874594634, b_new = 0.1737353848117993, c_new = 4.603544855117806
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8786.39871727625
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3596:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.141922428620481, b_new = -1.998624421518357, c_new = 5.238626679425433
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3060.013459547584
Acceptance probability: 1.747679820880685e-21
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3597:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7075883628336705, b_new = -1.781031737011405, c_new = 5.246479785764146
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8383.442993512039
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3598:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.700711385847642, b_new = -0.6949254762459246, c_new = 4.225785052326536
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5960.726584360148
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3599:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6318996693561554, b_new = -1.5104616718660058, c_new = 5.595671042533084
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -15460.878538903831
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3600:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.3163716869027415, b_new = -1.5932733427813912, c_new = 5.3419635031354025
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -16301.469865516894
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3601:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.205638141722117, b_new = -0.9935781489843278, c_new = 6.159949528140625
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12441.457486717642
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3602:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2242303242539574, b_new = -0.9479664318675034, c_new = 6.020559677042096
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5473.205606289412
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3603:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8362382168797997, b_new = -0.49756339518447845, c_new = 5.536530338412157
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3373.919178892243
Acceptance probability: 8.22129292749155e-158
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3604:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7990567649395643, b_new = -0.6778985421267096, c_new = 4.246343153494141
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12979.345433003986
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3605:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1336890645623683, b_new = -0.4015548449743166, c_new = 4.781671695868235
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4706.209471659033
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3606:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2731357877778318, b_new = -0.963176706387842, c_new = 5.766866112293536
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6359.76880799265
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3607:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8113426393470053, b_new = -0.49632264570783846, c_new = 5.297500757102762
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3612.8703644166835
Acceptance probability: 1.3796178507792436e-261
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3608:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.075498987183732, b_new = -1.7180464058252414, c_new = 5.529667010961539
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3021.253928040845
Acceptance probability: 0.00011899056490450306
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3609:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.833209167921528, b_new = -1.7004061420463685, c_new = 4.832676594490942
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5660.7007503148525
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3610:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.033378937809666, b_new = -0.33537706814253665, c_new = 5.538459816382221
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3677.16020465615
Acceptance probability: 1.6559070173794002e-289
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3611:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.473336045535966, b_new = -1.3751010404579944, c_new = 3.8318406021633002
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8599.076482552484
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3612:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2799681038810973, b_new = -0.9234959319370395, c_new = 4.865730299822432
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12160.25985850459
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3613:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.883415210811766, b_new = -0.37411819568616733, c_new = 3.893617369967246
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3146.4396310725388
Acceptance probability: 5.105667005824884e-59
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3614:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.47443168329652, b_new = -0.570493347205488, c_new = 5.059306039755635
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10689.210274611421
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3615:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.251365650778538, b_new = -0.6340395168938844, c_new = 4.797114372225813
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -15109.861620943833
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3616:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.885681199387166, b_new = -1.2537566880362474, c_new = 4.774029324354685
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3913.147695297541
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3617:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7815670724738055, b_new = -1.4508174474610092, c_new = 4.922853117435596
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12059.647980356156
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3618:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.457023396231886, b_new = -1.1853116953954794, c_new = 4.678834244506554
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10995.4499690098
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3619:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.502646489060468, b_new = -1.8300840474432838, c_new = 5.579612272620597
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11377.97964603185
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3620:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2332124562298, b_new = -1.5952152273831048, c_new = 5.087749350625335
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4052.943818307884
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3621:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.459025673198945, b_new = -0.5580311611067917, c_new = 5.091705986492035
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9628.109295499413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3622:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.334253362243562, b_new = -1.1982439205967819, c_new = 5.637075718535227
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11908.485586246856
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3623:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8064512942823505, b_new = -1.8324310711120033, c_new = 4.404852170545443
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6756.863180734435
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3624:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.11522723631163, b_new = -0.8316337838266094, c_new = 4.107746374347127
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3606.4317850863126
Acceptance probability: 8.629751290280862e-259
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3625:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9632109900631938, b_new = -0.4424719923396707, c_new = 4.653837935509428
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14181.663818297697
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3626:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9979900509714676, b_new = -1.1779145116060274, c_new = 4.294731226663399
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3072.186722383196
Acceptance probability: 9.029859553407607e-27
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3627:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.197404467746994, b_new = -1.5209838758969962, c_new = 5.366543190749985
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3784.14252961717
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3628:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1996827883652172, b_new = -2.0115851311384216, c_new = 5.029666871656717
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3268.1204108302095
Acceptance probability: 7.290566640443713e-112
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3629:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9611202435260715, b_new = -1.3462460143607666, c_new = 5.073526604328899
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3275.9908051521516
Acceptance probability: 2.7841489090722236e-115
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3630:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2848972361991318, b_new = -0.6680516691356552, c_new = 4.895827686416485
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11740.62435865221
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3631:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.788989428056649, b_new = -1.047658022589038, c_new = 5.616530336313614
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14607.558411173492
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3632:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.196253507677276, b_new = -1.5678975019047956, c_new = 3.9360732302504617
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3517.4164264540923
Acceptance probability: 3.934389371036598e-220
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3633:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4624848777705295, b_new = -1.8978891251332621, c_new = 4.750004025797925
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7445.532475774118
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3634:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3965444639759657, b_new = -0.6099616725830612, c_new = 4.894581859986177
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9478.482772147681
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3635:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4960675306756026, b_new = -1.074484463102665, c_new = 5.394062740735228
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10087.332046231859
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3636:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1171513131361435, b_new = -1.0894262177571352, c_new = 5.86106904968907
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3596.1124300551664
Acceptance probability: 2.6159969080425528e-254
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3637:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0544454512345434, b_new = -1.1296551822756418, c_new = 4.921809285521707
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13774.188101953187
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3638:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.683274083844793, b_new = -0.8388035473646256, c_new = 5.577484672792833
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6213.843001449577
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3639:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1429011095937227, b_new = -1.7195012285330735, c_new = 5.111661575547715
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3148.8053722472846
Acceptance probability: 4.7931845269239474e-60
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3640:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.133062988025377, b_new = -0.8251804308044897, c_new = 5.1143820820683175
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12958.920799880085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3641:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.319110778284138, b_new = -0.6467182694537288, c_new = 5.7858444736434596
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8286.72176754675
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3642:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4775908366106503, b_new = -1.4589015758381128, c_new = 5.284063186744751
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11071.069971709814
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3643:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.311650920485242, b_new = -1.271518241296619, c_new = 5.244861446376232
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6153.109453334089
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3644:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5396445816009905, b_new = -0.6806838300336202, c_new = 4.3522544308142095
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8975.110021828046
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3645:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.236791578025151, b_new = -0.614322131920635, c_new = 4.613777474074464
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12124.484361384959
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3646:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.644876565791161, b_new = -1.8013910452559885, c_new = 5.019736349688625
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9670.51677046254
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3647:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.654706634282396, b_new = -1.2677690551885719, c_new = 4.522395411451844
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8329.35320148234
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3648:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6760802257308223, b_new = -0.6867946242061185, c_new = 5.334159489872299
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6056.332635953677
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3649:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8387498751499898, b_new = -1.4740361625145586, c_new = 5.546966435345878
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4798.123828463775
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3650:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.487535773731473, b_new = -1.4735387320155187, c_new = 5.003419777858947
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11080.234680999227
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3651:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.136383199907827, b_new = -1.0491296298236747, c_new = 4.670735367163729
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3637.1644256236573
Acceptance probability: 3.881343501819169e-272
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3652:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7416015346349392, b_new = -1.1796205152074903, c_new = 5.371643748580511
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14925.506891088886
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3653:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.357043048930174, b_new = -1.8348286373353635, c_new = 4.2195516703129154
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5348.735469512568
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3654:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7858380412088737, b_new = -1.1555290151572422, c_new = 4.942910245550268
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12477.900476798513
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3655:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9883466827446066, b_new = -2.2737067374194604, c_new = 4.364152761269201
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4421.627199375169
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3656:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.481494816202575, b_new = -2.634621582095622, c_new = 6.054973059158829
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6413.064462127736
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3657:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.585654085765924, b_new = -1.2917531791703027, c_new = 4.864502625731102
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9469.763023915639
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3658:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0319609856105676, b_new = -1.1055650874461755, c_new = 5.578256830331133
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3044.847767759652
Acceptance probability: 6.742766641204392e-15
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3659:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7544927840840976, b_new = -0.814015036577888, c_new = 5.185014708838913
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12771.807348477028
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3660:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.865604261407099, b_new = -0.9703722414237304, c_new = 5.433509043655334
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3623.420414381473
Acceptance probability: 3.6135188247010815e-266
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3661:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.582111949265446, b_new = -1.6019272356325753, c_new = 5.167281681029455
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10097.65006315397
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3662:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.961422615674693, b_new = -2.0442702788627054, c_new = 4.681017896180713
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4281.7259650500355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3663:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5996729716016502, b_new = -1.491165795765945, c_new = 5.168415116646775
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9597.997359455043
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3664:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.023295832754411, b_new = -1.5617794018965097, c_new = 4.891048920761129
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13387.98412604722
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3665:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.681647634508519, b_new = -1.704042387766199, c_new = 5.512960575566966
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8576.439253367827
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3666:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.90953151223708, b_new = -0.7567478536848793, c_new = 5.559029480179607
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3124.8078156587385
Acceptance probability: 1.26657395796063e-49
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3667:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.780077718581832, b_new = -1.1301897978264648, c_new = 5.652524411811643
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5034.135836457182
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3668:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.119845394909526, b_new = -0.5862845764574937, c_new = 5.346775655553389
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4286.36801297541
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3669:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3814841626150893, b_new = -1.6708914394684258, c_new = 5.694667221007959
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6720.672661473732
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3670:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7958002069783716, b_new = -1.153520398523943, c_new = 4.048656074127429
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12321.059585807052
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3671:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.317935453474491, b_new = -1.1208304643131308, c_new = 5.835469041587835
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11872.808325770857
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3672:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7897944419701393, b_new = -1.5801770251680691, c_new = 4.447123915027762
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11827.679119877741
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3673:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6771524064937453, b_new = -1.801030075828319, c_new = 4.798666992316126
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10639.751918523309
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3674:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9997495344421043, b_new = -1.655918563050528, c_new = 4.108258493770196
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3430.102840557346
Acceptance probability: 3.271040251034877e-182
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3675:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1867746030975597, b_new = -2.619728074986422, c_new = 5.02144059780067
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3123.094481319333
Acceptance probability: 7.02622743434228e-49
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3676:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.354745229956316, b_new = -1.7450838189954827, c_new = 4.882688917474856
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5708.292373362527
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3677:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8550152990948985, b_new = -1.1314626097943221, c_new = 4.201960972590362
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12764.742727340978
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3678:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6327150631952647, b_new = -1.2463122507955342, c_new = 5.753429245479771
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11373.627072539399
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3679:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1095640081924865, b_new = -1.1251961447005352, c_new = 4.454279425081559
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3305.341994120052
Acceptance probability: 4.98463145315463e-128
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3680:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2671438763589657, b_new = -0.548310096328005, c_new = 4.415350249406844
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6872.053178497533
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3681:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.335746265177172, b_new = -1.630428917757421, c_new = 4.67722542016514
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12790.185232875085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3682:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.651201519888334, b_new = -1.3953935178054109, c_new = 4.618644432009051
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8695.936710001246
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3683:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.193540489198219, b_new = -1.5443519665668908, c_new = 4.914099259275338
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3641.222837288699
Acceptance probability: 6.705579077307602e-274
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3684:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9042814717547647, b_new = -2.284384924228381, c_new = 5.455488864875643
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5522.983621629955
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3685:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.645464700399197, b_new = -1.033895440500846, c_new = 5.122758522873928
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7654.743805900775
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3686:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.346609369808335, b_new = -1.7566481498758615, c_new = 5.142986284084571
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5599.903652175301
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3687:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9832787043600275, b_new = -1.1083793786234983, c_new = 4.553022176953133
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3071.461840483085
Acceptance probability: 1.8642030096555884e-26
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3688:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5124375607872445, b_new = -1.082363800709211, c_new = 5.280088064789914
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10241.392418972722
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3689:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9656168466356627, b_new = -1.4658447613666161, c_new = 3.8952323892556846
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12957.014867493524
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3690:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7813609634874794, b_new = -1.410217867935908, c_new = 5.039755091058829
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5881.780718562448
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3691:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1640135879755453, b_new = -0.4621387077966459, c_new = 5.5013705077479145
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5333.055705270282
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3692:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7989902814622405, b_new = -1.4570141848491471, c_new = 4.908937895321264
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5693.472708328146
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3693:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.81485496267845, b_new = -1.3877746321556441, c_new = 5.517249061258124
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12525.385900947078
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3694:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.867010933161911, b_new = -1.2015285410435965, c_new = 5.348672338934137
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13042.424952354082
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3695:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.301185859463844, b_new = -1.357810624479562, c_new = 5.697967854424681
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5866.79971949926
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3696:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5532962821650664, b_new = -0.10106001828313604, c_new = 4.982370061865539
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12231.68593735505
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3697:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0255409520364376, b_new = -0.5150613653309972, c_new = 4.724066214369574
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3285.86114576452
Acceptance probability: 1.4389907331550326e-119
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3698:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.172117691397464, b_new = -1.1504211524868952, c_new = 5.588090346727263
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4078.87411092445
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3699:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9683350300873435, b_new = -1.717323109869063, c_new = 5.498906402420827
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3531.0822487484033
Acceptance probability: 4.5696835369817754e-226
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3700:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.241031030660847, b_new = -0.9680436436512253, c_new = 5.590463328193509
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5605.097365899717
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3701:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9439826579527684, b_new = -1.0472298325200589, c_new = 5.18603838587245
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3149.4151399302336
Acceptance probability: 2.6049860907332753e-60
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3702:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8576408148378674, b_new = 0.5552244813786802, c_new = 5.30820430315244
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3265.2301528896683
Acceptance probability: 1.312152641037607e-110
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3703:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.922897555516511, b_new = -1.528710911534514, c_new = 4.624948364180553
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3922.086445154682
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3704:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.790573894088542, b_new = -1.8956652942424592, c_new = 5.410589418248095
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11651.385040142988
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3705:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0487442950319337, b_new = -0.9684636412402635, c_new = 5.662155087154723
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3179.0955612960706
Acceptance probability: 3.3555382133586686e-73
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3706:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.336902754003503, b_new = -0.7357161122120873, c_new = 5.441878111720245
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -15410.955851257408
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3707:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4912170222906154, b_new = -1.4906496470920507, c_new = 5.502723193199464
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10904.00778362468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3708:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0173932324354853, b_new = -0.734299238742248, c_new = 4.314411373602929
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3074.993207342889
Acceptance probability: 5.455569138881022e-28
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3709:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.271177194370652, b_new = -1.6341020160680921, c_new = 4.974941410666295
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13141.77472312903
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3710:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8550050140791896, b_new = -0.9580980987729584, c_new = 4.7774571425392995
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13115.314791021803
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3711:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.296350284537967, b_new = -1.1844677420684073, c_new = 5.591081079650661
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6186.823958954374
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3712:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1898223470515306, b_new = -0.8826704854054304, c_new = 4.53834360567714
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4564.867582365641
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3713:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8904156283668656, b_new = -0.7148405054075769, c_new = 5.716214176112041
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3180.752072716862
Acceptance probability: 6.4024827897053974e-74
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3714:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0883213981294526, b_new = -1.2349616870703817, c_new = 4.468221296931397
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3120.3977259037065
Acceptance probability: 1.0420971293619166e-47
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3715:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9827556877823502, b_new = -1.0221662011530845, c_new = 5.119878347030602
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3024.14549486246
Acceptance probability: 6.602691585192974e-06
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3716:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.490634133457961, b_new = -0.38024778551093863, c_new = 4.898477615888501
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11162.365416148177
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3717:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8615694093768, b_new = -1.0216375542238925, c_new = 4.525252518039697
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3902.327654722091
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3718:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.328314222269353, b_new = -1.2995991061411156, c_new = 5.334520006362448
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6463.570780788682
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3719:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0993631948155937, b_new = -1.3644059065288308, c_new = 4.6484827072470445
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3113.495186600965
Acceptance probability: 1.0366757267396493e-44
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3720:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8722540674438988, b_new = -0.6725510240607776, c_new = 5.218700695887116
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3296.3723881486408
Acceptance probability: 3.918171414019171e-124
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3721:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4924910336756207, b_new = -1.0019513536170517, c_new = 5.880397485572995
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10349.976031187804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3722:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.5243943183245101, b_new = -1.106052158468306, c_new = 4.693315869402321
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -15646.087093653534
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3723:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.198568956357832, b_new = -1.2952072660546734, c_new = 4.727100943457205
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4007.5843410262983
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3724:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.020075641792016, b_new = -1.364348387052172, c_new = 5.310668736283108
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13674.506285205869
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3725:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2525389712011323, b_new = -1.4574388151425188, c_new = 5.327003782883826
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4630.388754126201
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3726:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.320159129524914, b_new = -1.7424355619352894, c_new = 5.255562617991681
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5165.177479906186
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3727:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8876397747775813, b_new = -1.4628636629397158, c_new = 6.121580821710164
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3931.083986535822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3728:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1988107651333184, b_new = -1.2310460133556933, c_new = 5.644100392093318
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4320.286913083832
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3729:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5220080516648506, b_new = -1.7536354255390907, c_new = 5.782098548147708
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10952.698835975125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3730:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7879257728147, b_new = -0.7474106964391306, c_new = 5.016991225470727
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4314.341829517951
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3731:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7284480301410934, b_new = -1.024748103295552, c_new = 5.109643442602884
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5936.591671842136
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3732:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7658509863658267, b_new = -1.8043202488600505, c_new = 4.724333190832355
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11404.721024573277
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3733:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5670764565068103, b_new = -1.6653024349288772, c_new = 4.7012569202792065
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9628.253412561697
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3734:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3779245139758705, b_new = -1.0969327433221967, c_new = 5.559366908318505
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8155.648014139711
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3735:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.266471944220658, b_new = -1.1257731637742254, c_new = 4.69789415841688
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14752.055705366196
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3736:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.390016783603207, b_new = -1.8999618498932547, c_new = 5.672683579490582
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6290.70020382629
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3737:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.314652960775137, b_new = -2.477372110387013, c_new = 5.126789477887569
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3791.9670337883867
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3738:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9047191557263883, b_new = -1.4596795962849793, c_new = 5.019262282568985
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3947.441938039857
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3739:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.298658411822057, b_new = -0.8902689771128243, c_new = 4.409932632928436
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6603.3587470533275
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3740:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.499719278431916, b_new = -1.3366872843350857, c_new = 4.983740681996191
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10683.507350413649
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3741:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4077612767872902, b_new = -1.258698822926123, c_new = 4.679587331605794
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7986.156812227966
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3742:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0726400780973755, b_new = -1.4596814283892765, c_new = 4.806716996828014
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3027.639938112354
Acceptance probability: 2.0049502047956138e-07
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3743:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8074182969084474, b_new = -1.69603961564561, c_new = 4.805239074783408
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -15251.281022962783
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3744:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.352613120617277, b_new = -1.431165905082236, c_new = 5.952046090476183
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6853.581866241058
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3745:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.401615641790656, b_new = -1.969169826202997, c_new = 5.388292285395061
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6256.22926148345
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3746:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5545497498468346, b_new = 0.023348292868463183, c_new = 4.8108223879895515
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12376.717025013499
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3747:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.98933379273837, b_new = -1.37818954524876, c_new = 5.34209800348928
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3121.54599847805
Acceptance probability: 3.3053675321135115e-48
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3748:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.057107732058023, b_new = -0.7544884717089053, c_new = 4.517140684077838
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3268.054898744662
Acceptance probability: 7.784179128401135e-112
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3749:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.13977714437218, b_new = -0.6644988614249131, c_new = 5.007147729076057
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4342.7045984209735
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3750:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3342067480027717, b_new = -1.4762604489842968, c_new = 4.936294350649941
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12511.706849880264
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3751:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2280228350408238, b_new = -1.4424139227974346, c_new = 5.111457218437512
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4238.8497863080565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3752:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4309393855670924, b_new = -2.2601302915653783, c_new = 5.568807033895518
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6177.922774137483
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3753:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.66151795001624, b_new = -2.1371619731130496, c_new = 4.503346629869442
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10404.03424525787
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3754:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4155579728783776, b_new = -0.8289262928475434, c_new = 4.571480184406966
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10838.655306306771
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3755:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6168168476293268, b_new = -1.6017559488986517, c_new = 5.894066422894738
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9319.177886392965
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3756:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.605351955003244, b_new = -0.6525125196420634, c_new = 5.144844238685699
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7444.460492091246
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3757:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.255204192234488, b_new = -1.5734265707952004, c_new = 5.425363919738011
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13042.552310964398
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3758:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.405458744659274, b_new = -1.3033351878687156, c_new = 5.327823254827394
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8064.107286657958
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3759:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4109141066152278, b_new = -1.2238900937295654, c_new = 5.160899297736234
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11395.793878479839
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3760:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1557903972596275, b_new = -1.0847136077692527, c_new = 5.50724661604686
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3959.0258071603066
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3761:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.75680679763901, b_new = -1.13832710736789, c_new = 4.602494118959002
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12212.255688338744
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3762:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.31596775224845, b_new = -1.192451198350438, c_new = 6.073702362518793
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6772.525180889457
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3763:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6986359246152833, b_new = -1.3051238637303801, c_new = 4.484979091730421
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7554.411113554449
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3764:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.017673296069717, b_new = -1.1420085687742636, c_new = 5.905068566175937
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3023.7752629073666
Acceptance probability: 9.561162661018215e-06
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3765:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7417575061405195, b_new = -2.4827796954838677, c_new = 5.390710134380097
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9578.687862498362
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3766:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.191322522214338, b_new = -1.1045423650976347, c_new = 5.270183269221579
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4350.37191926466
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3767:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.222417580709751, b_new = -0.5279018819925639, c_new = 5.460604180998181
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6350.714237297305
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3768:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.102715160285356, b_new = -0.9213483172327376, c_new = 5.127688734494586
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3539.848916090972
Acceptance probability: 7.121490076894928e-230
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3769:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1233554432135806, b_new = -1.7617844176477389, c_new = 5.7621912522261205
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3085.88183660557
Acceptance probability: 1.0185174163839427e-32
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3770:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.326986019001606, b_new = -0.15970752103483266, c_new = 4.546222343396821
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10623.375617171218
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3771:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1918339010178323, b_new = -1.6079094945992758, c_new = 5.080172760202837
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3574.287843063402
Acceptance probability: 7.869278700668317e-245
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3772:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.233521478358112, b_new = -1.5437042273214627, c_new = 4.539817445281181
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4032.2225734758254
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3773:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.792153857772154, b_new = -1.5581369042753332, c_new = 4.5742974716571965
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11905.96365156908
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3774:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.320022281691801, b_new = -0.9530001634522592, c_new = 5.540004830318791
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7325.820493803341
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3775:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2139182504050696, b_new = -1.6890028193891313, c_new = 4.894401290566802
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13574.219218974507
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3776:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.139873462707614, b_new = -1.460050536839201, c_new = 4.8175634330593216
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14005.077812897409
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3777:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9343434831343176, b_new = -1.1996673913368738, c_new = 5.708328524569376
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3260.263703459174
Acceptance probability: 1.8831544515760416e-108
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3778:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.147971775921778, b_new = -2.146433646127016, c_new = 4.884387209583351
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3066.988003186899
Acceptance probability: 1.634767727049164e-24
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3779:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.833978470268981, b_new = -1.048519877180148, c_new = 4.755507977000924
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4253.787584307086
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3780:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.55250931768726, b_new = -1.7329056430889387, c_new = 6.574596318287006
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9899.267849391528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3781:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.544547175302809, b_new = -0.8236065909458845, c_new = 4.710092609939335
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10893.869626575852
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3782:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.049302447390618, b_new = -2.0007218188399856, c_new = 5.79667128904646
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3184.5064552161725
Acceptance probability: 1.4991352542649306e-75
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3783:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.043084431783369, b_new = -0.751251282278095, c_new = 4.891180297670548
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13436.120196821896
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3784:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.269048946052523, b_new = -1.3019469206837682, c_new = 5.960991859833893
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12458.416079896982
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3785:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5958477067991703, b_new = -0.6432539375668428, c_new = 5.727258821352886
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11985.453799162477
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3786:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6004310323482236, b_new = -0.5960559267450284, c_new = 5.033586330485351
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11888.030769162651
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3787:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.109025015064026, b_new = -1.5644515530776624, c_new = 5.967167154039135
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13712.069138150853
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3788:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.397828172177693, b_new = -0.9415280514616536, c_new = 4.890970821161912
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8691.137140067674
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3789:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.025829853885617, b_new = -1.310409155320667, c_new = 4.58979721412363
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3035.4960231706127
Acceptance probability: 7.766926596111013e-11
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3790:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2047023999706754, b_new = -1.185784613615598, c_new = 5.759849365540834
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4523.597463212638
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3791:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.175994853332932, b_new = -1.5883475926642494, c_new = 5.112795838637512
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3458.675849417339
Acceptance probability: 1.2752220366462866e-194
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3792:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3850522303899675, b_new = -1.0830918273112207, c_new = 4.529157424113791
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7942.231294631599
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3793:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4259103168678995, b_new = -1.5676483093334836, c_new = 4.764168998950653
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7572.456213604232
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3794:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.719002952864825, b_new = -1.0417000982688394, c_new = 4.992515454762351
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6213.137303473473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3795:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8015828746045974, b_new = -0.960363377251903, c_new = 4.9009860115569355
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4533.515052240546
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3796:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.754148069644509, b_new = -1.7435469154791932, c_new = 5.717716034236514
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7108.788617686256
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3797:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.03056056238242, b_new = -1.7859093026552353, c_new = 4.9917066381753195
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14502.623518075305
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3798:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.64190021749512, b_new = -1.7295518502855936, c_new = 4.550441831843018
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9730.242949688878
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3799:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3183773106695886, b_new = -0.8658653525949821, c_new = 5.90236818285387
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7688.338136313962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3800:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.25321074188333, b_new = -1.7096794313919221, c_new = 5.237310944760018
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4163.194811722069
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3801:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7572449050337067, b_new = -1.3030958822595806, c_new = 4.944114129566431
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6130.423627236214
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3802:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6857430663900286, b_new = -1.2590745997384576, c_new = 4.667055221556463
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7622.004891528992
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3803:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4649186527370786, b_new = -1.8283370247496542, c_new = 5.776860965341283
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8023.405141431266
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3804:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7809766072735504, b_new = -1.8913081466344361, c_new = 4.064350559603394
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7646.6966234724705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3805:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7654316510358408, b_new = -0.8082019605391014, c_new = 6.1202167821607265
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4503.541310278572
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3806:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4713564677542745, b_new = -1.851411077565483, c_new = 5.218363616311259
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7890.809360945579
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3807:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.34489971885235, b_new = -1.3124817151998385, c_new = 4.905073835402531
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12203.1090454839
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3808:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8671641548409466, b_new = -1.3316195532294883, c_new = 5.128479187090102
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4199.062657418377
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3809:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0887620913119727, b_new = -0.7346321818116931, c_new = 4.914759978761766
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13163.874975502004
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3810:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.853571843950728, b_new = -0.8941910560872569, c_new = 4.430171382181099
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13094.834881386441
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3811:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2684846166299164, b_new = -1.3548263399219853, c_new = 5.434875534803578
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5150.2164573784685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3812:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3246316581658015, b_new = -1.3544575324488346, c_new = 4.922002281701994
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6094.31351601442
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3813:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9495202298580634, b_new = 0.013775164045764177, c_new = 6.393582734060832
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3518.393776624456
Acceptance probability: 1.4805379782827169e-220
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3814:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3982607856429814, b_new = -1.2537514919132595, c_new = 4.858643610018033
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7876.697393401637
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3815:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.109663624008432, b_new = -2.4189952129553296, c_new = 5.111127867861335
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3258.0092962285753
Acceptance probability: 1.7945789175900518e-107
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3816:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.999627196259675, b_new = -0.7925916173781566, c_new = 5.322141314583079
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3055.4289088904625
Acceptance probability: 1.7120124720287886e-19
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3817:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2513536089745534, b_new = -1.4467993068146066, c_new = 5.816713810880476
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4763.461993335373
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3818:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1839435585804616, b_new = -1.500973533517347, c_new = 5.455487109385742
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3681.1717831857773
Acceptance probability: 2.9979854961362054e-291
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3819:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2258597738987063, b_new = -1.2589269843854038, c_new = 5.980598563405664
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4777.454338217478
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3820:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.868496552740985, b_new = -1.4910900081396243, c_new = 5.010592477814994
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4504.980215407062
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3821:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.688632110358489, b_new = -0.6916424483598581, c_new = 4.93593640692123
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5951.202346624638
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3822:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.49045538979869, b_new = -1.3556363244876373, c_new = 4.619902017656842
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10954.033195778178
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3823:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9946241495191255, b_new = -1.8875478169589106, c_new = 4.422211239664702
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3695.0360992644855
Acceptance probability: 2.8551804359065597e-297
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3824:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.898279742231833, b_new = -0.5409511819885073, c_new = 5.539262526221122
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3082.420402400061
Acceptance probability: 3.2452655132914647e-31
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3825:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2437636797669014, b_new = -2.500045661212771, c_new = 4.745299142668365
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3222.3711947091106
Acceptance probability: 5.387575841685546e-92
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3826:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5203912966365465, b_new = -0.9913229019185436, c_new = 5.140608903390868
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10463.648506177567
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3827:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.758683401718948, b_new = -0.8682838736798115, c_new = 4.5897918560849975
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12571.56535848586
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3828:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.758593906598783, b_new = -0.9170982464616111, c_new = 5.411441348487165
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5014.850353677795
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3829:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.46266046493916, b_new = -1.47310649324942, c_new = 4.426343763253202
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8383.783647031238
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3830:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4139151620247326, b_new = -1.3179048856587705, c_new = 5.936978239424876
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8422.396256986745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3831:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.039360752097747, b_new = -1.726741649412643, c_new = 5.8355164333676655
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3072.921403013222
Acceptance probability: 4.331249999970839e-27
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3832:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.292500427669171, b_new = -1.3585416092902838, c_new = 5.800920657842938
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12411.011516046838
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3833:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.977590356377763, b_new = -1.8793484131017126, c_new = 4.378375421184804
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3875.9887695448533
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3834:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.026907555240673, b_new = -1.7269416737374552, c_new = 4.983657075547802
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13253.13247938806
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3835:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0043195320840463, b_new = -0.6808986909222071, c_new = 6.368114936271782
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3227.9847226735537
Acceptance probability: 1.965482484208263e-94
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3836:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1845270811461446, b_new = -1.8506201232181434, c_new = 4.875874910178185
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3275.227795382815
Acceptance probability: 5.971224395992857e-115
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3837:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1965369083787705, b_new = -0.7769856959144055, c_new = 5.80148523162889
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12317.015471025432
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3838:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7407388710483085, b_new = -0.7989179892603926, c_new = 3.90739882740609
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5540.2266270326245
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3839:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5378120403015205, b_new = -1.988314616399408, c_new = 5.658846060466243
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8857.879456002149
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3840:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0591067965413585, b_new = -1.2360854012333906, c_new = 5.83494217819547
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3088.5970390916555
Acceptance probability: 6.741724525231904e-34
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3841:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1269412178159586, b_new = -1.4763894772057586, c_new = 5.093819293638675
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3208.821105960543
Acceptance probability: 4.131637110722373e-86
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3842:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9718295666088475, b_new = 0.12834156716098577, c_new = 5.659761218710719
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3711.681227984099
Acceptance probability: 1.6855669438792484e-304
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3843:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0984474060377836, b_new = -2.03509202637649, c_new = 4.884413689166908
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14491.441155124412
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3844:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4319507122282302, b_new = -1.529021049786862, c_new = 5.436203592820714
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8033.256898894439
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3845:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8123498108172895, b_new = -0.8765340637630152, c_new = 5.65897226023213
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4059.3506771819257
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3846:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.833081451176646, b_new = -1.319708174293916, c_new = 5.168343246571993
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4677.586026669653
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3847:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.916320349674387, b_new = -0.7264451675879946, c_new = 5.11150689139647
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3107.0784193665504
Acceptance probability: 6.344677202309377e-42
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3848:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4491084042237636, b_new = -1.7916931988776519, c_new = 5.210964223985466
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7611.32170800731
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3849:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9476051429706236, b_new = -1.621455829321891, c_new = 5.181659657742263
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3667.131839472865
Acceptance probability: 3.752317753923705e-285
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3850:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.257291120716317, b_new = -1.168690038481755, c_new = 5.402878181516299
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12513.044682435957
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3851:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.891498106653345, b_new = -1.4497868440501283, c_new = 5.242641037441538
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4047.873285497241
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3852:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.920552904487974, b_new = -1.4464513255095566, c_new = 5.5302995622825355
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3651.769575296994
Acceptance probability: 1.7621633699389255e-278
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3853:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.159400038000425, b_new = -1.363511843094184, c_new = 6.483763845980013
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3788.693038736519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3854:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8754996028880777, b_new = -1.1292551469430185, c_new = 5.94639803578589
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14297.089785270924
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3855:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0061863904098938, b_new = -0.6721010084211279, c_new = 4.2252087598355335
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3060.9967633761835
Acceptance probability: 6.537601506109779e-22
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3856:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.48998464206414, b_new = -2.1893353621636287, c_new = 5.029743102882456
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12299.652764425366
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3857:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5872186751222395, b_new = -1.0744979727858999, c_new = 4.940188983780952
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8904.960053870578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3858:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2452275897563108, b_new = -1.602481865104291, c_new = 4.885766364582326
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13288.453417114428
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3859:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4392306659248306, b_new = -0.8788706946482007, c_new = 5.853790872161727
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9874.373367300353
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3860:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.225468577183925, b_new = 0.024623100706339107, c_new = 5.430023187192936
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8058.749576238401
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3861:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.42504232798793, b_new = -1.360165679118573, c_new = 5.211217955170803
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11471.189509834041
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3862:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.224635056799813, b_new = -1.4729032459964244, c_new = 5.732559928452383
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14533.33619977624
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3863:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9285505604755437, b_new = -1.085019533521711, c_new = 4.9986751327248005
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3280.6892114601633
Acceptance probability: 2.5362994429366988e-117
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3864:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.365301533143983, b_new = -0.33716096434981857, c_new = 4.949580591634853
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9638.061868749519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3865:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4705507859031393, b_new = -1.3001136573824938, c_new = 5.338620528671625
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10838.031667208981
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3866:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3304396432554393, b_new = -0.48641652674672453, c_new = 5.272694116590815
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8754.026555750126
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3867:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2806550970280344, b_new = -1.7692185169226557, c_new = 4.720318000357766
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13325.508024016975
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3868:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8768502658563007, b_new = -0.784417907684309, c_new = 4.7119438729793535
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3420.653333638839
Acceptance probability: 4.1548428281565416e-178
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3869:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6546198403106285, b_new = -1.3566829630454953, c_new = 5.0613005958054575
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8353.311286795939
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3870:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4732045092685255, b_new = -1.6177157024296966, c_new = 5.717393445240458
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8669.070456313286
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3871:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.170234658947621, b_new = -1.090476577661522, c_new = 5.661309511468572
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4171.358125437774
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3872:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.651131216287202, b_new = -0.8692956989643006, c_new = 5.168228155078971
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7089.184971701431
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3873:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6987689130698915, b_new = -2.3319925140196487, c_new = 5.560485768614349
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -15876.216006199915
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3874:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8995282584160544, b_new = -1.0090462275676593, c_new = 5.149600069219317
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3404.2167593831155
Acceptance probability: 5.713050991358825e-171
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3875:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3692119109547396, b_new = -0.9789831769365441, c_new = 5.581550217379097
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8309.263899842585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3876:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.717097743678603, b_new = -0.336707855430312, c_new = 5.462459190147007
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13220.901847514226
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3877:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6028371697825183, b_new = -0.5271599863792208, c_new = 5.223534688000614
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7147.177344358393
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3878:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.942305220011135, b_new = -0.889914115063362, c_new = 4.962607552041158
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3091.2807733000514
Acceptance probability: 4.605110389459602e-35
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3879:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.122326223858249, b_new = -1.6478742848419254, c_new = 4.5952240509032425
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3085.059019858676
Acceptance probability: 2.319066661058802e-32
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3880:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8416800380320506, b_new = -1.1943184162236413, c_new = 4.215237986816361
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12609.35597473386
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3881:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7421711941447953, b_new = -1.520170808792781, c_new = 5.020757742712611
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11692.567625621326
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3882:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6507710651423775, b_new = -1.1670830760390962, c_new = 5.391149294786359
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11552.918757624562
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3883:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9573621372660166, b_new = -1.6889775946418941, c_new = 4.980841610058252
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3695.228434681623
Acceptance probability: 2.3556097801235257e-297
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3884:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.05946177451456, b_new = -0.716671536071619, c_new = 4.544454932349106
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3318.899701620208
Acceptance probability: 6.450531479441378e-134
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3885:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.978251647485736, b_new = -0.46875049372580657, c_new = 4.420379534879646
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3066.843630745141
Acceptance probability: 1.8886705579055785e-24
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3886:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.774238463770186, b_new = -1.4750418735016435, c_new = 4.539681592187606
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11875.910442746628
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3887:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1393206624624823, b_new = -0.25449515354599517, c_new = 4.434097594415582
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5019.040077671081
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3888:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4472711471701087, b_new = -2.4736253959859034, c_new = 5.486670623808256
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12928.269716153634
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3889:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.410577521337781, b_new = -1.6014794741348308, c_new = 4.8374881293615415
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7199.951240521448
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3890:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.860640965061859, b_new = -0.84929390914221, c_new = 5.548268213404881
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3514.5527878164653
Acceptance probability: 6.895087734728129e-219
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3891:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.719244866822353, b_new = -1.840530170193475, c_new = 5.361345522933063
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8264.526603440321
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3892:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8385337549439704, b_new = -0.4692167524707289, c_new = 4.92917981436766
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3394.704756985314
Acceptance probability: 7.724640087039212e-167
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3893:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.496781491074096, b_new = -0.6968590769372234, c_new = 4.79471402702908
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10625.565178255749
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3894:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.740854583225503, b_new = -2.410034853660733, c_new = 4.45987181230038
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9804.883959515226
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3895:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.831971384421952, b_new = -1.1549918064825984, c_new = 5.841492252208357
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4216.540965351209
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3896:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.54784088408953, b_new = -1.3765419071570117, c_new = 4.825964324395843
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9972.78732640882
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3897:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.326977964606261, b_new = -1.0024075958350729, c_new = 4.651084228151779
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11961.239418292818
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3898:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.495866608015409, b_new = -0.8176810139391596, c_new = 5.178037528082613
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9632.079981658968
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3899:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.843127930315763, b_new = -1.0432966806688544, c_new = 4.744517777324555
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4121.934626257517
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3900:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.482193472180968, b_new = -1.7315919656190186, c_new = 5.804691979812828
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8583.27613215265
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3901:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.487072420761564, b_new = -1.9539952493282944, c_new = 4.477824575690777
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7686.245623434856
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3902:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2702725949901437, b_new = -1.4731901205031448, c_new = 5.428709547169799
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12816.168258871603
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3903:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4704076128359573, b_new = -1.4069920040587516, c_new = 5.200703784334304
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8934.743652301247
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3904:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.083971223197484, b_new = -1.448441743217063, c_new = 5.167729299407981
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3053.9305996461762
Acceptance probability: 7.659745870619359e-19
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3905:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1175536201719773, b_new = -0.8267892289380585, c_new = 4.884551083520596
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3768.433566405799
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3906:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1156612491975446, b_new = -1.3878455483155494, c_new = 5.370232145826419
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3228.8230082983137
Acceptance probability: 8.499754004690697e-95
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3907:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2462102338293017, b_new = -0.9668051584194812, c_new = 4.509403977991682
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5353.255486169351
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3908:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0284670167896954, b_new = -1.6229048600689955, c_new = 5.468706131766958
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3086.414520645816
Acceptance probability: 5.9789747652103894e-33
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3909:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.176264543783402, b_new = -1.0498373920242665, c_new = 4.716775246222184
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4108.456124106913
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3910:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.202924146236581, b_new = -1.3174292679250115, c_new = 5.094913487624245
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4103.215342012696
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3911:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8262183806280414, b_new = -1.058911071060771, c_new = 5.251117779095374
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4264.2685315612825
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3912:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2084357657628644, b_new = -1.6761179835333666, c_new = 5.337478647351652
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3695.013747057
Acceptance probability: 2.919718619826694e-297
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3913:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7829086584635894, b_new = -0.39954798002623726, c_new = 5.596471117858725
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14089.414909555466
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3914:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.332565761779428, b_new = -1.1091636046010367, c_new = 4.403115354818776
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6730.711221430274
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3915:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7585570247280238, b_new = -0.7333584782374982, c_new = 4.80489897680348
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12799.624518775747
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3916:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.435881258087157, b_new = -1.7738701693271524, c_new = 5.156866106381155
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12068.931977463408
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3917:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4289222858587936, b_new = -0.35794588928894056, c_new = 5.2061207523832875
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9590.823878359231
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3918:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2201582581783885, b_new = -1.9204470432090726, c_new = 5.172577149152034
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3506.7162691894528
Acceptance probability: 1.7454065188231336e-215
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3919:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.458855959701384, b_new = -2.2370427503677566, c_new = 4.964713834413159
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12656.305433134661
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3920:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4606193576743713, b_new = -0.6569180418487306, c_new = 4.3570207433988255
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10043.511164536358
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3921:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.537594379335632, b_new = -1.1961650401839012, c_new = 5.831330262853339
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10504.654697089321
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3922:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.779120479262444, b_new = -0.6166350626915337, c_new = 5.656600783154372
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4081.6146253370575
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3923:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.647392255413087, b_new = -0.8770935391791006, c_new = 4.997934159931743
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7247.7368209795
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3924:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8642957277492362, b_new = -0.9056277010481362, c_new = 5.358590193494676
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3570.6769395885653
Acceptance probability: 2.9115910819516154e-243
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3925:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.836353609082482, b_new = -0.7989631408917786, c_new = 5.564344978085178
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3687.379654280782
Acceptance probability: 6.0365022456358794e-294
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3926:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2484106865439815, b_new = -0.46257075587582597, c_new = 4.765156593526667
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6839.805695466086
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3927:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3619777938312176, b_new = -0.20200674510886096, c_new = 5.8581469835314515
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10254.252492019743
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3928:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.432104673096839, b_new = -1.603745844436074, c_new = 4.451247345064178
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7493.562022125965
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3929:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8552570317451718, b_new = -1.814427062052681, c_new = 4.905021095655801
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5490.319460051898
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3930:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.364201283765851, b_new = -2.010232331365633, c_new = 5.209080906005276
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5361.248338139628
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3931:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6905613133089408, b_new = -1.1086572960011685, c_new = 5.893365612897652
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12114.41878006604
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3932:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0043510151097625, b_new = -1.6412544892482657, c_new = 4.473391371038967
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3325.588930452299
Acceptance probability: 8.026021689273584e-137
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3933:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9850453657522777, b_new = -1.3133902679927916, c_new = 4.540510647010028
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3173.3215442743167
Acceptance probability: 1.0799059149979324e-70
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3934:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8615038709824003, b_new = -1.5142324855561382, c_new = 6.014751164046249
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4394.277147105933
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3935:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4808934572458057, b_new = -1.143573018234979, c_new = 5.282289979051745
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9702.252025657916
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3936:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2605062432693375, b_new = -1.4167319427371332, c_new = 4.7927847599640705
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4702.971295626721
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3937:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.299104303101873, b_new = -1.2518604183420046, c_new = 5.262830445584467
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5947.867458243697
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3938:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8666091033741763, b_new = -1.458343189702478, c_new = 5.206705473901563
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12691.720250727354
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3939:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2165548557623853, b_new = -1.4387917404143955, c_new = 3.9199965364126506
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3872.778793790763
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3940:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5321370835615844, b_new = -1.2531354230110778, c_new = 5.979449194333755
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10382.048391805187
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3941:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8063735910951473, b_new = -1.7183053581698449, c_new = 4.84149142094707
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6259.7165927870265
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3942:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.722792624136828, b_new = -1.734455739277329, c_new = 4.926907102464981
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11196.239788165096
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3943:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.083485996891951, b_new = -1.5949646879741926, c_new = 5.772769624085784
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3033.568021650399
Acceptance probability: 5.340348782285053e-10
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3944:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8618049224179187, b_new = -0.9763199084312066, c_new = 4.674956013246829
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3803.5266880258205
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3945:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3637448095431752, b_new = -0.9329673641014584, c_new = 5.138576904069143
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8148.748889550316
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3946:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8293488822127575, b_new = -1.9826236249298268, c_new = 5.371586857214962
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6292.549181372694
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3947:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9119308125014363, b_new = -2.0372190419648737, c_new = 5.31953124758768
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4846.028579542909
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3948:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.097730085403975, b_new = -0.9260679152576508, c_new = 4.98523700352791
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3468.7519929416676
Acceptance probability: 5.365031516232506e-199
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3949:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4674788925951985, b_new = -1.2814861837795057, c_new = 4.602824170566821
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8969.655875042705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3950:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3614992749388746, b_new = -1.441619311021843, c_new = 4.696641269730842
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6557.748559144886
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3951:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3588665682280237, b_new = -0.899481465581973, c_new = 4.895215736246265
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11442.211772218749
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3952:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1579778619498358, b_new = -1.207131733360446, c_new = 5.111660663458393
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3731.525434188651
Acceptance probability: 4.0599132436e-313
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3953:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2473899350479227, b_new = -0.9768511270902227, c_new = 5.904752712236614
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5823.746006279275
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3954:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.880158610843276, b_new = -0.9658434675334964, c_new = 4.717935638019373
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3590.4396889947743
Acceptance probability: 7.608120213544776e-252
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3955:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.26428119931091, b_new = -1.5016460217223426, c_new = 4.5386889839145566
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4536.465261906459
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3956:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.113305037467411, b_new = -1.408661526753811, c_new = 4.377193045242948
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13920.549337097931
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3957:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0752302600464643, b_new = -0.6598298348774733, c_new = 5.1662262775213765
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3601.935818404777
Acceptance probability: 7.736985806159128e-257
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3958:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.782511042654502, b_new = -1.0280672904956225, c_new = 4.2326192361127495
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5193.167480100114
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3959:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.169935386809472, b_new = -1.003789181449272, c_new = 5.495242556129037
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14687.246142134045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3960:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.008241028101059, b_new = -0.6128700841752508, c_new = 5.0325548279524
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14300.486271421336
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3961:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3788884745888597, b_new = -0.3681192081989063, c_new = 5.06232311580276
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10260.866179417724
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3962:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9270743140530198, b_new = -1.8369928605225376, c_new = 5.553635275966979
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12696.726213724512
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3963:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.679218538738967, b_new = -0.5956647201905707, c_new = 5.608676890660986
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5686.634987875594
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3964:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.094149304412317, b_new = -1.3039250266488092, c_new = 5.3150997279205034
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3163.363102580989
Acceptance probability: 2.281824273392574e-66
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3965:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0987548463040433, b_new = -0.6630720654766067, c_new = 6.123310791148088
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4061.990744735168
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3966:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2466957015404585, b_new = -1.6094768932245391, c_new = 5.1967926636551915
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4232.57917149905
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3967:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.435581981740113, b_new = -0.7072070956925106, c_new = 5.476542951862416
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10059.74961936642
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3968:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8649702843892393, b_new = -0.6651704779286602, c_new = 5.670247866569097
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3297.627492674627
Acceptance probability: 1.1168592924200112e-124
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3969:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5434795779912958, b_new = -0.8525438912960587, c_new = 6.142852401216746
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11285.448050252247
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3970:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.824962247558539, b_new = -1.166047604543857, c_new = 4.743789535824898
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4614.121828322684
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3971:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2479127640290324, b_new = -1.2136666793296753, c_new = 5.660443412866059
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5166.593762750839
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3972:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6059807545674465, b_new = -1.6011957507510217, c_new = 4.8369372346124555
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9875.363901348795
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3973:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4363674631340144, b_new = -0.5284883874075396, c_new = 5.236180123984379
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10361.34141097462
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3974:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6143613301787085, b_new = -1.7334030576964365, c_new = 4.918550631132363
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10132.124391017061
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3975:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.131713357383699, b_new = -1.2154324310573743, c_new = 5.412002481338094
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3511.275116390155
Acceptance probability: 1.8281608762944995e-217
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3976:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.677750608767677, b_new = -1.0700192243185742, c_new = 5.7990436918866495
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12042.082232290453
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3977:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1766761793373903, b_new = -1.8608457178728863, c_new = 5.680539454423355
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13762.456409298538
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3978:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1702841448377685, b_new = -1.7264434233150572, c_new = 5.207671244441817
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3302.5782997202455
Acceptance probability: 7.904788984130476e-127
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3979:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.979821961522896, b_new = -1.87301096018291, c_new = 5.0922602745926335
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3689.9360133548853
Acceptance probability: 4.683523750197892e-295
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3980:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.918031474701099, b_new = -1.4124793363184924, c_new = 4.802043634671261
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3768.721115374031
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3981:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5107964774647606, b_new = -1.6271209265852604, c_new = 5.172573255599349
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11047.443882851792
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3982:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3270558183332186, b_new = -1.2449784646842332, c_new = 4.79241343819449
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6388.754314403486
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3983:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.05038835610573, b_new = -2.65037591863768, c_new = 5.998673446953459
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12595.775810675772
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3984:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5149583154214405, b_new = -1.3514435655005947, c_new = 5.131695546958418
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10475.235263689909
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3985:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3482962348287484, b_new = -1.394323432659198, c_new = 4.352611703492567
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6289.831464092404
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3986:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.671972213279045, b_new = -1.38565859799804, c_new = 5.35098852948362
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7977.331902589399
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3987:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.031453885663944, b_new = -1.4429077686196732, c_new = 4.5016668884090185
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3068.7403543890478
Acceptance probability: 2.8341288957084067e-25
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3988:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.907556376359657, b_new = -2.253261350313907, c_new = 4.6267894404617556
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5687.076090774824
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3989:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.747958402030139, b_new = -1.6700940992882076, c_new = 4.159820647910244
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11304.778711094857
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3990:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.2058966279563474, b_new = -2.240579508064845, c_new = 4.339109714930416
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13464.09493091306
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3991:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.266552045704145, b_new = -1.0049917310938303, c_new = 5.128547440034183
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5869.176739540384
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3992:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4194517867625285, b_new = -1.5475305892971527, c_new = 4.558541034868326
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7423.058162759757
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3993:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6172094080045927, b_new = -0.919147419062241, c_new = 5.143619363708838
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7899.343916162266
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3994:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8726052428991804, b_new = -1.3745127192266529, c_new = 5.488783432014382
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12903.347846045473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3995:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4849150248888803, b_new = -1.3563710473338062, c_new = 5.099768226601775
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10857.293823224927
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3996:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.414853045890831, b_new = -1.9469607772448763, c_new = 4.477773735555901
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12719.13013382809
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3997:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.641969957299801, b_new = -1.799357121285216, c_new = 5.412206039298034
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9561.095043398776
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3998:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6639598860621962, b_new = -1.4851404605305216, c_new = 4.66226363806844
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8674.575361620922
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3999:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.795084598536865, b_new = -1.8302747478760408, c_new = 4.697243159178178
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6878.741782833669
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4000:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5710450538360545, b_new = -0.7179812306936407, c_new = 5.379392921709646
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11538.857439664334
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4001:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5795566814419306, b_new = -0.8201799064587293, c_new = 4.741259346585274
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11260.13377821048
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4002:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9873596106389178, b_new = -1.635481663923196, c_new = 5.98245901744696
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3242.6101749427125
Acceptance probability: 8.744117040482449e-101
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4003:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.156685533759901, b_new = -1.400337883665545, c_new = 4.712207084658816
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13602.712468749545
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4004:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.874574555147604, b_new = -1.1727975966283009, c_new = 5.043615915031765
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3867.94376535058
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4005:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4469684212538754, b_new = -1.0716046356981388, c_new = 4.958431820875221
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9240.856478547745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4006:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.61158525392703, b_new = -0.36664011200978464, c_new = 5.525338305022195
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6473.745095587023
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4007:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.242692318726578, b_new = -2.1946712166202946, c_new = 4.692717906087601
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3392.8193830948376
Acceptance probability: 5.0896243613952967e-166
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4008:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0107982478720423, b_new = -0.839542441332108, c_new = 4.400133211427006
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3030.4660478153182
Acceptance probability: 1.1877902106282833e-08
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4009:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.94054608586911, b_new = -1.24173084408556, c_new = 5.033099984605454
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3330.0517659017637
Acceptance probability: 9.253702213440512e-139
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4010:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.545937061380007, b_new = -1.3054833720327585, c_new = 5.16561440833088
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9966.71336583581
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4011:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2747852224680334, b_new = -0.23384678798580838, c_new = 4.834890560726692
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8124.727245915248
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4012:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2597975578883944, b_new = -0.652078584754745, c_new = 5.247130609202959
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6741.563763468117
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4013:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4895501931083603, b_new = -1.7510234556963278, c_new = 4.893675480892384
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11601.91706908885
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4014:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.451035010072801, b_new = -1.5381289216160967, c_new = 5.287196123581377
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11492.485412017246
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4015:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.05906813732765, b_new = -1.030182322377568, c_new = 4.709302763500145
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3114.604004546619
Acceptance probability: 3.4204985812673965e-45
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4016:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.285494695284883, b_new = -1.3886649983822015, c_new = 5.921720262830982
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5547.287390914926
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4017:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.82092316211629, b_new = -1.5976721149785544, c_new = 5.723920712124485
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12351.657102619763
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4018:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.93086272299346, b_new = -1.1456876366819517, c_new = 5.619411919426238
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3249.2099230013837
Acceptance probability: 1.1898214612866336e-103
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4019:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4580359139358743, b_new = -0.8103315143032679, c_new = 4.234250177770889
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10418.547883147527
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4020:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8638320596449565, b_new = -0.5975520498828745, c_new = 5.398086877703054
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3277.274216422004
Acceptance probability: 7.714610910131403e-116
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4021:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5428099023903856, b_new = -1.681850513736248, c_new = 5.591856890317374
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9551.360554544344
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4022:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5421569187569975, b_new = -1.4401141700330362, c_new = 5.245190432150796
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9910.550953060116
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4023:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.663763431959026, b_new = -2.1326889339410586, c_new = 5.552240178360101
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10167.166046805083
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4024:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0686065839474908, b_new = -0.43189484891262264, c_new = 4.726387971158907
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3753.542686246293
Acceptance probability: 1.14e-322
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4025:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.716576259627438, b_new = -1.018247076952461, c_new = 5.43204409482625
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12306.664387644523
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4026:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7500594196278105, b_new = -1.4644870309640428, c_new = 4.475960360705015
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6907.026823136782
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4027:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4348026589093372, b_new = -1.4142201778977213, c_new = 4.291395196512584
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7972.373954685957
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4028:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.352916474053165, b_new = -1.6495779258892023, c_new = 5.025041603851608
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5954.074869586862
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4029:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.6417945337550535, b_new = -1.6362392339066802, c_new = 5.147938120336764
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -15524.800344592304
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4030:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.738323689004274, b_new = -1.4252605963802338, c_new = 5.33456446962786
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11880.187977178903
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4031:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.482368630991629, b_new = -1.484420839902041, c_new = 5.8577711855304875
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9178.45352348097
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4032:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.423046273735495, b_new = -1.2028756199236517, c_new = 5.1138451649445855
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8576.939966486376
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4033:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9651795620551873, b_new = -1.4956991266516604, c_new = 5.269852599399064
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3356.331457448597
Acceptance probability: 3.5742958325969595e-150
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4034:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.393775717158793, b_new = -1.1762207332361876, c_new = 5.8838072956973875
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8385.447413932417
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4035:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.507376320279424, b_new = -1.023582382743692, c_new = 4.5900873357836804
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10097.922423393706
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4036:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7743656473697553, b_new = -1.5889310349509587, c_new = 4.282857452769528
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -15385.002191293635
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4037:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.051052698373308, b_new = -1.868599609198205, c_new = 4.442165256853634
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13106.262905410433
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4038:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.176589189302802, b_new = -0.5248257375371136, c_new = 4.167008746226537
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4990.462879122788
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4039:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3161866628148733, b_new = -0.7806449263709041, c_new = 4.631134598030174
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7370.407950898796
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4040:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.217821423461394, b_new = -1.4736408233237535, c_new = 4.660720593592487
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3964.1802423497898
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4041:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.109225305350101, b_new = -0.6265365625248779, c_new = 5.074881840679709
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4009.5852314124704
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4042:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.031342064293698, b_new = -1.0322641750762482, c_new = 4.348494221201769
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3026.6527567006706
Acceptance probability: 5.380604005863611e-07
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4043:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.740581092402355, b_new = -1.8842486426522331, c_new = 6.188744457020986
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11471.73740869377
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4044:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2867209065620804, b_new = -0.6372678343579101, c_new = 5.334626847471094
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7418.436512867373
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4045:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.198224122918809, b_new = -1.7619119029253552, c_new = 5.308252881152336
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13635.113152459175
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4046:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3098939391160402, b_new = -0.6920241646793819, c_new = 4.171136749520828
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7305.302227166114
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4047:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.426245527695852, b_new = -2.120495007704066, c_new = 6.518184682514259
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6757.068411389573
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4048:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.082795736471552, b_new = -0.7344683659432677, c_new = 6.164531593361301
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3772.491169537818
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4049:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8986937191094437, b_new = -0.9468318642590251, c_new = 4.853997396458069
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3388.480626156708
Acceptance probability: 3.899275554590979e-164
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4050:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.158576068621623, b_new = -0.5596672990482953, c_new = 5.389666540990481
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4968.817708108882
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4051:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.707503075885306, b_new = -0.8627170792257417, c_new = 5.927695617084712
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12593.10923769781
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4052:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6460653885157686, b_new = -0.5134558489133585, c_new = 4.701590570368161
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6432.363315456717
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4053:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.965098532275187, b_new = -1.2488009565955063, c_new = 5.631861216322281
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3134.175738478578
Acceptance probability: 1.0819155597027192e-53
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4054:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4995959314189733, b_new = -1.271277901728575, c_new = 5.839601165764754
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10273.029233916815
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4055:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.647021550738586, b_new = -1.0638041535839082, c_new = 5.414026572359802
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11684.92814222967
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4056:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4636971662033074, b_new = -1.9662717566743413, c_new = 5.9989993665806365
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11865.333781531124
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4057:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.710136508076758, b_new = -1.5300887462402706, c_new = 5.454108845019125
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7550.876848149305
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4058:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.641323530011034, b_new = -1.501226643407346, c_new = 4.382856988303878
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10653.8277019766
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4059:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.579895063901713, b_new = -0.18274332409307847, c_new = 4.849713620798299
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6857.639510371557
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4060:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.128732198929943, b_new = -2.1573922630015927, c_new = 5.112973531957868
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14428.775086656922
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4061:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3917254560254415, b_new = -0.8580709374080191, c_new = 5.472162633225856
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9011.95917164637
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4062:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.569396048750498, b_new = -1.1309183454229952, c_new = 4.407227416246412
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9521.037065096532
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4063:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2712272939696536, b_new = -1.6494084503094522, c_new = 6.075769539320127
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4746.085804880923
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4064:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.891874934592231, b_new = -0.10385378685395152, c_new = 6.0635796774139505
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3108.4593973863502
Acceptance probability: 1.594624373082117e-42
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4065:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.321154792750169, b_new = -1.5272740677275458, c_new = 5.2569593159051395
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12585.786015898182
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4066:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.52887989307708, b_new = -1.3056182969028947, c_new = 4.6999531758399735
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9831.298744273005
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4067:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5389551425057233, b_new = -0.9096351803166809, c_new = 5.094341794070443
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10802.930249374262
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4068:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.869728844862147, b_new = -1.4025143684830281, c_new = 4.971970364620274
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4328.399615506665
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4069:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.524125330451172, b_new = -1.7690385519691918, c_new = 5.712204174829938
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9141.918824594362
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4070:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5494403827478944, b_new = -1.0092955920624176, c_new = 5.51005373536252
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10869.694823169299
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4071:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.864234688050561, b_new = -0.5266313526635404, c_new = 4.905531661407644
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3265.244238870994
Acceptance probability: 1.2937992496677048e-110
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4072:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3883561536275986, b_new = -0.6074878119283634, c_new = 5.4121375311110045
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9545.072597747345
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4073:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5136027563254286, b_new = -0.1368520213386828, c_new = 5.279710395871344
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7829.5009263518
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4074:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.103759324756036, b_new = -1.0353126089811853, c_new = 5.00472789034656
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3407.9324668476083
Acceptance probability: 1.3904547246774658e-172
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4075:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9625199169868246, b_new = -1.848938540362553, c_new = 5.481479633454353
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3761.6915892821075
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4076:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.956083011454663, b_new = -0.9248572394007313, c_new = 5.347149894596979
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3046.6311342461945
Acceptance probability: 1.1332661197000939e-15
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4077:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1753213173498143, b_new = -1.1313867571475111, c_new = 4.218725728180791
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3874.1466518140337
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4078:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6697471652331326, b_new = -0.8291765849790325, c_new = 4.749413795394326
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12027.955663060344
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4079:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.57092953900854, b_new = -0.8711127583411984, c_new = 5.517538342841965
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8486.486693151988
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4080:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3540397233901276, b_new = -1.8718940622245834, c_new = 5.209983505859275
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5489.57510487616
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4081:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.850063767339883, b_new = -1.1797474426098695, c_new = 5.396028932614088
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4111.0285111933135
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4082:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.045150730187396, b_new = -0.4156622057952485, c_new = 4.849312087380107
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3561.3986769306384
Acceptance probability: 3.1162239028088613e-239
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4083:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.064949000690442, b_new = -1.512313254588733, c_new = 5.393519245962682
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13754.78873302537
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4084:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9194695185344584, b_new = -1.796525787977312, c_new = 6.461872501861926
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3985.322150047516
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4085:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8434453605500103, b_new = -1.1111023629423165, c_new = 4.911297364287192
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4194.414257295652
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4086:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.215854022038483, b_new = -1.08690146854799, c_new = 4.525551994850056
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4571.722255120487
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4087:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1554340644818843, b_new = -1.3698240569857032, c_new = 5.22343512982371
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3525.2755798608123
Acceptance probability: 1.5194638816367541e-223
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4088:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0943774832256876, b_new = -1.460749541776226, c_new = 5.734861510869333
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3108.7972590899444
Acceptance probability: 1.1374358812674191e-42
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4089:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.841497974260422, b_new = -0.5065531879142726, c_new = 6.021795939080297
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3304.0367641109888
Acceptance probability: 1.838599950614628e-127
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4090:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7870848944296593, b_new = -1.5903372061483383, c_new = 4.814085378047341
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6328.452674520903
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4091:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7273263897184927, b_new = -1.2921470449053651, c_new = 5.3713776274445975
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6567.491244298117
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4092:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.272139304778257, b_new = -1.3068180077003773, c_new = 4.524149066890077
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5058.7382031984325
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4093:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.158721262679106, b_new = -0.9982531154369052, c_new = 5.8617801340039195
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4222.139060683208
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4094:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2332429855425664, b_new = -1.679671394849692, c_new = 4.751050470202906
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3868.1820156643003
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4095:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9616548873593382, b_new = -0.8262160432102615, c_new = 5.6301027776474415
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3021.8039737878844
Acceptance probability: 6.864844332384755e-05
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4096:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7463819405282726, b_new = -1.3744020576277747, c_new = 5.485681267527759
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12053.306234386138
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4097:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5546430733945673, b_new = -0.5145768999320504, c_new = 5.183163970037657
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11656.203719243262
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4098:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.508472404471002, b_new = -1.2734621298542024, c_new = 4.979634340237041
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10453.234712788315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4099:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.965298344914311, b_new = -1.7897380298034222, c_new = 6.015476833530275
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3559.5378632122724
Acceptance probability: 2.003409755474025e-238
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4100:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4633150312742624, b_new = -1.3319174444373825, c_new = 4.683244558852186
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8813.852019678954
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4101:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1135236244993907, b_new = -0.6709395001148252, c_new = 4.3104190332994925
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3835.5576534718243
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4102:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8851811251686694, b_new = -1.3592603780374646, c_new = 4.734176425570001
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4097.202545499953
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4103:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.829707867761941, b_new = -2.061539739021754, c_new = 5.218288561471261
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6567.916279033845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4104:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.287851241381052, b_new = -1.0889031851587192, c_new = 4.6079088353953965
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5912.449055685938
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4105:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.466127265404639, b_new = -1.5526500492185047, c_new = 5.833601059606494
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11187.818657282074
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4106:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.658356092223157, b_new = -1.2375376044166313, c_new = 5.073985522934395
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7958.922754749633
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4107:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.710625693718686, b_new = -1.5540160608911575, c_new = 4.061880829550545
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8183.178278251746
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4108:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.616464388954047, b_new = -0.4109568587725322, c_new = 4.1319450972002985
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14978.079009738605
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4109:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.571751590260542, b_new = -0.5644121809640159, c_new = 4.88935426422282
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11642.801485268192
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4110:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5731256128613476, b_new = -1.3489608003844549, c_new = 5.4464314460998065
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9577.321036347883
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4111:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2288016389131373, b_new = -1.6680895103327487, c_new = 5.158399823169864
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13393.211329366535
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4112:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.397856139479282, b_new = -1.5686456845891548, c_new = 5.470892508590591
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7253.135724791011
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4113:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0152396368725514, b_new = -0.41959646317481347, c_new = 4.721679305794813
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3299.9910598030538
Acceptance probability: 1.0507860546156205e-125
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4114:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5719511939906736, b_new = -1.044736878169696, c_new = 5.50509247550962
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8884.826276163969
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4115:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.868225894930287, b_new = -1.236260809005818, c_new = 5.573607204394816
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13066.414471482878
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4116:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7361154900833813, b_new = -1.326720604365272, c_new = 4.916009365491059
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6648.026993654276
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4117:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.232404728245574, b_new = -1.1904131865165593, c_new = 4.845057260959787
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12859.451543183055
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4118:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5933867526304026, b_new = -1.451408005505377, c_new = 6.417067620113506
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9159.006652250424
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4119:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2112045883735383, b_new = -0.4426506252879199, c_new = 4.9001661502925895
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6125.509128858847
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4120:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4347974776997834, b_new = -0.9097333296359696, c_new = 5.070325832573201
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10608.682749470698
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4121:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3547478957647567, b_new = -1.2023185314077949, c_new = 5.555311198262964
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7379.027443193358
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4122:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9429194992945087, b_new = -1.2641558778369413, c_new = 5.4480577311163865
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3284.0159347213603
Acceptance probability: 9.107998934927241e-119
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4123:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9897924939525646, b_new = -0.28959534963817446, c_new = 5.132552910147525
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3299.8979506096503
Acceptance probability: 1.1533234153276217e-125
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4124:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9180860399793556, b_new = -1.7076479947417968, c_new = 4.7880911676570665
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4244.668045598166
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4125:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.447779771552473, b_new = -0.4688784743463106, c_new = 5.033550216412341
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10556.885802103348
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4126:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.181582557329457, b_new = -1.5493325171564778, c_new = 4.509618954520091
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3473.6803425673934
Acceptance probability: 3.883445638620907e-201
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4127:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.174110779655811, b_new = -0.444774887675358, c_new = 5.024498797748274
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5404.824819730484
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4128:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7792268523386188, b_new = -1.2686072427738153, c_new = 4.3111090805947665
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5821.06433548048
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4129:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.32451555728798, b_new = -1.4619182521264764, c_new = 6.0768420157241065
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6216.998550384389
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4130:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8831642883527238, b_new = -0.1742900324077099, c_new = 5.536615100565705
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3060.763560741825
Acceptance probability: 8.254619560614364e-22
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4131:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3014967533110764, b_new = -0.462463659443597, c_new = 5.0671437270137165
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8137.45735553632
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4132:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1448730923142247, b_new = -1.5537649958938529, c_new = 4.195476910837168
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13969.440400517902
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4133:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.348673417344864, b_new = -1.896046060810387, c_new = 5.476983118837927
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5409.874550538047
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4134:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5959002600613816, b_new = -1.5959815239532615, c_new = 5.117448331531147
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10224.338436179938
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4135:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3006494899300542, b_new = -1.4460274164526514, c_new = 5.248977996341956
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12622.998789732887
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4136:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.376628751759655, b_new = -1.0515996587183367, c_new = 4.2626854645916055
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7757.381122042902
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4137:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1763936456876705, b_new = -0.7967964056049147, c_new = 5.658322256230793
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12513.393807572817
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4138:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2819592487085014, b_new = -1.2325446103256437, c_new = 5.126205019252802
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5600.643651599597
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4139:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4381772369260175, b_new = -1.053271560048204, c_new = 4.584735953978837
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9010.742360240622
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4140:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5081750333323014, b_new = -1.3923300598896824, c_new = 5.39381068976166
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9602.356986385805
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4141:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.124834283023292, b_new = -1.358703833717619, c_new = 3.9823289765718215
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3196.5908577124237
Acceptance probability: 8.465478208476652e-81
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4142:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1914586293063736, b_new = -0.7464995897699183, c_new = 4.630922095020049
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4898.82690591467
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4143:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1040133981493914, b_new = -1.31536078115706, c_new = 4.959654398222753
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13718.418692376246
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4144:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.547226969527493, b_new = -1.9299366328151302, c_new = 4.534979650735046
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8773.98510387575
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4145:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2857618767866335, b_new = -0.6200350040759933, c_new = 5.408606873828594
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7478.067272482205
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4146:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2336154014074348, b_new = -1.9575443855658812, c_new = 5.47684162265065
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3629.368917993003
Acceptance probability: 9.430354688605115e-269
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4147:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.564294696603314, b_new = -0.8410035698406405, c_new = 5.791699892363283
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8433.715293019673
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4148:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2765133085190894, b_new = -0.5063238467384575, c_new = 4.495587290880277
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7230.116938875517
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4149:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5398724250303797, b_new = -1.3931066521694384, c_new = 4.180655609122243
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9645.154264516725
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4150:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4711530851959984, b_new = -1.7086846236685216, c_new = 4.748955014638763
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11761.569449192244
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4151:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7098837480910825, b_new = -1.4995201277034276, c_new = 6.516829168480228
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7068.899978875779
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4152:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2666188728509975, b_new = -0.13880550078470022, c_new = 4.406176293368473
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8042.806281509422
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4153:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5637042850097194, b_new = -1.692831226807386, c_new = 5.56867425102191
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9797.288403359531
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4154:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6562401016715165, b_new = -1.2632341190398821, c_new = 4.586585107350114
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8261.596382805903
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4155:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3251339482202344, b_new = -1.4571898343752592, c_new = 4.585030285868513
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12653.484847090625
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4156:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7192915954370753, b_new = -0.7074532439960479, c_new = 4.932676118486167
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5397.098842691272
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4157:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.049946221500425, b_new = -1.1215909590213256, c_new = 4.674678367751012
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13906.206805240123
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4158:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4395739803190986, b_new = 0.11310923120027949, c_new = 6.0355065698916395
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8256.843010555705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4159:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7275175037185933, b_new = -1.3171699883494532, c_new = 5.185578988005809
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6701.0220962600515
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4160:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5456566093903734, b_new = -1.0686849913600907, c_new = 4.816021620845053
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9587.654013234422
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4161:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.412300979773419, b_new = -1.0583125091573986, c_new = 4.889735148260336
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8660.796417801104
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4162:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3556285992311548, b_new = -1.4191360373417894, c_new = 5.360179178996369
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12141.154618443627
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4163:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9127385518906723, b_new = -0.8479862428073175, c_new = 5.763001189797402
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3145.1210151987384
Acceptance probability: 1.90862269767835e-58
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4164:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.749553873735231, b_new = -1.88490012026638, c_new = 4.792607349382017
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11170.919560306342
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4165:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.682777624754338, b_new = -1.5365480296320562, c_new = 5.1835144807361715
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11210.97744650086
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4166:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2747518975232723, b_new = -2.191464725011099, c_new = 5.044879706233353
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13785.391052281844
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4167:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.914279655678281, b_new = -0.7478271517330242, c_new = 5.158332803810833
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3122.566693618367
Acceptance probability: 1.1910705584856229e-48
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4168:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6008077390502313, b_new = -0.8193490438237337, c_new = 5.570152259662533
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11705.808375090077
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4169:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.48376331252803, b_new = -0.7628398980724221, c_new = 5.610124144258757
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10617.322672430184
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4170:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8894089567079915, b_new = -1.9944294049657696, c_new = 4.939720719549481
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5271.945590729301
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4171:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3741330189438896, b_new = -1.2909616611136874, c_new = 4.536312833716904
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12038.69195417882
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4172:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.370025729270374, b_new = -1.663887178548891, c_new = 5.698217255798008
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6501.019417383643
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4173:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.050935064924376, b_new = -1.8816705811121155, c_new = 5.345487658978556
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3145.69728159568
Acceptance probability: 1.0726320462700507e-58
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4174:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.721973950227815, b_new = -1.2990819213131795, c_new = 5.111225902687806
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6797.058822966845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4175:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.257190165638734, b_new = -0.5205060989482428, c_new = 4.579377977431814
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11841.245187149321
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4176:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.799125195903082, b_new = -0.8598403060026419, c_new = 4.345243295407542
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4522.438360339684
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4177:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.490194797921404, b_new = -1.2265084484614683, c_new = 5.282877225233902
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10484.348569694164
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4178:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8456557265117493, b_new = -0.9218698830163856, c_new = 4.675628259066506
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3911.965297952768
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4179:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.240161026005307, b_new = -1.40524624567466, c_new = 4.783853727617943
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14444.496293270413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4180:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3137286467855023, b_new = -0.8811664879963512, c_new = 5.145059955377141
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11745.609654374899
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4181:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2996835482241953, b_new = -1.8565420137430164, c_new = 5.612500076606616
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4672.116747577105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4182:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4317373214394475, b_new = -0.9472365376496075, c_new = 5.1653313590645915
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9357.06010649823
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4183:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5456663485526634, b_new = -0.6979583206542824, c_new = 5.879956998532786
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11487.613008609596
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4184:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.333340623716989, b_new = -0.2031558676395202, c_new = 5.1883097819505375
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9520.943065694668
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4185:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0900622190455422, b_new = -1.1714895264588079, c_new = 4.5262338799252
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3164.881477270031
Acceptance probability: 4.998738831421255e-67
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4186:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8386665049844226, b_new = -1.0690174168085511, c_new = 5.630994099011092
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4030.6665558401837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4187:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6690789858893615, b_new = -0.24716244093695183, c_new = 4.102311465946838
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12642.347083695258
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4188:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7687558301400403, b_new = -1.5637614820809742, c_new = 4.711611325394384
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6687.687550965464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4189:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6991644615993344, b_new = -2.2281100542867507, c_new = 5.569573566516792
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9598.708194129633
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4190:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.913891255030796, b_new = -1.6476293159619093, c_new = 4.668777434877127
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4225.9428684468785
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4191:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6398240760117497, b_new = -1.7458412350868326, c_new = 4.262445657581107
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9916.195771980292
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4192:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9793846347582322, b_new = -2.09465683848329, c_new = 4.356752158089209
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12431.465666227214
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4193:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.135355473261154, b_new = -1.3665074327300346, c_new = 4.975765354664185
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13609.794395928227
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4194:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.38806685167994, b_new = -1.6083029259216537, c_new = 5.530129620168955
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6965.114092333517
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4195:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.20776663659002, b_new = -0.5232760829721711, c_new = 4.615260187441502
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -15023.163804332537
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4196:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.843008313345077, b_new = -0.3572464470109181, c_new = 5.0086359373313325
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3265.0751378017667
Acceptance probability: 1.532168594527233e-110
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4197:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3176196477308117, b_new = -1.171773797477212, c_new = 5.00536896882048
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12184.20560912832
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4198:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5336387188912113, b_new = -1.3936429417788596, c_new = 5.9370525013564555
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10050.210829738187
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4199:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7558748775877278, b_new = -1.0986741074476263, c_new = 4.466941580759249
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5798.350192015122
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4200:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.546081179459276, b_new = -1.2385195458861311, c_new = 4.987574546121407
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9885.764906011425
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4201:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1705956595709766, b_new = -0.6959444981812072, c_new = 5.626624420447915
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4948.160901780606
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4202:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0070088307326586, b_new = -1.0838440099423374, c_new = 4.85881902182372
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Acceptance probability: 0.3858671963223081
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4203:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8088456061844536, b_new = -2.0890324539136422, c_new = 4.743770349829747
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -7312.580127669764
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4204:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.795762849146342, b_new = -1.1792011012279022, c_new = 5.290642443267099
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4972.19956268358
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4205:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0020122886182783, b_new = -1.747622257888383, c_new = 5.501628772092355
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3297.410305250919
Acceptance probability: 3.5965317789742735e-124
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4206:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1255042397271113, b_new = -1.1817153393341937, c_new = 5.812160764781256
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3555.8859622363143
Acceptance probability: 2.0013929563519505e-236
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4207:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.953382992579098, b_new = -1.5004397088967847, c_new = 4.959377653007667
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3503.0208207118567
Acceptance probability: 1.8212586024667398e-213
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4208:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6890151436081333, b_new = -1.6616074406768666, c_new = 5.250025593959652
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -8424.943853123825
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4209:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.074638230949446, b_new = -1.3081152146830162, c_new = 4.031795924177456
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3048.641149658424
Acceptance probability: 3.935097013262382e-16
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4210:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.265877911956091, b_new = -0.6443364318293843, c_new = 5.5085470951297895
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -7005.433982560424
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4211:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.990373609019155, b_new = -0.7482172125139801, c_new = 4.201230199288747
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3016.725520952885
Acceptance probability: 0.028558597585722663
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4212:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.087891400294603, b_new = -1.4738913665640714, c_new = 5.1851055004436
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -13908.392356427781
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4213:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.398830624364579, b_new = -1.9218556622930407, c_new = 4.458242741610763
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -6023.992085653972
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4214:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.374794895478019, b_new = -1.5784522894319015, c_new = 5.354829654636669
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -6704.792004122119
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4215:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.831371431668606, b_new = -0.6229945083959664, c_new = 4.335610897565452
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3717.3689248635847
Acceptance probability: 1.479696943082118e-306
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4216:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7016932901084587, b_new = -2.7606171258586034, c_new = 5.045113858921909
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -9386.330884084951
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4217:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.731580099090941, b_new = -0.6630782351240678, c_new = 4.068088070360005
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -5335.249748121667
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4218:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.731231943350891, b_new = -1.3371328291997755, c_new = 4.53516594155424
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -11735.09960676599
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4219:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.557029702059419, b_new = -0.3989468653264763, c_new = 4.624768667587608
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -7903.29754679489
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4220:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0454252007070823, b_new = -1.0196322738624952, c_new = 4.555197087741681
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3064.2009709906715
Acceptance probability: 6.877188046439903e-23
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4221:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1916441956970423, b_new = -1.0301025068920888, c_new = 4.372375939790354
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4277.732418934764
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4222:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.024337541526463, b_new = -1.3511918230501072, c_new = 4.344071985081771
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3063.6567630644486
Acceptance probability: 1.1851065515296934e-22
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4223:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.371060871530387, b_new = -0.7460586033988996, c_new = 4.613694093168447
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -11153.025757381047
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4224:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.841942118612289, b_new = -1.4169763399100792, c_new = 3.9836585283827115
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -5099.350578363816
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4225:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0506427006264345, b_new = -0.9544075555291576, c_new = 5.049644496373863
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3142.944722889818
Acceptance probability: 4.3594727313429216e-57
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4226:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.811713279692362, b_new = -0.935778325385746, c_new = 4.403017797959996
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4460.6682499651415
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4227:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.292411290219255, b_new = -1.1120704209979462, c_new = 5.331469582440598
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -12201.045663825085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4228:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5686260942434855, b_new = -0.6821420702929516, c_new = 3.9615051397093697
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -8634.567321533523
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4229:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4475963157570835, b_new = -1.8350981526702559, c_new = 4.873132968644903
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -12153.222074203492
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4230:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4880928742577852, b_new = -1.236211496513279, c_new = 5.1850769082359065
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -10561.13144335368
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4231:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.151132195543839, b_new = -1.535322030944969, c_new = 4.248030781502141
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3246.441683235672
Acceptance probability: 4.912190416894123e-102
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4232:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5956124929317417, b_new = -0.8816041809851771, c_new = 4.573377058184508
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -8418.734157233886
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4233:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.530439528392688, b_new = -1.9427550834367824, c_new = 4.740564147333435
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -8548.425806895684
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4234:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.736319845972505, b_new = -1.3390423115603753, c_new = 5.5013690642660285
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -6457.218365193142
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4235:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4063672416410413, b_new = -0.9693187401019281, c_new = 5.215693280996643
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -10986.11293592407
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4236:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4660856730852396, b_new = -1.140387390717313, c_new = 5.453736539598869
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -9553.412905136676
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4237:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.918105531084707, b_new = -1.6832603219747095, c_new = 4.84664403778814
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -12651.434164024135
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4238:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.194433879974139, b_new = -1.5891313364752762, c_new = 5.1088008809205565
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3625.0965089469805
Acceptance probability: 1.7521603205005637e-266
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4239:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.780223444524275, b_new = -0.2784971216335852, c_new = 4.886307456163824
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3724.916659739179
Acceptance probability: 7.80248907525433e-310
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4240:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7286690593980074, b_new = -1.2573903705463172, c_new = 4.994174266845987
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -6586.434877883167
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4241:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.231023855816983, b_new = -1.504204306455039, c_new = 4.96744483702255
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4145.613982813051
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4242:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0481903514594566, b_new = -1.4693133719530067, c_new = 3.8401621756411357
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3084.1872801264303
Acceptance probability: 1.4370342804969357e-31
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4243:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7995156940627193, b_new = -1.3574126487598124, c_new = 3.5374717831676588
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -5930.886925876578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4244:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9652189759906684, b_new = -1.3687696478892715, c_new = 5.597945416370097
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3212.3820476220526
Acceptance probability: 3.0421946352704334e-87
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4245:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.395238850135316, b_new = -1.4750526748051291, c_new = 5.924896443314154
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -7623.428854660929
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4246:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9476506945105725, b_new = -0.5532431864983344, c_new = 5.406985339862318
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3032.9648085625113
Acceptance probability: 2.5299030464963676e-09
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4247:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7799347647690893, b_new = -0.7372901613235707, c_new = 4.828822323583561
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4458.519501529232
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4248:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5080350113602456, b_new = -1.1181197603264095, c_new = 5.790780253658745
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -9878.488990361857
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4249:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8065940678842813, b_new = -2.3768146600662323, c_new = 4.992877470786202
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -8117.477106291545
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4250:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6018667572680902, b_new = -0.7459170885296942, c_new = 5.821188876897205
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -7511.342040328902
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4251:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.92295038965501, b_new = -1.7912321168629732, c_new = 4.797245295280257
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4326.625781182676
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4252:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8867871048666123, b_new = -0.34267404241907873, c_new = 4.475107631502361
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3085.7641500530544
Acceptance probability: 2.969212092153506e-32
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4253:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.307842753882929, b_new = -0.9491527911972177, c_new = 4.297880743347667
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -6599.098428784418
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4254:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.136664740371665, b_new = -0.8455614200009594, c_new = 5.573099180674204
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4117.149873923718
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4255:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.136483209609947, b_new = -1.3356151694409293, c_new = 5.71378839168209
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3465.9725212556327
Acceptance probability: 2.2399773858679955e-197
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4256:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7842052042691452, b_new = -1.4266929604203422, c_new = 5.43864610319055
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -14971.260105188789
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4257:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6552068017593293, b_new = -0.9587700658644027, c_new = 5.287196028647473
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -11874.994029351139
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4258:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5935372679852913, b_new = -0.677881159414417, c_new = 4.9967405268995915
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -11690.933839570229
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4259:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.240133693389172, b_new = -1.1611974893663206, c_new = 4.532699768677525
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4819.056679503159
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4260:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.367306717232555, b_new = -1.2413285379625145, c_new = 5.571124772268566
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -7543.55996404763
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4261:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.155412879824963, b_new = -1.4419524698254267, c_new = 4.770676517446216
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3394.5360265972868
Acceptance probability: 2.369840245118047e-166
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4262:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1599423346171003, b_new = -1.2961461625755295, c_new = 6.010118280045738
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3796.536166986755
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4263:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.949191934429879, b_new = -0.26394939602486067, c_new = 5.243244442021854
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3125.0827151410595
Acceptance probability: 2.4934769992437585e-49
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4264:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1588018073851867, b_new = -0.8215252518597493, c_new = 4.632628305301251
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4240.061394500497
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4265:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.62898615444453, b_new = -1.7086964185213311, c_new = 5.419310000112489
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -10476.594226591631
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4266:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4969025675128003, b_new = -1.1647801252170367, c_new = 4.80317667578777
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -9721.52439819376
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4267:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8726359750332784, b_new = -1.1420420394073276, c_new = 5.330898811127445
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3790.756866650155
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4268:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1786113313532, b_new = -1.2447789029362364, c_new = 4.309409099398549
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3770.5163622796354
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4269:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7835742198480773, b_new = -0.8400182124633001, c_new = 4.451742582043007
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4700.453998910799
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4270:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1124719546940067, b_new = -1.7239254697787874, c_new = 5.108769759831743
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3051.0472093977955
Acceptance probability: 3.5482725844456625e-17
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4271:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.3043076626411847, b_new = -0.8011866054552401, c_new = 4.857555851744657
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -15939.672795962191
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4272:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.831568515547467, b_new = -0.7158557815489083, c_new = 4.800943343286533
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3756.744895332552
Acceptance probability: 1e-323
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4273:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8727708425064886, b_new = -1.1982405865119248, c_new = 4.631540026162328
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -12899.031294242206
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4274:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.993018067388938, b_new = -0.7941536832979887, c_new = 4.757549188725312
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3021.374456667696
Acceptance probability: 0.00027335671655288505
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4275:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.501781961378299, b_new = -1.205776123696746, c_new = 4.483257253126458
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -10572.94521314146
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4276:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.503122701735601, b_new = -1.5120253385470968, c_new = 4.5007263699317805
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -11147.63686914772
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4277:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6476185416282676, b_new = -0.9764954174030925, c_new = 4.532076732017906
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -11570.64291586643
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4278:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4842334772551475, b_new = -0.24067857245687374, c_new = 3.9907676088631323
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -11053.589495179593
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4279:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.155739225807098, b_new = -0.5309664689928333, c_new = 3.8491362610575117
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4543.100790999546
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4280:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9116366141453316, b_new = -1.8219442613513486, c_new = 4.960381786030488
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4508.571037216345
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4281:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5536695090581176, b_new = -1.2133162344091146, c_new = 5.080325276567345
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -10420.248246542884
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4282:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5375149789037423, b_new = -1.1400797584059261, c_new = 4.869583979199093
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -10303.322071780964
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4283:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.090649498750514, b_new = -1.8851759370868628, c_new = 5.679083170912714
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -14189.892399969918
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4284:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.997176624511132, b_new = -1.1740553855686169, c_new = 5.207636581479181
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3028.8338769136344
Acceptance probability: 1.5745073714988163e-07
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4285:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0772085142586647, b_new = -1.5949075884249102, c_new = 5.372306563523352
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3021.2095732204707
Acceptance probability: 0.0003223574566103718
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4286:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8438043478850106, b_new = -1.3033560339901935, c_new = 5.131782267083774
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4486.159583294839
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4287:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.84265938476405, b_new = -1.3565754166221868, c_new = 4.758815094497965
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -12551.639371772282
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4288:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.812642113015094, b_new = -2.236323795699671, c_new = 4.560024143906245
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -7752.749129152262
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4289:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.938566705600536, b_new = -2.2249712201333405, c_new = 3.933899920000517
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -5279.997738848381
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4290:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.251900979798566, b_new = -0.9409767585898278, c_new = 4.754088502208182
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -12423.312341846758
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4291:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4354434961346123, b_new = -0.7816933414050931, c_new = 4.625945365708371
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -9596.379234782593
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4292:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.791969673907788, b_new = -1.3256012247275952, c_new = 6.017959353761447
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -12586.375201868157
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4293:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.673333379439239, b_new = -1.4839944103900684, c_new = 5.105912477046683
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -8311.635908689761
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4294:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.642892306301197, b_new = -1.2010312979743114, c_new = 5.137720030784959
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -11357.339454012526
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4295:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.327013125338951, b_new = -1.0213822481070998, c_new = 4.961918363115522
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -7058.814348396957
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4296:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.767705353400941, b_new = -1.9669933000431357, c_new = 5.012067426465254
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -7747.828741645925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4297:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.521059484432966, b_new = -1.0721566942006187, c_new = 4.784238407408682
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -9949.211202266459
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4298:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.970259991887377, b_new = -1.7856457588028491, c_new = 4.96323335244073
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3695.9331328299468
Acceptance probability: 3.017303329749518e-297
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4299:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.691034528362492, b_new = -0.8441927497218339, c_new = 4.434782595917991
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -6471.45530460864
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4300:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1116229808446128, b_new = -0.3852846075846178, c_new = 3.6875045895098193
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4130.239847044205
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4301:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.82257853877812, b_new = -0.03422461128140131, c_new = 5.687019277797798
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3161.7892251814155
Acceptance probability: 2.8534522277588684e-65
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4302:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.787108414264014, b_new = 0.1018937802349349, c_new = 5.085040175758442
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3286.5967712193406
Acceptance probability: 1.787072047575139e-119
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4303:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3934473697633014, b_new = -1.7482162594291712, c_new = 4.010104744710684
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -12736.552869509564
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4304:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0968917747641447, b_new = -0.6134015067181093, c_new = 4.116897127214515
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3697.4304006596017
Acceptance probability: 6.750933277437441e-298
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4305:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8739541734558998, b_new = -1.1957381140761434, c_new = 5.5810097651860895
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3804.9020010508684
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4306:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.775782358748966, b_new = -1.0889494086605134, c_new = 4.99428035215627
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -5215.855125748284
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4307:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5416294037785576, b_new = -0.43971933316013634, c_new = 5.445150363902139
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -7994.951113051915
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4308:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.28579610181464, b_new = -0.9346794272747464, c_new = 5.9996976952830305
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -15235.93445057945
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4309:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.004892519116875, b_new = -1.0481370811572626, c_new = 4.431246404160457
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3019.4096482678196
Acceptance probability: 0.0019500026219988764
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4310:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5389450898043764, b_new = -0.23838305787027048, c_new = 5.692486919360879
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -12117.772318670352
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4311:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3529216725092805, b_new = -0.494121386823118, c_new = 4.519610164369912
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -8865.478393217742
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4312:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.989082483969589, b_new = -1.5344481433425405, c_new = 5.932837646570632
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3166.822654533645
Acceptance probability: 1.859430769500446e-67
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4313:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.794179313106167, b_new = -2.4619139642846113, c_new = 5.253334365498566
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -8526.357944556992
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4314:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5114078826982453, b_new = -1.0971940558107616, c_new = 4.545151357180796
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -10210.934682844285
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4315:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7380128628267073, b_new = -1.1842326551587987, c_new = 4.2572714701050165
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -15181.342043727353
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4316:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3142138282899016, b_new = -0.4944991850473609, c_new = 5.2264577381678325
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -8381.765343051935
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4317:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1678263641792124, b_new = -1.8976384362792733, c_new = 5.3075095593710895
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3181.9305102777616
Acceptance probability: 5.106479940628874e-74
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4318:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3521348045949244, b_new = -1.9087490937466458, c_new = 4.5157423576702795
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -13103.608734962854
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4319:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1464245512406643, b_new = -1.1435534633191704, c_new = 5.049762910245184
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -13275.888756462322
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4320:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1593321644076786, b_new = -1.528353640273974, c_new = 4.154166478586016
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3294.425852676275
Acceptance probability: 7.112383843632298e-123
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4321:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0655903698689198, b_new = -0.9816627629254571, c_new = 5.4641889483786805
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3243.128034842187
Acceptance probability: 1.350126326482537e-100
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4322:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0824512683628438, b_new = -0.7271681025246786, c_new = 4.73777260980667
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -13235.57842835629
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4323:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2566032102788394, b_new = -1.3966165554503336, c_new = 4.745365801335708
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4667.826710929159
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4324:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7481271194287675, b_new = -1.1116826391704553, c_new = 5.249414071310746
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -5715.822297241137
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4325:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.081945593118586, b_new = -0.8822138384893028, c_new = 5.029440807244335
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3391.188915105811
Acceptance probability: 6.735209693256293e-165
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4326:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.025509660281514, b_new = -0.539043399371784, c_new = 4.853473776682095
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -13306.374585070766
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4327:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.723881733495785, b_new = -0.3054594184624997, c_new = 4.247876737142122
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -12970.067328151763
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4328:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.443690094167654, b_new = -0.19409113084630036, c_new = 4.9533317905349605
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -9149.020772411612
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4329:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7697880780307313, b_new = -0.05550321942140668, c_new = 4.514457458853681
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3617.3573286441197
Acceptance probability: 4.023992300260367e-263
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4330:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.78477204418224, b_new = -0.7953000390404753, c_new = 4.768536475052008
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4509.514011709412
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4331:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.799129344573644, b_new = -0.7966038957668802, c_new = 5.389658887840012
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4160.04815094158
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4332:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.994812539335312, b_new = -1.3153766665880664, c_new = 5.32172620769513
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3073.268483677098
Acceptance probability: 7.933049703956786e-27
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4333:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0340404789740933, b_new = -1.244789219688229, c_new = 5.133794683199476
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Acceptance probability: 0.8421286124984237
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4334:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.046939915479889, b_new = -1.0232585927523417, c_new = 3.7563517318163457
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -13785.846040941125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4335:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.070259924520917, b_new = -1.7857047561115875, c_new = 5.410279912805159
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3042.7058755495445
Acceptance probability: 1.7669888715339598e-13
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4336:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9377575970430665, b_new = -1.3727622007284657, c_new = 4.697000236430188
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3538.889372680742
Acceptance probability: 5.721092884647052e-229
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4337:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.046721091100119, b_new = -0.6712814563034701, c_new = 4.81040611081188
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3302.7077225589774
Acceptance probability: 2.1373043687931596e-126
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4338:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0417791933863136, b_new = -1.696365200550178, c_new = 6.12027987574364
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -14114.284824577528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4339:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.587296579150443, b_new = -0.49524052684993125, c_new = 5.832987257148543
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -12173.59918707516
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4340:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.042609085753067, b_new = -1.8576827879400781, c_new = 4.99635459096722
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -14520.53563303619
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4341:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.054024012594197, b_new = -0.30886389455265284, c_new = 5.97947204177871
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -4049.248233063091
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4342:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0344795530408732, b_new = -1.0314935516691317, c_new = 4.9908511059961755
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3048.445992202519
Acceptance probability: 5.679797163148025e-16
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4343:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3829571948723873, b_new = -2.103661960910055, c_new = 4.736531736149257
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -5368.444036383576
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4344:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.262534103095084, b_new = -1.1376811965201576, c_new = 5.393846033441541
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -12437.497640257981
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4345:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.730882067633915, b_new = -1.7488037353845243, c_new = 5.421657079013658
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -7739.52840887898
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4346:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.539629213823912, b_new = -1.2751245768010677, c_new = 4.878688520845803
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -10088.649965953657
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4347:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.447670550476341, b_new = -1.4932798392303117, c_new = 5.864438369951669
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -11267.053597757546
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4348:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1928384912286676, b_new = -1.2018194227579804, c_new = 6.005870668515659
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -12821.409372741247
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4349:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.418072111972278, b_new = -2.63382698192785, c_new = 4.888372242267047
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -4913.085671163713
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4350:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0165052702790396, b_new = -1.7934604043841538, c_new = 4.80682490272947
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3334.8261434363303
Acceptance probability: 2.404437092122067e-140
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4351:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.106138653464314, b_new = -1.1253453386649406, c_new = 5.054019254386453
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3346.4548679139607
Acceptance probability: 2.1415220320770976e-145
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4352:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.490711786663884, b_new = -1.3191843064098325, c_new = 4.132325542318848
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -15168.223888231001
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4353:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.219001001806383, b_new = -1.7052111751005776, c_new = 5.4648712257822245
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3791.497528009569
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4354:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5493440642894942, b_new = -2.0063361471878594, c_new = 4.260475839956798
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -8562.600439335441
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4355:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.911552211408222, b_new = -1.549440383575237, c_new = 6.322190935191959
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3743.3183457639693
Acceptance probability: 9.44287e-318
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4356:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.340676664671716, b_new = -0.22103852281700398, c_new = 4.362730667286428
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -9279.955461351186
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4357:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7583592575502593, b_new = -1.078802915099675, c_new = 5.385694671056863
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -5393.762778205928
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4358:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2234760912232434, b_new = -1.732338224230756, c_new = 5.187961283501375
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3759.0785039190896
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4359:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.690275353312975, b_new = -0.5921730059024524, c_new = 5.914873768533152
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -5380.79458258351
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4360:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1236578227180454, b_new = -1.4552489783527744, c_new = 6.0747947622865315
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3300.1702734663936
Acceptance probability: 2.703127386104205e-125
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4361:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2782926485075987, b_new = -0.793796359854983, c_new = 4.451438844576759
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -12105.733475213237
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4362:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.080465779072516, b_new = -2.249423432287518, c_new = 4.275324595155076
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3414.371817813433
Acceptance probability: 6.835432165731261e-175
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4363:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.93865831380932, b_new = -1.8525982462878445, c_new = 5.198829017001991
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -4116.89683507603
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4364:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3728765029498238, b_new = -2.028883623908078, c_new = 4.97528382505321
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -12989.064392810447
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4365:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6842991804197998, b_new = -1.279472905647201, c_new = 4.929970918411259
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -7603.52627391565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4366:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.075774636892385, b_new = -0.5890726692783022, c_new = 4.929649006587185
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3655.1404554106457
Acceptance probability: 1.86326769333762e-279
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4367:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.618801547794341, b_new = -2.051220839402424, c_new = 5.161579129969645
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -10561.0181640757
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4368:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.053686382519326, b_new = -1.7652311929354896, c_new = 4.647498619962276
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3134.289960587499
Acceptance probability: 2.970099866048886e-53
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4369:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.017691874117392, b_new = -1.8998590671051514, c_new = 4.755835509153814
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3440.1192469995785
Acceptance probability: 4.4957231480760685e-186
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4370:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3784739635933994, b_new = -1.1329222189243568, c_new = 5.785287628260161
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -11370.878791656352
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4371:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2311672442988986, b_new = -0.23946702425568134, c_new = 5.500650706438124
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -7416.179538723943
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4372:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8328211305839517, b_new = -1.060824213937389, c_new = 6.616778280693543
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3905.954761215215
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4373:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2356434892311454, b_new = -0.706331992688044, c_new = 4.620883861369782
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -5830.821118921445
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4374:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1491967750874084, b_new = -1.2485090755140384, c_new = 5.246944866137888
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3611.1735467619674
Acceptance probability: 2.3166534190133855e-260
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4375:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4916830913787935, b_new = -1.9396147048537506, c_new = 4.988899091095272
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -11878.753853531021
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4376:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6579829711146905, b_new = -0.8768414100566877, c_new = 5.861575637871605
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -12185.096656651167
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4377:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1356590546595293, b_new = -1.7253127976585345, c_new = 4.921970188539834
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3109.6072139269663
Acceptance probability: 1.5572262826833863e-42
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4378:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.662890398064073, b_new = -1.1783821284552336, c_new = 4.7692593369695935
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -7828.255040186585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4379:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9393840177644304, b_new = -1.3716313210870914, c_new = 3.611293427728505
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3727.9294495991358
Acceptance probability: 4.5542486113177e-311
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4380:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6331226283932394, b_new = -0.4667292377695542, c_new = 5.597652954022077
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -6274.575564741943
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4381:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9340295305619213, b_new = -1.1209442009059392, c_new = 5.465929461888738
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3226.3900496854667
Acceptance probability: 2.9799609576620596e-93
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4382:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.780266415100797, b_new = -1.569304292162092, c_new = 4.8099212724806435
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -6417.24606493233
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4383:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.218281644756523, b_new = -2.013664057211987, c_new = 5.342221794310882
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3420.3305384727323
Acceptance probability: 1.7657388650445514e-177
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4384:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.034374677220533, b_new = -1.6772389496083642, c_new = 4.441376957300922
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3185.0242471144356
Acceptance probability: 2.748845749500892e-75
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4385:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3096462372814033, b_new = -1.820534936048112, c_new = 4.135975321223123
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -13377.534724049641
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4386:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2228915565590937, b_new = -1.7387912320198846, c_new = 5.378923275721072
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3775.179742185316
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4387:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9731154806585325, b_new = -1.1208113166152216, c_new = 5.461099840728703
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3058.407297545877
Acceptance probability: 2.6803584886535298e-20
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4388:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5704892369453094, b_new = -1.1640313115911778, c_new = 4.308980356428673
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -9615.738754569862
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4389:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.984207308749451, b_new = -1.1888035421891094, c_new = 5.284136615634448
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -14065.290355060435
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4390:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4941671367996294, b_new = -2.0094343015272464, c_new = 5.2338233000130145
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -7931.238455317387
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4391:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.099753860082431, b_new = -1.2068122324100916, c_new = 5.290027773503788
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3260.066589104663
Acceptance probability: 7.057897302875264e-108
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4392:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2362477759081254, b_new = -0.5026185637087912, c_new = 5.9410255817536495
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -6934.2238072565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4393:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3097461015709326, b_new = -0.7921149999128543, c_new = 4.644177133358409
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -7203.895076236255
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4394:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.82431998081052, b_new = -0.5716217773628296, c_new = 5.10732077767282
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3601.642490724523
Acceptance probability: 3.192611768266107e-256
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4395:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7540871886426266, b_new = -0.6625174215209054, c_new = 4.930706434340495
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -4691.64278853828
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4396:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9972767935589086, b_new = -1.2691983425797668, c_new = 5.490066737024352
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3042.772584556693
Acceptance probability: 1.652960443170127e-13
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4397:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.32353500913089, b_new = -1.4075386461026833, c_new = 6.197139653173349
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -6387.998054326472
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4398:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.877429741928502, b_new = -1.2289526636625312, c_new = 4.96279583206343
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -12973.496929710938
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4399:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.537963832537562, b_new = -0.8640341768512767, c_new = 5.048171032036779
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -10858.143855899314
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4400:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8512842266231515, b_new = -0.5553464329361577, c_new = 5.635063641036716
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3306.72627378587
Acceptance probability: 3.842658148771205e-128
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4401:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.790949879548063, b_new = -1.2833431560074076, c_new = 4.624426384556202
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -5515.00053442436
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4402:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3368683763302878, b_new = -1.0580002033067242, c_new = 4.569571640368502
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -7021.406041729462
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4403:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8628014254410032, b_new = -1.546747855977204, c_new = 5.458157617390252
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -14801.550276126676
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4404:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.034373722230003, b_new = -1.4411153289800591, c_new = 4.264902047240781
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3076.8027015566277
Acceptance probability: 2.748972713613007e-28
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4405:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.776775881688747, b_new = -0.7869763656421338, c_new = 4.840342571723001
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -4599.316302874269
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4406:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.197817944461872, b_new = -1.6675866684009, c_new = 5.111757093978252
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -13580.750049836734
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4407:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9036647354431753, b_new = -1.9384812769805015, c_new = 4.500694655367476
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -5031.610553982677
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4408:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9441330121475486, b_new = -0.3380216012263405, c_new = 4.7762025837832045
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -14229.97062952242
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4409:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.723780693157668, b_new = -0.9627979003776479, c_new = 4.859997388925897
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -5958.891125056551
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4410:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.994173815187179, b_new = -1.2918963911912937, c_new = 5.094483379992026
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3079.1297896809924
Acceptance probability: 2.68243308938189e-29
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4411:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4755370217543495, b_new = -1.2423939486845477, c_new = 5.379780013197183
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -9445.480621829578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4412:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7121183417992634, b_new = -1.6617871759812288, c_new = 4.304943144360219
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -8354.015390167227
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4413:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.767265696032943, b_new = -1.524969610600204, c_new = 4.949507085046751
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -6517.827890414649
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4414:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.689967919249614, b_new = -0.9146383703681161, c_new = 5.1319429042246645
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -12169.031961542016
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4415:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8019103443199205, b_new = -2.4793019516426673, c_new = 4.634291641689298
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -8694.763134156432
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4416:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.303014968193955, b_new = -1.6456458689411892, c_new = 5.392776738352593
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -12832.587451746685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4417:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.856672138112067, b_new = -0.9278830998746396, c_new = 5.388952378700706
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3667.8464205087657
Acceptance probability: 5.6512526612130065e-285
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4418:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.863961396339912, b_new = -0.9789868970207067, c_new = 5.970231063519364
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3570.4226649897537
Acceptance probability: 1.1554313654185644e-242
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4419:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7340261429240695, b_new = -1.8464735440946571, c_new = 4.98417154683228
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -8132.719385006413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4420:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5409805817872915, b_new = -1.8723417023774296, c_new = 5.62923644473336
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -9144.466287462921
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4421:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4155497333030946, b_new = -1.1840603756053323, c_new = 5.168797410641381
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -11278.843939571976
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4422:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8213093435678678, b_new = -1.2917917791700082, c_new = 4.945970758697456
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -4878.265969852651
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4423:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3937701222959396, b_new = -0.950038242537329, c_new = 5.277195560552254
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -8740.903284618955
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4424:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3972481460260275, b_new = -1.201723741624094, c_new = 4.195938846367811
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -7752.03451478646
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4425:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.551063425943324, b_new = -0.8896117126003269, c_new = 5.3900930007189825
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -8905.707801772516
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4426:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.728742766843786, b_new = -0.8061479420960184, c_new = 5.257266572608089
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -5350.58726891954
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4427:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4934840329580528, b_new = -1.1179457317288926, c_new = 5.372779624384285
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -10201.69313428086
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4428:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8178026312523294, b_new = -2.1252931805994395, c_new = 4.532981769273036
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -11329.421086155455
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4429:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.111926270168671, b_new = -1.0314259250676021, c_new = 5.638471943397703
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3578.8048133495754
Acceptance probability: 2.6449859753103914e-246
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4430:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3875510610436352, b_new = -1.6083552567865664, c_new = 4.506483636235051
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -12422.06556580104
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4431:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9015925726898684, b_new = -1.6359410494741538, c_new = 5.336965677993917
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -4207.137542299761
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4432:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1310803876789506, b_new = -0.9344408212706631, c_new = 5.137324338544058
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3815.913068190016
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4433:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2727314982904816, b_new = -1.767627109439438, c_new = 4.468720317586853
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -4180.739628653384
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4434:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3188631855633277, b_new = -2.882951241639597, c_new = 5.408065424819389
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3456.530360263694
Acceptance probability: 3.3538499345032917e-193
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4435:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8845925264733, b_new = -0.9283842048216202, c_new = 5.795547238659415
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3366.701809433237
Acceptance probability: 3.4481612703200574e-154
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4436:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.604476806251493, b_new = -1.3041743566625805, c_new = 5.294227464391424
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -9036.002547748894
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4437:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.588378243091463, b_new = -1.13045361286059, c_new = 5.269529888955022
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -10990.810589849081
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4438:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.950835496072371, b_new = -1.0650847587917955, c_new = 4.826078885309288
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3156.588739240461
Acceptance probability: 6.145178890571544e-63
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4439:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.592157377904608, b_new = -1.003486774233998, c_new = 5.759052874800551
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -8349.554938747555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4440:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.423082531680713, b_new = -0.8936809288727632, c_new = 4.200596754601771
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -8999.584342387005
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4441:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.97760380472189, b_new = -1.3473067374286798, c_new = 4.177375332815108
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3283.1626703129905
Acceptance probability: 6.579224599046824e-118
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4442:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5375957481884006, b_new = -0.6760632457543383, c_new = 5.853979918662407
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -8478.212973234804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4443:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0009450885040345, b_new = -1.000447229849184, c_new = 5.038477395045641
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Acceptance probability: 6.972408840773899
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4444:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3518934908431843, b_new = -1.2121253025740177, c_new = 4.8508047982471
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7024.106147203194
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4445:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.032905778594001, b_new = -1.369554054887504, c_new = 4.863947054267755
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3027.090381107694
Acceptance probability: 1.5331125463304237e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4446:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6368154043518683, b_new = -0.02738101341135113, c_new = 4.982713163212141
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5357.944929676609
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4447:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9968914104664337, b_new = 0.1709834196707547, c_new = 4.633002776326339
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12718.224189118879
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4448:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3856879556563326, b_new = -1.0050632136706041, c_new = 5.817686698556727
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -8656.47705402456
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4449:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.690627873488054, b_new = -0.17153421510800404, c_new = 5.517749933152209
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4608.896544403098
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4450:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.727141427830865, b_new = -1.0877796146960383, c_new = 4.9192209690152024
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -14994.737799498604
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4451:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.007827259562897, b_new = -1.1295408150262884, c_new = 5.241983603974388
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3011.7361410120175
Acceptance probability: 0.7142262126749528
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4452:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.727879920387082, b_new = -0.4619380067043489, c_new = 4.17475361277465
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4919.506200079918
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4453:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.964171675347951, b_new = -1.1996285847760846, c_new = 4.073018393030848
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3258.133039516023
Acceptance probability: 6.998781041794888e-108
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4454:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.508750286910158, b_new = -0.9807638335443447, c_new = 5.466842039327584
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9696.467636046324
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4455:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2503205096943457, b_new = 0.060508890051555575, c_new = 4.737273682487566
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10976.087006588761
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4456:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0154983269360494, b_new = -1.0363188806534338, c_new = 5.069615311554928
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3017.1437489583695
Acceptance probability: 0.0032014114487182847
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4457:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4553017519348592, b_new = -1.3104967054498633, c_new = 4.805107583197424
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11202.179318979373
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4458:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1914119921777218, b_new = -1.9752517110974552, c_new = 5.0254357671000545
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3243.4824693893156
Acceptance probability: 1.6131849791409313e-101
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4459:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5589292787127533, b_new = -1.3856962444813532, c_new = 5.454750997400672
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9856.595403469648
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4460:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.326396774823559, b_new = -1.2507235550984357, c_new = 4.759146037556061
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12301.215255374427
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4461:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.917683149180072, b_new = -0.2007399844284944, c_new = 4.669617965476331
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -14223.638996025917
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4462:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1917367357143034, b_new = -0.9357957634621148, c_new = 4.725948470553816
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4539.203092136045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4463:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8258199336947563, b_new = -0.9982607729153846, c_new = 4.455602063176335
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4354.213137114699
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4464:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.490612385264684, b_new = -0.7011124363484615, c_new = 5.499398303176322
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10776.414887618806
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4465:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8851853207022007, b_new = -0.8453245843602768, c_new = 4.039276825159025
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3513.1671243898713
Acceptance probability: 1.2165407160368243e-218
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4466:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.775925870538751, b_new = -1.3638777181542583, c_new = 5.435992445602098
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5733.598925977644
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4467:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3800712141874545, b_new = -1.3518241606590036, c_new = 4.80942991681442
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7223.024207645906
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4468:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6912657880930677, b_new = -1.1640792898184098, c_new = 4.952677738804475
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7134.47076574201
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4469:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.243087895385826, b_new = -0.9816006356641771, c_new = 5.162459965294099
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5466.972638843457
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4470:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3113806532956094, b_new = -1.539275989873845, c_new = 4.929194268076017
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5370.643586432025
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4471:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1072531744029446, b_new = -0.5476446107349042, c_new = 4.565290483397725
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3999.159755675997
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4472:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0296669278457045, b_new = -0.5748039406641691, c_new = 5.438430773259133
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3353.9960643418895
Acceptance probability: 1.6301955613243831e-149
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4473:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2001162898433337, b_new = -1.2685365450734092, c_new = 4.273585843032412
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3981.5200442791715
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4474:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0619148909280365, b_new = -0.7804699463807223, c_new = 5.271494269357996
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3370.3048009395143
Acceptance probability: 1.3472413229252045e-156
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4475:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0982554670065525, b_new = -0.8537716851258753, c_new = 4.957827232406386
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3550.715146286361
Acceptance probability: 6.001059499633554e-235
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4476:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1884082212711853, b_new = -0.7602674996061856, c_new = 5.324349240448539
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12472.81281548028
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4477:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4573785640277737, b_new = -0.82774505734443, c_new = 5.333544512176874
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10099.60365873211
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4478:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0765800423840175, b_new = -0.47146666428443895, c_new = 5.479488005149899
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3944.869832890778
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4479:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.602090145986981, b_new = -0.04442734369317969, c_new = 5.094077170129663
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6013.2900074910785
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4480:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3908482057038967, b_new = -1.2042598142443346, c_new = 6.023014986174344
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11298.757809270392
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4481:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.67023856589539, b_new = -1.3795352919336068, c_new = 4.49898881732477
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -8335.505053920218
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4482:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2896292045714963, b_new = -1.1945370781157012, c_new = 5.598543018005094
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6019.716533766528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4483:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8050340657832713, b_new = -1.1223436546710739, c_new = 4.830447044310476
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4825.215312717184
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4484:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.72691329472678, b_new = -1.2835593183472798, c_new = 5.003857250014977
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6691.126793526342
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4485:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.123061829998276, b_new = -1.256945687036829, c_new = 4.933663685951939
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3337.8374370250585
Acceptance probability: 1.697627434948102e-142
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4486:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.208917138795443, b_new = -0.6703298627322383, c_new = 4.918968084986571
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5486.619016637646
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4487:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.05164722945404, b_new = -0.8998589213493849, c_new = 4.211895466609191
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13720.909952746057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4488:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6079753317231738, b_new = -0.6953238223546451, c_new = 5.095783886625924
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -15023.434581444231
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4489:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9325647745477652, b_new = -0.43924428020225836, c_new = 5.674786304690581
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13476.180622563621
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4490:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.684905659083761, b_new = -0.9334950185390688, c_new = 5.722384538344258
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6373.464972019068
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4491:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.909659755801239, b_new = -1.097741582573974, c_new = 4.894584561255446
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3446.892385553553
Acceptance probability: 7.377003932567171e-190
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4492:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.686007137589167, b_new = -0.9383549139601268, c_new = 6.506088502136471
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6105.714140996166
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4493:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9828363188680997, b_new = -0.9897707039312085, c_new = 5.383197286891409
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3016.319372094448
Acceptance probability: 0.007300688466634564
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4494:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.465235409578799, b_new = -0.9229626769286535, c_new = 5.754707238478368
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10111.219266334589
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4495:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.099576957557236, b_new = -0.9067379888470657, c_new = 4.161482574266595
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3395.297201107123
Acceptance probability: 1.8853149563774752e-167
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4496:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1609887291571415, b_new = -0.8158256355064444, c_new = 4.79412996648152
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4319.887173889048
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4497:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.955609023834478, b_new = -0.6170699316824919, c_new = 5.2778703187837515
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3025.628681918144
Acceptance probability: 6.612747347179729e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4498:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9453082980709593, b_new = -1.3499901714578109, c_new = 4.707191061829016
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3446.043801445122
Acceptance probability: 1.7235163620374393e-189
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4499:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.460061370422189, b_new = -1.1267547299191265, c_new = 5.84752610871792
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9632.613126149787
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4500:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2540951057249727, b_new = -1.2017302264100076, c_new = 5.1777139701517205
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12639.393559096496
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4501:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.014581535013612, b_new = -1.3189054052792317, c_new = 5.606308671674284
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13985.824988913471
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4502:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4125434497260403, b_new = -0.7246974634844512, c_new = 4.905780358926789
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9471.490648681705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4503:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3477904157680785, b_new = -0.855153069151841, c_new = 4.605562752039693
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7825.428700305632
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4504:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6951084708096205, b_new = -1.2950336058036358, c_new = 5.198762233663039
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7317.194911116892
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4505:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.134226505383436, b_new = -0.6628271839923252, c_new = 4.5511914554386355
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4157.640798795365
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4506:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.608659581719203, b_new = -1.6138138783027287, c_new = 4.951265829445602
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9821.234312683055
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4507:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3756631903330043, b_new = -0.8351757245267535, c_new = 4.925627791179957
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11162.057812744371
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4508:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.420110113585555, b_new = -1.1635241242642342, c_new = 5.115376807363274
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -8622.515404640895
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4509:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2384130292525493, b_new = -1.4133768306301748, c_new = 4.552037789996474
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4314.009919856918
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4510:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6153396943567944, b_new = -0.7102556532703252, c_new = 4.267108050746689
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11620.247398016994
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4511:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.029413082038489, b_new = -1.2600369576116375, c_new = 4.646196568457053
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3020.5336089963375
Acceptance probability: 0.00010793044925533452
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4512:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.316552357660523, b_new = -1.678854788617538, c_new = 5.800258310162346
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12671.757618586764
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4513:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8856630813380573, b_new = -0.9537683123076937, c_new = 4.736581273543204
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3521.977673897803
Acceptance probability: 1.8144859719288278e-222
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4514:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.0767528168397495, b_new = -0.18938417647484318, c_new = 5.3668631734071255
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -15027.177398094409
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4515:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4987849241845526, b_new = -1.6963926782309453, c_new = 4.749593488617609
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11454.734377369474
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4516:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.239534981110006, b_new = 0.6487962038123622, c_new = 5.5713270128474885
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10233.507267204062
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4517:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4904984079945067, b_new = -1.1089739327585788, c_new = 5.147991698622684
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9861.855086227275
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4518:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.150752619792861, b_new = -0.8710790526224658, c_new = 4.650389580332761
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4052.035030240741
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4519:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8406346287669753, b_new = -1.4978563426128615, c_new = 5.20860920730874
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -14891.427917924902
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4520:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6232496681238793, b_new = -0.5091249313975228, c_new = 5.0900661498004744
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12220.81480398532
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4521:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.060766845003178, b_new = -0.915929215439041, c_new = 4.165247145510181
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -14036.668121937619
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4522:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.98828872081684, b_new = -1.5104439141705686, c_new = 4.908542057826196
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3259.026292608506
Acceptance probability: 2.8647552086868705e-108
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4523:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.008237791924933, b_new = -1.3281212300929854, c_new = 5.126023919128501
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -14133.209399651869
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4524:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1983943780303963, b_new = -1.1097434135260702, c_new = 4.56678442680051
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4277.5673796830315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4525:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.558986931064302, b_new = -1.1659952969847134, c_new = 5.2445354900605645
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9454.586711275015
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4526:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0046846920284205, b_new = -0.7271398807789818, c_new = 5.106109342954886
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3082.5293908222584
Acceptance probability: 1.284452464952103e-31
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4527:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.797143412302898, b_new = -1.965003741900484, c_new = 4.595505092873897
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7270.79347562142
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4528:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.052614382230751, b_new = -1.3838722626393931, c_new = 4.800651853493111
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -14072.443057242619
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4529:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.446921878229052, b_new = -1.4494477484366581, c_new = 5.184656874285876
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11413.384381361067
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4530:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.840411809782667, b_new = -0.8594744923564414, c_new = 4.427036076405939
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3932.052614698485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4531:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7882482171764034, b_new = -1.0952212888385686, c_new = 5.087159181017164
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4979.192166813562
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4532:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4259483750048854, b_new = -1.1968419064805909, c_new = 4.730914050620928
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11333.681294295533
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4533:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.973276595106741, b_new = -1.2160275495528148, c_new = 5.618902474719825
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3086.6224817387333
Acceptance probability: 2.1434395384744548e-33
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4534:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.096391733167393, b_new = -1.8637021157774667, c_new = 4.412047032021198
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3077.4234975278146
Acceptance probability: 2.119235983703549e-29
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4535:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.571660184522766, b_new = -1.587802879551738, c_new = 5.288549262428655
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10167.485956804283
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4536:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.259420620939545, b_new = -0.7159498742564537, c_new = 4.753187125957326
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12055.874099089877
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4537:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.495438073463184, b_new = -0.5699248599305429, c_new = 6.219675516823081
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11311.427938369347
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4538:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1691082031980424, b_new = -1.3165834898871336, c_new = 4.357987463292147
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3591.6517137476767
Acceptance probability: 9.993153909459723e-253
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4539:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.907731510472426, b_new = -1.0903042255597448, c_new = 5.099396648385162
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13343.737006944257
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4540:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7604001836624694, b_new = -1.119382342984315, c_new = 5.146567002101576
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5529.033861854161
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4541:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.748160373496405, b_new = -0.7961669384720228, c_new = 5.938287872438976
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4797.323694506666
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4542:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.528169447377286, b_new = -1.1065965277328185, c_new = 5.562025966414882
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9659.378432267162
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4543:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0506526001744496, b_new = -2.1536868344788753, c_new = 4.561364395328091
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3487.589588989672
Acceptance probability: 1.5606629981152767e-207
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4544:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0386476265362985, b_new = -1.034481152175002, c_new = 4.8620476843983225
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13765.45397856875
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4545:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.831725504009445, b_new = -1.2521479305262955, c_new = 5.486807322258006
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4480.5817850210915
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4546:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2351046351990846, b_new = -0.8219933613086565, c_new = 5.107922284865723
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5690.331477568065
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4547:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.970657138884817, b_new = -1.6764109977370945, c_new = 5.158791836575822
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -14593.245316005161
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4548:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4932006845113652, b_new = -1.3280941108120763, c_new = 5.538978910277727
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9573.810661273134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4549:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.71085446311767, b_new = -1.3661734576610702, c_new = 5.668112529300067
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7003.089213022134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4550:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.738516704052036, b_new = -1.4345329665457855, c_new = 4.967938852835001
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6874.8101924567645
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4551:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.213540640480577, b_new = -1.7762948504959999, c_new = 5.488743325279664
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3646.937649344937
Acceptance probability: 9.75721375829753e-277
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4552:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5343104704688173, b_new = -1.429853860297614, c_new = 5.049495589463881
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9768.033667310307
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4553:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9488335272682418, b_new = -0.7540526905084118, c_new = 5.165913381334234
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13826.436728572988
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4554:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.589305085215588, b_new = -0.6779216798051291, c_new = 4.663882613455777
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7988.3477291938425
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4555:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7978735891445865, b_new = -1.8449654900638943, c_new = 5.129034552893624
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6682.58430541085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4556:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9963710030901636, b_new = -1.4048380443846449, c_new = 4.940035632758091
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3139.259611856839
Acceptance probability: 2.958666974654073e-56
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4557:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1964062896396146, b_new = -1.1103631930308386, c_new = 4.591692991159733
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4253.939298301435
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4558:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.221214323167125, b_new = -0.9083180877948035, c_new = 4.804919822971528
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5116.435170924312
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4559:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9428297028610086, b_new = -1.293140311198384, c_new = 5.122606141277784
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3349.389221722686
Acceptance probability: 1.6329242356550976e-147
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4560:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.479229571642245, b_new = -1.2475344199067098, c_new = 5.785501224391036
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9629.215140712275
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4561:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.181780393247052, b_new = -0.6435296261061367, c_new = 5.552338693126677
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5246.7291630087175
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4562:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6678508372084977, b_new = -1.0503494778794775, c_new = 5.017451646138684
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7285.917208592824
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4563:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.805613080090501, b_new = -0.4240274389202484, c_new = 4.826833766775264
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3652.1855159300567
Acceptance probability: 5.131050863822278e-279
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4564:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.078367875087186, b_new = -1.4959201150431536, c_new = 6.120150269316762
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3061.9806924716704
Acceptance probability: 1.0787090950658025e-22
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4565:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7143195853215167, b_new = -1.9778816016832064, c_new = 4.733008999543752
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9009.72350149595
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4566:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.322375905008477, b_new = -0.4541879392924776, c_new = 5.437726002462237
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -8750.362535225078
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4567:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.704614676363138, b_new = -1.001821779534894, c_new = 5.506372813249855
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6223.149834294782
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4568:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7351321601917835, b_new = -0.11005281249678467, c_new = 4.224683131518958
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4139.837212662176
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4569:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.642484537678371, b_new = -0.5981842504542533, c_new = 3.943564104439096
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7001.039587460131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4570:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1295691165781303, b_new = -1.112700723608318, c_new = 5.775930839795126
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3675.327651690021
Acceptance probability: 4.567772439674999e-289
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4571:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0890438704491774, b_new = -0.6497539167221038, c_new = 5.548338391157409
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3834.708576289254
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4572:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.130066818145528, b_new = -1.6835449252859702, c_new = 4.349219107822842
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3093.073520087456
Acceptance probability: 3.384237863821157e-36
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4573:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6458409407042205, b_new = -2.0522072475732456, c_new = 5.132286511974091
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10194.916583143131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4574:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9118838341330857, b_new = -0.9662026314071278, c_new = 4.516287884043991
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13361.582839979623
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4575:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4270724981955483, b_new = -1.438210253534643, c_new = 5.432892561707209
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -8172.139554166486
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4576:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.639013996780957, b_new = -1.6502733013754227, c_new = 5.0488851035143165
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10572.141618843638
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4577:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9165394336847084, b_new = -0.5613796016534607, c_new = 5.414465441382394
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -14034.919812175198
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4578:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.134549994691529, b_new = -1.098610107936022, c_new = 5.161486543623333
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -14394.109698138003
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4579:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.068172516821799, b_new = -1.403490923365561, c_new = 6.199639874225568
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3070.6807798324535
Acceptance probability: 1.7968193158134807e-26
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4580:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.447056383647094, b_new = -1.6564877491167769, c_new = 5.920738054519158
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11534.229986848572
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4581:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9104384492716795, b_new = -1.058503125923894, c_new = 4.366224182904398
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13214.772842268492
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4582:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.850346295837954, b_new = -0.7142474413668098, c_new = 5.4920301142760986
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3469.850368288241
Acceptance probability: 7.89504841648744e-200
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4583:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2533391033566685, b_new = -1.837326153452191, c_new = 5.631742824594848
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13326.202743239182
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4584:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7914230958603663, b_new = -2.179313405045977, c_new = 5.098262554643882
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7815.3877772542655
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4585:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.185695616550912, b_new = -0.688116564006656, c_new = 5.497537127358768
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5195.546349395417
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4586:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.055885844915055, b_new = -0.7459188880941661, c_new = 5.873412523267499
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3447.9751465623262
Acceptance probability: 2.498290195801915e-190
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4587:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2546691567862944, b_new = -1.6726503835816058, c_new = 4.703912901391632
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4136.254051901801
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4588:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6192517893235663, b_new = -0.0024059489620421592, c_new = 4.912223218211113
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5644.871341540367
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4589:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3062261097961034, b_new = -1.917251347501074, c_new = 4.204882106300426
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4348.4293422952605
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4590:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.854284161603758, b_new = -1.2771966048367207, c_new = 5.197432977018165
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4266.555254903384
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4591:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.986209852716565, b_new = 0.40066135560865135, c_new = 5.695412520437823
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -15295.246197607335
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4592:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.674649940950882, b_new = -1.0138995020194146, c_new = 4.689440460908586
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7172.551255473063
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4593:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.617966521675607, b_new = -1.0932582425319481, c_new = 4.7656093256662375
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -8473.261534252237
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4594:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5422850043027205, b_new = -1.701118385760614, c_new = 5.129186047842396
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9358.342449317748
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4595:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9995055110940907, b_new = -0.8056520543650418, c_new = 5.13887609871455
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13650.386280973953
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4596:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.601570284839385, b_new = -0.2264681786825835, c_new = 5.739568117245161
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12655.456542416794
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4597:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7558040558115358, b_new = -2.1610127227769804, c_new = 4.878759510866869
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -8626.424024295377
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4598:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6647213681716697, b_new = -0.9150421729892408, c_new = 4.203650370482202
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7297.284015067071
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4599:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.330550416812831, b_new = -1.1358659008299399, c_new = 5.727498901992955
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11820.666406920724
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4600:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2372602816880325, b_new = -1.1501741780238794, c_new = 5.485227186496424
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5064.635810172146
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4601:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.039409409657748, b_new = -1.3549830014908113, c_new = 5.170059150364107
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3013.7227555902673
Acceptance probability: 0.09796253977349051
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4602:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.503539628373523, b_new = -0.9982424972488171, c_new = 5.522122809609634
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10373.796354822516
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4603:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4874797744784027, b_new = -0.6233472036925886, c_new = 4.8073815564387266
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9469.072990729155
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4604:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2635606485776933, b_new = -1.0454479204928004, c_new = 5.140478953446432
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5707.060972952719
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4605:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9587265635066995, b_new = -1.1727003567871765, c_new = 4.394207362418691
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3231.2590916699237
Acceptance probability: 3.282688420846062e-96
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4606:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.164490037362535, b_new = -1.4509422145705315, c_new = 3.6160656143370815
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3346.7878332591094
Acceptance probability: 2.2015811080098934e-146
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4607:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3438781388151484, b_new = -0.034845822784536296, c_new = 5.702263225800422
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10306.033005636333
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4608:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.213203110215138, b_new = -0.16756534886213825, c_new = 5.054509391185988
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11558.928049382881
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4609:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6972223480983737, b_new = -1.0412411541235018, c_new = 5.169506757208259
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6597.696627214872
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4610:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.960250401868114, b_new = -2.1949889498977173, c_new = 5.951036717155195
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4237.541564705207
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4611:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.392426424180307, b_new = -0.5239865984365853, c_new = 4.7417711006188465
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9557.08841529137
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4612:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9476934327591033, b_new = -0.5499469773150016, c_new = 5.246952527077135
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3028.175288594125
Acceptance probability: 5.1808939546469885e-08
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4613:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5060353005018228, b_new = -0.6983713977857899, c_new = 3.8067073356994943
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9711.752636138926
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4614:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.518793231483836, b_new = -0.8525572121953051, c_new = 4.926840894506508
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10631.81942967246
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4615:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8570619119282217, b_new = -1.936097526273846, c_new = 4.2737389535350445
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6009.858072976557
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4616:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.417108768775967, b_new = -0.5585296782227904, c_new = 5.505818546504377
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10130.27755640262
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4617:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0848753325888323, b_new = -1.0153766936534414, c_new = 5.674491203481525
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3370.987226785184
Acceptance probability: 6.808816282394027e-157
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4618:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5062484958828355, b_new = -0.9805566274517826, c_new = 5.017041236640242
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10276.00587861753
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4619:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.981762928965267, b_new = -0.466698016359702, c_new = 5.644522523478288
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3180.6015439305747
Acceptance probability: 3.2849072615524188e-74
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4620:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5443422386601924, b_new = -0.6277137699332979, c_new = 5.7628897618739465
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11555.425786836155
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4621:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.570052813572046, b_new = -1.4211773382130164, c_new = 5.112609046512482
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9897.127738071153
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4622:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2535634572563974, b_new = -1.073012508345631, c_new = 5.625165576894747
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12352.578110273187
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4623:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4054064953298617, b_new = -1.2815650563126693, c_new = 5.033811389265379
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11585.431942347988
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4624:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.05605004512659, b_new = -0.9554747910715568, c_new = 5.5493611192194825
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3216.113300833764
Acceptance probability: 1.241546664406919e-89
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4625:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4767089947966285, b_new = -0.28362628426901604, c_new = 5.026172251053732
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11228.546096237878
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4626:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.84613296587189, b_new = -0.7914963950423093, c_new = 5.335518905471426
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3614.7943505110256
Acceptance probability: 8.891665844721318e-263
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4627:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.110165768176574, b_new = -1.549036108461991, c_new = 5.806765047029118
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3134.5832758963543
Acceptance probability: 3.1768959222576826e-54
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4628:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0811798114590925, b_new = -2.0358092442049363, c_new = 5.186202792877293
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3127.5919311589587
Acceptance probability: 3.453865551123153e-51
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4629:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.200766305357763, b_new = -1.8013937594932288, c_new = 4.982217418287142
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13751.526853374415
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4630:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.892511707434685, b_new = -2.009138797360294, c_new = 4.7619066280168125
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5311.654584477294
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4631:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8936177474924363, b_new = -1.2239366759988313, c_new = 5.831485037747379
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13297.961329090313
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4632:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.120452232082521, b_new = -0.561749079555121, c_new = 5.1167146793785125
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4281.044234148627
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4633:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.805006584064125, b_new = -0.7558775352642813, c_new = 4.352694579300347
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4242.207055163713
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4634:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8469745091782444, b_new = -0.40497115412310725, c_new = 4.67091535442802
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3305.69041508811
Acceptance probability: 1.5528039315804332e-128
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4635:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0225431199826165, b_new = -0.9139157067594091, c_new = 4.915101944449439
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13704.776205808641
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4636:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.794372899966547, b_new = -0.7711240810399705, c_new = 5.685306163205133
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4121.164794065334
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4637:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5686601531685658, b_new = -1.9843420768859068, c_new = 5.824312011021277
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10830.011083418256
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4638:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7640472643226177, b_new = -0.8433731285639106, c_new = 4.273282685230399
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5092.274044620418
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4639:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.885315994834582, b_new = -0.29408974709633806, c_new = 5.096161127719376
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -14086.08470829745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4640:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8840858765287996, b_new = -0.6259640804227109, c_new = 5.165471834612159
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13748.298007513416
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4641:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6166726724828364, b_new = -1.2894890311067355, c_new = 4.992443201591802
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -8904.422681790968
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4642:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0192024459122346, b_new = -0.6236638834356294, c_new = 5.90058522915573
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3301.8307592395345
Acceptance probability: 7.367902311486815e-127
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4643:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9906178970412443, b_new = -0.31513714654306324, c_new = 5.155545841850403
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3286.109351730399
Acceptance probability: 4.955236511639532e-120
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4644:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6886693122590435, b_new = -1.0659223534127187, c_new = 5.569749225392604
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6695.124551679194
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4645:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1955661315632233, b_new = -0.6401068120083249, c_new = 5.0826025838635545
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12331.425311435672
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4646:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9862785133813015, b_new = -0.7791132813639152, c_new = 5.1556865220525845
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3026.4256793322775
Acceptance probability: 2.9802339029271593e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4647:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.313695864312942, b_new = -0.2311429942779244, c_new = 6.0371248856070245
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10459.203985812688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4648:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.3735128986642104, b_new = -0.6247333857280746, c_new = 4.627686953720404
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -15425.278029882202
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4649:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.268480211540946, b_new = -0.45768877919181306, c_new = 5.07085458904238
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11516.126700769155
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4650:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0899387732626686, b_new = -1.046920086713337, c_new = 4.597168191446276
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3253.630271359768
Acceptance probability: 6.317565746514654e-106
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4651:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0143097305255573, b_new = -1.2034130297954306, c_new = 4.522783174834847
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3031.9590464968865
Acceptance probability: 1.1779843615670698e-09
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4652:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6012479064023513, b_new = -1.2803878851113497, c_new = 5.73011162595036
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11007.87907045435
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4653:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3538350542687, b_new = -1.5817503809720834, c_new = 4.71987612976392
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12578.461569938096
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4654:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.373512448805254, b_new = 0.21289056549866925, c_new = 4.543509664234878
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10822.130934678822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4655:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5472461511786006, b_new = -1.0867984980679029, c_new = 5.003466553148747
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9538.124948960125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4656:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4135163974568457, b_new = -0.7019284156005052, c_new = 5.161079843437852
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9631.608832844868
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4657:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.44137486567268, b_new = -0.8470277994258825, c_new = 4.697552226138377
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9566.174676151048
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4658:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3636617392912314, b_new = -0.6408287849717, c_new = 4.917750367007198
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -8839.880812213776
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4659:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.189953227725606, b_new = -1.389112524972014, c_new = 5.386219259188219
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3888.365530111529
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4660:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.73230163031755, b_new = -0.4873336912538312, c_new = 4.60611889316597
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4779.520899670581
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4661:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2311520954961543, b_new = -0.37076618329141375, c_new = 5.1141729733491195
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6860.905309490427
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4662:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.547421254118168, b_new = -1.1105690955843384, c_new = 4.512520695382176
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10361.952926367718
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4663:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8701727010458837, b_new = -0.32194372511199754, c_new = 4.633425364687696
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3130.408267851637
Acceptance probability: 2.0662646364817636e-52
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4664:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7811989423492696, b_new = -0.42829077631938806, c_new = 5.17097154424642
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3866.1117949452987
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4665:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3282865932813674, b_new = -0.8737634097110616, c_new = 5.45959088489178
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11516.696764172859
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4666:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0386648802566363, b_new = -1.2325661855920793, c_new = 5.496446858800673
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3024.0155021248274
Acceptance probability: 3.318768906309158e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4667:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6677883441909636, b_new = 0.0804694979392282, c_new = 4.277004141438393
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13109.59309822584
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4668:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.434731767540704, b_new = -0.4659950229648814, c_new = 5.896467715432449
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10701.376121604575
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4669:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0095145222660693, b_new = -1.3988404921771689, c_new = 6.03570941360023
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3033.489773406126
Acceptance probability: 2.548902803619249e-10
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4670:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8884846666958865, b_new = -1.4799495114245806, c_new = 5.104601102476565
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4170.571054337586
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4671:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4252631847343427, b_new = -0.0034077242386245654, c_new = 4.0944062879736185
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10868.581353119931
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4672:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.35340938664549, b_new = -1.467022302922867, c_new = 4.561385407566583
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12464.272532031111
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4673:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.514926117100724, b_new = -1.569973079204133, c_new = 5.461777236210672
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9348.5672620419
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4674:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.024790098353306, b_new = -1.2359643318611535, c_new = 4.752157960082652
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13697.453310058474
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4675:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.119139656134596, b_new = -0.883798312857469, c_new = 4.737567045785065
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -14433.280542077358
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4676:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5243865841202773, b_new = -1.3494571724196427, c_new = 5.479295207517204
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10234.106992752628
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4677:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.443420725573691, b_new = -1.5004355802129323, c_new = 6.113514077925174
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11246.048113961351
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4678:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.603237581530535, b_new = -1.024462915310167, c_new = 3.7588883317494393
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10876.379115653372
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4679:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.313529675294578, b_new = -1.5791256368294637, c_new = 4.700323900422982
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5252.1436049357735
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4680:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.226237352996747, b_new = -0.620991701263655, c_new = 4.937362028602581
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5974.372061142869
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4681:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0677679676512195, b_new = -1.3240947555672278, c_new = 5.656646933143399
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3070.056942980485
Acceptance probability: 3.3529981208031014e-26
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4682:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6391453671257845, b_new = -1.169465759774742, c_new = 4.414806056953097
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -8411.03461900865
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4683:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.224305724095293, b_new = -0.09636671296051569, c_new = 5.652900003801362
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7761.698163647311
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4684:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.871250616349233, b_new = -0.4776351601851466, c_new = 4.138219909637319
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3258.1844463985412
Acceptance probability: 6.6480868030633334e-108
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4685:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.470601485865453, b_new = -1.0494886079238306, c_new = 5.085523641586835
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10445.195020387986
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4686:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6063757590767977, b_new = -1.1566469888315516, c_new = 4.9773888399689605
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -8761.09416608889
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4687:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4100425081810766, b_new = -0.4276970599129478, c_new = 4.964345599853794
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10118.095385697196
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4688:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.188524944093357, b_new = -0.8846790793033292, c_new = 4.970314136519187
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4654.833827544291
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4689:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.433584695398411, b_new = -2.0915262420038063, c_new = 4.846890864568152
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12673.651083627441
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4690:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7316453662043783, b_new = -0.9937431156681107, c_new = 4.5217924295669
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5998.354564750554
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4691:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5554855443576896, b_new = -1.400454812016561, c_new = 5.370203605062556
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10188.631331465747
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4692:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.874047732252081, b_new = -0.411285626882657, c_new = 3.5347507874840676
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3253.787915293998
Acceptance probability: 5.396173185761787e-106
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4693:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5871058965900513, b_new = -1.3845486146463049, c_new = 5.291117911928363
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10549.397131569767
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4694:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.821224115571145, b_new = -0.994901111842224, c_new = 5.305549720662483
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4210.42796509618
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4695:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4139310321682235, b_new = -0.8730511469783347, c_new = 4.7437194753772625
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10881.467836040865
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4696:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.591989403680338, b_new = -1.055843336648886, c_new = 5.006387391576207
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -8753.395372678337
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4697:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2172735887306523, b_new = 0.10062353373159749, c_new = 4.587651779513034
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11256.147593646643
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4698:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3392334375948396, b_new = -1.1056344462544208, c_new = 4.8778347795241075
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11947.682545754284
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4699:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.141926809053456, b_new = -0.40533207369023216, c_new = 4.442150111374451
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4736.387776963758
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4700:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.221083398223053, b_new = -1.7779109284955268, c_new = 5.261375207563237
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3687.4323040125482
Acceptance probability: 2.527672192965641e-294
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4701:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.523295476105405, b_new = -1.2097544535154392, c_new = 5.12652617514413
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10080.882322232821
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4702:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2212423728768624, b_new = -0.5489590969955689, c_new = 5.002309827649521
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6087.953001532239
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4703:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2028607974329524, b_new = -1.2470197672404317, c_new = 5.362435539890285
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12980.389179267848
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4704:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4192271690524905, b_new = -1.0398474950883136, c_new = 4.246087504390458
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -8598.994070580124
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4705:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.574773533087632, b_new = -0.14893433800174782, c_new = 5.830038549160795
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6561.3532447798425
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4706:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8235114260239556, b_new = -0.9926715306079935, c_new = 5.228037810686813
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4192.497588615795
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4707:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0482918787281754, b_new = -0.9565919301648542, c_new = 5.331538213688008
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3153.9612944218043
Acceptance probability: 1.2196535140095507e-62
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4708:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.333792667750398, b_new = -1.794557767005705, c_new = 5.185768386128757
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12879.812338791813
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4709:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0296662596871604, b_new = -0.3780604396448246, c_new = 5.4850811038100975
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3576.4525210272404
Acceptance probability: 3.986833548485077e-246
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4710:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6644190089285753, b_new = -1.0110071783536543, c_new = 5.485617589777828
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11930.473062715602
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4711:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8953033805011725, b_new = -1.9915262310447557, c_new = 5.225401844216474
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5061.970741203735
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4712:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2957016538703074, b_new = -1.6739791346497266, c_new = 5.574447489832463
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12868.436241537587
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4713:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5730173590792704, b_new = -1.1452282723973781, c_new = 5.117384172922865
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10761.198893024244
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4714:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.766872555591802, b_new = -0.7304726572130755, c_new = 4.994764424359268
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4605.300385731219
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4715:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.699150746965487, b_new = -1.9569748362563923, c_new = 4.309460570108504
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10479.702660732608
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4716:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.619393323054063, b_new = -1.5303127508789829, c_new = 5.828805759645225
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10799.967757809894
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4717:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3028269641196752, b_new = -0.6808431306513045, c_new = 3.9756086123220333
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11877.043988793881
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4718:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9369654355927926, b_new = -1.615559778055626, c_new = 4.3135856465142215
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -14858.726421098834
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4719:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3555129949003666, b_new = -1.4398576011983524, c_new = 5.984673349027188
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6904.016530424941
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4720:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.27861796769483, b_new = -0.6030802801882174, c_new = 5.354955987769068
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7346.452428612616
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4721:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.514091117177513, b_new = -0.905368540490535, c_new = 5.180804277652052
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9562.129508136793
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4722:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.824616329402811, b_new = -0.3442721652922185, c_new = 5.221673879857461
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3358.932841832214
Acceptance probability: 1.1701040536027459e-151
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4723:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.169317441109927, b_new = -1.606985400275793, c_new = 5.008547104206551
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3376.1900973585116
Acceptance probability: 3.745360586871645e-159
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4724:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.294607202674511, b_new = -0.9388377743672965, c_new = 4.677697208462441
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6481.651902047726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4725:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3535287476073554, b_new = -1.0760133153588705, c_new = 4.408633716992553
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7265.4399207732
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4726:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.942412266117133, b_new = -0.9821409925407332, c_new = 5.089132939183765
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3127.363632744248
Acceptance probability: 4.339644655379143e-51
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4727:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7688881168276502, b_new = -1.5009471786077313, c_new = 4.097746075432463
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6756.283521618506
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4728:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2371707151616733, b_new = -0.2529799621294966, c_new = 4.506750258700879
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11634.069351741526
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4729:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.453010665335047, b_new = -1.1820114589932191, c_new = 5.039792721062996
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9113.59047061233
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4730:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3721881332396393, b_new = -1.580864925908534, c_new = 5.2755376864509556
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6615.926372270973
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4731:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5469327612211607, b_new = -1.190996461825045, c_new = 5.303746475758076
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10453.46506261329
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4732:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.597617597339762, b_new = -0.32832171108314234, c_new = 5.1036820825769365
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6790.159877262496
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4733:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.527694756213063, b_new = -1.092727906950407, c_new = 5.814157750898078
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9553.24472188372
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4734:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.979767760132451, b_new = -0.5876117223162229, c_new = 5.378703509020707
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3083.176297234201
Acceptance probability: 6.726205805040833e-32
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4735:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.260349910872919, b_new = -0.8952319217638778, c_new = 5.779173714717797
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6274.957105775583
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4736:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.852580876054094, b_new = -0.8881401874962059, c_new = 5.512866038700085
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13374.335240751718
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4737:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.665287379650355, b_new = -0.8526655500226419, c_new = 4.388767101148297
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7045.372975047129
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4738:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7830469175041443, b_new = -1.5621492975025475, c_new = 4.49616817022766
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11813.87651393791
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4739:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8879114010893385, b_new = -0.6345406918660907, c_new = 5.666201787782481
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3152.4656020089274
Acceptance probability: 5.442612727578624e-62
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4740:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2859180184160723, b_new = -0.8039654744974238, c_new = 4.783720288774919
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6705.867080041189
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4741:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2599272566501947, b_new = -1.274596047343127, c_new = 5.213681625519211
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5110.3486902602535
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4742:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4034132210209407, b_new = 0.18809767895133578, c_new = 5.348577741940243
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -8824.605111347353
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4743:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0861917807037638, b_new = -0.7575729656059279, c_new = 4.546619992592931
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3488.854044376948
Acceptance probability: 4.407203826811013e-208
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4744:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.687135025385153, b_new = -0.8374124796699767, c_new = 5.194315644854974
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12272.733550641497
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4745:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.759940572966378, b_new = -0.8265433286582952, c_new = 5.407865529637234
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4801.863715841089
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4746:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9673761619205066, b_new = -0.8765399982300413, c_new = 5.318040997220777
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13828.769667395967
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4747:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9372323799283042, b_new = -0.7623565104905843, c_new = 4.831561290685818
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13961.873046932344
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4748:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.291258679134848, b_new = -1.683076603778823, c_new = 5.322765666674347
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4807.569037759487
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4749:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.307806541560156, b_new = -1.1533464796033002, c_new = 3.8713422265491584
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12564.568393211568
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4750:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7419807502956925, b_new = -0.5503588070689022, c_new = 5.417722605823837
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13093.182376380588
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4751:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.251040657194397, b_new = -0.4329535850353786, c_new = 4.484806328458849
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6871.923535712801
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4752:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.138046166795719, b_new = -0.4320362245039949, c_new = 5.699472973952505
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4995.657247725423
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4753:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8200932138210595, b_new = -1.1765164047481935, c_new = 5.297454175309618
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12768.383769704338
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4754:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.353822113013145, b_new = -1.0907471165314908, c_new = 4.812585192047762
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11818.362009206328
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4755:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.814602926964743, b_new = -0.8299616581253428, c_new = 4.861426328606462
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4121.187178131171
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4756:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.885684061137792, b_new = -0.9642765156483974, c_new = 4.463426846581386
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3577.7820155693043
Acceptance probability: 1.0549599212841074e-246
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4757:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.903060682815168, b_new = -0.9271448874207566, c_new = 4.6834012253336486
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3358.4958152533836
Acceptance probability: 1.8114348361471426e-151
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4758:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0118031968246743, b_new = -1.1216062486207634, c_new = 5.021292288724583
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Acceptance probability: 0.707607819374044
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4759:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.240577486534774, b_new = -1.9531448387194703, c_new = 4.246144805176461
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3551.080301551172
Acceptance probability: 5.886408434819767e-235
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4760:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.371992262999102, b_new = -1.8385660443658076, c_new = 4.768468921311383
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5787.860950256738
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4761:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1279033611963687, b_new = -1.5331475325791148, c_new = 4.995390500732695
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3171.933800093359
Acceptance probability: 2.6982600843854493e-70
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4762:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5748233856896316, b_new = -0.7228504536162803, c_new = 5.21699611876953
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8165.364849014311
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4763:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3832288503218146, b_new = -1.328968391630711, c_new = 4.948842474031196
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11892.194727174716
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4764:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9893839219098413, b_new = -1.5497129476812581, c_new = 5.187856349949128
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14401.760060662204
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4765:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0194034782960997, b_new = -0.8993941389809401, c_new = 5.690320541359279
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3094.617913625282
Acceptance probability: 1.0208141124198182e-36
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4766:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.002136363238009, b_new = -1.0423193325345455, c_new = 5.368773548272695
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3012.2880407747707
Acceptance probability: 0.5812408646712798
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4767:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.764506763906067, b_new = -1.0553887768124632, c_new = 5.630895956607459
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5151.706153909703
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4768:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4794939635469055, b_new = -1.8016766274917337, c_new = 5.683840652004907
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8324.26883690551
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4769:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.915201457894298, b_new = -0.5889352634743195, c_new = 4.48209283270031
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3085.6072506528944
Acceptance probability: 8.360415708697962e-33
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4770:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8055983173556935, b_new = -1.341786904101669, c_new = 5.112663867133146
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12416.76434325045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4771:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2286703042638214, b_new = -1.6260201490061716, c_new = 4.998299143310333
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13386.253190709791
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4772:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1123763942112572, b_new = -1.4185993496932947, c_new = 5.1502862713474125
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3172.5807223096826
Acceptance probability: 1.4129573733582034e-70
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4773:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.342266586885791, b_new = -0.597768807019816, c_new = 4.6630350834048535
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8439.954714336629
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4774:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.344877128810649, b_new = -1.423725159257901, c_new = 4.918344906016475
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6334.485305936321
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4775:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.199422658169846, b_new = -1.0541177582933974, c_new = 5.013569660481579
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4502.787038713554
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4776:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.957570510691115, b_new = -1.7125464595952815, c_new = 5.726052466157345
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14546.312071046468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4777:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.590521177601156, b_new = -1.4499034856709536, c_new = 4.995949775586148
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9705.99327480956
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4778:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0600489833579876, b_new = -0.8128791267202531, c_new = 5.3112453685472625
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3331.367671282106
Acceptance probability: 1.5482223161475522e-139
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4779:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4661249797613842, b_new = -1.2861529472079762, c_new = 4.903845894490463
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9039.463123370715
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4780:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5578756844607207, b_new = -1.612683152011062, c_new = 5.381828356062782
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10369.309182530698
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4781:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1829645601371075, b_new = -1.2424016202323396, c_new = 5.8481739927778245
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4128.217004181156
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4782:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7475370106850292, b_new = -1.3829826634270106, c_new = 4.78097505206606
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15194.427024392287
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4783:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9564117523187994, b_new = -1.358120919352469, c_new = 4.650846927460059
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3375.026583469252
Acceptance probability: 1.6943716424445028e-158
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4784:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.388630807477276, b_new = -1.7199855818707048, c_new = 5.777522693959419
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12198.721834108319
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4785:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6959108880061056, b_new = -0.6659029210698568, c_new = 4.55543718060819
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5870.283781595038
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4786:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6706710997894296, b_new = -0.5948361321289826, c_new = 5.373114182328747
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5923.460156798456
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4787:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6580076487070965, b_new = -1.4170093826858152, c_new = 5.259964016521976
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11192.889094701268
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4788:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.60890456996826, b_new = -1.9297804793268098, c_new = 5.097749501547028
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10458.39438534328
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4789:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.992551159993134, b_new = -1.7500126531943376, c_new = 4.442715292392447
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14744.186117497413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4790:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.370516453650801, b_new = -1.487783993695225, c_new = 4.510065903676729
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6560.3734781506455
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4791:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.525142549742048, b_new = -0.9325502810622756, c_new = 4.914152124838814
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9554.612485736601
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4792:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.887462954202835, b_new = -0.48650330349267, c_new = 4.824370921939176
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3126.3980680568
Acceptance probability: 1.610649201996258e-50
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4793:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.626940683687688, b_new = -0.8030386401803002, c_new = 4.930272558377344
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11768.642095368057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4794:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9223758654558987, b_new = -0.8644841276803223, c_new = 5.262699900517894
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3140.9856753910844
Acceptance probability: 7.441895928255713e-57
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4795:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6377928542918045, b_new = -1.4598713048096308, c_new = 5.588387316854883
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11029.144171336895
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4796:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8469727912120897, b_new = -1.1962701055959961, c_new = 5.2516957836361104
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4213.701582528388
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4797:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1549051258205583, b_new = -1.6115688137086706, c_new = 4.83921278734713
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3259.101278502298
Acceptance probability: 3.756028979848576e-108
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4798:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2290010467295827, b_new = -1.762498733085381, c_new = 5.011361535489468
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3752.0716665999535
Acceptance probability: 3e-322
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4799:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5980227575974206, b_new = 0.08241217842114468, c_new = 4.6060425600614465
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12729.414090219216
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4800:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4933868793860055, b_new = -1.663305080901075, c_new = 5.64286547513017
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8873.649283481962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4801:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0068959057309272, b_new = -1.1108356231917669, c_new = 5.684752469279096
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3013.8925036034298
Acceptance probability: 0.11682795837799978
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4802:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.721791153802129, b_new = -1.2123163318594103, c_new = 4.786811849530937
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6687.619042598164
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4803:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5782456028730767, b_new = -1.4037042011137364, c_new = 4.12648310065122
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10104.053174384524
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4804:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2048994918647713, b_new = -1.2182562306109535, c_new = 5.810708363697959
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4477.083417818991
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4805:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1427696548956314, b_new = -1.47277191605438, c_new = 5.102012069024515
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3310.2370700489546
Acceptance probability: 2.326680971143927e-130
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4806:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8497464888364514, b_new = -1.201506073551069, c_new = 5.11575493639832
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4216.2009933107765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4807:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.393263719684905, b_new = -1.498732491940906, c_new = 4.8278228132402
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7111.70662830314
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4808:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1847545557739068, b_new = 0.2597371497569336, c_new = 6.027472878030175
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8126.849132375458
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4809:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.607757081553669, b_new = -0.8278999230470623, c_new = 4.406615126467569
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8120.251887337266
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4810:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0820024516505864, b_new = -0.9203230005274383, c_new = 4.616813931866298
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3306.0896499608716
Acceptance probability: 1.4721040121499234e-128
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4811:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4617934335676717, b_new = -1.3291115289289548, c_new = 4.677823926092721
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8793.254879474096
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4812:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3103037323435127, b_new = -1.9656494376788831, c_new = 5.398594209464365
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4578.149831205104
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4813:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.280216078407948, b_new = -1.2954071679930426, c_new = 4.694162333980779
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5280.520993602743
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4814:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.582653784784566, b_new = -0.7284314722980507, c_new = 5.1293087699195405
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11552.982086351203
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4815:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4056063134341157, b_new = -0.8502647727128975, c_new = 5.278180687594815
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9198.663321558026
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4816:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5700149937446755, b_new = -1.8404343470267155, c_new = 4.562388484538884
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9287.815278172633
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4817:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4837178938898234, b_new = -1.9067828766769055, c_new = 4.595276516128438
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12030.465969462555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4818:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2319441240883524, b_new = -0.4754953633183425, c_new = 4.773346802767943
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6439.6719293847145
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4819:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1633809403108915, b_new = -0.25830412060673036, c_new = 4.540342839734922
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5493.349563293039
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4820:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.344654052753372, b_new = -1.7251937185159187, c_new = 4.607706437587097
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14515.307074696693
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4821:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.453036669262692, b_new = -0.4934596136919025, c_new = 4.7588132803604015
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10480.863546359438
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4822:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5542489362184195, b_new = -0.3299694018619944, c_new = 5.040302582390249
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11903.294834955868
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4823:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2395995729171543, b_new = -0.8533021648837561, c_new = 5.540516827698374
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5855.448004324445
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4824:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.559521975407648, b_new = -1.5889086377741322, c_new = 4.915843353656343
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10463.538995705898
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4825:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1743927844009225, b_new = -1.203845877515597, c_new = 5.685419690923073
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4042.8457585037204
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4826:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7654149654849878, b_new = -0.4368926248445405, c_new = 5.537353842091319
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4003.8555578570395
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4827:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.602075366602155, b_new = -0.5132475407655348, c_new = 5.081772659706246
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7175.9402188183685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4828:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.625485474829384, b_new = -1.567526330286795, c_new = 5.1790564257319955
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10608.24041138127
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4829:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7703390389386793, b_new = -1.114522227410249, c_new = 4.901994290753758
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5406.8693119049
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4830:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8959083902215284, b_new = -0.24383177234962872, c_new = 4.748906226623226
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3039.485283648802
Acceptance probability: 8.968992007338934e-13
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4831:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.513354322187558, b_new = -1.6668623790987245, c_new = 5.058028018065161
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8985.139415161284
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4832:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.97938153252268, b_new = -1.2434189928368378, c_new = 5.6113267593934255
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3077.854392588331
Acceptance probability: 1.9464862894863684e-29
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4833:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.333614123180201, b_new = -0.44945130486395957, c_new = 4.9700096910982605
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8793.354079907409
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4834:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6135295200297204, b_new = -0.7669398015179016, c_new = 5.675388196339492
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7390.192823201234
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4835:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8665935318198748, b_new = -0.7128734495929496, c_new = 4.56509877623992
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13411.67289663871
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4836:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9862682862211725, b_new = -1.3678015805270736, c_new = 5.167728365809905
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3143.104038497508
Acceptance probability: 8.947262611305289e-58
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4837:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4719552290698332, b_new = -1.970584010231539, c_new = 5.625291175091455
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7745.486563909837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4838:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.083682081227887, b_new = -1.1831417813224003, c_new = 5.41790342199365
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3195.469308005732
Acceptance probability: 1.6208491355425002e-80
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4839:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.044997080561133, b_new = -1.081372186303655, c_new = 5.322294374691243
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3076.349567850245
Acceptance probability: 8.765736852642839e-29
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4840:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.952882380320802, b_new = -0.9791812187656419, c_new = 4.28165838099041
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3142.824174783674
Acceptance probability: 1.1836776600996101e-57
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4841:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.700038664882633, b_new = -1.2770060164593984, c_new = 5.224286898483653
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7155.199050954388
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4842:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.956739210014994, b_new = -2.7345187501565893, c_new = 4.662443299655513
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5964.776651760601
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4843:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7832857698751945, b_new = -1.5456940079374095, c_new = 4.4426386167812035
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6431.84550685702
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4844:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7740149192497365, b_new = -1.1816487664333768, c_new = 4.812586876495334
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5528.854978450719
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4845:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9612862620691394, b_new = -2.2846719966737545, c_new = 4.142760272062796
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15395.145491822892
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4846:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0662199506530037, b_new = -1.2706376133545885, c_new = 5.129515649453585
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3060.4894781186526
Acceptance probability: 6.7723264102585405e-22
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4847:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.707327429647638, b_new = -1.5949510941918206, c_new = 5.814140135040551
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7646.586829062144
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4848:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6592748197566674, b_new = -1.7219210804267717, c_new = 4.797028474170475
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10589.413606466624
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4849:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4406034574008113, b_new = -1.7080018157406731, c_new = 5.252044714766148
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7673.678287242183
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4850:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.409509490880021, b_new = -1.10710721934495, c_new = 6.393323269878411
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10836.382292544296
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4851:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.415300583663964, b_new = -1.8697616116286053, c_new = 4.7017048038342315
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6560.1832047001135
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4852:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.871234714019818, b_new = -2.248636534165854, c_new = 4.847972337528096
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6347.103926729305
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4853:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3912991734933935, b_new = -0.7801625144232296, c_new = 4.694471787985537
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8904.808797640995
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4854:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.622871529908601, b_new = -0.06378892994292351, c_new = 4.065607389999109
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5981.526596276952
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4855:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.789827680426281, b_new = -2.051071069484851, c_new = 5.049153314671148
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11335.246457229925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4856:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7062085090262262, b_new = -1.109424501245642, c_new = 5.598802712214464
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6437.922461695742
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4857:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9783037884045065, b_new = -1.3286851716723709, c_new = 4.650924225022239
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13349.127764848467
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4858:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.212480700352123, b_new = -0.8501187775476902, c_new = 5.528380094718471
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5320.125802885382
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4859:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7263502475150867, b_new = -1.1407495029836283, c_new = 5.431027349939101
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12210.366717047431
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4860:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1286478184732065, b_new = -1.6345539032484908, c_new = 4.4042494206200145
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3104.2473659455763
Acceptance probability: 6.713185671359147e-41
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4861:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5022248973495516, b_new = -0.9692094042782667, c_new = 5.281286466856466
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10334.460262690982
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4862:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4940381271217724, b_new = -1.624439246293377, c_new = 5.932849413701378
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10980.522612975641
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4863:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4777130243218815, b_new = -1.142637614467245, c_new = 4.602512794482004
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9431.167964698336
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4864:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.909285986663077, b_new = -0.9174676780638934, c_new = 4.53171839668714
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14289.901181886413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4865:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4671882542338555, b_new = -0.9767694894140275, c_new = 5.164578066604756
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10320.689324506924
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4866:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9295059061673068, b_new = -0.6656795718259438, c_new = 5.816075269911829
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3041.2029320875504
Acceptance probability: 1.6098240015995164e-13
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4867:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9470839330828484, b_new = -1.4111462396869352, c_new = 4.5959739660269125
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14574.574517768033
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4868:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.062499049202169, b_new = -1.4296785880597056, c_new = 6.046601854669096
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3040.0452077051523
Acceptance probability: 5.123558615146473e-13
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4869:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8355981007821223, b_new = -1.022743859001818, c_new = 5.49908843691671
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4023.8091958993314
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4870:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1910471491003602, b_new = -1.6888048368675963, c_new = 4.645573041843792
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3431.9674805607797
Acceptance probability: 3.1614860719988235e-183
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4871:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.630618570503457, b_new = 0.034826829749139865, c_new = 4.956218415948267
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5340.416030973063
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4872:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3222853061618207, b_new = -1.7181940269162217, c_new = 4.3941226416635715
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5021.85488300782
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4873:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6782331839360434, b_new = -0.5622519254854126, c_new = 4.478017699152112
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5987.8749993764495
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4874:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.955724494913912, b_new = -1.0368109294152101, c_new = 4.105171354278787
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13417.129941457822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4875:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.495315775838158, b_new = -1.7193373154438092, c_new = 5.389043066997962
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11318.976611589114
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4876:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.507005966518705, b_new = -1.4321712276621543, c_new = 4.9714292078230065
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10785.84798272939
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4877:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1009337167892883, b_new = -0.5511433139677969, c_new = 5.313857634656312
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4082.397412943131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4878:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.054271328547334, b_new = -1.0362838714575302, c_new = 4.564686420162821
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13764.875150104303
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4879:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.981407112555944, b_new = -0.6248868208395806, c_new = 5.799440309404337
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3103.708625175777
Acceptance probability: 1.1505375637061616e-40
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4880:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.583018871795662, b_new = -0.7868590112419442, c_new = 4.834144431034071
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8313.255828425217
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4881:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6091016375814395, b_new = -0.9855588269592547, c_new = 4.8643178432029535
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11308.257387137393
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4882:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5945416747844163, b_new = -1.3485096548525441, c_new = 3.7588510448147794
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9882.206875395583
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4883:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.664179355549822, b_new = -1.0860155040625585, c_new = 5.330917878172639
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7338.391496390218
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4884:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.060043152279797, b_new = -1.8474977527187448, c_new = 5.095574461631107
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3113.8073264386694
Acceptance probability: 4.732499421846427e-45
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4885:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2972227606167883, b_new = -0.3601610511715828, c_new = 4.865494455716916
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11163.802843588066
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4886:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5837178618410537, b_new = -1.131660356612416, c_new = 4.759251313423801
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9166.816090525184
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4887:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.776785704566339, b_new = -0.7163160213937937, c_new = 4.60668929071361
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4522.5206465934425
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4888:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2170309621798543, b_new = -1.3637013984209836, c_new = 4.740613367888598
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4141.314285306608
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4889:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0719774609150767, b_new = -0.7588521176017843, c_new = 5.331447856647737
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3482.971595977692
Acceptance probability: 2.234011441041721e-205
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4890:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1234797211283762, b_new = -1.000650956621721, c_new = 5.00427581354955
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3622.865544344762
Acceptance probability: 3.925686056897224e-266
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4891:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.085756788812821, b_new = -0.43422445352282746, c_new = 5.952684254132137
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4243.215726516423
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4892:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.932854112484165, b_new = -1.822519818952977, c_new = 5.490097909486103
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4072.2805475882355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4893:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7829841315448736, b_new = -0.3131661477066655, c_new = 5.463618445674904
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3655.8306800901223
Acceptance probability: 1.893821383992346e-280
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4894:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8866007727946354, b_new = -1.7072829860807706, c_new = 5.502988555734537
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14844.446030446645
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4895:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8272770900128474, b_new = -0.7352598093902231, c_new = 4.574485706417816
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3874.407705804535
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4896:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.536489491290169, b_new = -1.9986633350129046, c_new = 4.169015247294482
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8347.83652059322
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4897:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.145929340108494, b_new = -2.003357815660573, c_new = 4.950100836994192
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3067.2307276006486
Acceptance probability: 7.999271380340465e-25
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4898:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.186690960714003, b_new = -0.8037426074787984, c_new = 5.245235518409987
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4872.900222853699
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4899:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.425511506547523, b_new = -0.5291897951620027, c_new = 4.805469401864792
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10061.736254613787
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4900:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.589389189954264, b_new = -1.1428511251723807, c_new = 4.9092810908772915
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9044.183251774188
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4901:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.095859376662707, b_new = -0.9501533956215584, c_new = 4.616627533904418
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3379.8224612238528
Acceptance probability: 1.400185028449431e-160
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4902:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.853823931047446, b_new = -1.8495940830059519, c_new = 5.840884911686237
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5284.767976278876
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4903:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1866089915516476, b_new = -1.645913502944052, c_new = 4.732741484426702
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13716.241312774553
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4904:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.560135942782203, b_new = -1.2333616764476367, c_new = 4.605566690300518
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10313.899030563949
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4905:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5307757169595444, b_new = -1.3163032689291145, c_new = 4.33410445631706
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10482.571636124378
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4906:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.814903427712051, b_new = -1.0310695973249413, c_new = 5.5466282826991815
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4307.759314881427
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4907:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6833207068850147, b_new = -0.4832672371189257, c_new = 4.935016920430652
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12655.273361758842
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4908:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1193381716685806, b_new = -1.5659147602636327, c_new = 5.2126367794023905
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3128.4986987974908
Acceptance probability: 1.9710998394083345e-51
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4909:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1810281740515043, b_new = -1.2270804680836522, c_new = 5.418500668740945
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4032.9177341870786
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4910:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.487308132371021, b_new = -1.857994354345784, c_new = 5.152129809956659
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8144.768700013325
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4911:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3942374037765415, b_new = -1.0465683339810545, c_new = 4.527442783584344
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11459.065098758152
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4912:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6597243852887447, b_new = -0.9685083064240906, c_new = 4.847072383398563
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7296.952344883901
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4913:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4760947107007976, b_new = -0.3021335027711377, c_new = 5.594240917676322
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8708.093968226505
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4914:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0681079330745282, b_new = -0.5057215480304122, c_new = 5.345124722906184
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3767.5803801774737
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4915:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1147750033639436, b_new = -1.0451529989896668, c_new = 5.285851432605574
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13281.052513084356
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4916:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.821053884122462, b_new = -1.120317082087115, c_new = 5.278034748313926
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4445.155033688772
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4917:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9922081230531, b_new = 0.036467847882297955, c_new = 5.507343683111365
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3758.968459406648
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4918:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3910129674215166, b_new = -0.7833095006479757, c_new = 5.493748147453768
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9194.071133777596
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4919:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1847749623678805, b_new = -0.6835290426771083, c_new = 5.924510065730687
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5332.618780897562
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4920:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.384320018398724, b_new = -2.1362880032337475, c_new = 5.222551739376819
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12983.848770456907
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4921:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4880720493738724, b_new = -0.6623088894594362, c_new = 6.065508909045874
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11009.635610535586
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4922:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1421369373948216, b_new = -1.5057280118072942, c_new = 4.341869636397246
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13892.242523656969
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4923:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7415572434764495, b_new = -0.917506065862466, c_new = 5.098452401820145
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12526.865977892388
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4924:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.088514353098053, b_new = -1.3270611503185015, c_new = 4.634934047287258
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3089.3062350226555
Acceptance probability: 2.0690899543180683e-34
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4925:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.743455563738091, b_new = -1.2748618826891536, c_new = 4.828444170494466
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6385.195674782625
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4926:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.993091317825396, b_new = -1.8995455136533177, c_new = 4.2254155527691655
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3769.5586970307995
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4927:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8966568087906066, b_new = -1.5261071427856852, c_new = 4.675566604639104
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4245.836695357628
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4928:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6947674245278646, b_new = -1.412598958355745, c_new = 4.47677066210352
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7938.7818323422
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4929:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7444108700429597, b_new = -1.1701429577655538, c_new = 4.824855536782824
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6088.120576584093
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4930:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.298762514084024, b_new = -0.3272446241862571, c_new = 4.028825574148121
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8039.459937606927
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4931:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.891321556455698, b_new = -0.607924072404436, c_new = 5.158042727398839
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3151.3678756594177
Acceptance probability: 2.3054266319188134e-61
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4932:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8360474840707726, b_new = -0.6670041763669666, c_new = 5.140654708411832
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3594.8705382923586
Acceptance probability: 5.649268478821656e-254
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4933:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.044253371008317, b_new = -1.1774271193814263, c_new = 4.541413812226594
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3025.024268052826
Acceptance probability: 1.7103418127060132e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4934:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6092969869895404, b_new = -0.723817301352186, c_new = 5.254267185288984
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7511.0226280147
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4935:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.520823797847354, b_new = -1.9230447591988358, c_new = 4.87834986572383
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8479.749584738234
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4936:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3737758448861213, b_new = -1.0529788358166516, c_new = 4.9946837068852
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11521.523395884542
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4937:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7290181088577836, b_new = -2.2153394230897305, c_new = 5.28960065569877
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10620.951049798474
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4938:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8306655741724174, b_new = -1.7583734704939125, c_new = 4.690862407301726
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5916.642889533831
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4939:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3234869517227175, b_new = -1.4098700325635822, c_new = 5.113337351829359
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5991.925253018956
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4940:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3503062122203238, b_new = -1.2032060789301675, c_new = 5.0158810159974845
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11961.829163865275
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4941:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.13265840426136, b_new = -0.48782859559886615, c_new = 5.188876934764338
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4627.93098349285
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4942:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.823476246938962, b_new = -0.7971295540833172, c_new = 5.6785123992309146
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3805.2245939729532
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4943:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.857651514334375, b_new = -0.7166177572287299, c_new = 5.496714800869473
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13595.71872319357
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4944:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.46978595493891, b_new = -1.589325689952751, c_new = 4.672976990588621
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11592.183491367474
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4945:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.657307390376821, b_new = -0.6282807104849435, c_new = 4.535229570390263
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12156.767079831558
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4946:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.351987811642134, b_new = -0.850845885367614, c_new = 4.983618577820839
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8072.093630350597
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4947:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.618596959310184, b_new = -1.6924234683274917, c_new = 4.242953698684279
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10121.766129036434
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4948:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8737861410615197, b_new = -1.4401666955121035, c_new = 4.495136608419206
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4466.2021442644245
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4949:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.474998913320158, b_new = -1.331115448131885, c_new = 5.355083159029568
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9232.843880969473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4950:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.509784884028471, b_new = -1.8243305699010302, c_new = 4.90864546441552
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11516.427180465273
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4951:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6173765671124096, b_new = -1.316419388771612, c_new = 4.404312499071377
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10721.296432492898
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4952:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.279337354625235, b_new = -1.1095653497255216, c_new = 5.000134627695064
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5817.04287521619
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4953:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6907318975944448, b_new = -1.1589975133315553, c_new = 4.7704312048615565
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15195.821376613461
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4954:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.877559011776, b_new = -0.10897347357265641, c_new = 5.297155514935838
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3058.5543481658437
Acceptance probability: 4.6897980550352756e-21
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4955:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9331571897987696, b_new = -1.1951249310569292, c_new = 5.213660703355964
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3318.4522538780657
Acceptance probability: 6.29401586320539e-134
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4956:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.048153547293941, b_new = -1.3251053012758884, c_new = 5.306616582886352
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3018.5782040886825
Acceptance probability: 0.001077886227076603
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4957:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6022518343147567, b_new = -1.7157231490963727, c_new = 4.503801630106496
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9907.324022516877
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4958:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3055002813534506, b_new = -1.5769135812369763, c_new = 5.489210154732801
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5341.030835471837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4959:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.138342852242158, b_new = -1.5800754256131628, c_new = 5.496013557431217
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3236.5743530795444
Acceptance probability: 2.2805959029126915e-98
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4960:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3861631655930333, b_new = -1.5954603043899742, c_new = 4.623149579555543
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6641.7585489913545
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4961:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.05973569463944, b_new = -0.30753888464706214, c_new = 4.7396705487966
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14721.2908875693
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4962:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.916664218938826, b_new = -0.6521406148835669, c_new = 4.855315774980651
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3087.357643371193
Acceptance probability: 1.4522519686601794e-33
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4963:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.118361631716016, b_new = -1.420616555926827, c_new = 5.03906282786487
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13740.12030254964
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4964:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.551151168995503, b_new = -0.5358551665081226, c_new = 5.08498526991815
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8178.950187844286
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4965:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.231040696352411, b_new = -0.40354528384480637, c_new = 5.216610827613758
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6804.668505121208
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4966:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8711607935362644, b_new = -0.741186790060504, c_new = 4.585391728212957
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3440.5375818655452
Acceptance probability: 5.997131431854086e-187
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4967:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.16823487562313, b_new = -0.886768786284168, c_new = 4.402028555323182
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4205.330022964852
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4968:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.118578475816862, b_new = -0.8382204690347305, c_new = 4.683738412390513
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3727.2892474782348
Acceptance probability: 1.7509652000643e-311
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4969:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.440028827819143, b_new = -1.914291654677004, c_new = 4.267119882918189
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14619.597081407599
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4970:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.12514834274774, b_new = -0.877807132329578, c_new = 4.84644042957428
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3774.224930205726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4971:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.118857786576693, b_new = -1.1618321944289522, c_new = 5.582653989934491
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3482.6845346116306
Acceptance probability: 2.9768336081739603e-205
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4972:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9617885274347904, b_new = -1.5853144262716419, c_new = 5.590863847437644
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13204.470733124446
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4973:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4867689228473515, b_new = -2.499185738800944, c_new = 4.9940122703464
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6517.056251770939
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4974:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1257438376440354, b_new = -1.9768334017142832, c_new = 6.289011350613783
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3046.067656002622
Acceptance probability: 1.241811409974448e-15
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4975:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.442136429959877, b_new = -1.8282269137384437, c_new = 4.745843764871827
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7218.900238702525
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4976:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.92171254915397, b_new = -0.2810263979554213, c_new = 5.568530763150811
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3069.6512842778075
Acceptance probability: 7.109122908296416e-26
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4977:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.898371734393742, b_new = -0.43715515146792105, c_new = 4.369332743214372
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3087.8493413219276
Acceptance probability: 8.881785225819006e-34
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4978:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5899438352248483, b_new = -1.1682410750071628, c_new = 4.7653673271953885
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9149.271060723404
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4979:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3982217311877796, b_new = -1.3773040576588413, c_new = 5.0837162143872066
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11793.309058708357
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4980:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.25934069569597, b_new = -0.9901962433481399, c_new = 5.203850810108936
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5784.975023164052
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4981:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9552894632526696, b_new = -0.6982963904359154, c_new = 4.256767947251538
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3028.467382903831
Acceptance probability: 5.467101447033123e-08
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4982:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9680064825952788, b_new = -2.0835392020368033, c_new = 5.355689795810515
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4087.775347479819
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4983:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0268626478218796, b_new = -1.290794168052273, c_new = 4.520958744711067
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3032.545288860759
Acceptance probability: 9.262859525649417e-10
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4984:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.006111853696564, b_new = -1.638307291258127, c_new = 4.407024054385891
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3320.5753835297483
Acceptance probability: 7.531202776416783e-135
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4985:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6948619922637063, b_new = -0.784572116119239, c_new = 6.043270846613332
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5703.120416819415
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4986:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.032419949091974, b_new = -1.0162266239465134, c_new = 5.260643788324446
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3060.280123236954
Acceptance probability: 8.349482365514497e-22
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4987:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7420294308893935, b_new = -1.158874080086546, c_new = 5.048854767928806
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6027.308788231335
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4988:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7693501177216318, b_new = -1.7085783531753829, c_new = 5.058339893083728
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6944.861699286034
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4989:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.318524936206672, b_new = -0.5128256961790285, c_new = 4.78654792981559
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11229.936573456996
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4990:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.22950653010014, b_new = -0.625555429680694, c_new = 4.199147854600755
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5767.738484410596
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4991:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.237363965687946, b_new = -0.5215648915106221, c_new = 5.8687072719589
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6872.865897941279
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4992:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.283030193715196, b_new = -0.9499850299616981, c_new = 5.186505977908584
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6390.210289931094
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4993:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.927794982780234, b_new = -1.487620593954726, c_new = 4.373135944261232
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3857.8263514846562
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4994:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3224454941959665, b_new = -0.7051961262423297, c_new = 5.121232449409482
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7914.568463710224
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4995:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.078563537816929, b_new = -2.233042958775588, c_new = 5.785283434305587
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3199.247356408307
Acceptance probability: 3.7064403924059126e-82
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4996:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8604507447940155, b_new = -1.0445692775603508, c_new = 5.149426895531655
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3825.12035781242
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4997:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.437080555661302, b_new = -0.8532057712344734, c_new = 5.5682052593246
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9795.996194725503
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4998:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9205219492358916, b_new = -1.3458328586653459, c_new = 4.878508482380062
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3638.7369375930803
Acceptance probability: 5.0240859161604965e-273
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4999:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1051267126508093, b_new = -1.4255201490945044, c_new = 5.495700943382427
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3158.216334453732
Acceptance probability: 2.4462646629416464e-64
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5000:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.75077293064955, b_new = -1.3761129486979118, c_new = 5.254706166401047
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6345.272486730778
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5001:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.241913999417873, b_new = -1.4881424746383534, c_new = 4.59901180699255
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4244.946168245109
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5002:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1061048169097067, b_new = -1.0807993821956565, c_new = 5.1292412603055055
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3397.7871740838473
Acceptance probability: 2.2090714636014587e-168
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5003:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5052405322230027, b_new = -2.0312141792222014, c_new = 4.403691634624338
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7810.606400174614
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5004:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.402756822488708, b_new = -1.6478696935774, c_new = 4.6494395870832435
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6854.611047858003
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5005:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4958578918142624, b_new = -0.9076060238961754, c_new = 5.975218437211092
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10607.038766911208
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5006:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8927687237552338, b_new = -0.9549057106323928, c_new = 5.005881081287239
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3423.513421940296
Acceptance probability: 1.4840286366753071e-179
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5007:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5647845748991838, b_new = -1.4287270321763608, c_new = 5.358894207050194
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10242.30165686017
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5008:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8526473521548987, b_new = -0.9074570623963321, c_new = 5.059859914875334
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13233.916232572097
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5009:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.842044930434358, b_new = -1.8473923082125165, c_new = 5.499516144423031
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5621.846227861286
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5010:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.571928845187645, b_new = -1.6318710846190347, c_new = 4.503295303928389
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10539.970854181429
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5011:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.65551394776668, b_new = -0.9339845684617439, c_new = 6.0373413266801474
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6861.484195355529
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5012:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4366609113211917, b_new = 0.15788146519609358, c_new = 4.862181792523941
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11542.778908916835
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5013:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2848314281034443, b_new = -0.8535666397668003, c_new = 5.076832858035482
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6655.6936556745495
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5014:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2407754245729476, b_new = -1.5549846590770473, c_new = 4.857009301651506
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4171.084483332348
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5015:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.309399932771815, b_new = -1.9768684654603823, c_new = 5.425892789640325
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4549.5082492201045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5016:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.877469312781949, b_new = -0.707802618447543, c_new = 4.672611384981306
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3348.1686918361875
Acceptance probability: 7.82064920621796e-147
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5017:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.485055145448995, b_new = -1.15075128671393, c_new = 4.305167407551546
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9423.567107631818
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5018:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.069003063729254, b_new = -0.8350852380390772, c_new = 4.470165603161837
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13497.071416318637
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5019:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8287317082348584, b_new = -0.2403877640130999, c_new = 5.122516709732151
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13865.836262787048
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5020:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.599100752593093, b_new = -1.233306849088825, c_new = 4.678358075674994
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9186.325474639401
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5021:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.962000325453215, b_new = -0.6409822756911608, c_new = 4.686686062739707
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3015.131761423666
Acceptance probability: 0.03383326841990082
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5022:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2921535154211528, b_new = -1.531104077250614, c_new = 5.125334654785707
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12829.226421903653
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5023:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.382700952115436, b_new = -1.5764546707926113, c_new = 4.774574712501856
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12331.290118698293
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5024:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5193990168600617, b_new = -1.3602092137280093, c_new = 4.8353164094391605
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9641.122556730297
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5025:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3860739775437776, b_new = -0.2698068841225183, c_new = 5.597577008545664
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9838.599557641026
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5026:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9827706007294463, b_new = -1.3553477803487268, c_new = 5.816860585059519
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14107.749583780098
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5027:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5436441186703775, b_new = -1.4093117081306104, c_new = 4.785815629054897
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10346.176518675291
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5028:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.171461123714548, b_new = -0.842160643744104, c_new = 5.407338728428121
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4587.6543150395355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5029:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6549908185342774, b_new = -0.8086869382676047, c_new = 4.532427465028691
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11879.967165703441
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5030:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9286999162850194, b_new = -1.9639746017962927, c_new = 4.396615473026887
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4698.737982957872
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5031:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9098850080920653, b_new = -1.2234791374086857, c_new = 5.0004113972569675
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3569.8206820512205
Acceptance probability: 4.2756933749372956e-243
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5032:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4792578886544314, b_new = -0.326752900234369, c_new = 4.901261659716555
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8933.60353926095
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5033:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8990092310355116, b_new = -0.5313879646284129, c_new = 5.3892358839458865
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3081.045128353434
Acceptance probability: 8.00815394119045e-31
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5034:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2608409238837366, b_new = -1.522465920025752, c_new = 4.5424247213212725
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4446.472283753588
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5035:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.368798848723819, b_new = -1.1888462205475294, c_new = 5.341408650408572
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11681.179329968427
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5036:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.514106900296283, b_new = -0.6331121181335833, c_new = 4.828756207907244
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10941.766763745229
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5037:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0393930851444555, b_new = -1.4034682712196607, c_new = 4.7567092107347095
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3029.455617108778
Acceptance probability: 2.03503775397942e-08
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5038:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.944432442328785, b_new = -0.6416988439520613, c_new = 5.399795596607175
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3024.735600677086
Acceptance probability: 2.2827037981462332e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5039:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.513008829247677, b_new = -0.8338480756331444, c_new = 3.741352914938499
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9926.336392593443
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5040:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7813167448817175, b_new = -1.1020071618398382, c_new = 4.327154955848363
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12358.089292989222
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5041:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.390545543763447, b_new = -1.2509026703218304, c_new = 5.078729750516202
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11661.075226466692
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5042:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3009851605746987, b_new = -0.5346591035526487, c_new = 5.457007470604465
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8082.13603714329
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5043:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4377934870544395, b_new = -1.8270582828395026, c_new = 4.974105539613754
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12194.582372236642
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5044:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8727170179763153, b_new = -0.3756319505180362, c_new = 5.673669745436589
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14087.589368286643
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5045:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6301242950741095, b_new = -1.9209035317938503, c_new = 4.782566565237989
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9944.416353615958
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5046:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5994656196121624, b_new = -0.7793588207615698, c_new = 5.062509197262744
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7909.0710023978545
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5047:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3992478693390025, b_new = -0.950350110632127, c_new = 4.3846698104443185
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11289.601221421353
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5048:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8874454472592443, b_new = -0.8295599634341435, c_new = 4.454759592710022
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3415.219465168624
Acceptance probability: 5.935563294660927e-176
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5049:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1780014487583395, b_new = -0.7164870662150353, c_new = 5.652490446857241
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5040.5766273390545
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5050:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2744050620391127, b_new = -1.0288701811715328, c_new = 4.936946737327495
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5902.894687722562
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5051:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2495989496237474, b_new = -1.7979100514859963, c_new = 4.2273484111592134
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3814.269254439494
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5052:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.295903942614561, b_new = -0.742869064007067, c_new = 5.359848264988015
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7326.096006775456
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5053:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1765354638369763, b_new = -0.15781744996650604, c_new = 4.630060873061501
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6061.11301990808
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5054:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3337367666674935, b_new = -1.5331989734194966, c_new = 4.651705355466611
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5737.26055429647
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5055:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.30419145331245, b_new = -1.2707740609310492, c_new = 3.5959519168734273
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5469.771401778506
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5056:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3616019770585144, b_new = -1.047821859381361, c_new = 4.960319662476374
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7720.63795001307
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5057:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.364724210969266, b_new = -0.8742584950489876, c_new = 4.0220927529781765
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7900.904981884123
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5058:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.579218012883431, b_new = -0.935666594602395, c_new = 4.942986018920774
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8705.053136276618
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5059:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.873556422572429, b_new = -0.6639818652551148, c_new = 4.816212343535607
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3321.631005104853
Acceptance probability: 2.620678320492097e-135
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5060:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2325478606633244, b_new = -0.054839636200002984, c_new = 4.595184328563511
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7611.141206197752
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5061:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.454296767369123, b_new = -1.360939501324156, c_new = 4.867593336865256
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8656.880490752337
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5062:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5276283673884126, b_new = -0.6567354528037317, c_new = 5.849856720900169
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11368.959355591112
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5063:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.457535331470982, b_new = -1.1116398989238627, c_new = 5.2213799820973685
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10673.665137479424
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5064:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.505572584142893, b_new = -0.9921016112214938, c_new = 5.09455961663116
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10270.60891267464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5065:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.286676059707618, b_new = -0.308313077716736, c_new = 5.576072974407043
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8483.465467132159
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5066:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.759526616249693, b_new = -0.849953555775612, c_new = 6.56691643514788
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13146.07483909537
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5067:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.813454920587482, b_new = -1.2335270658282367, c_new = 5.485756906508859
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4733.197665664085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5068:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5175070738030567, b_new = -1.77418593752793, c_new = 4.2424853772444
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11571.901792901348
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5069:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1209030387568575, b_new = -1.6651311782257046, c_new = 5.039482036536756
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3086.1005456030985
Acceptance probability: 5.104962988682418e-33
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5070:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1265395750869747, b_new = -0.5096020068139377, c_new = 5.9977259275817225
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4723.560075098468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5071:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2805283685262516, b_new = -1.5634994194253975, c_new = 4.78545295420202
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4734.363926763701
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5072:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2554816768523995, b_new = -0.5640206868582764, c_new = 4.927161146920443
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6770.421987657074
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5073:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7231770545002165, b_new = -1.490032703656469, c_new = 4.166560456667271
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7689.731303356104
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5074:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.794476098449261, b_new = -0.89205514597216, c_new = 4.53916180539634
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4606.4939509822625
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5075:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.169423931269405, b_new = -1.5515905988554324, c_new = 5.473998690819088
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3486.8705575288086
Acceptance probability: 4.526764549506202e-207
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5076:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2634273777566767, b_new = -0.49064835333202483, c_new = 4.007650030951982
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6796.199623832386
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5077:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.587331949359412, b_new = -2.108949521660012, c_new = 4.79625201019182
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9065.53601323211
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5078:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8261671152071184, b_new = -0.9137245614763194, c_new = 5.98440164388369
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3883.9952274472193
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5079:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.693605015612229, b_new = -2.3441145780496706, c_new = 5.131925874062969
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10151.24913621221
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5080:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3667580143426004, b_new = -1.919568136504291, c_new = 4.823795635310259
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5508.425453301079
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5081:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7560573828400328, b_new = -1.3471696800958965, c_new = 5.029178473483773
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12040.093238000436
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5082:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2065161505009803, b_new = -1.182283946818585, c_new = 5.4489813098197395
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12854.2794233585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5083:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9102295899981407, b_new = -1.3805374955236176, c_new = 4.382610885447825
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3898.8207202426715
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5084:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9671626336935217, b_new = -1.323854696083991, c_new = 5.529763776807631
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3177.414943011194
Acceptance probability: 1.1237085494992323e-72
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5085:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5752935193635316, b_new = -1.2524904146299582, c_new = 3.750345728566362
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10203.092604157682
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5086:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.166992980900228, b_new = -1.3543929473733467, c_new = 5.569158857881119
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3712.450307781971
Acceptance probability: 4.872447205216278e-305
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5087:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4739475387867427, b_new = -0.567581696951519, c_new = 5.68344334545764
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9260.01045393963
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5088:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.523292082884811, b_new = -0.9796913933661777, c_new = 6.775915271925234
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11055.512513032556
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5089:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.387413852801572, b_new = -1.104830538454257, c_new = 6.32512572987004
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8627.981289282341
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5090:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1701443347528135, b_new = -0.8125277571173103, c_new = 4.985834161103629
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4511.865707894021
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5091:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.043740507305901, b_new = -1.1044079484676175, c_new = 5.3633266683935785
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3065.6463413256424
Acceptance probability: 3.900682906692354e-24
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5092:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2750431003495972, b_new = -1.2511158525970174, c_new = 5.353811912042967
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5492.965357268108
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5093:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.222301011648924, b_new = -1.5175733629471109, c_new = 4.713876136924535
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3963.6058358424793
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5094:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3098092857215162, b_new = -2.3661259694514927, c_new = 5.674454117388521
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3964.4136654222807
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5095:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6334999969997153, b_new = -1.4323043746743425, c_new = 4.309767366863417
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9235.072056760991
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5096:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.584531321286607, b_new = -0.5141157066637918, c_new = 5.219892207148349
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11933.747729196024
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5097:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.681063002464598, b_new = -1.2851506646001583, c_new = 4.809967920712235
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11472.438949734973
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5098:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4193910894761674, b_new = -0.5956577110490687, c_new = 4.778965034030875
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9820.978601202767
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5099:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0576554240398055, b_new = -1.101510041965881, c_new = 5.285053013294524
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3110.508836972819
Acceptance probability: 1.2811687686246365e-43
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5100:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.417771891423015, b_new = -1.60922060098593, c_new = 5.741645055713786
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7654.626399817232
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5101:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.859244733567606, b_new = -0.37630169954773984, c_new = 5.420692971939483
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3164.4390139827738
Acceptance probability: 4.853198556191542e-67
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5102:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4482221877901305, b_new = -2.073307053192475, c_new = 4.753400772505188
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6725.196267454039
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5103:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.804943442602003, b_new = -1.4793837686104203, c_new = 5.072708046760415
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12225.659607401563
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5104:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.985223106775422, b_new = -0.11882084164947448, c_new = 4.443599851638338
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3330.3441767626464
Acceptance probability: 4.308552062937454e-139
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5105:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7162259613574995, b_new = -1.476577447682612, c_new = 5.142264190349374
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11577.41569378256
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5106:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.694604902033366, b_new = -0.9783890539612082, c_new = 5.129028350574322
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6500.063590883274
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5107:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9018014718043634, b_new = -0.18522552397401804, c_new = 5.340802501835294
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13442.098581014212
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5108:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7031483577383755, b_new = -0.4710712359628123, c_new = 5.279145046600402
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5059.314871172271
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5109:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.674894141339236, b_new = -0.8225650016057182, c_new = 4.932761587575709
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6566.011049249278
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5110:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.319966670778591, b_new = -0.989947530108992, c_new = 4.81851408647636
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6939.939946246023
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5111:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.57425250776378, b_new = -0.6558906652817478, c_new = 5.324379303154491
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7974.361818026464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5112:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5286961027215966, b_new = -0.537165206403313, c_new = 5.523222055083946
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8416.945489490365
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5113:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4156804345432077, b_new = -1.4930979708480014, c_new = 5.727360699442843
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7915.9557117219
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5114:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7740831285344527, b_new = -1.392699828104262, c_new = 4.993820253895614
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15072.37306667486
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5115:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5319682840219704, b_new = -1.107069809859196, c_new = 5.004928989898746
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10341.487962908031
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5116:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0675438285524588, b_new = -0.7523548113717322, c_new = 4.9560182318989
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3397.833787148433
Acceptance probability: 2.108462924955454e-168
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5117:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4237892799605287, b_new = -1.1656178051791712, c_new = 4.938768741206473
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11234.77271736128
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5118:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3160857524498484, b_new = -0.6840611284678394, c_new = 4.7853397618139315
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7702.359536517413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5119:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.499766790777798, b_new = -0.16118022774611063, c_new = 5.0399833767108975
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11678.263012149726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5120:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6265124773826987, b_new = -1.7723118527869635, c_new = 4.802515157520895
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9970.874600678728
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5121:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.878216925409039, b_new = -2.153812165356836, c_new = 5.032960528241119
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5862.635830559779
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5122:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.751517191043622, b_new = -0.9268918337173762, c_new = 4.505199308135236
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5444.250732767699
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5123:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4403189008853547, b_new = -1.8171326250433064, c_new = 4.746587609704733
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7211.193658157841
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5124:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.974094367988383, b_new = -1.7044709215692104, c_new = 4.592306816895039
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12898.256593490238
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5125:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3077897146232638, b_new = -0.700536441088917, c_new = 5.308856202147121
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7688.164894339827
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5126:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.149534493134566, b_new = -1.1026417130425135, c_new = 5.996172487057244
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3959.307049670205
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5127:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5822423412870603, b_new = -1.6731182720188553, c_new = 5.01975287619415
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10300.9194604072
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5128:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.598573818645834, b_new = -2.461498096125762, c_new = 5.221367090453372
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14876.41918271747
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5129:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1941287147665873, b_new = -0.5854907078088559, c_new = 4.797867510215983
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5368.573824308784
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5130:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8040721038738674, b_new = -1.5121850542411064, c_new = 5.14045473687113
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5651.031349383443
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5131:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.780705052062146, b_new = -1.2248202995711335, c_new = 5.05973173605546
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12384.500372004495
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5132:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0544024372462273, b_new = -1.3849764523052368, c_new = 5.179700387287838
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13973.941015344739
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5133:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.234901548309389, b_new = 0.03823157082634454, c_new = 5.126458052446294
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8177.5634120788745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5134:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.831813957113991, b_new = -1.037147556962097, c_new = 5.10417586913078
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4182.501937107115
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5135:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.502745927918236, b_new = -1.1898453190465794, c_new = 4.495575316094185
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10525.001710641713
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5136:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.685957821796665, b_new = -1.9622990107841085, c_new = 4.895246756852903
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10495.283409114572
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5137:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9611366306553197, b_new = -0.9752716949608059, c_new = 5.724643643587178
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3039.0257452455157
Acceptance probability: 1.4200990266865668e-12
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5138:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9183588058022734, b_new = -1.0715119602922323, c_new = 4.552642435380813
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3398.3151615175757
Acceptance probability: 1.3028899573757847e-168
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5139:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8360972312024293, b_new = -1.1493027670569176, c_new = 4.9230679410322375
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4364.352908488169
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5140:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.168857178946451, b_new = -0.56491121131178, c_new = 5.467069519283969
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5165.931604038781
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5141:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0009583708265795, b_new = -0.7885605013093199, c_new = 5.2720412196237
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3057.462424584637
Acceptance probability: 1.397560212680677e-20
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5142:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6090450906553095, b_new = -1.003219890680486, c_new = 5.916061243508217
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11593.789288723134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5143:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9301933887343807, b_new = -1.0776726753273145, c_new = 5.043470832089119
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3259.2792198911
Acceptance probability: 3.143764251477523e-108
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5144:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.252126899984713, b_new = -0.2546846694881748, c_new = 5.05746558202795
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7654.824013657814
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5145:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0991825944849984, b_new = -1.0715268849760233, c_new = 4.3823977055338865
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13623.155302199171
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5146:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3693095706201124, b_new = -0.6988508675132039, c_new = 5.071576140962017
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10949.73958800377
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5147:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8329209929756778, b_new = -1.3008439294167848, c_new = 5.179335058232752
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14759.454525935003
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5148:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.698804787295051, b_new = -1.8906819703868867, c_new = 5.06397996476296
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8931.068877562644
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5149:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0017587878310827, b_new = -1.4291914020229917, c_new = 5.816863174121371
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3070.1227749301897
Acceptance probability: 4.436599583835898e-26
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5150:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8533694261648743, b_new = -1.826024755531384, c_new = 4.230601219860872
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11913.02787223451
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5151:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3936191346094486, b_new = -1.1368790038370216, c_new = 4.7311892753980365
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8045.600737978255
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5152:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8123563994824607, b_new = -2.856329314977214, c_new = 4.87094954486674
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9490.027050651517
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5153:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3120758212834684, b_new = -0.8285263211226543, c_new = 4.75145033300493
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7193.715943825868
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5154:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.815464108697724, b_new = -1.1520989941320376, c_new = 5.619687298802288
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4504.890896406387
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5155:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8073916564255335, b_new = -0.7599391792610813, c_new = 4.25202953409486
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4239.836119426822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5156:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0923861878744363, b_new = -0.19794910892667528, c_new = 4.554272913804862
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4405.604876611265
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5157:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.199878446552215, b_new = -0.24312994373595642, c_new = 5.494659879256555
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6685.393285617492
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5158:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.017806368406843, b_new = -0.8370383116047617, c_new = 5.52430652693916
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13504.09642572894
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5159:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.622671029048068, b_new = -0.5533705952662343, c_new = 5.654363462755748
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6677.822050004772
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5160:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.562185348276424, b_new = -1.8292461608111728, c_new = 5.5320793179790515
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10701.907689557227
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5161:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5729794573136826, b_new = -0.8730403280466625, c_new = 5.064547253791354
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8617.023497261907
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5162:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.174658006553216, b_new = -0.6141135505790217, c_new = 5.962818739439841
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5323.4587632689245
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5163:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7169411476258443, b_new = -0.9365479426559716, c_new = 4.460686879341974
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12157.391612633737
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5164:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0833048219856547, b_new = -0.4712451372539489, c_new = 4.987998584892001
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3916.9746951962306
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5165:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.845568170312468, b_new = -1.1646612490804455, c_new = 4.306214602211119
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4412.508611870404
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5166:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.591655244085338, b_new = -0.7220160991954723, c_new = 4.771863961664284
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8016.182277402142
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5167:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4107241657085194, b_new = -0.6367764507632441, c_new = 4.854784206047063
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10449.562271129464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5168:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.733648859743484, b_new = -0.9554417602335474, c_new = 4.513581200892357
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5862.51912075528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5169:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.068066304657005, b_new = -0.9649816707434244, c_new = 5.779901232440306
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3310.7480462164253
Acceptance probability: 1.3957984382008123e-130
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5170:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4160900707150734, b_new = -1.626185630601611, c_new = 4.520445497940453
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7137.78228489327
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5171:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2742033413766167, b_new = -0.8766416360086432, c_new = 5.43156966451364
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6495.376382731276
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5172:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1275929576068364, b_new = -1.3295244993492403, c_new = 4.19559069763775
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13810.491330580942
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5173:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.813330716471361, b_new = -0.24833943870866937, c_new = 5.634367301524948
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3326.9882071588536
Acceptance probability: 1.23540804609136e-137
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5174:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.616003212448462, b_new = -1.6322062191061106, c_new = 6.319017461626164
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10740.267992229526
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5175:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2531411330002693, b_new = -0.40605399890662286, c_new = 5.674025876859605
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7491.518667987624
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5176:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1483572410639, b_new = -0.9594991391353439, c_new = 4.612827301897956
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3878.653849267504
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5177:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3129435683515864, b_new = -0.9306734318801402, c_new = 5.063700662886758
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11850.287231628556
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5178:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7393645358673835, b_new = -1.1778556621616347, c_new = 4.452148708087187
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11994.436128437928
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5179:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.811257529761024, b_new = -0.92170646854389, c_new = 4.960845521280998
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12940.804108022414
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5180:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3681513189482573, b_new = -0.934447285015394, c_new = 4.7024880398063615
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8064.985897050347
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5181:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9952357541218397, b_new = -1.0390229136958193, c_new = 5.520412247643647
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3012.9858842278813
Acceptance probability: 0.28925879937889587
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5182:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.643990663577652, b_new = -1.281796580097476, c_new = 5.709231885833088
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8112.763902833737
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5183:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.985383039260781, b_new = -0.6469559909490772, c_new = 5.16008497528044
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3061.4666209187153
Acceptance probability: 2.549001880224086e-22
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5184:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4763677887027096, b_new = -1.4243131374869202, c_new = 5.906041032511576
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9237.122637525825
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5185:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6890068217338987, b_new = -1.3566481605744007, c_new = 4.768085391456358
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11422.618506123827
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5186:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0994147883392325, b_new = -0.892747388451529, c_new = 5.149608855718068
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3546.3055244283314
Acceptance probability: 6.974446537894482e-233
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5187:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4481012403416935, b_new = -1.676007922776145, c_new = 5.805084893211643
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11592.625036464866
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5188:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.797395147109231, b_new = -1.12223638019662, c_new = 5.092789419179238
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4878.537273558243
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5189:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8037252695122556, b_new = -0.29881380030120364, c_new = 4.56299414709097
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3563.397669466625
Acceptance probability: 2.633209877695711e-240
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5190:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.550219252650722, b_new = -1.6326803384172455, c_new = 4.7115692714151765
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10745.34879083566
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5191:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2324775996452337, b_new = -1.2837280479793696, c_new = 4.147855592155287
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4368.447292019546
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5192:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9997250758681782, b_new = -1.0206309683761998, c_new = 5.639972742112448
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13750.695700287266
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5193:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.416195657718049, b_new = -0.8648003282762426, c_new = 3.8274639236003516
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8822.07036198875
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5194:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.297736628603706, b_new = 0.17009042803646346, c_new = 5.053791590245157
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10223.2301363513
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5195:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.71349909966003, b_new = -0.593995924600132, c_new = 4.954312974003593
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5237.02004022045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5196:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2760033181937533, b_new = -1.1469201590973568, c_new = 4.876246933414446
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5612.919807604527
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5197:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.775442875156395, b_new = -0.934868906017816, c_new = 6.254249562347161
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4555.386505550849
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5198:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.353939644930782, b_new = -1.0536967764545224, c_new = 5.2936006160184625
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7673.172033715996
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5199:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5287440477292757, b_new = -1.3045944224431105, c_new = 5.604364732167755
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10044.913718312431
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5200:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4280369979453433, b_new = -1.0270005127003285, c_new = 4.953899838008356
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10937.46331665252
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5201:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4207140884229164, b_new = -0.19183063012555213, c_new = 5.0959163610069504
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9408.348045008071
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5202:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5962951006254515, b_new = -1.1461928260381116, c_new = 4.8359066846749705
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10914.948610725578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5203:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0335281111102845, b_new = -0.35518410615677165, c_new = 4.869567044841625
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3530.7629388500745
Acceptance probability: 3.922553726171043e-226
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5204:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8934476195170546, b_new = -2.0694090718719944, c_new = 5.330598172621841
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5243.233301973475
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5205:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.447429252657332, b_new = -0.8166497088681997, c_new = 5.180100138881544
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9887.848533985969
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5206:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.447187414319843, b_new = -1.8100065576011344, c_new = 5.486171316233892
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7623.7371460751
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5207:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.702661319581943, b_new = -1.4235195739307955, c_new = 5.273422029140612
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11578.235968661884
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5208:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.688751674921118, b_new = -1.8329114043172499, c_new = 4.710760077160521
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9113.270456046326
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5209:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8448172390151547, b_new = -2.171725688804723, c_new = 5.711121169302334
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6353.47482075371
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5210:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.561661430097089, b_new = -1.631158932160631, c_new = 4.76529362389138
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10577.129687162382
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5211:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.824269401825773, b_new = -0.8772231615548987, c_new = 4.556539657269293
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4138.600103438188
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5212:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.052070701068471, b_new = -1.4312638827917925, c_new = 4.7031488253696905
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3024.371442511475
Acceptance probability: 3.285499786460967e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5213:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.213181688749528, b_new = -0.8418894670706227, c_new = 5.34011702840045
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5291.146502993465
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5214:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7582883566342407, b_new = -1.3749019539183895, c_new = 4.700766321109736
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11933.293222243788
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5215:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.600084366253137, b_new = -1.6623278116509725, c_new = 4.841376655297816
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10073.76630979431
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5216:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9512121608220356, b_new = -1.2488439223466998, c_new = 4.784061420943221
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3293.7415150434163
Acceptance probability: 3.393636738956599e-123
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5217:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6393301494127632, b_new = -0.3065553193203038, c_new = 5.1414168072422886
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5907.771096676058
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5218:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.818676615147952, b_new = -1.6959618450164524, c_new = 4.015710074592351
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11782.264353334216
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5219:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.512493451940746, b_new = -0.25921287078730737, c_new = 4.765040595705945
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8301.022166794022
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5220:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.693675060942236, b_new = -0.3606560858200182, c_new = 4.271444887361845
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12706.621952609037
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5221:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0801092152438976, b_new = -2.187219278706638, c_new = 4.3997771366461125
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3337.3875271536263
Acceptance probability: 3.762210890544541e-142
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5222:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4752456365248054, b_new = -1.68776293327383, c_new = 5.9059101375750345
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11307.901533234919
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5223:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.614688502928754, b_new = -0.7944656949406106, c_new = 4.38198682129448
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7910.59703715452
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5224:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.050027568514822, b_new = -1.0731472009101046, c_new = 4.377997373466488
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13870.506469723516
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5225:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.800360241796654, b_new = -0.563440550897891, c_new = 5.55095878460584
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13469.996309874175
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5226:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8783683063547145, b_new = -0.5769702849605638, c_new = 4.6263134188583335
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3240.979566969566
Acceptance probability: 2.785404389999629e-100
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5227:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.705584783693789, b_new = -0.018712246788398446, c_new = 5.248140986471876
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4187.582622157975
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5228:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7916331944347403, b_new = -1.6335137420367882, c_new = 4.7195507517305
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11838.592902291022
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5229:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1570931101304955, b_new = -1.8155844388638713, c_new = 5.139673845174204
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3165.5345867466085
Acceptance probability: 1.6226574717018477e-67
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5230:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.376814970401824, b_new = -1.533334430036843, c_new = 4.6588307181302735
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6622.584667992709
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5231:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.895114428056686, b_new = -2.1194886899055607, c_new = 5.095390335378141
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5415.6882798037
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5232:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.904078930834609, b_new = -1.1912187195029762, c_new = 5.74536152870005
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3473.6817322396473
Acceptance probability: 2.418922487773564e-201
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5233:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.647412402513413, b_new = -1.6069918305550768, c_new = 5.086179901711943
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9123.74638001337
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5234:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.624417247229768, b_new = -0.24201674396208417, c_new = 3.937587038186977
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6439.25725470054
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5235:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1426923229888923, b_new = -1.2046033677658106, c_new = 4.481565512548832
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3490.5877333332705
Acceptance probability: 1.100117228360709e-208
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5236:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4282887362275933, b_new = -1.2450925290304358, c_new = 5.186129268344498
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8593.26329063775
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5237:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.982708306111873, b_new = -1.6303070905248063, c_new = 5.324937097208199
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3348.191453734329
Acceptance probability: 7.644647055978649e-147
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5238:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.61261778276936, b_new = -1.2553413967684413, c_new = 5.169437602458827
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8823.616316279154
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5239:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.350142409347794, b_new = -1.0009740018650408, c_new = 5.593456277676801
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7859.590042314907
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5240:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4884917315470028, b_new = -0.9648422087675043, c_new = 4.948195725087698
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10060.526909965814
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5241:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2821629763626015, b_new = -1.272622281466614, c_new = 5.36575223236242
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5584.1409242068
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5242:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1857630728891175, b_new = -0.21272264526258555, c_new = 5.727977271662123
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6552.1647875342
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5243:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.132054592604474, b_new = -1.155952950620735, c_new = 5.951296146534518
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13145.68789977249
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5244:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3626936136123344, b_new = -1.4528291795840205, c_new = 5.627016944568204
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12056.112957241668
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5245:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.862632078225713, b_new = -1.5187917607820571, c_new = 5.170109505191837
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4607.800504138455
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5246:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1889242109492177, b_new = -0.6803453248750343, c_new = 5.614169237858617
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5312.9729396923485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5247:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.482518856576464, b_new = -0.7409042221725222, c_new = 4.980427043092889
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9720.195857903931
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5248:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7632024782909608, b_new = -0.431856402683228, c_new = 5.2557311148665065
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4076.353897139097
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5249:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.245944391217498, b_new = -1.4894629278748321, c_new = 5.2409935136057575
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4445.15071393293
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5250:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.969093021303978, b_new = -2.0173376728450814, c_new = 4.850626303400914
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12570.735744217647
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5251:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1852100161567427, b_new = -2.099548280287576, c_new = 4.740968297463326
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3144.1648601697616
Acceptance probability: 3.097285119146869e-58
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5252:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.824381006133025, b_new = -1.2484002736551352, c_new = 4.941017780565949
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4736.472296027308
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5253:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.004722213064805, b_new = -0.6491805217196875, c_new = 4.4115043719721525
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3074.2527767336906
Acceptance probability: 7.135316480557187e-28
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5254:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.981833643589504, b_new = -0.8507683749926301, c_new = 5.532989858268793
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3021.4864875931908
Acceptance probability: 5.8819515767503204e-05
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5255:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.550278370554733, b_new = -1.2935726132164107, c_new = 4.560701599806309
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10096.068432653869
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5256:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9685482869062363, b_new = -0.9537058871001082, c_new = 5.007493499887929
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3037.4995977569206
Acceptance probability: 6.53305121252751e-12
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5257:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.464502066258772, b_new = -1.254450278656902, c_new = 5.675712761796403
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10713.30316589292
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5258:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.741021149617795, b_new = -0.4292273486163838, c_new = 4.765719545903642
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4488.6967842781
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5259:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.028941843364909, b_new = -0.8741654080981001, c_new = 3.9988141949382667
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13857.842301325341
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5260:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.825829918076703, b_new = -1.8685542197455751, c_new = 5.087728655813279
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6163.657342452161
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5261:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2564095720028057, b_new = -0.6771598686968526, c_new = 5.165051762376289
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6562.437796125916
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5262:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.416036521926972, b_new = -2.0014952407112645, c_new = 5.355381019638479
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6456.098138184537
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5263:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3827300815883437, b_new = -0.8481710486697793, c_new = 4.625102099116239
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8548.928552862688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5264:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0074837767500386, b_new = -1.365264878259845, c_new = 6.032685868980081
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3029.963280603426
Acceptance probability: 1.2248897946496141e-08
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5265:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.59978099313121, b_new = -0.588556264141605, c_new = 5.167937621302849
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11933.89108777314
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5266:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4060687690466316, b_new = -1.1881031026214388, c_new = 5.076676813848511
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11409.411417884356
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5267:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.515173771303191, b_new = -1.2831067795492241, c_new = 5.200047912499262
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9856.194089086455
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5268:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1663492547648877, b_new = -0.6399286417306662, c_new = 4.827770620286445
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4758.056588707658
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5269:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2197242005797757, b_new = -0.7549324647175697, c_new = 4.420460302131034
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5326.421591032138
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5270:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.884329801317259, b_new = -2.3469012502691697, c_new = 6.126585000783922
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5838.392450684392
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5271:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7094408355422526, b_new = -0.3368891773484928, c_new = 5.609540747639334
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13213.530341354377
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5272:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.660436311489952, b_new = -1.4875055919536757, c_new = 5.153980749875997
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8550.544549452696
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5273:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1013128172299633, b_new = -0.7173589781732583, c_new = 5.032117348344691
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3770.5230620762213
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5274:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.594331139813615, b_new = -0.9063298226401426, c_new = 4.7167961906810785
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11253.782606450677
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5275:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2498026268624502, b_new = -0.6157075134162382, c_new = 4.552003131443225
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6353.958749603367
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5276:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9091069258323228, b_new = -0.9055364896599363, c_new = 4.314073208242869
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3341.5337701319763
Acceptance probability: 5.953230390719708e-144
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5277:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3279211183274557, b_new = -0.4736987032281036, c_new = 5.429715286985307
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8803.866736982322
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5278:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6712588419626777, b_new = -1.3983759110240894, c_new = 6.00663784653574
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7774.554311396997
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5279:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2238128785131144, b_new = -0.7581751516623771, c_new = 5.465202761076164
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12187.001007547598
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5280:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3822630467131476, b_new = -1.1396566959475964, c_new = 4.852710927160953
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11626.612578130897
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5281:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.151332515113749, b_new = -1.1380673182092413, c_new = 4.866110257152047
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3709.7703395449344
Acceptance probability: 7.1062839865098006e-304
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5282:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.877347193363155, b_new = -1.6359382617294278, c_new = 5.301839347329257
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12566.394913666596
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5283:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1235368814565, b_new = -1.2285884406757384, c_new = 4.63090807150194
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3333.4418938143413
Acceptance probability: 1.9454045313165385e-140
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5284:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.771826674795179, b_new = -0.5901776319496609, c_new = 4.627751592609704
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4357.606772783709
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5285:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2099973320666004, b_new = -1.5338845749079395, c_new = 6.025419395438023
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4043.8441350619432
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5286:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5792241470299313, b_new = -1.730552887132977, c_new = 4.7943759526216265
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9685.980557215105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5287:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3661017542232363, b_new = -1.3490277306540388, c_new = 5.041682072013232
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7023.183774589717
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5288:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4162936322861435, b_new = -1.3454346217775466, c_new = 4.067603662055798
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7711.831777930805
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5289:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3270172249327135, b_new = -0.15134169359171845, c_new = 5.273506262959913
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9575.939435757653
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5290:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.030853397701851, b_new = -2.040378080141808, c_new = 4.938148622723678
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3456.151089523305
Acceptance probability: 9.933066612696194e-194
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5291:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5866778332878044, b_new = -1.0777288549637218, c_new = 4.6204833519642445
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9040.99481423116
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5292:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8536161101837645, b_new = -1.6882431796547754, c_new = 5.126819522190273
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5141.868520491583
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5293:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2195323784843684, b_new = -1.3183208491793126, c_new = 4.377318123320066
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4175.107186675341
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5294:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9877118709776243, b_new = -0.9798458474626659, c_new = 5.152944657621067
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3013.722479057505
Acceptance probability: 0.13848014491678418
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5295:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.78140852847792, b_new = -0.4529506809868613, c_new = 5.386701955141635
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3861.4266212218295
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5296:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4068553483115185, b_new = -1.130227780731088, c_new = 5.531162554650547
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8618.963172451256
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5297:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6015925226739354, b_new = -1.249779482874815, c_new = 5.449445693538748
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10977.6463687402
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5298:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.548786137421361, b_new = -1.3965500571169804, c_new = 4.694844801142505
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9906.634006809993
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5299:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.353126566194559, b_new = -1.4549708122583938, c_new = 5.155825979822122
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12273.333586410088
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5300:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1369500311410596, b_new = -0.8054745143667228, c_new = 5.314373612187519
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4128.029488146112
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5301:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.217314759395084, b_new = -1.0293062433690872, c_new = 5.564020483064052
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5004.935712293018
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5302:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.273402044899919, b_new = -2.250501496775579, c_new = 4.553068891575266
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13996.322300633816
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5303:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.161916505442396, b_new = -1.1160397784178668, c_new = 4.2835085984022125
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3755.1257919596787
Acceptance probability: 1.5e-323
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5304:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.17648733166596, b_new = -1.919980293689851, c_new = 5.1434699396898615
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3203.390538865948
Acceptance probability: 5.882957910470455e-84
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5305:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.488568958211134, b_new = -0.8220259522049616, c_new = 4.6405013889444815
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9917.67064513873
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5306:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6226444038483656, b_new = -1.5781499943705268, c_new = 4.104093312200117
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10260.023358042057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5307:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8618521786552136, b_new = -0.34087582110989734, c_new = 5.732606503019282
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3128.3982399971346
Acceptance probability: 2.1794019001610886e-51
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5308:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.955028362366289, b_new = -0.9973811044158996, c_new = 5.193994984235622
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3080.062327742399
Acceptance probability: 2.139721720213209e-30
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5309:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4311260425209036, b_new = -0.6104229400126723, c_new = 4.44695956586361
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9843.330586171875
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5310:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7705079510922395, b_new = -0.7072625957357466, c_new = 4.414761152230343
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4653.559377631909
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5311:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4071623941665417, b_new = -1.3587884577646416, c_new = 4.112634958155949
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7511.157088237411
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5312:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7652969296713568, b_new = -0.8845835668234568, c_new = 4.332792564822215
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14829.965048644615
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5313:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.082952923830791, b_new = -1.8254087856179861, c_new = 3.977426607082683
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3129.4133933652083
Acceptance probability: 7.896994202330065e-52
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5314:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.492273061863212, b_new = -1.056805044897921, c_new = 4.935206870191621
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9921.361065259007
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5315:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.63527849021784, b_new = -1.3494175468428597, c_new = 6.0072444761416826
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11308.51579004259
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5316:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.877872220141883, b_new = -0.9476656616549403, c_new = 4.751976274774019
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3584.998715753057
Acceptance probability: 1.0946373687548483e-249
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5317:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2516150983839527, b_new = -1.4963413918067188, c_new = 5.4717789241890085
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4576.506326292616
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5318:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2695672491836207, b_new = -1.4669446698064847, c_new = 4.281916880396732
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13132.628561769357
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5319:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.938959377356547, b_new = -1.1866036313718817, c_new = 4.191657438222585
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3405.488981564523
Acceptance probability: 9.985211678824473e-172
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5320:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.330917136257329, b_new = -1.4694719461763917, c_new = 5.157527139880939
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12462.840584721296
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5321:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.866795120332369, b_new = -1.2293286879325167, c_new = 5.508877606089478
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3952.47671767028
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5322:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4975262814649315, b_new = -1.4441078608113882, c_new = 5.201686410444837
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10842.984926546338
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5323:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.982239151987529, b_new = -0.1278461730721041, c_new = 5.720080611770637
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3498.892639928664
Acceptance probability: 2.7205947702738246e-212
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5324:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4446999848445357, b_new = -1.6094135628041304, c_new = 4.704379908017352
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7812.817721414594
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5325:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.776145830755755, b_new = -1.480351002512489, c_new = 4.3087920135045295
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11824.856282298242
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5326:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6526756656476245, b_new = -1.730530656990616, c_new = 5.099437160995591
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9336.745790107783
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5327:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7054037331102054, b_new = -0.30748983882294123, c_new = 4.905342501893229
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4780.941617309118
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5328:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2735653741016533, b_new = -1.0651840878465133, c_new = 5.358565852503079
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5938.8909114512735
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5329:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.016293770599321, b_new = -1.187064855194909, c_new = 4.175822850180632
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3040.443360990186
Acceptance probability: 3.440772308969592e-13
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5330:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9074324410649175, b_new = -0.6603257785470892, c_new = 4.2818281048675635
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13613.125764724973
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5331:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.936592459772904, b_new = -1.1676188861545755, c_new = 4.927579317141834
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3304.943595898363
Acceptance probability: 4.630879193827953e-128
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5332:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7754220920136743, b_new = -1.2196051293262868, c_new = 4.99317867630499
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12337.582086349088
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5333:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6245835178672388, b_new = -0.06232993512874718, c_new = 4.17327816425035
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5910.076102221028
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5334:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7523249413042192, b_new = -1.6689461845072358, c_new = 4.453576407025476
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7454.038573780234
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5335:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.593129919298159, b_new = -0.7977999635456403, c_new = 5.353497015168457
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7968.808231963612
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5336:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.636927841633025, b_new = -0.3897580148158206, c_new = 5.31285068721014
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6101.964540886014
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5337:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6078831480658744, b_new = -1.23175971282046, c_new = 4.875759127082446
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10900.649061691942
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5338:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7563538312928957, b_new = -1.3479943645508685, c_new = 5.161721027773758
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6188.199550505269
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5339:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.51236417014236, b_new = -1.6997052142127838, c_new = 5.321204942239582
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8984.369504240418
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5340:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3079439884490727, b_new = -0.8293196586566726, c_new = 4.895291777424065
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7157.821584290727
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5341:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5893837269456204, b_new = -0.772536310294178, c_new = 4.743966581456383
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8195.152851438193
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5342:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9926631197027653, b_new = -2.485717147665409, c_new = 4.805070280149251
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4648.8720065801335
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5343:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6062623393950037, b_new = -1.8034122472032286, c_new = 4.954482419762414
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9926.19371585503
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5344:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5725692592112352, b_new = -1.250919167939209, c_new = 5.190753160860701
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10595.393004033334
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5345:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4783707951546887, b_new = -1.1977373001449834, c_new = 4.532520216999596
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9299.612885854283
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5346:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.866987705696039, b_new = -1.755886272204074, c_new = 4.354140507062799
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12121.52402838767
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5347:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.442888316973478, b_new = -1.184713264421371, c_new = 5.597188688136462
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10854.372214184988
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5348:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.094603817727156, b_new = -1.1575146741867965, c_new = 5.425752433374236
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3281.193701637687
Acceptance probability: 9.552377453135575e-118
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5349:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9821661262287105, b_new = -1.1993562607607635, c_new = 4.90063732103638
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3091.6377022959396
Acceptance probability: 2.0101848735342708e-35
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5350:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4952240473048573, b_new = -1.419775377803585, c_new = 5.062091427887921
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10870.501961928914
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5351:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8633224257423286, b_new = -1.3268885329493412, c_new = 5.598096196242976
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12932.701455895922
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5352:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1992329206019163, b_new = -1.0434102153126839, c_new = 5.174292236629473
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12799.09123796072
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5353:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9098778635213067, b_new = -1.7230717324049751, c_new = 3.262647499563208
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12191.715685627469
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5354:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2787557813864603, b_new = -0.5970147687249147, c_new = 4.776009234862173
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7131.460741798471
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5355:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.597923283682495, b_new = -1.295078714428266, c_new = 5.692552194163461
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8977.983752062237
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5356:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.342007407950899, b_new = -0.9204039588776014, c_new = 5.407930764283693
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7838.92617404233
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5357:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7552181321390146, b_new = -0.7632918034429006, c_new = 4.67005268840002
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4952.93140018582
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5358:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.628308630267654, b_new = -1.2694978901842269, c_new = 5.197502648786601
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11131.710961698482
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5359:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8047671323382195, b_new = -0.9413059385944151, c_new = 5.093492308015465
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12910.687671034253
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5360:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8403239340384707, b_new = -1.7292056310623023, c_new = 5.13175674849029
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12163.911783370291
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5361:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7054486299066927, b_new = -1.571669638292305, c_new = 5.553982950416431
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7723.63770573847
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5362:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.08388009975458, b_new = -1.5952410686560625, c_new = 5.065316616330674
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13685.209563530028
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5363:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.303568560258322, b_new = -1.3277222286395207, c_new = 4.963574787555436
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5742.892945830995
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5364:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.899182801658288, b_new = -0.5225017126624226, c_new = 5.231426092141815
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3082.0898036119734
Acceptance probability: 2.8173169805312166e-31
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5365:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.457077488114041, b_new = -1.677131399584878, c_new = 5.0387437222292775
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7994.0803943897945
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5366:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0304408421770668, b_new = -0.9108439950802512, c_new = 4.962158544697416
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3079.289219713239
Acceptance probability: 4.6356842387780935e-30
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5367:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.469853921101223, b_new = -1.0168896095136202, c_new = 4.98297601217927
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9712.246006322006
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5368:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.322640114604176, b_new = -1.3721504315043314, c_new = 5.348988622803912
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12333.456361350523
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5369:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.482261096173355, b_new = -0.9936500181223489, c_new = 4.9608718162417595
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10234.194429036881
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5370:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.717668234466733, b_new = -0.42579880511580626, c_new = 4.9181308818888345
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12957.56139938183
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5371:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4623688317069896, b_new = -0.7305020781943244, c_new = 5.998415340826689
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9640.643601417207
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5372:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0070820843410413, b_new = -1.5403577225562946, c_new = 4.706650056939545
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3198.0563166287916
Acceptance probability: 1.219604516755742e-81
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5373:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3883637426902733, b_new = -0.5972964193437996, c_new = 4.950223280639143
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9395.486803277317
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5374:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5229962236325916, b_new = -1.5845459193959013, c_new = 5.19278083873313
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9346.491146827393
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5375:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9763049369951022, b_new = -1.014727107809125, c_new = 5.118425701788942
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3033.384924897329
Acceptance probability: 4.000329643037599e-10
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5376:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.403569664663882, b_new = -0.5016385037938235, c_new = 4.073698121621949
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9543.465841595127
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5377:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.935934051524081, b_new = -0.7134915966774793, c_new = 5.771969395778177
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13708.848883900962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5378:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.0388653373987395, b_new = -1.8356238874744477, c_new = 5.402418225735575
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13296.712909389476
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5379:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.074011789477626, b_new = -0.25518545216465427, c_new = 5.087966667932151
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4178.256200122792
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5380:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.666357857631867, b_new = -0.8147588710310545, c_new = 5.20322988372335
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6623.857560034294
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5381:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8046842846443867, b_new = -2.3594330370242016, c_new = 5.318981977584051
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11089.914140626279
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5382:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8048721065619673, b_new = -1.3969077950172855, c_new = 4.9319569140135675
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5420.984813978683
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5383:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7316463820043055, b_new = -0.9969292502079489, c_new = 5.199980385637502
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12380.100174518928
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5384:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1035556629005026, b_new = -1.10756953163316, c_new = 4.963049451583404
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13492.869574940098
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5385:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5374279211275845, b_new = -0.8834002753963293, c_new = 4.619974907331645
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10686.649367739246
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5386:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6287392537780505, b_new = -1.4998172453991163, c_new = 5.732454032958685
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10916.950022131121
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5387:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6428089683920915, b_new = -1.233209464845961, c_new = 4.820720392439423
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11216.196900123778
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5388:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4711626178273507, b_new = -1.1864022142660804, c_new = 5.438580107899238
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9522.93962835299
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5389:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.440238651167873, b_new = -1.2967653001799648, c_new = 3.9938232202185633
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11605.01844050685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5390:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.934265523638148, b_new = -1.301963265402384, c_new = 5.134139835016827
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3422.629901171508
Acceptance probability: 3.590463167869722e-179
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5391:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3877569891630865, b_new = -1.3979011349784503, c_new = 4.518673121786535
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7155.217775029023
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5392:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.243309353337212, b_new = -0.3486622337894437, c_new = 5.459271465923349
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11463.526436208173
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5393:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.933865088761064, b_new = -0.9693812593144493, c_new = 5.172152816744855
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3152.9990228785646
Acceptance probability: 4.5118335497167084e-62
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5394:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9557858357630407, b_new = -0.5178611322503284, c_new = 4.570661648982926
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3020.5865710153776
Acceptance probability: 0.00014466059557189043
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5395:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0744466849966, b_new = -1.7370278174994171, c_new = 5.143208266647143
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14242.657468884967
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5396:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8317284165907086, b_new = -1.5252781156675113, c_new = 4.717128389989868
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5295.6535477054495
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5397:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5296172281792138, b_new = -0.2800262157879275, c_new = 4.180963271936794
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8259.05980744902
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5398:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0940327904960165, b_new = -2.107892106263572, c_new = 4.203567764333225
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3226.3713665362957
Acceptance probability: 6.153881008125304e-94
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5399:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.044333424137371, b_new = -1.8261764892535437, c_new = 5.158120258610332
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13278.110855117786
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5400:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8883914331586513, b_new = -1.7293772542307813, c_new = 5.034718048348012
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14961.450303236623
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5401:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.004266164249658, b_new = -1.953416394824678, c_new = 5.616250289725864
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3467.1730875604426
Acceptance probability: 1.6228949948393865e-198
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5402:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1624209265198675, b_new = -1.1795114658471249, c_new = 4.830345064445137
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3767.9879864109826
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5403:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3195638798582507, b_new = -1.3075313811578746, c_new = 5.061639696270393
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6159.736533715065
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5404:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8011352721833844, b_new = -1.1458655325562126, c_new = 4.420765212717315
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14906.68069239281
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5405:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1206449307043487, b_new = -1.6987575454205404, c_new = 5.304126251374592
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3082.3389426299836
Acceptance probability: 2.1960185893428377e-31
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5406:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9587193921016057, b_new = -1.2421440823348993, c_new = 4.582456914283565
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3264.0139565747727
Acceptance probability: 2.7617219785267154e-110
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5407:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.399328205735399, b_new = -1.1144346523233537, c_new = 5.185734353349834
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8386.144320577738
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5408:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4770319290062703, b_new = -0.8947267697011391, c_new = 5.165437644288919
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10037.988767250707
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5409:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8664218119995213, b_new = -1.736217066040001, c_new = 4.58085928734263
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5202.073465295323
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5410:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3724027708907203, b_new = -1.215568763000757, c_new = 5.1457526275475685
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7557.563276378868
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5411:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5743230900030376, b_new = -2.1662217149348244, c_new = 4.886721621729038
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8791.819922003688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5412:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8776652244059404, b_new = -1.327182241346667, c_new = 5.141518213254567
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4048.6248777757355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5413:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7293677138877026, b_new = -1.2529424465444738, c_new = 4.943209445727507
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11945.947490331255
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5414:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9010314540980193, b_new = -0.1372369948319091, c_new = 4.938449228502175
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3046.0454396272853
Acceptance probability: 1.2697086992572398e-15
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5415:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7091518871622664, b_new = -1.2183646679710702, c_new = 4.712328772119428
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15198.291411828814
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5416:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4518715034876437, b_new = -1.5384354353496854, c_new = 4.622758747531981
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8097.139268588746
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5417:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3173844946509283, b_new = -1.3404393834166874, c_new = 4.777290146481254
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5931.299726009088
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5418:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6934103518655657, b_new = -1.2515822538153176, c_new = 4.619482038860948
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7460.804054013404
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5419:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.311499082804649, b_new = -1.2209625239764257, c_new = 4.734365981572583
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6104.571963555862
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5420:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2912912989667893, b_new = -0.5678366298807885, c_new = 4.813995655205644
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11557.347985987746
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5421:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.080952374613032, b_new = -1.0905169505239887, c_new = 4.897086071423609
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3197.054611008422
Acceptance probability: 3.32088814254443e-81
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5422:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.097573783562302, b_new = -0.6849419551354056, c_new = 5.686679811068665
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12862.956161408016
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5423:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.363008121086274, b_new = -1.7860501235894417, c_new = 5.937892264049274
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12446.58675402535
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5424:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4316819541802044, b_new = -0.8424986318376663, c_new = 4.789704971809037
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9461.065102724591
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5425:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2944610955507034, b_new = -1.6377960317671751, c_new = 4.651931302136253
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4780.975581947498
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5426:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.018316276736329, b_new = -1.6575727539648288, c_new = 5.513259980305012
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3140.227182259076
Acceptance probability: 1.5888868623147642e-56
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5427:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.140039205347067, b_new = -0.8822785418328825, c_new = 5.571183762823468
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4099.425757442736
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5428:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.99645902549183, b_new = -1.0745866134675377, c_new = 4.770623855429509
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3023.316059460474
Acceptance probability: 9.439488868090687e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5429:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.308219158700874, b_new = -1.9445562301218686, c_new = 5.263196474420952
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4553.837795352663
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5430:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.843842336628837, b_new = -1.106032774454316, c_new = 5.6816204261059475
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4012.729580156303
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5431:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4450992129189464, b_new = -1.381883148147295, c_new = 4.80969180398068
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11435.20700510907
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5432:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1126909016060686, b_new = -1.8302817322812892, c_new = 4.957003552984843
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14214.3050216532
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5433:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2505452977548526, b_new = -1.5346124463372484, c_new = 5.045249966435891
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13126.505242120118
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5434:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.743530611245977, b_new = -1.256873305754753, c_new = 6.193305676911442
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12389.196861130264
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5435:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8540095478382694, b_new = -2.0927103508133262, c_new = 5.901404052218316
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5871.397670178487
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5436:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.635952961950448, b_new = -0.8449302530652831, c_new = 5.043918396972175
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7375.874708316741
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5437:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9737016184296756, b_new = -1.200633101902386, c_new = 4.9777792378954056
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3119.2736024527435
Acceptance probability: 2.00040098676976e-47
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5438:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.559734367424894, b_new = -1.6496941966283334, c_new = 4.074207022922576
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9378.551574753723
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5439:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0778366368944567, b_new = -1.470637911434852, c_new = 5.167854817873679
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3035.7611822278914
Acceptance probability: 3.716210740200206e-11
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5440:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9056402647514634, b_new = -1.391165337605604, c_new = 4.7353885801858056
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3892.4970107377612
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5441:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.075073143727189, b_new = -0.6540706903634044, c_new = 4.945429870286688
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3569.6866297626416
Acceptance probability: 4.889052738841989e-243
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5442:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5374631650867405, b_new = -0.9606693564727914, c_new = 5.347746562866683
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10775.865452969287
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5443:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.447953718478016, b_new = -1.1650038789620893, c_new = 5.1182605570415065
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10915.227478539258
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5444:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9729886832597114, b_new = -1.303586577461569, c_new = 5.078013004178516
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3175.144437011117
Acceptance probability: 1.0882330515979505e-71
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5445:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5790816007807758, b_new = -1.7973534723209754, c_new = 5.228982811258064
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9687.662841144296
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5446:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1866946201943955, b_new = -0.48792353969772695, c_new = 5.848034626568238
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5842.767231509578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5447:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4614727163546544, b_new = -1.6672805069805157, c_new = 5.221328993944996
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11631.648329600077
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5448:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7765397849388096, b_new = -1.088571405880505, c_new = 4.942988294288202
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5217.102003357236
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5449:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.164056541769733, b_new = -1.1033184856851412, c_new = 5.231866498237414
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3974.708108487758
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5450:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0649138606237045, b_new = -1.2544034457767745, c_new = 4.456215349372491
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3043.7241020941806
Acceptance probability: 1.2937434867310856e-14
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5451:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7359180761837654, b_new = -1.7420596398415982, c_new = 4.204286088765288
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8128.351340072387
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5452:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9779150035187985, b_new = -0.498944075292575, c_new = 5.043461288375759
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14283.391785707741
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5453:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5943819426795955, b_new = -1.933770820659305, c_new = 5.125858124946733
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9591.982495312068
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5454:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0104271468668196, b_new = -1.8157066925438183, c_new = 5.272951841407216
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3331.6333628279554
Acceptance probability: 1.1869842349185186e-139
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5455:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.109867052762553, b_new = -0.5049719217851527, c_new = 4.849218371556182
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14756.983785239068
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5456:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3229308595581224, b_new = -2.0257680163895007, c_new = 5.247435438270513
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13237.980417674089
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5457:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4363658134989428, b_new = -1.8544177881908108, c_new = 5.001250393927078
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7122.951823957614
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5458:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4091648484274306, b_new = -1.2994503744318853, c_new = 4.730358312275004
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7926.112145668836
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5459:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7952817723784547, b_new = -0.8605347090453126, c_new = 4.423596880958838
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4562.653907426638
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5460:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.032518308259175, b_new = -1.2283954860383364, c_new = 4.6362727221342634
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3016.7648348414696
Acceptance probability: 0.0066085956532374425
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5461:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.119315387524899, b_new = -1.5766135391826264, c_new = 5.119909320908874
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3118.581759909486
Acceptance probability: 3.995585781403548e-47
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5462:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.435179161826519, b_new = -1.993882406846574, c_new = 5.205606034045988
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12403.932281888441
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5463:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.07025533504407, b_new = -1.561308147943446, c_new = 4.4292225522634725
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14262.429661664492
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5464:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.048809014426704, b_new = -1.3513611940844623, c_new = 4.717777555119619
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13686.417921108085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5465:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.945760045437673, b_new = -0.7643114372716671, c_new = 4.492313602511746
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3056.748558600096
Acceptance probability: 2.85363607142765e-20
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5466:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9472089225349016, b_new = -0.7429331945662514, c_new = 5.14967316750127
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13926.910980672244
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5467:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7549196417490736, b_new = -1.0506996606740036, c_new = 5.177558352631745
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5458.297936452906
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5468:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6172631176779935, b_new = -1.647110475228129, c_new = 4.393309568411548
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10165.115507304536
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5469:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.146730301734842, b_new = -1.698276498995317, c_new = 5.228576584811723
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3185.2911091806536
Acceptance probability: 4.2665631607582014e-76
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5470:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4159228066728025, b_new = -0.7859752497448782, c_new = 4.946241587307156
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10635.8468982881
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5471:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3974435236351277, b_new = -1.2103776201592464, c_new = 4.90877451339624
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11582.33666901058
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5472:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.793685606999272, b_new = -1.8710678926223028, c_new = 5.616699639660391
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6652.714889904064
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5473:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.754581224743876, b_new = -0.8062579976102916, c_new = 4.495560255251516
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5110.116233946375
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5474:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8317742852045495, b_new = -0.8394008587443669, c_new = 5.710184024713851
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13364.657122020015
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5475:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6954634356675764, b_new = -1.3571459866087874, c_new = 5.321583402846525
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11629.321429788346
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5476:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.665403579173879, b_new = -1.3208193856345012, c_new = 5.317468457117986
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11424.607961167208
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5477:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7538944969793444, b_new = -1.2419283431445538, c_new = 5.456778907571077
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14917.541611667315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5478:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9468827327161224, b_new = -0.8855284195114673, c_new = 4.579842255832113
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3095.92854172562
Acceptance probability: 2.7526317417027743e-37
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5479:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9263437540488244, b_new = -0.12874289570354536, c_new = 4.250185427129516
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3049.969929732818
Acceptance probability: 2.5079547590530347e-17
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5480:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.672180794782182, b_new = -0.45106002274405477, c_new = 5.328699156097431
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5565.140836262581
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5481:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6413673662305106, b_new = -1.0751984825402459, c_new = 4.9217119409568335
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7921.4570418971625
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5482:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1657076896251004, b_new = -0.9755329496597444, c_new = 5.931311464898778
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4381.4289712199225
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5483:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9034419523103139, b_new = -1.4879454118899336, c_new = 5.956234600152816
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14500.284853286757
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5484:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.199774496685521, b_new = -0.6455736442186297, c_new = 5.977741492447569
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15193.638729253365
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5485:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.945942047505044, b_new = -1.93394081984609, c_new = 5.064803528924302
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4194.374490948363
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5486:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6801148441928477, b_new = -1.0822621380629756, c_new = 4.5525936802282505
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7298.270473836497
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5487:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7736543680279397, b_new = -0.977592256017677, c_new = 5.092829850465272
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4975.086473624358
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5488:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.853025737173182, b_new = -0.7759398868590981, c_new = 5.179805469686594
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3553.883786665578
Acceptance probability: 3.5670753019910683e-236
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5489:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8739117976626294, b_new = -0.9943203227941455, c_new = 5.383227273734051
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3579.112639392899
Acceptance probability: 3.94058548491601e-247
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5490:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.309751583217413, b_new = -1.8545578138107768, c_new = 5.39919765460122
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4785.936929129213
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5491:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.027637088158105, b_new = -1.7076004426500326, c_new = 4.850122689337959
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3193.329357078239
Acceptance probability: 1.377563011208435e-79
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5492:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6052584476082146, b_new = -1.6034455404845904, c_new = 4.947584596217263
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10265.61495780039
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5493:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.239586977632374, b_new = -1.1887432202396386, c_new = 3.9214762955052236
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4600.730596897959
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5494:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.302777809335503, b_new = -1.4984663606878015, c_new = 5.013264072767544
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5328.341711980573
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5495:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.384006934678546, b_new = -0.744292647728006, c_new = 4.168677346261964
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8668.277617442334
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5496:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1174119677749905, b_new = -1.5490725388751767, c_new = 5.107992490844673
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3123.055687781448
Acceptance probability: 4.5559428933921785e-49
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5497:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3295405570072445, b_new = -0.7442232465895524, c_new = 6.182731272501622
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8396.800044283542
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5498:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.835060107303458, b_new = -0.18927784165391692, c_new = 4.983004525722117
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3204.312836369105
Acceptance probability: 2.339090499216177e-84
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5499:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1524959343462227, b_new = -0.6572134326469878, c_new = 4.1944526452994735
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4340.809957110507
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5500:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.380622719482408, b_new = -1.1169289285149935, c_new = 5.3542824546180965
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8075.836556870896
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5501:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4588820320792992, b_new = -0.8387204652637714, c_new = 5.176489510308766
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10152.473155910411
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5502:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5126350341596204, b_new = -1.5511675044520572, c_new = 5.012849625788823
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10935.21998320732
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5503:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5119819170033564, b_new = -1.610335806564195, c_new = 4.335459482820634
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8855.856817539428
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5504:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.413331074453618, b_new = -0.7215580898462481, c_new = 5.624712357945633
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9754.480915324726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5505:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.863060982177695, b_new = -0.9611539489700127, c_new = 5.551236794533466
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3619.1896759945903
Acceptance probability: 1.5499757593964935e-264
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5506:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4512227928283323, b_new = -1.1780838146981738, c_new = 4.256267479571675
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8824.242868215379
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5507:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8755960248279573, b_new = -0.14479570401421915, c_new = 5.229972638995285
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3059.2068202773944
Acceptance probability: 2.4422442993108546e-21
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5508:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.828246083962719, b_new = -0.48644613264157543, c_new = 4.633223290435338
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3536.0209932464704
Acceptance probability: 2.041854966590565e-228
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5509:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7523133753636344, b_new = -1.9661895916672658, c_new = 4.4021383064469575
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8344.427336198352
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5510:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7898721821607193, b_new = -1.4932814112549408, c_new = 5.2291240731577
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5856.467175208448
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5511:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3217250812540624, b_new = -0.381995372953873, c_new = 4.5739891919018625
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8581.459154979131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5512:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2342592371002463, b_new = -1.3057941152143007, c_new = 5.715240668155848
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4744.068465880009
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5513:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4797191494029835, b_new = -1.2568065915766349, c_new = 5.9769298556777235
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9683.233009625195
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5514:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.674250823678449, b_new = -1.035405020421169, c_new = 4.960517061715229
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7135.774532089889
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5515:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.288876506108854, b_new = -1.1057681712677467, c_new = 6.106829688058014
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6437.198873814892
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5516:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.308370912089523, b_new = -2.433575863914328, c_new = 5.425901728179196
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3819.0594960743433
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5517:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2850942974156077, b_new = -1.6565379486526193, c_new = 4.560762706847464
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4572.983103883753
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5518:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5965846760961098, b_new = -1.4612343465222972, c_new = 4.895471384327783
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10401.944392899784
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5519:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.405578216343528, b_new = -0.7330953815312934, c_new = 5.0268521976477425
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9384.299648830198
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5520:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.518054621855026, b_new = -1.9247158583380681, c_new = 4.952547773087201
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11596.4043310549
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5521:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7504705799979843, b_new = -1.2021150843962023, c_new = 6.2811208960194165
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12537.413039117446
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5522:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.513199990192126, b_new = -0.8968915706133952, c_new = 5.016057377778744
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9612.251900476567
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5523:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.261813034603661, b_new = -0.6081937184712055, c_new = 5.2879874841332715
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15261.335892124678
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5524:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8708074184187655, b_new = -1.0658107102275576, c_new = 4.75407803742764
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3813.4957657898185
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5525:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4698647166555547, b_new = -1.6877706534952217, c_new = 4.765622673483268
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11732.632674762854
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5526:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4506416420298733, b_new = -1.5228249573233275, c_new = 4.705010915620206
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8141.365835038873
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5527:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.759178603080045, b_new = -1.6794308422523632, c_new = 5.643365829834689
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11769.510479636898
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5528:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.24352267833326, b_new = -2.1750909596446997, c_new = 5.650263085234286
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3507.120059105823
Acceptance probability: 7.270112142194623e-216
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5529:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.651195389776562, b_new = -1.6499994622180698, c_new = 4.9961009513992645
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10680.802425260028
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5530:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.423814585213016, b_new = -0.42997678073068357, c_new = 4.796083888471746
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10244.265634571278
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5531:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3757895709409658, b_new = -1.1051561171309705, c_new = 4.449130105480581
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11755.332862768939
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5532:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2507867572738487, b_new = -1.6997592435146718, c_new = 5.178754280957219
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4134.90485341149
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5533:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.994820023952784, b_new = -1.9885465928018349, c_new = 5.51403817935118
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3611.2699715720332
Acceptance probability: 4.263917912058191e-261
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5534:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.605853420353263, b_new = -0.9338566080394471, c_new = 4.561785924238852
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11272.652050232473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5535:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.199014906217771, b_new = -0.9746543001654414, c_new = 5.391126042608195
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14792.939018657376
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5536:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.779702160610525, b_new = -1.6683201230707216, c_new = 5.633987374914235
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6384.767466498897
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5537:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.852892428150634, b_new = -0.6029639505938339, c_new = 4.597017876222216
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3449.6474102353022
Acceptance probability: 6.63124959584119e-191
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5538:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.839038042860273, b_new = -1.5522703188558578, c_new = 4.720200771154121
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5223.291918485479
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5539:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3444045084912233, b_new = -1.1524420499990689, c_new = 5.065276592335241
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11919.832361042714
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5540:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.325754384328373, b_new = -1.153918725990084, c_new = 5.077852134045355
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6710.381639102915
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5541:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7921320614908396, b_new = -1.3120697554163563, c_new = 5.579357984685362
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12486.618769145629
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5542:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7828449689451604, b_new = -1.336887218036773, c_new = 4.768580128800688
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5759.46468034821
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5543:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.030994775884269, b_new = -0.678276919011352, c_new = 4.471232584849684
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3169.8726625069567
Acceptance probability: 2.1194564101626633e-69
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5544:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1184880762881573, b_new = -0.4599822731382808, c_new = 4.664051816524794
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4324.707548020981
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5545:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1032601622204443, b_new = -0.595541273805443, c_new = 4.128180319002974
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3792.560463607345
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5546:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.371388061340625, b_new = -1.4443156385225804, c_new = 4.793543636130139
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12218.779989562077
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5547:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1796276745319294, b_new = -1.8103783857358893, c_new = 4.848892413627441
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3271.2507717601266
Acceptance probability: 1.987334878455578e-113
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5548:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.252458280847123, b_new = -0.7011774336849397, c_new = 5.734176704993726
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6633.113057079723
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5549:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.070354177316515, b_new = -0.29534620075243334, c_new = 4.91894366524996
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14811.496885045402
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5550:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4838369848062, b_new = -1.3032329725310317, c_new = 5.107977508331254
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9344.508117588122
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5551:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8324063206742986, b_new = -0.6628787970968135, c_new = 4.502341604468001
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14363.944470557806
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5552:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4378313855242113, b_new = -0.6390724215165178, c_new = 5.411375200614293
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9955.252746356786
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5553:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1047250903563093, b_new = -1.2277415871959727, c_new = 5.263057933013224
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3272.435249838207
Acceptance probability: 6.0793725946647186e-114
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5554:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.776802751158143, b_new = -0.7771409087950892, c_new = 4.502442053530329
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4668.878429503504
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5555:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9137386995544006, b_new = -0.6706354494187353, c_new = 6.108825805733099
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14083.395735502669
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5556:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6130740810025963, b_new = -0.49443239204331524, c_new = 5.315968970540168
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6832.123542458453
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5557:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1074647637934816, b_new = -0.3827690604805286, c_new = 5.029016909387482
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4403.192870203729
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5558:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9493264504838566, b_new = -1.3428704121361106, c_new = 5.225635160990834
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3334.955577750603
Acceptance probability: 4.281789790055968e-141
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5559:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8925820741944808, b_new = -1.4424458500901547, c_new = 4.833372897317867
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4116.279053741686
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5560:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4837818985294633, b_new = -0.4095565812194384, c_new = 4.843410948351469
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11018.966176902906
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5561:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.136175691240515, b_new = -0.5377727333955474, c_new = 4.8894814205308705
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14831.50343317863
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5562:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.092545678282105, b_new = -0.24281234662862228, c_new = 4.6126148430199665
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4338.638134743466
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5563:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8228173010538122, b_new = -1.0112012556005399, c_new = 4.231284973670998
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4482.012047277852
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5564:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9548443068992234, b_new = -1.1368598249422917, c_new = 4.656292173186045
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3198.8331351763427
Acceptance probability: 5.60855541751437e-82
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5565:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.464088432176555, b_new = -0.8846801355842739, c_new = 4.220844913325741
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10494.162051719144
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5566:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5736011260734943, b_new = -0.7948209988408574, c_new = 5.449516614439924
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11459.151888895227
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5567:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4123240504926793, b_new = -1.2759301674884571, c_new = 5.320010489262323
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8266.540483000608
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5568:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1378748289502916, b_new = -1.205914776572344, c_new = 3.996843594430693
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13671.195984422091
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5569:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8946091287404787, b_new = -0.25920339731155706, c_new = 5.27254816886711
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13563.408378194286
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5570:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.398928781296816, b_new = -0.6293417600497219, c_new = 5.286290815644726
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9616.430162122468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5571:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3143036650907236, b_new = -0.6125166603828587, c_new = 5.0163695967936
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7961.282610559816
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5572:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.381033160332414, b_new = -1.0275372143084522, c_new = 5.263664154556841
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8288.985776514048
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5573:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4489846692325905, b_new = -0.703186188663995, c_new = 5.415639199626413
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10230.71639173987
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5574:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7416334575390655, b_new = -0.49675241564816286, c_new = 5.116575279648371
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4521.4687772130055
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5575:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2695671235881814, b_new = -1.6573864441954813, c_new = 4.579599581962848
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4342.9385644722015
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5576:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3946547477264666, b_new = -0.6683894295375421, c_new = 4.793166598068374
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9271.754298638663
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5577:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.783308207555626, b_new = -0.9408749441902253, c_new = 5.164279249029112
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4715.7718706456035
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5578:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0779520418628388, b_new = -1.1345588762733643, c_new = 4.9554919110989255
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3158.363217860211
Acceptance probability: 2.1120917925472898e-64
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5579:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9054980796366612, b_new = -0.5108975090820196, c_new = 4.930741687734311
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13835.387889511667
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5580:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3878549523171837, b_new = -1.6071472486728637, c_new = 4.9705662363537435
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6765.077441127825
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5581:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0506519452902205, b_new = -1.228967200089492, c_new = 5.440744310740847
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3045.848828040729
Acceptance probability: 1.5455797613930787e-15
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5582:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1832440932570183, b_new = -0.8233834872556283, c_new = 5.537510988463014
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4858.577037794852
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5583:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.226389100698286, b_new = -0.7674580813009835, c_new = 4.822788184948599
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5556.065455653298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5584:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7054395518552687, b_new = 0.06987064913849816, c_new = 5.5471416373718
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4006.390206013566
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5585:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.902039357895802, b_new = -0.7709194784503066, c_new = 5.020408878038726
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13646.599308936253
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5586:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.062415234684498, b_new = -1.650851920270591, c_new = 4.954810952481887
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3043.026036989791
Acceptance probability: 2.6002433791129723e-14
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5587:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4320010062978628, b_new = -1.5534998587607958, c_new = 5.94793022963805
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8160.973280555442
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5588:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4505538646072407, b_new = -0.7340218296553898, c_new = 4.976581138759664
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10035.558583893464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5589:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8673235555631633, b_new = -1.6512065317900286, c_new = 5.012483242250384
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4854.380000257177
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5590:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1054064751063466, b_new = -1.5571949356437493, c_new = 4.690762256510057
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3066.724587192912
Acceptance probability: 1.3269801209814931e-24
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5591:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3143815810196426, b_new = -1.1305180542711113, c_new = 4.843447150679937
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6444.976882619376
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5592:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.076924327159687, b_new = -1.8158844833551275, c_new = 4.808141854295289
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14388.959146803825
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5593:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1624794297557637, b_new = -1.2221399615050625, c_new = 5.230903525020503
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3781.55195707675
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5594:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.686188113491758, b_new = 0.5165838904796489, c_new = 4.497630284637
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3793.6431393038556
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5595:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1429920729590926, b_new = -1.442770535315039, c_new = 5.193657501942228
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13599.128643716685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5596:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.228766854619561, b_new = -0.7119754895613282, c_new = 5.208430323767276
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5883.297381494491
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5597:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3590576369376937, b_new = -1.3670641192759778, c_new = 5.141516361380803
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6862.865263804274
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5598:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8062798346611886, b_new = -1.4315389606844378, c_new = 5.201392399610243
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5388.249012811344
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5599:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9945756355408613, b_new = -0.9924474168064018, c_new = 5.122493536911602
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13865.990322542457
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5600:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.911671414227309, b_new = -1.4687842856232707, c_new = 4.409994970788811
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4013.9397087602492
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5601:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2753930163915097, b_new = -1.0391603034206756, c_new = 5.873315121383554
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6238.895303964912
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5602:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.382263312068455, b_new = -0.9626864452975793, c_new = 3.8598401186844518
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7959.033645246411
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5603:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4825108156371023, b_new = -0.7842928936472535, c_new = 4.911504237872842
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10328.504491452837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5604:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0307874938408657, b_new = -1.1920691927411566, c_new = 4.955213966132072
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3013.9686082695193
Acceptance probability: 0.10826671275746837
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5605:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8220614507840707, b_new = -1.1911329522123209, c_new = 5.1338212313068485
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4604.180872473743
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5606:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0885062767607674, b_new = -1.1998529849154986, c_new = 5.2494752279098975
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3195.194927995211
Acceptance probability: 2.1325750222453992e-80
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5607:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.950851935826297, b_new = -1.5348530796571636, c_new = 5.028481455784948
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3554.4235624263642
Acceptance probability: 2.079173078188387e-236
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5608:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1268389055333805, b_new = -1.7134033368544725, c_new = 5.504635060487293
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3105.8149712243885
Acceptance probability: 1.3999945226762147e-41
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5609:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.694962179694366, b_new = -0.6339749626676681, c_new = 4.618130708525412
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5788.859834787503
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5610:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7243239052104826, b_new = -1.1921631453813595, c_new = 4.363461392927459
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6742.512998297357
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5611:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6287274312552937, b_new = -0.47311099735217466, c_new = 5.617816106193053
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12469.882598007984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5612:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.578902269007186, b_new = -0.8240517397233196, c_new = 5.023814496077288
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8409.296587116924
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5613:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.300453811448641, b_new = -1.096850906468091, c_new = 5.367963585145781
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6430.882896324307
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5614:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8003486163376805, b_new = -1.460052732246725, c_new = 4.831722161373398
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5701.514222805836
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5615:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.744167295330621, b_new = -1.2092646305816763, c_new = 5.80930051565127
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5851.221646136749
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5616:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3921650578062974, b_new = -0.9134535100985295, c_new = 5.124607435389633
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11066.10401941375
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5617:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7392654148307938, b_new = -0.7820688173608978, c_new = 4.501102441526289
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5332.8934077170825
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5618:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5976936239040658, b_new = -1.5872811298789147, c_new = 4.459162213005399
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10106.85249846656
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5619:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.319142414969324, b_new = -1.1910029826850757, c_new = 5.664128734391683
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6686.840935465648
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5620:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7331067579839017, b_new = -1.6770929476245648, c_new = 6.127582967592891
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11697.457954806965
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5621:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.133110104483552, b_new = -1.0309760731027307, c_new = 4.97538293892542
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3677.0491044347095
Acceptance probability: 1.1542354496586435e-289
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5622:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3211784908435695, b_new = -1.2462424783084944, c_new = 4.548846197427878
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6177.1310423227715
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5623:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4222227857617766, b_new = -0.8114401295077186, c_new = 4.558829390261165
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9301.834666113635
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5624:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.053485741797372, b_new = -1.224731836390732, c_new = 4.199558901648463
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13717.155842511138
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5625:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.62300253503222, b_new = -1.3730471369531614, c_new = 4.62664950553485
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10747.54000878134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5626:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.520194878129842, b_new = -0.8482619622429799, c_new = 5.299444730916344
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9315.189244065612
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5627:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1595113419526295, b_new = -0.8636842881399204, c_new = 5.14107380618393
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4296.599027795192
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5628:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.21793585190569, b_new = -0.3483273546717096, c_new = 5.307929093498567
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11710.670547045262
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5629:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0228126866980998, b_new = -0.9652025294726035, c_new = 4.698347751842344
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13808.817129848303
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5630:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.614899471708224, b_new = -0.9390616267629674, c_new = 5.313882537254099
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7931.745629034913
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5631:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4527309857983335, b_new = -1.1761497430965673, c_new = 4.901619304156593
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9074.417607095198
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5632:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0705410667342363, b_new = -0.8155900361320523, c_new = 5.031362086799005
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3368.956414751222
Acceptance probability: 7.332455784071525e-156
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5633:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1122369599171846, b_new = -0.9636177081116069, c_new = 6.3144733886115105
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3799.75399404379
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5634:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.321330883509142, b_new = -1.4216927382733147, c_new = 5.918631334095604
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12253.87550000499
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5635:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.701768710411055, b_new = -0.4530297694805403, c_new = 5.293039143182862
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5041.082028629382
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5636:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.45995713388926, b_new = -1.1351807010777573, c_new = 6.261778065533133
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10360.071542427193
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5637:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.108056932038756, b_new = -1.2466790732717528, c_new = 4.661044306458457
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3222.6151751881903
Acceptance probability: 2.6329479266728907e-92
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5638:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.306700832470192, b_new = -0.8704908534495583, c_new = 5.202395110359193
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7135.086820528482
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5639:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8537457738744068, b_new = -2.008488911283762, c_new = 6.129341084921737
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12152.773074533578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5640:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.411299102542182, b_new = -0.583185667800861, c_new = 5.938136820617261
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10152.299928362394
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5641:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4998146275101005, b_new = -1.574039380101864, c_new = 5.129771871204184
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9002.81665633287
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5642:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8677658671495587, b_new = -1.6042940594472035, c_new = 5.6809015613581195
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12640.826542317991
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5643:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2399271524576956, b_new = -0.8513404840558811, c_new = 5.111124016108272
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5714.021961136355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5644:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.941925993062469, b_new = -2.116086279430043, c_new = 5.9111128104483415
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4363.498274506497
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5645:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2176028957692497, b_new = -1.5657417222311771, c_new = 4.976558875610568
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3884.291429443064
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5646:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2669406849175324, b_new = -0.8409064250805475, c_new = 5.204346129972157
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12049.480197387013
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5647:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5581451452238744, b_new = -2.0517251007987647, c_new = 4.669266950561328
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11493.953941299776
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5648:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9033244325225875, b_new = -1.471738730501713, c_new = 5.098007582122172
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3966.211489417469
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5649:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.360336884404429, b_new = -0.8448514412102762, c_new = 5.082788132226689
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8297.467425172816
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5650:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0970189602585037, b_new = -0.6661129859683196, c_new = 5.313356769529584
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3852.59978244334
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5651:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4165654719034233, b_new = -1.2423403211887616, c_new = 5.540650333986603
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11253.007806950252
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5652:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8021309272467967, b_new = -0.9892537306748796, c_new = 5.245725691596398
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4492.627470288364
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5653:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.433360979420863, b_new = -1.6034272434486012, c_new = 4.293495153137417
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7465.357797240011
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5654:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0025811145436907, b_new = -1.565482053947699, c_new = 4.390765410193926
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3281.932233799321
Acceptance probability: 4.564266900705885e-118
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5655:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2474329510011906, b_new = -1.7070839334507368, c_new = 4.755798063201896
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3999.808784192762
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5656:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5578891490998603, b_new = -0.8342091641497327, c_new = 4.691674114553925
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8913.652792358927
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5657:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2525843295012447, b_new = -0.8989611221245366, c_new = 4.833663723228265
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12339.224526070142
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5658:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.487003552449936, b_new = -0.9607214697897182, c_new = 5.5740963318119805
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9908.248437027392
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5659:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.401908263379191, b_new = -0.8918902315553616, c_new = 5.072167873506995
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8956.36544815994
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5660:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5895550318867215, b_new = -0.7334810371662885, c_new = 4.793018763591805
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8076.15989413006
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5661:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.620517466212312, b_new = -0.9809778210670432, c_new = 5.545071530954725
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11619.768332752565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5662:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9853319937742535, b_new = -2.036506315702856, c_new = 4.999287856415474
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3884.2336246500554
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5663:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.781545129711497, b_new = -1.1216243585920624, c_new = 4.130256272924721
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12285.406439959836
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5664:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6465631854133167, b_new = -0.3191885668662586, c_new = 4.8084448674650515
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5902.69994289617
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5665:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1642691319328566, b_new = -0.8331820585968497, c_new = 5.858840214451628
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4618.612635476276
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5666:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.445605940220655, b_new = -1.70562757908563, c_new = 3.6922979016263513
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12347.571960936793
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5667:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0128996584490384, b_new = -0.8478968311991948, c_new = 5.079606552877199
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3057.702534212799
Acceptance probability: 1.0992392866244645e-20
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5668:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4447672890091496, b_new = -1.3121045356171375, c_new = 5.211148878996862
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8730.340605824262
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5669:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.070336355135832, b_new = -0.9199913303094396, c_new = 5.197835802735618
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3293.45679100335
Acceptance probability: 4.511484112045646e-123
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5670:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.529659261097401, b_new = -0.24437444486269566, c_new = 4.540677315774085
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8047.827818421786
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5671:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.686402922352727, b_new = -0.8219151911744333, c_new = 5.718154376551064
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6062.24922504098
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5672:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.340042320338771, b_new = -0.9453563581990523, c_new = 5.371374872867713
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7712.148408837909
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5673:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9587864506881374, b_new = -1.3383787927919526, c_new = 5.331471218969297
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3255.121081497984
Acceptance probability: 2.0105113551383436e-106
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5674:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5902271895530102, b_new = -1.6984142146929497, c_new = 4.882423912353769
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10296.280993545008
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5675:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1436683357757076, b_new = -0.7961388239343452, c_new = 6.128019348852902
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4448.70619960692
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5676:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3557311904593554, b_new = -1.4708856480055021, c_new = 4.830690445598912
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6407.090542999147
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5677:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4453562577442463, b_new = -0.1365518308711332, c_new = 5.079087168191199
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11174.421519315138
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5678:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7592592978443125, b_new = -0.3819896834494756, c_new = 5.022848625242937
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13304.002852368412
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5679:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9737480070100943, b_new = -1.7607843100688552, c_new = 4.877699526746806
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3644.5506554050294
Acceptance probability: 1.5003462340988212e-275
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5680:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.764627403699126, b_new = -1.2578105967630264, c_new = 4.723567939109222
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5940.082916710862
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5681:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.483333428756908, b_new = -0.8068730118835954, c_new = 4.6872552235537395
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10221.420840108876
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5682:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9255084761828476, b_new = -0.6067401772589085, c_new = 5.049176940183305
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3043.7042542655836
Acceptance probability: 1.3196780062801124e-14
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5683:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7658436814533816, b_new = 0.19577608437493788, c_new = 5.404705032794538
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14112.619937650561
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5684:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.1717650023498924, b_new = -1.4623050242414735, c_new = 4.9845747170408785
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14172.118071322617
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5685:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9636348447724714, b_new = -1.482657410546517, c_new = 4.861501702919433
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3413.4352623633304
Acceptance probability: 3.5345275687508985e-175
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5686:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2168519677752703, b_new = -2.084261231537537, c_new = 5.193967744036769
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3337.309340076874
Acceptance probability: 4.0681724297652055e-142
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5687:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0003112951619206, b_new = -1.2182707427640853, c_new = 5.508192421249728
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3024.701168751505
Acceptance probability: 2.3626704887475764e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5688:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.021560876960674, b_new = -0.9122648402418787, c_new = 5.4885137037992076
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3081.9738199614803
Acceptance probability: 3.163783612902416e-31
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5689:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.223691704437693, b_new = -0.6308355451927139, c_new = 5.081491117148724
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5947.101870745622
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5690:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.07311129158038, b_new = -1.9440469489297962, c_new = 4.475910024906311
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14606.10831222175
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5691:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2614318588757603, b_new = -0.6203134675343297, c_new = 4.136410039877568
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12078.366982624202
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5692:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.268274456890538, b_new = -0.5827234309139376, c_new = 5.412087290116003
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11609.942178416477
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5693:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.840973503342487, b_new = -1.2999238011229746, c_new = 4.534722502221389
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4688.772905239095
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5694:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.395938615424747, b_new = -0.5542427999586945, c_new = 4.846266283730541
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9580.905458483565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5695:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7888524504502463, b_new = -0.37636632941638837, c_new = 5.247928947883843
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3702.1450507645523
Acceptance probability: 1.4563420833486196e-300
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5696:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9199399662805714, b_new = -0.6865134124551857, c_new = 4.920644212142054
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3086.7778433927483
Acceptance probability: 2.593259067567197e-33
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5697:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.457112904118198, b_new = -1.7886534653751727, c_new = 5.10885263648098
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11914.637581467745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5698:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.165251824718089, b_new = -0.4665248392309217, c_new = 5.11909497050087
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5217.02225082786
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5699:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.869635190609631, b_new = -1.7991560418007244, c_new = 5.460766449366665
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5003.135778127913
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5700:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.986141671321993, b_new = -1.1164451280661087, c_new = 5.25428041601103
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3034.275971890764
Acceptance probability: 1.641039323656379e-10
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5701:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9708634696787675, b_new = -0.6459990809179339, c_new = 4.856980918803458
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3022.7825920377054
Acceptance probability: 1.609275637465764e-05
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5702:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1018932537371335, b_new = -1.1714210218911596, c_new = 4.529319307214384
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3228.460645874642
Acceptance probability: 7.617046496394497e-95
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5703:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.645845352362276, b_new = -0.6576757779153986, c_new = 4.567789892593614
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6858.6243852039825
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5704:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9925443784006713, b_new = -0.5865269959632452, c_new = 4.403329727428067
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14110.913473373414
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5705:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.261157783260562, b_new = -0.963183123523548, c_new = 4.683634578730513
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5712.778412078687
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5706:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.744804915190252, b_new = -1.5616100744672783, c_new = 4.81410763828233
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7158.898390503362
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5707:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2017591918986477, b_new = -1.2737029467923189, c_new = 5.303837305310495
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13035.635358917862
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5708:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8837794300583135, b_new = -1.8356312991406347, c_new = 5.127021303845511
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4942.824588849568
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5709:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4273044189274, b_new = -0.5933191314451441, c_new = 5.578258400805552
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10224.69037026976
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5710:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6847002686554005, b_new = -1.6798160405377889, c_new = 4.3299199711566745
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8939.071265254555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5711:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.663529639958494, b_new = -1.4401043162876728, c_new = 4.994170641141864
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8429.468795796693
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5712:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8142940743750597, b_new = -0.6555783243611195, c_new = 5.043646711743841
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3824.0914204219202
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5713:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.634698811412536, b_new = -0.9009122825776984, c_new = 5.136114824128914
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7513.6395276562
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5714:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.724496301437199, b_new = -1.052148575300712, c_new = 5.28702505211632
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6025.015102134894
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5715:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.465156021374957, b_new = -0.9730258796232254, c_new = 5.169054562265549
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9801.953734702007
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5716:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5627311685870047, b_new = -1.8411786466263973, c_new = 5.155088541514235
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10852.015333623282
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5717:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7102363620230854, b_new = -1.4775747907815673, c_new = 5.0278445618704
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7572.857367969855
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5718:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.884874333372195, b_new = -0.7199036759353421, c_new = 5.194117366273666
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3254.0181371829995
Acceptance probability: 6.057719506775102e-106
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5719:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7912363924036243, b_new = -1.2363966820989294, c_new = 5.162140971627863
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12467.810052944082
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5720:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.258933666667439, b_new = -0.8343313536084342, c_new = 5.391537869645433
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12050.483798078141
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5721:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.865984420294739, b_new = -1.8950466688463057, c_new = 4.850494195064895
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5503.727782945123
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5722:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.274568763433787, b_new = -1.6778177768917066, c_new = 5.690616688881108
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4641.158303335417
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5723:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.981567595599041, b_new = -2.237804827338188, c_new = 4.291243630489985
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4472.542073496538
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5724:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.325335168231733, b_new = -0.9363606183260854, c_new = 4.127459160205504
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6945.39002929406
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5725:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.845276823936134, b_new = -2.0600601505994587, c_new = 4.570606045004545
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6489.988014888351
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5726:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.087684708119955, b_new = -1.3387963976870587, c_new = 5.20748787013963
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3108.734107749768
Acceptance probability: 7.557209322801139e-43
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5727:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.561721049732632, b_new = -1.3764108016039733, c_new = 4.108673254946506
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9927.73136260956
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5728:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3020836627155195, b_new = -1.1620542929537132, c_new = 4.583768191583694
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6010.1286744520185
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5729:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.253353134915586, b_new = -1.424523314377601, c_new = 5.527372775773071
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12838.063470897756
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5730:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7146762300429854, b_new = -0.9576199192251611, c_new = 4.06529649969761
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6420.9238445709725
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5731:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.279405324348974, b_new = -0.9379925019634135, c_new = 5.189239523919704
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12094.700497289032
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5732:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4854126562422425, b_new = -1.3347265707747278, c_new = 4.77226843617974
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10920.736442718842
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5733:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5496289821522917, b_new = -1.2685869987105591, c_new = 4.266170395273865
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10027.08534120998
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5734:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.255726976291445, b_new = -0.997821112314066, c_new = 5.625744648188565
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5840.244900089431
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5735:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9912303326308187, b_new = -0.8992906201572959, c_new = 5.003179749852818
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3012.6904836950425
Acceptance probability: 0.3886667605566255
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5736:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8898083633110216, b_new = -1.287490660286627, c_new = 4.879377090068216
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12957.102101060407
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5737:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8809833353733225, b_new = -1.3311675868599395, c_new = 5.295061026086547
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3979.5171484363
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5738:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8839176847835253, b_new = -0.8189984609294002, c_new = 6.035604783037863
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3261.3024095064925
Acceptance probability: 4.1570943876689355e-109
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5739:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.885279059044247, b_new = -1.3375689581259524, c_new = 5.0127083938197154
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3997.0727151636333
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5740:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8712265842258966, b_new = -1.3028714392526617, c_new = 4.889109823165089
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4150.896947047935
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5741:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2873754494692373, b_new = -1.2104188512259813, c_new = 5.47153391012737
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5885.211265166857
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5742:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.002014785509374, b_new = -0.775589773531985, c_new = 6.029184930194223
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3120.83666311956
Acceptance probability: 4.1907180016381894e-48
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5743:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9935378889310056, b_new = -1.8396207121232253, c_new = 4.900541979725566
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3551.529194343174
Acceptance probability: 3.757497759230142e-235
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5744:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.963639565224928, b_new = -0.8301193678262381, c_new = 4.639793722499782
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3029.9203436059356
Acceptance probability: 1.2786283143201951e-08
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5745:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.873610929244323, b_new = -1.8776533973410063, c_new = 4.281218419656239
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5518.632726990891
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5746:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8561660655858283, b_new = -0.9473049978896235, c_new = 5.027202559310448
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3760.3226596668947
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5747:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0327882814079152, b_new = -1.2898088676736477, c_new = 6.161268005979084
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13748.119893638617
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5748:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.07571195431832, b_new = -0.8108763463025102, c_new = 5.185488565413206
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3435.9338418796824
Acceptance probability: 5.988560464289458e-185
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5749:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8374084809272047, b_new = -0.9910819366551634, c_new = 5.429803670915514
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3965.99941351632
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5750:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.160822341556223, b_new = -0.5598509248994862, c_new = 5.282715453708406
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4974.293784799333
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5751:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8496933549125587, b_new = -1.6945403818477873, c_new = 4.696367555986231
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5373.937284539154
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5752:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7186129027021826, b_new = -0.45324342394748884, c_new = 5.378039837064206
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4736.686017453456
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5753:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.451588348611045, b_new = -1.0466986247679473, c_new = 4.841268023009387
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9328.560659990791
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5754:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0198691524803527, b_new = -1.0463804617616193, c_new = 4.7578902095987505
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3016.2155722598663
Acceptance probability: 0.011445924811483632
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5755:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.852366800834717, b_new = -0.9903351138259232, c_new = 4.937769383794165
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3881.378582654677
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5756:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6842605518831686, b_new = -2.242786770670257, c_new = 5.748135429078777
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10254.745606825125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5757:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.906999438064983, b_new = -0.3563074359184911, c_new = 4.453623958883617
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3040.3665663647334
Acceptance probability: 3.7154157387874007e-13
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5758:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.558423468184091, b_new = -0.6602588856450914, c_new = 4.461947143733098
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8573.137147668991
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5759:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.272190500706869, b_new = -1.1921046211280488, c_new = 5.2236319282819395
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12488.604475996908
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5760:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.249931014356403, b_new = -1.0598464696178416, c_new = 5.298401557475322
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5453.304183197481
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5761:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.21650935185925, b_new = -1.4350176901202953, c_new = 5.428606799277681
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4162.43145256949
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5762:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2902084981072193, b_new = -1.361593391392185, c_new = 5.212215934684219
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5474.1279442497735
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5763:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6093542912240832, b_new = -0.5140845066885972, c_new = 5.477245145223235
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12217.441468700596
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5764:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.603759472452623, b_new = -1.0705820650348, c_new = 4.832957578084272
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8647.79491849632
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5765:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.259043257400251, b_new = -1.3380071425694473, c_new = 4.63111545768112
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4796.4701976463675
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5766:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.072541644320559, b_new = -1.710403981602377, c_new = 5.679217673266095
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3018.832297208163
Acceptance probability: 0.0008360296556102375
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5767:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5180032248594584, b_new = -1.9263950199278348, c_new = 5.07052945424737
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11559.728297865076
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5768:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4140456017952245, b_new = -0.7192890546231707, c_new = 4.697782098909755
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10613.740163795494
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5769:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.757570766588636, b_new = -0.6778062012903465, c_new = 3.854320279120712
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4966.978161078161
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5770:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.287321038063966, b_new = -1.4599251624546228, c_new = 4.798639505168587
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5070.086901922644
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5771:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8399049768547995, b_new = -0.6838735435143088, c_new = 5.001410670515903
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3598.106024679886
Acceptance probability: 2.2224824002292636e-255
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5772:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.651963575773536, b_new = -1.395251564429783, c_new = 4.1667759977909995
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8864.927629737125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5773:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.197141915281908, b_new = -1.517389375548735, c_new = 4.3863398236802915
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3634.471541901602
Acceptance probability: 3.5768017516266553e-271
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5774:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.88961919419267, b_new = -2.1091791677320164, c_new = 4.723966141061917
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11924.69615498132
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5775:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.539693273101183, b_new = -0.831439833801195, c_new = 4.429972933972607
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9289.8205753468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5776:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4743933743370143, b_new = -1.5944227092377061, c_new = 4.919743659553862
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11471.66969688284
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5777:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.870532540536212, b_new = -0.6985726546846436, c_new = 4.675758293442865
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3391.6207367201882
Acceptance probability: 1.0525905958650039e-165
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5778:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.178448646841586, b_new = -1.2392855954679944, c_new = 5.541392360102795
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4006.8475438209043
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5779:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.966393069516838, b_new = -0.87812085902974, c_new = 5.549265827133025
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3020.59972810854
Acceptance probability: 0.0001427697489384693
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5780:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.867868753540989, b_new = -0.9552953409976359, c_new = 4.837628767549848
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3679.807539049912
Acceptance probability: 7.316804926444288e-291
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5781:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.836048997953993, b_new = -0.7373220283223805, c_new = 5.364882203481962
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3645.07296876989
Acceptance probability: 8.899255595978652e-276
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5782:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1252373403602833, b_new = -0.5396041348280152, c_new = 5.264645561294297
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4431.027398282558
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5783:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.230921290106968, b_new = -1.4376104699207455, c_new = 4.8963100773253645
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4240.646054437213
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5784:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3272485928052586, b_new = -1.0650634834205834, c_new = 5.108842779737699
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6998.787390373334
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5785:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.566154564166568, b_new = -1.0778364795714201, c_new = 5.455065502422125
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9072.888037558445
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5786:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.21706538847055, b_new = -1.8499852755053927, c_new = 4.126020840277555
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3442.3390822712345
Acceptance probability: 9.898328925789158e-188
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5787:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8415363348190916, b_new = -1.5436265551049555, c_new = 5.2240708072046065
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4997.3116959486215
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5788:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2818489472046015, b_new = -0.5025737179155604, c_new = 4.33907595326092
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7296.068166058423
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5789:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3486961621724483, b_new = -1.2359993777406943, c_new = 5.1134499399116455
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11996.378366494126
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5790:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.678787194541131, b_new = -1.0752653532303753, c_new = 5.892242863587114
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6807.622708054541
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5791:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.721378425166815, b_new = -0.2320317690970477, c_new = 4.839291795201366
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13207.349998330112
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5792:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2961853066140714, b_new = 0.2984459201632774, c_new = 5.73030712065089
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10366.84364557631
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5793:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7129117426389797, b_new = -1.082675028692141, c_new = 4.944943673165106
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6464.429409885719
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5794:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.387758087227607, b_new = -1.613159092320044, c_new = 5.309044877706381
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6866.271161558951
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5795:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.172686347270863, b_new = -1.0922307672846239, c_new = 4.928189399172046
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4037.8387377821764
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5796:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3616115085609937, b_new = -1.6294233898141992, c_new = 4.976686663758989
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6167.4991389539155
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5797:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9315687521797105, b_new = -1.432383328711396, c_new = 5.053681838128629
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3607.9158601687377
Acceptance probability: 1.2203401759106282e-259
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5798:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6176464276086593, b_new = -0.6726461565014161, c_new = 5.023147742943224
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7298.708747198256
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5799:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.164414731569982, b_new = -1.7523109266352193, c_new = 5.699278363442252
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3289.4898376956444
Acceptance probability: 2.3831169948046585e-121
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5800:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.155320949954684, b_new = -1.6935163907682154, c_new = 5.459890936440823
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13993.575971826172
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5801:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4109263132795573, b_new = -1.9272019066782502, c_new = 4.657997104777392
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12664.52806203609
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5802:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9993927424964277, b_new = -0.5637795522536442, c_new = 4.697653491163192
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3113.11115864134
Acceptance probability: 9.493632201352972e-45
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5803:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5591980788021065, b_new = -0.7189322751112104, c_new = 5.061732489091452
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11327.233736157988
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5804:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.224349527721082, b_new = -1.1999179760632293, c_new = 4.707989530927515
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4531.478132011541
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5805:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.430198323806558, b_new = -0.9309859465215125, c_new = 5.3197711452487155
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9425.680475006808
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5806:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9829415705864966, b_new = -0.7884836996560078, c_new = 4.857190687629321
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3015.0569113815754
Acceptance probability: 0.036462875495854315
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5807:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2656725657070504, b_new = -1.0733127892558099, c_new = 5.098178292578995
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5664.546735006746
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5808:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.790974957389392, b_new = 0.0916575062712146, c_new = 5.399544673141691
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3254.6430271794184
Acceptance probability: 3.2428202989898775e-106
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5809:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1507723422557814, b_new = -1.7864341343617274, c_new = 4.862580348341413
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3139.5469372349357
Acceptance probability: 3.1370369521776563e-56
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5810:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.105279581482796, b_new = -0.9732423713133728, c_new = 5.067037891062502
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14370.807162483261
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5811:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.260117450233082, b_new = -1.1868898206258556, c_new = 6.005236144398296
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5576.809444695767
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5812:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0113086012107466, b_new = -1.4195257930096319, c_new = 5.372411634877499
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14150.300740905028
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5813:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.292823541266218, b_new = -0.3409839527956984, c_new = 5.347812556648821
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11038.436234549143
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5814:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4365331484588895, b_new = -0.4139160333795965, c_new = 4.202991094757569
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9921.323035659447
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5815:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.030752188324678, b_new = -0.9721239570774747, c_new = 5.635609481854332
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3096.3945437032676
Acceptance probability: 1.7272930522383044e-37
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5816:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4385986760217726, b_new = -1.3809660164621165, c_new = 4.1172034718482315
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11726.507859758305
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5817:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.078823757593013, b_new = -1.0481439919306235, c_new = 5.054041860932737
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3229.32338088939
Acceptance probability: 3.2144416776589756e-95
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5818:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.754327553212446, b_new = -1.3576258778829566, c_new = 4.366989568299011
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6559.13885228176
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5819:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.246550087495497, b_new = -1.3389692388673224, c_new = 5.264516874618067
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4755.27865440982
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5820:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.736196027079848, b_new = -1.465668653390599, c_new = 4.826039657233405
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7068.248144423969
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5821:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.740610131098823, b_new = -0.48991237752388195, c_new = 5.137202247186131
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4519.47302841619
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5822:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8468337369393533, b_new = -0.7715433423863005, c_new = 5.336506080654314
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3584.462440986599
Acceptance probability: 1.8714207556825836e-249
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5823:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.860527324082665, b_new = -0.42450261315134763, c_new = 5.748106586659274
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3167.7195639458932
Acceptance probability: 1.8251699638484725e-68
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5824:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1617995912075827, b_new = -1.0509396979599959, c_new = 5.016832378859568
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3983.644566979708
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5825:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0065600971561306, b_new = -0.7708225878323105, c_new = 5.338566491773754
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3084.951533252978
Acceptance probability: 1.6106542432221324e-32
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5826:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.652658172290438, b_new = -2.204124662798155, c_new = 4.296352145969472
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9579.715374283398
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5827:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.654067588400709, b_new = -0.910744548270813, c_new = 3.9256906357975367
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11557.058800505678
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5828:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3704294640729873, b_new = -1.127233913278589, c_new = 4.841824860273069
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7642.027886978982
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5829:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.895368535357791, b_new = -0.7519807335916193, c_new = 4.5860424605929815
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3272.060496757548
Acceptance probability: 8.843251092161778e-114
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5830:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7000200993780563, b_new = -1.0711929738586596, c_new = 5.002510710886438
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11990.425697332936
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5831:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1312653402666744, b_new = -1.2437567384031036, c_new = 5.133641741245121
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3438.023700439063
Acceptance probability: 7.408126650901391e-186
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5832:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9542533990165323, b_new = -0.6961868554524776, c_new = 4.582593642329887
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3022.0906318380094
Acceptance probability: 3.214733182608235e-05
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5833:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8662623128336753, b_new = -0.8204974481594841, c_new = 5.374926211860715
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3458.2378377074374
Acceptance probability: 1.232594218791093e-194
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5834:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3457974449492176, b_new = -0.8529474868613182, c_new = 4.2020142294387055
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7635.41204345281
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5835:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8986731788843323, b_new = -0.25489614355155665, c_new = 4.850892906401294
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3038.0158476216125
Acceptance probability: 3.898626182532814e-12
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5836:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0426020474346887, b_new = -0.8060139115557353, c_new = 4.817079376545278
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3176.110784722544
Acceptance probability: 4.1404012726430007e-72
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5837:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.403814683495528, b_new = -0.30035228203410735, c_new = 4.695973652526597
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9952.554896036028
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5838:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4180843689634877, b_new = -0.6999531494067464, c_new = 4.727206878203222
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10521.998954174991
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5839:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.019597624150207, b_new = -1.0507046012893133, c_new = 4.701511527475968
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13910.432578273754
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5840:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.828873228296504, b_new = -1.5137337507747368, c_new = 4.430331202525709
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5419.700407085225
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5841:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.751728712250285, b_new = -0.9321854534657538, c_new = 5.090485988053107
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5266.782326154285
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5842:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0549023421035284, b_new = -1.2909370641593656, c_new = 4.949205381045265
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3027.009333669688
Acceptance probability: 2.349523912349273e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5843:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3554729736346323, b_new = -1.924981160797711, c_new = 6.043425256033816
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5649.202188632447
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5844:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.650284764097831, b_new = -1.1966276823374984, c_new = 4.974215876881567
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8047.829755702018
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5845:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4487383536486536, b_new = -1.3183486420469797, c_new = 5.515654868586553
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11057.100378486557
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5846:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0055155178305055, b_new = -0.6443782956936821, c_new = 4.602057925347192
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3089.9526739256626
Acceptance probability: 1.0840130828636612e-34
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5847:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.900354679990938, b_new = -0.9155641968007616, c_new = 4.885424053131224
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3342.7804573362273
Acceptance probability: 1.7112888341223387e-144
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5848:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9788828053617975, b_new = -1.367629859276193, c_new = 5.00079018274551
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14319.451061540418
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5849:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.615601141683428, b_new = -0.935716501567693, c_new = 4.78698374869505
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11423.796767962602
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5850:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.560191591952949, b_new = -1.6585459659433535, c_new = 4.617001193458653
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9527.15855657315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5851:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9634661572507333, b_new = -1.3896076543024685, c_new = 5.264239641544846
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3274.493517486807
Acceptance probability: 7.7618363045122965e-115
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5852:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.421751551792134, b_new = -1.2195429613576447, c_new = 4.884801077893333
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11366.690290141274
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5853:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3563060766436963, b_new = -1.0018990510790442, c_new = 5.04351580033556
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7768.679255341492
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5854:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.340917002227226, b_new = -0.631463775180369, c_new = 4.775913061405203
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11211.126925033894
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5855:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8336599718718665, b_new = -1.1221133361400133, c_new = 4.5443249537794275
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12728.237892445595
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5856:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7670014123561764, b_new = -1.1190706080604138, c_new = 4.637073656409437
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12317.499625733511
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5857:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0533126393140155, b_new = -1.2767419821588244, c_new = 4.467419527978893
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3024.91761927542
Acceptance probability: 1.9028295561184504e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5858:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9634321725662254, b_new = -1.0336270864605157, c_new = 4.578710901825792
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3104.383662098513
Acceptance probability: 5.857819586391732e-41
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5859:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.784813614090416, b_new = -1.0985015551253963, c_new = 5.797233268803569
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4844.392281843892
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5860:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3979230618481937, b_new = -1.2766516895036162, c_new = 4.905759395609709
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7826.6827903326775
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5861:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4756921320846197, b_new = -0.748839192706326, c_new = 5.319972795564799
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9716.06998463618
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5862:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2362714341300873, b_new = -0.7449293591487943, c_new = 5.587961992380272
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6095.422766195335
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5863:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6441165168752665, b_new = -1.2217139437142648, c_new = 4.424869259731233
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8450.047239614058
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5864:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0114795542052604, b_new = -0.48745753499294864, c_new = 4.422424757221709
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3191.5265505088273
Acceptance probability: 8.357192735995051e-79
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5865:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.568419778317261, b_new = 0.39037523862972834, c_new = 5.724769182821973
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13283.385570201543
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5866:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.109973061982599, b_new = -1.1087252320282017, c_new = 5.133327410005789
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13417.32079111821
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5867:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3491985586140713, b_new = -1.7059892687557157, c_new = 4.319641113184117
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5524.397514355262
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5868:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2291394955883472, b_new = -1.5974996858076356, c_new = 5.9344582219491535
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4172.840761945079
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5869:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.249333326269135, b_new = -1.8135056026401495, c_new = 4.85037956945818
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3885.9845738554204
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5870:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3778757509589292, b_new = -1.18098573052156, c_new = 4.5549137018383155
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7543.568485853054
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5871:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.97816734681089, b_new = -0.8936240495217687, c_new = 4.476109056353609
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3024.51270883657
Acceptance probability: 2.8526616115746907e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5872:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.456082920281651, b_new = -0.4704416024961293, c_new = 4.588024915143441
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10506.257870580615
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5873:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6653141361132957, b_new = -1.222179112538777, c_new = 4.645032659372096
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11385.256741005664
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5874:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.517370788860312, b_new = -1.1029751431041304, c_new = 5.8072523314056195
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9718.243031835427
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5875:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5152155242690073, b_new = -1.110528303239747, c_new = 4.925824046560361
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10057.268519981384
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5876:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.429942233856064, b_new = -1.6002893968539522, c_new = 4.863103460425866
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11934.285421902918
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5877:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2846976546410707, b_new = -0.8067797807448497, c_new = 6.165187258442881
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11598.129995364407
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5878:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4421639266747803, b_new = -2.035130289774069, c_new = 5.377301375693761
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6904.712392300573
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5879:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.638733582328519, b_new = -0.7265640950127763, c_new = 4.86664548832565
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7074.695101535566
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5880:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.71755867062688, b_new = -0.5792655057029664, c_new = 5.657107941532624
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4938.192102135581
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5881:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9736654100802546, b_new = -0.49683955626724396, c_new = 5.105131386126746
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3084.4110256737213
Acceptance probability: 2.765296985204413e-32
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5882:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9342694478558746, b_new = -1.2746588502694742, c_new = 5.25344516864683
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3378.909008609971
Acceptance probability: 3.490541929953419e-160
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5883:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8048040481050944, b_new = -2.440406601055752, c_new = 4.506071894743413
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8573.593942181755
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5884:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1845442612797097, b_new = -1.4125917082012789, c_new = 5.6394645267096974
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3839.406382103987
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5885:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.830261325170655, b_new = -1.1035261439656912, c_new = 5.017555818526712
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4342.173133049138
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5886:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7914290390925975, b_new = -1.51748115446118, c_new = 5.598048872254127
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12218.414623374216
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5887:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.670903979829354, b_new = -0.9989461209434879, c_new = 4.573507481259291
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11744.078052492032
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5888:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6723010690526547, b_new = -1.0530025872956132, c_new = 5.40449832515191
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7057.564206053536
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5889:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.3675312684005965, b_new = -1.7860795053881398, c_new = 4.876907056585321
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14598.318114669553
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5890:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.021218453067164, b_new = -0.9998986771592003, c_new = 5.841497022032149
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3067.6080169816437
Acceptance probability: 5.485241264963481e-25
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5891:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0536483024970162, b_new = -1.709526079993774, c_new = 4.883288433660648
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3087.105012884103
Acceptance probability: 1.8696400403994927e-33
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5892:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5596519632160235, b_new = -1.3174682991181559, c_new = 5.4889187495278655
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10426.11863772674
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5893:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.486674218445607, b_new = -1.581367907586827, c_new = 5.864253068650872
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11005.884133836298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5894:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8916271759357666, b_new = -1.7668419221076872, c_new = 3.995249570673849
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5019.2831462655595
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5895:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.816527599249226, b_new = -1.4182827941935887, c_new = 6.073186094329378
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4906.123177287855
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5896:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.576203440172354, b_new = -1.1191464587632602, c_new = 4.748421234954197
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9262.543470599165
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5897:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.942276554690331, b_new = -0.6805061940645563, c_new = 5.450311042258088
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3027.4339569331723
Acceptance probability: 1.5366265376286736e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5898:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2597650912241094, b_new = -0.366081975917917, c_new = 4.405387743741826
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7227.104981875183
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5899:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3733194121226044, b_new = -0.7978279885141373, c_new = 5.093385445199338
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11071.175307280457
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5900:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3840515013838965, b_new = -0.7482009079488834, c_new = 3.5655521504705194
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8440.385361944662
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5901:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9426334725907417, b_new = -0.9480834830192472, c_new = 4.820412715246421
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14117.961242098962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5902:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.431822931036612, b_new = -0.7342597965511664, c_new = 4.420170501258202
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9575.465661508177
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5903:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8124207578907248, b_new = -0.8171987709756539, c_new = 5.34140856321139
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13177.33911023139
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5904:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.606875085808619, b_new = -2.0300649401998987, c_new = 5.609491316894661
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10511.530473132578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5905:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.101731190037777, b_new = -1.3748235092709595, c_new = 5.721234158497458
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3191.301482914945
Acceptance probability: 1.0466609761756997e-78
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5906:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.867266249932963, b_new = -0.43125013200627516, c_new = 4.628717560701112
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3204.888841421076
Acceptance probability: 1.3148954099355803e-84
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5907:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2400652639893663, b_new = -0.6106282637075926, c_new = 4.518262188452031
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6143.940727651059
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5908:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.289858460831751, b_new = -0.21256579712047863, c_new = 5.393152553911299
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8747.478917594444
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5909:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8470236057165765, b_new = -0.5372719484965611, c_new = 4.576192084600649
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13505.961742885618
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5910:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8385997980534277, b_new = -0.19014114172541374, c_new = 5.182196208427227
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3177.231100856731
Acceptance probability: 1.350502269465865e-72
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5911:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0932671135668084, b_new = -1.437514300858361, c_new = 5.26001630637791
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3088.7186558713734
Acceptance probability: 3.7235891421324767e-34
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5912:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1158461448484935, b_new = -1.413833176923674, c_new = 4.655601783391647
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3159.8760978736373
Acceptance probability: 4.652403216507703e-65
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5913:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2460273942897095, b_new = -1.3797842407367187, c_new = 5.389092778222116
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12865.673347403868
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5914:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9775760924536274, b_new = -1.5974991621806551, c_new = 4.672902398002881
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13056.920275302364
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5915:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.988170100322984, b_new = -1.3151071794865894, c_new = 5.349404098688559
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3093.9358361156583
Acceptance probability: 2.01915270005633e-36
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5916:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0464580295904273, b_new = -1.72399314682661, c_new = 5.439902207759705
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3075.3609896537682
Acceptance probability: 2.3557135752802243e-28
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5917:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.487066693992759, b_new = -0.061564496587626305, c_new = 6.105573452779858
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12074.815080179285
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5918:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.508014719779116, b_new = -0.9135842333705426, c_new = 4.805187511043335
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10356.67515214685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5919:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8460860129621586, b_new = -1.7646909313452859, c_new = 4.721704871038953
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5609.872878653353
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5920:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0553635393598646, b_new = -0.993708204022184, c_new = 5.345414741089678
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13524.007266050758
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5921:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7148842537393314, b_new = -0.5820697930826795, c_new = 5.776092304143808
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4958.631919946727
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5922:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1753477453678514, b_new = -0.8906917224073326, c_new = 4.794124532852718
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4392.638015741388
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5923:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2217896677920965, b_new = -1.029016865141547, c_new = 5.40455683069807
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5036.3272231280625
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5924:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.842367931626628, b_new = -1.6587948386028302, c_new = 5.615102681360571
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5121.525734629574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5925:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4899624927211876, b_new = -1.1788965075968845, c_new = 4.854640762570737
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10537.972874876476
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5926:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.32702707999164, b_new = -1.086376649042446, c_new = 5.225027862717453
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11919.510046218722
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5927:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7434790830192437, b_new = -1.048184543575468, c_new = 4.478245830945889
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5914.558279084144
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5928:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6264856781288195, b_new = -0.6447816595172953, c_new = 5.1875061646605625
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6993.39029729764
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5929:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.932769527046136, b_new = -1.4877112373524324, c_new = 5.048636103940729
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3667.5761281601062
Acceptance probability: 1.5009137346317012e-285
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5930:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.619908970817926, b_new = -1.6468996135239808, c_new = 6.300106114790424
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9227.93260398955
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5931:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6369300106363913, b_new = 0.20315923500748645, c_new = 5.979821082206664
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13563.49902671192
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5932:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4712829966192245, b_new = -1.165494279339913, c_new = 5.586437259202472
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9621.560902276984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5933:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.644680484909943, b_new = -1.807932645743622, c_new = 4.833096687679502
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9762.085367478921
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5934:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.263310873578159, b_new = -1.6895623984070602, c_new = 4.962474531875411
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14324.079284684636
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5935:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.322602062993587, b_new = -1.5247196838623331, c_new = 4.449389609194615
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5476.417064936357
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5936:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7822934986974315, b_new = -1.824704180849893, c_new = 5.073139928245625
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6988.19039520684
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5937:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3281357769348228, b_new = -1.9455008275629595, c_new = 5.30858986815697
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4884.718717984227
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5938:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3638188017539217, b_new = -0.7645844300421557, c_new = 5.379757845342648
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8699.498922179693
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5939:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7814090161476135, b_new = -1.5205070472501343, c_new = 4.5298733667767594
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6367.792645140482
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5940:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.69613447234869, b_new = -0.813800584584567, c_new = 4.775548617369507
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12256.17823207486
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5941:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.70833647536267, b_new = -1.3822285461313013, c_new = 4.929439601122714
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11591.534393432132
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5942:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.072350771442711, b_new = -1.0045115215698932, c_new = 4.7769449936597175
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3197.8616295506095
Acceptance probability: 1.481735028613652e-81
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5943:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.39975775505783, b_new = -0.43948505228722234, c_new = 4.801142078877605
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9884.04975478032
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5944:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6282579119484444, b_new = -1.2849407660323786, c_new = 4.033541021584426
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10777.765703691273
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5945:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.236807226010352, b_new = -0.7202326906054365, c_new = 4.677751627294385
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5838.577909341924
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5946:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4223449618765254, b_new = -0.9199606213535335, c_new = 4.904080827229212
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9174.731299372497
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5947:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0434638843322377, b_new = -2.263759774710434, c_new = 5.100871591311719
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3577.784144104849
Acceptance probability: 1.487712205702049e-246
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5948:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2095235792244474, b_new = -0.2239805139158536, c_new = 4.350640748896101
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6492.1101364735805
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5949:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0184281560746404, b_new = -1.900819938469296, c_new = 5.667113173396818
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3301.395955973055
Acceptance probability: 1.608362338187845e-126
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5950:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6169604676131932, b_new = -0.9001662148710731, c_new = 5.801055771639496
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7618.406134195795
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5951:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4541940133795723, b_new = -1.2411596041335944, c_new = 4.451688003976443
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8793.758496265944
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5952:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4453895975437385, b_new = -0.4728768501661328, c_new = 4.417697259841512
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9854.101304927879
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5953:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.629133768680819, b_new = -1.485746138057899, c_new = 4.860071605015914
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10690.01106435896
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5954:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.371281724150743, b_new = -1.1364785900758065, c_new = 4.724224115784522
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11761.77605849804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5955:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1411052674472413, b_new = -1.3525529887655616, c_new = 4.991494170417733
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3392.3153082727176
Acceptance probability: 5.255461912923744e-166
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5956:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0925653503554114, b_new = -1.5232093797109365, c_new = 5.152804762430335
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3054.081142275817
Acceptance probability: 4.110009035572762e-19
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5957:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.424809471715151, b_new = -0.7293613626854207, c_new = 5.174331405709366
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9746.558717469377
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5958:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.665932829987658, b_new = 0.20968796004979917, c_new = 5.020410738465878
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13472.675787568081
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5959:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.962016799503084, b_new = -0.7244756555502301, c_new = 4.990683283114312
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3015.84015940726
Acceptance probability: 0.016660599285227277
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5960:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2761393599183792, b_new = -1.4654521234731788, c_new = 5.050536407164348
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12871.005851276299
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5961:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4215548264710036, b_new = -0.8642746948014, c_new = 5.235576477880261
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9411.806751325172
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5962:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.658063193837393, b_new = -1.0796002925038621, c_new = 4.7212004489229
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15243.483603603472
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5963:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3836231108237187, b_new = -0.3381611749706559, c_new = 5.460593898932865
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10114.95446615257
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5964:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7179434245382246, b_new = -0.0708960061221191, c_new = 4.888032540388275
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13401.635219927002
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5965:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8350952183672007, b_new = -1.0862718307426973, c_new = 5.448361344537148
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4144.095094900519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5966:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.409187063337828, b_new = -0.6750685543819575, c_new = 5.7785044660368685
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9854.540875333838
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5967:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.464956136094871, b_new = -0.09900096132690095, c_new = 4.981031396893663
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8635.894021807957
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5968:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.024976350250928, b_new = -1.9861090372587054, c_new = 4.166074035897352
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3584.703024188778
Acceptance probability: 1.4712534177460608e-249
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5969:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.567189267396953, b_new = -0.8598380587986549, c_new = 4.471847986925456
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15715.585094335704
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5970:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.031889235201415, b_new = -2.083145306783239, c_new = 5.041872732358083
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3477.071646500014
Acceptance probability: 8.154566798140475e-203
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5971:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5854551037369875, b_new = -0.104395715309471, c_new = 5.5993517448242995
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6321.193241660703
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5972:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0625151515783253, b_new = -0.8811273027160691, c_new = 5.502181673662457
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3311.5506122581864
Acceptance probability: 6.255653781661641e-131
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5973:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8553159950643776, b_new = -1.331881129626217, c_new = 5.996910825628377
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4162.871180322626
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5974:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.792330833237661, b_new = -1.5034356070928245, c_new = 5.367578599430068
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5783.836683908948
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5975:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.267438961540101, b_new = -0.6128396783278255, c_new = 4.574974775215484
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15128.765897967498
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5976:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2370526274789118, b_new = -0.6561816496805286, c_new = 4.42431382698872
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5922.993400467136
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5977:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.731490109094344, b_new = -0.41808707550816526, c_new = 4.631685752748804
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4648.153685775102
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5978:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.451209582209748, b_new = -1.1722601939106938, c_new = 4.713454600667538
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8993.564283480042
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5979:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.09825938800633, b_new = -1.335628005442083, c_new = 5.331706399748397
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3165.7812903686827
Acceptance probability: 1.2678995045538123e-67
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5980:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8435084760681675, b_new = -1.130354456578703, c_new = 4.037630048935994
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4450.230926180389
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5981:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9789232563478945, b_new = -0.6592497961478017, c_new = 4.35212095517435
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3018.3306091715503
Acceptance probability: 0.001380708596767362
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5982:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.785815148934642, b_new = -1.7940683203574703, c_new = 5.8770495661146365
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11878.783062474
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5983:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.642715738415788, b_new = -1.5730128143882447, c_new = 5.598409601382176
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15475.900140744314
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5984:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2420557093352684, b_new = -1.6083192731766114, c_new = 5.071581318389568
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4144.865852340479
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5985:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.384510752326856, b_new = -1.0546876317727238, c_new = 5.254256558390493
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8281.609553574373
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5986:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4502951328854303, b_new = -1.7597895662429348, c_new = 4.625104868497089
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12086.215551204266
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5987:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.791579791785593, b_new = -1.1226788567299022, c_new = 5.209553066840001
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4945.423491528094
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5988:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.477979380113454, b_new = -0.7778608510186504, c_new = 4.573906768380023
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10173.75171238737
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5989:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.374213584083299, b_new = -1.4360925254444272, c_new = 5.810577878890184
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7245.096156985905
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5990:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7057096272342256, b_new = -1.1943794895270825, c_new = 5.320296408542489
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6775.582085683845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5991:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2762372465823586, b_new = -1.174399468981362, c_new = 4.484331076911368
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12642.734455017346
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5992:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8337365405397987, b_new = -1.0751985956351724, c_new = 5.032542024296766
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4238.245929472487
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5993:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.663480794917694, b_new = -2.0767775409066163, c_new = 4.753369648445445
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10135.447755484789
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5994:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1930295550137333, b_new = -1.7719521897426642, c_new = 4.917325458734982
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3399.4462132231665
Acceptance probability: 4.204343799034845e-169
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5995:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6544183341581684, b_new = -2.1435924307076943, c_new = 5.301712439236353
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9976.415287096257
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5996:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6879206119322525, b_new = -1.2120189285984342, c_new = 4.846900861966674
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7376.2816617260005
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5997:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.086993161318446, b_new = -1.5857682673866353, c_new = 4.648612482393061
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3034.110764351773
Acceptance probability: 1.9358322048302903e-10
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5998:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.539414713579224, b_new = -1.3300457484521544, c_new = 4.749708501849983
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9933.131092295233
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5999:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.799548476716006, b_new = -0.9173464477162185, c_new = 4.878425423344702
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4488.032675793227
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6000:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1835224528566384, b_new = -0.5594537729347334, c_new = 5.737469258869843
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12141.986632214153
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6001:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6362293225569964, b_new = -1.540225132273632, c_new = 4.073971560421134
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9552.400835279748
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6002:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.696748177962803, b_new = -0.5658114280217796, c_new = 4.5475866394020175
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5611.067412878594
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6003:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.231373413004099, b_new = -0.35817963675470643, c_new = 5.189512874999194
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6934.09066822509
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6004:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.410456279757343, b_new = -1.16810864004016, c_new = 5.737220396982569
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8667.593439936534
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6005:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4519775125130363, b_new = -1.0500254321039375, c_new = 4.755420760149315
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9297.57492002952
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6006:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.238353420415947, b_new = -1.4580754627508374, c_new = 5.2374505082711
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4388.5919259958555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6007:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.601818261275623, b_new = -1.0873858684602744, c_new = 4.753378326836968
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11042.616164554158
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6008:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.060700401534236, b_new = -1.3718989755243962, c_new = 5.461189353075353
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3031.3452460358194
Acceptance probability: 3.075509372086244e-09
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6009:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9485833538139574, b_new = -0.6700250975790514, c_new = 5.060646812835689
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3020.9731930079092
Acceptance probability: 9.827486385179365e-05
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6010:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0173337735108268, b_new = -1.7476112318221855, c_new = 5.031483075723659
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14509.59186685233
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6011:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3262515460790083, b_new = -0.262855010434381, c_new = 5.05347736373391
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10658.777116504873
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6012:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3567210318542156, b_new = -0.7923948102403646, c_new = 4.823845289215072
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11308.732636763987
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6013:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.572993809894667, b_new = -0.6817696879389432, c_new = 4.777095980752669
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8254.703267036643
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6014:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0439282980374323, b_new = -1.2528256088923322, c_new = 4.798894484790965
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3018.4288763280683
Acceptance probability: 0.0012514835490106857
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6015:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.185947647311751, b_new = -0.4908319039434923, c_new = 4.882554585042957
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5471.5343151688285
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6016:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.149904382487179, b_new = -0.12316139748223942, c_new = 5.274917911431887
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5839.156121104792
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6017:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1474160664867132, b_new = -1.9912927695828615, c_new = 5.94941256367489
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13977.025778092164
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6018:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2867494051052857, b_new = -0.18556974111976066, c_new = 5.278613264040515
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8710.597783628271
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6019:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8409826813255212, b_new = -1.4287576388918724, c_new = 4.750399698880204
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4898.432234079008
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6020:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1057241531733197, b_new = -0.8229736758166284, c_new = 4.611363093838743
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13246.90673125313
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6021:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.510147974874616, b_new = -0.9923140139380308, c_new = 4.8522526184340276
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9907.397262465112
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6022:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.57188426530332, b_new = -0.4400491703154441, c_new = 5.6905033714875275
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7365.939988680777
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6023:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.643271420766376, b_new = -0.6071558398335551, c_new = 5.166551121120003
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12257.334413379107
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6024:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.136569238522545, b_new = -1.305797033963395, c_new = 5.4243138512228715
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14270.948862231347
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6025:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6966010282515853, b_new = -1.6903262004986166, c_new = 5.487966941769061
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11184.261463561768
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6026:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9447740999903247, b_new = -1.9853758709398088, c_new = 5.528295828817443
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4183.759153060377
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6027:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.187781824388055, b_new = -0.6960449143324405, c_new = 5.455897143253339
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12360.887801516237
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6028:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.538501854587242, b_new = -1.437392967675297, c_new = 4.151657842153256
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9532.667992852768
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6029:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.968554641932721, b_new = -1.7277005508339192, c_new = 5.725348247228475
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3504.4068273348616
Acceptance probability: 1.0961820752006856e-214
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6030:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.776499554401477, b_new = -1.4053321585853635, c_new = 5.082954812584694
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15941.206098360828
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6031:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2733385330365516, b_new = -0.42598890713494, c_new = 5.1198591071362305
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11412.281786361884
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6032:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.636939072194332, b_new = -1.7389909164176012, c_new = 5.0252164710085685
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10396.396925202673
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6033:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5791729608247196, b_new = -0.8857910145751255, c_new = 5.231873510768826
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11296.358169325818
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6034:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1291684310599956, b_new = -0.9287220896097873, c_new = 5.399291238020247
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3854.1814486643034
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6035:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5168603375380316, b_new = -1.1976440154519696, c_new = 5.845632408793012
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9904.683118067836
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6036:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.982376499788605, b_new = -0.6588975090363991, c_new = 4.27971996804567
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3020.5835585520576
Acceptance probability: 0.00014509703736227415
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6037:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.28163580208468, b_new = -1.2531334277113928, c_new = 4.348558934791584
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12750.243963019144
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6038:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.01247939053225, b_new = -1.2217237285371034, c_new = 5.353451051276219
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3014.499584976811
Acceptance probability: 0.06366411359950255
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6039:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.032646984853038, b_new = -1.864313938224078, c_new = 4.845453662765816
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13104.350423925065
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6040:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8307076876530286, b_new = -1.3469232979378496, c_new = 5.914377732329813
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4570.204759377824
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6041:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7429913248077153, b_new = 0.0431923005420054, c_new = 5.165273626573869
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3680.548554462944
Acceptance probability: 3.4874064910825736e-291
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6042:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8294626145501893, b_new = -1.4852621161908757, c_new = 4.923702149166635
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5174.985438584875
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6043:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.354092514916398, b_new = -1.1142048609803972, c_new = 4.5914709983458675
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7241.0094180272645
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6044:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.205296191429997, b_new = -0.49381643646084683, c_new = 4.390591694584364
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5679.238893476895
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6045:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7237879964355627, b_new = -0.6751189836465982, c_new = 4.283807653665791
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5441.000501675428
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6046:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4028382183673487, b_new = -0.75579654371689, c_new = 4.699094135782459
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9165.255534853832
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6047:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8931970524534312, b_new = -0.36169669526743686, c_new = 5.452212371552102
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13630.236666384519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6048:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.106626206285554, b_new = -0.9459345782356468, c_new = 4.374768318005665
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3439.4190752669606
Acceptance probability: 1.8352904746739646e-186
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6049:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.387477835325461, b_new = -1.9065415708513553, c_new = 4.807202882150249
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5942.068100481873
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6050:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.242609155443651, b_new = -1.1449501013394379, c_new = 4.461126193715966
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4875.64013232534
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6051:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0067578876585395, b_new = -1.320314116867206, c_new = 5.153138570275602
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3050.597330681968
Acceptance probability: 1.3391922514780757e-17
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6052:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.479234917614547, b_new = -0.7931219540302672, c_new = 5.038526738432132
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9849.49263278368
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6053:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.537922502202291, b_new = -1.4777362016577136, c_new = 5.481253213744676
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10318.154395395673
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6054:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5677107958047816, b_new = 0.1509068458972993, c_new = 5.416466419668177
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12846.308646563082
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6055:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3509031926662805, b_new = -1.640564843655643, c_new = 4.224964616748114
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12830.424346274096
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6056:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2726959912467986, b_new = -1.1397503426793048, c_new = 5.123919560199946
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5646.848185279832
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6057:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.877242216249108, b_new = -0.38664623520511754, c_new = 4.991996141026973
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3114.3189702274603
Acceptance probability: 2.837177423916237e-45
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6058:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1816904088473197, b_new = -1.0865244333120723, c_new = 4.751303308154477
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4127.480633243691
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6059:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6057881430605816, b_new = -0.5560881250456229, c_new = 5.12256298504775
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7197.947830123692
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6060:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5876299188479357, b_new = -1.0415670100586114, c_new = 5.102638335034282
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11081.972407994363
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6061:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.406861189745915, b_new = -0.8328592211585271, c_new = 4.439446608226582
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8954.515474544969
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6062:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.746798196143133, b_new = -0.17220965598970817, c_new = 4.349979805038053
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4060.4412395664563
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6063:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.971266806177304, b_new = -2.2255671319961294, c_new = 5.428425631020374
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4275.454797258919
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6064:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.868990060352246, b_new = -0.8426471759874543, c_new = 4.894787885805719
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14297.352386496197
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6065:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8462499201137117, b_new = -1.7689091147380505, c_new = 5.247897062038534
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15088.142786115968
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6066:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9385268838485765, b_new = -0.25403621011696953, c_new = 4.9331749163484355
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3073.192923172558
Acceptance probability: 2.0592154776097912e-27
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6067:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0414863858429784, b_new = -0.9776429352764413, c_new = 4.4208346769450735
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3062.2270352109754
Acceptance probability: 1.1915888334599244e-22
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6068:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.793103232253255, b_new = -0.5194857927876717, c_new = 4.5414701247770815
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13211.723016083966
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6069:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2930746962483726, b_new = -0.47752759656466237, c_new = 5.151261878722282
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7947.060460833483
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6070:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1769016018461644, b_new = -1.0542440271240676, c_new = 4.426736117031243
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4049.2809348810133
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6071:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.264393361187779, b_new = -0.43201715019801645, c_new = 4.795208757846136
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15297.60012870697
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6072:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2127249238259012, b_new = -1.4353766643369983, c_new = 4.602233217214954
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3947.910801262657
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6073:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3897190658366467, b_new = -1.0946160915141294, c_new = 5.282473158482392
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8288.847233268027
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6074:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3050882473747687, b_new = -2.075708901509039, c_new = 5.996228601791312
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4434.453467815194
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6075:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.116703861407413, b_new = -1.6133490149989562, c_new = 4.5748199027400505
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3078.9857870607666
Acceptance probability: 6.279035996322078e-30
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6076:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.270400865844797, b_new = -2.0589368604566665, c_new = 5.043759564505719
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13653.35910676891
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6077:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.666984196943587, b_new = -0.9011609348480374, c_new = 5.560642022728508
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6710.249953786501
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6078:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2776804590706634, b_new = -0.8125699243613975, c_new = 4.602629984099881
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12094.290128086655
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6079:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3372713704440713, b_new = -0.9785930928412142, c_new = 4.752678509380353
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7317.415777004959
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6080:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.989432395800943, b_new = -1.4745984366611333, c_new = 5.199709238311993
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3193.116284416393
Acceptance probability: 1.7046991882802666e-79
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6081:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.684911967268736, b_new = -1.2191799984551257, c_new = 5.1646497890303085
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7334.964466082332
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6082:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0272462813317578, b_new = -1.0591842404572651, c_new = 5.3422206024319125
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3037.9317089105625
Acceptance probability: 4.240846693783183e-12
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6083:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2334267111001878, b_new = -0.8997944140378457, c_new = 5.365275430599044
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12333.703253780746
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6084:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.172799523596356, b_new = -1.2881705353548596, c_new = 4.8231577052578185
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13353.920770273759
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6085:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1403165301734037, b_new = -0.9351503737890892, c_new = 5.935494643170126
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4100.057532104544
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6086:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8782661997935968, b_new = -0.5397755122127601, c_new = 5.419390538386299
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3160.607432758913
Acceptance probability: 2.239044072809712e-65
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6087:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.540362232777712, b_new = -0.5144783651065161, c_new = 5.141961480547684
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11509.81468909069
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6088:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3844405646235045, b_new = -1.0791121314195788, c_new = 4.865294160797296
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8066.527110016912
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6089:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7014987733419, b_new = -0.1904334313380669, c_new = 5.647912723232101
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13363.111699229925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6090:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4370036613177732, b_new = -1.2253414118913233, c_new = 5.767354417235325
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10938.69534766926
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6091:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.051181844797018, b_new = -0.873827584930623, c_new = 4.683207323582946
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3164.735616713241
Acceptance probability: 3.6075730221886866e-67
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6092:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.405811033263108, b_new = -1.1281251238515129, c_new = 5.19009751450485
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8475.566113482468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6093:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4117525666742705, b_new = -1.2596244849676939, c_new = 4.6093171834782405
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11621.525852985182
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6094:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7766810496121495, b_new = -1.5184176576275625, c_new = 4.765686704939667
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6370.692055464981
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6095:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.153470514742705, b_new = -1.7744952187424947, c_new = 4.857809828656251
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13993.139384535325
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6096:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.061985325245662, b_new = -1.5234870177483313, c_new = 4.742736483760609
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3028.2935754621512
Acceptance probability: 6.504901812376216e-08
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6097:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.097329243926356, b_new = -0.5668154792417441, c_new = 4.521803916318768
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3841.533367288146
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6098:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6462358086401006, b_new = -1.1463837073455396, c_new = 5.152091700842377
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7925.790716146481
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6099:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8053012441600553, b_new = -1.0640850503358388, c_new = 4.712636640805158
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12661.974878712479
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6100:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.257061752879674, b_new = -1.747952771989929, c_new = 6.024238050354459
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4324.542934053144
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6101:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.213836498713633, b_new = -1.2367572862466687, c_new = 5.152222266653081
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4410.698845324021
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6102:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.994396659297425, b_new = -1.6170199998239154, c_new = 3.9854748070311397
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3451.5898696580653
Acceptance probability: 9.505959642094168e-192
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6103:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2508100797356088, b_new = -1.9762103612153372, c_new = 5.6510428009546105
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3812.8738001098964
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6104:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3999211545233163, b_new = -0.7013706588972967, c_new = 6.110026485443602
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10308.922485149315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6105:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.522082421250957, b_new = -1.778312316112279, c_new = 4.634382134598227
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8742.574248399485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6106:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.230325039097021, b_new = -2.2188870497065536, c_new = 5.635433889282033
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3362.0429597752254
Acceptance probability: 7.37436789009985e-153
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6107:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.597438820154661, b_new = -1.2104234625600907, c_new = 4.887065498717064
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10834.222950672494
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6108:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.420091715324162, b_new = -1.760224586352693, c_new = 5.178980432665172
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7098.765591221812
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6109:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.433597454569541, b_new = -1.6620612280194176, c_new = 5.544420002215887
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11787.795691314803
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6110:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9144713466397363, b_new = -0.25643678592621233, c_new = 5.164662030946254
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3045.392098611703
Acceptance probability: 2.440318391420966e-15
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6111:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.172793506202001, b_new = -1.1360180247769958, c_new = 4.21229822063133
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3837.2500658806885
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6112:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5851554910369066, b_new = -1.8733769703057794, c_new = 5.258206798830989
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10596.298456257691
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6113:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7807705613947746, b_new = -1.2909824630915487, c_new = 4.676791195543462
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5716.295411971427
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6114:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1184076920294617, b_new = -2.068598497616093, c_new = 5.54106959994662
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3039.9831844572454
Acceptance probability: 5.451400169692897e-13
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6115:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.229648347156068, b_new = -0.6672040387660247, c_new = 5.478348320408699
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12017.61971905538
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6116:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.977667969114639, b_new = -1.131332144294268, c_new = 5.553077083260153
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3046.586619701762
Acceptance probability: 7.390478791842351e-16
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6117:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3254941502345474, b_new = -1.2223943531996353, c_new = 4.807736360212212
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12253.11835707287
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6118:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.604963505421114, b_new = -0.0028582089430859714, c_new = 4.836474986467047
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5938.244648204301
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6119:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.98313351384685, b_new = -1.1368953263578498, c_new = 5.275962977595828
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3045.374039743801
Acceptance probability: 2.484788106705969e-15
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6120:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6477991853972265, b_new = -0.7131653006771808, c_new = 3.8833578734775074
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11782.187783590962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6121:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3182823673154314, b_new = -2.185493123966752, c_new = 5.206706614966256
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4266.228013534865
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6122:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.862102694699394, b_new = -1.3917468394242833, c_new = 4.629856600164549
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4512.837806107134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6123:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4685709627236485, b_new = -1.025312725823748, c_new = 4.942971450451553
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10470.197046131423
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6124:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1521306490804575, b_new = -0.7650896227304531, c_new = 5.272955514797065
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4404.763611739573
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6125:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5073306261508383, b_new = -1.6968210680915907, c_new = 4.428598260041138
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11473.582774555987
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6126:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3232410523664564, b_new = -0.7811264575718937, c_new = 5.050728484532058
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7687.542425148278
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6127:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7869061723537967, b_new = -1.2993154349696547, c_new = 5.202403158241098
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5437.761619213674
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6128:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3889131076912906, b_new = -1.2464180638450955, c_new = 4.927047159215797
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7732.653522260687
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6129:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2988790467264875, b_new = -0.12893430976501208, c_new = 4.651541494116199
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8852.230361192538
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6130:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.681871526738556, b_new = -0.1810012785588877, c_new = 4.852773212375953
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4929.550044893598
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6131:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2895410105761003, b_new = -0.6275254126973452, c_new = 4.978914816964798
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7363.274187474301
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6132:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.489485844073856, b_new = -2.1909231606257134, c_new = 5.681198767277857
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12096.328505446705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6133:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5297747238934276, b_new = -1.5160201953140129, c_new = 4.59014198626168
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10807.79706313313
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6134:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.591510390949107, b_new = -1.1598484174382058, c_new = 5.475881964082251
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8841.288596335778
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6135:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6935389839977635, b_new = -1.389989561407509, c_new = 5.417808243079139
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7524.393664753833
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6136:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.102313491232313, b_new = -0.8854348433604454, c_new = 5.119483419033261
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3577.2952114699106
Acceptance probability: 2.425826139601248e-246
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6137:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7822154312135026, b_new = -2.1916332284684117, c_new = 5.497249263835859
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7880.314159139047
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6138:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.814635344567682, b_new = -0.939750886018642, c_new = 4.438070624525786
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14681.608796959748
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6139:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.478331604630716, b_new = -1.2065965363072544, c_new = 4.496873416534794
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9268.176019420562
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6140:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0087458929048134, b_new = -1.0168314994940664, c_new = 4.979069737012828
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3012.8840238713556
Acceptance probability: 0.3202756859516785
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6141:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6753410082359483, b_new = -0.8278860518245812, c_new = 5.003021224721365
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6545.677921160399
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6142:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2467563591358535, b_new = -1.5211032331376662, c_new = 5.061867292392159
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13128.719169978624
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6143:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.13626647716628, b_new = -0.6765733791678994, c_new = 4.846473429700528
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4231.047746099661
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6144:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7473963928737515, b_new = -0.8800813792966874, c_new = 5.476182329075866
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5112.937574091204
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6145:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2571820208129476, b_new = -0.7263277710751119, c_new = 5.020431324398499
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6384.985068629272
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6146:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.30872976814216, b_new = -0.8402043279740876, c_new = 4.147927952731346
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6860.8206381748805
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6147:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.228042418023452, b_new = -1.0922961189965479, c_new = 4.62888867653544
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4785.422076441842
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6148:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2840581749551494, b_new = -1.4595756799613975, c_new = 5.177293007619971
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12775.182833568244
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6149:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.533464211795821, b_new = -1.1325088578053515, c_new = 5.035481939159744
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15571.435027620242
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6150:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.569346541275668, b_new = -0.4164618849531093, c_new = 4.939289543055572
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11869.221107013764
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6151:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7922892157380073, b_new = -1.6434094843937959, c_new = 5.344807742902431
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6160.910924024932
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6152:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3101868021259033, b_new = -1.2133708762827227, c_new = 4.926061111821796
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6163.807636055566
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6153:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9199517935317827, b_new = -1.2380363355648303, c_new = 4.551884796663327
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3568.039017313128
Acceptance probability: 2.539649113770816e-242
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6154:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5269122301019893, b_new = -1.328677330124812, c_new = 4.857637737097446
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9810.14804427044
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6155:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.553750682609009, b_new = -0.8880289324063503, c_new = 5.222738574574499
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11036.139557586748
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6156:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.105749210883103, b_new = -0.989500228547372, c_new = 4.72461666577947
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3433.3092738210835
Acceptance probability: 8.263382651648457e-184
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6157:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1089588587876547, b_new = -0.6678563202742287, c_new = 4.259729692234737
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13136.205621750727
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6158:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9898308607810713, b_new = -0.6393230508649173, c_new = 6.445807183673001
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14543.300090822904
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6159:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.419316813175179, b_new = -0.699787747074085, c_new = 4.242309368627576
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10664.752708563927
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6160:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.690599103763802, b_new = -0.7267971782880485, c_new = 5.280762262973574
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12474.370193443097
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6161:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5309571255842274, b_new = -0.2970955175536224, c_new = 5.736178419094352
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11966.764332628149
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6162:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.950026261625724, b_new = -1.0376234647507894, c_new = 4.690967725828459
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3155.3673930564582
Acceptance probability: 4.224574467725625e-63
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6163:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0673518387467946, b_new = -0.7625879813941926, c_new = 4.448355449078543
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3322.425344502599
Acceptance probability: 1.184231199763245e-135
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6164:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.439577236225842, b_new = -1.1162718078602956, c_new = 5.217867696496535
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9110.440831533564
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6165:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.936895158691638, b_new = -0.45197993988796925, c_new = 3.8904824770074242
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13876.818365215091
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6166:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.65328345036865, b_new = -0.5105134667191498, c_new = 4.992337854676967
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12419.264935608222
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6167:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6783641982208284, b_new = -1.2855790327575387, c_new = 5.06282314770581
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7689.785863132194
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6168:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4635458919079474, b_new = -1.9370185924230703, c_new = 5.093035990289845
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12104.970760743588
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6169:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.82350649400675, b_new = -1.3956611199400069, c_new = 4.137259289173083
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5335.248147447658
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6170:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.285768152433264, b_new = -0.7303820489487778, c_new = 3.9975692501873596
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6612.587084402078
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6171:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0076353041870956, b_new = -1.2788907431331424, c_new = 5.0326283880597815
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3041.564085619025
Acceptance probability: 1.1218412691759832e-13
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6172:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9198603299578707, b_new = -2.2648917039733876, c_new = 5.534648967980771
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5154.569253036298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6173:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4210383656247543, b_new = -0.8614068392962082, c_new = 5.31866052334995
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10598.504039581112
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6174:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1499927915630193, b_new = -1.1302800934561223, c_new = 4.5092149684190455
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3648.1002536447263
Acceptance probability: 4.311422303530057e-277
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6175:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.917385562281174, b_new = -1.1601374431609008, c_new = 4.570426346801086
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3497.67968472177
Acceptance probability: 9.15047443570159e-212
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6176:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5909754491077406, b_new = -0.2222909220150454, c_new = 5.484062699684004
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12503.720893994087
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6177:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6006487004498453, b_new = -1.5677653811451246, c_new = 4.853820734996214
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9872.71299009816
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6178:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9830254793028583, b_new = -1.475549716882819, c_new = 5.417694497973761
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3206.64623535706
Acceptance probability: 2.2681131702182158e-85
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6179:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.873166745976144, b_new = -1.6192363136028987, c_new = 4.961863435324646
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4704.244409089175
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6180:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.898095020389479, b_new = -0.832090128141383, c_new = 5.045378120959752
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3270.2229616468235
Acceptance probability: 5.554478822598733e-113
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6181:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6157641658380335, b_new = -1.2401764640980422, c_new = 6.268173765423105
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8327.521029593621
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6182:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2364836631216924, b_new = -0.9813027956214679, c_new = 5.2670587844568795
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5374.664907997209
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6183:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.29528184292195, b_new = -2.035030380027592, c_new = 5.3906487920667905
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4232.898835905256
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6184:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9718170494352893, b_new = -0.7349338470601403, c_new = 4.405208440942733
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3013.959689423852
Acceptance probability: 0.10923664577138369
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6185:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.799454420138725, b_new = -0.5544014115785919, c_new = 5.224930119236125
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3821.757949217952
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6186:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.140554976282526, b_new = -0.7688631286894607, c_new = 4.024797735783439
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3956.4850462904014
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6187:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.034069028107353, b_new = 0.31358700329140654, c_new = 4.459913579789578
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4501.931468258329
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6188:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.52400438209399, b_new = -1.4052306721499637, c_new = 5.366170635196563
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9782.470814698288
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6189:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.105124090337573, b_new = -0.9338933693005886, c_new = 5.966957554239324
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3694.7254780172348
Acceptance probability: 2.4296454415239812e-297
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6190:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7640206351829586, b_new = -0.47976074772784005, c_new = 5.8399360398382285
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13437.483048746155
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6191:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9383788586456108, b_new = -0.37768889131609085, c_new = 5.1188162811103695
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3045.431640615302
Acceptance probability: 2.3457062176713507e-15
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6192:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9026306302910485, b_new = -0.8559953333307343, c_new = 4.734277714987212
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3292.727785178875
Acceptance probability: 9.352390651439318e-123
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6193:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9632712436177306, b_new = -1.724665257386134, c_new = 4.413245273329359
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3799.203525716699
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6194:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5870091769399846, b_new = -1.492648455152829, c_new = 5.791421763467403
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10511.024910232263
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6195:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8872123471953657, b_new = -1.8144016961467826, c_new = 4.775182865020359
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4947.745217904225
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6196:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6881287829131653, b_new = -1.155403182354452, c_new = 4.612386424451688
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7308.520521516589
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6197:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.157463758172595, b_new = -0.3697641479065319, c_new = 5.414291106745834
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5404.806541333093
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6198:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9283487968527475, b_new = -1.5329066068925785, c_new = 4.560811968239927
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14759.489527960413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6199:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.272723281747015, b_new = -0.955593954380087, c_new = 5.221438025182104
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12161.419425532133
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6200:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8561359515305655, b_new = -1.0653390877332953, c_new = 5.238176391626558
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13112.37568152037
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6201:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.132464647548829, b_new = -0.3770245539755831, c_new = 5.089872495062904
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4829.70149455363
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6202:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8381508033259997, b_new = -0.7792647757636546, c_new = 4.266036510467787
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3872.078767882398
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6203:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2397997416976754, b_new = -0.28080227883795394, c_new = 4.973714946048633
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11524.327310703064
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6204:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3493533971808427, b_new = -0.9665912022866384, c_new = 5.13463874656196
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7756.189463470024
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6205:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6922890665615915, b_new = -0.6465128429881224, c_new = 5.643006948774509
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12697.89654727764
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6206:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.074879830905907, b_new = -0.07939857618232171, c_new = 5.254300821214519
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4569.2847997350245
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6207:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.849159797163496, b_new = -1.0692093522928992, c_new = 5.559804928325861
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3915.016228168578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6208:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1539714661454457, b_new = -0.6102807834040977, c_new = 5.050671566820922
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4679.921720676209
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6209:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.168000637197183, b_new = -1.6341092734121185, c_new = 4.157055611942289
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3274.2961362023348
Acceptance probability: 9.455534465997173e-115
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6210:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3038076143596906, b_new = -1.3913525085101974, c_new = 4.667271213988425
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5496.131873650103
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6211:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.98146470953181, b_new = -0.300470158563408, c_new = 5.190529069534721
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3247.250435176455
Acceptance probability: 5.266047798274777e-103
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6212:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.016423898964767, b_new = -1.598477572298598, c_new = 4.006712527608809
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3276.8422557128397
Acceptance probability: 7.411744304630843e-116
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6213:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.41422508865025, b_new = -1.213573605556942, c_new = 5.309638102469092
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11298.93750454922
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6214:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2267353400233003, b_new = -1.529112082252786, c_new = 5.734237763296019
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13082.866270362249
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6215:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7033945310290597, b_new = -1.8726988785699454, c_new = 4.999923965305786
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15653.061419671492
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6216:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.874492967721776, b_new = -2.1478447927098805, c_new = 5.269353663125798
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11901.736016400486
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6217:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6530612857550597, b_new = -1.238429005021338, c_new = 4.931815467043334
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11332.159078528275
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6218:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.402930997077582, b_new = -1.8328478565507271, c_new = 5.034581295853831
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6512.575748350599
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6219:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.110087839253541, b_new = -1.1684306631711867, c_new = 5.639111155090318
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3410.7394582627203
Acceptance probability: 5.237261012395984e-174
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6220:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1160629300281, b_new = -1.6773505435690284, c_new = 4.589041251754139
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3063.249713471462
Acceptance probability: 4.2853164641767374e-23
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6221:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3705988326271026, b_new = -0.22887880228179402, c_new = 4.328279891410566
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9744.687065246868
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6222:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8742385503843428, b_new = -1.2224419890362215, c_new = 4.593440912459091
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14676.889732730446
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6223:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2302620963320487, b_new = -1.2792945647288205, c_new = 4.886598777157088
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12975.314559909686
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6224:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.28600013450381, b_new = -2.0041290227150337, c_new = 5.134603266076992
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13470.839828515149
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6225:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.826855039394134, b_new = -1.6163985024467178, c_new = 4.478657518934287
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12053.352912167526
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6226:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.898218576484021, b_new = -1.1578565981797861, c_new = 4.635305245384363
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3665.9626633546027
Acceptance probability: 7.534849697040879e-285
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6227:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6636465515632914, b_new = -1.8375023699620097, c_new = 3.589130376614124
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10033.168026073694
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6228:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2503866544175986, b_new = -1.1258210086639713, c_new = 4.723067495409075
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5127.7346265080705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6229:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.538899929641377, b_new = -0.6887320668093224, c_new = 4.577939617421283
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11027.073036280004
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6230:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.680957000815507, b_new = -0.39604789529419837, c_new = 5.92293055197951
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13038.43067101661
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6231:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4861201168619127, b_new = -0.7095868129538246, c_new = 5.180788753441178
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10603.594433770519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6232:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6059553603654084, b_new = -2.243134292427392, c_new = 5.454926737005405
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9248.419228199491
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6233:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3732633369960885, b_new = -1.2125174767449347, c_new = 4.610581947425767
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7383.375052412617
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6234:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9708394864937024, b_new = -1.5432569785498302, c_new = 5.9886170541457915
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3272.0202479157515
Acceptance probability: 9.206441678080965e-114
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6235:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1803672417067004, b_new = 0.02247632916292641, c_new = 5.075944646570524
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6852.583329864287
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6236:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6813759705996003, b_new = -1.6352593929768537, c_new = 5.7350281203859765
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8310.46661353163
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6237:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.775534907963438, b_new = -0.9633649856751499, c_new = 5.238702049420945
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12733.271226006033
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6238:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.346833008260714, b_new = -1.2702811914058025, c_new = 5.183513441114519
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6881.765698277217
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6239:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.043633701998907, b_new = -1.0583423356106596, c_new = 5.727766810886795
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14184.740358403325
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6240:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.373419739523433, b_new = -1.2474762083802828, c_new = 4.997496153555207
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11835.644352062125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6241:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0405763004968582, b_new = -1.2876835803262372, c_new = 5.429230851875204
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3016.915351206678
Acceptance probability: 0.005685134627928221
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6242:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.810023058522955, b_new = -2.358995853692937, c_new = 4.207756800592043
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10865.734274264962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6243:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7176840353904983, b_new = -1.755230424911808, c_new = 4.843817572428326
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15558.36291860381
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6244:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.636609245442321, b_new = -1.7558107856999206, c_new = 4.568473894242133
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9869.155296800931
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6245:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.615651506945687, b_new = -0.9532764486907664, c_new = 4.913861776777394
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8101.901234426422
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6246:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5660970224525173, b_new = -1.6938991886780268, c_new = 4.426980511913252
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9479.82340797683
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6247:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5879971270319295, b_new = -0.647552115596411, c_new = 4.646844061458407
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7942.438541406205
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6248:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8348935585603354, b_new = -0.5933592985605896, c_new = 5.4840116226595965
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3479.6577937021366
Acceptance probability: 6.1411744632127844e-204
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6249:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7874867637058562, b_new = -0.9019134071834687, c_new = 5.347460407789862
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4525.789155354057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6250:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.517923690464073, b_new = -1.0158355952068832, c_new = 5.340475055383248
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9685.806460610394
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6251:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9539126382033563, b_new = -1.1586761322925823, c_new = 4.350302603461035
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3254.26529058877
Acceptance probability: 4.731205366863248e-106
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6252:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8679502690619647, b_new = -0.9069894946566444, c_new = 5.0177249248115645
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3589.321283032809
Acceptance probability: 1.4521221592355324e-251
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6253:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.687947672613384, b_new = -0.3728385287185825, c_new = 5.070395794686432
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5172.884587296791
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6254:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.296980213477168, b_new = -1.8206787605306092, c_new = 4.847090921011802
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14313.764975660008
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6255:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0951080115293292, b_new = -1.3693579775810791, c_new = 5.196719330578129
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13761.395891777298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6256:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.485833799308582, b_new = -1.3115942773604714, c_new = 5.525039600241744
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9497.463712694973
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6257:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.444344204416414, b_new = -1.1332429582705958, c_new = 5.132415137985265
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9118.414116717442
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6258:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1328210476455403, b_new = -0.15371997566761786, c_new = 5.381930643890857
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5456.925607116536
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6259:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1703892097392856, b_new = -1.7386720894399272, c_new = 5.160280401813201
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3289.6840639602783
Acceptance probability: 1.962429071034532e-121
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6260:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.253897529603504, b_new = -1.5568258998390134, c_new = 5.956073909945809
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4619.524829410475
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6261:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3986489052746256, b_new = -0.37271663573969516, c_new = 4.4911407661473
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9904.515976476168
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6262:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.625108048698471, b_new = -1.2175313389658688, c_new = 5.644816491311241
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8326.540981874869
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6263:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0825871541685785, b_new = -0.696741368331993, c_new = 5.494133131358662
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13011.945122695866
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6264:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7003853164765208, b_new = -1.2783512542075761, c_new = 4.486122258909404
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15320.518900012463
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6265:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1057535984243443, b_new = -0.6033572230851694, c_new = 4.8898714136536725
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3962.5562405399214
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6266:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.841765237875045, b_new = -0.6340098633898889, c_new = 6.274604196728094
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13810.186067276045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6267:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8862711136811579, b_new = -1.3656414595812532, c_new = 5.663396015451036
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14520.65121624987
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6268:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.185054959219349, b_new = -0.6721920682183304, c_new = 4.23442165198966
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4835.885021953803
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6269:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.365062613928907, b_new = -1.3808950141227327, c_new = 4.007456222168515
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6556.063065530247
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6270:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.076599969433524, b_new = -0.46053367194654193, c_new = 4.719706031653787
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12962.892310796109
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6271:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2069243885405108, b_new = -0.8351080373346181, c_new = 5.134635076643954
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12493.657980096086
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6272:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.835575222274237, b_new = -1.1505056433141039, c_new = 5.440280664173234
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4249.236533535628
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6273:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.204110441782172, b_new = -1.5278551607146373, c_new = 5.104869189634013
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3804.466656716143
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6274:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1353826297555334, b_new = -1.246765228394167, c_new = 4.805716519916546
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3426.847794496877
Acceptance probability: 5.288623853525297e-181
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6275:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.396139050382607, b_new = -2.1395436342233696, c_new = 5.357646613477045
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5716.557441686683
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6276:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.180994680886701, b_new = -0.8134424923762381, c_new = 5.032597987526078
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4695.565099382413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6277:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6054900639300396, b_new = -0.35839412190121045, c_new = 5.086709799076558
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6716.6974532094
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6278:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.982251568452364, b_new = -1.8388357286779629, c_new = 5.619129771392892
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3527.7191765363896
Acceptance probability: 8.231103786586568e-225
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6279:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3860713270529397, b_new = -0.23592288469770661, c_new = 4.656810901522595
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10081.947644361182
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6280:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8888951462754062, b_new = -0.31169345143781413, c_new = 4.506799546372935
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3068.4881707840054
Acceptance probability: 2.274834441340679e-25
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6281:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.455348867490503, b_new = -1.2190734299221413, c_new = 4.265436677056279
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8801.077112073635
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6282:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.4255794673659, b_new = -0.7922190164019653, c_new = 4.455159907600449
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15413.654847265198
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6283:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9145181470242516, b_new = -1.4700364315936487, c_new = 4.985946272048941
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3853.842490515317
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6284:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3797708411574066, b_new = -1.0107740286628843, c_new = 5.464710471674135
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11252.797745189653
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6285:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3772128655149527, b_new = -1.1023550791769443, c_new = 5.614625549611773
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8148.314985544113
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6286:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4813251000948036, b_new = -1.6559906939199656, c_new = 4.688453821149697
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11586.576918647694
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6287:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0638028943398217, b_new = -1.7357654985782363, c_new = 5.38192066909165
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3042.0678601502204
Acceptance probability: 6.778676575656078e-14
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6288:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1844567994418203, b_new = -0.07586603371280298, c_new = 4.520815255492565
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6424.529417368996
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6289:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8145917468995236, b_new = -1.1806337647240803, c_new = 4.8126456128342365
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4793.507063028199
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6290:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.813810546627993, b_new = -1.5697653083840706, c_new = 4.733764129892211
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12085.160243116086
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6291:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.990226980701012, b_new = -0.8589730007328548, c_new = 4.829267929268023
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Acceptance probability: 0.2604720746157779
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6292:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.975508066046764, b_new = -0.967723661905909, c_new = 4.214796368521247
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3060.867665947972
Acceptance probability: 1.781278497461365e-21
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6293:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9500878747793586, b_new = -1.111964509352971, c_new = 4.422028100586913
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3232.566937333445
Acceptance probability: 4.815991545787401e-96
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6294:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.457497758177742, b_new = -0.692407475127502, c_new = 5.78149675996418
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9695.881183932159
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6295:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.1843353925657985, b_new = -0.3732328972814026, c_new = 4.926572558908351
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -15132.260687549364
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6296:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.191805689661918, b_new = -1.9474686700856556, c_new = 4.74564462708054
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13757.809662837642
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6297:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9890365646267596, b_new = -1.9396579547447779, c_new = 4.077057480699373
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3907.8501169076053
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6298:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.694750649658983, b_new = -1.4876805318869692, c_new = 4.825354064126281
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11292.412608149978
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6299:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9713247842605712, b_new = -1.8597943621079125, c_new = 4.628008850311842
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3861.069789191744
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6300:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6526930651209066, b_new = -0.6444906629840472, c_new = 5.167677173350408
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12276.619682357901
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6301:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.787932846651655, b_new = -0.4605622526004959, c_new = 4.838174547041758
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3891.481052472131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6302:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.519114558587535, b_new = -1.1897583734035306, c_new = 4.963541220155683
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10015.0708770766
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6303:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6447281935124733, b_new = -0.7601608736631179, c_new = 4.208040893809498
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7287.588123352576
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6304:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7293452929669084, b_new = -0.2971216908884172, c_new = 4.679336959134436
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4442.170238321867
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6305:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7274451221958103, b_new = -1.0345009322650542, c_new = 4.9242809987698495
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6046.315204062383
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6306:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9783024049097766, b_new = -0.4145790620640791, c_new = 4.457254577449229
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3091.95157984384
Acceptance probability: 5.638447544376045e-35
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6307:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8288558798071084, b_new = 0.6257062440022366, c_new = 3.95658799522386
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3088.8270570308578
Acceptance probability: 1.282692515724863e-33
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6308:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0977468504425993, b_new = -0.9405639111386955, c_new = 5.425536517345595
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13222.196137852996
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6309:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2829880773146605, b_new = -0.7480890863697933, c_new = 4.172109058309899
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12083.167266945415
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6310:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.885331254966987, b_new = -1.1874442133703145, c_new = 5.766446998473563
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3640.8688677943524
Acceptance probability: 2.2877594936959527e-273
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6311:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5991765397578313, b_new = -1.110817025973226, c_new = 4.725262411865916
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10969.948149117881
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6312:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.247295432365027, b_new = 0.4221554171913934, c_new = 4.689080107698389
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9375.76494818022
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6313:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3029363324959844, b_new = -0.7924308893005977, c_new = 5.095360459183058
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7231.996183107394
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6314:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2765444137609787, b_new = -1.3377330461130326, c_new = 3.9611715543835833
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13009.858243469958
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6315:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.32979663187509, b_new = -1.213583285358296, c_new = 4.672756389041217
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6488.0811996818875
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6316:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4948358038136607, b_new = -0.35222905713850305, c_new = 4.787922808886223
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8790.16785413936
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6317:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.952518576106031, b_new = -0.39035459857283444, c_new = 4.659579944422708
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3044.376191326238
Acceptance probability: 2.5875470299631316e-14
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6318:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.3676545088303496, b_new = -1.4952142418573775, c_new = 5.334388315534306
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -16140.332951842505
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6319:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.48971507261038, b_new = -0.740486789610438, c_new = 4.791292595826491
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10460.844637012884
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6320:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5636783700100523, b_new = -0.10874091880515857, c_new = 5.594864131996529
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6748.294396796604
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6321:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9978397814018414, b_new = -1.3737189876230391, c_new = 5.8295518156589425
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3060.55507045751
Acceptance probability: 2.4349515376738325e-21
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6322:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8471352520788633, b_new = -0.5527376412184493, c_new = 4.5284278735971855
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3455.6450393652744
Acceptance probability: 6.325530731140461e-193
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6323:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.61738789224665, b_new = -1.309918905265457, c_new = 4.833905609922145
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9003.420942625158
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6324:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8438187961537276, b_new = -1.5265025787843656, c_new = 4.514533369824705
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5143.7475014240845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6325:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.817641302602473, b_new = 0.21644605251460558, c_new = 4.17704420382351
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3127.334365293328
Acceptance probability: 2.4244379272656646e-50
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6326:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1133860248007332, b_new = -0.7019687689754535, c_new = 5.1948897247660595
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3967.801753487044
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6327:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.118939826625728, b_new = -1.3430099784559308, c_new = 4.444823486622093
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3203.5362788540688
Acceptance probability: 1.952272781826577e-83
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6328:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.801981109594203, b_new = -1.3401416897485108, c_new = 4.474084836286407
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5493.587632449549
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6329:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8858352011567776, b_new = -0.0430871648935125, c_new = 4.946042150322218
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3051.9021831135938
Acceptance probability: 1.3944134011687398e-17
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6330:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.712982998749415, b_new = -0.8856543653572677, c_new = 5.208184287610371
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5861.66726433697
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6331:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2138171542496314, b_new = -0.9101966353581731, c_new = 5.100560709901658
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5068.8714347994355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6332:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1673842369273015, b_new = -0.5017901287592575, c_new = 3.968067965580625
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12641.184515837213
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6333:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9588504465540792, b_new = -1.2348034572932969, c_new = 4.8119335902854505
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14320.248377526166
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6334:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7684465582817475, b_new = -1.0932345309592397, c_new = 4.977120658837028
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12449.423970114796
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6335:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1013628842297187, b_new = -2.071197301675753, c_new = 4.86767741470245
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3108.2121020699196
Acceptance probability: 4.889950566859372e-42
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6336:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6874166072594936, b_new = -0.38713875312869334, c_new = 4.565867923030483
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5361.334626353
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6337:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3362862175526278, b_new = -0.03105463274164899, c_new = 5.0947062607176905
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9956.930274094688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6338:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.698794836670107, b_new = -1.214006004595459, c_new = 4.774792284558935
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7182.691750134874
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6339:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.401989417931637, b_new = -1.1065162809683413, c_new = 4.908122569431572
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11364.300088433167
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6340:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4727749831526338, b_new = -0.5509366469227102, c_new = 4.627052713615387
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10565.238608569825
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6341:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5913618442696227, b_new = -1.3907313901997025, c_new = 4.29303402425527
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10293.7708634156
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6342:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.774979883062163, b_new = -0.6038667678840561, c_new = 3.949207754301858
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4504.700579719909
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6343:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.173220403557214, b_new = -0.23592072629971061, c_new = 4.726252554012114
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5815.448083411036
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6344:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5715300430677543, b_new = -0.5203491411798511, c_new = 5.560413518875551
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7612.197670168327
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6345:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6008304590143148, b_new = -0.7475611305110246, c_new = 5.66693194429255
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7588.560557216495
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6346:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6778338532705015, b_new = -0.47968675152184626, c_new = 5.571864776124702
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5453.852775996582
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6347:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.781050698464303, b_new = -0.7761944815348507, c_new = 5.2060094892726765
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12997.39135190584
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6348:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8914264012464597, b_new = 0.056090355154370664, c_new = 5.296493864795378
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3104.953379039078
Acceptance probability: 1.2721839118606598e-40
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6349:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3254111590883135, b_new = -0.14457691543605933, c_new = 4.716736248493109
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10563.229027438087
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6350:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.328935741055745, b_new = -1.1389260077900585, c_new = 5.314687947746192
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11956.313192568245
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6351:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5254405449938675, b_new = -1.1233324433542156, c_new = 4.762900089607852
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10157.594800982884
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6352:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1033305941708633, b_new = -2.5180766683195968, c_new = 5.502334957218327
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3321.933981192634
Acceptance probability: 7.43141823562527e-135
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6353:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7749128064217916, b_new = -0.17541352016890344, c_new = 4.698102000835485
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3681.133660132701
Acceptance probability: 7.458186492516864e-291
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6354:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3201651137416213, b_new = -0.35739833781967945, c_new = 4.792702833863901
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10957.262182546416
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6355:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5195873500250556, b_new = -1.0009208910187402, c_new = 4.7973956124178825
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10328.00762621709
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6356:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0647302410993373, b_new = -1.0264698519725013, c_new = 5.169894043726563
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3177.1692414765976
Acceptance probability: 5.515683487880624e-72
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6357:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.740465653424588, b_new = -0.8877607125375222, c_new = 5.704292046190054
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5188.716431049226
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6358:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7222413046909084, b_new = -0.4027884400542072, c_new = 5.102644773229709
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4648.006192552244
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6359:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.160090684643833, b_new = -0.42987628488869467, c_new = 4.303780197562772
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4952.152633938522
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6360:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9397617215285474, b_new = -0.6695383587164635, c_new = 4.281349429182876
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3051.7094599652237
Acceptance probability: 1.690791858045385e-17
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6361:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3883244991195074, b_new = -1.2367875930063044, c_new = 4.209135586496961
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11929.636659480997
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6362:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8379759227145853, b_new = -0.9061845657327832, c_new = 5.014436925873353
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3913.0394431280793
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6363:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5680644246174267, b_new = -1.0201840866673382, c_new = 4.546196497053875
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10752.859149930515
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6364:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.981375220608778, b_new = -0.7320767638939792, c_new = 5.562173391189272
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3046.6946046943985
Acceptance probability: 2.5469130547831883e-15
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6365:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.664979679960123, b_new = -0.4135394846173178, c_new = 5.202425281447887
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5651.663481457559
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6366:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4535497759597393, b_new = -1.077215366772334, c_new = 5.529498683542451
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9531.407766238695
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6367:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.503291078171582, b_new = -1.0961575628689721, c_new = 5.186402947030356
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10095.394552366519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6368:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.462379084958935, b_new = -0.6041928500603446, c_new = 5.048374023091854
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9689.778960152435
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6369:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.383354880180375, b_new = -1.329613572057033, c_new = 4.713530141425698
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7315.894804820261
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6370:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0263684317402966, b_new = -0.6837170301946827, c_new = 4.383325338473145
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3137.722306822184
Acceptance probability: 7.467674591886986e-55
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6371:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6794782292285735, b_new = -0.8699402811342227, c_new = 4.924450136704065
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6599.46762755864
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6372:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.012104786865992, b_new = -0.6330409415485256, c_new = 5.601807393623222
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3214.327094088088
Acceptance probability: 4.0192867196571887e-88
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6373:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8119912036866954, b_new = -1.2097592289667496, c_new = 4.274663907275924
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5065.0418125207
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6374:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.650279359392021, b_new = -1.1053266577264655, c_new = 4.48593038469293
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7995.491617619116
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6375:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5445326201487495, b_new = -0.33733765351793965, c_new = 4.845982911998061
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11745.428865283757
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6376:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3272563059261624, b_new = -0.44221609425567876, c_new = 5.027618672283944
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8711.241432130588
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6377:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9960294187438317, b_new = -0.157584550227425, c_new = 4.398720229910737
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14534.078050017346
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6378:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.524344988372047, b_new = -0.7815525559180603, c_new = 5.28531578008434
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9114.96227917047
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6379:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9415924287135056, b_new = -0.3262708059473084, c_new = 5.103847880407974
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14309.914837559574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6380:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.048174432471523, b_new = -1.7680301120281987, c_new = 5.3238320063384155
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3097.552266182426
Acceptance probability: 2.0835905197318773e-37
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6381:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8700817391566638, b_new = -0.5758704900383338, c_new = 3.9489356798883595
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3371.7250929645134
Acceptance probability: 1.7663087219353451e-156
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6382:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0607193152982246, b_new = -0.9732295998589355, c_new = 4.379486880220332
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13712.301429849693
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6383:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.065932100976245, b_new = -1.3905385908494368, c_new = 4.433694634802305
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3028.942235845714
Acceptance probability: 1.3054791835322548e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6384:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.587420275905745, b_new = -0.6222053248288687, c_new = 4.79503068129518
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11663.912077707713
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6385:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.175080576696568, b_new = -1.0767993586058124, c_new = 4.043107955037233
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3918.8879532570154
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6386:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.493110994138767, b_new = -1.7689937103626496, c_new = 5.449156855356513
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11412.33624812496
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6387:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.808397889878696, b_new = -1.3805680203541768, c_new = 5.282778150833055
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5202.058449976279
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6388:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0305705259146047, b_new = -1.0306924375915512, c_new = 4.392398083263484
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13914.657406078131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6389:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2440880231805163, b_new = -0.558518489004733, c_new = 4.809189409646824
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6487.161631996978
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6390:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.770544494406913, b_new = -0.5343799498900565, c_new = 5.212301012260506
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4151.361549851188
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6391:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.627994297024599, b_new = -1.2715340607109502, c_new = 4.7042144239910355
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10983.675215285755
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6392:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.1809169447621946, b_new = -0.8445239931327135, c_new = 4.788045775421723
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14707.746857731416
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6393:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3694201201246514, b_new = -0.8766362670723622, c_new = 5.77688254966281
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8667.962949348903
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6394:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.233891379985334, b_new = -0.24304210396581727, c_new = 5.265476695072656
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7365.684710517076
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6395:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9397141428435307, b_new = -0.13753400182625586, c_new = 3.815205329311726
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3054.6960170081375
Acceptance probability: 8.531883255045184e-19
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6396:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.798295577764941, b_new = -0.6667623815807517, c_new = 4.7215616805920915
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4100.117432275056
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6397:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.451312206440393, b_new = -0.9020866320431233, c_new = 4.468232564308066
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9515.47662508712
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6398:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.709252862755342, b_new = -1.3184325832908028, c_new = 4.378170571672336
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7411.143797306079
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6399:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.531922409119984, b_new = -1.1469613889838266, c_new = 4.473622776531728
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10102.36467251296
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6400:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.562823802829167, b_new = -0.8080529865086878, c_new = 4.8249697650076895
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11142.043883863362
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6401:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.771035658604918, b_new = -1.2183835740320341, c_new = 4.817567925267827
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5676.912177337517
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6402:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2945090546311495, b_new = -0.46562365769419295, c_new = 4.931229299268886
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7920.821063041188
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6403:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.36117655154075, b_new = -0.6361818736402854, c_new = 5.193031551175554
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8913.518525387706
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6404:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4774456118055275, b_new = -1.3033772688282963, c_new = 4.362225946548142
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11092.689593832318
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6405:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.321041273588742, b_new = -0.02256768717334512, c_new = 5.179964957063802
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9759.353617926972
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6406:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2824581827055135, b_new = -1.041617043685457, c_new = 4.8683229800426435
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6014.022654509919
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6407:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.169472190155605, b_new = -0.26417400063074237, c_new = 4.794762351322174
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5689.344046890314
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6408:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9091745735925296, b_new = -1.348254325968926, c_new = 5.359031462296104
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13120.40303653136
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6409:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.378030147993598, b_new = 0.47291623169309494, c_new = 5.80110700345462
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11827.230138297371
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6410:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.260713042406648, b_new = -0.6810089144949659, c_new = 4.533468167890334
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6403.753552014956
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6411:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8706408620704456, b_new = -0.9555390491663692, c_new = 4.707775148472277
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14431.952114208885
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6412:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4979647594187586, b_new = -1.3678690021501216, c_new = 5.358713814182389
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10638.7619654263
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6413:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7956512447352333, b_new = -1.460120416888782, c_new = 4.772362588562128
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5817.584501281291
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6414:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.378856651241805, b_new = -1.1472189855528898, c_new = 4.48156065239046
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7627.482141167669
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6415:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9496726230408084, b_new = -0.29947285667665524, c_new = 4.450593322585182
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3055.715434531956
Acceptance probability: 3.078346473308963e-19
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6416:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1502912434461514, b_new = -0.6121694341816716, c_new = 3.727441555321757
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4281.0114026670235
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6417:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7244390754904497, b_new = -0.7572133957389073, c_new = 4.799152791442167
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5459.010461384123
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6418:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8406446969254344, b_new = -0.7733375112302716, c_new = 5.094196059285362
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3685.562886506065
Acceptance probability: 8.892925737995003e-293
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6419:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.889145596040771, b_new = -0.7779618703226532, c_new = 3.3301002807107887
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3518.5678636841576
Acceptance probability: 2.9789388101214444e-220
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6420:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.545177970047441, b_new = -0.9315627107630126, c_new = 4.601790026138466
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9369.093392166793
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6421:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9051352750878023, b_new = 0.020892989212741964, c_new = 4.066275118222806
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3046.1011678799323
Acceptance probability: 4.6104196053839376e-15
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6422:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7633962031386146, b_new = -0.40165935916966594, c_new = 4.196603149711614
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4246.209857236927
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6423:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.342326004863444, b_new = -1.6260106016883378, c_new = 4.926522956947636
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5766.892586905965
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6424:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8486573234245967, b_new = -0.11890570571094994, c_new = 4.550337494011528
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13960.15054256765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6425:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.266110116743804, b_new = -1.3959778498796007, c_new = 4.880622052616359
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4861.234132799873
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6426:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.70764734702482, b_new = -1.5735828091906672, c_new = 4.123988002849684
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8274.11377318589
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6427:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9970184737108605, b_new = -0.1407530977946604, c_new = 4.965514086842083
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3476.3837709454438
Acceptance probability: 6.2284543115548675e-202
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6428:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7938790704028689, b_new = -0.2917360476817742, c_new = 4.9048617614582435
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14097.761667643945
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6429:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.408484467884421, b_new = -0.7630088598982107, c_new = 4.040096512933956
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10970.174503528131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6430:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2219312990195172, b_new = -0.12422525527388983, c_new = 5.360508488077138
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11342.412615162382
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6431:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2793043235034034, b_new = -1.0314967350470232, c_new = 4.821032683067333
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12329.351670659784
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6432:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.027493252756316, b_new = -1.6835362454088743, c_new = 3.9809906978605447
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3284.872382123327
Acceptance probability: 9.262317631699973e-119
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6433:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3374583654112637, b_new = -1.173255105794239, c_new = 4.795272482044783
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6803.296893317292
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6434:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5042741613336545, b_new = -0.4654036504976507, c_new = 5.0293571525111105
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8813.087386478415
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6435:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7625757035124217, b_new = -0.06274230804554515, c_new = 6.202848874002376
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3503.8896030762135
Acceptance probability: 7.05909730671034e-214
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6436:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6519942293182255, b_new = -0.944066698183105, c_new = 4.834912960868739
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7393.358184940765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6437:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.810315283879511, b_new = -2.0551430712102037, c_new = 4.799539554136569
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7154.678040402463
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6438:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.622970445246718, b_new = -1.7454329822870287, c_new = 5.160560527901072
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9827.041981850438
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6439:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.157952172822737, b_new = -1.4402249840417412, c_new = 4.847597836439407
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3424.922445551403
Acceptance probability: 1.3923548537695445e-179
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6440:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.522137640095888, b_new = 0.22059269582964436, c_new = 3.7435458832234154
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7337.2032248179175
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6441:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.574018111873401, b_new = -0.4562372340380242, c_new = 4.689754326090359
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7708.651200731274
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6442:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.953527540624389, b_new = 0.26035590727640023, c_new = 4.981192083269454
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14888.419612745016
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6443:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.330998190607873, b_new = -0.24702413375378984, c_new = 6.2886380668996305
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9819.693678013384
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6444:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3186773553757147, b_new = -0.6976916604193502, c_new = 5.0460059803475
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11447.42472420766
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6445:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0019630150248915, b_new = -0.35343256765994224, c_new = 4.268236339148249
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3219.8668195447553
Acceptance probability: 1.5786170568577177e-90
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6446:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5866812533168, b_new = -1.4250587442865745, c_new = 5.266774093751391
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9609.174013265274
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6447:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.481000297156185, b_new = -1.5557949602520929, c_new = 5.491906893391061
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11142.92178684071
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6448:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4415187074463915, b_new = -0.6960172375532323, c_new = 5.6680421947122
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10234.166617489109
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6449:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3069597458381854, b_new = -1.415838047801663, c_new = 4.901953233097371
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5571.875737328467
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6450:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9463605253891387, b_new = -0.2165842413804312, c_new = 4.811098313112523
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3102.8935305672658
Acceptance probability: 9.980004199099598e-40
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6451:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1680135392861972, b_new = -0.6723987695351266, c_new = 6.047372763504999
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5091.158763168136
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6452:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1987818220069477, b_new = 0.022475506041538362, c_new = 5.138929924053885
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7306.51800400882
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6453:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.920239914990724, b_new = -0.9486959157680175, c_new = 5.113969937907363
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3215.899798002274
Acceptance probability: 8.339352977908752e-89
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6454:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.062585469305318, b_new = -0.5892627127507781, c_new = 4.264941746553682
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3429.2216456583105
Acceptance probability: 1.8907366824290653e-181
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6455:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.027917125478703, b_new = -0.6870734039189784, c_new = 4.83145483494031
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3180.543548846256
Acceptance probability: 1.888670799353364e-73
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6456:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9103309171540936, b_new = -0.10363812879146661, c_new = 5.601831427861883
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3111.217510819457
Acceptance probability: 2.4214306371369962e-43
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6457:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4330794270296945, b_new = -0.29199905588377295, c_new = 3.9572436651299356
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9805.685089722157
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6458:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7827178674830035, b_new = -1.5337269107810116, c_new = 5.607692871456816
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5972.547180209158
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6459:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.490609488034898, b_new = -0.35279037253584355, c_new = 5.016757966478722
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11248.969130602482
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6460:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.845523731128944, b_new = -0.7107608463958714, c_new = 4.461619895933453
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3661.45677660043
Acceptance probability: 2.6193599197047657e-282
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6461:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.288707004662769, b_new = -0.5936219134649396, c_new = 4.937050896057367
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7425.61935772506
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6462:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8103704214581398, b_new = -1.1053223344701, c_new = 4.104527963512796
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12490.750995076534
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6463:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7226120311979622, b_new = -1.2784973354591964, c_new = 4.827719854870585
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11827.146989087776
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6464:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.229858015060238, b_new = -0.5299981595792786, c_new = 5.337778985826255
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6461.060109837541
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6465:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.600463059119781, b_new = 0.304323398334971, c_new = 4.416818483649939
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5441.770349732153
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6466:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3009037240650403, b_new = 0.5538644439757235, c_new = 4.844248463874844
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10683.554902547974
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6467:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4595381504077016, b_new = -1.1007939622051375, c_new = 5.292258427229578
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10606.974217653755
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6468:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.879785288961409, b_new = -0.5048166307547252, c_new = 4.129065495275805
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3227.6446187301644
Acceptance probability: 6.613350241438955e-94
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6469:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0332934777053437, b_new = -0.3481001017764852, c_new = 5.288996114155121
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3611.695572533996
Acceptance probability: 1.0695756735393596e-260
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6470:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8810489153061716, b_new = -1.2863434699898453, c_new = 4.935243883007591
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14630.853608658235
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6471:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4558451209682737, b_new = -0.9009668085745876, c_new = 4.207946786052721
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9497.576873077707
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6472:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.415135287440836, b_new = -1.0042650094332932, c_new = 5.6085800956879055
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9111.245554058236
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6473:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7343845820111987, b_new = -0.553359414559802, c_new = 5.279676950794364
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4703.767191735927
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6474:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0019961980026992, b_new = -0.5486436943122464, c_new = 5.0460686680303395
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3162.6487622765358
Acceptance probability: 1.116254770245769e-65
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6475:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.719465362356167, b_new = -0.20484062612195908, c_new = 4.258100960938236
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4520.953206071831
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6476:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.304049516865701, b_new = -0.34111146052265706, c_new = 5.390425797651499
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8674.223314860836
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6477:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.0765636900384825, b_new = -0.4021164396508959, c_new = 4.5600560182284635
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14660.168630028895
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6478:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7487197258777654, b_new = -1.5439610382982587, c_new = 4.093523328922666
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7323.254786392741
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6479:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4575349929212056, b_new = -0.4127928705527477, c_new = 4.585603586758476
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10633.388883965792
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6480:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0003621257927864, b_new = -0.855191369039527, c_new = 6.150030780082661
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3086.9057147716144
Acceptance probability: 8.760943948033607e-33
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6481:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0737981425004017, b_new = -1.0906173508889052, c_new = 4.022565024533334
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3108.585525023629
Acceptance probability: 3.366114933799621e-42
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6482:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.984277166987843, b_new = -0.5994248926190514, c_new = 4.684654093551513
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3050.0907415290817
Acceptance probability: 8.532781650502699e-17
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6483:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2416802631267494, b_new = -0.4707715595565838, c_new = 5.1540978369549695
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6822.568795164298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6484:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3329792890751007, b_new = -0.20800725088108807, c_new = 4.817244711567739
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9354.28873272759
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6485:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.371581587096386, b_new = -0.34784335647773756, c_new = 5.307804198730076
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10234.509949299518
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6486:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8859156365883982, b_new = -1.7515374027869495, c_new = 5.683134118983198
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4565.836223966235
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6487:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7085472952662886, b_new = -1.554010982087545, c_new = 4.649615185924842
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7977.487027748309
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6488:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.934205526151502, b_new = -1.091772733835466, c_new = 4.224847674562167
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3344.0634105624745
Acceptance probability: 1.821304836330943e-144
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6489:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.280952147994659, b_new = -1.4461871327320455, c_new = 4.983963962929351
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12832.182253428526
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6490:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8600771027935585, b_new = -2.094567772315162, c_new = 4.9815434240232666
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6100.714562047104
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6491:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.164089002204931, b_new = 0.13105895971661297, c_new = 5.068049986653946
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6799.967884389443
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6492:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1731466708276024, b_new = -1.2561757897702552, c_new = 4.614391526502656
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13369.351539005333
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6493:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.501551392967648, b_new = -1.4600508608557354, c_new = 3.713124722275428
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8825.660815861109
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6494:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.301316498452194, b_new = -0.025661572194124682, c_new = 3.9744766229077504
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10835.006102035984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6495:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2886934643970713, b_new = -0.8703626430763495, c_new = 4.57907511765884
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6505.374640854892
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6496:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.079461177515931, b_new = -2.025611525232826, c_new = 4.920237363464155
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3154.1857402545184
Acceptance probability: 5.286972996387921e-62
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6497:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0685081274943298, b_new = -1.126519963483875, c_new = 4.7738005086282085
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13738.912733456184
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6498:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.116627436231913, b_new = -1.1081410069310909, c_new = 5.094319115820244
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3450.9169583838802
Acceptance probability: 7.15280606645116e-191
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6499:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9533297485137293, b_new = -0.22154033464355893, c_new = 4.715174146984676
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3117.0852092018263
Acceptance probability: 6.851142553376165e-46
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6500:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3777711295154704, b_new = -0.32751718047221134, c_new = 4.43652442760975
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10392.138668086349
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6501:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9285611685099506, b_new = -1.415976832657463, c_new = 4.996529279223207
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3626.915776833038
Acceptance probability: 2.625190211523226e-267
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6502:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1120240671176838, b_new = -0.3915009030805219, c_new = 5.762585872696563
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4665.21373679605
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6503:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9967197162487156, b_new = -0.4134620617200784, c_new = 4.546509835481416
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3177.280205383687
Acceptance probability: 4.936377045131393e-72
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6504:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3155868603526804, b_new = -1.878536884978102, c_new = 4.918062261250787
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4714.627474532523
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6505:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0948431969881347, b_new = -0.8827108135679199, c_new = 5.308264019101103
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13201.50473584969
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6506:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8600532121149986, b_new = -0.9437525476800797, c_new = 4.373896999520091
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3836.0165023318236
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6507:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.82479542364742, b_new = -0.9443083369904085, c_new = 4.444265042771183
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4273.973589499407
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6508:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.563489415060012, b_new = -0.7333380342162608, c_new = 4.471099034049345
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11166.893600148866
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6509:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9070587545495776, b_new = -0.7635551403832148, c_new = 4.849707981373317
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3186.9614458464303
Acceptance probability: 3.082471097504407e-76
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6510:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.924058790726465, b_new = -0.757115281883611, c_new = 5.193413807901408
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3088.1165832667907
Acceptance probability: 2.610221700875885e-33
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6511:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2860567296110417, b_new = -1.2731019089531814, c_new = 4.3187304740734085
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5330.339396760932
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6512:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0640508723808666, b_new = -1.4024525655785343, c_new = 5.061941367397471
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3024.731538223456
Acceptance probability: 8.79939257106959e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6513:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2446434572178395, b_new = -1.3371560035286967, c_new = 4.771775513879571
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12988.284342209441
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6514:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.952650142806991, b_new = -1.003116669667866, c_new = 5.480174756908278
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3076.2799696368065
Acceptance probability: 3.607890763699134e-28
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6515:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1655921374134603, b_new = -0.4071045365117453, c_new = 5.137871308538309
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12221.863723660614
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6516:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.868171874020167, b_new = -0.7137860320882994, c_new = 4.860099136203426
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3401.6943531510724
Acceptance probability: 1.704442237014979e-169
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6517:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.819948704814636, b_new = -1.249937648953197, c_new = 4.98282509050797
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12593.996839764966
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6518:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.214407014331086, b_new = -1.7993878812051218, c_new = 5.15598919192785
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3581.6681800416345
Acceptance probability: 1.174741691577902e-247
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6519:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6271396839388745, b_new = -1.3358634086899444, c_new = 4.525247756085247
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10820.832241367822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6520:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9571297016727174, b_new = -0.9818159210924154, c_new = 4.184083096623314
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3133.993252286387
Acceptance probability: 3.1095188414952066e-53
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6521:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.361896595149384, b_new = -1.1613616335389405, c_new = 4.8993655188176986
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7391.928605544105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6522:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2228241843504426, b_new = -1.2918099930021634, c_new = 5.305283942943702
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4481.063906274275
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6523:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.949508973405246, b_new = -0.9714248570321914, c_new = 5.280309005476459
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3083.6090049012832
Acceptance probability: 2.3675208199641226e-31
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6524:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.175440265296826, b_new = -0.8508399493935679, c_new = 4.689259814664634
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4442.768876102849
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6525:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3768169584535963, b_new = -0.828711331690262, c_new = 5.056057488645072
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8652.026998917105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6526:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3862999631339905, b_new = -1.1309549072535716, c_new = 4.329133049295074
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11737.948787841848
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6527:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5872264377215264, b_new = -0.9150372332932842, c_new = 5.470959910475234
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8323.510686876129
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6528:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3444571909067573, b_new = -1.7555971097454015, c_new = 4.456571067225012
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12965.687243854298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6529:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0623268049403114, b_new = -0.38847000803126663, c_new = 4.1851458793097205
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3646.7207185577577
Acceptance probability: 6.576334131259057e-276
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6530:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.124273918812325, b_new = -0.5937053449524039, c_new = 5.326765352166148
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14839.155859090484
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6531:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8192309964281863, b_new = -0.5258594708698091, c_new = 5.076345573377725
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3602.0592939032817
Acceptance probability: 1.6375484269053667e-256
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6532:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.952591225139535, b_new = -1.3083624728295273, c_new = 5.1592302641320344
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3290.0446843417094
Acceptance probability: 5.253120437841397e-121
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6533:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3902105600448955, b_new = -0.004277623313990397, c_new = 4.908824129455848
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10722.156518511712
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6534:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.101923876956604, b_new = 0.11681457148226804, c_new = 3.783921254342217
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -15017.318412025994
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6535:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.475216634961369, b_new = -0.9268201816054158, c_new = 4.645109752766794
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9861.33298448826
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6536:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.568826960383257, b_new = -0.3063825756030508, c_new = 4.693230865049796
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11961.239622788387
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6537:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4493557713373866, b_new = -1.7895261130101505, c_new = 4.301864466776064
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12248.890434411094
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6538:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5212311992790566, b_new = -1.0755499484874367, c_new = 4.275958726689171
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10131.626285967119
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6539:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2109845527935, b_new = -1.1527733071451507, c_new = 5.475860980679063
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4611.806415717877
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6540:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.191327713470472, b_new = -1.0031563121690334, c_new = 4.6067454322414125
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4375.852343713819
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6541:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2609029413126778, b_new = -0.8922786418889163, c_new = 4.504964042420923
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5829.017897401312
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6542:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.677166318566173, b_new = -0.40105249412212784, c_new = 4.38281296550395
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5644.4204300887595
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6543:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.896939225257133, b_new = -0.7686580758267552, c_new = 5.478091177397497
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3195.1172948776775
Acceptance probability: 8.848278500888543e-80
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6544:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.652218543889958, b_new = -0.8583107830381475, c_new = 5.5413084012842955
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12072.534577719653
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6545:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8534462357792107, b_new = 0.33186301920682004, c_new = 4.0484816393511265
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3056.2882666612013
Acceptance probability: 1.7359598086385558e-19
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6546:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.439643573138613, b_new = -1.4279288522294364, c_new = 4.475919397063535
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -15015.967599514861
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6547:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5710219801071506, b_new = -1.070839493639005, c_new = 4.0556727366832845
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10554.924279962997
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6548:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0094554391595882, b_new = -0.9800837786992993, c_new = 5.333556898680825
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3024.975868243004
Acceptance probability: 6.89194041804566e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6549:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7211520717150017, b_new = -0.8837461750371065, c_new = 5.535579696131569
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14721.149078452445
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6550:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1016273393403795, b_new = -1.4451072866222523, c_new = 5.057396506777066
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3105.9081136924515
Acceptance probability: 4.896817375485143e-41
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6551:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4351796454076706, b_new = -1.3755754349017555, c_new = 4.472292230980227
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8138.987534762983
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6552:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5584521016120183, b_new = -0.957298166090802, c_new = 4.160257175418691
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10646.077405354881
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6553:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9775252295665888, b_new = -0.5489523749030248, c_new = 5.658324146785042
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13374.091819252673
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6554:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0289630365356905, b_new = -1.4493672094895338, c_new = 4.492308195219754
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3078.646907159359
Acceptance probability: 3.383027085246178e-29
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6555:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3445092219523027, b_new = -1.2566571545554175, c_new = 5.066870664170683
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6826.368224540574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6556:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.001460346500102, b_new = -1.082210634967291, c_new = 5.038844958183824
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13809.188529616285
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6557:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.913337767943101, b_new = -0.4611604022407432, c_new = 4.889387954065602
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3041.1908459925703
Acceptance probability: 6.255559415994923e-13
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6558:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.551447795471505, b_new = -0.3726506857120449, c_new = 5.069881980002894
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11819.975175447411
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6559:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5470635040855236, b_new = -1.6359899804268805, c_new = 5.194853221938301
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10620.466731158578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6560:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2952465601788536, b_new = -1.3382951884294014, c_new = 4.519904354776083
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5412.294624979436
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6561:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.05128800671311, b_new = -1.5787022874442775, c_new = 4.792643976443649
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13486.734219485443
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6562:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.754374749693495, b_new = -0.5614615861373995, c_new = 4.240605743733216
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4667.709883803446
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6563:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5760312268356538, b_new = -0.8746399232070158, c_new = 5.202028064735314
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11275.33698570688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6564:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3185269065924157, b_new = -1.042279630614903, c_new = 5.346305417195147
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6965.1734201752815
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6565:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5967867679559675, b_new = -2.074736116436632, c_new = 5.545841911732028
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10758.950001550727
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6566:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0271287657897004, b_new = -0.0010234297595818065, c_new = 5.449566340512212
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4092.4090216629274
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6567:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.641690706218204, b_new = -0.7434654944210847, c_new = 4.309160650083428
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11804.737703873163
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6568:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.810327396307466, b_new = -1.026136956316425, c_new = 4.5276141761155575
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4625.6016112082225
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6569:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6223557057608624, b_new = -0.6774005778954917, c_new = 4.165701197501296
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11701.27209993976
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6570:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8867153356750435, b_new = -0.7536081865989446, c_new = 5.499018753411237
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3240.970925228545
Acceptance probability: 1.0786490046325437e-99
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6571:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2660391490009246, b_new = -1.776107944414541, c_new = 4.306317667594313
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4051.0450667144996
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6572:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.850971128669699, b_new = -0.7891162071628114, c_new = 5.073238945396975
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3604.5707209256902
Acceptance probability: 1.3289090365545342e-257
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6573:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.899774057156276, b_new = -0.5028590941460183, c_new = 5.146741585668584
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13950.394006205854
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6574:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1669648004448825, b_new = -1.1915539470987344, c_new = 4.006744229008119
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3669.146531931169
Acceptance probability: 1.1983312101373417e-285
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6575:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6334216130498573, b_new = -1.3440868170251192, c_new = 4.313704397452275
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9011.156945669503
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6576:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.241830892499124, b_new = -0.16207880280734877, c_new = 5.120791760977224
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -15497.204219665047
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6577:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9167079681331747, b_new = -1.084668368878799, c_new = 4.975576806424247
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3366.7512191132155
Acceptance probability: 2.5538335071938617e-154
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6578:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6894133200199712, b_new = -0.9368718523857265, c_new = 4.681644880500847
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -15045.47123076389
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6579:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.026127539562327, b_new = -0.7261567963884447, c_new = 5.498349466313416
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3211.343720729157
Acceptance probability: 7.939836792154002e-87
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6580:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8720585036909485, b_new = -1.3607869955727452, c_new = 4.848815777946046
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4250.499119799063
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6581:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.961856355451015, b_new = -0.9974703921622833, c_new = 3.8553428833678063
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3152.055747603269
Acceptance probability: 4.4488846661639105e-61
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6582:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3111301389937577, b_new = -0.4267908991111818, c_new = 4.499046643168504
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8209.154935347915
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6583:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7646264780502405, b_new = -1.1835932636452182, c_new = 4.42624536051944
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12162.927910988748
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6584:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.297292402483551, b_new = -1.2931460780985247, c_new = 5.260702013993114
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14837.07149092048
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6585:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6827030437411152, b_new = 0.020435100700044395, c_new = 4.1762103222725955
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13101.051957604335
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6586:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.863688629397135, b_new = -0.6149561060326943, c_new = 4.6672281317545385
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3366.888980126472
Acceptance probability: 2.225172750302998e-154
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6587:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9967046420191195, b_new = -1.4357713034731936, c_new = 4.960020371692876
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3154.524863761432
Acceptance probability: 3.7664102623011357e-62
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6588:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.899249055259917, b_new = -0.9563309122471624, c_new = 4.055765421000192
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3510.985236969607
Acceptance probability: 5.849981908528618e-217
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6589:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.214199853834887, b_new = -0.7568029119540787, c_new = 5.196970686907573
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12324.427926455224
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6590:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8269389689903632, b_new = -1.0619447046825505, c_new = 5.396569348617513
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4225.983315951074
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6591:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6576052194075546, b_new = -1.3334918142058876, c_new = 5.0723607380060995
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11265.932429578466
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6592:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.213000673951181, b_new = -1.4402194740387713, c_new = 4.448714584823479
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3916.923729222582
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6593:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.522787142845665, b_new = -1.2021246852149483, c_new = 4.761729886589091
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9973.717668463729
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6594:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4349079654124353, b_new = -1.3909048990997217, c_new = 4.113690651640457
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11780.741891595455
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6595:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.58320524962181, b_new = 0.12481414422365855, c_new = 4.972455016073624
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12788.896375013184
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6596:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.57812227327038, b_new = -1.9320729730703632, c_new = 5.079577852086415
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10871.25187325637
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6597:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.696871060288482, b_new = -0.6370692328636509, c_new = 4.7710116107741944
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12499.022283633132
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6598:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7570184144767937, b_new = -1.464505305285448, c_new = 5.558190540766151
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6339.666968129977
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6599:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.184356320666706, b_new = -1.9100549401217526, c_new = 5.350610484444495
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3268.081892193141
Acceptance probability: 1.8144157004803908e-111
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6600:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2083079048101744, b_new = -0.7141087947323905, c_new = 4.552514021874543
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12481.87872038081
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6601:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3095855044064737, b_new = -0.8920675108127039, c_new = 5.40169430401047
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7216.053961467349
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6602:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5306341180341105, b_new = -0.5594851785503081, c_new = 5.304991350298416
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11390.887159705755
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6603:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.41817264379633, b_new = -0.9455342804073491, c_new = 5.76906952814356
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9363.534388072983
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6604:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6607153397749963, b_new = -0.2274173363054437, c_new = 4.877927784834437
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5398.204474853927
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6605:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7000276970706243, b_new = -0.0705403238065978, c_new = 5.321378079687458
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4333.834471725168
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6606:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.934497956005597, b_new = -1.703941858645535, c_new = 5.029159490324972
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3965.0818600605053
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6607:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5365413142059237, b_new = -1.0393758687069212, c_new = 5.162300333102335
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10566.596609876367
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6608:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.717233935866384, b_new = -0.5668607193689184, c_new = 3.873984857608154
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5440.279366580515
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6609:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6188384230246933, b_new = -1.7507277903291385, c_new = 5.069683561322962
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9934.966080600894
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6610:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.435720411976064, b_new = -0.7006162039602568, c_new = 3.5416434137528165
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9411.557058569842
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6611:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9516413035487026, b_new = -2.196094095286654, c_new = 4.966541776711955
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4642.707125687669
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6612:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3846466639628776, b_new = -1.0011928885368673, c_new = 5.256281117835873
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11251.515693471274
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6613:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.679522811670079, b_new = -0.13768447618826696, c_new = 4.330913594759677
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12918.566770706042
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6614:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.08837992870457, b_new = -1.866349525462594, c_new = 5.707740219896967
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3026.1685856297736
Acceptance probability: 2.0909850835343454e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6615:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.967928879936165, b_new = -0.9035728720111743, c_new = 5.4000507094227785
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3021.7795101319807
Acceptance probability: 0.0001684620976222353
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6616:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4457519071858544, b_new = 0.008833545539649212, c_new = 4.463327191137758
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11238.973388031849
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6617:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.855914011358178, b_new = -0.8791808336884087, c_new = 4.076697790319276
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3850.011066376671
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6618:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2734071216177707, b_new = -1.491897402267806, c_new = 5.1807183372323795
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12887.485151006886
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6619:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.006194800945444, b_new = -1.5099075722496709, c_new = 4.998846704542073
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13380.87129473106
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6620:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4017519160224134, b_new = -0.915622790821012, c_new = 4.237225589909612
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11250.715978263359
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6621:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.852014261303571, b_new = -0.6958685776900984, c_new = 5.001962118061217
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3499.7609238042487
Acceptance probability: 4.383406970059474e-212
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6622:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6135089451411897, b_new = -0.8563405598921658, c_new = 4.092063001364457
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11330.951508264121
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6623:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5938164089156834, b_new = -1.3898859787844824, c_new = 4.924190593524595
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9546.569544127751
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6624:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.622250116290976, b_new = -0.6809931776656417, c_new = 4.124285247665808
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11683.433859667279
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6625:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.595152291387167, b_new = -1.204830071096501, c_new = 4.933961799476483
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10834.13090700637
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6626:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.006589469252976, b_new = -1.57920545895272, c_new = 4.956681308453103
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13299.116036671432
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6627:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5594455086486727, b_new = -0.6563392951801937, c_new = 4.838605266556344
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11364.959161295084
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6628:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5641200932012844, b_new = -1.0256443209955768, c_new = 4.561465839451238
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10706.71901248844
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6629:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.483385371710746, b_new = -0.9331258421782314, c_new = 5.023500995407448
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10079.669523996856
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6630:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1676988767619667, b_new = -0.5829437414509484, c_new = 4.576645488751747
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4829.67192811106
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6631:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.568432416730175, b_new = -0.505830836774046, c_new = 3.963412822007501
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8199.438522043638
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6632:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.324297146420447, b_new = -0.807503776000532, c_new = 4.966895676431093
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7602.01628983576
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6633:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.475931055598055, b_new = -0.4934373194143568, c_new = 5.018413286841395
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10836.498364114083
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6634:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3766804872476412, b_new = -0.6783710541662012, c_new = 5.371970889500653
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9157.59339802905
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6635:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1433423445295063, b_new = -1.0875057626279465, c_new = 5.68375140347842
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13066.342462388555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6636:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.975612585401865, b_new = -0.6923911729470016, c_new = 5.224467972852432
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3031.83737311041
Acceptance probability: 7.2181817435469404e-09
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6637:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8892301004496526, b_new = -1.77742154933991, c_new = 4.575724567459509
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4894.477104746478
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6638:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.479409910888557, b_new = -1.551668484949834, c_new = 5.045407406159105
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11299.879122007742
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6639:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.493425850320431, b_new = -0.5126444265647613, c_new = 4.27307850260087
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10758.160975263103
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6640:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2528458101941866, b_new = -0.760213531199713, c_new = 4.44822044705444
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12253.442824959975
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6641:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7879060368846575, b_new = -1.4916151680705416, c_new = 4.939423567783055
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12055.598921386456
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6642:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6322531828946665, b_new = -1.6292628333879158, c_new = 4.306481998151709
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9740.817820105847
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6643:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8748212779138083, b_new = -1.2691280406712309, c_new = 4.790618862054096
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4069.5507405764065
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6644:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8371491166600817, b_new = 0.20427839362652922, c_new = 4.933661999070269
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3080.473755016297
Acceptance probability: 5.4439675936718126e-30
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6645:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.262197008384967, b_new = -0.5473606239674114, c_new = 5.270063937759007
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7107.253001891477
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6646:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8397891339781447, b_new = -0.612767394612796, c_new = 5.073244056670984
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13507.606683896329
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6647:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.773149076127911, b_new = -0.1310860557474104, c_new = 3.2104916556764174
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13218.317631346563
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6648:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.732020551258413, b_new = -0.3729070646613669, c_new = 4.5149365547789335
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4581.901216918754
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6649:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.944345102630371, b_new = -0.3959687719866185, c_new = 4.546169537548561
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3027.3662922307894
Acceptance probability: 6.31238627594662e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6650:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5291163603887004, b_new = -0.5350406698727396, c_new = 4.277743141125184
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8834.89386386391
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6651:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8410526238218576, b_new = -0.6926085252699123, c_new = 5.346404477937706
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3547.8119444517397
Acceptance probability: 5.936338768796277e-233
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6652:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.075573867868102, b_new = -0.6043815949183402, c_new = 4.751674930173281
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3602.531840718327
Acceptance probability: 1.0208682051101373e-256
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6653:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8423010931197528, b_new = -0.3292285593518185, c_new = 4.646873839485407
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3279.9303328941537
Acceptance probability: 1.2972520917765388e-116
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6654:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.223185049245669, b_new = -0.9199656619624185, c_new = 5.221861914536523
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5255.252604612218
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6655:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5208984652412054, b_new = -0.8307126693760257, c_new = 4.7102673889770434
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9467.697092043465
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6656:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5573434666813393, b_new = -1.5985297426081333, c_new = 4.686017288763591
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9626.666561626262
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6657:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1658875608130135, b_new = -0.40693713322279207, c_new = 5.130717582376972
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5376.456369618429
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6658:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.185488059817734, b_new = -1.061243845053974, c_new = 3.6942489484364502
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4006.229645298659
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6659:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7137582119349433, b_new = -1.5343676034245433, c_new = 5.002075779738152
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7668.130184354443
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6660:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9604610016731077, b_new = -0.49541256670321293, c_new = 4.6950604721755225
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13623.306582860085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6661:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.915482370239014, b_new = -0.9870178684186173, c_new = 5.207144866520213
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3264.0949212095584
Acceptance probability: 9.778140943150242e-110
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6662:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6904489781609415, b_new = -0.5627633571060584, c_new = 4.92458333580739
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12595.637570154691
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6663:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.827094861081915, b_new = -0.8173100325084609, c_new = 4.031590325676164
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12928.26630353948
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6664:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7152573371109523, b_new = -0.12731974558884018, c_new = 4.210647187164752
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13129.958045434618
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6665:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9424163444053235, b_new = -1.5196572786760714, c_new = 5.569488785369733
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3524.73906808443
Acceptance probability: 6.222165590438271e-223
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6666:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3628601156703075, b_new = -0.591848562421754, c_new = 4.157353360505079
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8660.22834689431
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6667:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.412314049356354, b_new = -2.114395030180406, c_new = 4.005095036291033
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5700.382839781361
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6668:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.581540912274631, b_new = -1.7125226421358475, c_new = 4.0599618823969505
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10748.724950865644
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6669:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6030036294914396, b_new = -1.0872195091950958, c_new = 5.32956125294102
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8517.51146813752
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6670:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3730051449665233, b_new = -0.582075376124586, c_new = 4.64419157933895
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9054.72143185196
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6671:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8251041171690328, b_new = -0.8177138305806402, c_new = 4.3313779134971835
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4079.6552810212806
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6672:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2914936029127233, b_new = -0.39053305936852584, c_new = 4.669787939378683
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7963.805373402124
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6673:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1626128996759397, b_new = -1.4534701905145806, c_new = 4.989540518726085
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3467.4790278833507
Acceptance probability: 4.588397745371273e-198
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6674:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0160444916251534, b_new = 0.815215711550935, c_new = 5.351355110941895
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5655.727014305728
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6675:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9064384642640895, b_new = -0.1754106931190451, c_new = 5.470630391071259
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3069.498521587595
Acceptance probability: 3.1797929856945787e-25
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6676:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.822563593785315, b_new = -0.7860844290871954, c_new = 5.024806550961472
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3917.945799685091
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6677:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.803281898951613, b_new = -0.09511841776271779, c_new = 4.714619619185473
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3353.1864449391355
Acceptance probability: 1.9874634601793478e-148
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6678:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1041708947178805, b_new = -0.64666894137814, c_new = 4.326645549377978
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3767.7988844826914
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6679:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.187978631676915, b_new = -0.5420608107109899, c_new = 4.30868391665142
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12461.838453438422
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6680:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.204697005910603, b_new = -1.361789480051985, c_new = 4.6238661433172314
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13308.526395820812
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6681:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6813571719500784, b_new = -0.3260438685855942, c_new = 4.81452452952341
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5260.768321877651
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6682:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.965815741260504, b_new = -0.5310275350634593, c_new = 5.1855688132255375
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3055.767709760541
Acceptance probability: 2.921558962051372e-19
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6683:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.502289919035617, b_new = -1.0873506511255973, c_new = 4.730694551012955
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9925.633391694497
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6684:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3242009134799755, b_new = -2.019575452151591, c_new = 4.838923417742075
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13338.45323353166
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6685:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.362853853437546, b_new = -2.0046441851713555, c_new = 4.654202438590094
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13119.579072682991
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6686:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0789881300618216, b_new = 0.09548357449760703, c_new = 5.311377805197165
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12132.794699824777
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6687:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.293232623409144, b_new = -1.1208047816147269, c_new = 5.223182258191726
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6157.739051942951
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6688:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3896339226114853, b_new = -0.763976383312391, c_new = 4.666306425206597
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8904.950652943447
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6689:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5603798899311334, b_new = 0.5185680530008644, c_new = 4.588232687805841
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13060.47230706867
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6690:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6252741894491214, b_new = -1.027795064778409, c_new = 4.535917385583579
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11296.016821412226
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6691:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.715820473023189, b_new = -0.3308308138381696, c_new = 4.215061306618482
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4837.6279099810135
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6692:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.613222147718955, b_new = 0.04092333818256755, c_new = 4.77116768324443
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5699.3261584355405
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6693:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.849235516152827, b_new = -1.831148329867059, c_new = 5.08133966267912
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5587.21914747385
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6694:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.535828840777258, b_new = -0.943338741385891, c_new = 3.729102650667354
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9846.958007574816
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6695:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8655702900446505, b_new = -0.9925098702081792, c_new = 5.617533963605658
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3622.150705368387
Acceptance probability: 3.0803851368921734e-265
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6696:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.092364568659357, b_new = -0.45731638384939577, c_new = 4.461365300559917
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3935.1395801276076
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6697:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8090550647994483, b_new = -0.9955168914971276, c_new = 4.37373408290244
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4626.856195445372
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6698:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2584454081200294, b_new = -1.5344201320664363, c_new = 5.389944397436025
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4589.298979871504
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6699:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6772409011488985, b_new = -1.172721453621735, c_new = 4.334951565066898
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7692.8545469762075
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6700:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.931403009697835, b_new = -0.6666903395858732, c_new = 4.864828401014354
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3049.682511222305
Acceptance probability: 1.283461370888424e-16
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6701:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4184637047362956, b_new = -0.5272043186045787, c_new = 4.733119897569623
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9940.688798202786
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6702:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0418983350726485, b_new = -1.2669440840404824, c_new = 5.510361067318027
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13833.518249864512
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6703:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6799741336197553, b_new = -0.9475707729959766, c_new = 5.408869383371507
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6619.799019751015
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6704:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1168620908937923, b_new = -1.5678039464531417, c_new = 4.469618155363566
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3090.6697215868203
Acceptance probability: 2.031718392117648e-34
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6705:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.449783728950375, b_new = -0.08510611468542706, c_new = 4.863373858266775
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11244.490507975435
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6706:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5396291294546756, b_new = -0.5989408643790008, c_new = 4.607502507417882
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8693.536763984934
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6707:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3223579714965177, b_new = -1.6362944625473992, c_new = 5.06040051077857
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5391.622079690531
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6708:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.711367451146158, b_new = -0.14466388952974052, c_new = 4.482265559437723
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4479.327299685011
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6709:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.526816807607678, b_new = -1.1623894099324357, c_new = 4.731884328528961
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10090.741616961366
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6710:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7634980128829123, b_new = -0.8679407994658457, c_new = 4.6416945808903005
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5045.159045372268
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6711:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.491106768997327, b_new = -1.5775294186805393, c_new = 5.27537104895913
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11142.687893847431
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6712:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3091597551362515, b_new = -1.0674734272863762, c_new = 5.002186385239806
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6562.656618819585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6713:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5847556315829197, b_new = 0.09281077460626475, c_new = 4.791246284279744
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6111.523874145676
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6714:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.664050645156307, b_new = -0.8383802851545484, c_new = 5.116535631195793
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6763.647459866407
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6715:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.966138184952795, b_new = -0.2586798561286586, c_new = 4.693516128735599
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3145.71189856282
Acceptance probability: 2.531335905857682e-58
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6716:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3892552871923636, b_new = -0.9572972167914517, c_new = 4.756151330096398
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8439.653165018695
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6717:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.857680808010311, b_new = -0.5851653102524805, c_new = 4.477707366436625
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3408.488257822127
Acceptance probability: 1.9099719029018573e-172
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6718:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8184785004002646, b_new = -0.7649350950632597, c_new = 5.1022162267101
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3920.97765166817
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6719:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0162008594060867, b_new = -0.7885642583375065, c_new = 4.56973014945274
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3063.0865984152574
Acceptance probability: 1.9366970861183862e-22
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6720:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.711816642472933, b_new = -0.03404626418786816, c_new = 4.975810882227506
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4179.952815153418
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6721:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5603742067355184, b_new = 0.03507232115484271, c_new = 4.29686275976028
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12287.79770683856
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6722:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.942324097971462, b_new = -1.4105507056843414, c_new = 3.9165104968366253
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3687.456031927484
Acceptance probability: 1.33925123555368e-293
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6723:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9192667913423813, b_new = -0.2925962351731195, c_new = 4.72280253541716
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3029.1173541038984
Acceptance probability: 1.0957640753518178e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6724:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9391556622183406, b_new = -0.9546179115670429, c_new = 4.152122048559597
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3208.46699374312
Acceptance probability: 1.4098023537970045e-85
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6725:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.638416158959986, b_new = -0.37060845279182436, c_new = 5.225671393110774
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6053.848029166403
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6726:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.764580315746527, b_new = -1.1408445450849554, c_new = 5.663272154184904
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5336.318467552551
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6727:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2405268971620482, b_new = -1.813655253931422, c_new = 4.448622657345176
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13693.666018557324
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6728:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.803062798874691, b_new = -0.692179047673817, c_new = 4.762070366365042
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4070.1634042409564
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6729:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.159892314647944, b_new = -0.25941279604754275, c_new = 4.257469315247501
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5328.349544529656
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6730:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.622402732959936, b_new = -0.8842590064860762, c_new = 4.377975798405755
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7997.588725149588
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6731:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2723605653063936, b_new = -0.6567840589630036, c_new = 5.4144446308907925
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7075.406662909609
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6732:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5858779437440886, b_new = -0.3857798708237964, c_new = 4.802004656043874
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7265.906292596812
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6733:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.66912949560623, b_new = -0.03513852606541057, c_new = 5.463530045797867
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4702.13520905527
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6734:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2262833102163593, b_new = -0.39115306979570535, c_new = 5.006696448831949
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11785.22752903737
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6735:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.906160474673312, b_new = -2.036598513291312, c_new = 4.839695520377851
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5100.435034108932
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6736:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4252340464692534, b_new = -0.4274789441703083, c_new = 4.940850479486007
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9853.7365755396
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6737:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.056506980322682, b_new = -0.10597766300908984, c_new = 4.352189102253783
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4025.9265106697603
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6738:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1219281805008148, b_new = -0.95729200518494, c_new = 4.696338636276548
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3611.047673399443
Acceptance probability: 2.0445161041098328e-260
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6739:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.858536991082914, b_new = -0.001358026584454719, c_new = 5.546799105358155
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3079.4314267169266
Acceptance probability: 1.543806837421695e-29
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6740:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4577395989992925, b_new = -0.5519051301508728, c_new = 4.874051668890932
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10463.10919298687
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6741:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.251318960235226, b_new = -0.7055853421383639, c_new = 4.91383129930255
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6274.16235687749
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6742:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.362909607311069, b_new = -0.8807789967313435, c_new = 4.871248205489697
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11380.355856938157
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6743:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1877597903656385, b_new = 0.03578839153590807, c_new = 5.154770821015734
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7098.397257042237
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6744:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9483156277699814, b_new = -0.7537246208288794, c_new = 4.967255865017695
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3032.6985466515566
Acceptance probability: 3.050878384175686e-09
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6745:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7613678056705755, b_new = -1.0414269966596084, c_new = 5.201686190211489
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12528.051119945449
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6746:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8387734835530676, b_new = -1.1348759704044387, c_new = 4.813649548423865
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4326.204252627026
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6747:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.057701786243862, b_new = -1.2315129426707725, c_new = 4.878022406507893
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13875.19029323306
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6748:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1565506176398745, b_new = -0.7863857072824066, c_new = 5.010102649737833
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4362.809484694296
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6749:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1149279836178994, b_new = -0.7535607038030204, c_new = 5.3983091538662835
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3950.2479702812957
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6750:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.509200274310171, b_new = -0.779976290820639, c_new = 5.327131734451011
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9319.12585322244
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6751:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5900070779905326, b_new = -0.26182838879527137, c_new = 5.251458068395323
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6724.719883837497
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6752:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9223079115861443, b_new = -1.2500490589487963, c_new = 4.452116849998707
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3577.725212541652
Acceptance probability: 6.058308849902877e-246
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6753:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2309426255703286, b_new = -1.4968600899298168, c_new = 4.567332754582348
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4076.7578416863103
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6754:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.447113561920276, b_new = -0.9538133950826784, c_new = 5.031403869813716
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10560.425784500014
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6755:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2879864012708206, b_new = -0.3566376378128949, c_new = 4.690717374487222
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7994.307167939924
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6756:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.632936557796169, b_new = -0.3417196370864406, c_new = 5.809782298569276
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12744.076792667756
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6757:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.374982292308777, b_new = -1.7554520718236044, c_new = 3.78056364967947
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12954.905394462236
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6758:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5225242898496134, b_new = -0.4593808283083206, c_new = 5.019248151066258
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11390.216717198418
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6759:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1307056519767493, b_new = -0.6015807367188013, c_new = 5.382688152464395
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4425.657276263308
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6760:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9094981075010047, b_new = -0.6296403707341006, c_new = 4.167006445620895
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3148.9607092190427
Acceptance probability: 9.826734869136376e-60
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6761:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.335459463744919, b_new = -0.19705355227720056, c_new = 5.017776908019821
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10456.651072889434
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6762:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3406554886910835, b_new = -1.6417857076360143, c_new = 4.273783606103306
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5497.094415926809
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6763:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2817719372294993, b_new = -1.1283171719712233, c_new = 4.6643522487931905
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5705.714898186654
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6764:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0675566149756506, b_new = -1.365389718429662, c_new = 4.914508737586069
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13957.953014496536
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6765:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3009696655764915, b_new = -0.7827927966898307, c_new = 5.343957352330697
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7316.2874146331105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6766:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7057282987123834, b_new = -0.9553155208370899, c_new = 5.311118620949937
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6148.379620273676
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6767:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.927922813644482, b_new = -0.5067468794762853, c_new = 4.222261860660299
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3037.4743233696327
Acceptance probability: 2.5723580614807643e-11
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6768:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1045832977912298, b_new = -0.38761811783579414, c_new = 5.110707783208507
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4373.324322117688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6769:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3007738214439684, b_new = -1.435130437346322, c_new = 5.404446481845696
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5563.57111100035
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6770:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7804397819490014, b_new = 0.24497452465012814, c_new = 4.499469659640622
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3270.8205863521025
Acceptance probability: 1.1731054012930204e-112
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6771:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.059099283764982, b_new = -0.6376640610846358, c_new = 4.962046352114566
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3449.3978758062485
Acceptance probability: 3.2674250270355664e-190
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6772:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.23962657639317, b_new = -0.9415596924053055, c_new = 5.080611376127437
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5470.76144366104
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6773:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.103777379237002, b_new = -1.1605918289058226, c_new = 5.319095498585568
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14247.292955140156
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6774:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1091047062156028, b_new = -0.6106525418371499, c_new = 5.951123368916665
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4247.667993216575
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6775:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4698432326807622, b_new = -0.9801837636634061, c_new = 5.449084996159158
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9948.415394082138
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6776:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.84118051061188, b_new = -1.0522914183047691, c_new = 4.870015530750844
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4134.488401017798
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6777:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.136619767054888, b_new = -1.16207836726712, c_new = 4.864437743018776
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3535.177565126429
Acceptance probability: 1.8220483619158194e-227
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6778:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.253091000568038, b_new = -1.0788894777857916, c_new = 5.908675969433865
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5676.470196553447
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6779:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9784348729763623, b_new = -1.3491891707637087, c_new = 4.540721321188144
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3234.3934351635635
Acceptance probability: 7.752607322051556e-97
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6780:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5990647552219333, b_new = -0.6912573025389669, c_new = 4.358732866843112
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7951.778836544872
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6781:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6363428215987064, b_new = -0.43617181392409876, c_new = 4.833170120186623
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12351.871082394597
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6782:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5231359452941238, b_new = -0.5302399999273659, c_new = 4.40224704862341
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8876.24958001142
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6783:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6939199428295577, b_new = -0.5534319245610255, c_new = 5.1862084014629515
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12705.001089165182
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6784:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.201447584021296, b_new = -0.7293974142124553, c_new = 5.082232564348943
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5254.928454532848
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6785:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.155298219964469, b_new = -0.7520657173869323, c_new = 5.939797768358081
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4664.977395035693
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6786:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.658610047343953, b_new = -1.3728377372498897, c_new = 4.841692468011628
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11149.39888277061
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6787:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.305578099897004, b_new = -0.6601514515423452, c_new = 5.290913774384924
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7749.000885230485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6788:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7551095549470697, b_new = -0.21312736051317827, c_new = 4.660654060822427
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3959.10966730243
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6789:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5158773542421855, b_new = -1.1288981252892487, c_new = 5.342749179335964
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9944.927858207224
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6790:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2566262589861026, b_new = -0.9466215456571039, c_new = 5.605817372544747
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5988.182153110794
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6791:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.41750650463292, b_new = -0.6770673346393126, c_new = 4.87415304146719
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9645.675304572806
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6792:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0365406345143633, b_new = -0.599579886337754, c_new = 4.857180463002703
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3302.166282137711
Acceptance probability: 2.85807962101629e-126
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6793:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9389349372702926, b_new = -1.1749556435229258, c_new = 5.518825878907571
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3231.868150204586
Acceptance probability: 9.686460458587932e-96
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6794:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9214990303581203, b_new = -0.9228741475636573, c_new = 5.006541428357164
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14138.775249590157
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6795:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.508987268594308, b_new = -0.711939984455235, c_new = 4.834210176176921
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10747.473130026827
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6796:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5056951586435114, b_new = -0.9669039612546513, c_new = 4.503991326289753
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10033.802752664942
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6797:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5507007030158424, b_new = -0.9441627227139177, c_new = 4.014608413674274
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9526.774834417112
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6798:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6643198252095746, b_new = -0.38263826393992245, c_new = 4.508539359773857
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14720.347866586852
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6799:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.190995856352757, b_new = -0.537058049799668, c_new = 4.556027839903959
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14946.075199326773
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6800:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7794773671070603, b_new = -1.0146495603573755, c_new = 4.448352492966728
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5148.869011959611
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6801:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3827768692095868, b_new = -0.7709288532959367, c_new = 5.169734094328898
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10903.298171791064
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6802:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6024200931518884, b_new = -0.782352321556158, c_new = 4.864507382914655
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7933.294263467702
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6803:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9941302189836119, b_new = -1.371216085703389, c_new = 5.406509993793368
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14168.249736704303
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6804:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7321958160340456, b_new = -0.8742825079526436, c_new = 5.774371451317416
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5288.774529598493
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6805:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8195325910709985, b_new = -1.9548355409112839, c_new = 5.277052613312685
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6463.495347784331
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6806:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8009925538346219, b_new = -0.6578386779676628, c_new = 5.51472348254172
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14259.573131330115
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6807:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8849514254741226, b_new = -1.3090387258894052, c_new = 5.1837371793020335
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3920.103676763669
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6808:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.097290912119268, b_new = -1.753951916200965, c_new = 4.170697116977894
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3063.841027417295
Acceptance probability: 9.107880976933116e-23
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6809:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.436699364591493, b_new = -1.390718165615823, c_new = 5.114560557162183
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8357.424081503295
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6810:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.637497417554563, b_new = -1.3510075777938644, c_new = 4.699007252221548
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8801.922563539349
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6811:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.420308031826656, b_new = -0.9856210655415681, c_new = 4.401532896378248
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8804.767182195721
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6812:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.490272931140277, b_new = -0.33984152436623205, c_new = 4.389980422063889
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11067.91693308846
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6813:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.135032550319618, b_new = -0.6005120590390904, c_new = 4.687337951870514
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12783.041319695114
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6814:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8555758496445676, b_new = -1.034719627002805, c_new = 4.402639445595936
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4022.9564447953007
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6815:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7893237145574337, b_new = -0.8885565237823729, c_new = 4.053073190602804
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4819.967814495112
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6816:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3567696190627734, b_new = -0.45426999693358877, c_new = 4.708682204527409
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9111.335039087393
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6817:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5706433873290875, b_new = -0.3822151219227982, c_new = 4.387663871463671
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11769.467079538248
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6818:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.257551419703811, b_new = -0.8597108255476142, c_new = 5.616314158746929
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6249.981814519467
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6819:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.67649868412186, b_new = -0.24313479040515862, c_new = 5.629708938049152
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4949.906301014569
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6820:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.236322922549485, b_new = -0.8335240330609901, c_new = 4.113089221518744
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14766.59965392698
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6821:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8748853711633546, b_new = -1.0703650431730036, c_new = 4.05787544516444
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3916.7171310143685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6822:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.204642310593323, b_new = -1.5270365196755746, c_new = 4.951007466789446
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3785.5871719401785
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6823:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.940283309416014, b_new = -0.9843267874913492, c_new = 5.3712264710730855
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3118.9772222374477
Acceptance probability: 1.0329330727755338e-46
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6824:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0223551394726758, b_new = -0.4197722186449384, c_new = 4.5345167843688765
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3324.74699804592
Acceptance probability: 4.460607465789073e-136
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6825:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.583769119111902, b_new = -0.7004810184700337, c_new = 5.065918068908254
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11588.58101495751
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6826:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1364377192967363, b_new = -0.48866563766597076, c_new = 4.132081774355763
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4401.119737983672
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6827:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.855993191915186, b_new = -0.6057006441919814, c_new = 5.143391361067621
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13620.499609406977
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6828:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4126292560940854, b_new = -1.229049580001032, c_new = 4.771146327096802
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11510.032439427498
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6829:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3544129776286327, b_new = -0.1760371136451473, c_new = 4.748546271670841
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9768.825932789527
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6830:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.665872722773816, b_new = -1.5578453530814662, c_new = 5.43156872740495
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11093.43583927737
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6831:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.087553950334426, b_new = -0.5053281930320361, c_new = 4.7606862797004075
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3867.379943389076
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6832:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.498881303977758, b_new = -0.6925971107905774, c_new = 5.705870351152023
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10953.037304939156
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6833:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6033496933520175, b_new = -0.44245690028458873, c_new = 5.276540246441335
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14808.099487770365
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6834:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.230961120426736, b_new = -0.3724995873304142, c_new = 4.888120533626372
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6759.096761344428
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6835:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.163348672623351, b_new = -0.46790070388894034, c_new = 4.635161328952731
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12446.293564723026
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6836:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6614234758982196, b_new = -1.1997153812686383, c_new = 4.836672165668296
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7888.8955838384745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6837:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8992436445575236, b_new = -0.17993154283793333, c_new = 5.101391007237073
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3045.498463136897
Acceptance probability: 8.423484818745723e-15
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6838:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.296784912945397, b_new = -0.3327769187845444, c_new = 4.377572201267581
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8122.806043845208
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6839:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3769222116474955, b_new = -1.363012513875312, c_new = 4.866689951563575
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7148.225898180637
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6840:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3997823780873264, b_new = -1.017503090095497, c_new = 4.117221344964382
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8250.189517456223
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6841:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8676720389760617, b_new = -0.9057710906734794, c_new = 5.083309482308749
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13328.031654808068
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6842:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9206135248474183, b_new = -0.3100417008672247, c_new = 4.905655920055004
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3032.5561420267995
Acceptance probability: 3.5177942818540932e-09
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6843:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2648166079748604, b_new = -1.2433208223806114, c_new = 4.764586162542928
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5136.795669190419
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6844:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9133553633253237, b_new = -0.6885648582021686, c_new = 4.916685229921191
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3111.909912887292
Acceptance probability: 1.2116177741321606e-43
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6845:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3090793027667775, b_new = -0.5066530463553054, c_new = 5.18278424546125
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8220.847927354167
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6846:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.03144737300555, b_new = -1.0639414882586893, c_new = 5.450214905582458
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14059.49531453774
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6847:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7766062635723565, b_new = -0.5205342403413633, c_new = 5.777028508461396
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3947.187385022233
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6848:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.017041336119447, b_new = -1.2238869573148046, c_new = 5.782875408468496
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Acceptance probability: 1.960316192997892
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6849:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.549740828345912, b_new = -0.3927488729736581, c_new = 6.778591645855356
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -16385.729216049356
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6850:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.743600225090015, b_new = -0.9588557590246569, c_new = 5.554721338558002
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -5337.410238379552
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6851:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9958954556570996, b_new = -0.5056021485312664, c_new = 5.620521367137978
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3222.5433979463423
Acceptance probability: 5.540225392504347e-92
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6852:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3504313237564856, b_new = -0.8237084021458005, c_new = 5.742306444893705
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -8420.510352273182
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6853:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.565930926975744, b_new = -0.8059737335988825, c_new = 5.600166553904164
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -8388.437726944214
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6854:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.605637723354068, b_new = -2.050531283654447, c_new = 5.10780473427884
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -10754.013751267388
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6855:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3050515347286016, b_new = -1.7350883031604225, c_new = 5.551822727990629
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -4995.638261479149
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6856:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.784632615489026, b_new = -1.6786789786871492, c_new = 6.341554341878849
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6052.218544308315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6857:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7893439568434455, b_new = -0.34293479843737296, c_new = 5.582582177114539
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3612.4837440906476
Acceptance probability: 2.480771886204272e-261
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6858:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9863980415034048, b_new = -1.7472416220643305, c_new = 5.373363177222092
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -14548.486064964689
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6859:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.770569667078166, b_new = -1.7640175731125367, c_new = 6.078168153189815
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -15146.0514698828
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6860:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2248276055049336, b_new = -0.5310565084494888, c_new = 5.757974170105629
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -11794.198028304883
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6861:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1429708895983683, b_new = -0.7104735121133412, c_new = 5.879437575889069
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -4536.862577387471
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6862:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.790060110783755, b_new = -0.6312537901305545, c_new = 5.692626682426652
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3959.529261443454
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6863:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.306473812405151, b_new = -0.7242320549362711, c_new = 6.2382116515943205
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -7983.294370585874
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6864:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.226617951986766, b_new = -0.978156602445655, c_new = 5.8443622473678065
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -5384.919899473409
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6865:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9644921271331754, b_new = -2.2846376616913826, c_new = 5.442005986414231
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -15079.139836355544
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6866:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9543498665731787, b_new = -1.1983227629657862, c_new = 5.830123126335474
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3140.8583392772316
Acceptance probability: 1.6553798611139298e-56
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6867:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.114231100027649, b_new = -1.1111591774731289, c_new = 6.068718992312833
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -14511.266146464473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6868:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1267800008397915, b_new = -1.77172647775364, c_new = 5.358100805809336
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3078.500685011976
Acceptance probability: 1.9974817460937207e-29
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6869:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5904469987921233, b_new = -0.7533049950856711, c_new = 6.33489723319365
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -7571.527530226753
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6870:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.043505286832216, b_new = -0.8724334844478503, c_new = 5.464032995758004
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3197.5179046873586
Acceptance probability: 4.092239685521654e-81
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6871:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7378764431565807, b_new = -1.1467357504737734, c_new = 5.709350859903544
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -5853.008971339983
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6872:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.468396307362833, b_new = 0.15549880234655133, c_new = 5.612944107829095
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -7831.615166096146
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6873:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9736206528580142, b_new = -1.4618871543132959, c_new = 5.477080166033717
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -13377.856505585843
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6874:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1677816823835974, b_new = -1.1864677029859485, c_new = 5.4601910032110945
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3939.5420376521106
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6875:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7817956481193264, b_new = -1.3475836523658182, c_new = 5.950965219934884
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -5410.012628940709
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6876:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.248319065528845, b_new = -0.9509756120491148, c_new = 6.2824775720822545
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -15170.969234960787
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6877:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1927470243349583, b_new = -1.9191751333327196, c_new = 4.696768818871809
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3266.6073938585187
Acceptance probability: 4.04368352106451e-111
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6878:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8074354235721835, b_new = -2.1938136924574456, c_new = 5.57359694164795
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -7297.214380666142
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6879:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.078166867672511, b_new = -1.2738769261343694, c_new = 6.478617499974312
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3208.2788345857734
Acceptance probability: 8.68057687835474e-86
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6880:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3446327625933137, b_new = -1.0420471311498567, c_new = 5.648192456184127
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -7648.827845608947
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6881:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.07904711491315, b_new = -1.8285714476118886, c_new = 5.952931611574302
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3021.7265545305345
Acceptance probability: 9.060963942593553e-05
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6882:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4234302253701494, b_new = -1.1009065599092236, c_new = 5.9390229352665616
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -10811.909264711227
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6883:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.422731884331801, b_new = -0.8751125288580694, c_new = 5.670055021810867
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -9564.813495412303
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6884:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.267041929379741, b_new = -0.7182022718739138, c_new = 5.815669924320952
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6943.224977886901
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6885:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5827325186674503, b_new = -0.9358252975999354, c_new = 5.875361226448079
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -11446.160238476321
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6886:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9041554989563427, b_new = -1.3198807872048448, c_new = 5.288136131198175
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3698.780533496419
Acceptance probability: 8.248355805569398e-299
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6887:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.116155268324726, b_new = -0.5963712150092556, c_new = 5.5571622376796395
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -14860.214007108525
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6888:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6028432889277635, b_new = -1.0742073378638748, c_new = 5.705699752123074
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -11357.791009243629
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6889:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.461047852868744, b_new = -0.9559809407574886, c_new = 6.222975730622676
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -10150.897083537748
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6890:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6206708902438893, b_new = -1.27772699598032, c_new = 5.145320872104846
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -8746.207031524225
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6891:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2354191911943175, b_new = -2.1140160953070253, c_new = 5.664803540595029
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3500.468536976532
Acceptance probability: 1.101978624563679e-212
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6892:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.986592997385814, b_new = -1.765097081524066, c_new = 5.968036100801494
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3361.625541767226
Acceptance probability: 2.192400239121697e-152
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6893:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.397986329931712, b_new = -0.37605778631999653, c_new = 6.000527031304383
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -10441.748909344225
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6894:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.037928339326816, b_new = -0.5197068707009722, c_new = 6.580266079358648
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3689.4010142451516
Acceptance probability: 9.768791500605591e-295
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6895:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.831351160348999, b_new = -1.0673800731478869, c_new = 4.985037632156475
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -4269.327303724673
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6896:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.465506374660224, b_new = -0.9402560295579901, c_new = 5.669123913065953
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -10109.111596011551
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6897:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6098988953709195, b_new = -0.7151862681381007, c_new = 6.635215710695038
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -12274.898305818266
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6898:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6924299420691566, b_new = -1.9470480300810025, c_new = 6.346602993838024
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -8684.646874993563
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6899:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6789492795248644, b_new = -1.6425138064873332, c_new = 5.675382858491697
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -8400.388831464266
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6900:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3904605135812633, b_new = -1.6598311134450006, c_new = 5.189603029071321
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -12268.226391879027
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6901:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.026431144263672, b_new = -1.1158688546991382, c_new = 4.850806784815759
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3015.874472782988
Acceptance probability: 0.03152834780275683
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6902:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6072902872584964, b_new = -1.0463603737381937, c_new = 5.957755861076138
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -8111.776739136253
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6903:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.788630673956191, b_new = -0.5630150795303683, c_new = 5.41816251452545
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3926.373084447249
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6904:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.060219907973166, b_new = -1.6628606980150962, c_new = 4.682127457446899
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3066.1869262977134
Acceptance probability: 4.4491831144160366e-24
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6905:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.635480299403824, b_new = -0.9300979641424145, c_new = 5.591695472910992
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -11842.062018554327
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6906:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3451233870532118, b_new = -1.9385717669705795, c_new = 6.110503535884571
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -5435.269202436937
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6907:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.864625438011518, b_new = -0.43466419179719495, c_new = 5.764893479711137
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3154.1748168910003
Acceptance probability: 2.726621917180337e-62
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6908:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0892990343190267, b_new = -1.4506830193918703, c_new = 6.507304683741081
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3151.377810791846
Acceptance probability: 4.470429353187693e-61
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6909:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8402932584722125, b_new = -0.8752233231182754, c_new = 6.849096058250322
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -13681.805558012607
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6910:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.603144502831351, b_new = -0.56510094709682, c_new = 6.130755086014487
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6932.5488505682515
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6911:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.488600366677044, b_new = -0.6998162331717255, c_new = 5.849535274818307
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -9274.474676774984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6912:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.913052401915101, b_new = -1.6955043137995005, c_new = 4.70725882145866
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -12572.512340338988
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6913:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.590346653743899, b_new = -1.1223643887407753, c_new = 5.1300410850101
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -8897.258516905893
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6914:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.119846918832476, b_new = -1.2282495351749472, c_new = 6.049336476410289
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3489.495472497759
Acceptance probability: 6.422653951675697e-208
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6915:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8106920872393437, b_new = -0.5310001407813387, c_new = 4.81328194873922
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -13372.068079726614
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6916:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9052752999377311, b_new = -0.6804555321100662, c_new = 6.162888527385949
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -13728.324203367152
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6917:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6856889425203225, b_new = -2.2100219606699816, c_new = 6.662149422405538
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -9354.881361066447
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6918:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7417581100928943, b_new = -1.3878987057751566, c_new = 5.647417830063905
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6420.8801762191915
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6919:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.498778538194504, b_new = -1.2080616444511965, c_new = 6.152270359087521
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -10109.973009974408
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6920:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.294577794734515, b_new = -1.4188122283769817, c_new = 5.1173481961610445
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -12665.564543682105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6921:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4163892932528293, b_new = -1.1322205607734368, c_new = 6.223522336186292
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -9052.582369111029
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6922:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8928350645894945, b_new = -0.2652834903133592, c_new = 6.053748618153677
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3072.232420861519
Acceptance probability: 1.0537931007121189e-26
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6923:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2490219721828413, b_new = -1.600446216104313, c_new = 5.532881043761879
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -13086.456466093248
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6924:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.410869185803413, b_new = -2.07996788845808, c_new = 7.021378897719579
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6728.704177792501
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6925:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.16843065510197, b_new = -1.0259995481876645, c_new = 4.818751153223779
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -4066.2862106971934
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6926:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.145956821097821, b_new = -1.5535935721731833, c_new = 5.51319870821723
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3307.372581601647
Acceptance probability: 7.992470971469675e-129
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6927:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.40126760466361, b_new = -0.8821100286888182, c_new = 5.788395597820866
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -9240.576148182037
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6928:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.036742980724819, b_new = -1.6670878647288996, c_new = 5.083471947345905
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3107.303215527572
Acceptance probability: 6.190172498334069e-42
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6929:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3568886270686815, b_new = -1.4327704567677164, c_new = 5.845902208421406
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -12010.930506213326
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6930:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2823135148028495, b_new = -0.5956273955576359, c_new = 5.70796838358876
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -7599.068827632338
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6931:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.596280872405563, b_new = -1.6221472539124433, c_new = 5.288928022302963
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -10233.020165962302
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6932:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.109299876035903, b_new = -0.9202814036003983, c_new = 5.430007560584184
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3655.7539001245495
Acceptance probability: 4.0049475694953685e-280
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6933:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.300242936835078, b_new = -1.654988544599569, c_new = 5.942751401064253
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -5200.762107680157
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6934:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.734000462069142, b_new = -1.3765829900011604, c_new = 6.576472048056732
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -12263.255965558617
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6935:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8376890531087677, b_new = -1.3648310664517262, c_new = 5.688614994903291
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -4554.466335810677
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6936:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6181054911742025, b_new = -1.1062374141183526, c_new = 6.205093947306807
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -7973.955515186843
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6937:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0379963147696736, b_new = -0.7295178341470989, c_new = 6.6088264886302275
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3442.807599058945
Acceptance probability: 1.213389770844227e-187
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6938:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.664971340494171, b_new = -1.0251282997679207, c_new = 6.322052970594709
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6808.212885309539
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6939:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3549782659399976, b_new = -1.5912285951828595, c_new = 5.622715421499848
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6351.267878917131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6940:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.618233632252716, b_new = -1.5155942714186508, c_new = 5.876872576655446
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -9098.269405261479
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6941:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.538693757155615, b_new = -1.2651174743130476, c_new = 5.5384345716877785
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -9853.056850468885
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6942:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1312336339221654, b_new = -0.17361207243878973, c_new = 5.232768225836506
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -5324.563167777982
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6943:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1077549672627085, b_new = -1.2671569175136523, c_new = 5.726526733211009
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -13458.178694373742
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6944:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1907175276203787, b_new = -2.4460520606502523, c_new = 5.592835552082052
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -14330.419662544868
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6945:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5196491261920557, b_new = -0.07015788268412493, c_new = 5.9283895974484375
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -12293.413172557126
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6946:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5801550461702463, b_new = -0.9802593669922453, c_new = 5.7363241840485975
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -8511.729757422214
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6947:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.119055944605699, b_new = -1.8308262250149476, c_new = 5.6721886358518345
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -14011.31297678853
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6948:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.660420247284459, b_new = -0.731965086092861, c_new = 5.419457103895921
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6455.478781176854
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6949:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.401385410708003, b_new = -0.5145052294591179, c_new = 5.442893280882776
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -9975.378400361576
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6950:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.094497455355686, b_new = -1.0415586184707941, c_new = 5.928863353075267
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3458.100975219863
Acceptance probability: 2.768034208860036e-194
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6951:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9036613338219124, b_new = -1.1602054425920412, c_new = 6.186581428655081
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -13520.257501301376
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6952:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.724835036578601, b_new = -1.4398397024596454, c_new = 6.1005479792839825
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6748.87811117437
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6953:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4959576919981035, b_new = -1.0645161417529034, c_new = 4.714313578161478
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -9882.764857602233
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6954:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.405782788133437, b_new = -0.9081686921386023, c_new = 5.705798975656637
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -9222.384567281666
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6955:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.19937670194486, b_new = -1.7079401516695776, c_new = 4.831854908838971
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -13692.444226426713
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6956:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9441010033439827, b_new = -1.054169233402282, c_new = 6.352650598711797
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -13886.940221084122
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6957:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3037632360536113, b_new = -1.0989214586659033, c_new = 6.304075213514581
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6861.501463743127
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6958:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7459394094640643, b_new = -1.467096323957803, c_new = 5.868275590451133
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6464.867995718793
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6959:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6595291013937294, b_new = -0.6692766372062717, c_new = 5.7319397517280475
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -12456.077985661555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6960:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9054913877767867, b_new = -1.1346180195449362, c_new = 6.111295920686445
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3362.1058497046506
Acceptance probability: 1.3562031661421527e-152
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6961:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.685034141307144, b_new = -1.6579342253385696, c_new = 6.120371313143013
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -8149.4383789007225
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6962:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.831471212128265, b_new = -0.574161086194714, c_new = 6.082971201274972
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3424.659813832777
Acceptance probability: 9.235986977693077e-180
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6963:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0657097483584046, b_new = -1.2998171215919714, c_new = 6.218575619874991
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3109.7854967909843
Acceptance probability: 5.17203787076048e-43
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6964:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.588104349920097, b_new = -1.4509097870855667, c_new = 5.559103036502691
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -10525.371566117756
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6965:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6671740912310065, b_new = -1.275639131020337, c_new = 5.471774630067115
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -7731.514467008682
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6966:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.759615828945508, b_new = -1.6319110264602676, c_new = 6.087040115937541
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6541.312968282822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6967:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7533984679466594, b_new = -1.5405576534007, c_new = 6.166042512901156
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6397.32103327093
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6968:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.387500971011703, b_new = -1.0790535824277212, c_new = 6.061749575901282
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -11113.0976492223
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6969:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2322440997629758, b_new = -0.9319644219673522, c_new = 6.067843800087672
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -5689.727499893952
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6970:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5445949093264932, b_new = -1.1009580354159665, c_new = 5.674854798744245
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -9376.434495900041
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6971:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.718808954691334, b_new = -1.4959721943711677, c_new = 5.571176817484192
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -11688.53933076329
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6972:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4065511386987675, b_new = -1.0945234374319694, c_new = 5.803185896867326
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -8808.970726620077
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6973:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2568692175354377, b_new = -1.4925897231412517, c_new = 5.728887541321746
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -4736.2501944625255
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6974:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3235583946690643, b_new = -1.5784742957144695, c_new = 5.273185309447045
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -12634.061268647813
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6975:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.151158309411585, b_new = -1.7924053935937148, c_new = 5.427302852813863
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3166.2290418208067
Acceptance probability: 1.5868707340204904e-67
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6976:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4430948436444595, b_new = -0.6154627073416005, c_new = 5.917400510111066
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -10511.618921572695
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6977:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3185177962442367, b_new = -0.932768777696815, c_new = 6.330945494913383
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -7677.627762339585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6978:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4597090014598253, b_new = -1.45604153863611, c_new = 6.219384536060203
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -10963.334137861722
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6979:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.306909059965166, b_new = 0.07094968638473143, c_new = 6.047878825282676
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -10020.325170567445
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6980:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1269143490286684, b_new = -1.2552030414749642, c_new = 5.935471542828961
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3503.8286281978017
Acceptance probability: 3.8274021311718944e-214
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6981:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9724697123143446, b_new = -1.758163924181999, c_new = 5.569182674874679
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3529.839760776438
Acceptance probability: 1.933805305472813e-225
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6982:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6255692014882945, b_new = -0.6528690225352121, c_new = 6.653195315067942
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6546.755784297137
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6983:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.707001156745035, b_new = -0.30154108482882613, c_new = 6.105738651083589
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -13387.497707713263
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6984:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6768290489619284, b_new = -1.1497516929315161, c_new = 5.1804252506079225
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -7307.531376512972
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6985:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.609668933972192, b_new = -1.2435907224862832, c_new = 6.401271056755315
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -11359.783842419336
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6986:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.602385735004991, b_new = -2.3326654357886323, c_new = 5.554534167307902
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -11208.929898929457
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6987:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2417988115557645, b_new = -1.1597612212606137, c_new = 5.19316909304627
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -5036.653766320967
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6988:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6589354885484338, b_new = -0.2907528296040669, c_new = 6.444913146775811
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -5147.772971244598
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6989:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.341649281491175, b_new = -1.351549454173085, c_new = 4.780373256770043
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6409.052592676289
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6990:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2255550137252085, b_new = -1.6037271646099662, c_new = 6.080909186342334
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -4146.548367882924
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6991:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7132898029582346, b_new = -1.8450777404064742, c_new = 5.450421622307634
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -8361.5248186557
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6992:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.836332142120798, b_new = -1.2510103858006867, c_new = 6.021404273494872
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -4281.81086454284
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6993:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4311045505573468, b_new = -0.6366542336029517, c_new = 5.532897533032647
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -9995.725857583522
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6994:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6200366589187234, b_new = -1.999989373041175, c_new = 5.272040241111725
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -10392.903752089389
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6995:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5804445023737226, b_new = -0.8715866088607089, c_new = 5.8102092297629415
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -11509.69968560933
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6996:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.3667657111852678, b_new = -1.5743613374834038, c_new = 5.4653117398676665
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -16165.68339716499
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6997:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.279836632320065, b_new = -1.5948944364755024, c_new = 5.290474820052158
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -4789.399705516729
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6998:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.035343782063187, b_new = -0.6121820544551148, c_new = 5.666423045912295
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3392.8729666215086
Acceptance probability: 5.892989304430065e-166
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6999:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9091980499044023, b_new = -1.4467825603331885, c_new = 6.007499361414673
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3686.603574549641
Acceptance probability: 1.6023355329538276e-293
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7000:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.340090951515912, b_new = -0.8271514579708947, c_new = 5.42315319801049
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -8066.740982841451
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7001:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9714557125906995, b_new = -0.8722695674972634, c_new = 6.028169905394263
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3027.0614675769402
Acceptance probability: 4.3676829426017863e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7002:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.536299511057564, b_new = -0.7113709957855965, c_new = 6.218494342669807
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -11482.458641669558
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7003:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7140069100737847, b_new = -1.852012075004726, c_new = 5.332029613589883
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -8415.158016089561
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7004:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2076033571799747, b_new = -0.9306396419377778, c_new = 6.488482196052912
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -5358.414312598816
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7005:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.527075391408062, b_new = -1.6329614540190838, c_new = 5.342726903643174
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -10809.039492824548
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7006:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5259801397490995, b_new = -1.811659060556138, c_new = 6.135910277441507
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -9219.300052595958
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7007:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.698864272182618, b_new = -1.1482787915862416, c_new = 5.563447800502229
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6705.132153180584
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7008:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4254438807547785, b_new = -0.6789006952201516, c_new = 5.762579808030578
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -10073.317971289614
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7009:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2661072848822523, b_new = -1.7427315442519051, c_new = 5.846683659345694
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -13073.429223397876
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7010:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1905334446835156, b_new = -1.8659127981566643, c_new = 5.123792730958482
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3322.145923382426
Acceptance probability: 3.066904501324149e-135
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7011:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0288915199382336, b_new = -1.3026425788711045, c_new = 5.425313879282378
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Acceptance probability: 2.48759008950502
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7012:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1684202551083573, b_new = -2.017500023266221, c_new = 5.6771630973683385
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3143.145324243491
Acceptance probability: 6.759178231459065e-58
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7013:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1658041862353232, b_new = -0.5291279842177765, c_new = 4.746095932346409
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4964.949645353263
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7014:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8051710133047556, b_new = -0.92879137842123, c_new = 5.906193074110844
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13148.007755884688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7015:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3853931836791618, b_new = -1.3149544488388094, c_new = 5.860516172029755
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7832.06180354647
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7016:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.866740890373633, b_new = -0.7831779143881372, c_new = 5.083667532545939
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3453.7001483857325
Acceptance probability: 9.07083871536705e-193
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7017:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8796337698825085, b_new = -0.28879940729657894, c_new = 5.442799682360981
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3070.2430216483963
Acceptance probability: 3.0971456787677907e-26
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7018:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4275015487751763, b_new = -1.7431861329851162, c_new = 5.233533761296584
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7313.0845814427885
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7019:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.292651761591609, b_new = -1.0749844156028685, c_new = 5.073934900371717
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6214.633187822735
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7020:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7571986295278539, b_new = -1.4379912974745699, c_new = 4.303496871081673
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -15313.300048989993
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7021:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.274659529288153, b_new = -1.8236879251954194, c_new = 5.457354093010107
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4315.835399853978
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7022:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.628419438467445, b_new = -1.4125490388269175, c_new = 6.074051752511763
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8597.63248826546
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7023:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7078810871297936, b_new = -0.796783311742064, c_new = 3.7731845072217367
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6242.321665519258
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7024:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0691775327720316, b_new = -1.2373663694007453, c_new = 4.717736199806914
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13866.296758613222
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7025:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.448832306695355, b_new = -1.0933824506879175, c_new = 5.915564806833274
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10519.803896856904
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7026:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1600592135684624, b_new = -2.092668936880045, c_new = 6.287921216452721
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3106.5530009337754
Acceptance probability: 5.2691188165281366e-42
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7027:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1650803369197265, b_new = -1.3538075297609615, c_new = 5.815570242802427
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3736.7721490604204
Acceptance probability: 1.04963806e-315
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7028:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.354551029112115, b_new = -1.6631404871275226, c_new = 5.846820831645324
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6231.972957011289
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7029:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8246094591643307, b_new = -1.9334058629194701, c_new = 5.650178651400705
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6150.802367901837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7030:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2737228235231774, b_new = -1.4203500632535575, c_new = 4.10053142879658
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4738.797701563199
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7031:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3309739956785673, b_new = -0.4145788755911327, c_new = 5.662570842709406
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9120.546270132772
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7032:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.400878287266081, b_new = -1.9624466310644966, c_new = 5.854237890012573
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6414.702166124298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7033:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3855461062686625, b_new = -1.6549380057665128, c_new = 5.45656459824118
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6762.384617791618
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7034:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.617383967515774, b_new = -1.6465840826399674, c_new = 5.2919862695998265
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10422.392678386988
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7035:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3268619773510393, b_new = -0.17587028170117947, c_new = 5.513819259588692
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10370.371013502598
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7036:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.409432717162518, b_new = -2.083796681743035, c_new = 5.176365777203713
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6059.713551923148
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7037:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.623355193349113, b_new = -1.3174138993926445, c_new = 5.053845499138612
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10964.641836398996
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7038:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1058743300413796, b_new = -1.780843741566136, c_new = 5.811328152163748
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3037.9995073548016
Acceptance probability: 3.1199092979689232e-12
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7039:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7452915801496967, b_new = -1.0621190676070187, c_new = 5.363223682553057
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12433.648007554479
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7040:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.932264112431444, b_new = -1.3240609667463679, c_new = 4.360758418501687
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3590.241243548045
Acceptance probability: 4.556205070072872e-252
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7041:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.446025513754898, b_new = -1.5026600046759486, c_new = 5.261126692823709
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8302.425299032075
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7042:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1201101990628093, b_new = -1.7098682679986645, c_new = 5.187626569346904
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3073.769126160919
Acceptance probability: 9.111584373596064e-28
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7043:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2125175793940106, b_new = -0.6541763355287611, c_new = 5.1277224512284985
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5671.0813316531585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7044:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.502829014427416, b_new = -0.840887989196903, c_new = 4.471841586632268
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9823.351075079312
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7045:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.463183927563188, b_new = -1.1749658791446738, c_new = 4.733772891589426
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10887.919520678519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7046:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5306174563509227, b_new = -2.5936805856038836, c_new = 5.144686903154503
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7174.568186228635
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7047:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8469922385381614, b_new = -1.4184625517851273, c_new = 6.030142085109974
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12831.622242818183
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7048:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9289372007250054, b_new = -1.147766095455149, c_new = 4.475738205533629
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3402.7273499896883
Acceptance probability: 1.2440920520542988e-170
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7049:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.104406977854676, b_new = -2.186391911354189, c_new = 5.341893973878228
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3111.347786398806
Acceptance probability: 4.359022617967521e-44
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7050:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.101974899536858, b_new = -1.7009730182783698, c_new = 5.408538335143598
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3039.4488428994164
Acceptance probability: 7.323244581558707e-13
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7051:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6691272263976744, b_new = -1.0484719709430106, c_new = 6.322139702604708
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6784.501008982238
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7052:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.711391494548589, b_new = -1.8155469139242029, c_new = 5.24593814175133
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8402.535532245687
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7053:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3901475771212572, b_new = -0.7241525376783211, c_new = 4.8017922435950275
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10855.871815039487
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7054:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.326735987980189, b_new = -0.7149143945680722, c_new = 5.169505025291007
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -15342.838273182871
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7055:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9379989432092692, b_new = -1.7298397661223446, c_new = 5.71514997946437
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3816.7068900229015
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7056:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1747565171320073, b_new = -0.36070795693935476, c_new = 4.636441273290168
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5492.93340678435
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7057:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3837592066057605, b_new = -1.0155442235127807, c_new = 5.590222716566007
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8501.83527228363
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7058:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6173043224009724, b_new = -1.707576224694883, c_new = 5.136464919663331
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9835.150433182209
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7059:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.011158315111797, b_new = -1.5787166137521675, c_new = 4.321634471297294
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3250.11259027328
Acceptance probability: 2.3691934178692728e-104
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7060:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.949254366532802, b_new = -1.603808762927708, c_new = 5.49050832028748
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3573.7918836224962
Acceptance probability: 6.345553492060333e-245
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7061:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.616817359839792, b_new = -1.633281379370973, c_new = 5.250904141250534
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10427.131314221286
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7062:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6337739050109716, b_new = -1.10530768014044, c_new = 6.118915693453341
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7704.884927503452
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7063:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.962833140127905, b_new = -1.863608843723545, c_new = 5.0192998941109925
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3877.0851666985645
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7064:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.933673067675363, b_new = -0.3795778599999967, c_new = 5.489527570361543
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3056.8546890949137
Acceptance probability: 2.0204149964008805e-20
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7065:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6796926032972395, b_new = -0.7815189396857104, c_new = 5.402955628326789
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6199.289117623248
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7066:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.339699940102669, b_new = -1.1589933809427055, c_new = 5.3795978885733
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7109.406826592075
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7067:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7291466780650255, b_new = -1.0887474192111186, c_new = 5.672209577862067
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5893.874223517341
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7068:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4949312472441427, b_new = -1.0504040832770503, c_new = 6.166365395822348
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9794.390794879027
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7069:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9695050870588877, b_new = -0.5536932888415868, c_new = 5.8217956933552095
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13381.773531849027
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7070:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.414595519959204, b_new = -1.2392935842098418, c_new = 4.850213259371882
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8230.527551720945
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7071:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8886182805408236, b_new = -1.0823751153008652, c_new = 5.532504767988358
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3521.332227746413
Acceptance probability: 3.8495377161890206e-222
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7072:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6745899690998103, b_new = -0.9767580089836674, c_new = 5.309735039956699
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12011.78522641162
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7073:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7664614102890637, b_new = -0.8532064126538585, c_new = 5.483475264772284
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4728.980865132204
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7074:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5216787540425045, b_new = -0.9769047224767492, c_new = 5.30099387810847
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10556.187268255615
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7075:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8566932506147018, b_new = -1.0093033584842894, c_new = 5.055777613275085
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14453.701463758734
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7076:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4933134614918613, b_new = -1.711166165434682, c_new = 6.5329632258865455
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9075.141326429646
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7077:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.304429638674029, b_new = -0.5468710704944896, c_new = 5.329945377453958
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8067.566517974525
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7078:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8399169686382884, b_new = -1.0517002678120417, c_new = 5.287214725997266
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4058.4846329105644
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7079:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.085781622854801, b_new = -0.9390308439553932, c_new = 5.252403216340081
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14365.915180525275
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7080:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1657738578961707, b_new = -1.0212895254638064, c_new = 5.132830247509895
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12992.412631755002
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7081:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8548339121426056, b_new = -2.1738313435186942, c_new = 4.99813818865496
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6429.440657394366
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7082:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4934518068407776, b_new = -1.7141698253489677, c_new = 5.6371100126357145
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8756.042284579124
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7083:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.599150478497037, b_new = -1.3163857733017232, c_new = 4.857140455093672
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9316.303858390811
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7084:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6652320934167872, b_new = -1.5608230234489724, c_new = 4.619865929490965
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8868.446360952661
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7085:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.145999636973074, b_new = -2.0123751804650363, c_new = 5.530734331764528
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3067.5261407503604
Acceptance probability: 4.686925124171479e-25
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7086:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.070229960402384, b_new = -1.218028678050223, c_new = 5.66760145372685
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14130.332689107567
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7087:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7686351249498435, b_new = -1.0649234472619882, c_new = 5.577284209203537
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5114.649670202908
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7088:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5228873293154708, b_new = -1.4936057161933607, c_new = 5.645767990356246
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10483.919473920723
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7089:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4982462473315348, b_new = -1.52446410745435, c_new = 4.860234820859089
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11103.064064622087
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7090:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.479208365786839, b_new = -1.0387875275740721, c_new = 4.189721067294999
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10622.135591216022
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7091:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6321775162367542, b_new = -1.6305097916173532, c_new = 5.566593157207051
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10684.330418945548
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7092:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7369468098001204, b_new = -1.4664176834482054, c_new = 5.859448861750472
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11955.903323361295
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7093:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4520227662442693, b_new = -0.5952156548402476, c_new = 6.577222877296336
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9339.915137661888
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7094:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.781301302281518, b_new = -1.0353738509701038, c_new = 5.203791348493011
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4935.818287927584
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7095:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8821667305035443, b_new = -1.8274856579714827, c_new = 6.1791627878635165
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14813.737555980864
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7096:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6692727068039805, b_new = -1.493093273979649, c_new = 5.123278371177085
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11138.934045521633
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7097:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.997711650631883, b_new = -1.3478312924429288, c_new = 4.940926858894002
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3102.9833924447084
Acceptance probability: 1.870678958089524e-40
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7098:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3893694735274815, b_new = -0.8954247471314023, c_new = 5.156289456329151
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8753.151516392283
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7099:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7313537784054116, b_new = -1.6057961221000314, c_new = 6.268516478774869
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11827.18633872942
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7100:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8797103663112624, b_new = -1.0530942742248979, c_new = 5.751699587564355
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3538.4604823448026
Acceptance probability: 1.4018518603510234e-229
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7101:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0697446986405024, b_new = -1.9249618465296927, c_new = 5.149521376184251
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3114.245649485083
Acceptance probability: 2.403605420795775e-45
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7102:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5210856598091413, b_new = -2.026421748262263, c_new = 4.2013410379679765
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12008.361747090705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7103:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.428069759624016, b_new = -1.5510271049424178, c_new = 5.799643473436686
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8035.436687236272
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7104:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.323770118626149, b_new = -1.5852784648934528, c_new = 5.210439709783537
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5587.429000945711
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7105:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.208223845129512, b_new = -1.2710047183676079, c_new = 6.366190082596323
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4575.308031289738
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7106:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.164115302160735, b_new = -1.6819392789224836, c_new = 4.618334787117377
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13902.621110406548
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7107:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.133927304233186, b_new = -1.0628596413320675, c_new = 5.9265020774319135
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3820.044511614176
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7108:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.571145920545039, b_new = -0.9240753656181183, c_new = 5.252330009548689
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11160.268267981633
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7109:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8169262163048527, b_new = -2.009788487520275, c_new = 5.056485903312671
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11608.299613926129
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7110:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6221357026114296, b_new = -1.0838297387908844, c_new = 6.358959580714583
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7788.242583778752
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7111:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2891117683694486, b_new = -0.9189253266611193, c_new = 5.5689243868051825
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6757.140116272109
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7112:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7408798665359333, b_new = -1.4922919973319628, c_new = 5.804214822546568
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11934.541387086896
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7113:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.378327926721332, b_new = -1.041656400286044, c_new = 4.993518483072435
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -15217.245958804571
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7114:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.689685038383792, b_new = -0.8054640557391066, c_new = 4.999548492235545
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12281.64101622614
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7115:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2701787119884145, b_new = -1.7338958433316871, c_new = 6.136423955334909
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12959.728670519857
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7116:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9483726482105217, b_new = -0.9379943798805939, c_new = 5.234022998603906
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3076.3932490065854
Acceptance probability: 6.60620169999073e-29
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7117:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.341552414371053, b_new = -0.8703869281970362, c_new = 5.5912665879632275
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8044.484201704314
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7118:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3203463186857975, b_new = -1.3817106679798434, c_new = 5.532510698488079
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6146.246867288472
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7119:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8820172984182357, b_new = -1.2900445782168175, c_new = 5.226086529130591
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3917.8200641099374
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7120:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2312421787025625, b_new = -1.2101683914731851, c_new = 4.515051549942065
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12983.056379331134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7121:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.572220587546592, b_new = -1.2166737548837376, c_new = 4.989435795518807
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10590.635302324523
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7122:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.144944420389832, b_new = -0.0946408506785461, c_new = 5.326434362267543
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -15313.70253682787
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7123:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.255737508600206, b_new = -1.3139627479165135, c_new = 6.265648856961114
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5270.0085441054
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7124:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.274690812951725, b_new = -1.3662469110530644, c_new = 5.15270831545209
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5153.043284040741
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7125:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9115461358631687, b_new = -1.5027360676494752, c_new = 5.623704927101687
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13019.377977629689
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7126:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.084620354121268, b_new = -1.019699604835349, c_new = 4.040396460222933
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13728.950857780132
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7127:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.692291626236919, b_new = -1.492816899127218, c_new = 6.222006676500131
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11657.238609280119
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7128:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.522102708970168, b_new = -1.7728737780265817, c_new = 6.130488028093054
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10872.497667752312
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7129:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2461722255643335, b_new = -1.8350411709336727, c_new = 6.129476821734828
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4052.410200540914
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7130:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.307626460928431, b_new = -1.8967247962000147, c_new = 5.860801700953454
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4785.076882346857
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7131:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8516093528151343, b_new = -1.2085456789161546, c_new = 5.740730062097011
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14495.41209700653
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7132:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7120161583977103, b_new = -0.8590843243672244, c_new = 5.564476531066305
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5699.503643547299
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7133:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.353096373235425, b_new = -1.275253271150855, c_new = 5.477071125381857
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11912.377635093633
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7134:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9705736821851065, b_new = -1.8005452958932868, c_new = 4.9518522533081395
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3715.1933914674214
Acceptance probability: 2.4693060453478366e-306
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7135:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2787263877574557, b_new = -2.12272744396313, c_new = 5.377077259124787
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3887.30792901761
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7136:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1663315074713703, b_new = -1.584216596741547, c_new = 5.311307935101588
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3407.8667094529046
Acceptance probability: 7.292174626217724e-173
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7137:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.767338130173498, b_new = -0.5450607441436811, c_new = 5.691973030211586
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4116.195620502314
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7138:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7270151310541872, b_new = -1.0782912131564755, c_new = 5.7272416821080965
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5891.841296190993
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7139:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9548804375361577, b_new = -0.8714970088427518, c_new = 5.22068760763911
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3039.442626443653
Acceptance probability: 7.368911002124536e-13
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7140:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1431049427252646, b_new = -0.881339032259127, c_new = 5.3596472051802095
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4092.4043936230764
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7141:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1270531386776477, b_new = -1.2928957778174817, c_new = 5.144175478584942
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3358.727192216084
Acceptance probability: 1.599109633234103e-151
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7142:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7096468879902362, b_new = -0.8070530944446707, c_new = 5.944204112312326
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5504.2045614127765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7143:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.819328463769966, b_new = -2.015217058790512, c_new = 5.192465719927379
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11653.509658598714
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7144:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.52515261673808, b_new = -1.4561325262951839, c_new = 5.022080295682884
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -15329.399312750767
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7145:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.729299295767402, b_new = -1.3148422744441, c_new = 5.128952753143601
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11909.245061540612
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7146:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0105877516291346, b_new = -2.020678564138274, c_new = 4.973857037630598
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3603.090818826202
Acceptance probability: 1.1970261137974875e-257
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7147:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.041628034002664, b_new = -1.8451601104572453, c_new = 5.703993542426446
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3131.69676125724
Acceptance probability: 6.337845223391548e-53
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7148:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.010352764310297, b_new = -1.4987331487222326, c_new = 5.065353853799457
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3122.185196462633
Acceptance probability: 8.565677787319403e-49
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7149:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.27904467992452, b_new = -1.315402453722931, c_new = 5.714436521290407
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5532.22802055371
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7150:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3423810126591067, b_new = -1.3534509568709898, c_new = 5.079983472031749
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6525.206162890544
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7151:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0256598702191275, b_new = -1.0329639967984265, c_new = 5.830262931379817
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3066.806322829225
Acceptance probability: 9.627221557735387e-25
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7152:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9792477965644726, b_new = -2.152387121724597, c_new = 5.24167300174372
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4087.3506310737134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7153:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4408814685880773, b_new = -1.787768764524984, c_new = 5.323656554982805
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7498.186083194346
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7154:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6171850939086947, b_new = -1.0339522329963975, c_new = 5.235938587259893
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11414.729696206436
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7155:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8220846514613847, b_new = -0.555606015993204, c_new = 5.8825023101584994
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3504.969920198917
Acceptance probability: 4.914376868186722e-215
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7156:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.796959259625803, b_new = -1.4590288885777412, c_new = 5.172442302628433
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12222.303622600573
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7157:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.3992039706362505, b_new = -1.519711682456933, c_new = 5.863265314795927
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -15103.207904220633
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7158:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.928637489225303, b_new = -1.055024949501717, c_new = 5.223002233676288
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3233.2143375973774
Acceptance probability: 5.169141353092529e-97
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7159:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1775070522061566, b_new = -1.1353862593562016, c_new = 5.922319937390066
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12856.860104057736
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7160:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9802436935208387, b_new = -0.4038560533059459, c_new = 5.019117911451395
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3150.3017736502243
Acceptance probability: 5.270931971055027e-61
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7161:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3692696412950793, b_new = -1.6334309024808578, c_new = 4.9328961687724275
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6300.245409511007
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7162:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.741382585383084, b_new = -1.766335932007541, c_new = 5.979902263065459
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7342.4235786820955
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7163:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4407024274228037, b_new = -2.2557426426907394, c_new = 5.469148194865613
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12669.496640311558
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7164:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6788963566753177, b_new = -1.208984895373612, c_new = 4.9543818757633815
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7512.59152568536
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7165:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7418036329751727, b_new = -1.002203448065208, c_new = 5.636966068488425
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5447.445754953029
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7166:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5908496207105287, b_new = -1.4077414377843027, c_new = 4.674224020713836
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10367.969771431082
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7167:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.801557354066256, b_new = -1.0774438437877065, c_new = 5.4836707177921555
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4611.544529315882
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7168:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3783714828332183, b_new = -1.1101974078001173, c_new = 5.084705761532604
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11544.176650987172
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7169:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.85748065214631, b_new = -2.1862442106145994, c_new = 5.184995753688677
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6330.871963873953
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7170:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.858552232233644, b_new = -0.5410474040969125, c_new = 5.371692223556119
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3271.2336279454717
Acceptance probability: 1.5916603743416712e-113
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7171:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.240980580926969, b_new = -1.9924085745835822, c_new = 5.435051098890412
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3655.400983872042
Acceptance probability: 2.291329771777314e-280
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7172:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0546644573095185, b_new = -0.6714778065605305, c_new = 4.769599011424102
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3353.647999313607
Acceptance probability: 2.568879243103518e-149
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7173:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.328001843208374, b_new = -1.7570614365840675, c_new = 4.938979147697162
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5185.899985701484
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7174:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.51790442628423, b_new = -2.480585211244971, c_new = 4.912822472497572
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7133.368280497698
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7175:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8023228701851535, b_new = -1.1214838864438819, c_new = 4.661396599093706
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4918.9975483712615
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7176:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7226178036765654, b_new = -0.5852093590719204, c_new = 5.273083831786031
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4966.160326704963
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7177:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8921807240784254, b_new = -0.41416505798961356, c_new = 5.345461006692268
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3068.62137916558
Acceptance probability: 1.5675883073713818e-25
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7178:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.849286236836133, b_new = -1.045492304066262, c_new = 5.242412004531707
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3940.221978565241
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7179:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0586412210019036, b_new = -1.140178966528485, c_new = 4.586936482079712
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3062.294535680979
Acceptance probability: 8.768902245440637e-23
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7180:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2691228913344865, b_new = -2.3453314289431746, c_new = 5.409791855322645
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3532.0642439148346
Acceptance probability: 8.405299198625116e-227
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7181:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.911307368659529, b_new = -0.9876267141986563, c_new = 5.423981698957733
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3269.489532040784
Acceptance probability: 9.10545456455546e-113
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7182:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.251132412152375, b_new = -0.8780782670087737, c_new = 6.891518286790462
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6568.662310198447
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7183:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9676677453181504, b_new = -1.8754752235319616, c_new = 5.5573840544308215
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3728.3556909882946
Acceptance probability: 4.745269347574e-312
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7184:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.268467039709209, b_new = -1.1818014777746713, c_new = 5.550287640477604
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5600.196056152844
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7185:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.829049186615138, b_new = -1.589122197971632, c_new = 5.762908843254676
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12427.79075867439
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7186:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.347114149072347, b_new = -0.6771397468595969, c_new = 5.327440846982137
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8586.803011958564
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7187:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.465811899753184, b_new = -0.6858236447392497, c_new = 5.141441379065758
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10389.916450808038
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7188:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.766463568993849, b_new = -1.916422930271507, c_new = 4.734290329566923
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7746.759329112601
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7189:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.542382103916858, b_new = -1.7886022397576165, c_new = 5.157423855136602
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9189.311729484842
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7190:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.471192252110111, b_new = -1.0715489970403143, c_new = 5.094859693781743
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10477.419687475645
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7191:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3051679268294363, b_new = -1.8625856440912822, c_new = 4.921050268577914
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13233.541796260743
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7192:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.031546928122617, b_new = -0.684124938920775, c_new = 6.059514202453307
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3353.1697256923762
Acceptance probability: 4.144339108639726e-149
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7193:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5962407121950712, b_new = -0.8742340730867537, c_new = 5.367707737830556
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8096.757958201649
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7194:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8581133134709784, b_new = -1.918721210468306, c_new = 5.889016577458845
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12236.031708875933
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7195:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5995637622620107, b_new = -1.7224670247777063, c_new = 5.980797295542701
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9821.844857273469
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7196:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.75531644302412, b_new = -0.6073670215897614, c_new = 6.601770799487826
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4204.513096822409
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7197:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4708487097524667, b_new = -1.5052995761195798, c_new = 6.621581136034103
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10804.605902675552
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7198:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6373230098722313, b_new = -0.7946357467424157, c_new = 5.917022128705218
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6909.239473543969
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7199:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9117869646472747, b_new = -1.7803019873220456, c_new = 5.1321487728239905
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4378.242603593897
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7200:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1765203336717827, b_new = -1.915743820621909, c_new = 4.97206385881028
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3196.6086907380495
Acceptance probability: 4.0836531331414114e-81
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7201:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.436158989686481, b_new = -1.1636066135415095, c_new = 5.099375596729819
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8898.855721160233
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7202:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.68430009078371, b_new = -1.207590918875486, c_new = 5.481876636280596
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7195.866833230101
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7203:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.442328396432057, b_new = -0.7295494451933796, c_new = 4.448022905976338
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9749.230426549273
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7204:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.939734042114747, b_new = -2.203061448570749, c_new = 6.4207909301275405
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4426.665631736731
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7205:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1361211921390133, b_new = -1.0611945365691176, c_new = 5.674213114104223
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3796.7354671537355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7206:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6286012347568675, b_new = -1.2236240629713395, c_new = 5.7222573271635895
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8248.709101011633
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7207:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3426217868681634, b_new = -0.7373559294880281, c_new = 5.590016469487589
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8438.107430115053
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7208:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.590698999405638, b_new = -1.1850991619411777, c_new = 4.833146144224862
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9151.68492579629
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7209:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7363979598280939, b_new = -1.485099807050108, c_new = 5.9477314046965475
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -15062.370171751418
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7210:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6120768335860225, b_new = -1.7448025729187457, c_new = 5.006600542559292
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10044.260464324652
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7211:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1303355200208367, b_new = -0.9683218754635368, c_new = 5.919380760506263
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3917.569753715034
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7212:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.240737312210969, b_new = -0.39767939708461475, c_new = 4.718114215613413
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6836.768434296172
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7213:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9039756436596402, b_new = -2.1324801593983462, c_new = 5.269108246940644
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5220.668654798969
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7214:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8532589630371508, b_new = -1.604992815727384, c_new = 5.549152310607992
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12512.348194826363
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7215:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.719317008509104, b_new = -1.4181730719843018, c_new = 5.807549878036788
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11871.499768959473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7216:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2548030738046925, b_new = -1.017104900289946, c_new = 4.931699341878605
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5532.921214912094
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7217:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.029150165200768, b_new = -1.7934213007884703, c_new = 5.235593963651039
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13252.292792288263
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7218:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6242582232867067, b_new = -1.7792082424699687, c_new = 5.226482544267463
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10250.110085126516
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7219:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5839517352049155, b_new = -1.5594889122284532, c_new = 5.518549618093711
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9854.736151702908
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7220:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.10117895918841, b_new = -1.2695864982221765, c_new = 5.32870091279382
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3225.222987663438
Acceptance probability: 1.5276279213418832e-93
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7221:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2709233577510917, b_new = -1.257616341504588, c_new = 5.960864004637519
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5598.743634463808
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7222:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.517569307582279, b_new = -1.4917503952583429, c_new = 5.282922132754414
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10668.300530040204
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7223:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7278935494506324, b_new = -1.2386917761915548, c_new = 5.39065590941386
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6405.444061210137
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7224:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.273797381791355, b_new = -1.5535978316834338, c_new = 6.07104944362152
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4991.4217512151245
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7225:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3893197191497446, b_new = -1.7341416748000666, c_new = 5.089319172149137
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12417.787628774702
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7226:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9801779857117547, b_new = -1.439032404238291, c_new = 5.583355539340571
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3180.8916719549143
Acceptance probability: 2.734408373768255e-74
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7227:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.625688031479353, b_new = -1.1873747777247927, c_new = 5.05824612173178
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8459.4569614114
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7228:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.427448122571493, b_new = -0.9958190754603846, c_new = 6.208549247004438
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9560.287009594798
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7229:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1131306219022985, b_new = -1.7029822946885105, c_new = 5.6918841840925385
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3072.094592057493
Acceptance probability: 4.862222424863231e-27
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7230:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8660357540921506, b_new = -1.1825029093511341, c_new = 5.251392769106863
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3942.6040660627655
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7231:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.285351161032688, b_new = -1.9522524886173431, c_new = 5.064141024910931
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4168.079217427003
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7232:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6571418988726467, b_new = -1.383991827199991, c_new = 5.737019711537607
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11374.268636892317
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7233:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.289115206758088, b_new = -1.812783081771876, c_new = 4.826542210190132
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4407.863134330506
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7234:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6432442865628816, b_new = -1.1096481204134416, c_new = 5.756454569397999
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11682.710973545147
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7235:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.208433065365537, b_new = -1.6187155533482203, c_new = 5.862772033909491
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3863.0359695918596
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7236:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.350114716961484, b_new = -0.9171522718093761, c_new = 5.126240076146925
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11483.500883853427
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7237:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8133691864360246, b_new = -1.8926188428514967, c_new = 5.570613156234694
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6307.927077385661
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7238:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.79240036038589, b_new = -0.2099674401988374, c_new = 5.266088704898884
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3484.0960899942033
Acceptance probability: 5.712914602347582e-206
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7239:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.98430585622152, b_new = -2.2263772658664345, c_new = 5.197936947546702
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -15016.717204224045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7240:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.896785985666214, b_new = -1.0645018680472358, c_new = 5.625186932428733
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3420.2083814599428
Acceptance probability: 3.1837357202571503e-178
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7241:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.997862017901103, b_new = -0.7506578159757394, c_new = 4.549624302566359
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14007.913200481922
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7242:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.588931432951666, b_new = -1.9092875151711088, c_new = 5.0825696035858705
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9556.30404425584
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7243:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.586386242189806, b_new = -1.471107313163626, c_new = 5.279141652842995
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10386.698719423352
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7244:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.214916308785674, b_new = -1.7867688558893702, c_new = 4.69764481687163
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3542.7005201214624
Acceptance probability: 2.019654645596855e-231
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7245:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8452079181360064, b_new = -0.7355141623330567, c_new = 6.374570564815773
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13982.583996266972
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7246:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.223327366489457, b_new = -1.193383136147381, c_new = 4.904077911008053
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4577.365179503107
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7247:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6133422596073057, b_new = -1.3597061421676502, c_new = 5.397056518648645
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10896.136973507462
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7248:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.289547292640445, b_new = -1.3914872258871616, c_new = 4.892032284951949
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5291.833774142125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7249:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7505587429106777, b_new = -1.6898348486324537, c_new = 5.656016448752854
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7059.43226853208
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7250:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.37316917029759, b_new = -0.9164798518498978, c_new = 5.294793325792275
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11211.802083103477
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7251:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5164783373158808, b_new = -1.0813409496968234, c_new = 5.394798321029889
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9822.361011979505
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7252:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8843201477350706, b_new = -1.747576639624645, c_new = 6.188210312286767
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4448.769692406628
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7253:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8733696013521826, b_new = -2.3827207247852593, c_new = 5.269197050685935
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11589.767677937321
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7254:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.116904643254702, b_new = -1.5603926015086405, c_new = 6.159864549200688
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14116.739973604033
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7255:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.093727465124676, b_new = -2.145045798595628, c_new = 5.728971633400503
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14412.829121100242
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7256:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.425428136137419, b_new = -1.2980407349072773, c_new = 5.07706604152408
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8367.966524628455
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7257:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.019930171628225, b_new = -2.1100557548632892, c_new = 5.782755180815616
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12983.51917134268
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7258:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3766968576011207, b_new = -1.7611992808791648, c_new = 7.014222046263706
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6868.455675850855
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7259:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.867484225376978, b_new = -1.6454569641170307, c_new = 6.340585961139139
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4470.612387761363
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7260:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.903722236192086, b_new = -0.7268154819840487, c_new = 5.516031683946603
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3136.931182010915
Acceptance probability: 3.378015047266499e-55
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7261:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5869012620670153, b_new = -1.3551933707936608, c_new = 5.498363824701615
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10660.64909453701
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7262:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5964066215127577, b_new = -0.9336784536381808, c_new = 5.401736429506183
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8229.201540274236
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7263:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0971592106978947, b_new = -0.30359856344710057, c_new = 5.184256473296233
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12533.5227293071
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7264:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.260373061109786, b_new = -1.8609335697545575, c_new = 4.849562930993966
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13525.992548833005
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7265:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.44087840991474, b_new = -1.9228868224661566, c_new = 5.528970876335597
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7219.831378588968
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7266:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3791033218821003, b_new = -1.8099834149090748, c_new = 5.237243675229694
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12561.98659099402
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7267:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.497838255115748, b_new = -1.7872194783631505, c_new = 5.233288633833199
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8523.123221004758
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7268:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4661701762276853, b_new = -2.0971863465815708, c_new = 4.921840806902376
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12394.498918637697
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7269:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5842854190238214, b_new = -0.5325304885149414, c_new = 5.01497977070526
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11841.4715984127
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7270:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6949876417909553, b_new = -0.9085792879643722, c_new = 5.210897495583783
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6280.909787050588
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7271:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5230836271004327, b_new = -1.455185786911183, c_new = 5.653417674858539
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9763.27325084771
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7272:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.395769320567868, b_new = -0.9983861724968239, c_new = 4.768230881216273
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11286.122872681715
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7273:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8276352419929416, b_new = -0.9386168297483124, c_new = 4.943127724588792
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13016.62295830516
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7274:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.806164789324828, b_new = -1.6961273860970572, c_new = 6.00195977125532
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5777.354803941221
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7275:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1800239959524936, b_new = -1.5494723374390638, c_new = 5.064963056922556
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3528.2356577898017
Acceptance probability: 3.866223933635014e-225
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7276:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2720481029627746, b_new = -1.4475140017880095, c_new = 4.886158505400704
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4855.749046383168
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7277:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4829778209839755, b_new = -2.2492410263820224, c_new = 6.119832568478626
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12111.48848346493
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7278:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.210519526201263, b_new = -1.2948962469966818, c_new = 6.018747291436853
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4470.214624816149
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7279:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.947318903367884, b_new = -1.6035652880192877, c_new = 5.344220825265771
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3617.4061554520013
Acceptance probability: 7.2615932997581165e-264
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7280:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.706328250716341, b_new = -1.5347813092188733, c_new = 5.829463894943746
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7496.366013806886
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7281:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.469641587876852, b_new = -1.8794058719271178, c_new = 5.9263213670109485
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8037.418383910174
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7282:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7090590142589925, b_new = -0.920975685192152, c_new = 6.679670186835324
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5564.276372983239
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7283:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.544177452208793, b_new = -1.854703135936992, c_new = 5.516790659745195
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9191.822546191179
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7284:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8842088802799792, b_new = -1.2968493569834183, c_new = 5.487827260913652
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13067.136421939045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7285:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.037151796431006, b_new = -0.6019468844385647, c_new = 6.190744009617339
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14709.329257441324
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7286:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1011574843425382, b_new = -0.789072464946474, c_new = 6.0480466620329105
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3873.85933763888
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7287:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.673993395655272, b_new = -1.890776023655137, c_new = 5.626694668391792
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9160.08989455986
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7288:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3510385808473657, b_new = -1.9943433038456164, c_new = 5.704942742501854
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5294.7730112496165
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7289:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7472287542202998, b_new = -1.3910902251212227, c_new = 5.480056308298123
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12035.156762543731
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7290:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.756063382948596, b_new = -1.1833197369090076, c_new = 5.483767052858334
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12380.984035050093
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7291:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7985579665867113, b_new = -0.7292300003951889, c_new = 5.144024482938274
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4108.912902188452
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7292:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.231054512556233, b_new = -0.9478092433671138, c_new = 5.927082935063895
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5575.145695571223
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7293:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.744895381003029, b_new = -1.562624172819992, c_new = 5.056452150983454
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7061.789784265401
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7294:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.009737984439437, b_new = -1.50413492685229, c_new = 4.953936898698909
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14333.382814457125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7295:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9907409077468925, b_new = 0.013580497829420501, c_new = 5.496113989350365
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3709.7838948566177
Acceptance probability: 5.5193692236420205e-304
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7296:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9007930019601607, b_new = -1.5682846508503223, c_new = 5.914528779627012
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3974.0007818366485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7297:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6661613513575437, b_new = -1.4954246413013517, c_new = 4.308438107202364
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10883.32822761155
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7298:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.146356635033762, b_new = -0.7798643690249389, c_new = 5.569904464115978
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12706.86434895588
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7299:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5993300383782834, b_new = -1.3040718654308647, c_new = 5.072768687780301
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10750.697139208029
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7300:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9835668043713217, b_new = -1.1019209719640601, c_new = 5.395326881506464
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13959.177219984147
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7301:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4646607380348446, b_new = -1.8161258708576282, c_new = 5.020323384961925
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7784.150983289208
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7302:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.469639677658751, b_new = -1.9767525084558892, c_new = 4.996847462899055
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7469.593985169831
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7303:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.521935358097891, b_new = -1.6737099330134715, c_new = 5.478303787706246
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10902.972842312438
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7304:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.361867388682714, b_new = -2.1356289266359356, c_new = 5.257560886111177
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5055.649439538791
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7305:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1653058574149284, b_new = -1.3770092065242665, c_new = 4.930587104744294
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13472.094058720057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7306:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2362386492676016, b_new = -0.573219770210026, c_new = 4.989738872873951
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6342.626071287068
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7307:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.125043610636732, b_new = -1.743819572403906, c_new = 5.370310638334574
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3082.795847313658
Acceptance probability: 1.0948098971252878e-31
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7308:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6662677718762096, b_new = -1.0295773136269606, c_new = 4.993096724278418
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7271.769640868593
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7309:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.522139322693042, b_new = -1.2741998768719005, c_new = 5.520188414230645
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10097.86400802752
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7310:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6179856076985564, b_new = -1.3338353450769385, c_new = 5.414337132915958
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10990.618757709797
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7311:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.054282711831861, b_new = -1.0947371655214169, c_new = 5.24128703108809
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14080.81097315846
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7312:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0678884745575674, b_new = -2.021859589781858, c_new = 4.944017759155812
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3200.4472656163784
Acceptance probability: 8.78975880165124e-83
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7313:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2695993412805837, b_new = -1.6246677324759506, c_new = 5.475263867242698
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13002.215142831617
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7314:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.358781615571754, b_new = -1.3799020882426052, c_new = 5.226567058933177
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6853.508320776618
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7315:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.202626848379901, b_new = -1.5762802427387104, c_new = 6.023685367873417
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3887.4577757614957
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7316:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6536273011734344, b_new = -1.5906416567686967, c_new = 5.689024633771402
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8736.065215025059
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7317:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6565815307762244, b_new = -1.5937268368748512, c_new = 5.326391590740305
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8831.039451285207
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7318:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.894716352278511, b_new = -1.098902963676859, c_new = 5.759933399746057
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3454.8051932383487
Acceptance probability: 3.0042257431853463e-193
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7319:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2493816377969034, b_new = -0.933135718767943, c_new = 4.781464977553044
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5584.525348783271
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7320:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8102022359739305, b_new = -1.5019200653046467, c_new = 6.070919328788578
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12494.987440766574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7321:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3785473577547616, b_new = -1.8462707881407407, c_new = 5.293806513024734
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12601.112571913014
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7322:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8932602622221193, b_new = -1.9583279486223777, c_new = 6.421133289328632
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4664.180309623707
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7323:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7988061402174007, b_new = -2.0743391178366957, c_new = 4.972688229793569
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7394.206720409695
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7324:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2986521019607733, b_new = -1.5727878484948314, c_new = 4.341639162991647
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13063.768145747728
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7325:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.283640507541798, b_new = -0.6992050258352763, c_new = 4.766112391838229
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6943.953723258792
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7326:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8921589231569347, b_new = -1.8686202085321968, c_new = 5.231051049642381
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4839.81747382342
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7327:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.582944915748222, b_new = -0.7832440839556933, c_new = 4.890726840759386
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11396.341516374125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7328:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0146234190871013, b_new = -1.6177811391901749, c_new = 5.123936993611334
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3168.8325603313115
Acceptance probability: 4.721380588470734e-69
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7329:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7082426904419457, b_new = -0.675505845255218, c_new = 5.419820284577481
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12706.333954786807
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7330:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6769781615207693, b_new = -0.7825327222349137, c_new = 5.065135358533968
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12237.062084203913
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7331:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.217295663318546, b_new = -0.8517673381597146, c_new = 4.514591205117408
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5086.594763904869
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7332:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.351606980401286, b_new = -1.6417395386863132, c_new = 5.407914329176955
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6074.716408062409
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7333:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3273112370382987, b_new = -1.0263103130983806, c_new = 4.93518238602179
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7041.3902562956355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7334:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7426715483545965, b_new = -0.8995566132195609, c_new = 5.328384863458702
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5286.27597692965
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7335:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.14087165299392, b_new = -1.4264469057267004, c_new = 4.915316832401917
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3316.814707039307
Acceptance probability: 2.5482338159697945e-133
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7336:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3337669324312698, b_new = -1.842922155866924, c_new = 5.733240842877059
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12790.428485961387
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7337:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.786410320608612, b_new = -1.579478176525747, c_new = 6.35341733233162
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5757.660048853775
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7338:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6820235143400244, b_new = -0.22322121397930106, c_new = 5.417928745451702
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4869.570513593413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7339:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8433082443685307, b_new = -1.0904034750745608, c_new = 5.1563660858903555
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4105.526129082312
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7340:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3438642382334693, b_new = -1.071200080901523, c_new = 5.191622581943255
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11762.59637057194
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7341:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5439729632733465, b_new = -1.575144663841185, c_new = 4.96088363346902
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9581.155570193665
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7342:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.682736570391775, b_new = -1.1452852848394286, c_new = 5.1281937042121095
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11781.280008712205
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7343:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.51648696722853, b_new = -0.7622022091398928, c_new = 4.840986125576521
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -15390.899306205163
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7344:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8083135932643097, b_new = -1.8846219864540743, c_new = 4.916240131959224
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6654.104370635781
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7345:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.506485207831642, b_new = -0.9618839020913398, c_new = 5.43764113418263
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9698.057038275121
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7346:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.259771310685563, b_new = -1.1539467594200132, c_new = 5.481310907892
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14871.70350209817
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7347:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.189833281684485, b_new = -0.1406176645513877, c_new = 5.678598806652283
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6840.073221578172
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7348:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.571201273771985, b_new = -1.2698157596399509, c_new = 5.548769246695397
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10656.97560597697
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7349:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7410837512345725, b_new = -1.2538101772771255, c_new = 4.73529047245777
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11978.139842773306
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7350:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.398830809889561, b_new = -1.6332724934038008, c_new = 4.5681039156144845
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12349.49297627266
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7351:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2436625749034396, b_new = -0.7361589904271488, c_new = 5.667071377521028
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6311.534729922161
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7352:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5272708438765674, b_new = -0.8698140572155391, c_new = 5.20744968553847
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10782.714846113511
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7353:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3942894016382366, b_new = -2.051781389916634, c_new = 5.845299251644119
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6049.283499832364
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7354:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.797300234602301, b_new = -2.017909838441095, c_new = 5.203666926239856
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7162.923471081116
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7355:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0805052561635464, b_new = -1.0158819003851884, c_new = 5.217938560768407
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3282.4838341855448
Acceptance probability: 2.069893086398764e-118
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7356:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2654274763073587, b_new = -2.2243232161424578, c_new = 5.5690775158854215
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3645.7354895165527
Acceptance probability: 3.6120891573868356e-276
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7357:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7937319583685087, b_new = -1.6849111891949882, c_new = 5.173858081628489
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6307.835245515361
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7358:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5020335890565755, b_new = -0.4606523650505938, c_new = 6.507109565922456
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11672.354186058348
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7359:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.666124612632445, b_new = -1.5935751867517234, c_new = 6.9360808969810925
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8043.217667171011
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7360:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5007275315322812, b_new = -0.5263498699059361, c_new = 5.620669307754837
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8807.394213173144
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7361:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.306744570593237, b_new = -1.0814543632063502, c_new = 5.591907677125007
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6694.838130769314
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7362:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2869022515269184, b_new = -1.6874016083411465, c_new = 5.554614141128704
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12949.045299432793
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7363:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6897123128755887, b_new = -0.6252962970871094, c_new = 6.145500875463053
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12854.285815825382
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7364:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.695135150412512, b_new = -0.9237048727695175, c_new = 5.510514348390704
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6213.498546953569
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7365:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.485206912719845, b_new = -1.696735256384567, c_new = 6.088366139840566
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8817.287611854714
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7366:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6042466563935918, b_new = -0.8404466505855512, c_new = 5.163968858096125
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7936.89417431871
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7367:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.381974747544747, b_new = -1.2365812904584021, c_new = 6.433400834575808
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11317.38881054382
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7368:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3375807418911827, b_new = -1.091457418888667, c_new = 5.1915938912645885
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7179.1311846031695
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7369:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7030902325381154, b_new = -1.9265659010124643, c_new = 5.223677883542528
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10806.564994560806
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7370:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.39894170849143, b_new = -1.3899007400451606, c_new = 4.770737558838933
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7496.836522875021
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7371:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.766510248444634, b_new = -0.8071580952776329, c_new = 5.851769879386652
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4547.348556740126
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7372:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.611804319741955, b_new = -1.7566698529147176, c_new = 5.3676288422915865
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10192.875406030074
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7373:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.49832639191031, b_new = -1.3366696766980821, c_new = 5.553519558779518
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10509.403577959343
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7374:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4383905662627403, b_new = -2.2251544649463453, c_new = 6.184136664951583
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6617.739950242119
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7375:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3943872496165355, b_new = -1.0792018926498468, c_new = 6.265428793100056
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8804.773044544136
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7376:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5583444763828838, b_new = -1.8549806018925583, c_new = 5.129312055331671
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9270.15515890921
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7377:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7315822973497617, b_new = -0.6367651531583722, c_new = 5.743554465240132
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13005.564023694968
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7378:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9427908210127365, b_new = -1.8072289448242858, c_new = 5.202960416927657
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3987.9758401407457
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7379:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.955316013435968, b_new = -1.406521968152696, c_new = 5.068756049585952
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3371.6621410778494
Acceptance probability: 3.8574590569773235e-157
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7380:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8878265680788484, b_new = -0.5240541345237563, c_new = 4.717219450519424
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3150.2512972974696
Acceptance probability: 5.543818616524437e-61
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7381:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3110362525527997, b_new = -1.1453893048021881, c_new = 4.640668534733006
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6261.833499232098
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7382:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4099120422326705, b_new = -1.4238723030374336, c_new = 4.878956274030032
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7668.8562232189315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7383:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5612770979521184, b_new = -1.309402523062937, c_new = 6.089615541228422
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9442.647232916357
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7384:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.573834109877252, b_new = -1.3150719152207284, c_new = 5.893208840599484
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9335.856118722782
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7385:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9702682669634526, b_new = -1.3831572546487436, c_new = 4.809616793725912
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14411.525756091723
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7386:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.401677129864806, b_new = -1.3972628497728303, c_new = 5.416508734299941
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7771.97501181146
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7387:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8452446503457822, b_new = -0.9189555313382141, c_new = 5.622915575429833
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3738.117064376099
Acceptance probability: 2.7349555e-316
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7388:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6433133991277873, b_new = -0.023645552531062375, c_new = 5.59354462503573
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13187.902552283002
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7389:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2481345498010437, b_new = -0.9235497074311574, c_new = 4.925091836628376
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5631.856529656623
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7390:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9207338647402232, b_new = -0.9158212511558579, c_new = 5.179567397595888
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3185.4259428022397
Acceptance probability: 2.9353140064297186e-76
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7391:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.839533730430013, b_new = -1.7056094818902, c_new = 5.278270170577492
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5394.482073382366
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7392:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2429385638682557, b_new = -1.4460483580030035, c_new = 5.5365583089737775
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12930.041137117525
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7393:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1408710016945736, b_new = -1.5798309893184088, c_new = 5.782917189368302
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3280.0674578329035
Acceptance probability: 2.3193528817920405e-117
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7394:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8625468376120595, b_new = -2.340291206193201, c_new = 6.197232011937792
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -15287.7868161736
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7395:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3819294362331815, b_new = -1.4183386056549534, c_new = 4.518102116367153
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6980.716603882468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7396:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8810134482132432, b_new = -0.5218227397498615, c_new = 6.249232423779702
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3115.218463821717
Acceptance probability: 9.086053223946455e-46
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7397:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.911423845675248, b_new = -1.716805812965607, c_new = 5.491076090656435
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4176.543603906179
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7398:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6330880423216283, b_new = -1.5599559829021399, c_new = 5.372639527645627
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9143.844380007162
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7399:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4372648353389925, b_new = -1.0961221665015808, c_new = 5.42561925546878
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9194.515980762879
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7400:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.419691005956481, b_new = -1.5176805364773207, c_new = 4.9874909281460225
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7658.088138809078
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7401:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2684886112079097, b_new = -1.277927687138421, c_new = 4.916785736124308
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5170.129521795982
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7402:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5194072430340873, b_new = -0.7258682296245228, c_new = 5.070728362567129
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9139.961499333707
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7403:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2443629388424933, b_new = -1.5872762703410925, c_new = 4.998220858795786
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4195.658266530358
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7404:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9320909189884037, b_new = -0.8072354475477994, c_new = 4.994497312915377
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13751.114211490865
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7405:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.408729796610131, b_new = -2.639178915182026, c_new = 5.223389226989243
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13494.385825167767
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7406:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5382493570903417, b_new = -1.4122347596334421, c_new = 6.529578773353168
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9832.832822216442
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7407:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.35156687670763, b_new = -1.0400255671506615, c_new = 5.647111173462405
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7801.780020570141
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7408:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6123591325221014, b_new = -2.107545801559424, c_new = 5.943737578255395
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10481.358579945565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7409:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3802787496013846, b_new = -1.3648609703013987, c_new = 4.5126524110359
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7086.012057493688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7410:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.169314165513344, b_new = -1.6874247724827138, c_new = 5.548005670885477
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3362.553877720863
Acceptance probability: 3.4831312591545653e-153
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7411:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5509355622314267, b_new = -1.2061413142718875, c_new = 5.490144077896436
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9573.959664678629
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7412:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3053621235937425, b_new = -1.0762655594846717, c_new = 5.873945065473258
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11899.348939158488
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7413:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.830624122054338, b_new = -0.8739448388074103, c_new = 5.580754676627383
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3846.9863292938694
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7414:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.654527092979749, b_new = -1.6876621392890612, c_new = 4.3044810072917885
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9516.771584046837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7415:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6249266024090394, b_new = -1.3006544751799989, c_new = 4.965873802265115
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8796.552293949837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7416:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1370687693711856, b_new = -0.9728424701960122, c_new = 5.621385005160119
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3927.5762912765845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7417:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6369884585464725, b_new = -0.8181250246506284, c_new = 5.4023493304009
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7155.548775466963
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7418:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8905586706082826, b_new = -0.6511268303643315, c_new = 4.655176760316871
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3219.434785343099
Acceptance probability: 4.986569949154789e-91
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7419:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7878218137825812, b_new = -1.2896617538760695, c_new = 4.724008915837461
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -15003.152601851152
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7420:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.745020981369321, b_new = -1.9488173264119943, c_new = 5.839114833730295
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7835.436667721822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7421:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.094187384892397, b_new = -0.3834477143117706, c_new = 5.678757537113219
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4383.1421229107145
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7422:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.912448761755022, b_new = -1.8555948239431246, c_new = 5.517816039705996
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4408.356740352496
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7423:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.135247121193537, b_new = -0.907158826284225, c_new = 4.9701445580661
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3870.931015075836
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7424:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.492287186543165, b_new = -0.788907156986628, c_new = 5.4206271803903485
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9542.56487966081
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7425:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9174796397548506, b_new = -1.314493894861331, c_new = 4.5336193454030544
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3692.8344443442948
Acceptance probability: 1.2674833889733296e-296
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7426:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7268070887526425, b_new = -1.7629580558831683, c_new = 4.981737536481202
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8047.560685609969
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7427:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0819511673978153, b_new = -1.2737080735622757, c_new = 5.763401837786569
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3158.5889667006427
Acceptance probability: 1.3267991932972833e-64
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7428:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9526309050010124, b_new = -1.5451282180150192, c_new = 5.043026996801799
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3547.789590205238
Acceptance probability: 1.2448644288318499e-233
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7429:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.2806311435921485, b_new = -0.7826141662027081, c_new = 4.682998201572245
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -15062.627599853604
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7430:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.266095900690513, b_new = -1.6403457414326983, c_new = 5.966023618398437
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4651.380306594321
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7431:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5931530966273386, b_new = -0.8749292655089072, c_new = 5.696808910413702
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11587.029778102498
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7432:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.720900301527489, b_new = -1.0407856155607176, c_new = 5.923911116352523
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12444.955791759816
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7433:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.461336930973499, b_new = -1.3526507559474545, c_new = 6.003122498327081
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9196.892588830733
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7434:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.779099976189498, b_new = -2.004280734774622, c_new = 5.073579345028492
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7581.063503751703
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7435:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0516738329344757, b_new = -1.6202772971348927, c_new = 4.669065202919397
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3072.0944052352124
Acceptance probability: 4.863130881203404e-27
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7436:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.580797448672258, b_new = -1.225963911874098, c_new = 5.365034977444809
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9212.702319370987
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7437:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0701098328678262, b_new = -0.867435676591656, c_new = 5.127522474006803
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3329.6746518502496
Acceptance probability: 6.625767704152748e-139
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7438:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.863040080903512, b_new = -0.9102318308118813, c_new = 5.695333801814561
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3539.6593676361285
Acceptance probability: 4.227005917911457e-230
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7439:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2394807436991746, b_new = -1.672677789689426, c_new = 5.174742630746444
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4029.750187281964
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7440:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.671008869128869, b_new = -0.5137201239644319, c_new = 5.213425628735057
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12605.86935679771
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7441:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2390279073126007, b_new = -1.7972078742143371, c_new = 4.867637170350137
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3794.005091659846
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7442:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.671658018539217, b_new = -0.9541641615790475, c_new = 5.6032207463354915
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12105.265185737067
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7443:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.055831791888872, b_new = -1.8124550721728685, c_new = 4.400519673137829
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3179.106459745015
Acceptance probability: 1.6299383836434787e-73
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7444:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.652110493123702, b_new = -0.787060789607516, c_new = 5.393150012048157
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6774.339103338322
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7445:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6310550797335552, b_new = -1.6962799062500036, c_new = 5.07722029280152
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10421.053937425952
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7446:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3391702638555243, b_new = -1.160441466953901, c_new = 5.398246475587435
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11879.10780708984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7447:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5206210118188324, b_new = -1.2979175178818014, c_new = 6.864770406684903
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9730.349512011015
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7448:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3596517601554337, b_new = -1.4197424527526399, c_new = 5.641002232012329
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6917.2931318408555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7449:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4151777288182736, b_new = -1.1359452298105557, c_new = 5.389743126598884
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8704.053155517106
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7450:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.996925756994147, b_new = -1.810179796499812, c_new = 5.278787123618672
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3426.143753512969
Acceptance probability: 8.418557439164149e-181
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7451:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5821186451184492, b_new = -2.014413893234061, c_new = 5.075677544694815
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10989.99189141402
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7452:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.595717310779176, b_new = -1.6744227772272362, c_new = 5.715347020265289
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9866.499153095083
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7453:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6426834563248507, b_new = -1.6879782591149124, c_new = 4.7013511387065
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10450.34289196641
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7454:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.376919853694726, b_new = -1.836493074727799, c_new = 5.448698573539677
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6109.538032809638
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7455:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.539504418919329, b_new = -1.8374669319784203, c_new = 5.432998486897957
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11027.549235711473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7456:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.921163728399683, b_new = -1.5823605723721001, c_new = 6.4015301465742365
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3671.7983691659265
Acceptance probability: 1.7329803855650765e-287
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7457:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1357857528821333, b_new = -1.0967256892433976, c_new = 6.078962049488096
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13023.784773669558
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7458:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.35470440632947, b_new = -1.656123428200271, c_new = 5.321407938678555
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6072.320544898061
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7459:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.924790577797612, b_new = -0.42119268128795884, c_new = 4.971633377397725
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3027.1364061189797
Acceptance probability: 1.6290217822649825e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7460:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.64946373278514, b_new = -1.5658029812890386, c_new = 4.996424363675638
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10800.49520535222
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7461:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.444237542613861, b_new = -1.6869703579699638, c_new = 5.151218170193758
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7763.187039400358
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7462:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0011959169507385, b_new = -0.6207298799434167, c_new = 5.203512265477527
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13435.415669909555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7463:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.310599441310658, b_new = -1.5990241058704475, c_new = 6.1866612156140635
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12501.71866593375
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7464:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.870768073657504, b_new = -1.3209822610868882, c_new = 5.367551537272842
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4077.716416556094
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7465:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6787879367526988, b_new = -1.5593786983278393, c_new = 6.299731651183838
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7942.18147133797
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7466:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.717824427207368, b_new = -0.6335368801887193, c_new = 5.289056512644773
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12790.544339239957
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7467:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8780923258903726, b_new = -0.8053522622064972, c_new = 5.219173330391246
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3368.2352714913336
Acceptance probability: 1.18733119097296e-155
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7468:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2817536602888895, b_new = -1.550521064695202, c_new = 5.023030256290329
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12952.346500639092
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7469:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6533557000985057, b_new = -0.8555036603132227, c_new = 5.0901794304796635
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7036.208793397347
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7470:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0299456583224944, b_new = -2.0684349207691826, c_new = 5.577679770830783
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3390.3165196166283
Acceptance probability: 3.053568468837113e-165
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7471:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0352040553746056, b_new = -1.455844027129397, c_new = 5.881616219696806
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3013.85933335309
Acceptance probability: 0.09507937746653575
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7472:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.728854213699599, b_new = -0.5085238048314012, c_new = 4.8139991181753565
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4824.435667880591
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7473:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.715183749519625, b_new = -1.683356949344049, c_new = 5.771354048241356
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11437.296994508326
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7474:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.179860261605523, b_new = -1.3018355505925991, c_new = 4.263572503489504
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14194.91290036251
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7475:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.099734561631266, b_new = -0.6984528731974826, c_new = 5.485359326893962
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3872.1035939708345
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7476:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1372876064971216, b_new = -1.9340751306502888, c_new = 4.742335840293417
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3063.7937548506766
Acceptance probability: 1.9581349366680306e-23
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7477:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3329064184923354, b_new = -1.8083828962614983, c_new = 5.011163324238077
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5181.335182055287
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7478:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.175813932697975, b_new = -1.938396731674218, c_new = 6.104158299407545
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3258.8831712662254
Acceptance probability: 3.677778664831361e-108
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7479:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2967187304249235, b_new = -0.6203885146856906, c_new = 5.588938581046167
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11371.569411294602
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7480:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.792553161810857, b_new = -1.984703175716364, c_new = 5.421208416491735
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7080.499015174058
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7481:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.080552427637966, b_new = -1.6964206749827873, c_new = 5.687287716361444
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3018.390646722737
Acceptance probability: 0.0010236746232107922
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7482:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0439380498423936, b_new = -1.4317581243551099, c_new = 6.1131597604264165
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3015.5633741472557
Acceptance probability: 0.01729939103914084
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7483:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.122295116151605, b_new = -0.7356119172970027, c_new = 5.748132300336295
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12758.446383682749
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7484:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8223622833814406, b_new = -2.1939125120114547, c_new = 4.831346188370825
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7283.191525774885
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7485:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.47346916805545, b_new = -1.1667726301478525, c_new = 6.065223715498625
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9818.600543493563
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7486:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0315437213685104, b_new = -1.0769002762457296, c_new = 5.689622655940243
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3058.7171822865485
Acceptance probability: 3.137401267492839e-21
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7487:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.588151411942092, b_new = -1.208200040306197, c_new = 5.478465898186117
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10920.188537787306
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7488:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5745719779249208, b_new = -1.0674023682769584, c_new = 4.860080918014127
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9127.139712344166
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7489:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.104211023188654, b_new = -2.1477541368822624, c_new = 6.059117803615065
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14295.832013587158
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7490:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2393248872780833, b_new = -1.977713634220835, c_new = 5.668932792708879
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3690.386217473455
Acceptance probability: 1.4662016261475376e-295
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7491:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.707738263515781, b_new = -0.40669893879529284, c_new = 5.921574664544168
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4691.062807836775
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7492:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2825587904000173, b_new = -0.988528342215476, c_new = 5.271958795440499
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6306.040198685372
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7493:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.962481324523481, b_new = -1.0735380350231818, c_new = 5.658619811339841
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3064.429266437688
Acceptance probability: 1.0371544633566741e-23
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7494:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2828719355656566, b_new = -2.275202703787591, c_new = 5.077308667700376
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13830.025219695606
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7495:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3958976095373163, b_new = -2.1554609507110163, c_new = 5.637326861917408
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5758.9407340131565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7496:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8558481574453554, b_new = -1.7687626242376715, c_new = 4.981722649541647
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5339.951844808111
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7497:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4809251013584186, b_new = -1.1366663300686601, c_new = 6.110255271763828
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10157.081872526463
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7498:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7847110742836234, b_new = -1.9230697602302216, c_new = 5.327738814393278
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7113.576506194667
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7499:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9078973846898366, b_new = -1.4481090592810157, c_new = 5.477842681038701
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14553.31345721028
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7500:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7218774609473373, b_new = -2.169703861815286, c_new = 5.070861452423682
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9243.700585867435
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7501:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2695607137654434, b_new = -2.437665409176543, c_new = 5.8074356482917056
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3488.5317404052657
Acceptance probability: 6.768294308140658e-208
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7502:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9708909695576358, b_new = -0.9811286968890129, c_new = 5.359538429044266
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3029.8719150502266
Acceptance probability: 1.0565996376769128e-08
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7503:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.34990766594496, b_new = -2.15626222852666, c_new = 5.971588635191578
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4993.029835658839
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7504:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.123939912996168, b_new = -1.380629549591121, c_new = 5.285430162028547
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14116.461115974409
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7505:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.257090675391774, b_new = -1.274890091135471, c_new = 5.630108687306142
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5184.381746119849
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7506:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3368330694674992, b_new = -1.177204437231238, c_new = 5.6179515261539885
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7089.288594183899
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7507:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9500661815511826, b_new = -0.7542334268554239, c_new = 5.497972888897624
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3025.6590495390224
Acceptance probability: 7.13731232948411e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7508:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9859417796493353, b_new = -0.8958877378537993, c_new = 4.965477660781268
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Acceptance probability: 0.5642082844038468
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7509:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.057394603518002, b_new = -0.9112695613969515, c_new = 5.532728324944966
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3256.2617416400317
Acceptance probability: 8.966409134869069e-107
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7510:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.394291813493339, b_new = -0.7708166021171475, c_new = 4.00615293032745
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11148.423059998806
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7511:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3958298264292064, b_new = -1.5566251006931417, c_new = 5.75746624561557
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11895.056506435496
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7512:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4749874993283876, b_new = -0.5817362526238548, c_new = 5.242797641924171
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10735.238326151177
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7513:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.416338753644696, b_new = -0.9190731286400832, c_new = 3.9842439548242132
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8749.257155529596
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7514:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.035954448369953, b_new = -0.35685278161758305, c_new = 4.811531534471528
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3540.888369138049
Acceptance probability: 2.192021586206913e-230
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7515:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8810742391162116, b_new = -1.2052097815116856, c_new = 4.98097608962229
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3852.3061045681197
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7516:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.903609038807612, b_new = -1.5811847518588524, c_new = 4.959272278735812
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4176.318713182366
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7517:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5359403531039146, b_new = -1.1728508216807734, c_new = 5.219068315319497
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10333.339217092329
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7518:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1932956335916933, b_new = -0.07156677557955815, c_new = 4.854764983983494
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6774.7941196977545
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7519:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6759218008462144, b_new = -1.0691542575677404, c_new = 5.608268878929245
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6951.899704577754
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7520:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4802969515260265, b_new = -1.4473759265906723, c_new = 4.118070554386921
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8642.31647468801
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7521:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4027245318869728, b_new = -0.5829570294978806, c_new = 5.838312223593889
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10142.79459734662
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7522:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6469659490134654, b_new = -1.170185690132282, c_new = 5.212631908438393
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7951.175856643111
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7523:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3233103336336693, b_new = -0.17811772876569476, c_new = 4.9089928787256945
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9293.489193205196
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7524:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.117248640242666, b_new = -0.5637169805534694, c_new = 6.161029789268869
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12485.043432521188
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7525:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.169215289534997, b_new = -1.3403708319420697, c_new = 5.0799269661542645
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13368.608894831577
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7526:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.343699361032119, b_new = -0.22646121015040577, c_new = 4.84123063706339
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9504.548695824813
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7527:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9990122960996963, b_new = -0.873914547995994, c_new = 4.328230340129363
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3014.0962811611716
Acceptance probability: 0.13296634937466495
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7528:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4355691957995385, b_new = -1.159240300318542, c_new = 4.456925044784882
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8671.636304515387
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7529:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5468902214410667, b_new = -2.3123040894907407, c_new = 4.81749075034839
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12042.888702626675
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7530:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4402929948700987, b_new = -0.5198411190553697, c_new = 5.271838094013347
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9738.72464006586
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7531:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2271603214851505, b_new = -0.40648040364669363, c_new = 4.795133526356616
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6538.625826913221
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7532:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.594168335765192, b_new = -0.8287626906924614, c_new = 4.6284270358697714
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11350.529006523344
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7533:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.219567274585921, b_new = -1.3627880899562341, c_new = 5.673915208769228
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4390.511647728612
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7534:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6359647316453776, b_new = -0.6763096282965223, c_new = 5.653469003251775
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14810.58034850431
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7535:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7254663134977886, b_new = -0.8828419997662181, c_new = 4.507080014977587
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12302.775437850876
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7536:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8992177466864706, b_new = -1.3979933097811466, c_new = 5.4562255826852875
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3829.461344273952
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7537:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.730368078775649, b_new = -0.44373096637273896, c_new = 4.333891821848077
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4795.621776676493
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7538:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.736832592664858, b_new = -1.4137026052831416, c_new = 5.172143048580438
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6773.465123933335
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7539:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2990590604363943, b_new = -1.5036178881563913, c_new = 5.223641732779574
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5309.802032407333
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7540:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.935060706207132, b_new = -0.40312875525255143, c_new = 4.303863465366088
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14012.661366683184
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7541:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7360623787124734, b_new = -0.7849867275416803, c_new = 5.08539059342556
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5218.951234538154
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7542:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0936772311178977, b_new = -1.4792990180239596, c_new = 5.124839893817411
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3069.160994709308
Acceptance probability: 1.6197220844534365e-25
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7543:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.285789521728842, b_new = -1.757619507008684, c_new = 4.568727729518827
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13321.73629407727
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7544:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5745566120159356, b_new = -0.8790229699971124, c_new = 5.181182987739191
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11247.40397141704
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7545:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7176117660948886, b_new = -0.11876517485953142, c_new = 5.522694816336401
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4134.6516269183685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7546:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6547049064852244, b_new = -1.2946418074978023, c_new = 5.263530179951633
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8109.087654035647
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7547:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8636272450156257, b_new = -0.911256202744127, c_new = 5.219391492907705
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3604.798677499528
Acceptance probability: 3.8454801018909345e-258
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7548:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.466810893099564, b_new = -0.6520975630090611, c_new = 4.902143276489642
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9774.500134162328
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7549:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9968087940459083, b_new = -1.5776043556398507, c_new = 5.379265990392267
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3207.6428164406734
Acceptance probability: 1.1682868324654028e-85
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7550:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.978618376782769, b_new = -0.7984827431177818, c_new = 5.486748725324992
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3024.8162055877992
Acceptance probability: 2.9385813660527825e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7551:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.418052613188854, b_new = -0.15272926101154727, c_new = 5.262686387184711
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9316.786661343915
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7552:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1353154603707734, b_new = -1.6020944170566234, c_new = 5.503914690006958
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13734.780951999102
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7553:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4491658529525453, b_new = 0.2673583568359621, c_new = 4.2907278516426794
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11672.623159423445
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7554:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8592537788133805, b_new = -1.52941603345498, c_new = 5.072215506553499
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14884.338295003372
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7555:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.810839139000312, b_new = -1.5715492137354503, c_new = 5.212871861522578
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5641.7199928970485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7556:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0315991255691217, b_new = -1.5808221181884607, c_new = 5.048464959038274
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3086.750388124128
Acceptance probability: 3.719323923795527e-33
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7557:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.953403426838026, b_new = -0.8590133340929829, c_new = 4.7355068098760755
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3056.3857443358975
Acceptance probability: 5.723494183695006e-20
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7558:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.033153405016803, b_new = -1.1296023182126118, c_new = 4.93306102915276
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13872.118817921297
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7559:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.843019766916733, b_new = -0.7831692894074225, c_new = 4.782980595586585
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13253.46906613464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7560:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.21816102999408, b_new = -1.3493265155420104, c_new = 4.0602921317192715
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4046.164116887103
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7561:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.884521818268554, b_new = -1.3872331948739636, c_new = 4.571075018451548
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4193.498291114147
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7562:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.43394324910859, b_new = -1.233910930006036, c_new = 5.5857461688637455
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11043.593422676317
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7563:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4111445048226785, b_new = 0.007739617722707148, c_new = 4.58167630127931
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9301.579555663773
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7564:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0488956141970363, b_new = -0.9403383295138583, c_new = 6.02818213015415
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3239.861010760218
Acceptance probability: 1.1895028091375837e-99
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7565:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4075399279532066, b_new = -1.4681667352089183, c_new = 4.806589556933936
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7477.856289534639
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7566:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7113433505927107, b_new = -0.5656226385461185, c_new = 5.328888950381197
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5105.519643850081
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7567:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2517660447359162, b_new = -1.1893497038742225, c_new = 4.435375775052598
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4931.473365423166
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7568:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.950088177094164, b_new = -0.49793037144557734, c_new = 4.5402232668796225
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3018.8037377936016
Acceptance probability: 0.001200381534357806
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7569:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5127416742952624, b_new = 0.3493102884726227, c_new = 4.542611218315807
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6941.144304821213
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7570:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8939765828486665, b_new = -1.1967731375485022, c_new = 5.481231366685559
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3612.34407454932
Acceptance probability: 2.032479930917494e-261
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7571:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7511724665948263, b_new = 0.43137442321590336, c_new = 4.83388750674888
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14146.229972349665
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7572:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9477749731846252, b_new = -1.1701879769875694, c_new = 3.821551123734225
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3377.544918597668
Acceptance probability: 1.9054784931831628e-159
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7573:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.802380487605222, b_new = -1.004482885926968, c_new = 4.316645478471964
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4769.797327447386
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7574:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3635565184086724, b_new = -1.1840632557927802, c_new = 4.049283707378194
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7055.194458949219
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7575:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5095336079148582, b_new = -0.36606708923014675, c_new = 4.159687693330145
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11151.139346638553
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7576:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.118313479967574, b_new = -0.7876145284801448, c_new = 3.685514939854146
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13377.525602143489
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7577:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1793249568528634, b_new = -1.0219867055521945, c_new = 3.965968607869211
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4039.964236061714
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7578:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7062327742469714, b_new = -0.5634824970869348, c_new = 4.370494390196161
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5480.837981848008
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7579:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5989987781964623, b_new = -1.0247945551340578, c_new = 4.808537411413992
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8627.62371344648
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7580:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.788894631664037, b_new = -0.6066524132470495, c_new = 5.1556672807446855
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4037.582424097825
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7581:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.524143862315674, b_new = -0.32224980679333737, c_new = 4.829819201282139
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8228.296901440935
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7582:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.852029587385737, b_new = -0.18495187044582984, c_new = 5.318779712818927
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14099.407449809114
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7583:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3764684144225683, b_new = -0.8371486011814959, c_new = 4.829797449511958
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11186.723089146566
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7584:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5116899797747783, b_new = -1.1583614858289684, c_new = 5.050104268281596
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10157.998029907503
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7585:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1618588597041075, b_new = -0.8233322232715815, c_new = 5.453167786637441
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4487.712892337095
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7586:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6510789891921602, b_new = -0.5510850230868676, c_new = 4.613346375357637
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6458.460643308448
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7587:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.210102319235977, b_new = -1.7098332115932422, c_new = 4.33832060273361
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13769.524105790933
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7588:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2897738489805133, b_new = -0.5880279157990924, c_new = 4.885960416130734
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7444.4700581817215
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7589:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4124313804338477, b_new = -0.9468804737799007, c_new = 4.533288241122166
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11098.014533705184
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7590:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.5252291808173022, b_new = -0.9557460274657846, c_new = 4.3437788502569825
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -15609.293898753296
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7591:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6308404330692676, b_new = -1.2543687407240993, c_new = 4.694078750670252
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11035.510851407016
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7592:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8312192270549046, b_new = -1.1478781034571965, c_new = 4.812202444211589
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12749.062681618558
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7593:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.389107295360533, b_new = -0.7862324100258427, c_new = 4.984376252391174
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8959.360431672803
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7594:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9861347561426337, b_new = -0.4488607068255209, c_new = 4.521035577873311
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14244.150822016254
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7595:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.958651266726545, b_new = -0.734094961541865, c_new = 5.391182969245044
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3020.077840934833
Acceptance probability: 0.0003357247370742471
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7596:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.681858281161467, b_new = -0.7555697785878024, c_new = 5.508694110257896
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14754.027018545103
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7597:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.020393023174597, b_new = -0.6630623370491807, c_new = 5.91490416739395
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3277.4655653110135
Acceptance probability: 5.545170908800469e-116
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7598:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7189506659517932, b_new = 0.5491625724047258, c_new = 3.623337339350709
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3550.0802643706857
Acceptance probability: 2.2328289213303618e-234
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7599:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.832408264107738, b_new = -0.5747406283931771, c_new = 4.611915141198312
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3601.025609347824
Acceptance probability: 1.6732978252322053e-256
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7600:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.025782511763091, b_new = -0.8521259756012002, c_new = 5.25303631844743
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3108.9893990188466
Acceptance probability: 8.169289544841864e-43
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7601:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9693903887020197, b_new = -0.5371203901833048, c_new = 4.764577971644115
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3040.585488154106
Acceptance probability: 4.1650989006637293e-13
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7602:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5580196521639467, b_new = -0.8085164073209192, c_new = 4.822769284569971
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8803.668414386031
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7603:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6760835359525195, b_new = -0.922451699683979, c_new = 6.1020003408730865
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6395.3862705911215
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7604:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2652885185019684, b_new = -0.9142731178940114, c_new = 5.3967067013426195
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6183.598453384157
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7605:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.813655344919051, b_new = -0.4370478983440113, c_new = 5.3934516381808475
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3514.403158281048
Acceptance probability: 6.969887268502764e-219
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7606:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.889759751171677, b_new = -1.7616308513815349, c_new = 5.920642457961108
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4462.573833420232
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7607:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2351903259071464, b_new = -0.3111833003804728, c_new = 4.4649256112062
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6861.107475565288
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7608:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.665341821806738, b_new = -0.6968406977273731, c_new = 4.464726434666762
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12102.439264349134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7609:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.285449162414606, b_new = -0.8257747721115921, c_new = 5.904818032279124
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7078.436024045643
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7610:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1484513261793357, b_new = -1.1102075016096031, c_new = 5.341461811554535
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13149.799173941661
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7611:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.92916318351508, b_new = -0.907642584200158, c_new = 5.7803963634287445
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3105.355785085669
Acceptance probability: 3.092023383459824e-41
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7612:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.58216874531413, b_new = -0.8537818115965862, c_new = 5.779874767151326
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11545.452061976315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7613:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2511134555480767, b_new = -1.618892518337435, c_new = 5.017459253586774
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13236.51338543251
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7614:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2218480851042606, b_new = -0.2711470405136348, c_new = 5.398728191475903
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7063.707922308227
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7615:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.864076232893775, b_new = -1.3491959706788863, c_new = 5.19869197042349
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12806.955300283971
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7616:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5862651601136237, b_new = -1.1784908197872137, c_new = 4.977732455547034
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10800.395754613968
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7617:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1967793196842775, b_new = -1.2736040793400174, c_new = 5.167873621869505
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4109.1527842962405
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7618:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5881585915980834, b_new = -1.7457156604072601, c_new = 5.831686999899671
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10079.884731597425
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7619:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.099175613022348, b_new = -1.1030866869891855, c_new = 4.419493058928233
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3252.1396803368307
Acceptance probability: 5.531042935711695e-105
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7620:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.639311280378158, b_new = -1.5400930096581789, c_new = 4.362295984438214
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9383.9481354013
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7621:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0897468487287165, b_new = -0.6747793985726998, c_new = 5.295304289473539
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12993.46049392402
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7622:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4391597393658886, b_new = -0.30916926111776055, c_new = 4.458106122857877
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9597.395913890292
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7623:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8066940995660015, b_new = 0.10638564471674772, c_new = 4.80309086582
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3195.2127730115576
Acceptance probability: 2.923134192207051e-80
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7624:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.251408564107914, b_new = -1.507265981623505, c_new = 5.0239555554543625
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4443.123182833286
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7625:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2710210400925894, b_new = -0.22682609300219525, c_new = 4.620407379006402
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11266.796447996647
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7626:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9860586858283775, b_new = -0.3284743715186065, c_new = 5.7565585866976
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3328.046491093444
Acceptance probability: 5.982710378980324e-138
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7627:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2382173802986416, b_new = -0.9928731170156131, c_new = 6.128713103516789
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12223.642584887577
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7628:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3384843690286434, b_new = -0.8951771736547927, c_new = 4.693644570034112
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7552.374420459645
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7629:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.170476558401994, b_new = -1.4760733178209795, c_new = 4.871376851003969
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3496.7420592366507
Acceptance probability: 3.2609460454517916e-211
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7630:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.808066223994832, b_new = -1.109607324536092, c_new = 5.071523301098076
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4681.218217437385
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7631:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6594889077925696, b_new = -1.051436003366104, c_new = 4.9303088239365485
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7492.430821015254
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7632:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.287836560449923, b_new = -1.0641145027605703, c_new = 5.374027088006112
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6251.035861746746
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7633:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.24019313087808, b_new = -0.3015261729545623, c_new = 5.296964135375298
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -15427.99083839731
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7634:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2787256813794556, b_new = -1.1635000348878815, c_new = 4.787632211699598
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12524.56187538772
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7635:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5062444070369, b_new = -1.7581358871089283, c_new = 5.132886476061951
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11357.136375888469
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7636:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.021624302774844, b_new = -0.9999059093209969, c_new = 5.216097167654725
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14023.746427526654
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7637:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.808690295518786, b_new = -1.0530010135168693, c_new = 5.103279496939381
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4550.381238400807
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7638:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.180551118694227, b_new = -1.4196640207519269, c_new = 4.229178302711049
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3566.4736685232324
Acceptance probability: 1.695471468241906e-241
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7639:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.133948488757865, b_new = -1.205976107855015, c_new = 5.298172084207297
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3525.044776465822
Acceptance probability: 1.6658262357383494e-223
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7640:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.41761618834326, b_new = -1.5375630769891835, c_new = 5.18668460693096
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11843.357531624817
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7641:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.812272094970119, b_new = -1.2560862227209395, c_new = 5.083467000574759
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4915.010291824865
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7642:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4744923529795217, b_new = -1.4937747825842744, c_new = 4.290794757127409
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11501.404588177284
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7643:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5186499437344554, b_new = -1.1838806232979895, c_new = 5.162773389035876
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10084.379857371077
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7644:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.009682122645985, b_new = -1.251452330675341, c_new = 4.655030345207018
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3047.0436144478613
Acceptance probability: 6.529752275650344e-16
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7645:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3105662250071135, b_new = -0.6478687591022116, c_new = 5.167455712749209
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7841.774352562534
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7646:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.829586032504082, b_new = -1.143920712114171, c_new = 5.7999464859457115
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13002.674230823577
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7647:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3796739691897444, b_new = -1.3101578258245468, c_new = 4.4724437991861405
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7204.579329158897
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7648:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.697779452093508, b_new = -0.6774415988635725, c_new = 5.208931521483843
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5649.0963419947975
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7649:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.746615966759642, b_new = -1.473781169197946, c_new = 5.248421902593869
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11853.325506869553
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7650:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.795527566113877, b_new = -1.1110707207404118, c_new = 5.035150232245241
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4903.109671515582
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7651:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1681259758950255, b_new = -1.034903669308425, c_new = 4.857377281829345
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4056.139224922297
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7652:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3568860623002936, b_new = -0.6539962870498162, c_new = 4.332928698164028
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8449.520515702892
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7653:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9709779957617632, b_new = -1.7484499819270158, c_new = 5.272857337599372
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12992.494636929036
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7654:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.123739030198238, b_new = -0.745210792796046, c_new = 4.850163302553418
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3953.5912331443906
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7655:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.111034582420044, b_new = -0.5173185728977356, c_new = 5.338410720175818
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4285.058858696792
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7656:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.802620971854982, b_new = -0.09667365666853078, c_new = 4.9632229595928266
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13861.116086547272
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7657:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3934604567520803, b_new = -1.7079306340838687, c_new = 5.6870461043219755
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12167.878018736155
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7658:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4442952710931336, b_new = -1.5164758156006202, c_new = 4.257883001923082
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11856.227200521807
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7659:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.66517353118659, b_new = -0.6225495397641759, c_new = 5.695142346250635
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5996.566043024077
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7660:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3621019634633447, b_new = -0.7396594106251353, c_new = 4.689824030019056
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8461.465124778753
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7661:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3408599156287284, b_new = -1.7105054337603467, c_new = 5.680043068031485
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12576.41586868318
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7662:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4798645534813413, b_new = -0.6873145713974258, c_new = 4.6094782336596625
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10384.87370772206
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7663:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3924591545221596, b_new = -0.9869373392742992, c_new = 5.108791692505344
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8557.122757467445
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7664:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1659234452958955, b_new = -0.6146490253394635, c_new = 5.643215312179421
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12357.56840395026
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7665:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.071880336754207, b_new = -0.9522254399358836, c_new = 4.759307714957377
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14182.480929700283
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7666:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.438674738939206, b_new = -0.9223967646566491, c_new = 5.183981609706139
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9528.35471379846
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7667:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.899249787824254, b_new = -1.369970565522418, c_new = 4.838620915098092
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3914.1338727785114
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7668:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.873854558742676, b_new = -1.6101291760181695, c_new = 5.320876598718846
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4572.268569437234
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7669:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.755642209789347, b_new = -0.6698471725989389, c_new = 5.251877551065334
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12982.385454583578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7670:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.167236148966779, b_new = -1.6270117764731915, c_new = 5.339704366930854
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13639.74093949792
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7671:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8758932600990494, b_new = -0.9621081028757106, c_new = 4.684808036543965
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3633.208155767202
Acceptance probability: 1.765513013516593e-270
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7672:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.969777246987072, b_new = -1.4798234143980404, c_new = 4.738586023117545
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3381.2569845124935
Acceptance probability: 4.654513647717345e-161
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7673:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7649350481689514, b_new = -0.5722503694880666, c_new = 5.344380889716637
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4263.674522934875
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7674:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7707975597739685, b_new = -0.7482975982566417, c_new = 5.387657430806098
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4481.83687586761
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7675:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.994060803216818, b_new = -0.16803137645270527, c_new = 5.783407209990178
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3565.014231399507
Acceptance probability: 7.296523327750609e-241
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7676:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.282693661795607, b_new = -1.3473980706507998, c_new = 5.185102443059967
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12633.70067406023
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7677:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.396680733410301, b_new = -1.2455559763662907, c_new = 4.20606605448618
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7629.204057758336
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7678:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.919191149965803, b_new = -0.6845110443990141, c_new = 4.698985109116267
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3100.0886557122285
Acceptance probability: 5.99415531747643e-39
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7679:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5095986350237474, b_new = -1.157186486106043, c_new = 5.172967825241105
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10141.102090623468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7680:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2713949558956683, b_new = -0.4321456138699704, c_new = 5.461057743899055
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7732.953778463992
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7681:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.190785855920513, b_new = -1.2660069172818975, c_new = 3.9869391075534204
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13449.197106054773
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7682:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.295872208074648, b_new = -1.9447790557773827, c_new = 4.527748209583562
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13508.369364250997
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7683:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.790593316007768, b_new = -0.9276953810843764, c_new = 4.67402107392201
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4703.662969728483
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7684:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5629500802214142, b_new = -0.8181628595840282, c_new = 5.06331349726255
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8657.467388306643
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7685:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7129722666670912, b_new = -0.7158148999312806, c_new = 5.20669453281803
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5451.164676930326
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7686:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.447775595247425, b_new = -1.5816674028751105, c_new = 4.699189930177043
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7939.4301728544815
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7687:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.669162796109563, b_new = -1.2883104225119826, c_new = 5.664551695223126
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7652.192320401726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7688:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.90907578446171, b_new = 0.2222322195905435, c_new = 4.328049146695923
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3157.2924629949794
Acceptance probability: 8.59864749456127e-64
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7689:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.286629023017467, b_new = -0.5052244006685052, c_new = 4.627074265871138
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7508.911579191181
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7690:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.218082505106307, b_new = -0.6269849839098957, c_new = 4.868162647377326
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12210.78278473909
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7691:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.466713737606905, b_new = -0.858081850873905, c_new = 4.669532430570766
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9895.021922247048
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7692:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7622013895103144, b_new = -0.9289315587297092, c_new = 4.960471729892969
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5108.596679297274
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7693:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6599024467416643, b_new = -1.2297180405156967, c_new = 4.928643862998448
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7963.959672044749
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7694:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.511976667543163, b_new = -0.8154001702579958, c_new = 5.173226500085973
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10701.114549487955
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7695:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.705962680144201, b_new = -0.7955775826373737, c_new = 4.022181121913727
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -15023.129392157254
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7696:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.09218645024641, b_new = -0.705744647786338, c_new = 5.530517575348719
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3785.115231216505
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7697:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0469394601443915, b_new = -0.8272860273813534, c_new = 5.145832193675584
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3216.2957896938233
Acceptance probability: 2.039909713573478e-89
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7698:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6267231075820483, b_new = -1.427370811793513, c_new = 5.090870910863668
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10828.256686916213
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7699:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4191633599774773, b_new = -0.6699543926130052, c_new = 4.475560923066834
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9545.76729431277
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7700:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.513525486274449, b_new = -1.3690955717660245, c_new = 5.273185724280829
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10479.950688357832
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7701:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7469960442444474, b_new = -0.9692291277826501, c_new = 5.469275542609634
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5324.230714024001
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7702:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3763263718194194, b_new = -0.3367204540602632, c_new = 5.013644482728545
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9839.059393042706
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7703:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9183237907301596, b_new = -0.10100274970788525, c_new = 4.196287018411637
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3041.7795105103396
Acceptance probability: 1.2620251148596926e-13
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7704:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9596816339641143, b_new = -0.6747289307754833, c_new = 5.661644557184439
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13586.34394065715
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7705:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8460885256092237, b_new = -0.9003617377124811, c_new = 4.863708755512746
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3838.3168468087742
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7706:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5032787681448974, b_new = -0.2610837615544852, c_new = 5.880756280546271
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11817.111459867287
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7707:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4869565218794225, b_new = -0.71263095144974, c_new = 4.759838867370657
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10470.569576756609
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7708:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7273834018806307, b_new = -0.7432070293362095, c_new = 4.551039678045264
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12511.368516768141
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7709:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7368390836031438, b_new = -1.5492541715962689, c_new = 4.863995190835379
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11566.935159224879
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7710:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5154803111029786, b_new = -1.6393534794227227, c_new = 5.096187244506462
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11042.747346823271
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7711:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.10940648218453, b_new = -0.5888392160088953, c_new = 4.948420810579829
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4044.677208024941
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7712:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.833654624540201, b_new = -0.7584777659620607, c_new = 5.103556894168053
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3738.6313955027576
Acceptance probability: 2.89827534e-316
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7713:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.923604788819563, b_new = -1.4722998785508161, c_new = 4.76954895077521
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14675.59543670897
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7714:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.569705573444674, b_new = -0.8367122309889392, c_new = 4.328159743131073
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11014.652664268826
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7715:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1475728315206046, b_new = -1.3058811912604336, c_new = 4.402193310820322
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13625.590096652317
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7716:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.036078825444274, b_new = -1.0130322306307369, c_new = 4.636279369907382
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3045.073117150656
Acceptance probability: 4.684603172673737e-15
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7717:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.229372084825763, b_new = -0.5906598239824988, c_new = 5.109601144836128
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6189.650304559676
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7718:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.925362913935367, b_new = -1.0773608141796598, c_new = 5.471111606915102
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3245.6762963010583
Acceptance probability: 3.546655868028921e-102
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7719:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.811569474464689, b_new = -1.8082656913300834, c_new = 4.468943007794222
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11692.204581265452
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7720:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.971298904326104, b_new = -0.7473975848072034, c_new = 5.587484759245566
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3029.334295848221
Acceptance probability: 3.2059448820302804e-08
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7721:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7625503919174834, b_new = -0.2564847118564323, c_new = 5.300426098139114
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13551.72064046972
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7722:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.028637460931529, b_new = -0.5273574115013114, c_new = 4.346043600220248
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3252.544342648028
Acceptance probability: 3.690323348468895e-105
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7723:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.78652645553243, b_new = -0.9189185418614985, c_new = 6.077906518124573
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4399.3286658049665
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7724:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1736470285423843, b_new = -1.0013056729205982, c_new = 5.302119383692352
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4289.927281567598
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7725:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.65306066897031, b_new = -0.7742888134065947, c_new = 5.048658576456868
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6843.958683800322
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7726:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2925309117902413, b_new = -1.6317643407089588, c_new = 5.3470847767392895
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4942.631025034678
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7727:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.969272801856688, b_new = -0.2712481774282295, c_new = 5.286766317992755
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3213.858653542935
Acceptance probability: 2.333703770842435e-88
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7728:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4810283036125136, b_new = -0.7003575173607719, c_new = 5.216888435601253
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9580.839356600034
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7729:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0039389676259276, b_new = -0.852454837272749, c_new = 5.238707389934065
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3042.3824541241675
Acceptance probability: 6.905782774903929e-14
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7730:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.747903102974838, b_new = -1.3150064992722772, c_new = 4.699262645566527
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11936.47968079576
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7731:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0227419148967014, b_new = -0.4213081642857002, c_new = 5.01606375677862
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13152.467925665407
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7732:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2196380650144443, b_new = -0.9760012053355916, c_new = 4.625304517732985
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12727.284040295419
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7733:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6838318292140266, b_new = -0.9096049106545295, c_new = 4.6600669577652205
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -15046.110039981062
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7734:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1580395695848247, b_new = -1.0643465062559674, c_new = 4.976273823195442
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3908.965594406757
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7735:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.094124075201241, b_new = -1.0474670289773562, c_new = 5.624796874819189
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3403.8471881490796
Acceptance probability: 7.195707869857941e-171
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7736:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.784156083388436, b_new = -0.42386198923930357, c_new = 5.316862071338254
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3802.4943892687897
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7737:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7948003273538613, b_new = -1.483461524005858, c_new = 5.711018012189016
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5566.911372215244
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7738:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9435518465698003, b_new = -0.3612135025894677, c_new = 5.484637063151833
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3082.712686545963
Acceptance probability: 2.1087034986781047e-31
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7739:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1380058337212264, b_new = -0.49261493348245944, c_new = 6.512303527803207
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5127.096680260354
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7740:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7839617327855337, b_new = -1.7953196064927155, c_new = 4.623525812931887
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7053.739333374702
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7741:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4658660987233274, b_new = -1.2709767081930976, c_new = 4.284851628856024
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8861.231589708654
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7742:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.231695427310164, b_new = -1.4306740729998104, c_new = 4.935746188949561
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4272.100774957179
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7743:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.480518981252075, b_new = -0.7402804732870744, c_new = 4.237722528080315
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9994.080077046156
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7744:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5089339574739187, b_new = -0.7062558126952998, c_new = 4.421716636956159
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10628.23379082942
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7745:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.242706692022418, b_new = -0.8109555198453315, c_new = 4.637358002235518
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5710.653606864451
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7746:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4180442017137844, b_new = -0.5412130406626401, c_new = 4.777031243956969
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10209.402372073786
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7747:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.978977953866832, b_new = -0.8845351952950639, c_new = 5.489810939989673
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3016.3753226333893
Acceptance probability: 0.013613400136060114
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7748:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4083522220727933, b_new = -1.31868069482977, c_new = 4.688327783728298
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11727.226018377969
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7749:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.939937109456782, b_new = -1.167921674693922, c_new = 4.943315055418664
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3280.914174227715
Acceptance probability: 1.762800290474496e-117
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7750:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6769499664081726, b_new = -1.3850452016550876, c_new = 4.637204362519025
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11239.340789727717
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7751:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1174633373685463, b_new = -0.7428618753671001, c_new = 4.922502253978291
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3896.3968729056305
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7752:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1825498954883082, b_new = -1.7426396603092695, c_new = 5.64869588078455
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3425.2829382467403
Acceptance probability: 3.5289502897004075e-180
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7753:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9567037732590915, b_new = -1.6992878110352212, c_new = 5.334055125730986
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12981.624594318528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7754:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3949057303847012, b_new = -1.6669528124650705, c_new = 5.274278427592253
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6859.972422609065
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7755:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6303210773196164, b_new = -1.1691183004318457, c_new = 4.455631007407773
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8560.264373692824
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7756:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.730317042113269, b_new = -1.3064537887828052, c_new = 5.220510127139475
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11953.602442409989
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7757:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2865257716956817, b_new = -0.7231631754540325, c_new = 4.974965426486131
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7021.439176577524
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7758:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.588019826576685, b_new = -0.26729537680774007, c_new = 6.072943834034546
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12595.350243939829
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7759:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2732071126477287, b_new = -0.5636224455813872, c_new = 5.082419902138873
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7228.591665265042
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7760:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.147648116194757, b_new = -1.5811624742747405, c_new = 5.211572814510788
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3267.4696680300744
Acceptance probability: 1.2164043566919033e-111
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7761:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.411131621023147, b_new = -0.33106222624746573, c_new = 5.662776360312219
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -15917.78400637184
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7762:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.542946935234134, b_new = -0.008872852455282354, c_new = 5.197754507562421
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7024.293209006455
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7763:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.987853227503155, b_new = -1.5836465206449208, c_new = 5.358735397871663
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3267.6836056405105
Acceptance probability: 9.821233652469116e-112
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7764:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.640119489844738, b_new = -0.5412695635427988, c_new = 5.370412232092759
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12386.215977724429
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7765:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5243541855342144, b_new = -0.606733456526836, c_new = 5.569454242647746
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8631.321310885452
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7766:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.064816154280645, b_new = -1.4599048230009493, c_new = 4.668422143415617
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3024.7151630899334
Acceptance probability: 3.251022083749994e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7767:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.979619014759576, b_new = -1.6697068862785454, c_new = 4.452517702007474
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14717.902366850152
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7768:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.506251086174572, b_new = -1.2947852278510599, c_new = 5.603250116779647
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10313.612801870813
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7769:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2410332939642057, b_new = -1.027049866940101, c_new = 5.08013636145198
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5291.834085989011
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7770:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7209781802845643, b_new = -1.1079427739245096, c_new = 4.613937046323222
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11994.583487363956
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7771:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1805079751997516, b_new = -1.34723739646218, c_new = 3.809576543782165
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3593.543802451566
Acceptance probability: 2.9708498067475214e-253
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7772:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5140862908408215, b_new = -1.7656172584346956, c_new = 5.034021656014406
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11318.383723561134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7773:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.583026869562502, b_new = 0.00574429700816792, c_new = 4.83951613549276
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6338.3487758685515
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7774:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.500149450372137, b_new = -0.7401758414788217, c_new = 4.719748108075439
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10560.477654476903
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7775:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.874544304910185, b_new = -0.8835563988603531, c_new = 4.768960701821404
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3538.538648008127
Acceptance probability: 2.297818635808152e-229
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7776:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0830901870706646, b_new = -1.2536659108277628, c_new = 5.4262623028845
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13642.012641949283
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7777:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4564481300097096, b_new = -0.663879397895266, c_new = 5.851263212464408
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10560.281361222455
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7778:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7825154028988317, b_new = -1.020327048844046, c_new = 4.215742713179701
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12441.448048368211
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7779:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6127277209044717, b_new = -0.9760535285714158, c_new = 5.068225259156741
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8157.338641583407
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7780:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.707546212066047, b_new = -1.0479798382728536, c_new = 5.316146424361022
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6349.6000221305085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7781:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.539677604799693, b_new = -0.8960634464353247, c_new = 5.167444014283686
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9175.19956654925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7782:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.656589844958449, b_new = -1.2546849278163414, c_new = 5.034328240148191
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11367.581746412507
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7783:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2379244448074527, b_new = -1.4237216479206418, c_new = 4.292745318727918
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13274.622657310734
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7784:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.218026727686378, b_new = -0.1530328307594263, c_new = 5.433191060014679
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11398.31255775985
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7785:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2360586777529585, b_new = -0.909250579468661, c_new = 5.019441018094947
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5460.370916282153
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7786:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.831111390535377, b_new = -0.6893617701762581, c_new = 5.0753315984708705
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3681.110517391414
Acceptance probability: 2.7742117034981106e-291
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7787:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.302998728258299, b_new = -1.4545747895723504, c_new = 4.667317722592496
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5331.42551990733
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7788:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7571204857851974, b_new = -1.6337351038197294, c_new = 5.260341571729164
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6917.055732392875
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7789:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.711592971999358, b_new = -1.4456518357970687, c_new = 4.520946061065067
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11417.034298923845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7790:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.355043613410932, b_new = -0.7581118007288882, c_new = 5.603945404166343
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11036.829915501507
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7791:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.383139290659136, b_new = -1.7566302192734442, c_new = 5.767148227884257
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12299.483529948617
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7792:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5325166284989145, b_new = -1.2179388757492364, c_new = 5.831431948291364
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9741.075112256454
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7793:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4241834539111333, b_new = -0.5426955042443946, c_new = 5.159104677039626
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10018.107633193053
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7794:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4830418441522024, b_new = -1.3956088942043738, c_new = 4.623752434541835
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8968.032598658056
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7795:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.082456617247426, b_new = -0.9540532583057313, c_new = 5.114690209582978
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3337.722835416303
Acceptance probability: 3.754179508802331e-142
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7796:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8556680149139932, b_new = -0.853927565026426, c_new = 4.47939547678972
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3738.973296298057
Acceptance probability: 2.05898894e-316
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7797:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0195152713705014, b_new = -0.99597618547698, c_new = 4.249657750996714
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3018.5107433205812
Acceptance probability: 0.0016090338803751863
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7798:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.397610121487761, b_new = -1.41921460512634, c_new = 5.921441038490992
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7822.946292365108
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7799:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7701185833127706, b_new = -0.7685631033940572, c_new = 4.6128114285038775
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4729.835733824257
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7800:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0295642383826986, b_new = -0.7005687018915641, c_new = 4.943540723772425
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3190.671854883149
Acceptance probability: 2.7412234533542953e-78
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7801:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5864828089871907, b_new = -1.0346871633155794, c_new = 4.919999618228311
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11027.41161604385
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7802:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6422587714723265, b_new = 0.15630529249230207, c_new = 5.384679278681952
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4784.890960052318
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7803:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.839513497986772, b_new = -0.7414358672715207, c_new = 3.4377762651023724
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12947.93296824822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7804:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.672452346868179, b_new = -1.1586693206933973, c_new = 4.557745671624042
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11517.840250056153
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7805:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6429916186408313, b_new = -1.56260232131382, c_new = 5.388007857440967
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8972.252055798135
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7806:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.628411953545286, b_new = -0.10253948644452193, c_new = 4.910883872138077
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5704.452176706962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7807:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.358066421150308, b_new = -1.460651964112421, c_new = 5.013837671405586
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6546.450481953214
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7808:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.228433094634527, b_new = -1.9335893802993736, c_new = 5.198876829950885
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13697.16126599152
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7809:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1959708873967143, b_new = -1.5480923938252702, c_new = 5.266731266853615
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3715.934168432865
Acceptance probability: 2.086508280168744e-306
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7810:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.232677302329351, b_new = -0.5693788429659591, c_new = 5.5679431836599065
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11836.143185947582
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7811:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5574248107312547, b_new = -0.8308397319701359, c_new = 6.085045566746534
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11443.728854480574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7812:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9034356563102763, b_new = -1.0038880142657143, c_new = 5.142290384051673
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3369.878258811743
Acceptance probability: 4.069978274607495e-156
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7813:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.959704766480182, b_new = -0.9064450231309404, c_new = 5.003280989571244
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13783.276502211407
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7814:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.704769444913036, b_new = -1.1300521778731045, c_new = 5.443579591496948
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6577.69708056126
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7815:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.454061050229721, b_new = -0.7296547663635298, c_new = 4.124505426333927
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10346.906817911735
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7816:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3834027798809663, b_new = -0.9330196892563148, c_new = 4.770917478108947
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11297.984666460989
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7817:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.197112422792449, b_new = -1.2417422994988216, c_new = 4.755464847688165
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14419.153764014645
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7818:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.207415477404473, b_new = -0.7394868955471956, c_new = 5.469361049278794
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5473.202699905734
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7819:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4125999366147397, b_new = -0.9543461913836878, c_new = 3.951584480474723
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11299.396088348114
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7820:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.157340420155237, b_new = -0.5886411924852379, c_new = 5.570495313029577
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12400.220202806478
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7821:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4373544210162184, b_new = -1.001926717120563, c_new = 4.449177982694072
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10952.836776357031
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7822:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.093259554423028, b_new = 0.246869151539306, c_new = 5.3001219713916985
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5676.776741915233
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7823:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2814738048442336, b_new = -0.7973184743541363, c_new = 5.484166308460684
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6901.153228257648
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7824:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2514966867644617, b_new = -0.7851587138845526, c_new = 5.063973623010341
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6115.458055936318
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7825:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.236588355607772, b_new = 0.3363807790391078, c_new = 4.6314073602618615
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8884.571227213457
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7826:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.016804026082924, b_new = -0.7607218560265643, c_new = 4.75121180170413
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3085.9109284474534
Acceptance probability: 8.610665312552529e-33
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7827:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8923200821417616, b_new = -0.4843178484847681, c_new = 4.915948341571749
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3102.316528825311
Acceptance probability: 6.459144383376629e-40
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7828:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4127398236014996, b_new = -1.0831780982481056, c_new = 5.916830428985892
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10902.728210375351
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7829:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7405029890964756, b_new = -1.0871688041927394, c_new = 4.980784441593007
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5897.713695846764
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7830:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1213218020806215, b_new = -0.5275541029441815, c_new = 4.35206447879275
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4168.684187567605
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7831:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.532964666979564, b_new = -0.5149132048916438, c_new = 5.041438995539716
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8456.900321389207
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7832:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.046370248310889, b_new = -1.3543917295874102, c_new = 4.046013150719542
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3042.159836825642
Acceptance probability: 8.627686929430195e-14
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7833:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1890234692924273, b_new = -0.46996783051937563, c_new = 5.505450010779133
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5809.717420365621
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7834:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6510132398454407, b_new = -1.2364287723443377, c_new = 4.544230753203791
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11208.588497970726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7835:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3280398348607934, b_new = -1.1555332476526063, c_new = 5.474911892080134
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6904.8841331599615
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7836:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0309090399741176, b_new = -1.4903220190992106, c_new = 4.779364633653791
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3069.78021269073
Acceptance probability: 8.72002141087046e-26
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7837:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.045380226315267, b_new = -0.1407546850108068, c_new = 4.912889519961487
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3960.4968419062293
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7838:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8306277224070637, b_new = -0.49570749078265186, c_new = 4.946830504854205
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13558.538261774804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7839:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9125652131030875, b_new = -0.9716428482652837, c_new = 4.26464509699995
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13298.813600395968
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7840:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.084179598528815, b_new = -0.5845854731285794, c_new = 4.095128524197573
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14424.428893953238
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7841:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8980996396230374, b_new = -1.5547314045229585, c_new = 4.636865559443157
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4287.39915454376
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7842:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8526502621878933, b_new = -0.4987540792025755, c_new = 5.244551208687481
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3288.126067221893
Acceptance probability: 1.3005222357013547e-120
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7843:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4720591325376864, b_new = -0.9421431414043445, c_new = 4.924333372669252
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9879.584111567205
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7844:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5751081624942005, b_new = -1.3882997413835976, c_new = 4.708084436712739
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10237.534429344596
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7845:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0427613507164417, b_new = -1.4473173992042647, c_new = 4.492773401373245
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3046.4071815260922
Acceptance probability: 1.233945593538394e-15
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7846:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.305935403031862, b_new = -1.0914821566709085, c_new = 4.887548002323185
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6386.165520409149
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7847:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.726873316929189, b_new = -1.07575949072167, c_new = 4.95727956438325
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12174.009168683575
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7848:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3721795152542353, b_new = -0.3121782447145991, c_new = 4.257528765055461
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9550.03604758246
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7849:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.19764283881355, b_new = -1.515289780228529, c_new = 4.1608615235560915
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3612.1607562428135
Acceptance probability: 2.4414081776211574e-261
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7850:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6010004031652625, b_new = -1.4348088178375775, c_new = 4.756617443684485
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9601.45243641808
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7851:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7776756758231023, b_new = -0.2631728420744903, c_new = 4.86559774316333
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3735.7159501471133
Acceptance probability: 5.34935564e-315
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7852:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.666928605538321, b_new = -1.4509731881179322, c_new = 5.012782681184226
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8385.279989754245
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7853:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8624035542223605, b_new = -1.4798614906930225, c_new = 5.058987863792559
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12601.54215379279
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7854:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7577825802330995, b_new = -1.2317312630326136, c_new = 5.304483839412364
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5806.764361072954
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7855:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8832808382156707, b_new = -0.2141352973031988, c_new = 4.462892688862565
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3058.277211361563
Acceptance probability: 8.633910727979573e-21
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7856:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3763037697469436, b_new = -1.5354853091116676, c_new = 4.528437750661102
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6562.257060579361
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7857:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.171877116823021, b_new = -0.5571895048000882, c_new = 5.510558286747378
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5254.442989457798
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7858:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.927790178004994, b_new = -1.3812844135119569, c_new = 4.94945824233743
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3599.3306503324866
Acceptance probability: 9.113487327540938e-256
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7859:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.720734589320589, b_new = -0.8222659894435931, c_new = 4.763576863271107
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5699.5646233141415
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7860:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.262286334934256, b_new = -0.9441032247706125, c_new = 5.021863744412781
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5902.5566768272665
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7861:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3301088092440967, b_new = 0.2366788790060479, c_new = 4.672629719251521
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9850.727774752342
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7862:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6322857960742687, b_new = -0.24410331260243945, c_new = 5.185980758315956
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12691.581426126926
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7863:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.801154534335034, b_new = -0.5612706143722366, c_new = 6.50851787392275
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3628.783072775634
Acceptance probability: 1.4745518497499156e-268
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7864:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9138397064334285, b_new = -1.0543975309199702, c_new = 4.276276374868339
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3458.143897173625
Acceptance probability: 1.8893499599876993e-194
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7865:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5560267719348775, b_new = -0.3340875127728583, c_new = 4.615850095352979
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7765.915140498786
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7866:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0091688992964194, b_new = -1.7017252841317918, c_new = 4.31072273215275
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3373.419463245187
Acceptance probability: 1.1794147266363058e-157
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7867:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.086524883706892, b_new = -0.6205777771630345, c_new = 4.478893469260253
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3643.7699751213645
Acceptance probability: 4.570156357317082e-275
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7868:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.613029432409448, b_new = -0.6659979491112761, c_new = 5.144231912548323
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7329.237156202971
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7869:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7661156447511814, b_new = -0.004722675544333588, c_new = 5.118599239135776
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13815.33870537007
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7870:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2116333751576938, b_new = -0.4661332311513456, c_new = 5.5026890877166
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6304.556704495051
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7871:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3317531514481598, b_new = -0.7914596168655739, c_new = 4.8332576301387995
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7753.762308793836
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7872:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.556776362983098, b_new = -1.4791548419718683, c_new = 5.488380820970533
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10093.762748990886
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7873:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.764243803441669, b_new = -1.6714407678073477, c_new = 4.816894316662075
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11601.921641336392
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7874:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5901249485124183, b_new = -0.713420851081255, c_new = 4.927126164512616
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7966.5690291770825
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7875:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3139556315316616, b_new = -0.871646107833879, c_new = 4.67943239795774
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7085.97743687575
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7876:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.861870985244886, b_new = -1.0696349116888244, c_new = 5.072468802094415
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3859.589217080092
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7877:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1793720600050346, b_new = 0.5206176916568064, c_new = 5.430269085178216
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8541.978977589179
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7878:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.3712069648957712, b_new = -0.9301130745855761, c_new = 4.2933127143801375
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -15979.282903141602
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7879:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.657034355470763, b_new = -1.0315201976745512, c_new = 5.4224358685074
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7304.53040695113
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7880:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0340338456701765, b_new = -1.4412012652413717, c_new = 4.945511075343271
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3037.9268953858846
Acceptance probability: 5.946172267901272e-12
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7881:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8431823612731186, b_new = -0.5639419589162336, c_new = 4.909954717928649
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3450.6678849042505
Acceptance probability: 3.33505717713861e-191
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7882:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9901955865187224, b_new = -1.4169120862269367, c_new = 4.909656386889662
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3178.9710648392975
Acceptance probability: 3.307752366713137e-73
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7883:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4084144830863, b_new = -0.8925019685654658, c_new = 4.638801244424688
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11010.165519569091
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7884:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8866003200460835, b_new = -0.613070439078363, c_new = 4.693699939227034
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3212.4165215321773
Acceptance probability: 9.87087613987076e-88
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7885:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.612132543568029, b_new = -0.8763761975695501, c_new = 4.334284881075399
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -15306.818857499338
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7886:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9343817804041443, b_new = -1.2564972155763707, c_new = 4.264736680339875
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14560.893280385386
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7887:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3768820649185454, b_new = -0.11171936627519563, c_new = 4.183076308775379
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10083.363113812273
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7888:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.025025555752716, b_new = -0.9993819511744771, c_new = 5.477297542408581
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3057.323932761779
Acceptance probability: 2.2398100524986348e-20
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7889:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6624583405031284, b_new = -0.8771714425020074, c_new = 4.36616359136814
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7178.469438672361
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7890:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.148973993768304, b_new = -1.3876211572498602, c_new = 4.595214653363076
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14062.178145374754
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7891:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8181355865862217, b_new = -1.521042823942144, c_new = 5.018391925863924
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5440.778516786526
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7892:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.772060501134605, b_new = -0.7501846411050828, c_new = 4.665912486317946
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12828.965943798336
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7893:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7865082857730363, b_new = -1.0168395355432698, c_new = 4.229732096305552
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5096.197005770692
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7894:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6702658233198244, b_new = -0.7591778407639193, c_new = 4.645203566475229
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12102.19391316231
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7895:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3994661974820284, b_new = -1.5498194227013666, c_new = 5.27695062899691
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7265.757245686206
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7896:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.265452243990216, b_new = -1.7366331556509849, c_new = 5.553988576413375
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4357.840689191562
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7897:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6997423223746293, b_new = -1.6005554930429868, c_new = 5.028754954789469
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8132.507299390651
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7898:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.137315903244217, b_new = -0.6615297544651633, c_new = 5.044867269608681
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4322.022027142819
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7899:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1509500781219155, b_new = 0.07452380127530156, c_new = 4.2332028767102114
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6000.911956284306
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7900:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2788719358850864, b_new = -0.9509183596976868, c_new = 4.896062442690087
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6190.641664387232
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7901:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.922067115136328, b_new = -0.4704353280723684, c_new = 5.177797944347099
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3031.2717655741762
Acceptance probability: 4.618741331692864e-09
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7902:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3795964490470514, b_new = -1.0404378957390579, c_new = 4.981186742338126
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11449.824032063454
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7903:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.678451681208742, b_new = -0.7415462634108376, c_new = 5.198242833596664
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6191.97378557736
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7904:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.3672786899401075, b_new = -1.4189365157298528, c_new = 4.010836041661722
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -16348.727704096125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7905:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6049589613466857, b_new = -0.5288987270217117, c_new = 5.350036855978442
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7066.685800398309
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7906:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.74395022940044, b_new = -0.5167733674302872, c_new = 4.989988268696799
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4553.821268442843
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7907:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0272093996929983, b_new = -0.7273695449467124, c_new = 4.94195653842203
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3160.9383904537463
Acceptance probability: 2.2440057657050473e-65
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7908:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1666856311255502, b_new = 0.38781520387888646, c_new = 4.82922467342563
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7545.430501759364
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7909:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4710031852403658, b_new = -0.549483682800018, c_new = 5.408138805209651
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10805.105591419297
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7910:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.990484581271969, b_new = -1.0317840393927877, c_new = 5.01368228131962
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3018.1506796966673
Acceptance probability: 0.00230642232871348
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7911:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4853134639115426, b_new = -1.1947996321015486, c_new = 4.101572552874337
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9269.11124216053
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7912:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2986268189151784, b_new = -1.0311652425262705, c_new = 4.8659491024443975
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6385.380943745967
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7913:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9270367534986423, b_new = -0.45263772099560046, c_new = 5.012218805689267
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14095.50291939982
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7914:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.098368456191384, b_new = -0.33404434750938283, c_new = 5.395524493711461
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12511.146216711413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7915:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0561995576314382, b_new = -0.7414065871435424, c_new = 4.605007048271681
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3282.431920185426
Acceptance probability: 3.864153935934656e-118
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7916:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.393301786123664, b_new = -0.45581094068367317, c_new = 5.901527667507743
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10159.893890107864
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7917:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8120450403487545, b_new = -1.3456203304950949, c_new = 4.920191540053408
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5169.5657144335555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7918:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.416094917981353, b_new = -1.3113297193016111, c_new = 5.223638797721469
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8211.370987866661
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7919:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.460243349883382, b_new = -1.3296733346631684, c_new = 4.848000080026354
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8824.450016133713
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7920:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.44229891705896, b_new = -0.9953154174931247, c_new = 4.590742934880532
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9212.42439318809
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7921:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.886561406336534, b_new = -1.84865912351485, c_new = 6.068587584999727
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4645.3761400055955
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7922:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.007648522586066, b_new = -0.10878966579595595, c_new = 5.365047831241503
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14849.186381474654
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7923:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.176640113323263, b_new = -1.0259395843185037, c_new = 5.67351141672828
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4381.276655617887
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7924:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.302669791341205, b_new = -1.4598746792640438, c_new = 5.422551846962173
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12579.204246864505
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7925:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4947148126131933, b_new = -0.4093712585465704, c_new = 5.656213276319785
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8634.545831930278
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7926:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8137573820198374, b_new = -0.7486059821100917, c_new = 5.6038189062477555
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3861.7633597393187
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7927:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.395358721536938, b_new = -0.9389045760295814, c_new = 4.392185508325056
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8467.1241848073
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7928:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6669403217658627, b_new = -0.8695457622383614, c_new = 5.335550667511516
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12113.333591871047
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7929:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4589818316964074, b_new = -0.511267506403049, c_new = 5.4139815331664485
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9433.83989145396
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7930:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8571424202064801, b_new = -0.2112924489455854, c_new = 4.857164255718842
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13776.098570052465
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7931:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5113624757986828, b_new = -0.9726692435515626, c_new = 4.944514194994697
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9819.222530395893
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7932:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.174950322982961, b_new = -0.5958285514671808, c_new = 4.33597223500173
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4856.078898424343
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7933:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8084851327437277, b_new = -0.2609747064029063, c_new = 4.386442656676722
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3503.483907693241
Acceptance probability: 3.849426490367842e-214
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7934:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.058662754259325, b_new = -1.8373563301670028, c_new = 4.034779096315194
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14671.37178851003
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7935:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.35271926252603, b_new = -1.255907502565149, c_new = 5.037089938616217
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12015.415616059367
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7936:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.259130909094252, b_new = -0.5464377878753166, c_new = 5.179015510445597
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7003.990667832724
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7937:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.577062406350243, b_new = -1.4477318944240063, c_new = 5.775499044226519
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10476.196561317132
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7938:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.518592781502001, b_new = -1.7462078084389137, c_new = 4.98507274973594
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11248.360465336591
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7939:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1520127430103972, b_new = -0.7885469621451611, c_new = 4.828451630594999
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4249.069038866159
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7940:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.056516169465749, b_new = -0.6640856721815765, c_new = 5.1200179161556205
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14473.162742243532
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7941:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7348704597845637, b_new = -1.2704996613020225, c_new = 5.3383824836006735
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6364.005665307896
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7942:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.420772384670043, b_new = -0.9749578412962917, c_new = 4.8755306449329225
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9007.867326850417
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7943:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.159964735360641, b_new = -0.8954536922755458, c_new = 4.677215995209236
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14564.471218006154
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7944:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.771325584051162, b_new = -0.9852283724737683, c_new = 5.5665267797356695
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4897.784815226623
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7945:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.238388178318508, b_new = -0.44053757159943946, c_new = 5.3734419626792125
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11660.393475783101
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7946:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2506528933975387, b_new = -0.1491257518033703, c_new = 4.95492024922344
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7892.467541509799
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7947:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.599607133241426, b_new = -0.4730136335752333, c_new = 4.780974554112757
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7227.336865709585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7948:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4446507158973168, b_new = -1.3099222495167604, c_new = 5.131409771916109
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8705.070859313237
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7949:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4454231819658547, b_new = -0.9135273155921034, c_new = 4.681711896882854
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9475.12775982749
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7950:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.322020876017601, b_new = -0.8263573123028821, c_new = 4.30147638925295
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -15077.422944328768
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7951:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9428306954074173, b_new = -1.131435547230498, c_new = 5.402239337173692
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3190.015362152038
Acceptance probability: 5.285129211125193e-78
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7952:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.034150995438155, b_new = 0.447708108710672, c_new = 4.479905858848392
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4788.39329300481
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7953:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9879971239806205, b_new = -0.5905450348338925, c_new = 5.412590175968959
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3112.0193243538006
Acceptance probability: 3.9473390912086843e-44
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7954:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2130814709566744, b_new = -1.4062967830609763, c_new = 4.289237545360509
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3939.12562008462
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7955:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.728236045257223, b_new = -0.9618869615443028, c_new = 5.417401917995394
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5681.2164342550195
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7956:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.792311894851479, b_new = -1.7268601223900193, c_new = 5.4340581310573715
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6353.163690979196
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7957:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.032729663041209, b_new = -0.6186414658815531, c_new = 5.219311785462471
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14442.242142574623
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7958:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0221269814414935, b_new = -1.5979516315575073, c_new = 5.1650107134705605
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3120.2050365993814
Acceptance probability: 1.099752041434564e-47
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7959:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4563852674513824, b_new = -1.3661478557548143, c_new = 5.510740041156014
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11061.653814151712
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7960:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6386765896884836, b_new = 0.03560730472327134, c_new = 4.957792198675332
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5194.518112369986
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7961:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5068265555634204, b_new = -0.9038514406659295, c_new = 4.031623857795847
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10119.031630405067
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7962:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.850306416756541, b_new = -0.3191370662925874, c_new = 4.9740040225009325
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13861.606696874162
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7963:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.699221724074452, b_new = -1.4462108346002833, c_new = 4.847125601486726
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7788.456003229431
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7964:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.380270096094794, b_new = -1.4287528875482696, c_new = 5.1850726900320305
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7157.7728791960835
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7965:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.946913761021391, b_new = -1.6558680358632651, c_new = 4.508055352384573
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3860.5339791086553
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7966:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5282699257836097, b_new = -1.3434545509634161, c_new = 5.369598809820702
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9961.576308821552
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7967:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9057390294415923, b_new = -1.1202602071593766, c_new = 4.616019337993417
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3549.560526803913
Acceptance probability: 3.754694496823911e-234
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7968:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4653548075103493, b_new = -1.1319837544436187, c_new = 4.64852976040244
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10810.315276584053
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7969:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9612777499991467, b_new = -1.033184069112005, c_new = 4.970319391890073
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3086.2703099116434
Acceptance probability: 6.011174317204467e-33
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7970:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6072606284703603, b_new = -0.3026170165895904, c_new = 5.295806112425626
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6474.52305811577
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7971:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.992678217443505, b_new = -0.03077304464588637, c_new = 5.160184363260739
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3603.1534909105094
Acceptance probability: 1.992718835252132e-257
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7972:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.126101846497897, b_new = -0.7697844749112421, c_new = 5.078590205181835
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12943.593708229286
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7973:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.258173605745093, b_new = -0.5320826113565557, c_new = 5.577621080214303
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7189.767973156775
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7974:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2169030990583827, b_new = -1.613214697638658, c_new = 6.384126569638372
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13077.645636967221
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7975:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.949983305196552, b_new = -1.5276433076562932, c_new = 5.555996257567081
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13195.482362669161
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7976:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7207172954550374, b_new = -0.9978250374992038, c_new = 5.084648730036467
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6032.304260628961
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7977:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.259116306232123, b_new = -2.0715682431577824, c_new = 5.27680250460744
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3722.5866578562204
Acceptance probability: 2.69327478427647e-309
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7978:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.304276964785901, b_new = -0.8285880091082785, c_new = 5.530967980393491
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7333.422398405068
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7979:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.920965022786337, b_new = -0.8371229632189603, c_new = 5.1209577846791925
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13695.573836545416
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7980:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7735852322812136, b_new = -1.1768574798669293, c_new = 5.142735915216826
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5416.37159318804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7981:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2408399613695904, b_new = -1.098551704097326, c_new = 4.305582158915948
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4901.28153061877
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7982:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7367528384214372, b_new = -1.535209697842669, c_new = 4.71478581274617
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11546.94241189311
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7983:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.525020532697094, b_new = -0.5588011752838197, c_new = 4.921248033984401
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8730.698269863631
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7984:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7438823667959809, b_new = -0.629873154924347, c_new = 4.515797032851169
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14651.11242831734
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7985:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8998425775222296, b_new = -1.2601181910735617, c_new = 5.353813087286606
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3654.0943695015626
Acceptance probability: 1.5000424533692895e-279
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7986:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9806131500754613, b_new = -0.9095812160319675, c_new = 5.6719288638767145
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3018.397463738582
Acceptance probability: 0.0018020294582409971
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7987:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0540061138422367, b_new = -1.8052234774549116, c_new = 5.09414422918685
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14403.703135355312
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7988:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2226671329993275, b_new = -1.6138011537723411, c_new = 5.644489455213234
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13234.644725743987
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7989:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.583651099175615, b_new = -0.7663102981922134, c_new = 4.544091994735214
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11327.765327741628
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7990:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.68258637986566, b_new = -0.9895610798015517, c_new = 5.134586538034622
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12007.04353413224
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7991:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.080356870265496, b_new = -0.2640433321856882, c_new = 4.417981420977957
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4085.613508957368
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7992:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.876533269643749, b_new = -1.534609377089586, c_new = 5.0895697197517995
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4445.706122802794
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7993:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9548707594293093, b_new = -0.6623148564516824, c_new = 4.322672473062269
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13848.667919260659
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7994:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2653607716507445, b_new = -0.003838352462082084, c_new = 4.3518467209074
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8385.627803528023
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7995:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5413448255386806, b_new = -0.13506450706607553, c_new = 4.437561349526765
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11912.9065969624
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7996:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0828360657244684, b_new = -0.7971878285124001, c_new = 5.593799979960746
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3580.0814889370236
Acceptance probability: 2.0868400805452868e-247
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7997:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7343379733754998, b_new = -0.6725528102943812, c_new = 6.128126352063815
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13086.798635571822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7998:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.354877537005632, b_new = -0.06716701816324244, c_new = 5.171437359640842
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10191.404329482875
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7999:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.516066519254225, b_new = -1.3203192899987952, c_new = 3.4965243820085083
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10978.617765208426
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8000:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3098314910359834, b_new = -0.6234755608426568, c_new = 5.464782171010338
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8019.698902923721
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8001:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.710805159200056, b_new = -1.7925680724864197, c_new = 4.698852280013585
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8580.25539960279
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8002:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.472804320282489, b_new = -0.9990406939471552, c_new = 4.555157926025114
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -15414.527884230949
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8003:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.122829742144136, b_new = -0.23377757585037873, c_new = 5.856268035113326
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5238.610858997369
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8004:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.284479722621222, b_new = -0.4537833535734114, c_new = 4.521219143304554
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11526.254896873612
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8005:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.340367384621537, b_new = -0.785808528253541, c_new = 5.211694920908179
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8102.549292209456
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8006:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.2559970605369095, b_new = -0.6345903313075746, c_new = 4.114305278099031
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14985.825101192037
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8007:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1772199887453874, b_new = -0.6726395816556726, c_new = 5.89664625254915
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5208.188204985257
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8008:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8857539331007467, b_new = -0.3379453973690145, c_new = 5.238152989116544
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3067.8489852151843
Acceptance probability: 6.015046474583509e-25
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8009:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5694542641793015, b_new = -1.41968667445372, c_new = 4.498115821613145
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10054.311556899092
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8010:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.740823528823711, b_new = -0.9439347275534147, c_new = 5.249541126424265
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5449.016903154074
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8011:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1224125833411964, b_new = -0.8321563391031791, c_new = 4.26556407948949
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3703.7338746704245
Acceptance probability: 4.1489707314401336e-301
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8012:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.095946822822383, b_new = -0.8376410866347845, c_new = 5.696663720975225
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14603.340697143394
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8013:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.167273251768504, b_new = -0.6833545771822334, c_new = 4.300228509986127
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4540.85022334666
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8014:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6998293863783065, b_new = -1.1259248885580981, c_new = 4.765339248953377
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11846.673169951198
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8015:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2814269606364546, b_new = -0.8379794740444824, c_new = 5.3077711608295
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6714.546412364569
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8016:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2009919391517005, b_new = -1.189700991876252, c_new = 4.416407542453784
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4144.931457201587
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8017:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6398361637489667, b_new = -0.8118948036014324, c_new = 5.595722047717452
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12057.045213424937
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8018:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5920806835750687, b_new = -1.2654024322860233, c_new = 6.146639258575605
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8843.244985695916
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8019:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1839421537063473, b_new = -0.6536174071234422, c_new = 4.816035030439704
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5027.617655303986
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8020:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.696935636664764, b_new = -1.0743847748460427, c_new = 5.204311267853647
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6679.226768895032
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8021:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.948323211832197, b_new = -0.9236395235219509, c_new = 5.51600651213725
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3060.321553833778
Acceptance probability: 1.1177917477837446e-21
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8022:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4489465370102623, b_new = -1.1088538634574905, c_new = 5.055435153312569
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10820.960212629101
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8023:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4243684223630018, b_new = -1.0050837366859648, c_new = 5.370850948167611
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10805.909329530943
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8024:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.854200037901653, b_new = -1.0427529368232185, c_new = 5.45441652309767
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3837.1728646059405
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8025:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3264051115559536, b_new = -0.8984543688875325, c_new = 4.524175640951963
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7220.072525569664
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8026:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1345237780939255, b_new = -1.2619126762256605, c_new = 5.780275891659909
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13295.24645201675
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8027:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.583002167270615, b_new = -0.1937097988062172, c_new = 5.713955099707883
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12553.922551932126
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8028:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0429196909059804, b_new = -0.9908582631825439, c_new = 5.644624248131369
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3135.8937539827593
Acceptance probability: 1.6895513242832222e-54
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8029:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.977200517796129, b_new = -1.1108186465402519, c_new = 5.1449239880849
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3057.766488407018
Acceptance probability: 1.4388373894319477e-20
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8030:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5469330042448415, b_new = -0.7712152355119584, c_new = 4.775647352539915
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11028.755085168319
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8031:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1137356824313893, b_new = -1.42489483459745, c_new = 4.7481331872577845
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3149.557069056201
Acceptance probability: 1.9672930068895763e-60
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8032:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4239181104595873, b_new = -0.7730708177338593, c_new = 4.302549853592835
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10728.813428104719
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8033:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.622713881546396, b_new = -0.6598713823882808, c_new = 5.638253062261519
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12156.714724832838
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8034:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.182612315554749, b_new = -0.23984255295804913, c_new = 5.665199492484874
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6375.187690583473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8035:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5090867773547925, b_new = -0.7437732010444142, c_new = 4.586055849083361
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10613.291959841914
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8036:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9562985310232484, b_new = -0.7609163691190755, c_new = 5.501053880850745
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3021.89550251504
Acceptance probability: 5.4523402278119744e-05
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8037:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.889814549993118, b_new = -0.6931887119586385, c_new = 5.1270516977280485
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3212.0416364059092
Acceptance probability: 1.436039031189099e-87
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8038:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9462439518099584, b_new = -0.6419763994518399, c_new = 3.7398123317169647
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3052.7801943752474
Acceptance probability: 2.1063556304638483e-18
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8039:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.676950880414219, b_new = -0.4026802002341556, c_new = 4.516690466489381
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14692.514825134145
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8040:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5422034346657263, b_new = 0.09803130519524206, c_new = 5.011248193751565
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6841.319845904918
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8041:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.793333743599993, b_new = -0.34349863794854574, c_new = 4.451498198797079
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3738.1445407115143
Acceptance probability: 4.71604557e-316
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8042:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6227437168373235, b_new = -1.1435705977976252, c_new = 4.9070271842622155
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8459.594234054392
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8043:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9308003030401277, b_new = -0.22278457455141976, c_new = 4.20385385898899
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3032.8423181735566
Acceptance probability: 9.60376032751219e-10
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8044:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.051167393209742, b_new = -1.0485473774591203, c_new = 4.8092258696268635
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3082.556661847406
Acceptance probability: 2.4647687792834146e-31
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8045:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3679462409513152, b_new = 0.050415242703713226, c_new = 5.130011825619566
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9605.393415636116
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8046:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.827904031829941, b_new = -0.9719799861914401, c_new = 4.3711903021472285
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4297.330629934169
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8047:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.984051310969638, b_new = -0.4545850948265664, c_new = 5.831703753418293
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3222.05168477555
Acceptance probability: 6.454423734823941e-92
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8048:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3751629299704726, b_new = -0.3460527891414783, c_new = 4.3402710216157425
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9548.985051406196
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8049:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2332869035995393, b_new = -0.6441370913887512, c_new = 4.79244737086069
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6008.45234887444
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8050:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.534096743909014, b_new = -0.4323497244353467, c_new = 4.726159691021237
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11457.053012133045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8051:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3790323992888096, b_new = -0.47747847423653794, c_new = 4.379873935792439
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9315.542023542106
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8052:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.658425308932496, b_new = -0.7918201501004326, c_new = 5.2635854444386965
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14907.798040253156
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8053:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.737572465198236, b_new = -1.443850352596471, c_new = 4.9088341585297774
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11733.928783950667
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8054:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7292232220443635, b_new = -0.03866498220243486, c_new = 4.896277523792748
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13510.815848453058
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8055:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4780266034791074, b_new = -1.2842983491421076, c_new = 4.9387619607008455
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10854.523843672965
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8056:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.316748862440389, b_new = -0.7806068853730312, c_new = 5.20729721644681
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7611.893140390366
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8057:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6907236087181245, b_new = -0.9549745918892347, c_new = 4.728113539134922
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6664.812718060351
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8058:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8978521785164095, b_new = -0.9535159306406048, c_new = 5.112629409963114
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3368.6312892243673
Acceptance probability: 1.41626362797006e-155
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8059:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1907430105798666, b_new = -0.6337123104143458, c_new = 4.7586664612076115
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5178.114507822447
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8060:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.724755556900191, b_new = -0.20087977513693678, c_new = 4.743255063496853
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4324.7386674452
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8061:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5868935108641695, b_new = -1.573680427686372, c_new = 4.726404883351094
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10130.545375879949
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8062:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6001117418344046, b_new = -0.7416934849809655, c_new = 4.546056582867368
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7991.0529775354225
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8063:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6766543594742487, b_new = -0.8990008564282908, c_new = 5.388703923534773
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6567.897714834553
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8064:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0987080429416443, b_new = -0.6886460694019424, c_new = 5.381115732246898
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3852.8273093161774
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8065:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4101052541133186, b_new = -1.089685161784427, c_new = 4.54720602232334
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8416.399913992707
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8066:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.996211250594284, b_new = -1.4037561368269933, c_new = 5.375356122286088
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3104.787181029757
Acceptance probability: 5.459896039421696e-41
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8067:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.995639607899884, b_new = -2.0630159481157797, c_new = 4.672459014850124
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12635.204491915076
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8068:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2048786770966315, b_new = -0.561262755083572, c_new = 5.411204814141652
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5860.680315754082
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8069:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6689170014888957, b_new = -1.1495107116645045, c_new = 4.869256830599671
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11587.501385975022
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8070:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.482537745623845, b_new = -1.06516491636996, c_new = 4.646728015896196
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10476.72521941795
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8071:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.107584411486322, b_new = -1.2885342653240826, c_new = 4.614015563993939
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13758.736623902487
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8072:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.235710936459185, b_new = -0.7599853466767408, c_new = 4.854742069824583
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5774.370904689267
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8073:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4789444330892336, b_new = -1.4267689800499823, c_new = 3.869563794828416
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8586.72928300565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8074:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4577417633164567, b_new = -0.5884971398085206, c_new = 4.253433190131833
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10185.023173093932
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8075:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9493819380013586, b_new = -0.7303523311530602, c_new = 4.781771883875707
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3030.493887300392
Acceptance probability: 1.0054300995744886e-08
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8076:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6599994030859326, b_new = -0.7365919878266638, c_new = 4.869521519297521
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14941.077603347192
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8077:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.92206473930763, b_new = -1.153851313424677, c_new = 4.790095658741059
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3418.326888256435
Acceptance probability: 3.703562409010854e-177
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8078:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7155507667330634, b_new = -0.3690766867085239, c_new = 4.87856836340635
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14456.554445958964
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8079:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.457722258356147, b_new = -0.611210522231316, c_new = 5.269903045496321
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10479.91388544366
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8080:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.204114233070772, b_new = -0.7562132584342383, c_new = 5.759106765331322
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -15071.142058333555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8081:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1445990881455876, b_new = -0.26265937491487734, c_new = 5.637063890743019
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5503.258158322298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8082:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7040840112712345, b_new = -1.6795035747916391, c_new = 5.410792351881362
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8106.753600212294
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8083:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.2040543415758735, b_new = -1.5052816378527596, c_new = 6.204495619356846
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14533.61694173589
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8084:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9504264357378986, b_new = -1.7909261325888832, c_new = 4.39771490089815
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14944.657477552631
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8085:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.99199668360245, b_new = -0.27364305676302625, c_new = 4.834121767622376
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13199.247638311968
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8086:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.681061051977373, b_new = -1.3144654712914883, c_new = 6.342836078080841
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7230.410995361573
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8087:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.115817981205633, b_new = 0.18139530139435278, c_new = 5.2965510358492445
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11770.164213209111
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8088:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8524086657540737, b_new = -1.2278428888090147, c_new = 5.509803286681067
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4134.710930636923
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8089:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.864109795135487, b_new = -1.1136598648863358, c_new = 4.644062164525657
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3987.883993223357
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8090:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0868714182440984, b_new = -0.7839037636637055, c_new = 5.051856032161769
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3542.531768770621
Acceptance probability: 4.2376534192384795e-231
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8091:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4798080278855794, b_new = -0.6854123944585473, c_new = 5.376776475742442
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9515.517669443743
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8092:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1457295895972326, b_new = -0.585526844413113, c_new = 4.965689097654014
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4574.466919600457
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8093:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6876595660549576, b_new = -0.5136971312197531, c_new = 5.670404189888461
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5321.502815069918
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8094:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4007551151900968, b_new = -0.5460153784636432, c_new = 3.5907190871296977
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10806.23492181609
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8095:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1320997866698614, b_new = -1.4756034458782614, c_new = 4.088606002873201
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3173.7669230772044
Acceptance probability: 6.020922528702219e-71
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8096:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7099985053731896, b_new = 0.2887224878799268, c_new = 5.238091008331546
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3721.0021799127126
Acceptance probability: 1.3134413738765522e-308
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8097:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.788177329289471, b_new = -0.7402765791633024, c_new = 4.818917932884712
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4344.30652064093
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8098:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6425374310278666, b_new = -1.205773689161629, c_new = 4.658406722471756
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11210.79661617028
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8099:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.03305620370069, b_new = -1.132567466031277, c_new = 5.387891058274052
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3032.457280530702
Acceptance probability: 1.4114355011612675e-09
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8100:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6802371140780443, b_new = -0.8864869257446992, c_new = 4.609160765740549
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6743.480515494389
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8101:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5903186724432445, b_new = -0.9143477026154224, c_new = 4.661381770739296
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8562.67836295348
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8102:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.453904221129126, b_new = -1.055447387913354, c_new = 5.384316027934374
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9533.849038950071
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8103:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.390120965949354, b_new = -1.856969688433632, c_new = 5.156549264443878
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12570.156566239937
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8104:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3327146684867164, b_new = -0.8337119093975899, c_new = 4.611071342919795
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7568.75650712481
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8105:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3591064769417303, b_new = -0.8478219454069861, c_new = 4.9448582357757385
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8210.413264003375
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8106:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6380190778583907, b_new = -0.3823100382465908, c_new = 5.0754675306850645
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6138.2759317976
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8107:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0527328149531447, b_new = -1.3905188676004314, c_new = 4.996377753696961
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3016.9712082376086
Acceptance probability: 0.007501995167899896
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8108:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0978332625981917, b_new = -1.5838453684237677, c_new = 5.4233056841795
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3057.9305214593705
Acceptance probability: 1.2211613921396573e-20
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8109:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.807199573932315, b_new = -0.7809911502868163, c_new = 5.060439819173496
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4096.365185730466
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8110:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3164851568419675, b_new = -0.4649230990088081, c_new = 4.984045086660499
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8411.793080772804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8111:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.140746132916292, b_new = -1.37231321417535, c_new = 5.291299179278235
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13507.812818834034
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8112:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0910488421946956, b_new = -1.3245535808539923, c_new = 5.6264098506489795
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3160.434389957141
Acceptance probability: 3.714570479740543e-65
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8113:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7673929166360614, b_new = -0.7629162352063817, c_new = 4.581163812829624
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12760.544220872405
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8114:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.575137507250215, b_new = -0.9666414635100442, c_new = 5.139960618425941
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11094.20393576726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8115:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9665771747330916, b_new = -1.2952122704911886, c_new = 4.952170723011236
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3216.4056176088798
Acceptance probability: 1.8277352529988405e-89
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8116:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.154219120555096, b_new = -1.0291307175547237, c_new = 5.142408557046268
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3949.5115031899873
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8117:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.369748327826292, b_new = -0.5199841379975629, c_new = 5.460788075761237
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10516.016375645328
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8118:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3950566846102577, b_new = -0.5791345245068962, c_new = 5.07650494619719
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9593.95698263735
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8119:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5061257322121535, b_new = -0.5015163009392167, c_new = 4.766396883255371
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8952.452893332224
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8120:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9164220220758192, b_new = -0.5892614317209334, c_new = 5.008426762844622
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3060.953477700835
Acceptance probability: 5.94182491662647e-22
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8121:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.448199325913797, b_new = -0.6657842843967252, c_new = 5.291981572636827
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10254.431114303166
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8122:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0090243891746535, b_new = -1.3514357988869212, c_new = 5.217914702290815
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3052.0035496698806
Acceptance probability: 4.57956479273106e-18
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8123:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3221610501648002, b_new = -0.5162608044242935, c_new = 5.522285875202116
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8608.551730781704
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8124:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2306583884660816, b_new = -0.9977602498757281, c_new = 4.6378451741809705
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5035.449778738288
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8125:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8201658824933373, b_new = -1.772270500110598, c_new = 5.52310655095501
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12067.339190314191
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8126:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5482833926975035, b_new = -0.44802636544837154, c_new = 4.790492500658965
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11584.750782028397
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8127:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3527138939265013, b_new = -0.8392747609272342, c_new = 5.072080084300554
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8153.799112177939
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8128:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.951922614804249, b_new = -1.1828565579945565, c_new = 3.9194703111463203
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3345.062091004679
Acceptance probability: 2.4384667134030267e-145
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8129:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7543153606913995, b_new = -1.223331744452126, c_new = 4.649782316542554
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12094.255956014309
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8130:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0625042070908877, b_new = -1.025614282927283, c_new = 5.6844601720989925
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3215.5640528310455
Acceptance probability: 4.240335576878636e-89
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8131:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.310501231051993, b_new = -0.8550180496502954, c_new = 4.499720490738896
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11921.148944643519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8132:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.986264732049542, b_new = -1.0104487062501326, c_new = 4.9592836577774095
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3021.0654942743795
Acceptance probability: 0.0001250405706400069
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8133:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.732353926653879, b_new = -1.0655572993753823, c_new = 5.469981000868325
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5839.375069296204
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8134:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.012420730822456, b_new = -1.5267853920266246, c_new = 4.77801024759901
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3155.5276036383425
Acceptance probability: 5.022255755501623e-63
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8135:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7966700320177833, b_new = -0.26557087285526626, c_new = 6.107076257130082
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13945.477682894263
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8136:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.16244828491072, b_new = -1.8417933377716094, c_new = 4.378798907903352
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3147.345347839839
Acceptance probability: 1.7964178756266177e-59
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8137:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.037478562337467, b_new = -0.82538084855647, c_new = 5.968075035004116
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3255.5143868824202
Acceptance probability: 1.8931742944494666e-106
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8138:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2613018913292677, b_new = -1.7986047084488848, c_new = 4.254740085941517
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3951.695456413474
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8139:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.143824028606034, b_new = -0.4738278336141499, c_new = 5.1078632522421605
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4817.3378616931
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8140:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9799916832722646, b_new = -1.3043119175809639, c_new = 4.544632974217595
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3192.5258932461857
Acceptance probability: 4.292850937947678e-79
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8141:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7100927393908125, b_new = -1.635634941528319, c_new = 5.035868015183542
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8014.484056726913
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8142:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.031233673191996, b_new = -1.3861126833620008, c_new = 5.499037182668015
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3014.9362938953836
Acceptance probability: 0.057402241310026414
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8143:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.021505368281766, b_new = -1.867212435511203, c_new = 4.797698972386735
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3371.210903679158
Acceptance probability: 1.0735734897673946e-156
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8144:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2328547867820236, b_new = -1.6409161574617936, c_new = 4.3129127100293445
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3846.342003446393
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8145:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.934243403284336, b_new = -1.0793984582040754, c_new = 4.305890904389942
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13306.332685819649
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8146:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9791490492714616, b_new = -0.41838116192394437, c_new = 5.002848974813233
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3135.567791146692
Acceptance probability: 2.3406433820321423e-54
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8147:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4477153332940023, b_new = -1.3783990244256243, c_new = 4.778780260587616
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8468.349577257319
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8148:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.217064895430055, b_new = -1.2660755422025372, c_new = 4.800517845891335
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14482.079787971488
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8149:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2830728306778307, b_new = -1.8012537157312418, c_new = 4.112957727119531
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4200.259797582419
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8150:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5904618649756057, b_new = -1.2356811625365192, c_new = 4.915812698001538
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9244.554752266306
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8151:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.479280178609739, b_new = -0.9337767557652717, c_new = 4.946455193841488
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10001.474892299346
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8152:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.271002512182178, b_new = -0.6852602471961584, c_new = 4.750931121493964
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6699.831340939733
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8153:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.443843527742445, b_new = -0.8301495773585298, c_new = 4.773661104364773
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10449.009572143705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8154:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.209136764552935, b_new = -0.5848727314955985, c_new = 3.807689607758877
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5338.2375957615495
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8155:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4831451639613897, b_new = -0.04253005720170999, c_new = 5.05400823828334
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8200.160308955732
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8156:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0314081136395714, b_new = -1.090738980691876, c_new = 5.637086676863234
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3050.932538536801
Acceptance probability: 1.3364675951842606e-17
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8157:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6839496122531488, b_new = -0.7996968573019597, c_new = 4.955977283280493
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12234.997339201338
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8158:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.677095611895252, b_new = -1.109451856747434, c_new = 4.189760439591398
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7579.683532888468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8159:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.786101224505039, b_new = -0.494443738019681, c_new = 5.883507799398308
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3785.774028639954
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8160:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8170793299006536, b_new = -0.7730737908080927, c_new = 4.592855251525024
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4054.2814206845724
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8161:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9045291087603986, b_new = -1.2962072992680334, c_new = 4.980729517695542
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3719.6480091952594
Acceptance probability: 5.087677365122504e-308
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8162:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8971954440754297, b_new = -1.4985085790865962, c_new = 5.117350610306776
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4083.011794962251
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8163:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.278410838466126, b_new = -0.4840863496337391, c_new = 5.120551835672397
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7591.909450822345
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8164:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3901636805673987, b_new = -0.7843125190460247, c_new = 4.650607417639557
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8857.862604539714
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8165:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5953084387054566, b_new = -0.9344363034684133, c_new = 4.961987584933036
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8411.478209161147
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8166:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9825595152472693, b_new = -0.8593723568566669, c_new = 5.274143648766227
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13752.796016959961
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8167:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.565995138368591, b_new = -1.2950685337226078, c_new = 5.01649842120109
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10392.90198634706
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8168:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.573478929072727, b_new = -0.9311064091578979, c_new = 5.00461041706177
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11096.265375665214
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8169:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9234176421025815, b_new = -0.7509474620240977, c_new = 5.902517381627228
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13992.687576283963
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8170:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1387166282406445, b_new = -0.4238413773730453, c_new = 4.39531535720934
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4632.547819769028
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8171:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.944263943044759, b_new = -0.3485800403473902, c_new = 4.126948498578149
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3024.053051283887
Acceptance probability: 6.303350013569568e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8172:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.092472948445238, b_new = -1.2199861953329592, c_new = 5.415854234527315
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14165.417567116881
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8173:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.061743984435927, b_new = -0.9167345614203911, c_new = 5.365068347374738
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3259.758855105368
Acceptance probability: 2.7154478783071373e-108
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8174:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4841524941572524, b_new = -0.9298886253728779, c_new = 3.5061667007482487
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10585.296417260943
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8175:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.203252373870454, b_new = -1.1681568898354786, c_new = 5.561714268339888
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4483.291185399588
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8176:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9852995256454706, b_new = -1.0924552609499576, c_new = 5.133431797408328
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3034.03130534816
Acceptance probability: 2.9246287453401264e-10
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8177:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3819854213245755, b_new = -0.13012195241158409, c_new = 4.7794743650946545
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9872.992642063731
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8178:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.716936277182142, b_new = -0.8305529003964051, c_new = 4.60149031673957
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5849.880755879161
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8179:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8016827326583686, b_new = -1.4322969925355449, c_new = 6.48937538961915
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5077.255467671976
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8180:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1078140709590065, b_new = -1.7081156398137458, c_new = 4.591178189916551
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3047.2555857002594
Acceptance probability: 5.282490931618988e-16
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8181:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.849458778237678, b_new = -0.0898714463849517, c_new = 5.04779751549451
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3102.19269291742
Acceptance probability: 7.310654235953908e-40
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8182:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9549208520553227, b_new = -1.075161005659217, c_new = 4.49221646605373
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3172.9816360143386
Acceptance probability: 1.3204102204972333e-70
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8183:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2700592216233773, b_new = -0.20341600733575838, c_new = 4.664027780619678
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11226.680575126738
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8184:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6905086386217647, b_new = -0.41424877977200675, c_new = 4.735914187138201
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12741.26091632514
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8185:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9434243661524944, b_new = -0.2656454628736319, c_new = 4.885587894139241
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3078.18570070963
Acceptance probability: 1.95011618601987e-29
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8186:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6389398601847356, b_new = -0.9997505259765804, c_new = 4.853787184273261
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11551.140962711874
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8187:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.672730521538862, b_new = -0.8463188835403126, c_new = 5.010669144450478
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6644.805568724703
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8188:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4102583087064153, b_new = -0.9371435828544769, c_new = 4.891904477345171
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10989.269163189172
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8189:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6497708171090686, b_new = -1.185329731648275, c_new = 3.840044650589168
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11084.603263898967
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8190:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7385730326549433, b_new = -0.8787873895491154, c_new = 4.613584383818822
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12427.798135936586
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8191:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7996952311287657, b_new = -0.27776191153358354, c_new = 5.3520106956560305
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13745.504330712061
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8192:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.585396311125415, b_new = 0.3127978513817782, c_new = 4.93622940267447
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5553.61367954126
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8193:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3640372873869717, b_new = -1.6344807879092431, c_new = 4.720574013356335
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12577.186710501652
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8194:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6513076981160983, b_new = -0.39391891787508704, c_new = 4.258367543845088
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6175.669502209917
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8195:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6279825312594705, b_new = -1.0210504974221948, c_new = 5.020305907652961
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8002.03178811874
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8196:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0307906210908304, b_new = -0.3310177743154239, c_new = 4.580897225705881
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13112.312939819889
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8197:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1606204727026377, b_new = -0.8464230217234916, c_new = 4.529609859681358
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4198.358017118255
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8198:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9599324366104922, b_new = -0.8216843334402262, c_new = 4.781897468120805
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13931.925585067049
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8199:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0990678724006573, b_new = -1.4909315864528758, c_new = 5.040670903618257
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3078.3588846174357
Acceptance probability: 1.6400144381860337e-29
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8200:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8138101567324347, b_new = -0.8965333731309981, c_new = 3.9041058112709806
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4486.119867755868
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8201:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6012679720470744, b_new = -0.7150865765053301, c_new = 5.314952206981957
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7621.907399529651
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8202:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.061759690855159, b_new = -0.6237063905476312, c_new = 5.280548018835837
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13099.379193904186
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8203:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4450188052291213, b_new = -0.37413865637814037, c_new = 5.39565291188307
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10831.644964975749
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8204:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.564721631187235, b_new = -1.4265128050687048, c_new = 5.022548492313908
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10015.124752274814
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8205:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3667304478803524, b_new = -1.0364850420316485, c_new = 4.3883905271418895
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7641.357448872024
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8206:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.462628883162059, b_new = -0.5417942371600595, c_new = 4.7060466788993836
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9672.52482836309
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8207:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9129580093755663, b_new = -0.7957386690587659, c_new = 4.221075161355049
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3235.5641538879327
Acceptance probability: 8.739099843786185e-98
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8208:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8782639884728214, b_new = -0.5735605350573587, c_new = 5.087624345492179
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3200.9973970438436
Acceptance probability: 8.987076858623053e-83
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8209:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.114147026781898, b_new = -0.6950512403610564, c_new = 4.892931222449148
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3923.229122665967
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8210:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6887975044708137, b_new = -0.39307635423615395, c_new = 5.197436033427865
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12886.381508938555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8211:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.734391409692725, b_new = -0.09348464261469236, c_new = 5.36697787801701
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3916.556611902173
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8212:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4124527383761794, b_new = -0.49901687694338215, c_new = 5.108663308259266
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10093.486799805609
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8213:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1946119270766045, b_new = -1.1899586920485032, c_new = 4.907728005365471
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4162.768507456759
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8214:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.622318135343949, b_new = -0.6981468757911149, c_new = 4.8620887921723
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11867.964309215107
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8215:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5768574811005247, b_new = -2.0666278885571607, c_new = 5.96940529041316
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9360.786157634713
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8216:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5037480168934754, b_new = -1.1698811038703845, c_new = 4.64344988478901
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10421.455025814797
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8217:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.163515936940845, b_new = -0.030146796608369164, c_new = 5.079212489098114
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -15364.838000245358
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8218:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.150029285307824, b_new = -0.38318919151346353, c_new = 5.299303127962192
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5193.263023877047
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8219:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.261228968014597, b_new = -0.223148360889862, c_new = 4.656019021855899
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7781.33606428087
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8220:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2197389980238755, b_new = -0.6946900593930185, c_new = 5.373642257667591
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5801.4641210149575
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8221:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6519024599717267, b_new = -0.886607701078143, c_new = 5.434098305676811
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11997.176726375183
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8222:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.729622629707879, b_new = -1.6540523144299795, c_new = 5.184209708067754
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7595.733088360089
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8223:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5628657760153617, b_new = -0.9486397896747263, c_new = 5.056911195772133
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8968.610562357106
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8224:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7990820008938533, b_new = -0.817328977596965, c_new = 5.45490866931351
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4181.2965714566635
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8225:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6348405437266877, b_new = -0.7701046753918518, c_new = 5.477702991698125
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12043.6470382863
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8226:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1292170710224236, b_new = -0.9337848561434006, c_new = 5.754233119917338
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12950.81665584402
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8227:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.274652452905041, b_new = 0.08542110667583858, c_new = 4.030514120011634
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8701.320793561936
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8228:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8921897226532516, b_new = -1.1670753820356499, c_new = 4.761809391514304
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3717.6490566110597
Acceptance probability: 3.755377843631525e-307
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8229:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.764863072098093, b_new = -1.1866669045345706, c_new = 4.482086216856443
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5837.833871807309
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8230:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.574918607141052, b_new = -0.989962646236602, c_new = 5.132139953043281
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11050.318165720772
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8231:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0020297562143172, b_new = -1.2247014596516217, c_new = 4.042726708415419
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3098.2207060298133
Acceptance probability: 3.8812197397136056e-38
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8232:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8648053996572647, b_new = -0.5601214447612557, c_new = 5.067607999252839
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13697.367110587362
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8233:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.664467745388562, b_new = -0.0794889167149907, c_new = 5.665386620723706
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4815.404397523862
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8234:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.744427464979463, b_new = -0.3089383413282143, c_new = 5.621800841355427
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4061.163903799286
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8235:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.011600689910316, b_new = -1.513892118455026, c_new = 5.192810506463048
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3114.9333039836683
Acceptance probability: 2.1418012213763338e-45
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8236:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.031980364671048, b_new = -1.3420051241572415, c_new = 5.777313505938329
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Acceptance probability: 1.437013321367425
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8237:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.397148268672641, b_new = -0.7850981518686987, c_new = 5.536124108365531
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10661.167794972756
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8238:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1799571338415036, b_new = -0.5270542247520629, c_new = 6.150959026182028
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5715.285085070062
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8239:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.23755177261369, b_new = -1.6351173150314662, c_new = 5.701892964664512
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4172.817964814925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8240:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4556507761598807, b_new = -2.0565375831532533, c_new = 5.550950552513077
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7179.594696268727
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8241:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.800700122275321, b_new = -1.3052314648961278, c_new = 6.075833969479595
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4934.736917754932
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8242:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0546811141872623, b_new = -1.5709224666224648, c_new = 5.034468881490371
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -14191.591927226442
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8243:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1557081637296864, b_new = -0.8143491793087768, c_new = 6.762256342416006
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4790.436023493875
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8244:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2459198838675736, b_new = -2.100119256368555, c_new = 5.487040516452603
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13717.675632400293
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8245:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.587783787192773, b_new = -1.013847306130409, c_new = 6.103956213213093
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8331.128792531747
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8246:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6631263420766413, b_new = -1.919193922496293, c_new = 5.109876957711425
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9622.57388142566
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8247:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.361601732523405, b_new = -0.7614708945872963, c_new = 5.844970915230925
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10906.230539956894
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8248:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9813142307458262, b_new = -1.5900909942053447, c_new = 5.161098719471757
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3342.7163789222477
Acceptance probability: 1.77168231875565e-144
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8249:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.098087278062897, b_new = -0.9436440783562674, c_new = 6.757682954925001
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3766.9363196403256
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8250:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.294891409601396, b_new = -1.2359270175462052, c_new = 6.327967203320169
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -15102.034911838537
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8251:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9260069436897647, b_new = -0.829682351889956, c_new = 5.235264555410031
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3109.9538150479993
Acceptance probability: 2.167119875366233e-43
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8252:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9468239431811067, b_new = -0.13931442397178628, c_new = 5.513972340446989
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3221.251423363282
Acceptance probability: 9.998751958260845e-92
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8253:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0304094071882526, b_new = -1.3929039999653994, c_new = 5.182955076945401
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3023.9465104571946
Acceptance probability: 4.879560672233767e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8254:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0262657436761793, b_new = -1.2462441375710513, c_new = 6.086848558534413
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3022.0719846140673
Acceptance probability: 3.1803649035854616e-05
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8255:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5460681544500234, b_new = -2.3391867738371848, c_new = 5.6672369843447985
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11808.10048430087
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8256:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.002138942964124, b_new = -0.6533916665897374, c_new = 6.324575056266033
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3231.4155106437993
Acceptance probability: 3.852465652334542e-96
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8257:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.937823045263822, b_new = -1.741761933234668, c_new = 5.471245664067656
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3886.655464101316
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8258:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2803746657661326, b_new = -1.4741410953704386, c_new = 6.387805159476573
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5393.721522609037
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8259:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.556534952081473, b_new = -0.7216262800074755, c_new = 6.109413896086736
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8178.640100068804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8260:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.335509340616866, b_new = -0.8409524967086759, c_new = 5.275584743067047
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7871.349139884704
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8261:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.412398272573368, b_new = -1.7592588612295748, c_new = 4.982241005794016
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6876.577252571566
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8262:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1050436098048575, b_new = -0.9851891000473668, c_new = 5.361230565313262
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3524.193385616518
Acceptance probability: 2.7159592611720303e-223
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8263:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.181763467813709, b_new = -2.3299964688340347, c_new = 5.87474004826454
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3085.1351153695377
Acceptance probability: 1.3016890561888514e-32
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8264:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.337437636918915, b_new = -2.682777984338596, c_new = 6.440383481330181
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3977.794917249934
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8265:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.223170249128172, b_new = -1.896164075004814, c_new = 6.069633390053198
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3687.6300279778516
Acceptance probability: 2.846369866260792e-294
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8266:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.186188706500016, b_new = -1.5333467021665048, c_new = 5.108071255826705
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13490.753904858155
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8267:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.16179875990391, b_new = -1.9925599812116834, c_new = 5.817888362855416
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13817.71295059952
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8268:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3736869468863064, b_new = -0.9964793364233115, c_new = 5.66404437730759
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8384.189161884331
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8269:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.478096501972522, b_new = -1.676948025968842, c_new = 6.134967556623607
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8760.728269292707
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8270:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.772708644066161, b_new = -1.9044436020778979, c_new = 4.947183247057863
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11376.286444619438
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8271:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.354831389424022, b_new = -0.3100647062464317, c_new = 6.435625602346701
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10119.202385245255
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8272:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.316942607327898, b_new = -1.0009097177090036, c_new = 6.193635132996739
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11604.616000340688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8273:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.98910003022468, b_new = -2.2148269971507855, c_new = 5.271051465225187
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4059.308348816692
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8274:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.051200352743631, b_new = -2.326483685761506, c_new = 5.4544736739745225
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3519.3524896287045
Acceptance probability: 3.4379350391915655e-221
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8275:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8047048576823244, b_new = -1.491789754389596, c_new = 5.65368069376212
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12359.19589616734
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8276:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0940617791935208, b_new = -1.8539123160260988, c_new = 6.591182430869085
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13932.031391613375
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8277:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4058755597468164, b_new = -0.8918540943760669, c_new = 5.344506380994201
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10814.323293171252
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8278:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.316520015785314, b_new = -1.5905930810356854, c_new = 5.60609618347067
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5557.912399996834
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8279:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3067798412025193, b_new = -1.2130881739517723, c_new = 6.39955549084761
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11941.717454754253
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8280:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.009082918902389, b_new = -0.842134185133319, c_new = 6.277294109930347
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3134.9267449772124
Acceptance probability: 3.0922690237483e-54
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8281:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9748944418718204, b_new = -1.5173337360624832, c_new = 5.4133971052241625
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3289.486976500637
Acceptance probability: 2.320713869002134e-121
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8282:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1246625268608272, b_new = -1.9437287365338034, c_new = 5.7686184197371055
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3041.700285939489
Acceptance probability: 9.506354324664757e-14
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8283:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.363630444291071, b_new = -1.6765374278971727, c_new = 5.631461948012962
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6310.629036067805
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8284:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.537429357359895, b_new = -2.023344150386247, c_new = 5.427003858579659
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11406.210467482057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8285:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3087159991293205, b_new = -2.2675758052139114, c_new = 5.3760322180207245
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4042.8371629243557
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8286:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.002528041271667, b_new = -2.837960095745599, c_new = 5.90926610165053
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4895.514057269796
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8287:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0950826846942805, b_new = -1.6349855622812584, c_new = 5.2246220040662354
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3036.9537469909583
Acceptance probability: 1.0949887845953804e-11
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8288:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.19204818166302, b_new = -2.0362250577703342, c_new = 5.724394074085758
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3255.877450257487
Acceptance probability: 9.163331209529346e-107
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8289:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9691582246428907, b_new = -0.9581675561112124, c_new = 5.744036824461771
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3024.3920254590303
Acceptance probability: 3.1253309694214844e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8290:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.119816079409849, b_new = -1.7802501061469487, c_new = 5.200127246442473
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3055.695773710627
Acceptance probability: 7.940555524511262e-20
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8291:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5090990823000885, b_new = -1.4555263495365836, c_new = 6.357239234798733
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10346.282189835612
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8292:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.220938031452843, b_new = -1.7197843590358133, c_new = 5.304553237560429
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13461.561202696354
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8293:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9081184202547186, b_new = -0.898055658219425, c_new = 6.227425446337488
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3167.3204082210514
Acceptance probability: 2.641727849193147e-68
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8294:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4947301038351997, b_new = -1.1212126259376431, c_new = 5.018670303036076
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9851.198930811068
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8295:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.28767542657022, b_new = -1.9613989973705177, c_new = 5.970007477142884
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13179.178969733293
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8296:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.530585958587006, b_new = -1.0336575365404093, c_new = 5.975369610360107
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10770.370806096436
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8297:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9897347317880927, b_new = -1.737783872455326, c_new = 6.479932482458849
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3256.4750168869004
Acceptance probability: 5.041194975652109e-107
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8298:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.657126974792873, b_new = -1.4048884752855748, c_new = 5.086614829435721
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11154.60141866229
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8299:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.676160984237525, b_new = -1.0671099605217838, c_new = 5.8498877417919815
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12048.421890154557
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8300:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2162443996199794, b_new = -1.012439459971744, c_new = 6.002099762753227
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5161.564816144416
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8301:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.541546869233043, b_new = -1.1794483044491915, c_new = 5.896215496888327
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9513.470696602493
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8302:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6000749761394215, b_new = -0.5263945662686083, c_new = 5.651532454986917
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12176.278466065494
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8303:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8317265466001267, b_new = -1.2397522817824411, c_new = 5.332572089634946
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12772.957995822639
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8304:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1125214068985976, b_new = -1.3791090977616858, c_new = 5.817022664002625
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3260.6542472256324
Acceptance probability: 7.718214073000292e-109
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8305:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1964044039952166, b_new = -1.1671743722749106, c_new = 5.961412246050067
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4485.46392214644
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8306:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1613961763518525, b_new = -1.7867302768234123, c_new = 6.142734437719355
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13645.098882109853
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8307:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6007629874990967, b_new = -1.713976187909957, c_new = 6.102923717384335
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10366.157927026812
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8308:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6723298993162254, b_new = -1.3050416813003034, c_new = 6.023444924921341
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7498.813138130797
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8309:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5904643086788064, b_new = -1.5153883042231435, c_new = 6.517535256532877
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10735.251746636448
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8310:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1797920486716458, b_new = -1.1289033403705127, c_new = 5.412292632031854
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4177.740611873214
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8311:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5380652440314564, b_new = -0.6273565594468135, c_new = 5.7417919642886455
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8395.548674265947
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8312:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4842878053354873, b_new = -2.0683473212782717, c_new = 5.9777054305554875
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7858.295772597702
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8313:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6082447348212923, b_new = -1.3727061990776455, c_new = 5.764024823793043
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10933.123634320425
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8314:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4656496531540366, b_new = -1.2821173226986107, c_new = 6.089545967625255
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9457.214917511981
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8315:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.478779354470541, b_new = -1.5368186809589948, c_new = 5.735441272750635
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11053.570613965678
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8316:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.787041138393784, b_new = -1.7284200065415027, c_new = 5.832876088074611
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6318.42507819342
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8317:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7633865240709317, b_new = -1.9388751865824636, c_new = 4.705440740908102
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7892.175306332794
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8318:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8589567728204366, b_new = -1.3985536971489712, c_new = 5.97933698574806
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4230.969841343442
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8319:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5392654825481595, b_new = -1.2523772025709905, c_new = 5.522481605604326
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10320.463892117868
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8320:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3976691032365736, b_new = 0.044151687036368736, c_new = 6.188648723778213
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11370.252462585482
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8321:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1622467707670774, b_new = -1.2735476203901472, c_new = 5.647390012974947
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3784.609695232188
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8322:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9948223851218603, b_new = -1.5694938465448904, c_new = 5.773114851605058
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3174.352392847508
Acceptance probability: 2.333113971913005e-71
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8323:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.018261595003954, b_new = -0.8224707295305488, c_new = 5.655089430581787
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13456.41677307199
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8324:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8500753503109135, b_new = -1.9934455345269975, c_new = 6.077060553068247
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5630.819851741144
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8325:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.864519610193379, b_new = -1.4591537115703097, c_new = 4.803057479328302
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12576.45892347927
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8326:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1842144353255897, b_new = -1.844537817733206, c_new = 5.804715336852511
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3361.6751398217634
Acceptance probability: 1.0344288122862825e-152
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8327:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.30924927068057, b_new = -0.7463368217518943, c_new = 5.784267653664434
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -15397.633251439409
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8328:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.991813987678114, b_new = -0.963096543541422, c_new = 5.9594612946879
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3027.10323319891
Acceptance probability: 2.076985452775214e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8329:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.355384892602081, b_new = -0.4748851970351933, c_new = 5.604142626528224
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9386.581382471297
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8330:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.130059150595524, b_new = -1.583009174243809, c_new = 5.457452161586674
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3185.2839279255354
Acceptance probability: 4.172829032620139e-76
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8331:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.593722206929858, b_new = -1.423754628702074, c_new = 5.786371862297295
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9312.324604181935
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8332:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.476353682314496, b_new = -1.4135889475737216, c_new = 6.238250893094221
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10693.705136653556
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8333:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9367541831770674, b_new = -1.0460606216298005, c_new = 5.442033644915694
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3164.053014866791
Acceptance probability: 6.932645266261025e-67
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8334:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.15723372363741, b_new = -0.9620779982684169, c_new = 5.266474106189559
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4122.957887689685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8335:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.097995241239125, b_new = -1.5017306066051532, c_new = 4.98064135712526
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3069.6610696721473
Acceptance probability: 6.835966293856898e-26
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8336:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.435889283952828, b_new = -1.8629538443310039, c_new = 5.2685068301501365
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12175.569340284377
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8337:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.344741794068633, b_new = -1.0155176892046327, c_new = 5.631158570904194
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7719.150341395683
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8338:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3916926207728904, b_new = -1.2341855281193743, c_new = 5.567560339147858
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8065.593566987771
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8339:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1232323781711773, b_new = -1.1078160948215008, c_new = 5.33370378836976
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3544.7460260320368
Acceptance probability: 3.2212536994742226e-232
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8340:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.239039375724319, b_new = -0.46429697567805983, c_new = 5.330912817707518
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11700.502248904932
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8341:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8490389065960384, b_new = -1.5112947102931213, c_new = 6.168206021121265
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12765.236420169607
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8342:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.118730188572456, b_new = -1.3695662168579255, c_new = 5.8005467565583695
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3307.6716467402434
Acceptance probability: 2.938459148607652e-129
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8343:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.173374563841215, b_new = -0.697365927408549, c_new = 6.071358730646833
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5137.935868018723
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8344:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5916667789181265, b_new = -0.9380397855302107, c_new = 5.461233191834776
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8304.077597695014
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8345:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2036259595808603, b_new = -1.0296278561153338, c_new = 5.995485936207654
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4896.899361607726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8346:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4563598565874636, b_new = -1.4024454869575644, c_new = 5.719673451624114
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11060.609031203248
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8347:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.244041867606225, b_new = -1.3012600034068116, c_new = 5.659851958605345
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4902.906410181917
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8348:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.422784363681225, b_new = -0.7599865500681229, c_new = 4.922225805525717
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9556.837506806794
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8349:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.261412316390166, b_new = -1.630205296665383, c_new = 6.045029652161754
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4617.423124177863
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8350:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.426178706364519, b_new = -0.836044257674617, c_new = 6.021331081443001
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9837.482850432767
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8351:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9870359778941435, b_new = -1.3142361442497388, c_new = 5.654853877768605
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3079.3874129871574
Acceptance probability: 4.080399464238942e-30
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8352:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3304407929191577, b_new = -1.2477364997059521, c_new = 4.609407238266401
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6388.499996113496
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8353:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9856805143762517, b_new = -0.7192910973320199, c_new = 5.6920626562167245
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3068.2450767306777
Acceptance probability: 2.816811814179276e-25
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8354:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.710931934387113, b_new = -0.8869103574692697, c_new = 5.779424510005771
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5720.014570701564
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8355:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.794562721449275, b_new = -0.7910033764922021, c_new = 5.270431156260062
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4239.08913840891
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8356:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1836256413451687, b_new = -0.7165397862374594, c_new = 5.748390648385057
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5173.131649840141
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8357:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0100513145423595, b_new = -1.8532307606168361, c_new = 6.2031563248091155
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3251.3669796943686
Acceptance probability: 8.335388775675648e-105
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8358:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.727568980462586, b_new = -0.6947824877828829, c_new = 5.378802049267614
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5085.812336007128
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8359:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0511920551045275, b_new = -0.986555938428564, c_new = 5.398765478624029
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3155.238275531713
Acceptance probability: 4.667578504926073e-63
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8360:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2575120683075265, b_new = -1.3720230432416136, c_new = 5.566359502097249
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4955.77076027684
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8361:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0507055865962314, b_new = -1.8417716290815855, c_new = 5.849115106064648
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3085.378076332436
Acceptance probability: 1.0209174994393225e-32
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8362:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.496475217320191, b_new = -1.604125576204534, c_new = 5.809250856395877
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9113.598375789983
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8363:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7300659037439687, b_new = -1.320914528592888, c_new = 6.070990876491792
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6334.5562913286385
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8364:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3875648131462777, b_new = -0.7374373312744196, c_new = 6.452508196568326
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10412.349462061036
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8365:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.474157006063301, b_new = -2.566257840193674, c_new = 4.625199019923022
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6012.595332722792
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8366:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1269844898017167, b_new = -1.2179874593456803, c_new = 6.0339984461023475
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3563.4240229454035
Acceptance probability: 2.4904276980922497e-240
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8367:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7646588492278275, b_new = -1.3720323725022194, c_new = 5.497424305306699
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12194.009454744111
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8368:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3265625948743547, b_new = -0.5885745304364679, c_new = 6.690910744444515
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8996.102179635725
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8369:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.007123491732493, b_new = -0.9451392197265447, c_new = 6.137441451149343
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13527.138192432416
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8370:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.385960658427235, b_new = -1.9461842037779662, c_new = 6.1325653025554026
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6245.423541932664
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8371:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.879486764256616, b_new = -1.585532837130261, c_new = 6.590150238383203
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4133.601331899945
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8372:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.319668012722038, b_new = -1.7472781920609242, c_new = 5.6600200664619456
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5263.216150254857
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8373:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.782076365875732, b_new = -1.58353810324029, c_new = 5.595213411607362
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6121.416836477766
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8374:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.99112010951466, b_new = -1.1536476504552522, c_new = 6.708884959174453
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3029.0034086546575
Acceptance probability: 3.1059734544654774e-08
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8375:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9048350184920073, b_new = -1.5791930706089294, c_new = 6.258630166244163
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3872.6571341234994
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8376:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3484488848550287, b_new = -0.057311537900281984, c_new = 5.478358201549682
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10235.431403200057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8377:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.140206924586569, b_new = -2.198287355738234, c_new = 5.431735857220469
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3051.62620573789
Acceptance probability: 4.647739743988096e-18
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8378:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1334401275718906, b_new = -0.4635503619701008, c_new = 4.980200501632876
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4630.623678183696
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8379:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0492943675780007, b_new = -0.7676155819579759, c_new = 6.01087421072251
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3394.7078988108415
Acceptance probability: 4.663969026372076e-167
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8380:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.903866524611125, b_new = -1.05867134425487, c_new = 5.166544873120098
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3416.585270523107
Acceptance probability: 1.4707330246189907e-176
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8381:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3358839964240383, b_new = -1.4264216760241317, c_new = 5.479846429477851
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6336.259396025662
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8382:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8235491758493523, b_new = -1.0565783591212812, c_new = 4.722763642033061
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4428.415329725413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8383:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5392946116123545, b_new = -1.7957790371538218, c_new = 5.3050028822708315
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10993.408843637806
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8384:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.95726048657786, b_new = -0.688056864253807, c_new = 5.229562331047317
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -14048.050329857528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8385:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6515098816251483, b_new = -1.1185341512924172, c_new = 6.180803538472418
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11866.88784571046
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8386:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.880768652391593, b_new = -1.570760374360947, c_new = 6.044271581364804
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4212.520668414559
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8387:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8504679663108794, b_new = -1.6572872097501066, c_new = 6.457142869502551
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12667.641282672126
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8388:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2973608813540816, b_new = -2.0604378595935655, c_new = 5.9681496853610385
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4341.785244318525
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8389:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.321523936489905, b_new = -1.7642888526197136, c_new = 6.139080513261628
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5405.947950870203
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8390:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1014346560711195, b_new = -1.1055138615003361, c_new = 5.226025609853516
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3350.8841339119394
Acceptance probability: 5.0254496877490736e-148
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8391:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6739793187476675, b_new = -1.6112105916020778, c_new = 5.589344939495644
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8446.967933476459
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8392:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9068005012985663, b_new = -1.330539660602938, c_new = 5.535415092774282
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13172.306740988133
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8393:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.726222277635963, b_new = -1.210173230924491, c_new = 6.383317651068954
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6022.184791137693
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8394:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7312508580946355, b_new = -1.031126978752092, c_new = 5.456840849417135
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5779.7545194238555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8395:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9120247636092453, b_new = -1.5161266249418015, c_new = 6.716250135084372
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3631.235445603053
Acceptance probability: 8.833794002586799e-270
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8396:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8485218787105286, b_new = -0.8073228958894552, c_new = 6.2729964413267245
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3487.2561579493185
Acceptance probability: 2.989216728315606e-207
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8397:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.938230066502194, b_new = -1.7968136136997546, c_new = 6.04009395730579
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12935.211276920472
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8398:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5725835990093846, b_new = -1.44557295813629, c_new = 5.360774414090412
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10302.084124394461
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8399:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5081847389454985, b_new = -1.1637634743811587, c_new = 6.1298384843296585
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10312.040264089195
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8400:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.447710298217811, b_new = -1.4448865848853476, c_new = 6.487618409805202
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8928.518869329782
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8401:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5159154728616357, b_new = -1.1595856924999481, c_new = 5.911967589349455
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10342.735211403431
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8402:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8196957904255084, b_new = -0.9059560896797753, c_new = 5.865479751600692
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13254.159414171714
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8403:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.335590043585433, b_new = -1.1268126050790561, c_new = 6.295249607881068
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7475.868282591335
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8404:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5155599819066796, b_new = -1.3161616603511, c_new = 4.916645968110306
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10471.149079345887
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8405:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.709809720044082, b_new = -1.280226205764459, c_new = 6.4177442178397435
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6524.070474724014
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8406:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3651203476676503, b_new = -1.937168058222019, c_new = 5.440173325272956
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12782.51309057363
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8407:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.488707182856328, b_new = -0.664842306680146, c_new = 6.218163436702673
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11064.023454741073
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8408:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.794986644378183, b_new = -2.220516397103454, c_new = 4.885927702776718
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7953.423751149262
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8409:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7421583519004793, b_new = -1.3581476668892498, c_new = 5.46922487271618
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6398.1506002094875
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8410:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.360465053522536, b_new = -2.3099524440002286, c_new = 6.10561992728095
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13122.97048677645
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8411:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.233524034596622, b_new = -1.1255831206482085, c_new = 5.085254062294132
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4935.108056449804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8412:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2080410272608537, b_new = -0.6865903414028215, c_new = 5.6370439575868945
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5678.848529921955
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8413:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.136538295480765, b_new = -1.9986868742922874, c_new = 6.205968488186514
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3063.078940782356
Acceptance probability: 4.936079760309667e-23
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8414:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7679937429470884, b_new = -1.00002603292097, c_new = 6.405368111396265
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12959.197581141238
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8415:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1188040317007832, b_new = -1.0317590916660384, c_new = 5.142738436563439
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3562.461605589967
Acceptance probability: 6.519983318775088e-240
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8416:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.324752587859588, b_new = -1.050592940829944, c_new = 5.5624834030076356
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11788.399507557493
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8417:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3475711011924845, b_new = -2.201103523441014, c_new = 5.447028811599729
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4729.592579086057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8418:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5489923663830165, b_new = -1.2833904049777332, c_new = 5.409881811652463
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9793.614804611434
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8419:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.11624056414956, b_new = -1.0318773710025528, c_new = 5.1355360963688454
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3537.3843397107185
Acceptance probability: 5.071829870952882e-229
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8420:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.752819172520723, b_new = -0.8274473102217509, c_new = 5.418597872618477
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4920.697390018154
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8421:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0216781973026916, b_new = -1.161994997857423, c_new = 6.330263893944638
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3042.8592767702567
Acceptance probability: 2.9831196654109026e-14
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8422:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8253074019397695, b_new = -1.2684840991435533, c_new = 5.407648001585274
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4633.4967727717
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8423:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6745550578770616, b_new = -1.5896495309383363, c_new = 5.29653069749896
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8494.540746580695
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8424:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7932327141045592, b_new = -1.9207413391317538, c_new = 5.219601316970159
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -15381.198008653802
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8425:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1215456509712616, b_new = -1.5574113743138307, c_new = 6.0553675161677285
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3206.4925102261727
Acceptance probability: 2.5683862083571065e-85
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8426:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.654273975472288, b_new = -1.4496719699974316, c_new = 6.1391581601243
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11363.643931532992
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8427:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6298891919322094, b_new = -1.8650677737124144, c_new = 6.243655960299044
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -15591.255832317289
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8428:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6520609657394965, b_new = -2.1779837077532456, c_new = 6.5116561175947725
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9871.986959021517
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8429:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1002252394972047, b_new = -1.027103438595315, c_new = 5.352226286754019
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3435.298919559683
Acceptance probability: 1.0972341892861609e-184
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8430:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3894661354810456, b_new = -0.6859041495504025, c_new = 5.903385680176679
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10459.950281334057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8431:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1671073461017265, b_new = -2.0827637457972785, c_new = 5.05929631976027
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3097.6877201140037
Acceptance probability: 4.6023567471436704e-38
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8432:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4230854599132092, b_new = -1.3085160457161227, c_new = 5.498633558048876
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8453.44019554941
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8433:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3344801383446803, b_new = -0.7353620689334642, c_new = 4.677301754889987
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11470.652548778344
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8434:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2612748246320624, b_new = -1.4488815112807731, c_new = 5.264861587472105
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4773.587568351865
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8435:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5717527403645457, b_new = -1.3950635471196051, c_new = 6.34948027036884
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10692.669517521459
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8436:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.844123466690455, b_new = -1.4603166431011372, c_new = 5.638352740577352
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12657.180487664056
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8437:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.215290807374601, b_new = -1.3984595034870164, c_new = 6.146548919558895
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4379.3340124848955
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8438:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7916158821119668, b_new = -1.4945032170537134, c_new = 6.399621878168387
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5432.616680420868
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8439:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2212052947036782, b_new = -1.8230452070963876, c_new = 6.348770452575337
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3811.437843446578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8440:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.403596539821313, b_new = -0.9321218566095002, c_new = 5.903259849869897
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10740.04643314145
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8441:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.161529331452882, b_new = -0.8022279108379012, c_new = 5.979203888219612
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4673.256707330621
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8442:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.767353953284491, b_new = -0.8725469171980369, c_new = 5.311577767680143
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4799.015811706024
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8443:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4947092677377674, b_new = -1.0884611867932543, c_new = 5.699319815796279
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10144.176771207975
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8444:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.186767061460097, b_new = -2.4408305199615175, c_new = 4.936576802968348
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -14506.071778493766
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8445:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2883881831226907, b_new = -1.7314288361357741, c_new = 6.18372914654657
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4892.998222822451
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8446:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7177397813825053, b_new = -1.6774598714559117, c_new = 5.709502412094631
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7699.501620310927
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8447:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3971826117711177, b_new = -1.719436658866746, c_new = 5.8296369872112965
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6967.290502366434
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8448:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.683082786923425, b_new = -1.7957709514306448, c_new = 6.069472852122025
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8572.187165631782
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8449:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6375579023686635, b_new = -0.4908448694652514, c_new = 4.9074406212225075
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12304.959574849972
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8450:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.938508597352221, b_new = -1.452814528547211, c_new = 5.688375775044286
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13249.94369376439
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8451:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6446575347460985, b_new = -0.5901050244109773, c_new = 5.831434813720448
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12486.286450304051
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8452:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.81516529672797, b_new = -1.7592435604692283, c_new = 6.222489869878385
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5681.860290383458
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8453:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.99699324081971, b_new = -1.2983576629539062, c_new = 5.311803346578401
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3060.8144232064224
Acceptance probability: 4.751707030399263e-22
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8454:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.178422597516613, b_new = -1.2731582774168675, c_new = 5.514127022579495
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13122.18970502627
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8455:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0866623088587026, b_new = -2.2064804258667055, c_new = 5.558934211452563
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3167.8741588365224
Acceptance probability: 1.5184386089392686e-68
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8456:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8878402355486044, b_new = -1.0793601259580292, c_new = 5.781696927351618
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3490.3520080626095
Acceptance probability: 1.352218218771384e-208
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8457:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.106506020065986, b_new = -0.972116057982598, c_new = 6.149248815577423
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3693.1010661198407
Acceptance probability: 1.1974286849573105e-296
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8458:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3997931626493787, b_new = -0.05944535577343357, c_new = 4.556222368457018
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10607.738997870903
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8459:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8937729579106506, b_new = -1.5832614067257575, c_new = 5.874051911193607
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12879.56070219802
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8460:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2564895824570748, b_new = -1.9445339839461824, c_new = 5.685871681669394
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3929.042767270382
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8461:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.493571882900742, b_new = -1.3959621950323626, c_new = 6.118135011967849
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9633.123260981867
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8462:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6304646462509043, b_new = -1.6266506213623448, c_new = 6.361489912687737
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10911.99520376455
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8463:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.931028378694106, b_new = -1.7502605695208047, c_new = 5.487603860202412
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3978.3251465329236
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8464:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.593262385436801, b_new = -1.146037247760704, c_new = 5.552284903138429
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11099.514157812619
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8465:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.162100956714503, b_new = -1.1478409390619146, c_new = 6.268217971870348
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4108.212750839169
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8466:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.407751806022504, b_new = -1.6381273843512714, c_new = 5.639339317574851
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11953.48579743638
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8467:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.494705613520206, b_new = -1.1847385846843774, c_new = 5.842332789794137
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10164.29608631289
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8468:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.571787603680433, b_new = -1.3012041648321793, c_new = 5.658847315686019
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9417.353637538981
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8469:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.213128439556651, b_new = -1.30583717563589, c_new = 5.513209213813656
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4360.809071416941
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8470:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.830808881671276, b_new = -2.234889966050197, c_new = 5.362579099889807
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6985.59369654161
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8471:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.364830839590942, b_new = -1.7177441095151074, c_new = 5.9557319812959255
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6341.573261454678
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8472:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8426323819261983, b_new = -0.1183997151231897, c_new = 6.52142966271156
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -14441.140801692152
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8473:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.097605537184561, b_new = -1.8870944805749514, c_new = 6.042848667072668
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3020.5999601095414
Acceptance probability: 0.00013860186425575165
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8474:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.924316102960023, b_new = -1.3844381212931332, c_new = 5.278161359438306
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13145.224914185967
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8475:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2681360099589902, b_new = -1.9104501668103082, c_new = 7.0566004183831925
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12954.5906136186
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8476:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0620118106768466, b_new = -1.0612780470604324, c_new = 5.331518204725706
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3155.581118719482
Acceptance probability: 3.3128115111869645e-63
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8477:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4344402866857378, b_new = -1.4828660215106744, c_new = 5.510127988679394
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8226.430138637847
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8478:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.103265238755289, b_new = -2.6149306014632963, c_new = 5.164664907989108
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3472.466563497841
Acceptance probability: 7.917656636560976e-201
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8479:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6809660100691266, b_new = -0.9835552865639345, c_new = 5.754059699255639
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6572.049683969091
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8480:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.654081516623095, b_new = -0.614527706129837, c_new = 5.751266432451889
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6177.110287528911
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8481:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.864315394061283, b_new = -1.1671252055619705, c_new = 6.488026015115484
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13371.621347447533
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8482:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5263291405675163, b_new = -0.6754120748902002, c_new = 6.325726613152666
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11480.285757663773
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8483:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5797083272432877, b_new = -2.1741134768275803, c_new = 5.685084010927051
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9095.037069376278
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8484:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.261571372229807, b_new = -0.7620891738949888, c_new = 6.379345679529751
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11667.38926628195
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8485:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1932068368822075, b_new = -1.8777333341354763, c_new = 5.403288945697024
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3357.031249779907
Acceptance probability: 1.0752672744380177e-150
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8486:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.049629399073462, b_new = -1.0522689058237344, c_new = 6.1808254527024795
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3179.8214149148944
Acceptance probability: 9.83489775277467e-74
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8487:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6395358645169704, b_new = -0.28969990725929673, c_new = 6.005580836508637
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12922.231694242244
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8488:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5389394912479872, b_new = -0.8590681720641551, c_new = 5.007381700131843
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9159.664537296452
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8489:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.10678039181679, b_new = -1.5680060661793274, c_new = 5.821116411158117
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13985.990689177244
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8490:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9187244934576584, b_new = -1.782640643797191, c_new = 5.749772695876135
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4129.894399045148
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8491:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.491121182737876, b_new = -1.58436334432387, c_new = 5.089168230360659
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8828.444785303464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8492:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2396965031254292, b_new = -1.6384425255861161, c_new = 4.981628024366907
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4048.31307333367
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8493:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.645888476759862, b_new = -1.6545293796802882, c_new = 5.928375730312559
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8944.785024374505
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8494:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.555265885581943, b_new = -1.6720282013238212, c_new = 4.9071978877607165
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10691.71669444537
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8495:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1979281701175455, b_new = -1.748282170252191, c_new = 5.898984577401454
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13469.585182605453
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8496:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8382974818184437, b_new = -1.596551883331099, c_new = 6.105823404854336
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4907.145062678699
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8497:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4609616571242414, b_new = -1.8168955934509423, c_new = 5.454770651875385
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11814.966672393792
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8498:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.641642985399326, b_new = -1.3243614512048927, c_new = 5.535998527024065
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8332.36411950096
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8499:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0726279555575045, b_new = -1.6556561298077097, c_new = 5.932445292160388
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3015.9178085421263
Acceptance probability: 0.01496930581655882
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8500:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5430083385093867, b_new = -1.8277367848811628, c_new = 5.2755174937608675
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9154.4045970622
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8501:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.090236571689973, b_new = -1.188636108284688, c_new = 5.512029731637036
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3238.2800844150247
Acceptance probability: 4.0224649254113095e-99
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8502:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6312058373154645, b_new = -1.586960144287858, c_new = 6.159777238290257
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10924.750402885473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8503:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4182072208876266, b_new = -1.1290033744708363, c_new = 5.722625177575371
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8901.097044220132
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8504:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.017621121335761, b_new = -0.5821633868539261, c_new = 5.761789909358905
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3309.0932989847506
Acceptance probability: 7.0909419888698314e-130
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8505:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8436041372269973, b_new = -0.5167082967880754, c_new = 6.473527018655428
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3269.945101595029
Acceptance probability: 7.121148382957603e-113
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8506:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0007655184988753, b_new = -0.7982025354565783, c_new = 5.754839872704058
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3083.633119324914
Acceptance probability: 5.845421701758703e-32
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8507:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.078442113595788, b_new = -0.7467162129351648, c_new = 7.083196849198805
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3911.7100767619595
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8508:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9135468670920908, b_new = 0.20820619826539621, c_new = 5.291249262690737
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -14760.487260913618
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8509:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.890660682925795, b_new = -1.947882044166053, c_new = 6.196942277087644
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4747.97975333926
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8510:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9115110957513792, b_new = -0.5784577301947132, c_new = 6.343599629883269
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -14229.773181824621
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8511:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.851050832663332, b_new = -2.3979719415008374, c_new = 5.753673041756676
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6847.166412382705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8512:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1769217252068653, b_new = -1.5283880211923935, c_new = 6.089395636700421
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3680.5096482689005
Acceptance probability: 3.5207318545657156e-291
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8513:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4977448875045676, b_new = -1.2382668779774058, c_new = 5.676156885208361
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10284.856442349523
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8514:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6397959385170826, b_new = -1.0717585813736763, c_new = 5.873579714057002
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7589.081811265394
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8515:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3210641127501805, b_new = -1.6446687739029051, c_new = 6.202408584302923
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5711.741554470347
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8516:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3379565046664963, b_new = -0.7982495459322643, c_new = 5.86414437397579
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8285.124981373752
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8517:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.908436292424514, b_new = -1.6748960087315665, c_new = 6.510021790060837
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3923.489034992668
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8518:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.708189420246642, b_new = -1.4823044750351955, c_new = 6.666298889241633
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7003.751523516514
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8519:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6889756561756655, b_new = -1.1098145028522, c_new = 5.353879251816288
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11946.485675901351
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8520:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.927551452255868, b_new = -1.5405192541348351, c_new = 5.09387550657179
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3786.515974567993
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8521:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9576574609753776, b_new = -2.2124638454402623, c_new = 6.051397880442324
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4279.8651074649715
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8522:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.031270724434342, b_new = -0.5366418672981793, c_new = 5.928748384679334
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3483.1293144934193
Acceptance probability: 1.852775266812997e-205
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8523:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4435646780186873, b_new = -0.29691552220075135, c_new = 5.740426593046525
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11081.200447610527
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8524:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.789795772910019, b_new = -1.5765250857939757, c_new = 5.482976552616365
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5984.105618748296
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8525:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.198386389807771, b_new = -0.18461973064081572, c_new = 6.282402870045544
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7172.59839379644
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8526:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.737367184629516, b_new = -1.154031851269738, c_new = 7.255719914954288
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5405.49758325297
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8527:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0980761037110165, b_new = -1.5680647883306418, c_new = 5.653114750231228
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3072.2653633449654
Acceptance probability: 5.0555631698057035e-27
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8528:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0491493795741405, b_new = -0.4489465218510654, c_new = 5.863765875250238
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3751.3206857078576
Acceptance probability: 6.23e-322
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8529:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.038809314550397, b_new = -0.8978163077787612, c_new = 5.264129308104205
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3139.5056585066714
Acceptance probability: 3.174536983864151e-56
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8530:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.433118598701258, b_new = -1.4527965941306018, c_new = 6.093637860915562
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11275.270590946135
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8531:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2880368592687157, b_new = -1.365787341318262, c_new = 5.8714709980725415
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12433.605843927191
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8532:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6754280257602296, b_new = -1.3521475947143151, c_new = 5.6625572357950364
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7697.58703985813
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8533:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9977320707837536, b_new = -1.355403965338141, c_new = 5.4499423782257415
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3073.0167012699294
Acceptance probability: 2.3848860126761558e-27
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8534:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4216504998179245, b_new = -1.6908739357010554, c_new = 5.544840214331859
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11942.718405256608
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8535:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8487688755476706, b_new = -1.4033611080488642, c_new = 5.8196294749235875
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4425.355008708648
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8536:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8950905964890157, b_new = -1.9431895838497584, c_new = 4.469642272654373
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12105.671323314367
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8537:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.552295810655371, b_new = -1.2501192882070058, c_new = 5.6192654469014
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10505.786411325616
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8538:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2818331799063496, b_new = -0.8194455903555449, c_new = 6.130046606794396
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7109.6889394653845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8539:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0426393537384655, b_new = -0.41835972910007957, c_new = 5.421772442046746
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3637.5230854581123
Acceptance probability: 1.6423282917646033e-272
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8540:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8163978425370186, b_new = -1.745969623883536, c_new = 5.7449293967955475
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5788.947340344595
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8541:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.281995491156346, b_new = -1.6262264969244036, c_new = 4.871675462400314
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4655.803507048133
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8542:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4282167592384303, b_new = -1.411648823853565, c_new = 6.384678217694554
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8622.298746615405
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8543:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0906480845087834, b_new = -0.960992422724515, c_new = 5.707556090410141
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3478.8771098274847
Acceptance probability: 1.3017625308449276e-203
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8544:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.241660467678342, b_new = -1.2855808102715176, c_new = 4.93793422493314
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4696.895553963055
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8545:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1741140594703334, b_new = -1.83639157315806, c_new = 6.732126469400804
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3405.02678538973
Acceptance probability: 1.5392889686140508e-171
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8546:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2884756817322245, b_new = -0.22299192297714754, c_new = 5.861388147505655
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8893.306841262389
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8547:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.656770093774105, b_new = -1.6979049370717065, c_new = 6.002277444573151
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10947.46634644308
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8548:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3351565712047773, b_new = -0.9319982707589556, c_new = 5.605369038043673
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7739.853870990544
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8549:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3099219524405084, b_new = -0.8663508160449884, c_new = 5.910729940503307
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7504.987701443519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8550:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.229835085923881, b_new = -1.5349787836241306, c_new = 6.327165859341557
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -14631.6750995511
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8551:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3539653597496866, b_new = 0.09099452680491016, c_new = 5.479737364002272
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10651.428415494556
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8552:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1910561434456444, b_new = -1.5497199212030217, c_new = 5.762058618914199
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13313.110941871884
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8553:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0001935338477113, b_new = -2.4925978768174675, c_new = 5.8697185939992185
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -15036.105356531001
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8554:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.39539271637409, b_new = -1.5595279288022335, c_new = 5.988794046238437
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7420.862894025002
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8555:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0320201172729604, b_new = -2.0162223876384044, c_new = 5.604798599947603
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3321.5793623033287
Acceptance probability: 2.679634326101181e-135
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8556:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.518883833886804, b_new = -1.2974564522988916, c_new = 6.228735582633705
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10216.256451467743
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8557:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1577499740707786, b_new = -0.4565218903307935, c_new = 5.3490482659414065
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12285.853385886365
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8558:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3288844886502025, b_new = -0.9207276962465605, c_new = 5.635877395108471
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7649.16584435764
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8559:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.18963253739918, b_new = -0.9290712767904115, c_new = 6.293169864980827
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4969.303144858736
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8560:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.236158636072538, b_new = -1.7434772876487694, c_new = 5.595706555974661
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3961.3287098025844
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8561:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.948602600129659, b_new = -0.7909266747022088, c_new = 5.579992862114427
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3030.535261846948
Acceptance probability: 6.71308816847053e-09
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8562:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.195381753000943, b_new = -1.3554419483805036, c_new = 5.678894092475744
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4067.4764044464537
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8563:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.040482377573697, b_new = -1.2029016147582559, c_new = 5.388892409476663
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3029.8792624948574
Acceptance probability: 1.2936573189723358e-08
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8564:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3960981928177865, b_new = -0.2760477927421645, c_new = 5.1006760694304925
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10298.78305497112
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8565:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.660804823549413, b_new = -0.9285168570812878, c_new = 5.745634579938913
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6841.955187130773
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8566:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.870773051204776, b_new = -1.631609656219592, c_new = 6.5315932455229335
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4349.075747161938
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8567:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.869700686837024, b_new = -1.3799211080223164, c_new = 4.975747577646639
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12748.130098230948
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8568:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3350505364435263, b_new = -0.7110630278021426, c_new = 6.302892401830914
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8656.078725589141
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8569:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.688344638966953, b_new = -0.8719959753790849, c_new = 6.212319730298703
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12524.941463693216
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8570:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7933840307252766, b_new = -0.7010472976010995, c_new = 5.6191120957306815
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13279.887101634473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8571:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.461009361295603, b_new = -1.217645687789032, c_new = 5.384819029115332
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10778.547239663985
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8572:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0944350471009856, b_new = -1.065617564238592, c_new = 6.117849660536237
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3461.070007500175
Acceptance probability: 7.047872621837695e-196
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8573:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3296081621598037, b_new = -2.536452841873853, c_new = 6.58165458172484
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13469.921023932759
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8574:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.392873182145125, b_new = -1.1721601068574556, c_new = 6.095379098820976
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8462.296567626521
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8575:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.36841567896695, b_new = -1.859757275797873, c_new = 5.596725034983588
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5926.325894901984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8576:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.713404199290256, b_new = -1.2088600488433734, c_new = 4.651215994362795
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6908.135686620178
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8577:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.383247173281709, b_new = -1.1874205000258284, c_new = 5.619506700359543
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11463.140546772323
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8578:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8623672032894625, b_new = -1.0346390534498489, c_new = 5.706792941721169
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3692.946231660115
Acceptance probability: 1.3979556997207257e-296
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8579:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.529557030145887, b_new = -1.1484458113474283, c_new = 5.803332535968609
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9646.973581306636
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8580:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.906621984005507, b_new = -1.672333871804069, c_new = 6.104641667908064
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4025.352895351683
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8581:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3593752312539955, b_new = -1.901715164906347, c_new = 5.959837615121816
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5757.607163865921
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8582:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3944612857423904, b_new = -1.865311160699108, c_new = 5.530519355224427
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6422.92319762013
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8583:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0420120478906765, b_new = -2.225384172117696, c_new = 5.866936703752044
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -14653.548330477686
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8584:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9323404157596924, b_new = -0.8957825686908191, c_new = 6.64420424616269
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3071.468453310284
Acceptance probability: 1.1216650088374583e-26
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8585:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8949499880444907, b_new = -1.4213049949910057, c_new = 5.714365190489202
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3862.202686654929
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8586:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0777114688240133, b_new = -1.8285756617810716, c_new = 5.159359932254944
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3054.185028661539
Acceptance probability: 3.5971547804252966e-19
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8587:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6428560507947187, b_new = -1.886668429381745, c_new = 6.869196973646076
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10753.206393565542
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8588:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.429028901533101, b_new = -1.9425991456674372, c_new = 6.507315643137769
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11984.468346989746
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8589:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.377800057444062, b_new = -1.1634061978189731, c_new = 6.391532171455908
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8305.47854439827
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8590:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5251135874497446, b_new = -1.9058959991494504, c_new = 5.688163816072782
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8850.403207004418
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8591:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.760851148952799, b_new = -0.6512503781149698, c_new = 6.578688672554876
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4204.301351519594
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8592:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4524078843525063, b_new = -1.6562358086090625, c_new = 4.60617390253518
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11900.488184209335
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8593:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1516045539155524, b_new = -1.3818342060673992, c_new = 5.5791529159822435
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3528.9220579448897
Acceptance probability: 2.4004184291380678e-225
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8594:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2991495903041548, b_new = -1.153468053872983, c_new = 6.327951849518165
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11936.324521315455
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8595:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5469139765842126, b_new = -0.595297105316169, c_new = 5.674691535449832
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8192.791948884274
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8596:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.49107643672206, b_new = -0.9340234798750413, c_new = 6.032951318067994
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9655.88703166018
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8597:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2287517677999524, b_new = -1.6973967380395738, c_new = 6.364382345036261
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4097.067590342029
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8598:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.266354789122798, b_new = -0.8586222822180908, c_new = 6.187164010541434
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11815.441194858666
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8599:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.564735520988806, b_new = -1.6166934679213023, c_new = 5.660691611366401
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9984.965885086858
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8600:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7186665827620837, b_new = -1.8504449253902537, c_new = 6.032700241148231
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8030.705107577033
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8601:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7640761633318203, b_new = -1.4281918481374436, c_new = 5.476974494222674
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6126.001107954753
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8602:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.212765713808787, b_new = -1.4413972146690268, c_new = 5.844038819586455
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4193.625361999078
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8603:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.100956607662225, b_new = -1.9835922576701561, c_new = 5.772528279298082
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3031.4445405040797
Acceptance probability: 2.704130507780892e-09
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8604:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.04819430497084, b_new = -1.9544743947562413, c_new = 5.2146569892267784
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3221.493461605619
Acceptance probability: 7.849281812021074e-92
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8605:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.43906126780033, b_new = -2.0694874525357383, c_new = 6.167336945537857
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7027.1449842614675
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8606:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.03054146493663, b_new = -0.7631895330314331, c_new = 5.846732441526966
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -14445.302158071807
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8607:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.113969625800419, b_new = -0.5076375374720382, c_new = 5.253930794779289
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12657.742477347307
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8608:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8946687896452716, b_new = -0.9831534014243053, c_new = 6.803211392972582
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3255.4719020142556
Acceptance probability: 1.3746139553797613e-106
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8609:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.988343197374438, b_new = -1.2630907991763076, c_new = 5.7412327517763355
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3052.930910437978
Acceptance probability: 1.260711601671289e-18
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8610:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.814262453922293, b_new = -1.1044095955438118, c_new = 6.033462917716386
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4336.148410749891
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8611:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3667049642770803, b_new = -2.17298686361512, c_new = 5.908807166239759
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5239.418258931977
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8612:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4764335616308766, b_new = -1.2446557431198555, c_new = 5.449670964404959
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10629.111042334624
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8613:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.813663193699039, b_new = -1.2459336087612256, c_new = 5.540386230676095
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12703.72691015498
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8614:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0242155125976664, b_new = -1.0631959078755904, c_new = 5.3264841606880005
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3030.61486448351
Acceptance probability: 6.199424358254136e-09
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8615:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1899612238615265, b_new = -1.2619895827839034, c_new = 5.373303147444927
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4082.546512149421
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8616:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4364153167272677, b_new = -0.7354013630668563, c_new = 5.776047515356659
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10118.534263978197
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8617:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2334025778481705, b_new = -1.5700241769892291, c_new = 5.550724287894234
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4192.531645611722
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8618:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.576315528323114, b_new = -1.348005390721207, c_new = 5.665312182200659
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9450.949260939145
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8619:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7754790599984065, b_new = -0.6461292147134765, c_new = 5.551690113245714
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4198.3718860491535
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8620:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1585945948838936, b_new = -2.020195814985765, c_new = 5.8537394922518775
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3111.3246946436475
Acceptance probability: 5.5019607953596e-44
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8621:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6028717713556118, b_new = -2.0269610553423756, c_new = 6.271490616478374
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10323.045382125223
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8622:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5498715223747466, b_new = -1.7076992718273722, c_new = 5.977632092905243
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10459.51498095094
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8623:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.14019600097961, b_new = -1.962627401074379, c_new = 5.954416825803866
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3075.7390124024187
Acceptance probability: 1.567411120176812e-28
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8624:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0312029941725602, b_new = -2.328919666898436, c_new = 5.580325751043266
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3684.3334127864327
Acceptance probability: 7.691182552734255e-293
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8625:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.775674883608304, b_new = -0.22087763739766997, c_new = 5.821175282764785
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13917.11269420999
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8626:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1617487016466264, b_new = -1.4409782758679115, c_new = 4.97557232851177
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13553.15170105065
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8627:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.139605845261112, b_new = -0.7234996447778006, c_new = 5.311339825411715
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12745.37021657055
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8628:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3516439627176196, b_new = -1.03836749619528, c_new = 6.013951311473421
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7957.156089156951
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8629:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8420035887935664, b_new = -1.9291561962536792, c_new = 5.209673801858155
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5941.9940968818355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8630:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.756400249760282, b_new = -1.8341019090571078, c_new = 6.28251193643959
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7092.974372107533
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8631:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.834085020124998, b_new = -0.8533117607793061, c_new = 5.952501680471608
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3719.6327943021397
Acceptance probability: 3.594731958576642e-308
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8632:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.048616473087278, b_new = -1.3900766190599516, c_new = 5.259826730720696
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13770.385073771566
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8633:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6406041638737694, b_new = -1.0643621749415708, c_new = 5.642089693943759
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11695.607877522392
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8634:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.374717149233577, b_new = -1.9241421655067024, c_new = 6.373971024220945
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6154.192956116127
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8635:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8795581384008875, b_new = -1.8218257925570487, c_new = 6.1342255338811515
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4685.259354644798
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8636:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3687074762734404, b_new = -1.9250496487141882, c_new = 5.271022094190045
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5667.254125369229
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8637:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.949515860502878, b_new = -1.7769658524676277, c_new = 6.413056570081008
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3630.3269547951772
Acceptance probability: 2.1912897755560267e-269
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8638:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.633514382500409, b_new = -1.8469561593417572, c_new = 5.214627408712657
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9879.56506740925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8639:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.44312234312231, b_new = -0.9309406531863509, c_new = 4.711534410359993
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10668.292170515506
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8640:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.444778800322286, b_new = -0.928917409391925, c_new = 5.466171138703092
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9706.225940763716
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8641:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4734924376899907, b_new = -1.4376373660965935, c_new = 6.0396238358061805
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9208.918569798998
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8642:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.146797356928463, b_new = -1.613207205713266, c_new = 6.2054381938099406
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3340.125439542903
Acceptance probability: 2.3638315581472513e-143
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8643:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4670817107236696, b_new = -1.365462448873087, c_new = 6.0691054190669345
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9282.95103113261
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8644:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2167216708618787, b_new = -1.326514835354157, c_new = 6.17216968000647
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4545.432065836667
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8645:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8197328454852526, b_new = -1.3765897533586398, c_new = 6.180196873333926
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4735.910107354731
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8646:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8033338282589884, b_new = -1.621960743640723, c_new = 5.355146474579236
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12101.491694029059
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8647:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3671302921348922, b_new = -1.2410757906990635, c_new = 5.578857588416348
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7543.547849292783
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8648:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6618660941575736, b_new = -1.1228160089119053, c_new = 6.551832485449408
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7043.529887444212
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8649:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.346287808978689, b_new = -1.9103621095630996, c_new = 5.760888419779195
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5416.513163934709
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8650:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3922953643574103, b_new = -1.1914929354307413, c_new = 5.632625996597087
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8217.29804802514
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8651:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7922333274769495, b_new = -1.4847588246405368, c_new = 5.85783373427475
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5571.477556717343
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8652:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.261192589574847, b_new = -0.2367077581122241, c_new = 5.717064072455149
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -15620.481199959117
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8653:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4037912430619937, b_new = -1.7365844541426252, c_new = 6.380872027424692
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11921.433697899398
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8654:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.014363315591775, b_new = -1.4820383538792998, c_new = 5.29457738538017
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3082.257397674359
Acceptance probability: 2.3135781234779217e-31
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8655:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6052796243127165, b_new = -2.107996328075804, c_new = 5.789013140920132
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9598.274234073595
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8656:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6396741786051745, b_new = -0.5778222121332182, c_new = 6.37197614105164
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12628.803178092598
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8657:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.557496558248103, b_new = -0.5618765118867824, c_new = 5.55302246701531
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7969.296026554719
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8658:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.50872969453119, b_new = -1.1771404906399614, c_new = 5.4617585563255755
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10068.849134944701
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8659:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.437304751886685, b_new = -1.6868702573273375, c_new = 6.495493486619306
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11504.54318704482
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8660:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.349563091380333, b_new = -1.5853886489734454, c_new = 5.924055563221448
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6360.745832962437
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8661:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.353572263379241, b_new = -1.2428369803527688, c_new = 5.412502824666198
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7186.549869323675
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8662:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1036044260600013, b_new = -1.0329442184995008, c_new = 4.734562321502674
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13467.052733423476
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8663:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.480224075342249, b_new = -1.435382302429766, c_new = 5.744650056415327
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10847.438369730851
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8664:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.601400310212567, b_new = -1.2650316695801997, c_new = 6.185672917324458
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8670.65820377799
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8665:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.566537323398928, b_new = -1.726584404158124, c_new = 5.603096443126431
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10413.108688402406
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8666:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.335373751252221, b_new = -0.9699814243805641, c_new = 6.734818316350681
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8109.097802150178
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8667:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3641551768198825, b_new = -0.6432883824773457, c_new = 5.939668582775551
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9248.035241585054
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8668:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.358690498463159, b_new = -1.273903707976719, c_new = 6.125703728368213
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7488.598238898481
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8669:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0558257679354597, b_new = -0.4778642699336362, c_new = 5.517778451245645
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3710.4790744629977
Acceptance probability: 3.396851238011414e-304
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8670:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.65785722501613, b_new = -1.8490417218908526, c_new = 5.484132155731299
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9391.336410560036
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8671:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.111252732926392, b_new = -1.4628819598144756, c_new = 5.7486145580056345
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3186.434945069376
Acceptance probability: 1.3199278645441232e-76
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8672:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2625106945400044, b_new = -1.3557672542171337, c_new = 5.705091130097556
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5121.50476704475
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8673:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.091351967943006, b_new = -2.2770299857328435, c_new = 5.200382759094639
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3234.7574171138685
Acceptance probability: 1.3625963973688468e-97
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8674:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5423111026238874, b_new = -1.1686717343704651, c_new = 5.980797915738106
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10656.988321713976
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8675:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.110340649688438, b_new = -1.6520324508864968, c_new = 5.5932961712027
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13887.295450691836
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8676:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.999868136810124, b_new = -1.3785276781892137, c_new = 5.047590356635524
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3102.14966488864
Acceptance probability: 5.311073178344354e-40
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8677:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1057212898207687, b_new = -0.9291602574867706, c_new = 5.324551186396572
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3590.931882350318
Acceptance probability: 2.816841362712692e-252
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8678:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2463845027141898, b_new = -1.3550929434400396, c_new = 5.207299672353123
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4704.381179524614
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8679:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.13646350043376, b_new = -1.0987106278697083, c_new = 5.272621107901974
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -14426.60590138785
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8680:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.341106343773091, b_new = -1.023191228973305, c_new = 4.99665429186122
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7369.243845138382
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8681:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.643772586181686, b_new = -1.322308710154587, c_new = 4.672754657588991
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8622.044848657488
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8682:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7126743584955646, b_new = -0.3820360958505533, c_new = 5.972975919755927
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13280.505478495383
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8683:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.889008114693979, b_new = -1.2879440491312226, c_new = 6.126211926515771
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3671.8817853264322
Acceptance probability: 1.9663744210196128e-287
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8684:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5454734918763235, b_new = -1.0241417650882427, c_new = 5.477366734478035
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9263.635915437326
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8685:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2991069197066163, b_new = -1.2506624393815913, c_new = 5.87038018963806
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6169.6726734487165
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8686:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0234222548714604, b_new = -1.7173430752866208, c_new = 5.824962494920647
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3126.49858834074
Acceptance probability: 1.414422609254859e-50
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8687:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2973259314555, b_new = -0.9871355589257969, c_new = 6.27598001808739
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7028.471257373848
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8688:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.131809404306044, b_new = -1.7192893382720826, c_new = 5.615956506197244
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3128.5120025385745
Acceptance probability: 1.8887066695087698e-51
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8689:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2332374173238576, b_new = -1.2789414521829345, c_new = 5.480201872833258
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4717.676684743426
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8690:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3995587720176146, b_new = -1.7345901077777273, c_new = 6.495278196039238
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7224.797741553586
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8691:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7458166551474283, b_new = -2.727144405294599, c_new = 6.053714113264412
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9865.140654897123
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8692:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7338996403387417, b_new = -1.8369888885994619, c_new = 6.3452752534821455
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11529.670565036002
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8693:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.094076505895262, b_new = -1.2352022741425959, c_new = 5.303432619152682
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3206.576584488196
Acceptance probability: 2.361279197804735e-85
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8694:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.874470306152797, b_new = -2.0304086497240963, c_new = 6.025477762172538
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5270.145922100268
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8695:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7052240811868598, b_new = -1.2510126217077373, c_new = 4.8747649107774835
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7110.277942461349
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8696:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.58587284055707, b_new = -1.2439443717473302, c_new = 5.192689456523305
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9235.874111206238
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8697:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.235934801278815, b_new = -1.872703898330712, c_new = 6.362202031397595
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3914.320999185912
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8698:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0227124775793004, b_new = -1.3630097811128985, c_new = 6.314628987552282
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Acceptance probability: 0.036266286937842944
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8699:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.423831823599942, b_new = -1.6565862963801805, c_new = 5.440057120733924
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7540.487272593057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8700:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9959623942081928, b_new = -1.644310169053506, c_new = 6.781820098099906
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3136.5867268920483
Acceptance probability: 1.62126195286506e-53
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8701:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3269557632045896, b_new = -2.490791664677892, c_new = 5.712197653104903
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -4001.29679840703
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8702:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3491727694628652, b_new = -0.7228126720829948, c_new = 6.539241527171677
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9005.5997390492
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8703:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.360553561166011, b_new = -0.9349509622957173, c_new = 6.493276509538737
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -8629.154233925601
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8704:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.280999254537187, b_new = -1.0146841885199054, c_new = 7.012267838085111
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6891.727701889605
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8705:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8771003119135323, b_new = -1.3610469838568497, c_new = 6.359678365127369
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3861.094595915251
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8706:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5034752771715825, b_new = -1.5560481294384556, c_new = 6.382301147329922
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -10598.444675476125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8707:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3714156935219637, b_new = -1.5288127522999873, c_new = 6.1829404388321105
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7073.965738127894
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8708:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8366797710812346, b_new = -1.1107612561885134, c_new = 5.943395690147781
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -4058.871478664109
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8709:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.391136011655786, b_new = -0.9016274782934741, c_new = 6.719262353889671
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -10583.092696795527
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8710:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7250667671744446, b_new = -0.6887480608418975, c_new = 6.555733736729199
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -14349.097878655037
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8711:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.199629924847543, b_new = -2.016085507174716, c_new = 5.8562669749113345
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3331.766222615788
Acceptance probability: 2.7827565745530015e-138
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8712:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.627689333849232, b_new = -1.8229222567310186, c_new = 6.518027148835097
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9434.227354889767
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8713:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.761503229159507, b_new = -1.1171502805861104, c_new = 6.542532818109492
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5082.845109192849
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8714:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0976459810409795, b_new = -1.4215200704145863, c_new = 5.787018059497193
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3147.2793222754167
Acceptance probability: 3.6822902562660775e-58
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8715:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.709306745706558, b_new = -1.6983373553437457, c_new = 6.541579383078051
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7608.153959829151
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8716:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.672150120518595, b_new = -1.1161180917285534, c_new = 5.872684442013701
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7057.510792283179
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8717:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.946210667228441, b_new = -1.8493681080956423, c_new = 6.73762293944458
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3702.4049924554774
Acceptance probability: 3.0067872272288025e-299
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8718:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.705902611088383, b_new = -0.8150553826565399, c_new = 6.177655485618352
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5524.337164225497
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8719:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4058374352233596, b_new = -1.3617193112585417, c_new = 6.2324168387110745
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -11350.75659148885
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8720:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.322585159611835, b_new = -1.5213926396645903, c_new = 7.112363259071357
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12063.385258873486
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8721:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1276612165720308, b_new = -1.328945995236659, c_new = 5.964218293842517
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3434.955271604445
Acceptance probability: 4.2661944744129815e-183
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8722:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1609043382923874, b_new = -1.3871758424768432, c_new = 6.63956468420225
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3803.2506586209183
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8723:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5764674525393327, b_new = -0.8092624753427305, c_new = 6.409927900153019
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7936.815976975464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8724:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.762322556710667, b_new = -1.5368722106058426, c_new = 6.21463079969193
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6185.054873984549
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8725:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.070110560178507, b_new = -0.543041502893052, c_new = 6.055775354660939
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3888.3288283474026
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8726:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.049087799566332, b_new = -1.0056341698250413, c_new = 6.757177976798408
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -14513.101206435009
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8727:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4446073921886793, b_new = -1.2881376964487266, c_new = 6.4944548482349145
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -10744.16728273506
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8728:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9967220476632352, b_new = -1.2820871128600209, c_new = 6.217141708802885
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -13866.543512099635
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8729:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2459104868933366, b_new = -1.7493066765923153, c_new = 5.462899657735291
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -4049.1225471354105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8730:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.953250092147912, b_new = -1.6320514850758177, c_new = 6.474625427605079
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3423.3222525599945
Acceptance probability: 4.8105709877961976e-178
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8731:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4137134070141704, b_new = -1.9556396181180684, c_new = 6.567806613043373
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12116.160768104804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8732:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0435293280709326, b_new = -0.7568457142948769, c_new = 6.456051531526014
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3431.9042310522914
Acceptance probability: 9.017594967738876e-182
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8733:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3604460596764896, b_new = -0.7521860729437672, c_new = 6.656904570165309
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -10672.040913997773
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8734:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.687693655883141, b_new = -1.4229616529689375, c_new = 5.542324495768016
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7686.000727439372
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8735:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.142529573192143, b_new = -1.3772697049960674, c_new = 6.058778540431364
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3525.13380664939
Acceptance probability: 2.924155695475085e-222
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8736:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.305441989606054, b_new = -1.1130547862227778, c_new = 6.254668749634976
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6838.299772076456
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8737:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4023738532205132, b_new = -1.9645118365561234, c_new = 6.388048197994335
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12272.33483656442
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8738:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.291240240888674, b_new = -0.46078111925215637, c_new = 6.631672394719477
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -8602.904176286585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8739:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2958994394459245, b_new = -1.1970487083790617, c_new = 7.249061806545889
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6793.856579167688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8740:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7442495541184053, b_new = -2.069697753309099, c_new = 6.302946956437912
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -8003.521183658479
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8741:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5718746073458907, b_new = -1.0891796532849636, c_new = 6.605524339226879
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -8610.851872206502
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8742:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5814201851966865, b_new = -1.6461516792550508, c_new = 5.625643028199438
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -10120.241127254982
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8743:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6240310531624296, b_new = -1.8837724936701479, c_new = 6.942269177692986
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9479.37274718627
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8744:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.541019333148789, b_new = -1.1581285806492576, c_new = 6.285979676952056
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -10761.166862328453
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8745:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8139148098988653, b_new = -1.8817680944952129, c_new = 6.21014652240569
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6028.725244604081
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8746:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.305649739254342, b_new = -1.4750261248782215, c_new = 6.358383554861542
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12324.149567572656
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8747:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5666779639272543, b_new = -2.173175163313097, c_new = 7.313165660650018
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -10723.948941858955
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8748:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2624921850645427, b_new = -2.0935071241561674, c_new = 5.698867471683568
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -13562.430078819838
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8749:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.566308694382228, b_new = -0.8380746931195256, c_new = 6.179869898887226
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -8260.378754075648
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8750:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8148095873716645, b_new = -1.722767115918786, c_new = 6.141052554455279
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5624.825678714554
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8751:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.503927991475051, b_new = -1.3353477608146807, c_new = 5.89942665071443
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9831.210274726447
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8752:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.266664619541824, b_new = -1.4529353879568718, c_new = 5.153015238990996
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -4825.196287355992
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8753:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7900341897359553, b_new = -1.220185702488834, c_new = 5.859021007786351
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12666.736458879786
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8754:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.217008120384698, b_new = -1.9204614067181782, c_new = 6.139715757872227
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3607.262228658035
Acceptance probability: 6.281740721584316e-258
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8755:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.119088571699406, b_new = -2.1106276967793502, c_new = 5.592072282814464
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3043.8694126569626
Acceptance probability: 2.9955125272862926e-13
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8756:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1168968652813973, b_new = -1.6659314142108848, c_new = 6.64536328053249
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3165.0124807672073
Acceptance probability: 7.323271563324394e-66
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8757:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9426922152260246, b_new = -1.8495594454273911, c_new = 6.771104592246081
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -13089.424861788948
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8758:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8366271051992813, b_new = -2.079260534456464, c_new = 5.952363285814846
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6179.446854798884
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8759:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.499589772101034, b_new = -1.6256694355920036, c_new = 6.519440886998154
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9361.527835233908
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8760:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.652628656425734, b_new = -0.5788329348861332, c_new = 5.528449513546016
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6189.25294531962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8761:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3273228138145914, b_new = -1.7106634024305822, c_new = 7.029819342850657
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5962.086574276035
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8762:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1893566461723903, b_new = -0.7876124998970848, c_new = 6.853955997135273
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12121.2091440331
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8763:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.4609207465920029, b_new = -1.5701828342839073, c_new = 6.601985229547869
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -15746.51919174274
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8764:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1404999856882543, b_new = -1.3197029507377949, c_new = 6.207973469435416
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3598.7542672785253
Acceptance probability: 3.1120078679377373e-254
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8765:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8334413106650578, b_new = -1.6381087777334862, c_new = 6.142748865791505
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5072.758514771885
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8766:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.514677609772615, b_new = -1.1423119010168503, c_new = 6.45112669922378
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -15789.788622377044
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8767:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6565986767541023, b_new = -1.3833139891448605, c_new = 6.4200183615055115
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7870.781265199463
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8768:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3846192606156684, b_new = -1.493203243589633, c_new = 6.303482280196674
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7498.851814580325
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8769:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.054883792913865, b_new = -0.63111301497783, c_new = 5.121452285469951
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3445.5359346240234
Acceptance probability: 1.0837199906830531e-187
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8770:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8943750483899855, b_new = -0.945070764115217, c_new = 6.080274915210052
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -13685.133612952173
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8771:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7568747365546975, b_new = -1.6455694152129121, c_new = 6.953385606906492
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6324.685411303528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8772:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.776455408413369, b_new = -1.3636893795443212, c_new = 6.548695880452097
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12577.681307264793
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8773:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.75044695897652, b_new = -1.5522771698660285, c_new = 5.945807922348105
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6571.260267360802
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8774:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.83417101474997, b_new = -1.86138852660037, c_new = 6.537220864995343
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5458.423932003659
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8775:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6932726935784324, b_new = -1.987494921023158, c_new = 5.516711116522339
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9105.693108558993
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8776:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.332333358411259, b_new = -1.8786368774873536, c_new = 6.184804352509971
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12723.410449253122
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8777:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8342153404481776, b_new = -0.89570635276363, c_new = 6.526059312414535
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -13533.856602083271
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8778:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5131907778745393, b_new = -1.177851970579365, c_new = 6.634794674447439
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9660.819339088735
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8779:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7784426727817486, b_new = -1.3610249830523962, c_new = 5.636488196518613
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12343.832849127557
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8780:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3179764267404654, b_new = -1.1001633293453998, c_new = 5.945844620574563
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7025.950510110621
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8781:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7193489045936348, b_new = -1.1310226194057589, c_new = 6.179260475714835
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6027.846592127858
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8782:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5817693215520903, b_new = -1.0510286827576536, c_new = 5.965827752842709
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -8572.735722436328
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8783:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6340744471773005, b_new = -1.2175002773828292, c_new = 6.490718316687766
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -11655.453700527254
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8784:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3024959730728316, b_new = -1.0173674366975471, c_new = 6.758332547059039
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7257.179850505259
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8785:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8136357372216714, b_new = -0.9130457135087373, c_new = 6.270081988155203
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3983.225436331252
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8786:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.287392622616387, b_new = -1.5305917626980095, c_new = 6.78274434077134
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5524.855001486678
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8787:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2285602970161036, b_new = -1.931642403138993, c_new = 6.653198758596208
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3799.939866010941
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8788:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8730468618212561, b_new = -1.3119644711803375, c_new = 5.285174646835612
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -14604.388255075668
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8789:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.253179292284865, b_new = -1.4268036035825786, c_new = 6.519780384839173
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5044.410098096879
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8790:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2721476778845977, b_new = -0.452859896484786, c_new = 5.841491502847552
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7853.161924715278
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8791:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.713044095281174, b_new = -0.15255464767657334, c_new = 6.049227335919583
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -4153.850518456298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8792:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1242584429722817, b_new = -0.9583259943738491, c_new = 5.814710987473355
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3839.10256831102
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8793:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6615694915950563, b_new = -1.796287782046748, c_new = 6.520652026432464
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -8798.416999507903
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8794:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.331425936759845, b_new = -1.375959047266017, c_new = 5.378152707181712
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12263.787614852514
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8795:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.176118116624247, b_new = -1.2699021755032647, c_new = 6.0042116858575145
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -4028.726211822762
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8796:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3527394283279253, b_new = -1.8210071842413, c_new = 5.65294831800038
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5725.239512378133
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8797:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6562606612565096, b_new = -1.5680052868607153, c_new = 6.597064216788609
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -11331.215650033238
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8798:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.320169171321429, b_new = -1.488594524447062, c_new = 6.330005726730868
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6146.199532982717
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8799:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7699855970064657, b_new = -1.6454419006824166, c_new = 5.986018453039304
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -11993.558605207898
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8800:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0065667323255223, b_new = -2.200173732379854, c_new = 6.21561243070824
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3638.2975137711865
Acceptance probability: 2.0875021815749475e-271
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8801:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.848088009896518, b_new = -2.1563376889595243, c_new = 7.390240731878314
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12258.017518104636
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8802:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.710014035592673, b_new = -1.2554369409622257, c_new = 7.046457781348168
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12392.493128432961
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8803:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.567071870332236, b_new = -2.1024444655655428, c_new = 6.055884078915642
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9178.691778884651
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8804:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1132412403005376, b_new = -0.7777708009847059, c_new = 7.248845625438188
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -4352.7410811336285
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8805:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4794737469097656, b_new = -1.5936548054496056, c_new = 6.377228477493534
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9066.797425457149
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8806:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0024730739871752, b_new = -1.5335137320846322, c_new = 5.612791546272421
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -14238.474818577477
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8807:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9451220264837463, b_new = -1.067172486140986, c_new = 6.9800813079344035
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3078.2878221575547
Acceptance probability: 3.3786703309545275e-28
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8808:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.518961518071279, b_new = -1.7584608123746035, c_new = 5.760513273554921
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -11004.263045122581
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8809:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3790553030477946, b_new = -0.09063182417379445, c_new = 6.734172496631886
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -11079.489430911435
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8810:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8344735065489655, b_new = -2.2557710472650534, c_new = 6.093391828926086
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6663.671538821013
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8811:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6150764870225625, b_new = -1.7093095102629317, c_new = 5.650352456792055
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9682.702212748745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8812:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.492240400850151, b_new = -1.4529438419862948, c_new = 6.444206375099496
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9604.993035592855
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8813:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2933202369432673, b_new = -1.699672010919624, c_new = 7.4160992582042
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5441.237281278837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8814:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.144190887874879, b_new = -1.1404903883658966, c_new = 6.009881546850934
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -14587.553595988706
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8815:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.192183371838884, b_new = -1.784251237711732, c_new = 7.006812225690659
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3670.9216996716004
Acceptance probability: 1.4161948961310322e-285
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8816:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2329503234496246, b_new = -0.9414685080448606, c_new = 6.219392078524752
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5734.563183861287
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8817:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.805680943470287, b_new = -1.444233878162081, c_new = 5.7968495237797075
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -16098.695466478403
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8818:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7623756990138553, b_new = -1.7315635060291552, c_new = 6.361728204264602
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -11918.892060633727
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8819:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.782583786346, b_new = -0.7599849401196263, c_new = 6.019011053094828
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -4194.322775879202
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8820:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5269482454228305, b_new = -1.586084716529487, c_new = 6.2733436715919515
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9754.938520847134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8821:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.761352282538931, b_new = -0.8411348085593261, c_new = 5.9047126248825235
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12980.413332715245
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8822:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.586010927679933, b_new = -2.333031460020751, c_new = 6.60552405920012
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9148.965045010496
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8823:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5316119064760345, b_new = -2.1204157390948124, c_new = 5.355524873822617
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -11670.97916528529
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8824:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.890997177826014, b_new = -1.1584451181445339, c_new = 5.940593183515443
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3526.671709226046
Acceptance probability: 6.2819993913871616e-223
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8825:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.024519637927342, b_new = -1.151957534932005, c_new = 6.830582565496666
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3084.5067582387833
Acceptance probability: 6.728158203848413e-31
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8826:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7303471467249865, b_new = -1.235283960433449, c_new = 6.5654077973783735
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5943.410502644916
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8827:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7021444431002104, b_new = -1.402904870641591, c_new = 5.481470973941219
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7356.667069216531
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8828:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0322839034441955, b_new = -1.5158743078758679, c_new = 5.600936060111182
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3033.006442457656
Acceptance probability: 1.563864620986087e-08
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8829:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9764013773239753, b_new = -1.5511632549659629, c_new = 6.425105514188687
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3202.7116333358117
Acceptance probability: 3.105783698181013e-82
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8830:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.85515129956031, b_new = -1.275599813672628, c_new = 6.370961699020011
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3997.0978222997373
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8831:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3371399260350056, b_new = -1.5937852601803781, c_new = 6.18475587499585
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12302.195118502783
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8832:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2640745847459574, b_new = -1.7896721021444084, c_new = 7.24277876555145
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12784.889658875178
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8833:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.387290540640267, b_new = -1.8582480271953101, c_new = 6.217928650992126
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12285.000419472823
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8834:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.856362664224834, b_new = -1.2274323358821997, c_new = 6.567720810018203
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3874.93985170868
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8835:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3075483426247536, b_new = -0.702827162579997, c_new = 6.74297275661268
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -8291.349689531247
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8836:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6317395053459203, b_new = -0.8719919504521934, c_new = 5.385892195216867
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7405.634312795351
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8837:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.368330090697739, b_new = -2.064069474581241, c_new = 6.244728626125367
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5627.810230855384
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8838:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5977014456146095, b_new = -1.5387545770075948, c_new = 6.060803536217024
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9414.400547363879
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8839:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9634847373154574, b_new = -0.8885850806624795, c_new = 5.926540085520885
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3025.288828258827
Acceptance probability: 3.5149278500540655e-05
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8840:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5077458302708595, b_new = -0.6894415785007517, c_new = 6.878942050522251
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -8658.012682265666
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8841:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.726472016404857, b_new = -1.6013461361901884, c_new = 6.551058263091313
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6985.330240650814
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8842:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.482272689934472, b_new = -0.7712852995238505, c_new = 5.967403920777591
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -10704.590793138024
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8843:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.264385504299493, b_new = -0.9807597301243902, c_new = 6.516755028925728
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -11914.99414278732
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8844:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5437626276921783, b_new = -1.1635543934103507, c_new = 6.402517252518281
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9281.222660473413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8845:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9575557268165813, b_new = -1.2712841733130433, c_new = 6.960929444331626
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3106.0753841734954
Acceptance probability: 2.889089321722107e-40
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8846:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.221343519948817, b_new = -1.2663497900974572, c_new = 6.539740125663578
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -4850.489300063282
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8847:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.612298547058934, b_new = -1.9360833756906128, c_new = 6.095267954877727
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -10095.661523907653
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8848:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1887298246209506, b_new = -0.9344620997736577, c_new = 6.81561633737185
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5111.674601141462
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8849:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7275101762304934, b_new = -0.941005495593372, c_new = 6.73547088367113
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12861.058349750158
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8850:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4779323889486147, b_new = -2.3433146332423496, c_new = 6.600403570462937
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7254.850762656259
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8851:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3296410291313334, b_new = -1.2471619980523854, c_new = 5.323578991770293
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12107.4972425669
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8852:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0107057847972936, b_new = -1.739496764670665, c_new = 6.346999920308997
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3154.73783258384
Acceptance probability: 2.122893212991916e-61
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8853:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.685646704657783, b_new = -1.3245954932231276, c_new = 6.797237707356665
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12025.737293786657
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8854:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1088520040346093, b_new = -1.774329146312162, c_new = 6.608825570241868
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3076.020353128567
Acceptance probability: 3.2620837388384965e-27
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8855:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.236238327218615, b_new = -1.216717719488879, c_new = 6.385631429798128
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5176.358987964734
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8856:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.853785035659846, b_new = -1.36877058664473, c_new = 5.941584596829161
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12912.65817450889
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8857:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.358591021941083, b_new = -1.3428995846087703, c_new = 7.221713001322365
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7742.001878497833
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8858:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1903980570455954, b_new = -0.9263529195505209, c_new = 6.4400119706352035
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5036.131795184451
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8859:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.199435278876554, b_new = -1.8779105102424452, c_new = 6.491566528700649
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -13460.181727512756
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8860:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1603940852043246, b_new = -0.8314698899102153, c_new = 7.461339210615222
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5063.758152582519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8861:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.735227061184704, b_new = 0.1920102516367168, c_new = 6.135296064284553
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3507.021536903165
Acceptance probability: 2.148123757411544e-214
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8862:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5884631463405183, b_new = -1.6159397532038802, c_new = 6.462429429272331
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9583.435261167066
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8863:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.498425546233614, b_new = -1.2860336687196139, c_new = 7.284072622573938
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -10345.394517663892
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8864:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6083578471798132, b_new = -1.1498083267086154, c_new = 6.538976560387104
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -11544.511164931631
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8865:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.73511270095685, b_new = -1.1740172750942444, c_new = 6.616698494316766
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5683.375718985879
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8866:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7040753717155277, b_new = -0.934619420613509, c_new = 6.669639942434953
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5694.10432467841
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8867:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.330377252935531, b_new = -1.7916077557026457, c_new = 6.890142883750873
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5764.385848649336
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8868:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.890914449744347, b_new = -1.1278860257626375, c_new = 7.470130856174856
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3336.948271496393
Acceptance probability: 1.5629316420369024e-140
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8869:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.345666291604344, b_new = -1.7207505159121201, c_new = 5.940489858391644
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12482.846661024934
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8870:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7854426694163728, b_new = -1.6160931912202479, c_new = 6.303350331448833
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12234.704309806004
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8871:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.892227975460877, b_new = -0.5239696443953196, c_new = 7.178047628987276
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -13430.523221810136
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8872:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.617853843335196, b_new = -1.011610755075568, c_new = 5.970087511208346
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -11676.262348513075
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8873:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.951798754519871, b_new = -1.0748701476819735, c_new = 6.8213675602988895
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3065.7659604063415
Acceptance probability: 9.26661841619791e-23
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8874:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.296163028130917, b_new = -1.2342355549464379, c_new = 6.135101902682285
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6250.438380907151
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8875:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9595312357742167, b_new = -1.6589671991977193, c_new = 5.936554214060181
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -13194.449395993688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8876:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.808167075595196, b_new = -1.697510584282083, c_new = 6.078016212798864
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12226.840942713452
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8877:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.566542340589048, b_new = -0.8719830351613858, c_new = 6.071093622294851
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -8373.073875165115
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8878:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6417917206243886, b_new = -0.7549849236153281, c_new = 5.708701786054902
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6790.041018003937
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8879:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3813485442580804, b_new = -1.1774024250518402, c_new = 6.013080274759225
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -11349.039896780361
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8880:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4940113260003107, b_new = -1.2964140184455297, c_new = 6.3996866147572575
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9949.164084186323
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8881:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.050437680418813, b_new = -2.129715743454499, c_new = 6.242090989889089
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3223.500249485265
Acceptance probability: 2.909309505812241e-91
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8882:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.322733810162843, b_new = -1.728987368625386, c_new = 6.601866394156368
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5668.8871021739815
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8883:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.553136646165621, b_new = -1.6230328654603485, c_new = 6.790180145329024
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -10195.824257380458
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8884:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8892414886308164, b_new = -0.8444543031734799, c_new = 6.428464386823809
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3220.679031074726
Acceptance probability: 4.886855684418891e-90
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8885:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.032186244155803, b_new = -2.117967296020007, c_new = 6.582232602056277
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -13238.888892056704
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8886:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.661447384059471, b_new = -1.283623595134154, c_new = 5.979902334152246
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7676.234504842519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8887:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2120589732004117, b_new = -1.4420299583683953, c_new = 6.573225295741196
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -4359.969067169057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8888:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7074753141003742, b_new = -0.33578238059508836, c_new = 6.515284666396833
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -13466.983682532298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8889:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7274196152628867, b_new = -0.6507617380832537, c_new = 6.744593323140328
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -4656.903100947895
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8890:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7261403393819905, b_new = -1.712327013752673, c_new = 6.31381398593726
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -11640.796029892734
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8891:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8732245227346036, b_new = -1.1705268819214347, c_new = 6.022103376440052
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3702.6027731153004
Acceptance probability: 2.467218696859539e-299
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8892:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8574576950828616, b_new = -1.9462198821425356, c_new = 5.61549408494972
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12126.659854013904
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8893:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.03511935563666, b_new = -2.0702788689681446, c_new = 6.7456212009583805
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -13348.365485382808
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8894:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.368722646070048, b_new = -1.133008076221495, c_new = 6.3804917777077605
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -11291.64401703608
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8895:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.209671639358032, b_new = -2.0968925375566005, c_new = 5.82155915438472
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3332.6583165249713
Acceptance probability: 1.140364674101407e-138
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8896:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6818746737232173, b_new = -1.3661627579932378, c_new = 5.9262325060639585
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7504.787991950092
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8897:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.558666830612604, b_new = -1.355195516559293, c_new = 6.081184828382429
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9581.155797712461
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8898:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6803563267521593, b_new = -1.4077265927342328, c_new = 6.680191808885217
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7369.250613957264
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8899:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8994067381906268, b_new = -1.0984806443062245, c_new = 6.247233388157507
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3360.4920251216327
Acceptance probability: 9.311458263036724e-151
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8900:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2334517722291367, b_new = -1.477926953480144, c_new = 6.099977439959674
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -4491.110144531454
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8901:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.841984843724739, b_new = -0.8323576996253288, c_new = 6.004425613760992
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3606.9841215743295
Acceptance probability: 8.295840219046581e-258
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8902:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.902065326607894, b_new = -0.5446533401063404, c_new = 5.83040581110231
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3069.7377959500877
Acceptance probability: 1.745721739388119e-24
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8903:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8083585419787647, b_new = -0.9746769727405968, c_new = 6.954422540170989
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -4019.961886187831
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8904:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.136129917851125, b_new = -2.09090655270938, c_new = 6.39805968152555
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3045.2690223817067
Acceptance probability: 7.389726411435716e-14
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8905:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.390647049097916, b_new = -1.8883000922846218, c_new = 6.500189289542275
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12222.187512694532
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8906:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7536377809312684, b_new = -1.2306060414731745, c_new = 6.590231458257922
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12609.249193290103
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8907:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.32438191409252, b_new = -1.2481202619519585, c_new = 5.815281952506034
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12011.922429654203
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8908:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8439984265797245, b_new = -0.8382374532744721, c_new = 6.076635035557808
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3584.7534982351535
Acceptance probability: 3.745393256914425e-248
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8909:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.795672073571877, b_new = -0.23297158272788154, c_new = 7.2983158818098985
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -14306.989278918283
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8910:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.406299068198334, b_new = -0.5273985287657119, c_new = 5.784630724659067
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -10146.115320186498
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8911:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0116453734669664, b_new = -1.215880844424542, c_new = 5.788712103860098
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Acceptance probability: 12.194319746473292
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8912:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.277277022263882, b_new = -1.9292722926677928, c_new = 6.393868910001506
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4381.12674151726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8913:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9331189648623552, b_new = -0.6869280622734653, c_new = 5.663717783265306
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3038.3825084807254
Acceptance probability: 5.932609572617368e-12
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8914:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1544990700976734, b_new = -0.31389678035742086, c_new = 5.646018055965428
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5570.566478030074
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8915:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6595294359420505, b_new = -1.3379422776524477, c_new = 5.372920681077883
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8087.305855319293
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8916:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.231893421058578, b_new = -0.9477075846752099, c_new = 5.326481214765209
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5387.450202202217
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8917:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.197553396583578, b_new = -1.0348668489943378, c_new = 5.745103996331156
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4709.66289743307
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8918:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8739530835056533, b_new = -1.4224877646593808, c_new = 6.2349794445089035
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4015.7800704498395
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8919:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9339447026554, b_new = -2.5813963364403456, c_new = 6.297657501825882
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5395.483892171891
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8920:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.456674530908668, b_new = -1.0173703812813542, c_new = 5.594684578631299
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10386.624921272589
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8921:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.480476821972993, b_new = -0.9475093928033531, c_new = 6.274694224062292
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9745.44292359134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8922:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.469213644631497, b_new = -0.573716376083304, c_new = 5.325005612020245
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9449.536886824502
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8923:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.330260355898297, b_new = -0.7687470055333261, c_new = 5.422905356987766
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11344.514390756905
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8924:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6182176564134116, b_new = -1.2741719758339556, c_new = 5.890420497638027
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8503.625600828911
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8925:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.462488363860586, b_new = -0.8821565929027064, c_new = 5.8272671425106415
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9985.2793946991
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8926:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.043909958622164, b_new = -1.6968082520668402, c_new = 6.227792342274304
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13665.402003342151
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8927:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0608278664387703, b_new = -1.4914623111221605, c_new = 6.461467220650511
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3037.5253699413497
Acceptance probability: 1.3979650247372154e-11
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8928:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.462445147950885, b_new = -0.7940464858517229, c_new = 5.95243281217463
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9777.173497945292
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8929:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.836813711866046, b_new = -1.0799347633302983, c_new = 5.90946989093575
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4015.498328658126
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8930:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7037190815926455, b_new = -1.8197148516289516, c_new = 6.689256299910403
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7993.459442080728
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8931:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.888387554174175, b_new = -1.516343742000046, c_new = 5.671225993170106
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12875.209027733632
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8932:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3041395604234634, b_new = -1.4905443340833566, c_new = 6.038612303797907
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12441.68910986803
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8933:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4982620880108977, b_new = -1.2201263704757601, c_new = 5.886204407799243
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10174.726714570033
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8934:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5392880675825698, b_new = -0.41342946651057266, c_new = 5.175321811188913
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8064.243446965949
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8935:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5492556060883906, b_new = -0.9407440040133942, c_new = 6.408437008061056
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8707.081197736255
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8936:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2759918417756415, b_new = -1.0115604018969817, c_new = 5.512698965316655
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6191.367921336825
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8937:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3041524138143608, b_new = -0.6593151090577104, c_new = 4.767753349529846
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11598.32727322982
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8938:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.112258934604557, b_new = -1.2389275222465108, c_new = 5.001240494026138
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14136.673121186252
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8939:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8613007735259075, b_new = -0.8111505574991824, c_new = 6.2704577345814485
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14006.994174419686
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8940:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.695771217078273, b_new = -1.3372250379732442, c_new = 5.877286060612523
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7160.36876739744
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8941:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8703091850047784, b_new = -0.8141827744561965, c_new = 5.2765039582611974
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3430.77171874368
Acceptance probability: 2.294969893393449e-182
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8942:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9685533785086617, b_new = -1.5368083105388013, c_new = 5.691710377381512
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3315.9109471219135
Acceptance probability: 1.7545926068884035e-132
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8943:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3532650249966443, b_new = -1.4957672428830557, c_new = 6.013276323083419
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12085.537584203643
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8944:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1006399075708506, b_new = -0.9998400778593225, c_new = 4.557618663828761
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3362.352509272182
Acceptance probability: 1.1881249673212888e-152
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8945:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4918694169308893, b_new = -1.2357206587884966, c_new = 5.535295116296325
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10398.49397402767
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8946:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7193716549108475, b_new = -1.234387415690126, c_new = 5.06672775212887
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11928.299810223525
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8947:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.414417555787381, b_new = -1.463081157226158, c_new = 5.218261495873865
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7780.09147571697
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8948:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.206136767532548, b_new = -1.449035462144006, c_new = 5.985716657677578
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4123.0710554862
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8949:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5603871706885664, b_new = -1.4937462212504475, c_new = 5.571092639417701
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10135.871820804328
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8950:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5563542952947365, b_new = -1.0293653729181713, c_new = 6.199628427299227
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11127.665340846812
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8951:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.326739610064343, b_new = -0.9573465710195569, c_new = 5.803482463280226
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7566.514063880912
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8952:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.374399019425911, b_new = -1.5376013520139098, c_new = 5.292599525242076
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6782.7887990744575
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8953:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.247966648913133, b_new = -0.5733268041038099, c_new = 5.810215558128236
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11657.037540321944
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8954:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.490517456255786, b_new = -0.161660755592403, c_new = 5.879684483599165
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8086.069157196876
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8955:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1819164262386117, b_new = -0.3447337969903982, c_new = 5.951741037124367
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11817.273613253727
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8956:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.138918839358305, b_new = -1.393583680136482, c_new = 4.795422640407119
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3318.67560326441
Acceptance probability: 1.1053540021949678e-133
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8957:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1929842698278086, b_new = -1.2147903765032897, c_new = 6.101637215401525
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4380.167106265917
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8958:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8897924953481438, b_new = -1.7993639142600801, c_new = 5.456673176260787
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14921.237313377722
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8959:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.469271797947426, b_new = -1.4769522468957987, c_new = 6.772979233115631
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9318.181701102749
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8960:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3334165161569125, b_new = -2.0721431374037977, c_new = 5.763783130091791
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13085.500417101084
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8961:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.440630127556777, b_new = -1.3460842940574052, c_new = 6.244427081667344
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10966.501782026446
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8962:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2745355889710184, b_new = -1.0408689550648407, c_new = 6.215622949084165
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6347.965126847534
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8963:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.771887360200305, b_new = -1.6158349547711066, c_new = 6.717801020809332
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6020.218953366179
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8964:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2185836664549683, b_new = -1.7306338680023754, c_new = 6.885926057023186
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4026.8309560165976
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8965:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1242323485291528, b_new = -2.1689247777974816, c_new = 5.063886802537073
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3078.852500075376
Acceptance probability: 1.5752581526555575e-29
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8966:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1899368493671703, b_new = -0.910561637601579, c_new = 5.205761347388322
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4689.787158149148
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8967:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.461798651440171, b_new = -0.8551252014632705, c_new = 6.064196696261214
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9868.722109783985
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8968:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.448236107431404, b_new = -0.7022082611806876, c_new = 6.219274697614428
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9699.702599207654
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8969:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6865858956859068, b_new = -0.9767318123001427, c_new = 6.324779304895535
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6248.220495415633
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8970:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.640206722361006, b_new = -0.5111030586630223, c_new = 6.666508758613712
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5919.927380279315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8971:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.336091466515539, b_new = -1.5819119155573933, c_new = 5.194876732997765
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12570.988817688474
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8972:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6916214517381096, b_new = -2.0916970475977297, c_new = 5.399567504592835
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9452.328858140325
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8973:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2225059182374123, b_new = -1.1192906364571475, c_new = 5.5137278351465095
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4882.899468694353
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8974:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.633915775153016, b_new = -0.47523247872627017, c_new = 4.999690721857848
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12325.831536418398
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8975:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0991841795273154, b_new = -1.4383431330732506, c_new = 5.911122930543595
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3154.54130586003
Acceptance probability: 2.118951624116312e-62
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8976:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1810223460215106, b_new = -1.1362286504358738, c_new = 6.193207372014383
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4374.4647337438555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8977:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0228352767384425, b_new = -0.529518269590427, c_new = 5.702112107590869
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3386.975056445697
Acceptance probability: 2.4067210385469796e-163
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8978:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8305697003124686, b_new = -1.6119574265966992, c_new = 5.841042215819073
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5157.035203890511
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8979:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1690901172226145, b_new = -1.0161110024072295, c_new = 6.057154171830967
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4388.2064169186215
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8980:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.237137123922069, b_new = -1.1374779845904412, c_new = 5.760185854818353
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5176.412525252252
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8981:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.101847943303203, b_new = -1.1341550514257428, c_new = 4.836185823088241
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3284.8552282232104
Acceptance probability: 5.388943674320437e-119
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8982:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7862632768891658, b_new = -0.4301070439201409, c_new = 6.498706079331501
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3628.2806026833305
Acceptance probability: 3.8349399754246557e-268
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8983:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.429564191167617, b_new = -0.7740330999949436, c_new = 6.213795249675735
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10065.099475963843
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8984:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.53879334684181, b_new = -1.440808382664971, c_new = 6.294964305773816
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9959.892563412324
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8985:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5724535513189597, b_new = -0.8583042592129444, c_new = 5.452093824651292
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8452.433264985895
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8986:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8031905183681274, b_new = -1.415075724992454, c_new = 6.054026130815289
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5139.030955122817
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8987:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.451372160201407, b_new = -1.5290308940420012, c_new = 5.8054621758880245
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8531.881697773315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8988:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.197174275932635, b_new = -1.154714343349786, c_new = 6.226058974371754
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14820.215963002991
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8989:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.219310174824408, b_new = -0.9964347443508232, c_new = 5.958822715324315
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12403.675759380294
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8990:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.551747649259857, b_new = -1.6767640982206204, c_new = 5.788417636338641
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9743.850605182897
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8991:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7587386016664666, b_new = -1.6345680021866358, c_new = 4.799694717364269
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7070.332127815337
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8992:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.493185771729586, b_new = -0.9395385775179941, c_new = 6.358125212243175
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10644.486304709006
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8993:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.800416492111185, b_new = -2.0462104088857833, c_new = 5.555204467255584
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7029.730115125516
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8994:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9849718983571276, b_new = -1.24121467368532, c_new = 5.821864308511779
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3051.7699770220115
Acceptance probability: 9.102109462494024e-18
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8995:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.775964416909325, b_new = -0.5130018215852911, c_new = 5.227683993332333
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4043.6012351535246
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8996:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7768459938727528, b_new = -0.87107269081069, c_new = 6.3890853365787645
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4387.737151387499
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8997:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.583565901990742, b_new = -1.7089993120876492, c_new = 6.020334918036935
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10004.165314999187
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8998:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8425519168843305, b_new = -1.7480976012078697, c_new = 5.961136367243154
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5215.679036949412
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8999:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.144260848192406, b_new = -0.7901763249377475, c_new = 6.657308488690905
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4622.865270281006
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9000:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6354966626216703, b_new = -0.7330357397802421, c_new = 5.817099118411672
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6822.732397398565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9001:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.179487578754729, b_new = -1.0773523273000718, c_new = 4.882065215322856
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4141.6371270574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9002:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0179718029787654, b_new = -0.8963696827990795, c_new = 5.196939661742597
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3060.2123052869147
Acceptance probability: 1.961938882023514e-21
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9003:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7958290425390184, b_new = -1.3401731607827017, c_new = 5.312886944424064
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12404.935016203865
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9004:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3778746601363028, b_new = -1.497808508371759, c_new = 5.936490399587207
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11906.944441808142
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9005:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3161315064205104, b_new = -1.1379611933472176, c_new = 6.180741397487823
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11817.593885428401
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9006:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7955391352528256, b_new = -0.46239189133821745, c_new = 7.364395575317701
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14065.8661126052
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9007:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.983542241941974, b_new = -1.248123120940571, c_new = 5.735284163860217
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13720.212021102685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9008:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.744236419679762, b_new = -0.9960659158456248, c_new = 5.103777848380588
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12443.529939675918
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9009:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2915124569745347, b_new = -1.252942409350439, c_new = 5.46134704319013
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5856.563236211321
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9010:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.163180784262208, b_new = -1.4501998404074978, c_new = 5.381419216734338
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14236.218856636035
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9011:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4300526412115726, b_new = -1.552638691647681, c_new = 5.713945955096939
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8037.902204360637
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9012:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.253286859802476, b_new = -2.2425669058378537, c_new = 6.309090533520352
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3608.588134284726
Acceptance probability: 1.3680089267416345e-259
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9013:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.647884833294166, b_new = -1.895507177090542, c_new = 5.534859855780618
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10393.284759382399
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9014:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0977739826883934, b_new = -1.4028775735405417, c_new = 4.9515076667506746
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3104.774624981204
Acceptance probability: 8.699933442945602e-41
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9015:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8832413174881975, b_new = -1.4834520145323025, c_new = 5.741866850558112
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4099.203286156232
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9016:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0515475351904358, b_new = -1.3101111617708465, c_new = 5.912172350427769
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3043.7980823074686
Acceptance probability: 2.6381041608381656e-14
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9017:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.78866291782501, b_new = -0.9155231209467494, c_new = 5.6741358864352565
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12997.184670408791
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9018:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5933481427319127, b_new = -1.3271170815557916, c_new = 6.152945750482209
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8964.933403920251
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9019:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1860212415487807, b_new = -1.7987682490907388, c_new = 6.137183113404579
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13531.308324311896
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9020:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6017884477263467, b_new = -1.1058844936968066, c_new = 5.593102829384884
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8488.972061032415
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9021:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.059868068918169, b_new = -0.9416959889217718, c_new = 6.4478975353622525
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3367.4021835534704
Acceptance probability: 7.617569872388714e-155
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9022:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5880676855684133, b_new = -1.3678363249748675, c_new = 5.353942631240799
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10607.517622121344
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9023:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2130020614994415, b_new = -0.9678530116237716, c_new = 5.601106172751512
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5077.991516629726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9024:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.65853071541797, b_new = -0.8890414506324222, c_new = 5.900725728395859
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6732.003777125865
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9025:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2214785509195005, b_new = -1.1768283486891695, c_new = 6.1423278500597265
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4927.248447812093
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9026:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.478202719385486, b_new = -0.8912025445800704, c_new = 6.273140326835259
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9665.21226853393
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9027:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6489491522786834, b_new = -1.1317872315330604, c_new = 6.218268767218683
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7440.746211981128
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9028:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1574855056167843, b_new = -1.1804791391919092, c_new = 5.9507047819262775
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3926.0121039557557
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9029:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9895840419177557, b_new = -1.0957259926126162, c_new = 5.894793396814489
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3017.806297798903
Acceptance probability: 0.005121303640475879
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9030:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.572329248614164, b_new = -0.7693312805076089, c_new = 6.333164393460294
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7940.602809313562
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9031:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.174764309483124, b_new = -0.4099349392100877, c_new = 5.559446956614417
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12053.526662519951
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9032:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0924261435225353, b_new = -1.024904617098871, c_new = 5.477216031357663
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13333.35307288654
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9033:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.884404363296214, b_new = -1.2511343800647696, c_new = 5.543566620238482
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3772.183538915355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9034:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.790298620315886, b_new = -0.07556529872147344, c_new = 5.059905562161195
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3399.3404420930638
Acceptance probability: 1.0261409072083034e-168
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9035:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3579070377271454, b_new = -1.3039350679744952, c_new = 6.033398987454928
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11754.699086056082
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9036:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.601025334344867, b_new = -1.1610827405609345, c_new = 6.338517371826102
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11393.762408887042
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9037:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.838496967876607, b_new = -1.224839963289831, c_new = 5.864954567250625
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4240.886611421026
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9038:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6769573968947267, b_new = -2.1001783169140644, c_new = 5.424080000486627
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9712.533476654718
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9039:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.71239393668716, b_new = -0.9276673324321267, c_new = 6.398696270886036
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5599.32774387149
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9040:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.459521933904719, b_new = -0.8761018434714505, c_new = 6.144512580383209
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10270.013353873912
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9041:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.085941396366023, b_new = -1.0679618496911045, c_new = 5.980557473994781
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3370.551300412098
Acceptance probability: 3.2671748094234136e-156
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9042:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.614346701572363, b_new = -0.35516563024336856, c_new = 5.032165909559116
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12357.179773480857
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9043:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.495802893045225, b_new = -1.3505902661513314, c_new = 6.101730624178433
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9755.990826383208
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9044:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1362402469450563, b_new = -1.7763752497629564, c_new = 4.458533662067238
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3087.155385942787
Acceptance probability: 3.9035003250902314e-33
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9045:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8005999555021655, b_new = -1.7465211238627538, c_new = 5.240429290435012
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6305.296879700272
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9046:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.149658914507987, b_new = -1.3348524535230348, c_new = 5.454275754791578
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13375.911512266963
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9047:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.918589549097471, b_new = -0.7952225792672251, c_new = 6.649825743008908
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3081.254221580987
Acceptance probability: 1.42658396769622e-30
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9048:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2839516816507683, b_new = -1.022253077115418, c_new = 5.925860013824551
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6492.787437516457
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9049:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9917021803679393, b_new = -0.7765845719175908, c_new = 5.95294724954784
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3080.0154933117014
Acceptance probability: 4.923457472258026e-30
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9050:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.986527227860086, b_new = -0.7122829350262659, c_new = 4.646218075532596
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3024.574951990021
Acceptance probability: 5.88560837021552e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9051:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.807864230370937, b_new = -1.5933299452469534, c_new = 5.664118126665885
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12251.626421467281
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9052:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0847299967514195, b_new = -0.629375229159333, c_new = 6.603248005759633
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4058.746369547152
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9053:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2836284775452, b_new = -1.288555173119735, c_new = 5.3610233771753055
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5572.10324925432
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9054:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.85949861618817, b_new = -0.9855398045498918, c_new = 6.229220433890513
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13489.722768241847
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9055:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.557628183175912, b_new = -0.9039810489428233, c_new = 5.641422361447789
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11179.584132650936
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9056:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.95425700512142, b_new = -1.425941749577694, c_new = 5.7651176653163265
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3308.922910203497
Acceptance probability: 1.9012628752834874e-129
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9057:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.352092067503008, b_new = -1.1092171834547502, c_new = 5.3586179250598525
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11700.30809087798
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9058:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.153581520555418, b_new = -1.2368059833636222, c_new = 6.41150773605246
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3891.985203279352
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9059:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5628414351080533, b_new = -1.4795308330922525, c_new = 6.26006489207274
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9725.374493285704
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9060:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5015214134661035, b_new = -2.172153277168966, c_new = 5.193792643976394
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12112.165727575102
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9061:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5528559555312453, b_new = -1.9923764583503467, c_new = 5.25234334257491
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8947.373008986384
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9062:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.704990020622516, b_new = -1.539278375756185, c_new = 5.944954166389186
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11615.092254638703
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9063:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.007697581646618, b_new = -1.819981221829492, c_new = 5.68927592914936
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3299.077556593572
Acceptance probability: 3.587772636829761e-125
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9064:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7593198613093723, b_new = -1.31655113938452, c_new = 5.3564966986258495
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5974.867474175664
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9065:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0574897726254626, b_new = -1.4511065140721284, c_new = 5.866342936119344
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3021.6789056582274
Acceptance probability: 0.00010654382933921087
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9066:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3304969085309133, b_new = -1.8278309887923787, c_new = 6.483563917368477
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5537.766651954001
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9067:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4993293850140987, b_new = -2.2749382837500436, c_new = 6.015094544471068
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7641.566521797578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9068:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.374510222102169, b_new = -1.264450839408635, c_new = 5.491152423332367
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7600.254510441897
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9069:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.606566597205407, b_new = -1.5377231159025855, c_new = 4.959632527699211
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9676.465504137184
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9070:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.512142314142336, b_new = -0.9529030692799263, c_new = 5.315065375796884
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9643.146464530573
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9071:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.029766134417108, b_new = -0.6641767761923826, c_new = 5.921007586030744
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3339.25568819781
Acceptance probability: 1.2755105772400194e-142
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9072:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.426533652704186, b_new = -0.9810130098027919, c_new = 5.973088378703661
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9491.834207847984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9073:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0685374881878107, b_new = -1.2269617381760773, c_new = 6.016621000676422
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3145.2264891668606
Acceptance probability: 2.352309874304385e-58
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9074:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0206638088210926, b_new = -2.022056614710892, c_new = 5.691188776086996
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3396.856846373897
Acceptance probability: 1.2297559068213033e-167
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9075:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2383473806074803, b_new = -1.1007016505879132, c_new = 5.770800495161258
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5288.392345091585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9076:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.354601703724634, b_new = -0.13309687786318936, c_new = 5.529022199614642
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10173.176387097366
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9077:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.271459737702475, b_new = -2.3789053061928787, c_new = 6.293278392039041
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3625.8739633297537
Acceptance probability: 4.255482039976105e-267
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9078:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.683936477476277, b_new = -0.8473738758599009, c_new = 5.894996045898775
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6117.125494049604
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9079:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.575804338761343, b_new = -1.7494675663440327, c_new = 5.898967579439295
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9944.166822469791
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9080:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4987958695840065, b_new = -1.729860828626495, c_new = 5.117989137105565
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8632.651953175158
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9081:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3546496665267536, b_new = -0.8996609515096055, c_new = 6.356252428293847
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11057.81550798798
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9082:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.790944427038559, b_new = -1.7730973309287723, c_new = 5.631833343073144
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6433.5172071938705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9083:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.208466090330704, b_new = -1.1022595983098853, c_new = 5.623411485919869
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4714.582271354341
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9084:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.291837783452474, b_new = -1.1689059037120204, c_new = 5.941046705918187
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12118.002325221714
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9085:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8131698006159356, b_new = -1.1924600247287225, c_new = 5.50034006794141
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12757.440760300935
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9086:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6591195891787938, b_new = -1.2427106212214616, c_new = 6.527153627560443
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11846.358758453278
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9087:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7514907953119152, b_new = -1.0988838655246163, c_new = 5.730409670321472
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14753.183006308102
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9088:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.105659662947218, b_new = -1.7864122030283838, c_new = 5.875601140449868
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3037.7559533517287
Acceptance probability: 1.1100823647501189e-11
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9089:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.450675511957801, b_new = -1.3456480126745343, c_new = 6.1204664044725
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9081.312251650474
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9090:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.560634226219057, b_new = -1.3166081400383662, c_new = 5.354705236145848
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10397.211286535134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9091:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.679528793066329, b_new = -0.8108901901853356, c_new = 5.634479614180801
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12377.798760701384
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9092:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.971698476703189, b_new = -1.4513462545631333, c_new = 5.871927881052081
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3208.651377382342
Acceptance probability: 6.705259101328096e-86
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9093:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.06605681321645, b_new = -0.7900618767194139, c_new = 6.9822054363818635
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3692.4412569825818
Acceptance probability: 5.237697993030361e-296
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9094:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.718895859692399, b_new = -1.6132383447418248, c_new = 5.295717028678315
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7662.142059249793
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9095:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.177412940251874, b_new = -1.9925323910675639, c_new = 5.293987023930083
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13770.440596371338
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9096:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2527615678177706, b_new = -0.7883801671309564, c_new = 6.121069583573383
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6546.109333510853
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9097:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8510786691731433, b_new = -0.6513931702247183, c_new = 5.754974362278716
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3375.7179568965275
Acceptance probability: 1.8634681352381084e-158
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9098:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0904447444107506, b_new = -0.9758649033868003, c_new = 5.758295266242796
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3468.730161186423
Acceptance probability: 7.5099128654231795e-199
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9099:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.063466210585508, b_new = -0.6401864462002342, c_new = 4.9596723435797285
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14486.029891305636
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9100:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0805360563408346, b_new = -1.062754797325556, c_new = 5.507792882702075
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3276.861585694004
Acceptance probability: 1.5962410862292191e-115
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9101:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4983822755391705, b_new = -1.951952479693372, c_new = 5.732415833493076
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11589.219494741072
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9102:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2444825321671664, b_new = -2.0165689403924834, c_new = 6.22405267965361
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13436.74145852471
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9103:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.374464684826154, b_new = -1.3064237979647584, c_new = 5.712091678136256
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7569.463683796386
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9104:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2485407473782804, b_new = -1.461850391821176, c_new = 5.9462733899840385
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12805.798074928509
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9105:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8509131720309036, b_new = -1.5202301534543778, c_new = 6.438312167862376
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4460.395455060776
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9106:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.657185241966957, b_new = -2.2305670972121305, c_new = 5.46481551196058
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10304.887532004313
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9107:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.718574239225597, b_new = -1.1246871867992339, c_new = 5.9155657683088245
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12310.401519518684
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9108:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6502818700010247, b_new = 0.13845611018894677, c_new = 5.123385273214069
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4749.809565727986
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9109:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.215371851212122, b_new = -1.2300513114632146, c_new = 6.011938230804356
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4673.549535709106
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9110:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1557503914819796, b_new = -0.5799214044355051, c_new = 6.605366978960633
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5276.75015422303
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9111:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.469626118592657, b_new = -0.6655622576597087, c_new = 5.65055055103155
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9525.36414509242
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9112:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.261707255089466, b_new = -1.694468819949145, c_new = 6.378650330690221
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4583.49237239006
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9113:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1023341702227616, b_new = -1.4204856489350803, c_new = 6.196477850420138
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3208.4203990758188
Acceptance probability: 8.44749937409161e-86
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9114:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7796388795923446, b_new = -0.8548364059166065, c_new = 6.009522797612898
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4401.012581077504
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9115:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3903862305614, b_new = -0.5707233226033703, c_new = 5.58513519555067
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9730.523700496364
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9116:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1476628813769336, b_new = -1.0349983496491009, c_new = 6.327178413626409
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4122.300929501844
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9117:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.855864174824933, b_new = -0.71978437305005, c_new = 6.429382735998461
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3338.1357702743844
Acceptance probability: 3.908933108992155e-142
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9118:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4739697522278536, b_new = -0.6723887564250766, c_new = 6.039553124150864
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10821.078216744105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9119:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.471700177011587, b_new = -0.8075880633957906, c_new = 5.147828183989732
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10224.325204028248
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9120:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.550892849304895, b_new = -1.5236371847053296, c_new = 5.961361706526468
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10087.486523741914
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9121:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8614590536890643, b_new = -0.9602362010090234, c_new = 6.018030854227885
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3566.0948560678503
Acceptance probability: 3.896594192232221e-241
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9122:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1180106361079853, b_new = -1.4200335966293087, c_new = 5.951268803797104
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13516.849693052018
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9123:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.388745121775123, b_new = -1.441465816047811, c_new = 6.1656778209288365
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7674.089160245151
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9124:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.701402957355676, b_new = -0.5947370565420672, c_new = 6.047781137862217
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5148.54173601866
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9125:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4729621112376585, b_new = -0.5051153037042223, c_new = 5.9412872347070325
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9067.579635303506
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9126:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.847280848248293, b_new = -0.7265594490642056, c_new = 5.740198604994867
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3478.308267555194
Acceptance probability: 5.198956157219557e-203
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9127:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3896012130788957, b_new = -0.39214189573415725, c_new = 5.861521646779558
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9943.066766003132
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9128:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.845594956819451, b_new = -0.3691295144650315, c_new = 4.793755454563107
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13738.71946396097
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9129:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.734020124438115, b_new = -0.937216188302761, c_new = 5.640110634237146
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5440.609349140272
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9130:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0795354856541626, b_new = -0.964764635435603, c_new = 5.519950574564496
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3358.6097720830153
Acceptance probability: 5.015476856467078e-151
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9131:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6649128854094783, b_new = -1.2844487742663353, c_new = 5.584146284670443
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7757.606404354952
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9132:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1363611644718103, b_new = -1.51751393901637, c_new = 6.07805806542183
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3335.059030236642
Acceptance probability: 8.477532420940091e-141
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9133:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.120567332643394, b_new = -1.747895132922587, c_new = 5.932474733893379
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3089.710228269865
Acceptance probability: 3.033194746292655e-34
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9134:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.26486784259606, b_new = -1.4492997126398195, c_new = 5.014155646027739
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4765.892810526917
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9135:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5100878250448213, b_new = -1.2154762039169056, c_new = 5.016912449672111
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10304.580472867192
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9136:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.234411225068922, b_new = -1.1046659321434895, c_new = 5.464921438080659
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12569.334678464911
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9137:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7674417823821416, b_new = -0.565744043716427, c_new = 6.452821061172462
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4010.69101569544
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9138:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.765904637995496, b_new = -1.1211554826154095, c_new = 4.939386860834862
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5495.396843956243
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9139:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.573434384010385, b_new = -1.0737275218200988, c_new = 5.552565693699023
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8911.419743646673
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9140:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0124240670957363, b_new = -1.396882682752071, c_new = 6.510167863162433
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3022.517099729679
Acceptance probability: 4.6079233038916144e-05
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9141:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.470598842740089, b_new = -0.8723869402676308, c_new = 6.691745403921265
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10617.600796518702
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9142:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.817444059635409, b_new = -2.362866495161475, c_new = 6.33323928010213
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7251.8586111076
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9143:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9201577613066756, b_new = -0.3280864292726424, c_new = 5.106270528505661
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3036.3299501317247
Acceptance probability: 4.62019741663015e-11
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9144:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8798050524132552, b_new = -1.237859125722005, c_new = 6.115055531250733
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3705.239586136794
Acceptance probability: 1.4484273740736643e-301
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9145:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1999345137153123, b_new = -1.002188601013091, c_new = 6.530484373017667
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5062.124318667397
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9146:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.744262559426442, b_new = -0.8303876380331732, c_new = 6.14603893507473
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4878.882111032528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9147:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0218128266583517, b_new = -0.4318071950360499, c_new = 6.175734355363802
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3567.997229847892
Acceptance probability: 5.814263952135676e-242
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9148:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.245976665571059, b_new = -1.8271601173263499, c_new = 5.657433114055018
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3968.6456348695447
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9149:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5628370386599624, b_new = -0.5350776995140332, c_new = 5.764895832475595
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7738.494761017521
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9150:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.120515799896188, b_new = -1.5183591412417465, c_new = 5.976140227416324
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3220.543558080999
Acceptance probability: 4.588884312261978e-91
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9151:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4198962974109666, b_new = -1.7645729942839599, c_new = 6.599880340287769
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11759.871118524816
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9152:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5290187130019137, b_new = -0.05052847086155743, c_new = 5.118703445840366
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7406.36477348844
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9153:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1514972832695682, b_new = -0.8465041101573769, c_new = 5.09014949500643
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12877.948217174897
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9154:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4388955304485407, b_new = -1.4549067672201237, c_new = 6.8512930015505304
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10992.24325096422
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9155:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1735310131706074, b_new = -0.5270892162045027, c_new = 6.875734555530439
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11894.343984915486
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9156:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.031290713298917, b_new = -0.5104318810516844, c_new = 6.0221414122222106
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3529.8478252968757
Acceptance probability: 2.1506544058217203e-225
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9157:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.867432462739547, b_new = -1.6717296010460898, c_new = 5.571291057820041
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4731.03512411571
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9158:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.292630402291547, b_new = -0.9094382199903781, c_new = 4.869955178512929
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6591.288278312205
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9159:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2145485080652394, b_new = -1.1520774999269956, c_new = 6.0437127531074015
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12611.606058443325
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9160:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0166841137454, b_new = -1.004333123573852, c_new = 5.1539810742978345
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3025.6124234397766
Acceptance probability: 2.085562623032781e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9161:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7910258987170113, b_new = -0.7949297697746451, c_new = 5.574984323222647
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13136.64114833228
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9162:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5848248813033963, b_new = -1.4564505401494128, c_new = 5.531951857262712
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9611.616381986301
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9163:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4589534766961876, b_new = -1.0159062629222018, c_new = 6.784108681490407
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10198.64526416333
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9164:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.650526518873913, b_new = -1.7560464994864522, c_new = 5.158542272211667
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9413.217618664157
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9165:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.478970727044409, b_new = -0.7116432379625879, c_new = 5.2953484249827465
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9605.916860573816
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9166:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.477161514376666, b_new = -1.1656909984367019, c_new = 5.546588698897193
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9692.494358301718
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9167:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.214730475095359, b_new = -1.3748869810711004, c_new = 5.007099453681363
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13159.867820589796
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9168:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.310369499114207, b_new = -0.807337082112731, c_new = 5.8680025050531635
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7668.16134887174
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9169:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.494684033728274, b_new = -1.2684162391670957, c_new = 5.719274769635749
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10367.240092248798
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9170:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3994297858575777, b_new = 0.008179834930160723, c_new = 6.077488126829342
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11279.99039304837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9171:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.846210875536578, b_new = -1.58789816745098, c_new = 6.394861451579466
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4677.377812874353
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9172:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.426846137431846, b_new = -0.595584496729284, c_new = 5.646737672889047
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9935.605386950852
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9173:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2909278700439764, b_new = -1.2417413578248397, c_new = 6.044780116266137
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6084.015212632773
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9174:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.314430742773459, b_new = -0.8651747500780322, c_new = 5.42629781579552
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7408.454706540333
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9175:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3067180903142157, b_new = -1.4835473380984059, c_new = 5.575731721690776
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5617.839137839947
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9176:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8356599191057623, b_new = -1.6818235200856064, c_new = 5.433664785620722
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5358.158619780019
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9177:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1575731544799472, b_new = -0.2920382377528198, c_new = 6.748718383061332
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6124.677006755223
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9178:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8401176374490182, b_new = -0.827294730491435, c_new = 5.883470842340296
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13473.545886954298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9179:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4283206860884983, b_new = -1.5662122867175643, c_new = 5.90319305979228
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11570.046587546834
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9180:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2537228568259318, b_new = -0.9910635589990751, c_new = 5.641519189458824
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5822.120065852427
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9181:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0282503492570236, b_new = -1.474114146965391, c_new = 5.417768720636625
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3036.9342336112736
Acceptance probability: 2.5247800638405066e-11
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9182:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2435175417889512, b_new = -1.5270394622945402, c_new = 5.792795560994663
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4473.162836703122
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9183:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8552757234553217, b_new = -0.953674589584427, c_new = 6.063978590724144
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3611.0679456350636
Acceptance probability: 1.145830941875045e-260
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9184:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0770370706506465, b_new = -1.2383906738551071, c_new = 4.700194821778498
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3087.8540726562887
Acceptance probability: 1.940968269123481e-33
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9185:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8536453241727466, b_new = -0.8737166110905645, c_new = 4.934648401630965
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13247.284476518875
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9186:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8351903566233654, b_new = -1.2596328956984981, c_new = 5.751111410434574
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4377.142350257434
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9187:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.322959580843137, b_new = -0.990142828912967, c_new = 6.363365408884987
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7622.104200231183
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9188:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8252786545464574, b_new = -1.7041937342522149, c_new = 6.40176883028233
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12424.141811486079
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9189:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5227086714647595, b_new = -0.6850857780514998, c_new = 5.873093801188253
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8732.962921997198
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9190:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.250447757319361, b_new = -0.9775254615837119, c_new = 5.943102512560327
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12163.074852989985
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9191:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3717720189881604, b_new = -1.0841985416770201, c_new = 6.039139673113974
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11281.789612279545
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9192:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3512100264635056, b_new = -1.0934673018256351, c_new = 5.832972609967881
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11546.222757524642
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9193:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.599875572052276, b_new = -2.252536053821486, c_new = 6.037145061228268
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10907.023360013562
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9194:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7528657868642594, b_new = -0.5595152519286978, c_new = 5.232228875307998
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4440.588198267826
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9195:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8676470194104478, b_new = -1.590867000840726, c_new = 5.372260318949455
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12577.652365665966
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9196:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4121059858133536, b_new = 0.007493399225422692, c_new = 5.898808013385558
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11359.032072576272
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9197:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5863543073339366, b_new = -0.809106807250205, c_new = 5.871257638782861
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11684.594967882329
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9198:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0614401514318392, b_new = -1.1561060120579247, c_new = 5.8950437702261835
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13535.100346049006
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9199:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.918649313899295, b_new = -1.678024979076167, c_new = 6.288840488862007
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3850.394646918776
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9200:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.558638471975733, b_new = -2.0286067342711096, c_new = 5.295496880416912
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11221.427182258212
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9201:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.73583289628689, b_new = -1.52307529535391, c_new = 6.69832991535773
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12105.351299626305
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9202:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2343846135346412, b_new = -0.6527215490265317, c_new = 6.142748364219529
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11789.478609925183
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9203:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.193039393028913, b_new = -1.6553418257624686, c_new = 4.61339357600071
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3476.7940000695153
Acceptance probability: 2.36349217180317e-202
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9204:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.555122532346419, b_new = -1.2993981859531616, c_new = 5.286885246736682
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9784.55932150012
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9205:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3773075775813535, b_new = -0.5937556180729541, c_new = 6.43115220614024
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10280.707556749305
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9206:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8239209788492508, b_new = -0.6836702672992909, c_new = 5.624475732488117
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3663.320804814498
Acceptance probability: 2.322694761297203e-283
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9207:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1697958438797613, b_new = -0.8002973334503095, c_new = 5.617638057335775
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12570.936816453665
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9208:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.817900127061572, b_new = -0.9020613085317826, c_new = 5.594970467740875
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13174.616690279441
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9209:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8096933642287256, b_new = -0.8193805153166162, c_new = 5.860792164115758
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3966.6900497420424
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9210:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.932756473687268, b_new = -1.0872466325822856, c_new = 5.910409690495763
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3174.519820688579
Acceptance probability: 4.462336277162039e-71
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9211:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8643163060336745, b_new = -1.8938950593015773, c_new = 5.064448451344138
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5457.085946698954
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9212:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2266206324740407, b_new = -2.3084118333934764, c_new = 4.719066731818826
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3228.4692007489703
Acceptance probability: 1.65822795684639e-94
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9213:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9019707437289983, b_new = -0.09935937361930836, c_new = 6.424888235406037
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3167.8597279814417
Acceptance probability: 3.4834036843282925e-68
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9214:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7706528606629646, b_new = -1.1790339874407845, c_new = 5.298631329273799
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12438.150321664629
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9215:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2020211021235108, b_new = -0.9758916484798937, c_new = 5.341128591943657
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4791.8167842203375
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9216:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1881818957310584, b_new = -1.409614669078603, c_new = 4.990452338859034
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3768.1734461879914
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9217:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8242906367404164, b_new = -1.0620998685698384, c_new = 5.94487371141531
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13110.833218199334
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9218:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6433617236424123, b_new = -1.1261016727757054, c_new = 4.7283278979530055
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11361.032582508
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9219:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.153322114628596, b_new = -2.360770524548312, c_new = 6.3290353926710345
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14230.49335127362
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9220:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4238959839430962, b_new = -1.8556357386801259, c_new = 5.398239445757802
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12226.480238550332
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9221:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.87718973460567, b_new = -1.4702135011113848, c_new = 6.01354197962025
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4097.372615557798
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9222:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.268676963187194, b_new = -0.7830564608493019, c_new = 6.006873522955858
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11737.368333949884
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9223:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5164380119469323, b_new = -1.2311833346657797, c_new = 6.321347364892349
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10347.415747627541
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9224:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.157441965990367, b_new = -1.1854253346713157, c_new = 5.849819289540428
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14560.90137657438
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9225:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1330138783178705, b_new = -1.1383362586671883, c_new = 5.901439020133117
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3700.363106036156
Acceptance probability: 1.899875414880568e-299
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9226:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.613526904006887, b_new = -0.9772837107337732, c_new = 5.110775845570377
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11434.05566651712
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9227:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.073353637564381, b_new = -0.5861325467350991, c_new = 4.982742948967477
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13063.246201452655
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9228:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.49858056034552, b_new = -1.5556223556883524, c_new = 6.108238133801075
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9356.696962101509
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9229:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.230764751721415, b_new = -1.5130595043451267, c_new = 6.223450879053419
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4415.44277323612
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9230:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.908359500437441, b_new = -0.8482880162338999, c_new = 4.563207004468526
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3267.7945291855144
Acceptance probability: 1.3831557732756312e-111
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9231:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.443421072901775, b_new = -0.8696430089739062, c_new = 4.525599734423942
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9488.035771078185
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9232:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0585231819455094, b_new = -2.1337846794949504, c_new = 5.744896089473943
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14536.86768022105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9233:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8286339930806776, b_new = -1.1632102760433995, c_new = 6.624777411260351
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4111.935800720086
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9234:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.060633295695176, b_new = -0.9857441883589173, c_new = 5.8560262543637185
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3254.2969648482954
Acceptance probability: 1.0064421216989774e-105
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9235:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.513696423237763, b_new = -1.675478749645053, c_new = 5.447955799915329
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9099.498978897027
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9236:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6205191408432036, b_new = -1.6772897273394316, c_new = 6.273874927598485
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10696.117077802322
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9237:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.69865291007822, b_new = -1.2001029321293584, c_new = 5.8183430223362755
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6755.085788009714
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9238:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.076244707683334, b_new = -1.313234256541691, c_new = 6.255389980881196
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3150.460771618719
Acceptance probability: 1.2539336182027943e-60
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9239:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0171844794632516, b_new = -0.7960848942015868, c_new = 6.5806206642418275
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3237.817261289806
Acceptance probability: 1.444884470928474e-98
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9240:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.90857120180124, b_new = -1.103815055156876, c_new = 5.815461035857004
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3344.2760377230697
Acceptance probability: 8.421199738907592e-145
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9241:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6486735097038023, b_new = -0.800009523573745, c_new = 5.6468458158150865
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6788.787045216861
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9242:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.311441478091868, b_new = -0.7812420328131893, c_new = 6.463657030137457
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8022.6414289479835
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9243:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.045739296590186, b_new = -0.09199557933429636, c_new = 5.821590735261883
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4277.959008867388
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9244:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.924980576957108, b_new = -0.704171850077941, c_new = 5.050341032762303
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3071.70725011614
Acceptance probability: 1.997534850466732e-26
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9245:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.236829322375536, b_new = -1.137626229359717, c_new = 6.501045534444975
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12328.042162212072
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9246:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.905686180511291, b_new = -2.013537640941418, c_new = 6.096024154802237
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12484.574299538397
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9247:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1412075235497876, b_new = -1.8652281482579571, c_new = 6.020369127162605
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3120.255137592423
Acceptance probability: 1.645942752926822e-47
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9248:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.801264071402887, b_new = -0.7735685382510049, c_new = 5.803689221826472
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4013.0816663099113
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9249:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.679241232399242, b_new = -1.2024377296679665, c_new = 6.147892731151804
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7041.839942080833
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9250:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.731114463837383, b_new = -1.2592797524846617, c_new = 6.1327370926671865
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6132.013629277605
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9251:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3144817075848723, b_new = -1.356365371807851, c_new = 5.406703444653981
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6045.487245869728
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9252:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.992762885622849, b_new = -0.6353299313720783, c_new = 5.021118356023342
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14208.818776990556
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9253:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0925672098625223, b_new = -1.2785270690134976, c_new = 6.6151827230744
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3309.5345869590437
Acceptance probability: 1.031322109959524e-129
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9254:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4203188515332226, b_new = -1.020452814650568, c_new = 6.875893494660601
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9644.436799415465
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9255:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.208591863054922, b_new = -1.7243900979106712, c_new = 4.865475568294238
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3572.530435028395
Acceptance probability: 6.248111174514446e-244
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9256:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6866024287246772, b_new = -1.315033012488457, c_new = 6.113800279116016
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7202.188026804057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9257:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1699664129699796, b_new = -1.4410287338755525, c_new = 5.7679046817579644
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3665.5200936754045
Acceptance probability: 2.5754500067443478e-284
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9258:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.056958989765673, b_new = -1.762282003615772, c_new = 6.04367032229516
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3033.41892898448
Acceptance probability: 8.489868312466133e-10
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9259:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.244570597563978, b_new = -0.5516908129085565, c_new = 6.095453538023254
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -15424.853064815825
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9260:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2690624853540378, b_new = -1.508706163128189, c_new = 5.909881079609902
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4959.500908796358
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9261:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6477404735899936, b_new = -0.9245403030683919, c_new = 5.689005619917493
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11981.56540891688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9262:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.683724634533481, b_new = -1.4687171469453026, c_new = 5.615197730018725
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11444.54343016596
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9263:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1183303044134454, b_new = -0.45359659995290513, c_new = 5.302497310943466
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12552.669078831696
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9264:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2767049098055363, b_new = -0.45123260882312377, c_new = 5.816399709365658
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7948.858282723943
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9265:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.320166825642396, b_new = -2.4673291242826227, c_new = 6.070140555608016
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4013.107972724596
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9266:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.331959340618116, b_new = -0.5476187263575841, c_new = 5.325191186398219
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10999.226962640168
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9267:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2809852438585674, b_new = -0.4534283367041617, c_new = 5.982772523293534
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8110.483505815092
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9268:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.515574160724057, b_new = -1.5688716772163656, c_new = 6.44345811320424
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9691.413467439808
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9269:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0905641441880345, b_new = -0.3453761958913474, c_new = 6.411857842376848
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4618.076736604908
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9270:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2963392574508026, b_new = -0.9660852593952126, c_new = 6.119529552701517
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11746.145409679313
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9271:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.028566019279199, b_new = -0.4810814673565226, c_new = 5.254071678929809
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3411.7964310119464
Acceptance probability: 3.9961312790457804e-174
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9272:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9508336275255167, b_new = -1.0324718331835858, c_new = 6.040691020241171
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3071.1055304304928
Acceptance probability: 3.6460104091230346e-26
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9273:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1767615024288585, b_new = -0.6401293551686185, c_new = 5.681076753779849
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5204.704731490419
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9274:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.388120591832695, b_new = -2.5993986635466175, c_new = 5.9991245233400905
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4744.230106921212
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9275:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5528818568140554, b_new = -1.2589652666324564, c_new = 5.990505066435313
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10614.249404893268
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9276:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.964694732972281, b_new = -1.559650428234584, c_new = 6.364562951124782
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13444.088858377256
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9277:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.700796047772508, b_new = -1.7038661351564492, c_new = 5.53324844267118
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8190.974220050431
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9278:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8853859636988832, b_new = -1.2371273889024692, c_new = 6.331211079863569
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3614.197784309754
Acceptance probability: 5.0101286756495325e-262
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9279:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7962329417828653, b_new = -1.2119879865322614, c_new = 5.853467711512479
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4874.433433370708
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9280:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.018667193231089, b_new = -1.6779410465262785, c_new = 6.628938530090069
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13660.17048878131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9281:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.882771007847615, b_new = -0.8727510681907937, c_new = 5.722603262429349
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3338.9405027502444
Acceptance probability: 1.748104396334235e-142
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9282:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.078178383607278, b_new = -1.3366280282534462, c_new = 6.760423164727346
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13441.659524549943
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9283:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.5512127480853053, b_new = -1.279753469393956, c_new = 6.34022078941148
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -15370.658080726891
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9284:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.248585477673635, b_new = -2.2912047532639894, c_new = 5.385521059603472
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13946.377854152259
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9285:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5359086762151617, b_new = -1.6428695346767772, c_new = 5.701085534227652
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10598.712008301964
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9286:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.304480721740186, b_new = -0.6745795270176622, c_new = 6.636927684877487
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8260.75820695272
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9287:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.19581661978988, b_new = -1.3300333013104795, c_new = 6.035684345647163
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4196.811227651984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9288:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0097162075582347, b_new = -0.5793629798715891, c_new = 4.955393267515883
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3171.590065198105
Acceptance probability: 8.354855403555127e-70
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9289:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.17636933460576, b_new = -2.0492943849514234, c_new = 6.3640922077851325
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3208.0695736463204
Acceptance probability: 1.199747120916015e-85
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9290:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.81890429009197, b_new = -0.9170080627204311, c_new = 5.439687274761925
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4083.2112955145185
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9291:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.467700686145236, b_new = -1.426827140039635, c_new = 5.983301774939931
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9120.747886634133
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9292:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8831336252165776, b_new = -1.6418884344660423, c_new = 5.338601582955697
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4486.288297654398
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9293:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.874718689428814, b_new = -1.133303033242683, c_new = 6.102673982806561
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3628.3819585814394
Acceptance probability: 3.4652954113477056e-268
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9294:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.083464404472482, b_new = -0.8603907368183558, c_new = 5.936972199290978
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13087.404493064103
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9295:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.844617903631542, b_new = -1.015110410146516, c_new = 6.423389951923496
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3742.3314261816795
Acceptance probability: 1.127497e-317
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9296:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6164364738826187, b_new = -0.6841103195332665, c_new = 6.2944459027479365
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12269.035104812318
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9297:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.635506530653486, b_new = -1.6056875294793536, c_new = 6.025913072168284
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8968.305562016434
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9298:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7928201991927746, b_new = -1.5215330262354625, c_new = 6.251691617933165
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12399.11395683344
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9299:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7532577772456244, b_new = -0.9811618980891619, c_new = 6.215133362916211
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5023.152745602678
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9300:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5058048675332616, b_new = -1.4756754834586716, c_new = 6.266020531313844
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9689.237674331634
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9301:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4161476954497902, b_new = -0.9917971515204056, c_new = 5.498080292431308
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10832.787335763713
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9302:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1014484380776595, b_new = -0.6447027464220545, c_new = 4.940288923905879
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3858.580204319005
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9303:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0476871721883096, b_new = -0.9640672133582863, c_new = 6.06592413964133
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13362.40648664039
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9304:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5201285526123485, b_new = -1.5865614120441984, c_new = 6.4872690161901945
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9732.994453511297
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9305:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.242488240759349, b_new = -1.8077730153189626, c_new = 5.081118115380653
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3852.8289745329253
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9306:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5771559522798815, b_new = -1.4678823304662136, c_new = 5.395416950214544
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10324.428635460456
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9307:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2136967567100596, b_new = -1.7556445272239336, c_new = 5.781573718095921
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3720.3828478611895
Acceptance probability: 3.839385488740488e-308
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9308:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2596929139735558, b_new = -1.6516963947947172, c_new = 5.72265873008202
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4467.351708816351
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9309:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4869292284546027, b_new = -2.295714725194104, c_new = 5.007856359917108
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12503.77085365928
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9310:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.250986179328032, b_new = -0.6151308610678267, c_new = 5.9807918840031125
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6952.681426193145
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9311:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.113306713377786, b_new = -1.2796300681949806, c_new = 5.103132221355489
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3270.2295852385378
Acceptance probability: 1.2115453828696254e-112
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9312:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8586417593852396, b_new = -0.8252455815382763, c_new = 6.123294298557403
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3437.4444195836822
Acceptance probability: 2.903085578847496e-185
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9313:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5665470073957235, b_new = -1.2984525632860073, c_new = 5.268071794724853
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9625.765857472954
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9314:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.738612742078293, b_new = -0.9948329478821607, c_new = 6.310194874506728
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5289.085111087529
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9315:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.095860290735044, b_new = -0.985796599855503, c_new = 5.8359858239291595
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3517.2838501131973
Acceptance probability: 6.15227473681408e-220
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9316:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.519864789184541, b_new = 0.5552222303051941, c_new = 5.523205915104474
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13109.082487041183
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9317:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8020127498441973, b_new = -0.2822232573121284, c_new = 5.704514983240748
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3429.502142295738
Acceptance probability: 8.168588869982679e-182
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9318:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3528424397845247, b_new = -1.679205962795923, c_new = 5.167148306660953
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5924.198253905596
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9319:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4139458627052344, b_new = -1.7067248464141438, c_new = 6.632478575873112
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7654.013970014343
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9320:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9010315201855814, b_new = -1.6898304571069347, c_new = 5.893742963214995
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12799.867054650793
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9321:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.391582939135284, b_new = -1.1276483261895849, c_new = 6.714301655149628
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10964.529601968608
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9322:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4629094039077786, b_new = -1.9181880446864383, c_new = 5.872426946800495
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11833.088172106674
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9323:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.73406974861524, b_new = -1.2603417787259306, c_new = 5.713680934124987
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6219.339069888122
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9324:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.349961580583497, b_new = -1.924400668268087, c_new = 5.913238524780445
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5500.978098876683
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9325:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1586336786374147, b_new = -1.2533002553796784, c_new = 5.928106383564552
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3826.726094618253
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9326:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8193974405360533, b_new = -1.3877222540962606, c_new = 5.328577105624465
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12506.2776375106
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9327:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.199162008673487, b_new = -0.8302243032165253, c_new = 5.5724709287415335
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12425.98278400422
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9328:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.929687707709131, b_new = -1.3405785030317594, c_new = 6.018975398624653
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3380.3531051142036
Acceptance probability: 1.8084340565591033e-160
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9329:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8046115601603607, b_new = -1.713690900658563, c_new = 4.992227495017784
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11896.530015514307
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9330:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.304546024233665, b_new = -0.8597254969492536, c_new = 5.186359237387817
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7112.195134908814
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9331:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2831302066939103, b_new = -1.8788819338713452, c_new = 5.812375825349785
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4421.9217803715965
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9332:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9940218427560545, b_new = -0.756131037365003, c_new = 6.470936263667084
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13325.057558240904
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9333:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.007308269821102, b_new = -1.441219138710696, c_new = 5.268643112191593
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13522.614907570345
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9334:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1997030348019626, b_new = -1.095618613262787, c_new = 5.939135602041519
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4674.4510674308
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9335:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1724573350680654, b_new = -0.9017851350512313, c_new = 5.1622973517667194
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4421.364296713681
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9336:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.947243054769435, b_new = -1.163327806513349, c_new = 5.978419461320778
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3144.2061646818042
Acceptance probability: 6.525530520279726e-58
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9337:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.978756049837094, b_new = -1.0429330744936987, c_new = 6.052708749713568
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3022.8225044948895
Acceptance probability: 3.3952334241648684e-05
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9338:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.969483802965286, b_new = -0.9575776604351911, c_new = 6.207090987814843
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3027.209571709306
Acceptance probability: 4.222703173834654e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9339:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.166994341374009, b_new = -1.3638420882583033, c_new = 5.892202698982289
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3758.023413495378
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9340:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4902856642331015, b_new = -1.3183065571385613, c_new = 5.42594308403401
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10613.006140051371
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9341:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9468011366526112, b_new = -1.328281908873835, c_new = 5.159031254698886
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3348.3531434027427
Acceptance probability: 1.4279383892891867e-146
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9342:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2223693370652087, b_new = -0.6042619762305849, c_new = 4.899227874677225
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5923.5463128898255
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9343:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6754256509093772, b_new = -1.1006427999299748, c_new = 5.818340070063444
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11984.269461670174
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9344:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.18864135830175, b_new = -1.4205367394903072, c_new = 6.232505017738908
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3997.263066840297
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9345:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0566561044679386, b_new = -1.6319098938330128, c_new = 6.314400748434936
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3013.4600432268517
Acceptance probability: 0.39530736279632905
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9346:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.414139263896815, b_new = -1.1331506244138625, c_new = 6.08582088033388
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8957.287738782485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9347:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.051340515454753, b_new = -1.4799772178271002, c_new = 6.450122314861986
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13786.95211291769
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9348:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5911402423766523, b_new = -1.4520795063626084, c_new = 5.95017115235562
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9358.64878386186
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9349:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.551112559942262, b_new = -1.2743040395531489, c_new = 5.367013773664908
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9759.54610172427
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9350:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.205022131288558, b_new = -0.6582501702335813, c_new = 5.7052398451803095
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5716.007580838583
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9351:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2905382770239897, b_new = -1.0771164360779382, c_new = 6.931942144474563
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11738.547235970032
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9352:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.103075058137199, b_new = -0.4072441823788162, c_new = 6.046028074829755
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4576.000766870735
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9353:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9563342238985912, b_new = -2.044195333976342, c_new = 6.676258429590936
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3875.2110098532135
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9354:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.896662984179781, b_new = -1.329303490269897, c_new = 5.595748519641707
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3735.681498944437
Acceptance probability: 8.712483587e-315
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9355:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2635218268645394, b_new = -1.1580611817010114, c_new = 5.25739572593419
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12494.829260708837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9356:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.887500263290267, b_new = -1.230637140347819, c_new = 5.516059992224316
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13172.74105265103
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9357:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.770801897485044, b_new = -0.43364999320446707, c_new = 4.985690222266734
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4033.7367883358565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9358:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.863013515378181, b_new = -1.0191974662255856, c_new = 6.659942640149931
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3534.1609416128226
Acceptance probability: 2.880102951820831e-227
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9359:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.948723309389155, b_new = -0.1697420548212305, c_new = 5.042077760062726
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14480.193991340744
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9360:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.761741774550442, b_new = -1.7064896830860394, c_new = 5.4297784778785525
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6954.805563260012
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9361:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.720009256711291, b_new = -0.4439063531538546, c_new = 6.443113293195533
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4459.101937553551
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9362:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.385349374515835, b_new = -0.2809481892046678, c_new = 5.743675701864044
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9825.24970274818
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9363:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4942114540336724, b_new = -1.191094786878346, c_new = 5.766946235586958
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9951.783533753134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9364:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.541733601127589, b_new = -1.5620655994912256, c_new = 5.178339153053357
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10544.40012129038
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9365:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0006705718822717, b_new = -1.9421306844322972, c_new = 5.492836663962707
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14641.04053609486
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9366:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2143257852240725, b_new = -1.6782698478426679, c_new = 6.177836887101082
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13223.449437749463
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9367:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.889600813893458, b_new = -1.8133069070935997, c_new = 6.074860409442781
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12623.496378950107
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9368:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8373423171702212, b_new = -1.4855277888786496, c_new = 5.750258829284532
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4788.137451218341
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9369:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7404291289441898, b_new = -0.1634135762478517, c_new = 5.889817092232777
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13699.96288666579
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9370:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7506439751745058, b_new = -0.7462810978786683, c_new = 5.852396790050867
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13018.67752732386
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9371:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.685123239912521, b_new = -1.8056438584727785, c_new = 5.745674636074974
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8686.99237128593
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9372:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.990337160152058, b_new = -0.7103329605080057, c_new = 5.467265630112985
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3069.639357268077
Acceptance probability: 1.579678903285625e-25
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9373:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.101496367111849, b_new = -1.3759475509843906, c_new = 5.7866450652624035
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3195.216972714025
Acceptance probability: 4.5803997196104036e-80
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9374:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.957334432876409, b_new = -1.917495619668217, c_new = 6.398415600881271
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3736.350935637458
Acceptance probability: 4.460764657e-315
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9375:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.139116985686459, b_new = -1.2740604351799556, c_new = 5.381270675483286
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3507.6589388648554
Acceptance probability: 9.31282763810142e-216
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9376:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.60624010149756, b_new = -1.7215978093240625, c_new = 5.949381446877187
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10366.545938650652
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9377:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3272281352188147, b_new = -0.91016862250943, c_new = 5.51431977138149
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7593.954316383659
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9378:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.269352794559861, b_new = -0.6528243043069342, c_new = 6.277363723443343
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7383.158736825099
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9379:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.394495159485698, b_new = -1.6892019942602747, c_new = 5.776537084376658
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12104.650636771868
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9380:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.806346334800345, b_new = -0.5318823556827146, c_new = 5.84379962746669
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3628.357999914431
Acceptance probability: 3.5493218313537216e-268
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9381:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.203763707406663, b_new = 0.013972130071961741, c_new = 6.03079551107387
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7799.777120864236
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9382:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.514217408995476, b_new = -0.9514202880552309, c_new = 5.5855435452606415
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10609.589202549974
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9383:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.769850116512244, b_new = -1.4323109687330344, c_new = 5.270563691341092
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6092.355097830814
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9384:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9028187578640776, b_new = -0.9020331291069779, c_new = 5.030192984693204
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3297.151766155822
Acceptance probability: 2.4614163081259642e-124
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9385:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.001039890673891, b_new = -1.2253655261373504, c_new = 4.774401002889043
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3052.7279831474643
Acceptance probability: 3.492088810701175e-18
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9386:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2995374075586934, b_new = -1.1865218602704564, c_new = 5.236063783883548
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12278.246715558142
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9387:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.010149300981423, b_new = -0.46563912282299036, c_new = 5.734649479250683
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14618.731773907108
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9388:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.84135359749639, b_new = -0.6776544750899657, c_new = 5.104947046587715
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3562.0051037405756
Acceptance probability: 2.3272446841716358e-239
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9389:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2739348216095, b_new = -1.8238240101868555, c_new = 5.001653334964016
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4209.638299193681
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9390:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.977746922499689, b_new = -0.8740996020145103, c_new = 5.041326883074123
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3013.890419493418
Acceptance probability: 0.2570542955742364
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9391:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4245970737071296, b_new = -0.6278143584887718, c_new = 5.3024850816879665
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10128.971156968595
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9392:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9375534678169677, b_new = -1.5184961369567858, c_new = 5.24959609103422
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14556.317641069127
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9393:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1987993912077615, b_new = -0.2382945971109678, c_new = 5.9539445344494375
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6872.38427143192
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9394:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5351953173973616, b_new = -1.4744382911599503, c_new = 5.593026705257546
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10308.43452011362
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9395:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0468089172867825, b_new = -0.5401287087810828, c_new = 5.85057991096629
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3603.855093927541
Acceptance probability: 1.5546128067821718e-257
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9396:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7384521987410864, b_new = -0.9892187299335378, c_new = 5.30946039505491
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5584.133683986041
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9397:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2721675139400856, b_new = -1.0478736086741436, c_new = 6.5693660758866335
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11934.428163983008
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9398:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0433190997515362, b_new = -1.5140482003710256, c_new = 6.553171553603432
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3016.419242045114
Acceptance probability: 0.02050081779343329
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9399:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.005091839160445, b_new = -0.8474902729021999, c_new = 5.967615261543513
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3091.2547917378033
Acceptance probability: 6.472989521956995e-35
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9400:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.5121724137013395, b_new = -1.0665846708660567, c_new = 5.697520187343386
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -15684.996442172109
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9401:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6163821865918058, b_new = -0.8153263836585529, c_new = 5.7734762657056695
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11909.534396577994
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9402:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.047160542413199, b_new = -1.749773184797919, c_new = 5.5880043959214465
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3074.2875136350017
Acceptance probability: 1.5132133251526259e-27
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9403:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.693294192443781, b_new = 0.030525224275908425, c_new = 5.772845121146497
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4180.281799776949
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9404:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6048743714333322, b_new = -1.8550654098380361, c_new = 5.753642781233509
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10052.657062051607
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9405:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.050004789951118, b_new = -1.1343540683640996, c_new = 6.091836673835005
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14225.795147099987
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9406:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.540531473950827, b_new = -1.3294465085981757, c_new = 5.66516213448742
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10236.132661003492
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9407:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1086492355985653, b_new = -0.7688264909220383, c_new = 5.722889494885707
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3921.769332056093
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9408:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0368886588025226, b_new = -0.7873334057702542, c_new = 6.230567677590235
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13192.516381237001
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9409:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.860022342126981, b_new = -1.1205182163967686, c_new = 5.137558129505781
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3944.625707866227
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9410:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4191521590380076, b_new = -0.744923766112384, c_new = 6.257699380518336
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10121.915166411698
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9411:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.939180078505648, b_new = -0.22184653374096475, c_new = 5.778897952456309
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14571.204068154017
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9412:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.43305171114049, b_new = -0.9050727938627144, c_new = 5.813933423002077
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10386.826976476686
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9413:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4244285213359933, b_new = -0.9495489092528676, c_new = 4.892815871063578
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9135.490211830416
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9414:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7217221021330027, b_new = -1.4583072600355191, c_new = 5.198673068757744
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11664.334402530778
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9415:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.200365972120479, b_new = -1.191347724506434, c_new = 4.922274121933509
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4243.052641116883
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9416:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.380597149216719, b_new = -0.5734794653338867, c_new = 5.96628005470949
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9713.710579769993
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9417:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2251576520278404, b_new = -0.6190147006303902, c_new = 5.288423573915284
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6088.206414423219
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9418:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3122471104511026, b_new = -1.4146401923488359, c_new = 5.812579008743509
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5988.755351362652
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9419:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.633521218717906, b_new = -0.19411535918206613, c_new = 6.091051217595836
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5484.096091804318
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9420:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2181176296684875, b_new = -1.3976425739455447, c_new = 5.934561366085605
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4369.339480247163
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9421:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.341795774794626, b_new = -1.0389722110239006, c_new = 5.557549446122458
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7560.315649701994
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9422:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9248095737434436, b_new = -0.7914572629097555, c_new = 5.9610346481404575
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3072.4769073977386
Acceptance probability: 9.252017695157425e-27
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9423:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.606498225733512, b_new = -0.6542654243151675, c_new = 5.978941417917695
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7139.010499003152
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9424:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2635660368686756, b_new = -2.0559817921404893, c_new = 6.249446052755705
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3956.0106019647346
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9425:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3003501276521563, b_new = -0.8210795257474008, c_new = 5.787119298607585
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7373.787888361394
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9426:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.705845823380007, b_new = -0.9713164344899676, c_new = 5.337380719636404
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12266.087865645066
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9427:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.61680622643013, b_new = -2.2431669418249385, c_new = 5.678696807273178
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10802.116187673179
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9428:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.79998179904088, b_new = -0.6126527669843275, c_new = 6.523421530288863
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3696.9232644364015
Acceptance probability: 5.924195040613406e-298
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9429:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.902932049134587, b_new = -0.6901771033136354, c_new = 5.460636105801838
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3125.579943836642
Acceptance probability: 8.0145797913134145e-50
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9430:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3820820491603976, b_new = -0.9222220121656288, c_new = 5.670048398762604
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8747.228426061523
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9431:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1240966698515966, b_new = -1.171271388926183, c_new = 5.770050563860287
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3548.226237385906
Acceptance probability: 2.243508254111395e-233
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9432:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0677054013920237, b_new = -1.260387075470196, c_new = 5.363565384604161
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3079.619741034804
Acceptance probability: 7.313802372051172e-30
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9433:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4765869541299472, b_new = -0.3883685352449133, c_new = 5.69196572169575
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8852.017047332507
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9434:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3972177221161766, b_new = -1.6702045897047995, c_new = 5.862685918006982
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7111.901224797282
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9435:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.103020474380202, b_new = -0.08751617408397405, c_new = 5.0095056901563355
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4940.241503091286
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9436:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8084249621940245, b_new = -1.8281173238781698, c_new = 5.459020396483554
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6278.856254865705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9437:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0205274517798397, b_new = -0.3640095814450981, c_new = 5.30909390894944
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3481.2792745158486
Acceptance probability: 2.6645521608298813e-204
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9438:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.474790405857476, b_new = -1.6490998789345066, c_new = 5.487119597341411
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11378.732343234857
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9439:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.573722797474535, b_new = -0.7203771499019741, c_new = 5.363420853920342
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8127.540849243516
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9440:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8176883022575905, b_new = -1.5205218580643711, c_new = 6.9762759016500215
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4855.7434156939125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9441:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8980792263451516, b_new = -0.709758982497535, c_new = 6.114100697539813
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13968.566743133806
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9442:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.621056699452076, b_new = -2.402881553333952, c_new = 5.4201458229765365
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11171.627653033196
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9443:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5677176148719156, b_new = -1.3125377443189894, c_new = 5.840816561644778
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9439.780589184644
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9444:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.353740039839876, b_new = -1.8002444803807254, c_new = 5.192137973004564
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5650.032963802555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9445:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1717737308486957, b_new = -0.9431026659579631, c_new = 5.835770988455259
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12679.748601935873
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9446:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1451944686075537, b_new = -0.22249134304442975, c_new = 6.772205447840927
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11731.185106215704
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9447:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.500776614491123, b_new = -0.8547963701227932, c_new = 5.139838055912944
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10488.887259555882
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9448:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2543614709475213, b_new = -1.1747094007121603, c_new = 6.088422265036785
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5522.183232549631
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9449:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.049060264613076, b_new = -0.8756293879916808, c_new = 5.865628396334327
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14419.103261598195
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9450:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2474502625319124, b_new = -1.5425766108963106, c_new = 6.388819692698626
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12799.596776817425
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9451:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7002894095158445, b_new = -1.2367130003230025, c_new = 5.210821250779379
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7045.111153502759
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9452:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.063518636333989, b_new = -0.950027507808381, c_new = 5.259674891966634
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3233.00228947326
Acceptance probability: 1.7821687080773643e-96
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9453:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4943107463278125, b_new = -0.5524112518723531, c_new = 5.315880029829392
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11029.23984155234
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9454:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2187365839352804, b_new = -1.0926810406205953, c_new = 4.63800610854701
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12879.6970032157
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9455:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2415568842807585, b_new = -1.1562189934187648, c_new = 5.545989381139396
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5146.978635373126
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9456:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.214667734613467, b_new = -1.0575422258163194, c_new = 5.859973018373981
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14881.284107042788
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9457:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.232122509197573, b_new = -1.5899666170012738, c_new = 5.848653473747953
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4207.305429612498
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9458:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4148684906975344, b_new = -1.153802748634715, c_new = 5.826521622453123
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11030.618932972022
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9459:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0884000210628986, b_new = -1.3530275569481707, c_new = 5.665019511375022
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3134.5771333331395
Acceptance probability: 9.918614382747026e-54
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9460:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4470090348686067, b_new = -0.9758874528994722, c_new = 4.962198725078925
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10625.60252497442
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9461:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.102917503846413, b_new = -0.737567082455036, c_new = 6.104774376329303
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3987.995490273409
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9462:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.625487963755556, b_new = -1.2699508003016153, c_new = 6.315488607858535
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8207.62516452105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9463:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.579988863489039, b_new = -0.9627935801160061, c_new = 6.107237831434718
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8343.875647006542
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9464:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0830307169426203, b_new = -0.4131122643252547, c_new = 5.421563912991055
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12694.333881995202
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9465:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8655863888306854, b_new = -2.404500489743244, c_new = 5.80132784215646
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6524.566311065096
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9466:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6626630716829824, b_new = -1.2668559225612492, c_new = 5.094459084078312
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7943.857559796569
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9467:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.449528000892159, b_new = -1.7967576507129968, c_new = 5.433828061421617
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7685.31902194258
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9468:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.797269221052323, b_new = -1.912283451543746, c_new = 5.528241860521076
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11711.121313754751
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9469:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7995865130658286, b_new = -1.498788012798674, c_new = 6.304328067653609
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5321.960394112606
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9470:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0533632220595157, b_new = -1.1813813578297074, c_new = 6.404319291199905
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3138.6716699694553
Acceptance probability: 1.652784909471417e-55
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9471:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.288768710008811, b_new = -1.1260336928013897, c_new = 6.101315173938168
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6376.2125415286
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9472:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9100117115038295, b_new = -0.9137508178712495, c_new = 5.540040070721978
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3213.083595445161
Acceptance probability: 7.971273622922069e-88
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9473:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1675577213151334, b_new = -1.4311759146028775, c_new = 5.468938445261307
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13383.231865083075
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9474:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.854564178864541, b_new = -1.8073753456650907, c_new = 5.281529725895048
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12199.196303923702
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9475:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.834692298856172, b_new = -1.4746767975892083, c_new = 5.581924880737673
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4857.726142091414
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9476:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9877015129740205, b_new = -1.1756524216603597, c_new = 5.883788389634139
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3028.8933007053956
Acceptance probability: 7.84072717833663e-08
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9477:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5527852615007154, b_new = -1.6181929437410232, c_new = 6.273436619858383
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10029.543622687772
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9478:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8684050077747667, b_new = -0.4071416644896222, c_new = 4.480146767810545
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13735.01797537394
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9479:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.537585104550367, b_new = -0.6993736486401004, c_new = 5.715232794423723
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11352.186002745215
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9480:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.189327821100242, b_new = -0.8490837668376131, c_new = 5.474941906575197
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4888.073949131358
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9481:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7994791476972365, b_new = -1.6686004625341133, c_new = 5.958881151954536
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5856.793312113314
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9482:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1157319887006407, b_new = -1.0716799924091334, c_new = 5.684307545246535
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3574.042526047004
Acceptance probability: 1.3773869467975811e-244
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9483:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.759373466164882, b_new = -0.8190329547731601, c_new = 6.068624095779372
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4629.5444792223425
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9484:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3116855918322674, b_new = -0.8904495043958555, c_new = 5.663778769321242
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7372.479873452106
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9485:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.135690506074084, b_new = -1.8504881933324095, c_new = 5.654029209202882
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13958.481600764026
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9486:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.337212052980412, b_new = -0.9486322303934291, c_new = 5.9709112518655
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11407.720313853782
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9487:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.254231958084893, b_new = -0.653576833698082, c_new = 5.630953781742714
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -15277.081211855813
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9488:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.147531852008159, b_new = -0.9560034343951105, c_new = 5.86621695237622
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4143.944404215391
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9489:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8065694429005346, b_new = -0.8137411880821809, c_new = 5.609882959205541
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4044.8532851416
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9490:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5574954199687334, b_new = -0.4999899656561132, c_new = 6.410229671598461
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7542.674293851625
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9491:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0662981611215128, b_new = -1.186581125915814, c_new = 5.711599682910805
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3133.0312245775904
Acceptance probability: 4.654045749310894e-53
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9492:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.79685869374861, b_new = -0.9744766903664716, c_new = 5.54619098585917
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4470.920099153275
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9493:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2413894869631252, b_new = -1.0932728777519973, c_new = 5.092506605717235
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5148.704544623567
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9494:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3548437988772934, b_new = -0.6057571950184488, c_new = 6.489890884579454
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9402.680839846105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9495:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8217668797322593, b_new = -1.9796756309051011, c_new = 4.984394819098131
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6603.453631284689
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9496:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9077055540909975, b_new = -1.8157301935594883, c_new = 5.936064535213194
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12699.036082100125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9497:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7725945028204797, b_new = -1.7479968419033132, c_new = 5.814559571920596
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6686.47527216663
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9498:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.285415877432469, b_new = -1.1305778797091215, c_new = 5.717012214196429
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6145.59837537578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9499:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8140584670084134, b_new = -0.8409680908483446, c_new = 5.053242210478873
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4105.009183223598
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9500:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.685131390504304, b_new = -2.3976878501121908, c_new = 5.272241626717939
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9875.414220793267
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9501:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7552192182667175, b_new = -2.244835651430151, c_new = 5.365527572920249
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8666.328309742814
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9502:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.660022971003812, b_new = -0.46694578991187174, c_new = 5.5309921963099615
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5772.667179939064
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9503:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6262270533364784, b_new = -1.6482357044246947, c_new = 6.174298415896262
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9173.336563318631
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9504:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.082694494222355, b_new = -2.263303637469753, c_new = 5.796948352356233
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3198.4660814426848
Acceptance probability: 1.777597322532767e-81
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9505:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.519627888109578, b_new = -0.7660095856018164, c_new = 6.147653289530728
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8869.26308862597
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9506:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2032415446695137, b_new = -1.2686997182872874, c_new = 5.2911784837244475
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4232.820953979303
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9507:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.879489019811813, b_new = -1.148182460059921, c_new = 5.81265087580946
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3643.5632404237585
Acceptance probability: 8.842871846878241e-275
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9508:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6650897094367885, b_new = -1.417057942774435, c_new = 5.692254744540366
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11381.206283155003
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9509:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.083317650378327, b_new = -2.0504904535671944, c_new = 5.092443791691126
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3136.3770928882586
Acceptance probability: 1.639602242343083e-54
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9510:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8917182846185825, b_new = -1.1200328822504289, c_new = 6.125382691104616
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3455.316839716421
Acceptance probability: 5.023037223105756e-193
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9511:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6221601750599213, b_new = 0.045345129173610665, c_new = 4.990835958967852
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5461.040507105254
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9512:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.671340449465125, b_new = -1.8159721436210479, c_new = 4.838852156677593
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10569.377312523977
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9513:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1221404489919835, b_new = -1.0181420077549532, c_new = 6.18472273691407
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3804.7117166939715
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9514:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.291631554676079, b_new = -1.6001585138830128, c_new = 5.460446384484492
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5026.599482599102
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9515:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0945394940063826, b_new = -1.0932432744133367, c_new = 5.717271768839155
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13339.438099035382
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9516:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2429779149167257, b_new = -2.3771935138480123, c_new = 5.461844077019591
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3314.3794236387967
Acceptance probability: 8.115373130549127e-132
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9517:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1693542337095506, b_new = -1.2919786936417461, c_new = 6.361030733828429
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12985.354808449647
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9518:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3880834047542945, b_new = -0.7768967891220209, c_new = 6.794978140305524
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9672.33435560889
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9519:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.424864767644025, b_new = -0.8906846787447358, c_new = 6.182809339028544
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9753.474394575489
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9520:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.244922446906455, b_new = -1.0499987407430482, c_new = 6.0002624941232074
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5618.194601768109
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9521:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1853911612031296, b_new = -0.7416416863777116, c_new = 5.426452481214371
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5043.5163809808255
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9522:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.595954203198373, b_new = -1.488037317340967, c_new = 5.182351212510005
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10432.898911355041
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9523:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.332928038380162, b_new = -0.4978264894787485, c_new = 5.743657853918839
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8967.10286304478
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9524:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.682822264606303, b_new = -1.0246679750933507, c_new = 5.859468302558366
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6604.38536509911
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9525:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5466717231506544, b_new = -1.5252078478629545, c_new = 5.277002291978767
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9813.016235197856
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9526:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3293699481164185, b_new = -0.3627583403672646, c_new = 5.249696421844526
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9058.276885009655
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9527:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.229258827991414, b_new = -1.3881253386123553, c_new = 6.38333801793721
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4679.9940550476185
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9528:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6105830961157914, b_new = -1.4406495783397684, c_new = 5.53528344662001
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9171.967412916922
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9529:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5092268734277634, b_new = -1.4877036826456664, c_new = 5.507922990641703
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10685.27292986762
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9530:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.619334050225271, b_new = -0.43832090157266645, c_new = 5.6131783286365255
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6470.466255045627
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9531:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.20128643896322, b_new = -1.6342075988470417, c_new = 5.94719153341447
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3775.742195731148
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9532:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0851757807589038, b_new = -0.414511318243623, c_new = 5.968780293934377
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4275.325067282659
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9533:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.301757134036117, b_new = -1.228607658409446, c_new = 5.968417972025227
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6323.293760352452
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9534:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0961218335449607, b_new = -0.8270965719128118, c_new = 6.26829931010433
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3807.9913198843396
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9535:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2103232968588498, b_new = -1.024455275083149, c_new = 4.904454025963391
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4706.570388407628
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9536:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.836657079035661, b_new = -0.8799044876110853, c_new = 5.689426244596528
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3768.6652486251824
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9537:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9453103546736332, b_new = -1.3736770752754621, c_new = 6.83969345118806
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3223.032030764637
Acceptance probability: 3.8104577819298946e-92
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9538:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.153286930892169, b_new = -1.8883139946508416, c_new = 5.2396418641926426
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3120.7134766630934
Acceptance probability: 1.0407839751899274e-47
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9539:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0623938969542817, b_new = -1.1984253086522951, c_new = 6.28155994717477
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3157.989002028319
Acceptance probability: 6.74226193402015e-64
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9540:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9946972599080635, b_new = -0.9505099313292015, c_new = 5.600103729929479
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3020.574421950236
Acceptance probability: 0.0003215136987297664
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9541:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.967898288921364, b_new = -0.420006435140191, c_new = 5.551292951268078
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3139.351291865497
Acceptance probability: 8.376455771035634e-56
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9542:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.794147566179592, b_new = -1.1156037399426466, c_new = 5.197725754177341
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4889.55682111473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9543:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9343732163232064, b_new = -1.5831236511566713, c_new = 5.507479363250122
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13029.74495144815
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9544:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2829850522445265, b_new = -1.4198962226331862, c_new = 6.194396933915861
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5512.2260121933305
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9545:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.809270788481992, b_new = -2.4307588651355228, c_new = 5.184152978394297
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10993.300989991163
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9546:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6367450995591346, b_new = -1.2827678733918881, c_new = 6.680047469930572
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7900.903830213612
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9547:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8777076138115203, b_new = -2.0690188848530284, c_new = 5.568103318593477
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5457.683414585448
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9548:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9240364161874854, b_new = -1.1209962182329496, c_new = 6.109881818282577
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13652.005626480037
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9549:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2140013075968303, b_new = -1.0762557850544838, c_new = 6.0937712296051245
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5004.734348608501
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9550:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.122152315657405, b_new = -1.5591705838599546, c_new = 6.136942874393517
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3216.4267558872752
Acceptance probability: 2.815863412506745e-89
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9551:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9155184419275275, b_new = -1.385903554976504, c_new = 6.165240811848402
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14323.394538053688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9552:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6794674303942063, b_new = -1.2646947405729163, c_new = 5.551606626570985
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7422.449616208782
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9553:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0376010625935743, b_new = -0.22024416099001476, c_new = 5.525460687507936
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12717.283964096756
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9554:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.211070303727409, b_new = -1.6584371855171987, c_new = 6.645757688568077
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13101.077085351402
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9555:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7634665475480302, b_new = -0.6166624212846353, c_new = 5.7599988076535125
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14311.299990163538
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9556:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2840367268272326, b_new = -1.9623513665208137, c_new = 6.006856451106021
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13193.057333334913
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9557:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7318387684841117, b_new = -0.857142703030255, c_new = 5.469057465005346
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12640.962019601926
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9558:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7078802537038444, b_new = -0.6347423262194744, c_new = 6.102450159017737
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5105.627788764511
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9559:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6454715498190553, b_new = -1.2757708534971997, c_new = 5.623620235348009
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8100.898382137082
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9560:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6651823684117013, b_new = -1.4341610500758588, c_new = 5.4881920314461965
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8187.447750270234
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9561:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.974458913761659, b_new = -1.0981008925987767, c_new = 6.063663232783093
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3033.9744185470845
Acceptance probability: 4.871412454163347e-10
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9562:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6851679779102233, b_new = -1.0636093025869238, c_new = 5.430852739241949
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6811.4162824539635
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9563:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.113848099138431, b_new = -0.39005411213773455, c_new = 6.498425003060179
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4932.527971698705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9564:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.414593988599855, b_new = -2.2513860723184083, c_new = 5.300359152896323
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5793.2872680833625
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9565:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9117097619757204, b_new = -2.3596621511664524, c_new = 5.931136285545818
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5399.1607405021905
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9566:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.112175407599581, b_new = -0.9107696467698804, c_new = 5.559448111822933
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3722.1021047432164
Acceptance probability: 6.88015056247822e-309
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9567:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.490014153222749, b_new = -0.17472748342563627, c_new = 5.686177752465058
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11771.924454967511
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9568:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3279237966174136, b_new = -1.577354378135137, c_new = 4.972404372215432
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12687.218650358285
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9569:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0842062524152536, b_new = -0.9085316896107428, c_new = 5.629536664661803
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3469.2605925540583
Acceptance probability: 4.41846564021636e-199
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9570:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.763276466012143, b_new = -2.1538337518813933, c_new = 5.490736677853799
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8181.0355013965
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9571:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.760159468802784, b_new = -0.9181766203245065, c_new = 6.381286166379245
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4734.492513129328
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9572:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.404642403338771, b_new = -1.005454908453337, c_new = 5.568137374250753
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8909.384004941418
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9573:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.250117833398073, b_new = -1.9360350666188677, c_new = 5.334625872741482
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3807.2689195587
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9574:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8609351721415006, b_new = -0.7158406085493911, c_new = 6.0354787881186205
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3332.888257122901
Acceptance probability: 7.43060617437145e-140
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9575:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8418263231844176, b_new = -1.3893949133540948, c_new = 6.0748671769086116
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4440.444823610389
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9576:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.280368524250856, b_new = -1.0678002543994356, c_new = 5.303087356778543
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6055.5299756175955
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9577:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0532320490528484, b_new = -1.3521779947257264, c_new = 5.83985864695681
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3033.4261724777584
Acceptance probability: 8.428594195647167e-10
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9578:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.120218372278818, b_new = -1.0208173980084922, c_new = 6.521324198247377
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3850.396536188432
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9579:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.981196999142273, b_new = -0.8555256593594945, c_new = 5.550487121748755
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13691.808974504787
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9580:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.988787899235335, b_new = -1.0145314396602765, c_new = 6.3260603233289725
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3029.61409572931
Acceptance probability: 3.81345864610911e-08
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9581:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4286259339651135, b_new = -1.3421834048466579, c_new = 5.721084911224093
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8553.979588743225
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9582:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.935103504161515, b_new = -0.5981650690242192, c_new = 5.196337732413057
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3027.5243158423655
Acceptance probability: 3.0824703969825614e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9583:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.047767263900218, b_new = -1.4456318692198058, c_new = 6.185304261809782
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13829.335270149419
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9584:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.62043898921703, b_new = -0.4604775600326473, c_new = 5.370880715160472
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12351.665974950027
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9585:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.265153724966968, b_new = -0.49249111100132326, c_new = 5.350950479444699
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11519.516933587025
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9586:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9518961437664335, b_new = -1.0173425188318193, c_new = 5.695677429600037
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3074.8362572301185
Acceptance probability: 8.741457323248497e-28
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9587:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2278894397940303, b_new = -1.2700999122683014, c_new = 5.101319634248543
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4549.725892606031
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9588:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0366994447475077, b_new = -1.9242493900760844, c_new = 6.00617370983756
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3175.3854540318316
Acceptance probability: 1.87768402266649e-71
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9589:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.407722971324308, b_new = -1.6833646273909864, c_new = 6.043220487304895
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7362.400623014464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9590:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8083255824147444, b_new = -0.9433341515603136, c_new = 5.279250909391086
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4308.243177339962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9591:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.154106458612439, b_new = -1.7708729119761006, c_new = 6.66705656482036
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3309.1270367211155
Acceptance probability: 1.550212190967e-129
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9592:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2874045237510856, b_new = -1.7835402275380188, c_new = 4.935427325498741
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4458.7338742375505
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9593:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.464743318119716, b_new = -0.8138590357636687, c_new = 5.90822778832059
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9799.97166414228
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9594:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5459407337832682, b_new = -0.8010900965877623, c_new = 5.743947181320111
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8664.566629566194
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9595:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1219665192567367, b_new = -1.6631550092168976, c_new = 5.9297162613763925
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3134.268680181049
Acceptance probability: 1.35023856476445e-53
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9596:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4706306306919075, b_new = -1.4531665244289964, c_new = 4.347073542894742
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11449.662756816651
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9597:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7619354283934565, b_new = -1.4330507260660865, c_new = 5.7151850532217665
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6097.651094510703
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9598:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.651344285246046, b_new = -0.5630656379312973, c_new = 5.673693206236477
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6129.05663400284
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9599:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.163568691867741, b_new = -1.3350138471524546, c_new = 6.396867272994409
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3859.5456093519633
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9600:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7728509070867773, b_new = -1.7870928878382817, c_new = 7.006085921471904
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12103.7445841258
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9601:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0498370306865534, b_new = -1.761330518665267, c_new = 4.786555222990719
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3133.827543762862
Acceptance probability: 2.09890904983822e-53
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9602:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2102926747220035, b_new = -0.9915801436580312, c_new = 5.405132879291581
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4917.742942604048
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9603:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0059521561746325, b_new = -1.7489082991905551, c_new = 5.834510088092372
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3234.6451754326336
Acceptance probability: 3.447089085754762e-97
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9604:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7940243093105654, b_new = -0.7485919213856977, c_new = 5.432336787871251
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4140.82336683551
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9605:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1311422981104324, b_new = -1.4148947062823796, c_new = 5.952888255668622
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13442.31199986551
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9606:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1046282532213665, b_new = -1.1179102728290133, c_new = 5.902477953415688
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3456.9347766690694
Acceptance probability: 9.96105426225364e-194
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9607:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.784175695655089, b_new = -1.503009709082251, c_new = 5.1253676800216255
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6036.330907833848
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9608:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.124305178700042, b_new = -1.163063761038261, c_new = 6.0773473337634805
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3612.173421976335
Acceptance probability: 3.7933094313280006e-261
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9609:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7519929177595905, b_new = -1.0707974372336284, c_new = 5.711796412905198
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12564.022371103512
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9610:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.74427852529091, b_new = -0.7022262821218261, c_new = 5.3422399290034885
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12891.760936481243
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9611:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.317341291403022, b_new = -1.6050825849056412, c_new = 5.569882170121958
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5527.06407468412
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9612:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.989133042699822, b_new = -1.5293273245044514, c_new = 5.758590733097645
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3178.4123253037396
Acceptance probability: 9.10057891624325e-73
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9613:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.626530535956664, b_new = -1.5429699943359592, c_new = 5.491046172486774
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9168.690606321014
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9614:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2523817960284185, b_new = -1.4661742880249977, c_new = 5.057939441240435
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4543.337732407876
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9615:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2304543452730905, b_new = -1.122232234345532, c_new = 6.149870077942704
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12440.86852994013
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9616:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2662183238975553, b_new = -1.0744052750783657, c_new = 5.649968965380811
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12256.735456468723
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9617:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.430302008738096, b_new = -1.19156474064043, c_new = 6.152823447567938
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10832.807448663112
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9618:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9217564321912737, b_new = -0.693366912410291, c_new = 5.653540650165381
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3060.358532991727
Acceptance probability: 1.6950385856885043e-21
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9619:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0498839887223164, b_new = 0.0757371012751673, c_new = 4.876498619636137
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4390.505298234285
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9620:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9516118252082695, b_new = -0.6421268069026553, c_new = 6.0315406200295385
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3047.0446140557065
Acceptance probability: 1.0264578379640964e-15
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9621:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.893679745126655, b_new = -1.4453636975609603, c_new = 6.277540482071701
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13152.56263079709
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9622:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.831786506677192, b_new = -0.5585190971252844, c_new = 5.611545954614715
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3456.4933632475145
Acceptance probability: 1.5488477140580033e-193
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9623:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7870326822662146, b_new = -1.337883567463978, c_new = 5.308447501286824
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5494.024875743364
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9624:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2701296200907826, b_new = -1.7763169088707231, c_new = 5.921338093393598
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13070.305470940355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9625:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.703230719833036, b_new = -0.5445322788975766, c_new = 5.01604491070557
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5294.653398635295
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9626:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5373670785643854, b_new = -1.2922968491772033, c_new = 5.816861299201215
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10317.38179216217
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9627:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.580204115642754, b_new = -1.2699634587342221, c_new = 6.94689364491121
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8776.034331697436
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9628:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7974692759904154, b_new = -1.2278495718860598, c_new = 5.912151770129208
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4870.766893285357
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9629:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.418328887473861, b_new = -1.0281156247605077, c_new = 6.321792428010612
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10623.08472676379
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9630:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6556799394370616, b_new = -1.0675388346876022, c_new = 6.05190664010978
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7198.853248773361
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9631:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.171915099968194, b_new = -1.2066709750211062, c_new = 6.202602533013906
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4123.5875352503845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9632:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.105955965086429, b_new = -2.039546491377526, c_new = 6.411944940203863
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3021.584242828717
Acceptance probability: 0.00011712236852736837
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9633:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.847102964980917, b_new = -0.520787463960875, c_new = 5.339776738816087
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3334.135600729188
Acceptance probability: 2.1345670384528486e-140
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9634:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.242748438452404, b_new = -0.6495221116225974, c_new = 5.8862757089703415
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6627.190147248439
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9635:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.839182957857308, b_new = -1.3101363001587158, c_new = 5.789134004413361
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4402.018030107444
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9636:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1653363940287513, b_new = -1.0005644676721959, c_new = 5.118036509513695
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4132.915251180259
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9637:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.924720666703623, b_new = -0.41248953731969373, c_new = 4.991464069068881
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3027.6824524931653
Acceptance probability: 2.6316070406091416e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9638:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.137040538546636, b_new = -1.603870646734306, c_new = 6.385928499134101
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13513.427697056119
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9639:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.535058413778085, b_new = -1.1903370679392264, c_new = 5.9708881572927375
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10531.477537084615
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9640:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3888883526708664, b_new = -0.7199671389775619, c_new = 5.74833156739699
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10572.752408666927
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9641:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6209725454997757, b_new = -0.7477445405136567, c_new = 5.414857539525503
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7286.99596385099
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9642:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.588050355621703, b_new = -0.9165090371846498, c_new = 5.51808704639072
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8295.626284411437
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9643:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.209073803770459, b_new = -0.4981900401832511, c_new = 5.489429506601492
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6152.631635737568
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9644:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8955672496161777, b_new = -1.3634528076174557, c_new = 6.746588432406066
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13388.15027783541
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9645:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6881834079030673, b_new = -1.7081467445724368, c_new = 5.872320077646082
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11189.301402822928
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9646:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.844968531101538, b_new = -1.435358308606705, c_new = 6.237077136551877
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4439.695001369286
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9647:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2446032269639797, b_new = -0.7251825850704378, c_new = 5.959086721921992
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6480.078351092565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9648:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7372770434974796, b_new = -1.4927213834685098, c_new = 5.273196224036981
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6943.634298940082
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9649:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.879689969014824, b_new = -0.7715942291728666, c_new = 6.337629006465103
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3233.3893602151297
Acceptance probability: 1.2101692866462214e-96
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9650:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.033005522770568, b_new = -1.2296137360611576, c_new = 5.518675293635435
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3017.9370046010918
Acceptance probability: 0.004493815965347516
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9651:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.938412906108204, b_new = -2.5277195568653363, c_new = 5.410388983944131
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5493.178728438967
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9652:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.26772273228811, b_new = -1.3752813935624524, c_new = 5.173699789262857
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5014.457197237253
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9653:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6546389408500604, b_new = -1.4225943008226603, c_new = 5.784373113913993
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8246.715664824063
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9654:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2345763901350506, b_new = -0.7035896232667146, c_new = 5.262721319649965
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6049.108275360426
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9655:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8237180044510053, b_new = -1.1699516768035418, c_new = 5.564428612713732
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4427.089636922667
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9656:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5958350647291177, b_new = -1.673727677511624, c_new = 5.222667617257147
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10116.353709418363
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9657:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.154959526220516, b_new = -2.0419702267835707, c_new = 5.093665697016263
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13580.722739539468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9658:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.821628484910573, b_new = -1.045601226276148, c_new = 6.249770439006727
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13198.804192629366
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9659:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.682015704623537, b_new = -0.8627867322884786, c_new = 5.416979918218755
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12261.699635958736
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9660:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.219234386532389, b_new = -0.8071967321652358, c_new = 5.92473398440027
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5697.315823069084
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9661:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8954057771672934, b_new = -1.7453894594738601, c_new = 5.6354000670035855
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4421.159059082177
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9662:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8988217315174896, b_new = -0.9523031829785445, c_new = 5.782043847965555
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13623.23475060388
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9663:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4921240205048636, b_new = -1.2025524656238575, c_new = 6.425702710860255
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10128.128533410403
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9664:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.941133253233623, b_new = -2.0118842047551384, c_new = 5.670387434692356
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4245.240283002773
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9665:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.377642204017671, b_new = -1.8822229545609905, c_new = 5.607093915780663
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6060.679037441329
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9666:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5198461038480775, b_new = -1.4599452264407997, c_new = 5.776175218297587
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9750.451860638675
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9667:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3733398319201378, b_new = -0.7869252059790225, c_new = 5.088293029744851
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8707.746803949556
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9668:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8881037234003726, b_new = -1.2675544889466124, c_new = 6.091208117082015
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3661.0279854547653
Acceptance probability: 2.3001223413202403e-282
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9669:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5222848708590395, b_new = -1.440738909278167, c_new = 5.77168196465698
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9820.828441958152
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9670:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7142136484812247, b_new = -1.926791145483087, c_new = 4.922061247929914
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10829.138439133496
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9671:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.815921669762579, b_new = -0.9948518066725771, c_new = 5.305803639668696
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12970.346538324668
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9672:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.263156115379875, b_new = -1.2136842743356644, c_new = 6.114276029455373
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12342.723116097226
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9673:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.014965280801543, b_new = -1.1860391466000881, c_new = 5.914121553116858
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13782.91448148459
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9674:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6129320238112883, b_new = -0.7395789235405636, c_new = 6.183931525761972
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7159.166296504756
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9675:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7914353011164907, b_new = -0.7802474686819967, c_new = 4.834363689390524
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4365.311383714617
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9676:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.142981249780695, b_new = -0.6222110532579254, c_new = 5.978304772030837
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4748.435830699985
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9677:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.556901232535303, b_new = -1.3169398022490884, c_new = 5.402467963217133
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10368.874475031516
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9678:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4653928061406867, b_new = -1.7825073786420598, c_new = 5.606403075454862
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8086.348120205348
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9679:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.716661224300343, b_new = -0.5956193421160758, c_new = 5.694809430237114
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4977.782432421909
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9680:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0017532360425223, b_new = -1.0116063318343915, c_new = 5.671133599978742
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3020.3683972329227
Acceptance probability: 0.0003950707524093795
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9681:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2722381412777706, b_new = -1.5199119507157683, c_new = 5.298311504436164
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4818.954640301038
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9682:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9920037814143496, b_new = -0.9509203782308945, c_new = 6.387977688887097
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3049.2211660271096
Acceptance probability: 1.164331385966244e-16
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9683:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.77081210576185, b_new = -1.2367947001327608, c_new = 6.230953683334972
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5270.986466612358
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9684:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3372947735674314, b_new = -0.4160122944385931, c_new = 6.371321978112828
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9530.433373593667
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9685:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5614473558891357, b_new = -1.5150641990324554, c_new = 5.108783238858182
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10215.983015238593
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9686:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2223707414257152, b_new = -0.37276746694064966, c_new = 6.368688050629732
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7192.579912954028
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9687:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5458392307470374, b_new = -0.6382725386550941, c_new = 6.179485311003909
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8145.014465854371
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9688:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3014200364866175, b_new = -1.0929351438612918, c_new = 5.825968598384014
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6637.475194113884
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9689:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.788509382968744, b_new = -0.511024266517592, c_new = 5.783113161677974
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3796.02431331055
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9690:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0668804247805093, b_new = -1.2555811170278048, c_new = 6.034774229383602
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3123.289903897765
Acceptance probability: 7.91466369447062e-49
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9691:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9195825894072884, b_new = -1.6173409423807286, c_new = 6.522459423655898
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3713.5125497333934
Acceptance probability: 3.6982331317416685e-305
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9692:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.191658979082455, b_new = -0.8664973089621055, c_new = 6.202475254438892
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5118.84651396039
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9693:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4427171592427412, b_new = -1.3462207522106786, c_new = 5.852897385385241
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11065.175435191151
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9694:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1389453826955354, b_new = -1.3611041595547235, c_new = 5.463272565156292
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3425.6001881806583
Acceptance probability: 4.0433764671370415e-180
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9695:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.939245513651521, b_new = -1.7533959600610918, c_new = 5.0678865640685204
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3976.58511982621
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9696:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6822964847809203, b_new = -0.7080013961690956, c_new = 6.486402705930185
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5631.424098558444
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9697:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.950386025181485, b_new = -1.8054223111624133, c_new = 5.694019523274275
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3790.7305493542217
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9698:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1914160608272697, b_new = -1.0006525969996451, c_new = 5.416216906919709
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4588.664595432306
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9699:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.385741286168016, b_new = -1.3772967309430701, c_new = 6.028821630684055
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7734.237392688363
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9700:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3330495281896813, b_new = -0.9113332662529006, c_new = 6.168476440251286
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7986.882229372504
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9701:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2816433370488047, b_new = -0.7317798487960824, c_new = 6.182553684531031
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7384.938237092823
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9702:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5689479240798274, b_new = -0.5978371861047087, c_new = 5.611032540652758
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7830.800162158748
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9703:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7345184418405015, b_new = -0.39444961085659247, c_new = 5.074836097107381
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4450.6188153306975
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9704:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.476073150473545, b_new = -1.3264859601367163, c_new = 5.7081633913302605
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9382.251018903451
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9705:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9960755482096806, b_new = -1.337342818982993, c_new = 4.257751640278393
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3164.443525641345
Acceptance probability: 1.0608198367804312e-66
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9706:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3600781930623818, b_new = -1.139653289321907, c_new = 6.634462552805117
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11311.829085278101
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9707:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8944288923595267, b_new = -2.407807097706383, c_new = 5.493950837610002
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6034.50074634716
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9708:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0511775266628693, b_new = -0.9546688911452779, c_new = 6.326804078967171
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3279.3651912115497
Acceptance probability: 1.3055587624593912e-116
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9709:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4827058505080757, b_new = -0.16570999685432453, c_new = 5.572084439212252
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8316.983052548007
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9710:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.433609479688038, b_new = -1.1716237880000078, c_new = 5.0624474197796845
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11102.192737127389
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9711:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.109116683520003, b_new = -1.6069174452797803, c_new = 4.233797283263477
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13607.452844998676
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9712:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5555697979358194, b_new = -1.0386311443067544, c_new = 5.834679169094835
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10985.878148217953
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9713:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8848270923985617, b_new = -1.573517758166583, c_new = 5.255704802661728
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4352.545404018399
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9714:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7250150236645254, b_new = -0.17190274974887831, c_new = 6.6455504463565145
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3943.224312567988
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9715:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4875017952715552, b_new = -0.6972125225173412, c_new = 5.521095169150122
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10755.340351241895
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9716:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.659653880546739, b_new = -1.7415520449036213, c_new = 5.8009740620486765
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10845.417643162284
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9717:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.179548207980091, b_new = -2.105706708418561, c_new = 7.152607902050203
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3259.9341259077073
Acceptance probability: 3.58592220009922e-108
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9718:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6604235136359544, b_new = -2.1989498271301384, c_new = 5.749445085965957
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10077.8574904928
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9719:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4125797958460846, b_new = -0.790394811137616, c_new = 5.76063378110798
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10429.350004669377
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9720:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.821010980364689, b_new = -1.2109400456034325, c_new = 5.6256078081639185
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12817.957736432862
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9721:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6840447398479266, b_new = -1.8067101054619075, c_new = 5.79583400067253
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8690.332006104964
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9722:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0185259438157, b_new = -1.3717193967024608, c_new = 5.4941209135518285
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3027.2084817433397
Acceptance probability: 4.227308285832344e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9723:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.139675485721608, b_new = -2.0067497534131054, c_new = 5.998986801342115
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3062.9847469958136
Acceptance probability: 1.226392084009893e-22
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9724:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.741872586650893, b_new = -1.1273353188916133, c_new = 6.4294543873134655
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5499.3042495208265
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9725:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5140050491165313, b_new = -1.079484050878076, c_new = 6.186583048995622
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10565.293326061817
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9726:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.63599246273231, b_new = -1.1156514502399613, c_new = 7.0037843812703695
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7381.848857853226
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9727:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9524920118860971, b_new = -0.8127476730241309, c_new = 6.559619553865386
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13559.705579873807
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9728:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.319381580812796, b_new = -2.2845712323551215, c_new = 5.7219247416615575
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13454.82768549752
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9729:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8197217455654098, b_new = -1.3401459546361323, c_new = 5.021383640870817
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12489.289037915541
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9730:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3513320309286345, b_new = -1.8380622533230677, c_new = 5.7033807239759415
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12669.625987500502
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9731:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2847808615831964, b_new = -0.5115237853503242, c_new = 5.851998694264427
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7964.742699182453
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9732:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.491453480420362, b_new = -0.9759184310098751, c_new = 4.940978583983931
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10074.458715067998
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9733:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3152528918983397, b_new = -0.824551077746141, c_new = 5.829535286389206
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7709.129809379028
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9734:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.614243752333396, b_new = -1.4050034361941108, c_new = 5.612785250798526
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8996.438624142645
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9735:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.80601908040357, b_new = -1.6724137570122275, c_new = 5.530568685942334
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5885.499028973722
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9736:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.562365918037664, b_new = -0.9853815826047454, c_new = 5.8068562438884435
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8798.737632330765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9737:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.83970510887943, b_new = -1.682717995404741, c_new = 7.104666300014248
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4790.165246239464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9738:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.326384780072596, b_new = -1.0748373721032947, c_new = 6.264686228373231
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7411.434619927148
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9739:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.680217508433949, b_new = -0.3614718990636251, c_new = 5.83812644452625
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5078.383291489155
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9740:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7135213334013084, b_new = -2.0763298768310543, c_new = 6.034907456873313
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8749.928537777258
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9741:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2192350654329442, b_new = -2.2897026326186074, c_new = 6.777899573882495
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3336.664270854209
Acceptance probability: 1.702637980878269e-141
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9742:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8503385845847844, b_new = -1.1108743594383266, c_new = 5.6301942970237375
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3949.542024613129
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9743:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.4942556043685205, b_new = -0.7765147542710531, c_new = 5.605851566583831
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -15812.508525076895
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9744:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.803560840911487, b_new = -1.3123804986704009, c_new = 5.895595769484342
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4951.654426958159
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9745:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9324527545472012, b_new = -1.9444700718754422, c_new = 5.518432944573948
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4283.831921876181
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9746:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4124924328790045, b_new = -0.9349430247755814, c_new = 5.8721774438988605
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9333.82845730063
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9747:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4808754645448667, b_new = -0.7706179331226952, c_new = 5.601282166813019
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9601.146965956066
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9748:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.199280146558334, b_new = -2.0644067669530166, c_new = 6.284598757742818
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14016.811155578587
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9749:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5850138059606897, b_new = -0.656143759643687, c_new = 6.267077181873959
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7457.895778001442
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9750:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.246415105652083, b_new = -0.7902237754053063, c_new = 5.627125857716257
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -15148.622403884734
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9751:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4738107303096815, b_new = -1.0578381709751974, c_new = 5.778565658825443
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10198.055989790102
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9752:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5961456490391512, b_new = -1.558895046421685, c_new = 5.006205537610668
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9862.625313421146
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9753:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.411078995714322, b_new = -1.249186994777698, c_new = 6.409666681778028
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8731.9712887671
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9754:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.235078948455709, b_new = -0.8819786820725435, c_new = 5.33010138389214
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12307.559182791589
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9755:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.967711202944635, b_new = -1.8096753829490373, c_new = 5.199472978174802
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3708.1969416453653
Acceptance probability: 7.525468559004206e-303
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9756:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0622149762400657, b_new = -1.3512322002465125, c_new = 5.728687405615724
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3048.819118715612
Acceptance probability: 1.7405380962484462e-16
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9757:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5709901155997943, b_new = -1.2579638014863161, c_new = 5.778457695866362
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10746.832936709307
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9758:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3776003030350386, b_new = -0.4426338107397795, c_new = 5.724430379517802
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9882.667294002258
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9759:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5536992665642373, b_new = -1.1838893308250977, c_new = 5.421748593392993
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10578.824109987816
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9760:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.973393025568752, b_new = -1.1632105743311894, c_new = 5.15888521265595
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3089.6822032318523
Acceptance probability: 3.119402489758977e-34
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9761:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9447229494827116, b_new = -1.4925090674168275, c_new = 5.835739179997641
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13276.504273336312
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9762:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.263176612783644, b_new = -1.0331511086145677, c_new = 6.309181244346504
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6158.6954700731285
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9763:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.941884449549175, b_new = -1.6015228221454298, c_new = 5.810087785235429
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3587.8031734882434
Acceptance probability: 1.4550660635744925e-250
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9764:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7938295523158807, b_new = -1.693565668962609, c_new = 6.053434757630017
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6003.81940515117
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9765:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.828880822519981, b_new = -0.8015212904657291, c_new = 6.308030167719396
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3657.9893019125775
Acceptance probability: 4.8021357294564616e-281
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9766:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.419794294774802, b_new = -0.9056812145384932, c_new = 5.978112302859829
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10490.237002364964
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9767:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.638970779200183, b_new = -0.8572918445608326, c_new = 5.569157246478742
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7158.214656527761
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9768:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.837252343278847, b_new = 0.15980741140231514, c_new = 6.347648104978415
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14661.686276859422
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9769:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.470296901120235, b_new = -1.1212648012917183, c_new = 5.691900055754072
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9739.64925985241
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9770:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4310684652954913, b_new = -1.8859115179387618, c_new = 5.821926033316055
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12083.232388893055
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9771:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2082184905498794, b_new = -2.116325818193655, c_new = 6.158974214227964
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3339.391105753396
Acceptance probability: 1.1139686459048552e-142
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9772:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.596009002790226, b_new = -0.6530540708916595, c_new = 4.945815753847963
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11736.175294064753
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9773:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0026464511401754, b_new = -1.7580934268211181, c_new = 5.63257595450805
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3285.951566936694
Acceptance probability: 1.8004032605349538e-119
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9774:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.078868741988578, b_new = -0.8959292402460051, c_new = 6.605619546833781
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14700.636635216102
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9775:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3560209169257136, b_new = -1.6398435784456524, c_new = 4.905106605486569
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6002.832493320231
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9776:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.210870965267877, b_new = -1.241601663672404, c_new = 5.140389425627545
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4355.0299894047685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9777:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0130641178380144, b_new = -1.1248324948267514, c_new = 6.049502806028555
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3026.004195471096
Acceptance probability: 1.4095445396908237e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9778:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.184440245069173, b_new = -1.2590715624798163, c_new = 6.439493746593028
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4261.912847717054
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9779:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6863415417314256, b_new = -1.708943964025746, c_new = 5.73109707838109
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11130.964367652401
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9780:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.629277635376323, b_new = -1.1550044205702146, c_new = 5.701594019481289
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8068.879500453891
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9781:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.77635943752466, b_new = -1.3358668605510091, c_new = 5.305493681029281
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5699.04821201845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9782:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4228666557526033, b_new = -2.0493686374154456, c_new = 5.191785686117499
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12588.754062074564
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9783:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7136110917173952, b_new = -1.1226174743356079, c_new = 5.994668519444405
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6183.748557393699
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9784:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.081892285173692, b_new = -1.2370741017096891, c_new = 6.5466148461947
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13366.522730461918
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9785:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.875510976770589, b_new = -1.4343033422417353, c_new = 5.960368760010901
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12971.621388794272
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9786:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.545102377655234, b_new = -1.5955338744592422, c_new = 5.108991256273994
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10593.64287502698
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9787:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.027241090564377, b_new = -0.8562540219717708, c_new = 5.8438055673835
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14339.92883557018
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9788:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3064637403091917, b_new = -0.7769504543909622, c_new = 4.965620922599771
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11701.287049728115
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9789:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1972696740192275, b_new = -0.6563955074696688, c_new = 4.23621547408157
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5084.292429406337
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9790:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4828307677458565, b_new = -1.5753384292291364, c_new = 5.988544657071555
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10997.615411648618
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9791:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0243090061731297, b_new = -0.6491548874206133, c_new = 5.086385869567901
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3213.151287945812
Acceptance probability: 7.449536245348063e-88
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9792:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.718463314354673, b_new = -1.7620954176719708, c_new = 5.397755196559933
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11244.230274298647
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9793:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9326394554510387, b_new = -1.2206720789957564, c_new = 5.925168216904538
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3266.171952393782
Acceptance probability: 7.00724400909423e-111
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9794:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6022290856202837, b_new = -1.213225431478905, c_new = 6.191288424081985
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11272.738402305196
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9795:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1846149332723086, b_new = -1.0708798902310674, c_new = 5.422544970859945
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4351.6515593771965
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9796:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.097251457525779, b_new = -2.2630068048002228, c_new = 5.626359117679872
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3150.816463412728
Acceptance probability: 8.786169204161356e-61
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9797:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.550564176008397, b_new = -0.9864476096452506, c_new = 5.521433415056041
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10925.317820078495
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9798:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4576614632730585, b_new = -1.668711420146609, c_new = 4.786274185076661
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7938.700509522699
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9799:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.230383204584422, b_new = -0.8506537001864599, c_new = 6.308851486912426
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12045.391027753885
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9800:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.100689181415493, b_new = -2.1806150008089533, c_new = 6.7543225241082965
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3035.975693376923
Acceptance probability: 6.584340575951469e-11
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9801:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.793518448684042, b_new = -0.523342039477749, c_new = 5.495779095383031
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3801.846803046915
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9802:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.29595942028185, b_new = -1.4392636441053417, c_new = 6.375338556032734
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5786.454754387662
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9803:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.824853809246249, b_new = -2.262388592167495, c_new = 5.6096782732250805
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11464.673836623142
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9804:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3238642077425005, b_new = -1.445075892461316, c_new = 5.124640546886551
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5912.799811629577
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9805:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2515353009047865, b_new = -1.9766346104831842, c_new = 6.035070867781651
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3887.293517093577
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9806:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.896123695303127, b_new = -1.7519257710480376, c_new = 5.74522418496603
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12655.531854576566
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9807:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6889992729766603, b_new = -1.2603270791018761, c_new = 5.530796027215273
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7222.6900833553045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9808:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3443337960267177, b_new = -1.5935234308008188, c_new = 5.748351817964935
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12369.238695221564
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9809:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.112965651949055, b_new = -1.617828440949711, c_new = 5.954586229462971
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3120.8473828213887
Acceptance probability: 9.103447483942807e-48
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9810:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.275893076970855, b_new = -1.6042394385981924, c_new = 4.9898365548256365
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4630.2588441077005
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9811:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.351336428329277, b_new = -0.987685895081857, c_new = 5.466424086202736
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7870.940802034125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9812:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6496927121734672, b_new = -2.131324960357428, c_new = 5.865984620710445
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10039.8247284657
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9813:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3520716092156015, b_new = -1.9484548097422199, c_new = 5.593481199752457
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5387.057051061611
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9814:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0633597755524313, b_new = -1.237694620436318, c_new = 5.559379232415374
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3085.476924470711
Acceptance probability: 2.0912250632951007e-32
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9815:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6133387196449984, b_new = -0.896199795438223, c_new = 6.295507123248035
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7506.3648743438125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9816:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4620573721227896, b_new = -1.3275424186918048, c_new = 5.521073562232028
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10925.594514748846
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9817:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7691506533954358, b_new = -1.6015486007778836, c_new = 6.415197632864444
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6143.345800105697
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9818:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.539991942338086, b_new = -0.954313037452288, c_new = 5.800032469718824
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10958.452907550367
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9819:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.892349383139219, b_new = -1.5823184814993305, c_new = 5.698705249915764
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4154.0139740903705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9820:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.428494074517995, b_new = -0.9081310709390371, c_new = 5.242040169177206
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9423.177848122821
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9821:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.50825557666506, b_new = -1.470672652522137, c_new = 5.867075441315446
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9598.0207814188
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9822:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1639509255576916, b_new = -1.7286879287357637, c_new = 5.1174712715418975
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3253.2440730969774
Acceptance probability: 2.8843893426811423e-105
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9823:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.442196824398328, b_new = -0.8165136825556969, c_new = 4.952676546326121
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10384.713830553186
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9824:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4458144276884135, b_new = -0.9739414169782517, c_new = 6.100993133844936
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9851.132846735545
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9825:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.674839321795474, b_new = -1.179461921733734, c_new = 5.907446487579696
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11889.002695967265
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9826:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5870433702151208, b_new = -1.5803452448302542, c_new = 5.771617760710929
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9766.279107488486
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9827:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.327567789319582, b_new = -2.1422142900539836, c_new = 5.9738169569017785
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4650.874341504383
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9828:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.268006477686328, b_new = -0.3107238326914826, c_new = 6.48483017895729
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8476.84133283069
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9829:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3549396390473993, b_new = -1.852356632535043, c_new = 5.922881986918065
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12601.722146693584
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9830:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.74784872086462, b_new = -1.7142461396701136, c_new = 6.110336181553116
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11758.410479484612
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9831:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4459674908126887, b_new = -1.4649584768032673, c_new = 6.54157791270673
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8869.15182886963
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9832:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7327011036220767, b_new = -1.6102250742005584, c_new = 5.826635721773279
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11707.062084334408
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9833:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.475402862269171, b_new = -1.2535912570107037, c_new = 5.86566299816725
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10523.886235014763
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9834:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6045321361356444, b_new = -1.760144413811337, c_new = 5.604164552670941
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9967.3367267124
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9835:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.636317393692861, b_new = -1.323396451555586, c_new = 5.515905087202091
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8436.834340328765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9836:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.160650047062539, b_new = -1.577027101200601, c_new = 5.987458764706689
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3455.273143513421
Acceptance probability: 5.24739088231248e-193
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9837:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.886127685145479, b_new = -0.9221104357533826, c_new = 5.908367578852026
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13622.788812212899
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9838:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9478328162611196, b_new = -1.4100688238825447, c_new = 5.622143222998699
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3357.9552160045814
Acceptance probability: 9.651222404430723e-151
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9839:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7923945376701353, b_new = -0.783885785422421, c_new = 6.265452517692104
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4055.662521946445
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9840:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.690833556170368, b_new = -1.5754278491717115, c_new = 5.085183059551386
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11196.471850681057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9841:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.190653255393231, b_new = -0.7132256175581911, c_new = 5.561561944002916
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12336.320538521184
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9842:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4401579220531, b_new = -0.8169989559418145, c_new = 5.759374340195212
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9989.10390932827
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9843:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.353292671666136, b_new = -1.98548946580777, c_new = 5.364191743429889
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5258.41351721676
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9844:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.611025186268747, b_new = -1.2200551172799676, c_new = 5.183432424678765
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -15390.250684118204
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9845:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.875164801703983, b_new = -1.3015441215678096, c_new = 5.060269257716412
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4057.219841968794
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9846:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.825997581245754, b_new = -1.1644092766514997, c_new = 5.898149719411727
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4304.462167041829
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9847:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3637158870073445, b_new = -1.0095867213794434, c_new = 6.465609291812321
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8475.034573384566
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9848:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.065682929760706, b_new = -1.4794697109774708, c_new = 6.700332896457316
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13662.948742842824
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9849:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.603084236386328, b_new = -1.1701347011847725, c_new = 6.010447909394756
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8473.538156280636
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9850:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.230355524937584, b_new = -0.9573785890587017, c_new = 6.3682031502565914
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5694.852255720476
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9851:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.736041242124827, b_new = -1.3733783976827865, c_new = 5.299948600905177
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11925.753276601554
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9852:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.275379396973787, b_new = -1.4726085222986582, c_new = 5.284621426826152
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4968.723309395399
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9853:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9675458991759314, b_new = -1.4749052908494618, c_new = 5.834190544927485
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3254.5828867507153
Acceptance probability: 7.561613932157516e-106
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9854:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9504272690529367, b_new = -0.6110437573719955, c_new = 5.238537677732191
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3022.916669365432
Acceptance probability: 3.090112949202164e-05
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9855:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.358442212960403, b_new = -0.6058807923838423, c_new = 5.840105673297888
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10676.49543782903
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9856:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4447225400793453, b_new = -1.399347573548165, c_new = 6.495861413587907
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8991.30876160937
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9857:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1681694704029058, b_new = -0.9552632043901066, c_new = 5.039376136273985
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4231.455174277662
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9858:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1329534614096666, b_new = -1.0744291707087559, c_new = 5.5790818422470085
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13138.07611809858
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9859:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.01089192991434, b_new = -1.7476533533352592, c_new = 6.0648121807328055
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13405.393075441872
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9860:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1812708692641696, b_new = -2.4985749039165746, c_new = 6.644108472540421
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3060.206814729724
Acceptance probability: 1.972740646376119e-21
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9861:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3369637510618086, b_new = -1.8897903764984874, c_new = 5.320594373365249
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12947.100996295829
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9862:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0451989764886775, b_new = -1.6727169979520644, c_new = 5.5215345100860995
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14214.703842556188
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9863:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.188320189255928, b_new = -1.1580152927315686, c_new = 5.96015405741146
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4380.803800622595
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9864:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.928671960408486, b_new = 0.02586582314587038, c_new = 5.740550484789204
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14759.12339858893
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9865:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6362395554031757, b_new = -0.7492137084279082, c_new = 5.59622175854925
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6924.792606153493
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9866:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1194359833257193, b_new = -1.535550175151497, c_new = 5.802631845823997
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3187.196825176879
Acceptance probability: 1.3931863118800226e-76
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9867:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9209611544827143, b_new = -0.7548296287590026, c_new = 6.1260856493023725
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3070.167072294707
Acceptance probability: 9.319338660271625e-26
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9868:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.840421806855439, b_new = -1.210958705278703, c_new = 5.7152824815652465
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4223.746329779374
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9869:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1571357332297034, b_new = -1.358632097889514, c_new = 5.980568935836944
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3676.2585843906554
Acceptance probability: 5.587092510255923e-289
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9870:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.680835300307786, b_new = -0.37611158287655455, c_new = 5.757152404274348
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5119.635965598927
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9871:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.671134946484943, b_new = -2.693957904052999, c_new = 4.744851218224489
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11404.565737065031
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9872:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.530261508490571, b_new = -1.7335822247485018, c_new = 5.479903904184201
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10919.613509548455
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9873:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0780652673141637, b_new = -1.832812316793821, c_new = 5.510359199881904
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3037.6068406126833
Acceptance probability: 1.2885878825419387e-11
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9874:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.608788842555837, b_new = -0.24821293976433656, c_new = 6.350379466728617
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12865.049649295739
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9875:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.674774259173853, b_new = -1.5828917742800581, c_new = 5.17079977827554
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8522.581197671845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9876:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.607558731124432, b_new = -1.890554513565788, c_new = 5.553350050328027
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10225.926288519651
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9877:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.811682955986386, b_new = -0.8736336164154559, c_new = 5.749961023288114
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4045.4141992638115
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9878:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9113725628797655, b_new = -1.925476225224516, c_new = 5.554258758805805
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4551.471228387577
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9879:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.33190393979463, b_new = -1.4367090225140682, c_new = 5.458202050930001
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6217.330694862457
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9880:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5098363305989966, b_new = -1.4485844220817659, c_new = 5.562237673397941
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9564.380474917412
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9881:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9546381722242243, b_new = -1.7938732578056564, c_new = 6.019401808179191
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3668.1708317430484
Acceptance probability: 1.8182441889646067e-285
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9882:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1209642517212095, b_new = -0.5172745457543958, c_new = 6.094631400775006
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4646.72614365636
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9883:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.377977292690067, b_new = -0.7505260616935715, c_new = 5.087423935395903
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8887.867521896027
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9884:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.219988016883702, b_new = -0.3858451285621731, c_new = 5.604290916056658
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6767.596163994822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9885:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.106128156845198, b_new = -0.6712598375970441, c_new = 5.7641066014206075
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12776.54278595019
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9886:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6367570697702862, b_new = -1.5871389520195107, c_new = 5.540589577816643
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10795.565223293885
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9887:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.201219074264845, b_new = -0.9441074558926965, c_new = 5.582957265114047
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4917.799383220359
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9888:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.039180573816919, b_new = -1.2810571954293466, c_new = 5.658331035129166
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3020.4603605844572
Acceptance probability: 0.0003603592740796527
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9889:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.192333686103402, b_new = -0.6590596440322705, c_new = 5.768700100871696
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5483.874093965365
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9890:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.654417126319348, b_new = -1.8256147459423868, c_new = 5.921723865662374
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10689.519542910197
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9891:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7080106587765376, b_new = -0.9841852181840756, c_new = 6.470956514410039
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12587.571763625267
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9892:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7926149105393079, b_new = -0.6616188332116937, c_new = 6.170825889994926
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14160.321582066746
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9893:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0853834292840205, b_new = -1.4621148021378636, c_new = 5.174146387537359
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3053.7808619264943
Acceptance probability: 1.2185008494881126e-18
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9894:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.722177460363418, b_new = -1.3777528166353554, c_new = 5.339057630068396
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6921.358053391879
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9895:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.929221978915975, b_new = -1.4396175723561235, c_new = 6.07186756492941
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3477.604882958066
Acceptance probability: 1.0504906813411645e-202
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9896:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1643518423673926, b_new = -1.3908729717667505, c_new = 5.643185019900992
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3650.7937019539613
Acceptance probability: 6.403888872942133e-278
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9897:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.551549529098519, b_new = -2.050508081357745, c_new = 6.464035869380935
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10946.835042401903
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9898:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.758636909756385, b_new = -1.3019592376106301, c_new = 6.125633885947886
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5691.317983081467
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9899:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5040901889433886, b_new = -0.9748431157264446, c_new = 5.840457637812683
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10531.120553872805
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9900:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1955035953877196, b_new = -2.623549148837527, c_new = 5.482789515983971
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14512.002567328
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9901:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8743855656399737, b_new = -0.8766510806092696, c_new = 5.195628401040809
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3470.9174040541575
Acceptance probability: 8.428055562219105e-200
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9902:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.390770075510066, b_new = -1.7389511686100094, c_new = 5.177229817898632
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6553.212084997094
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9903:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.11541590814605, b_new = -1.4758004920334886, c_new = 6.006215129245131
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3224.5335179936706
Acceptance probability: 8.489645110947534e-93
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9904:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9932801432663583, b_new = -2.2604630480487042, c_new = 6.070844420265053
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3895.5971181125406
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9905:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4547798114087063, b_new = -0.9171475358071537, c_new = 4.960827910617434
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10422.920073623947
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9906:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.202107658874601, b_new = -0.9903704720181291, c_new = 6.803685102697339
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5220.243816782773
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9907:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2168546042253214, b_new = -0.18720354585594867, c_new = 6.301977157460811
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7604.4747748836435
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9908:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.681566586785446, b_new = -1.110651456048835, c_new = 6.168005513163775
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12120.903926401472
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9909:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0524879625431183, b_new = -0.5824064310128811, c_new = 6.20796132718002
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3674.3748414018714
Acceptance probability: 3.67523444157869e-288
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9910:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.692367744082021, b_new = -0.9187705347624783, c_new = 4.090240452009847
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6774.163222367666
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9911:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3326756656979906, b_new = -1.7656086885484386, c_new = 5.695936726767255
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5478.204719442548
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9912:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.591263804715617, b_new = -1.0439684618624567, c_new = 6.007323948975008
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11390.292256532175
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9913:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3130316519523704, b_new = -1.5343010007669957, c_new = 5.439364059248085
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5573.315627629117
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9914:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.081527666160393, b_new = -0.585074919309184, c_new = 5.510732633440282
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3836.6023182701315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9915:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.5283903871325284, b_new = -0.9144916932701439, c_new = 5.612956427002042
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -15313.516550800456
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9916:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1697648187562173, b_new = -1.2515374874903442, c_new = 5.84145670229446
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13064.451645839905
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9917:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0291757432830173, b_new = -1.5842872900581773, c_new = 5.538706658626859
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3064.0158938109494
Acceptance probability: 4.373286875262383e-23
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9918:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.59845877920335, b_new = -0.6527333531414196, c_new = 6.461092032158236
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12221.032930797215
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9919:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.848674464863281, b_new = -0.804907657484337, c_new = 5.453726531273585
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13434.08341379985
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9920:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6870259223242488, b_new = -1.7205063963548632, c_new = 6.026920894568385
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8313.507515816042
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9921:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.031242447210593, b_new = -1.865176154983095, c_new = 4.9141669250205595
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13111.663756111024
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9922:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.983485219602897, b_new = -1.6011511188238403, c_new = 5.734674528395635
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3266.2838856133676
Acceptance probability: 6.265204646225835e-111
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9923:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9168284231217236, b_new = -1.8367645990204515, c_new = 5.622601620130727
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4282.354177361643
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9924:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.690452284594473, b_new = -1.4402467890390747, c_new = 5.458256620097105
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11501.414190150821
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9925:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2525958016630248, b_new = -1.7270431711612162, c_new = 5.080524025371377
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4095.714375648356
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9926:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9245384011941282, b_new = -0.49889766347581377, c_new = 5.997145379310013
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3049.5903050457496
Acceptance probability: 8.049363975000869e-17
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9927:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.966278389877353, b_new = -1.8440912050285916, c_new = 5.5968394713615295
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3692.690633582798
Acceptance probability: 4.081667015839825e-296
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9928:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8810977028935207, b_new = -0.0949052398365815, c_new = 5.695163369327686
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3075.2098557720637
Acceptance probability: 6.016335635776939e-28
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9929:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.47903397731932, b_new = -2.095709222304639, c_new = 4.817243883348885
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7295.693444321368
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9930:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5910681170276804, b_new = -1.1109520991718538, c_new = 5.810858605495312
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8610.952630595308
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9931:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3333703560265397, b_new = -1.059643420475385, c_new = 5.945710205748212
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11619.984429743607
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9932:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.301507305149375, b_new = -0.9533250923630648, c_new = 5.433125819656481
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6878.298465974925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9933:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.276116895924136, b_new = -1.2711845217639506, c_new = 5.487729720156315
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5508.645058774406
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9934:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2552982287892425, b_new = -0.8993212657787071, c_new = 5.940781449542541
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6216.134206330545
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9935:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5093406810874823, b_new = -0.8275307662035298, c_new = 6.578623630349499
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9017.148318728361
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9936:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2183855968056885, b_new = -1.1645636391589054, c_new = 5.277062481724016
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4653.432681772867
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9937:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9943480647156937, b_new = -1.5992564719056257, c_new = 5.886430957462943
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3186.26528186838
Acceptance probability: 3.536497190311023e-76
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9938:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7859834347534287, b_new = -1.6101834423127255, c_new = 5.8095722686299185
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6033.557087092423
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9939:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.183813871497182, b_new = -2.1254401014336537, c_new = 6.580257485371949
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3217.243812132991
Acceptance probability: 1.243851590951838e-89
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9940:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.016889504321097, b_new = -1.5336860950569593, c_new = 6.041714161618785
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3054.391733677673
Acceptance probability: 6.614965836855109e-19
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9941:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.320499377143939, b_new = -0.45013332270852646, c_new = 6.34057634256148
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9108.787688024999
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9942:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7853540835656645, b_new = -1.7573194433131925, c_new = 4.9703348197476105
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6770.546690386811
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9943:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7985040397929777, b_new = -1.462422400798357, c_new = 5.6347551232507245
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5468.818268014585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9944:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6029671736828774, b_new = -0.8083642573806509, c_new = 5.316745551493465
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7824.774735162751
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9945:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.101156390605958, b_new = -0.24094918146339428, c_new = 4.725518691515325
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12545.809978193653
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9946:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4680212377660724, b_new = -1.0386595577906683, c_new = 6.0484353255270635
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10147.42398455944
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9947:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.485870313904739, b_new = -1.4142060927859048, c_new = 5.972368873215799
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9429.027600733873
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9948:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.68901497702044, b_new = -0.4626144325643706, c_new = 6.007253192808939
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5094.767302555321
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9949:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.096607093174853, b_new = -1.5681200138269582, c_new = 6.273575403979527
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3101.309814249883
Acceptance probability: 2.7814042351455108e-39
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9950:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6861233476530737, b_new = -1.0567283085668289, c_new = 6.318852279004144
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6462.694558566004
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9951:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1310282312305557, b_new = -1.4460293089553684, c_new = 5.969375521987844
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3347.6262425554028
Acceptance probability: 2.953918415965131e-146
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9952:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.73157982093338, b_new = -1.6535579213573923, c_new = 5.983626740983778
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7235.066555180249
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9953:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.1057889577238225, b_new = -1.269954902981862, c_new = 6.16995577096058
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14351.443406183458
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9954:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1777617054499516, b_new = -0.7743302984972715, c_new = 4.916091340144658
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4690.915517184221
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9955:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.54976872046463, b_new = -1.5468249469453599, c_new = 6.81464861473688
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9860.204768097266
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9956:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7985002271610147, b_new = -1.645575941005605, c_new = 5.768749657023355
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5884.041615772992
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9957:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1203501413725236, b_new = -2.253267657724693, c_new = 6.283918357240337
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14276.994724084492
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9958:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2653528681525774, b_new = -0.02632247955846867, c_new = 5.621485461404894
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8872.978394843447
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9959:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5551563561121236, b_new = -1.452335257890685, c_new = 6.279315816422174
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9768.425631257
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9960:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.799530135753084, b_new = -2.0755063995789342, c_new = 5.485761710088246
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7163.235983120083
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9961:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.104023034842072, b_new = -1.5580782015786196, c_new = 5.956237621350062
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14015.028122334206
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9962:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.066252256668957, b_new = -0.29927937467420673, c_new = 5.068276622226889
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3998.551658580851
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9963:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7673205153848994, b_new = -0.8560214101742547, c_new = 7.165340680135216
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13363.606378673157
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9964:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.653583399063823, b_new = -0.45992919052304215, c_new = 6.8492639447178725
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13041.832996823221
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9965:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9177985034572043, b_new = -0.8683404212419257, c_new = 5.52189749709162
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3147.2192813430593
Acceptance probability: 3.206534270696747e-59
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9966:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.801594645817769, b_new = -0.9395319625258274, c_new = 5.458361704334751
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4357.177174642138
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9967:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6841199995354414, b_new = -1.155488175722534, c_new = 5.859262767331764
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6921.628755055743
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9968:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.866746082563195, b_new = -2.3008007700579745, c_new = 5.687732550384393
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6251.316931416513
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9969:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9297154989301495, b_new = -1.8130855590924366, c_new = 6.52823066612976
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3873.2666018572504
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9970:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0521081955347906, b_new = -1.9135708888741556, c_new = 5.274288828661136
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3167.118972901889
Acceptance probability: 7.306504403021945e-68
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9971:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2959703266178724, b_new = -1.538925076220427, c_new = 5.151783290602981
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12806.392050287572
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9972:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.468702387380617, b_new = -0.7013297475513935, c_new = 6.241261768476472
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9426.656495374367
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9973:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6372141709170775, b_new = -0.8168268200094295, c_new = 4.960341236298763
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7307.628998162923
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9974:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7693081960821098, b_new = -1.928332428566212, c_new = 5.418967993321842
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7428.550668121984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9975:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8216595095328323, b_new = -1.1247129158976445, c_new = 6.38690102799864
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4190.4865286217
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9976:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.506639320302594, b_new = -0.9853891761653153, c_new = 6.2025625911704125
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9496.855005483338
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9977:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4972034049379714, b_new = -1.7098524227209635, c_new = 6.274783121332539
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9048.741866298316
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9978:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.591152155566941, b_new = -1.5530722534223391, c_new = 5.4047393829453085
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9777.645319559575
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9979:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4283241730987855, b_new = -1.7059191768732842, c_new = 5.853219817684469
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11812.635378264014
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9980:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3706692434932406, b_new = -1.000271096706506, c_new = 5.7002357439924625
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11254.385689091298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9981:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1122518748306267, b_new = -1.162251411596116, c_new = 4.946558058407543
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3345.1822240279494
Acceptance probability: 3.4026889953657484e-145
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9982:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.419513548560545, b_new = -1.4725076917893456, c_new = 5.519474265306965
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7968.254194443909
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9983:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3832474997747246, b_new = -1.0995523235517108, c_new = 5.951961332439492
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8410.621095130287
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9984:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.40000604746275, b_new = -0.6874802551829852, c_new = 6.034200945478929
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9780.558495446201
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9985:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0162394146735005, b_new = -2.004452173843136, c_new = 5.729767463419621
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14584.566443564228
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9986:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.850956844578891, b_new = -1.9297231150839311, c_new = 5.975566550507223
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5488.82918406237
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9987:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.184969294134077, b_new = -1.211901493281772, c_new = 6.601855968837646
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4398.748019648267
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9988:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.200158332521645, b_new = -1.0576820127792927, c_new = 5.862982746747504
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4738.888716946594
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9989:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4282239661259544, b_new = -1.9659916118191831, c_new = 6.043344106580553
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12164.734052301614
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9990:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.437674338555972, b_new = -0.7653461770969303, c_new = 5.9344921657886305
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10035.322964342236
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9991:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.573297814684985, b_new = -1.5067395169808349, c_new = 6.20009928248696
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9655.968277489994
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9992:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2139808658573683, b_new = -0.8837103490481002, c_new = 5.7593811738880225
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5344.58689401088
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9993:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.780609764025323, b_new = -1.909065626122235, c_new = 5.3267959691892806
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11532.046696464156
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9994:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.51630249648315, b_new = -1.7598083702491663, c_new = 5.727427453088774
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11048.298246214063
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9995:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4445502196659303, b_new = -2.3141449487060033, c_new = 5.148067091655849
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12822.875300425347
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9996:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.396285877678059, b_new = -0.7741663051713581, c_new = 5.498718103812287
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10662.585078895137
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9997:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0321352733255384, b_new = -0.7307791131181962, c_new = 6.54462239933784
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3386.312957515907
Acceptance probability: 4.6662893586740956e-163
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9998:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8036304604982667, b_new = -1.584900937057299, c_new = 6.590245122618921
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12483.635226234106
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9999:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.140674887520296, b_new = -1.1761697006988874, c_new = 5.590286205346623
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3673.938309210482
Acceptance probability: 5.686808051756761e-288
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Best coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Maximum likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
import jax.numpy as jnp
import jax
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
x = jnp.linspace(0, 10, 1000)
y = 3 * x**2 - x + 5 + jax.random.normal()
def normal_pdf(x, mean, std):
return (1 / (std * jnp.sqrt(2 * jnp.pi))) * jnp.exp(-(x - mean)**2 / (2 * std**2))
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
ModuleNotFoundError Traceback (most recent call last)
Cell In[3], line 1
----> 1 import jax.numpy as jnp
2 import jax
3 import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
ModuleNotFoundError: No module named 'jax'